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International Monetary Fund Executive Board (IMF) Study Guide

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International Monetary Fund Executive Board (IMF)

 

Study Guide              

 

 

Table  of  Contents  Table  of  Contents  .........................................................................................................................................  1  

Welcome  Letter  ............................................................................................................................................  1  

Introduction  to  IMF  .....................................................................................................................................  2  History  ........................................................................................................................................................................  2  Mandate  .....................................................................................................................................................................  4  Functions  ...................................................................................................................................................................  5  

Poverty  reduction  in  low-­‐income  countries  .......................................................................................  7  

Dissemination  of  Information  &  Research  ..........................................................................................  7  

Collaboration  with  the  WB  &  WTO  ........................................................................................................  7  Governance  &  Decision-­‐making  .............................................................................................................  8  

Topic  A:  IMF  response  to  the  urgent  needs  of  member  states  under  armed  conflicts  with  a  special  focus  on  Ukraine,  particularly  within  the  context  of  policy  debate  regarding  austerity  versus  stimulus  .........................................................................................................................  9  Washington  Consensus:  .....................................................................................................................................  11  Ukraine  and  austerity  ........................................................................................................................................  12  The  Economy  of  Ukraine  ...................................................................................................................................  12  

Topic  B:  Income  inequality  through  fiscal  policy  reforms  .........................................................  19  

Measuring  inequality  ..............................................................................................................................  19  Trends  of  global  inequality  ...................................................................................................................  20  

Economic  effects  of  inequality  .............................................................................................................  21  How  fiscal  policy  affects  income  inequality  .....................................................................................  24  

Past  IMF  measures  and  policy  analysis  .............................................................................................  27  

Main  issues  to  be  addressed  by  delegates  ........................................................................................  32  Notes  .............................................................................................................................................................  33  

Bibliography  ...............................................................................................................................................  34    

   

© London International Model United Nations 2015  LIMUN | Charity No. 1096197 www.limun.org.uk  

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Welcome  Letter    Dear  Delegates,    Congratulations   on   being   selected   by   your   teams   for   the   most   demanding   and   intensive   of  

committees  at  this  prestigious  conference!  We  expect  nothing  short  of  excellence  from  you.  Having  

been  promised  the  cream  of  the  crop  from  all  teams  present  at  this  committee,  we  have  decided  to  

challenge  you  with  the  most  relevant  and  urgent  topics  in  the  international  agenda  at  present.  This  

study  guide  should  be  your  starting  point  for  your  research  –  Needless  to  say,  there  is  much,  much  

more   information  available,  which  you  can   field   in  committee   to  your  advantage.  All   committees  

are  judged  by  the  quality  of  the  resolutions  they  produce,  and  so  it  falls  on  you  to  be  adequately  

prepared.    

 

We   are   pleased   to   be   your   chairs   for   the   IMF   this   year.   As   one   of   the   most   powerful   and  

controversial  organs  of  the  international  system,  I  hope  you’ll  take  the  chance  to  understand  why  in  

today’s  world  money  is  power  and  how  the  international  financial  superstructure  is  at  times  more  

relevant  to  geopolitics  than  aircraft  carriers  and  tank  columns.    

 Wishing  you  all  the  best,    Felipe  Cuello    Marco  Graziano    

   

© London International Model United Nations 2015  LIMUN | Charity No. 1096197 www.limun.org.uk  

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Introduction  to  IMF    

History      Before  the  international  system  was  set  up  in  the  postwar  era,  countries  attempted  to  implement  

isolationist   policies   –   barriers   to   trade,   currency  war   and   seizures   of   foreign   currency   from   their  

citizens.  As  public  policy  to  relieve  the  Great  Depression,  they  were  fantastically  counterproductive.  

The  decline  in  world  trade  exacerbated  the  crisis  and  destroyed  the  primitive  globalization  that  had  

been  occurring  until  1927.  Employment  and  living  standards  tanked.  Entire  industries,  newly  bereft  

of  export  markets,  saw  their  business  models  collapse  under  the  new  conditions.  

 

After  the  war  the  system  of  exchange  rates  and  international  payments  was  rebuilt  under  the  aegis  

of   the  World  Bank   group,   including   the   IMF,   enabling   the   resurgence  of   international   trade.   The  

Bretton  Woods  accords  established  the  rules  of  international  trade  to  reduce  volatility  in  currency  

markets   and   providing   stability   for   the   businesses   that   chose   to   operate   internationally.  

