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Written by PwC
October 2016
Study to examine the socio-
economic impact of
Copernicus in the EU
Report on the Copernicus downstream sector and
user benefits
EUROPEAN COMMISSION
Directorate-General for Internal Market, Industry, Entrepreneurship and SMEs
DG GROW Directorate-General for Internal Market, Industry, Entrepreneurship and SMEs
I.3 Unit Space Data for Societal Challenges and Growth
Contact: Thibaud Delourme
E-mail: [email protected]
European Commission
B-1049 Brussels
EUROPEAN COMMISSION
2016
Study to examine the socio-
economic impact of
Copernicus in the EU
Report on the Copernicus Downstream Sector and
User Benefits
Directorate-General for Internal Market, Industry, Entrepreneurship and SMEs
Report on the Copernicus Downstream Sector and User Benefits
LEGAL NOTICE
This document has been prepared for the European Commission however it reflects the views only of the authors, and the
Commission cannot be held responsible for any use which may be made of the information contained therein.
More information on the European Union is available on the Internet (http://www.europa.eu).
Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union, 2016
ISBN 978-92-79-59011-5
doi 10.2873/01661
European Union, 2016
Reproduction is authorised provided the source is acknowledged.
Printed in Belgium
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Report on the Copernicus Downstream Sector and User Benefits
ii
Key findings
Historically one of the first domains to exploit EO, agriculture is the market in which Copernicus
is expected to have the largest impact, especially through precision farming. Intermediate users
in the value chain have various profiles, from start-ups and SMEs to large companies through
purely scientific players. This is also the market with the highest penetration rate for Copernicus
data, which already represents about 13% of the EO data exploited in the sector. Though not
quantified here, the contribution of Copernicus to farmers business can be expected to be
substantial, given the importance of EO to precision farming technologies.
In some countries, forests are mainly owned either by public entities, while in others the
ownership is mainly in private hands. As in agriculture, Copernicus intermediate users have a
range of profiles, and Copernicus represents a substantial share of the EO data exploited,
estimated at around 12% on average. End users are mostly public bodies and there are few
commercial applications that exploit forestry EO-based products, making it difficult to put a
value on end user benefits.
Urban Monitoring offers a wide range of applications for EO and hence for Copernicus.
Intermediate users are mainly SMEs, working in a well-developed market of which Copernicus
already represents about 10% of the EO data exploited. Urban Monitoring products are
expected to benefit from the high growth of smart cities markets, and hence the influence of
Copernicus is likely to continue to increase. The majority of end users are local authorities, which
often face budget constraints that limit the speed with which they can adopt innovative
products such as EO, but there are encouraging trends.
For natural disasters insurance, the benefits of intermediate users from Copernicus are
estimated to be low as a gap still exists between the very specific needs of (re)insurers and the
available EO products on the market. The result is either that EO raw data are handled in-house
by end users who can afford the infrastructure, or that satellite images are not used at all,
because they are regarded as a non-critical source of data. Index products represent a potential
market for intermediate users, but the Copernicus constellation has not been in place long
enough to be exploited. End user benefits have the potential to be much higher, given the very
large amounts involved in natural disaster insurance. However the substantial variation observed
between (re)insurers with regard to their adoption of Copernicus to date makes it difficult to
give an assessment of the precise overall value.
Ocean Monitoring applications for EO are diverse, and involve various types of stakeholders.
Intermediate users include private actors from micro-companies to large companies, public
authorities, scientific laboratories or research centres. End users are also both public entities and
private actors such as fish farmers and cooperatives. The rapidly-changing environment requires
near real-time EO data, and so the penetration of Copernicus data is quite low at present,
around 6%. Sentinel-3 is expected to raise substantially the benefits of Copernicus to ocean
monitoring applications.
Oil & Gas is a commercially oriented value chain, and EO is mostly exploited in the upstream
activities of O&G companies. Intermediate users generate substantial revenues based on
Copernicus data, in the form of GIS products rather than pure EO data. End user benefits can be
expected to be much higher given the large markets involved. The recent drop in the oil price
curbed the willingness of O&G companies to invest in EO capabilities, but this should improve
in the coming years.
Actors in the Renewable energies value chain exploit EO data particularly for biomass and solar
energy. Commercial applications are relatively new for intermediate users. The total EO market
represents less than EUR 23 million, of which Copernicus represents 10% of the revenues. End
user benefits are estimated to be low compared to the EUR 130 billion European market for
renewable energies, due to the limited part of the value chain impacted by EO and the low
share of the Copernicus contribution in EO data, reckoned to be between 0.001% and 0.1%.
Air Quality information and applications only recently started to exploit EO data, being
traditionally based on meteorological data, statistics and measurements. Intermediate users are
mostly environmental and meteorological agencies, or publicly-funded organisations. End users
needs tend to be addressed directly by the public sector, as individuals do not demonstrate any
willingness to pay for information or products on Air Quality.
Report on the Copernicus Downstream Sector and User Benefits
iii
Overview of Copernicus programme benefits The following figure sums up the key impacts of the overall Copernicus programme, including both the economic
value generated and the supported employment. The impacts are quantified across both the upstream segment
and in the EO downstream and end user markets. It should be noted that the EO downstream and end users
benefits were only assessed in the 8 value chains presented above: Agriculture, Forestry, Urban Monitoring,
Insurance, Ocean Monitoring, Oil & Gas, Renewable Energies and Air Quality.
It should be noted that the employment figures represent the cumulative person years over 2015-2020 rather
than the number of jobs sustained at any one time..
Examples of Copernicus benefits across selected value chains The following figure provides some examples of the contribution of Copernicus to various projects and initiatives
across the selected value chains. More details can be found in the case studies presented for each sector in this
report.
Overall investment
in the programme
EUR
7.4 billion
EUR
10.8 13.5 billion
Cumulated
economic value
Upstream and
Copernicus
Services
Downstream
and end users*
EUR
10.3 billion
EUR
0.5 3.1 billion
Cumulated impacts over 2008 - 202015,580 jobs years supported across the
European industry over
2008 - 2013
3,050 to 12,450 person years supported
across the downstream
& end users markets*
over 2015 - 2020
Examples of Copernicus benefits
26% Cost reduction of an irrigation
management
service in Austria
5% Productivity gain for fish farmers,
by monitoring
toxic algal blooms
60k Yearly savings for construction
companies using
a work progress
monitoring app
2% Increased revenues for photovoltaic
electricity producers
by improving
forecasts
60%Higher precision for
analysis of the impact
of trans-boundaries
pollutants on air quality
172M Forecast market for pastures insurance
against natural
hazards (from 2025)
Report on the Copernicus Downstream Sector and User Benefits
iv
Overview of intermediate users benefits Intermediate users constitute the main link between the space infrastructure of Copernicus and the wider
community of potential users of Copernicus-enabled products and services. Also referred to as the EO and GIS
downstream markets, they are typically Value Added Services (VAS) companie