Representatives  of  45  countries  came  together   in  Bretton  Woods,  NH   in  the  northeastern  United  

States  and  agreed  on  a  framework  for  international  economic  cooperation.  The  IMF  formally  came  

into  being   in  December  1945,  with  29  member   states   signing   its  Articles  of  Agreement.1  In  1947,  

France,  where  much  of  the  war  had  been  fought  –  and  hence  where  destruction  was  most  grievous  

–  was   the   first   country   to   borrow   from   the   IMF,   leading   to   the   creation   of   the  Marshall   plan   in  

recognition  of  the  precarious  economic  conditions  in  postwar  Europe.    

   

© London International Model United Nations 2015  LIMUN | Charity No. 1096197 www.limun.org.uk  

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 Figure  1:  IMF  governance  structure.  Taken  from  www.imf.org/external/about/govconstruct  

Membership  of   the  Fund  expanded   in   the   late  1950s  and  during   the  1960s  as   the  decolonization  

movement   (to  which  your   colleagues   in   SPECPOL  bear   inheritance)  many  African   countries,   India  

and   newly   independent   nations   in   the   Caribbean   and   Oceania   applied   for   membership,   mainly  

former  French  and  British  colonies.  However  the  new  conflict  between  the  Capitalist  west  and  the  

Communist  east   kept  out  Eastern  European  and  communist   south  and  East  Asian   countries   from  

the  fund.  Between  1945  and  1971,  member  states  kept  their  currencies  pegged  to  the  dollar  at  a  

fixed  value,  while  the  dollar  was  in  turn  pegged  to  gold.    

   In  1971,  the  Nixon  administration  suspended  the  convertibility  of  the  dollar  into  gold,  giving  rise  to  

the   current   system   of   floating   exchange   rates.   This   change   largely   reflected   the   increasingly  

dynamic   nature   of   international   trade   and   developments   in   economic   theory,   and   is   widely  

considered  one  of  the  main  economic  events  of  world  history.  

 

   

© London International Model United Nations 2015  LIMUN | Charity No. 1096197 www.limun.org.uk  

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Mandate      The   IMF   is   an   independent   international   organization.  Wholly   owned   by   its  member   states,   the  

IMF’s   objective   is   to   promote   world   economic   stability   and   growth.   Member   states   are  

shareholders   in   the   fund,   providing   the   IMF’s   working   capital   through   quota   subscriptions.   In  

return,   the   IMF   provides   its  members  with  macroeconomic   policy   analysis,   financing   in   times   of  

balance   of  payments   crisis,   and   technical   assistance   and   training   to   improve   national   economic  

management.  The  United  Nations  (UN)  considers  the  IMF  as  a  Specialized  Agency    

With   which   the   UN   has   an   established   working   relationship.   As   such,   The   IMF   has   permanent  

observer  at  the  UN.    Article  I  sets  out  the  mandate  of  the  IMF  as  follows:    

   

“To  promote  international  monetary  cooperation  through  a  permanent  institution  which  provides  

the  machinery  for  consultation  and  collaboration  on  international  monetary  problems;    

 

To  facilitate  the  expansion  and  balanced  growth  of   international  trade,  and  to  contribute  thereby  

to   the    promotion   and   maintenance   of   high   levels   of   employment   and   real   income   and   to   the  

development  of  the    productive  resources  of  all  members  as    primary  objectives  of  economic  policy;    

 

To  promote  exchange  stability,  to  maintain  orderly  exchange  arrangements  among  members,  and  

to  avoid  competitive  exchange  depreciation;    

   

To   assist   in   the   establishment   of   a   multilateral   system   of   payments   in   respect   of   current  

transactions  between  members  and  in  the  elimination  of  foreign  exchange  restrictions  that  hamper  

the  growth  of  world  trade;    

   

To  give  confidence  to  members  by  making  the  general  resources  of  the  IMF  temporarily  available  to  

them  under  adequate  safeguards,  thus  providing  them  with  opportunity  to  correct  maladjustments  

in   their   balance   of  payments   without   resorting   to   measures   destructive   of   national   or  

international    prosperity;  and    

   

   

© London International Model United Nations 2015  LIMUN | Charity No. 1096197 www.limun.org.uk  

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To  shorten  the  duration  and  lessen  the  degree  of  disequilibrium  in  the  international  balances  of  

payments  of  members.”  

 

Functions      The  IMF  is  multifaceted  in  its  approach  to  achieving  the  goals  set  out  in  the  mandate.    For  example:  

 

Surveillance  over  Members’  Economic  Policies    

 

When  a  state  becomes  a  member  of  the  IMF,  they  agree  to  enact  economic  policy  recipes   in   line  

with  the  philosophy  and  aims  of   the   IMF.  They  also  give  the   IMF   legal  authority  to  enforce  these  

obligations.  It  is  effectively  the  only  organization  in  the  world  whose  mandate  includes  the  regular  

examination  of  economic  policy  and  circumstance  of  almost  every  nation  on  the  planet.  

 

Financing  Temporary  Balance  of  Payments  Needs    

 

The   International  Monetary   Fund   is,   in   a   deep   sense,   just   that:   a   fund.   A   pot   of   money   with   a  

secretariat  to  manage  it  and  a  deliberative  assembly  of  its  investors  to  determine  what  to  do  with  

the  funds.  Its  purpose  is  to  correct  monetary  imbalances  -­‐The  Articles  of  Agreement  empower  the  

IMF   to  assist  member   states   that  have  a  balance  of  payments   crises   (when   they  have   to  pay   for  

something  today  and  won’t  have  the  money  until  next  year).  By  providing  this  temporary  respite,  

countries   can   more   effectively   plan   their   expenditures   and   refine   their   policy   to   avoid   future  

mistakes  of  this  nature.  If  this  sounds  like  the  “Lender  of  last  resort”  role  a  central  bank  plays  in  the  

national   sphere,   its  because   that’s  exactly  what   the   IMF   is  meant   to  do.  Whereas   in   the  national  

sphere  the  Central  bank  has  unlimited  power  to  emit  currency  and  avoid  balance  of  payment  crises  

(bank  runs  and  so  on).  

 

   

© London International Model United Nations 2015  LIMUN | Charity No. 1096197 www.limun.org.uk  

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 Figure  2:  Value  of  an  SDR.  Taken  from  https://www.imf.org/external/np/tre/sdr/sdrbasket.htm  

   The  IMF  has  a  virtually  limitless  amount  of  “Special  Drawing  rights”  which  compose  the  fund  itself.  

Although   the   amount   of   SDR   isn’t   endless,   like   the   power   of   a   central   bank   to   print   its   own  

currency,  there  are  enough  SDR  in  the  fund  to  bail  out  any  member  state  of  any  currency  crisis  they  

might  be  faced  with.  As  per  the  table  above,  one  SDR  is  roughly  US¢66  (sixty-­‐six  cents),  11  pence,  

12  yen  and  42  eurocents.  This  basket  adds  up  to  about  a  US  $1.50.  However  an  SDR  is  not  currency  

in  itself  –  its  nature  is  a  topic  of  much  discussion  among  economists  (is  it  credit?  Is  it  money?  It’s  an  

SDR!).  Hence,  when  a  country  is  experiencing  a  currency  crisis  or  a  balance  of  payments  crisis  (and  

hence   needs   dollars/euros/yen/Pounds   to   shore   up   their   own   currency,   or   to   pay   whatever   bill  

sparked  the  balance  of  payments  crisis).  However  there  are  controversial  aspects  to  these  bailouts,  

namely  the  conditionalities,  which  we  will  discuss  later.    

       

   

© London International Model United Nations 2015  LIMUN | Charity No. 1096197 www.limun.org.uk  

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Poverty  reduction  in  low-­‐income  countries      Contrary  to  structural  adjustment  plans  or  dealing  with  currency  crises,  which  can  sometimes  

be  rather  harsh  on  the  countries  receiving  them,  The  IMF  also  provides  concessional  loans  to  

low-­‐income  member   countries   (usually   newer   states   like   Kosovo   or   South   Sudan)   for   these  

countries’   governments   to   get   going   and   in   most   other   cases   for   fighting   poverty.   This   is  

usually  coupled  with  efforts  to  engage  the  global   investment  community  to  participate   in  the  

purchase  of  the  member  state’s  bonds,  humanitarian  donations  and  the  like.  Under  this  aegis  

we   could   also   mention   two   debt   relief   initiatives   the   Fund   spearheads:   The   HIPC   (heavily  

indebted   poor   countries)   and  MDRI   (multilateral   debt   relief,   whereby   debt   forgiveness   and  

cancellation  are  performed.  

 

Dissemination  of  Information  &  Research      Every  employee  of  the  IMF  is  either  a  Ph.D.  in  Economics  or  is  well  on  their  way  to  obtaining  one.  

As  such,  analysis  of  member  states’  policies  and  statistical  data  isn’t  limited  to  the  forum  of  the  IMF  

itself.  Country  briefs  are  widely  read,  not   just  by  other  macroeconomists  and  central  bankers  but  

also   by   the   global   financial   community   and   investment   class.   “Public   goods”   databases   are  

maintained  and  regularly  updated,  providing  a  resource  for  other  researchers  around  the  world  to  

use  in  their  work.  The  Board  of  Governors  and  Executive  Board  routinely  commission  studies  from  

this  world-­‐class  secretariat  of  economic  gurus.  

Collaboration  with  the  WB  &  WTO      Two  other  bodies  were  created  at  Bretton  Woods:  The  World  Bank  and  the  General  Agreement  on  

Tariffs  and  Trade  (GATT).    While  the  GATT  would  have  to  wait  5  decades  to  come  into  full  force  as  

an  international  deliberative  institution  (the  WTO),  it  was  instrumental  in  setting    up  the  framework  

of  globalization  and  the  re-­‐establishment  of  multilateral  trade  deals  as  an  instrument  of  economic  

policy.  If  the  IMF  is  the  world’s  Central  bank,  the  World  Bank  is  its  finance  ministry  and  the  WTO  its  

trade  department.  Without  going   into  great  depth,  as  delegates  you  should  consider  appealing   in  

   

© London International Model United Nations 2015  LIMUN | Charity No. 1096197 www.limun.org.uk  

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your  resolution  to  actions  by  these  other  bodies  to  complement  whatever  strategy  you  decide  to  

implement.    

Governance  &  Decision-­‐making      

The   Fund’s   managing   director   and   secretariat   are   tasked   with   implementing   the   wishes   of   the  

Board   of   Governors   and   the   Executive   Board   (that’s   you,   delegate!).   There   are   two   committees  

tasked   with   advising   the   governors   and   executives:   the   International   Monetary   and   Financial  

Committee  (IMFC)  and  the  Development  Committee.  This  is  where  the  economists  of  the  fund  work  

and  carry  out  the  tasks  which  the  deliberative  bodies  ask  of  them.  While  the  Board  of  Governors  is  

technically   the   highest   decision  making   body,   it   is   rare   for   them   to   contradict   the  wishes   of   the  

executives,  much  less  the  managing  director  and  the  rest  of  the  secretariat.  There  is  one  Governor  

and  one  Alternate  governor  for  every  one  of  the  Fund’s  185  member  states  –  they  are  tasked  with  

explaining  to  the  secretariat  any  moves  in  the  country’s  monetary  or  fiscal  policies.    

 

Diplomatic  skill  is  sometimes  required  –  being  the  Governor  for  Argentina  must  be  a  challenge,  for  

example,   having   to   sit   in   front   of   superior   economists   and   keep   a   straight   face  while   defending  

whichever  policy  is  being  implemented  after  having  been  bailed  out  by  the  IMF  so  many  times.  In  

sum,  you  must  keep  this  structure  in  mind  as  you  debate  the  issues  at  hand  –  harnessing  the  power  

of  the  other  parts  of  the  fund  will  be  key  to  solving  the  issues  promptly  and  effectively.  

   

   

© London International Model United Nations 2015  LIMUN | Charity No. 1096197 www.limun.org.uk  

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Topic  A:  IMF  response  to  the  urgent  needs  of  member  states  under  armed  conflicts  with  a  special  focus  on  Ukraine,  particularly  within  the  context  of  policy  debate  regarding  austerity  versus  stimulus      

I.  Introduction  

 

The   relationship  between  Ukraine  and   the   IMF  begins  with   the   fall   of   the  Soviet  Empire  and   the  

nation’s  accession  to  the  Articles  of  Agreement  in  1992.  Relations  were  never  very  good,  however,  

as   with  many   of   the   post-­‐soviet   states,   highly   illiberal   policies   were   part   of   the   deep   economic  

structure  of  the  country.  Despite  receiving  almost  US$3  Billion  by  1999,  funds  were  frozen  various  

times  for  noncompliance  with  their  monetary  targets  and  commitments  to  reform  the  structure  of  

the  economy.  Though  the   IMF   is  notorious   for  slashing   the  share  of  GDP  controlled  by   the  state,  

Ukraine  proved   to   be   impervious   to   its   best   efforts   until   the   fall   of   Yanukovych’s   government   in  

2014.  

 

From  then,  the  IMF  has  disbursed  amounts  to  Ukraine  second  only  to  the  Greek  bailout  during  the  

euro  crisis.  While  the  rule  of  thumb  is  to  never  disburse  more  than  twice  the  amount  of  a  country’s  

quota  to  the  IMF  (annually),  the  US$18  Billion  handed  to  Ukraine  in  2014  was  8  times  the  amount  

of  its  quota.  

 

This  situation  is  made  even  more  egregious  by  the  articles  of  agreement.  As  clause  b  of  article  3  in  

section  V  states:  

 

  “(b)  A  member  shall  be  entitled  to  purchase  the  currencies  of  other  members  from  the  Fund  

in  exchange  for  an  equivalent  amount  of  its  own  currency  subject  to  the  following  conditions:  

• (i)  the  member’s  use  of  the  general  resources  of  the  Fund  would  be  in  accordance  with  the  

provisions  of  this  Agreement  and  the  policies  adopted  under  them;  

• (ii)  the  member  represents  that  it  has  a  need  to  make  the  purchase  because  of  its  balance  

of  payments  or  its  reserve  position  or  developments  in  its  reserves;  

   

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• (iii)   the  proposed  purchase  would  be  a  reserve  tranche  purchase,  or  would  not  cause  the  

Fund’s  holdings  of  the  purchasing  member’s  currency  to  exceed  two  hundred  percent  of  its  

quota;  

• (iv)  the  Fund  has  not  previously  declared  under  Section  5  of  this  Article,  Article  VI,  Section  

1,  or  Article  XXVI,  Section  2  (a)  that  the  member  desiring  to  purchase  is  ineligible  to  use  the  

general  resources  of  the  Fund.”2  

 

The   offenders   here   are   points   iii   and   iv   –   not   only   has   Ukraine   already   been   given   an   amount  

exceeding  200%  of  its  quota,  but  it  is  doubtful  that  a  country  in  the  grip  of  war  against  itself  and  a  

power  greater  than  itself  will  be  able  to  pay  down  the  debt  any  time  soon,  if  ever.    

 

To  make  matters  worse,  the  IMF  is  still  reeling  in  the  scandal  of  having  been  too  harsh  on  Greece:  

an   internal   document   was   leaked   to   the   press   revealing   that   it   was   expected   that   Greece’s  

unemployment   rate  wouldn’t   surpass   15%.   It   is   25%.   Hence   the   usual   argument   that   the   IMF   is  

fixing  the  country’s  economy  brings  in  another  dimension  to  this  problem.  Since  the  foundation  of  

the  IMF  the  expectation  that  loans  would  be  repaid  quickly  was  always  part  of  the  deal.  It  always  

   

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included   a   list   of   10   policy   requirements,   known   as   the   “Washington   consensus”   (cf.   definition  

below):   fiscal   discipline,   reordering   public   expenditure,   tax   reform,   interest   rate   liberalisation,  

floating  the  exchange  rate,  liberalising  trade  rules,  liberalising  foreign  investment  rules,  privatising  

state  owned  assets,  deregulating  the  markets  and  upholding  property  rights.    

 

Washington  Consensus:      

Supported  by  prominent  economists  and  international  organisations  (e.g.,  IMF,  the  World  Bank,  the  

EU  and  the  US),  the  Washington  Consensus  refers  to  a  set  of  broadly  free  market  economic  ideas.  

In   essence,   it   “advocates,   free   trade,   floating   exchange   rates,   free  markets   and  macroeconomic  

stability”3.   In  order   to  determine  policy   towards  economic  development   in  South  East  Asia,   Latin  

America  and  other  countries,  the  Washington  Consensus  was  utilised.    

 

Implications:  

 

• IMF  bailouts  tended  to  involve  free  market  reforms  as  a  condition  of  receiving  money.  

• Belief  in  free  trade  suggests  countries,  should  specialise  in  goods  /  services  where  they  have  a  

comparative   advantage.   This   may   suggest   that     developing   economies   need   to   continue  

producing  primary  products.    

• Support  of  free  trade  through  WTO  and  NAFTA  (North  Atlantic  Free  Trade  Association)  reduces  

tariff  barriers.  

 

Overview:  

 

In   1989,   John   Williamson’s   ten   principles,   including   the   aforementioned   ten   sets   of   relatively  

specific   policy   recommendations,   have   diverged   from   the   original   intention.   Nevertheless,    

regardless   of   the   failings   of   the   free   market,   there   is   still   merit   in   considering   each   of   the   ten  

principles.   On   the   other   hand,   there   needs   to   be   greater   discrimination   and   less   blanket  

implementation,   for   example,   the   privatisation   of   a   state-­‐owned   car   industry  may   be   good,   but  

water   supplies  may  not.   Perhaps   the  most   interesting   development   is   the   rise   of   the   Indian   and  

   

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Chinese   economies,   especially   how   the   Chinese   investment   is   playing   a   considerable   role   in  

enabling  economic  development  within    developing  economies.    

 

The   Washington   Consensus   is   in   part   tied   to   the   strength   of   the   US   economy,   though   the   US  

economy  is  likely  to  decline  in  relative  terms4.  

 

Ukraine  and  austerity    

In  the  case  of  Ukraine,  however,  austerity  cannot  be  imposed5.  A  war-­‐torn  country  that  is  losing  3  

provinces’  worth  of  tax  receipts  would  surely  collapse.   Indeed  many  industries  have  instead  been  

nationalised  rather  than  liberalised  after  the  loans.  Ukraine’s  currency  has  already  lost  most  of  its  

value   and   its   doubtful   that   economic   output  will   increase   anytime   soon,   even   if   the  war   ended  

tomorrow.  The  pretence  of  repayment  is  rather  clearly  fantastical.  

 

However,  it  is  also  the  first  time  the  Fund  has  taken  a  side  in  a  conflict  such  as  this.  Never  before  

has  the  IMF  made  loans  to  countries  at  war,  or  picked  a  side  in  civil  wars.  Economic  considerations  

must  sometimes  take  second  place  to  geopolitical  ones  –  or  rather,  economics  must  act  as  an  arm  

of   geopolitics.   Indeed,   the   precedent   of   the  Greek   bailout   is   already   set:   the   geopolitical   aim   of  

keeping  Greece  in  the  Eurozone  took  precedence  over  the  rulebook.  The  rulebook  on  austerity  and  

the  Washington   consensus  policies   could  also  be   seen   in   this  new  way  –   it   is  more   important   to  

ensure  the  survival  of  Ukraine  than  to  ensure  it  raises  its  taxes  by  the  right  amount.    

 

The  exceptional  nature  of  this  situation  is  what  led  us  to  choose  this  topic  for  discussion.    

 

 

The  Economy  of  Ukraine    

Since   the   4th   February   2015,   the  Ukrainian  Hryvnia   had   collapsed   by   the   6th   February   by   50%6.  

Evidently,  as  seen  in  the  graph  below,  it  has  been  falling  for  some  time.    

 

   

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Ukraine   has   been   mismanaged   on   a   world-­‐historical   scale   by   oligarchs   who,   for   decades,   have  

thieved   and   skimmed   billions   off   the   country's   non-­‐existent   growth.   As   impossible   as   it   seems,  

Ukraine's  economy  has  actually  shrunk  since  the  end  of  communism  in  1991.  Today,     its  war  with  

Russia  is  destroying  the  little  that  is  left  of  the  economy.  It’  is  not  just  that  the  rebel  strongholds  in  

the  factory-­‐heavy  industrialised  east  have  deprived  Ukraine  of  a  quarter  of  its  industrial  capacity.  It  

is  that  it  cannot  afford  to  fight  against  what  is  still  it's  biggest  trading  partner—Russia.  One  does  not  

usually  trade  a   lot  with  the  country  they  are  going  to  battle  against,  but  Ukraine's  economy   is  so  

dependent  on  Russia's  that  it  still  trades  more  with  it  than  any  other  country7.  That  means  anything  

that  hurts  Russia,  such  as    lower  oil  prices  or  sanctions,  just  reflects  on  the  Ukrainian  economy,  thus  

burying  it  deeper  in  the    financial  hole.  

 

In  other  words,  Ukraine  does  not  have  a  lot  of  foreign  currency,  and  does  not  possess  many  ways  to  

earn  more  of   it.  Now  Ukraine   is   fighting   its  biggest   trading  partner,  whilst   separatists  have   taken  

refuge  and  confiscated  its  industrial  heartland  (Luhansk  and  Donetsk  Oblasts).  

 

Let   us   not   forget   that,the  Ukrainian   economy   has   been   going   down   hill   for   a  while-­‐  with   things  

escalating   when   the   Crimean   conflict   broke   out   early   2014   and   the   Maidan   protests   over  

Yanukovych’s  rule.  In  2014  the  hryvnia  had  already  lost  its  value  by  half,  and  in  the  past  week  it  has  

collapsed  by  a  further  50%.  GDP  is  still  shrinking.  

 

   

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Foreign-­‐currency   reserves   fell   by   a  

quarter   in   December   2014,   leaving  

just   $7.5   billion-­‐   the   equivalent   to  

only   five   weeks’   worth   of   import  

cover.   The   central-­‐bank   head   talks  

of   a   “full-­‐blown   financial   crisis” 8 .  

2015   promise   $11   billion   of   debt  

repayments,   including   a   $3   million  

Russian   bond   which   falls   due   in  

December   2015,   but   contains   an  

early-­‐repayment   provision   if  

Ukraine’s   debt-­‐to-­‐GDP   ratio  

exceeds   60%.   Bond   yields   are  

soaring:   Moody’s,   a   rating   agency,  

calls  the  chances  of  a  Ukrainian  default  “exceedingly  high”9.    

 

Though  official  statistics  are  not  out  yet,  the  60%  limit  has  almost  certainly  been  breached.  Russia  

states  it  can  demand  repayment,  though  it  insists  it  does  not  want  Ukraine  to  default.  If  Russia  calls  

the   bond,   other   creditors   could   also   demand   immediate   repayment.   This   debt   is   a   useful  

negotiating   tool   for   the   Kremlin.   Ukraine   needs  more   help:   the   EU   is   offering   €1.8   billion   ($2.1  

billion);  America  is  pledging  $2  billion.  Nevertheless,  Ukraine’s  financing  gap  for  2015  is  estimated  

at  $15  billion.  The  war  with  the  separatists    wastes    $10  million  per  day,  according  to    Poroshenko-­‐  

the  current  president  of  Ukraine.  And  with  the  war  escalating  instead  of  abating,  who  knows  how  

much  more  Ukraine  shall  need  to  spend  on  its  military.  

 

The   West’s   hesitance   to   offer   up   more   money   is   understandable,   if   one   considers   Ukraine’s  

haphazard   reform   efforts.   Politicians   took   a   month   to   form   a   coalition   government   after   the  

October  elections,  which   resulted   in   the   IMF  putting   its  programme  on  hold.  Nevertheless,   some  

progress  has  been  made,   like  simplifying  the  tax  code.  Nevertheless,  energy  remains  unreformed.  

   

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The  budget  for  2015  was  passed  only  at  4:30am  on  December  29th.  Currently,  the   IMF  is  back   in  

the  capital,  Kiev,    trying  to  revive  its  programme.  

 

Domestic   confidence   in   Ukraine’s   leadership   would   be   sapped   if   Ukraine   defaults,   roiling   the  

currency  market  again.  George  Soros,  a  financier,  is  arguing  for  aid  before  reforms  and  promoting  a  

$50   billion   package.   It   is   doubtful   that   this   large   sum   shall   be   found,   however   Soros   raises   a  

significant  question  regarding  Ukraine’s  importance,  for  the  Ukrainian  collapse  would  prove  Putin’s  

contention  that  Western  promises  mean    very  little  and    that  “change  in  the  post-­‐Soviet  world  leads  

only  to  pain”10.  

 

II. Conditionalities  

 

The  latest  review  on  conditionality  produced  by  the  IMF  came  out  in  2011.  While  it  stood  firm  in  its  

commitment   to   macro-­‐economically   vital   issues   (interest   rates,   exchange   rates,   etc)   and   to   the  

principles  of  fiscal  conservatism,  it  also  recognised  that  for  the  case  of  a  country  in  need  of  deeper  

reforms  to   labour  markets   (as  a  post-­‐soviet  economy  would),   the  “Washington  consensus”   list  of  

conditionalities   was   no   longer   as   critical   as   legal   and   structural   reforms.   The   Fund   realised   that  

taking  a  longer-­‐term  view,  as  opposed  to  a  stopgap  lender  to  smooth  over  yearly  spikes  in  volatility,  

was  a  better  strategy.  This  approach  to  the  Eurozone  crisis  provides  the  fund  with  more  flexibility  

with  regards  to  Ukraine:  supporting  the  Ukrainian  state  for  a  few  years  would  guarantee  repayment  

of  the  loan  much  more  effectively  than  any  other  measure,  least  of  all  denying  them  further  credit  

and  letting  them  lose  a  war.  In  this  conception  the  Fund  will  act  more  as  an  advisor  on  financial  and  

risk   matters,   provide   macroeconomic   policy   advice   and   continue   to   support   efforts   to   increase  

investment   and   other   needed   measures   to   help   stabilise   Ukraine’s   financial   position.   This   may  

include   the   provision   of   analysis   on   alternative   policies,   including   some   the   IMF   may   not   have  

considered  recommending.  Indeed  many  countries  are  left  with  a  high  amount  of  debt  after  going  

through  IMF  rescues  –  Greece  being  the  prime  example.    

 

   

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Indeed,  the  expression  “throwing  good  money  after  bad”  comes  to  mind:   if  the  IMF  can’t   impose  

conditionalities  like  the  ones  used  during  the  East  Asian  and  Latin  American  crises  of  the  1980s  and  

1990s,  it   is  likely  to  be  mainly  because  of  the  austerity  vs  stimulus  debate.  The  Budget  of  Ukraine  

was  identified  in  an  IMF  policy  paper  as  having  a  15  Billion  dollar  shortfall11,  which  must  be  plugged  

by  international  communities.  

 

III.  Bloc  Positions  and  voting  power  

 

There  are  24  Director  groups   in   the  Executive  board.  You,  delegate,  will   represent   the   totality  of  

this   group.   For   example,   the   director   for   the   Nordic   countries   will   represent   the   interests   and  

opinions  of  Sweden,  Norway,  Denmark,  Finland,  Latvia,  Lithuania,  Estonia,  and  Iceland,  for  a  totality  

of  3.4%12  of  the  voting  power,  which  reflects  their  shares  of  the  IMF’s  funds.  Other  delegates  will  

hold  single  countries.  The  delegates  from  the  USA,  France,  Japan,  Russia,  Saudi  Arabia,  the  United  

Kingdom,  Germany  and  China  will  represent  only  one  country.  Bear  in  mind  the  interventions  in  the  

IMF  your  countries  have  made,  their  domestic  political  situations  and  how  they  stand  on  the  issue  

of  austerity  vs  stimulus  and  their  geopolitical  stances  towards  the  situation  in  Ukraine.  

 

USA  –  with  16.75%  of  the  voting  power  it  is  the  single  largest  shareholder  of  the  Fund.  It  has  been  

instrumental   in   pushing   through   the   extraordinary   measures   to   aid   the   Ukraine   and   has   been  

disbursing  loans  and  aid  directly  to  Ukraine,  Most  recently  in  a  financial  assistance  package  worth  

US$2Billion   dollars13.   For   obvious   reasons,   it   is   likely   to   push   for   a   greater   loan   package   to   the  

Ukrainian  government.  They  have  reduced  the  budget  shortfall  from  US$15  Billion  to  a  mere  US$13  

Billion.  They  will  be  expected  to  lead  a  bloc  pushing  for  increased  budgetary  assistance  and  lenient  

conditions.  

 

EU   countries  –  although   there   is   currently  no   single   representative   for   the  European  Union   their  

stances   can   be   taken   as  moving   together,   particularly   given   the   European  nature   of   the  Ukraine  

problem  –  the  neighborhood  policy  and  the  Common  Foreign  and  Defense  Policy  have  come  down  

to  Juncker  pledging  another  US$2Billion  to  Ukraine14  this  year  from  the  EU,  reducing  the  shortfall  to  

US$11   Billion.   That   should   be   the   real   target   for   the   groups   pushing   for   the   loan.   Put   together,  

   

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France,  Germany  and  the  UK  have  14.39%  of  the  voting  power  (without  counting  the  other  25  EU  

members).  Naturally,  these  delegates  will  have  to  act  in  concert  to  secure  the  granting  of  the  loan  

on  friendly  terms.    

 

Russia  –  with  a  relatively  paltry  2.39%  of  the  vote,  Russia  will  face  an  uphill  battle  in  securing  the  

votes.  It  has  the  advantage  of  having  all  the  rules  on  its  side,  and  will  possibly  have  more  success  in  

arguing  for  reductions  of  quantity  and  harsher  terms,  although  its  opening  position  will  naturally  be  

that  too  much  money  has  already  been  handed  to  Ukraine  and  no  more  should  be  given.  With  the  

Russian  economy  set  to  shrink  by  5%  this  year15,  Russia  needs  to  ensure  a  favourable  outcome  for  

themselves  in  these  negotiations.  

 

China   –   With   a   fairly   respectable   3.81%   of   the   vote,   China   has   enough   independence   to   vote  

whichever  way   it   likes.   Given   that   its   not   part   of   any   specific   group,   it  will   be   one   of   the   easier  

pickups  for  either  side  of  the  debate.  China   is  very  much  a  believer   in  stimulus  economics  –  their  

stimulus   package   to   counter   the   financial   crisis   amounted   to   20%   of   Chinese   GDP   –   and   so   is  

unlikely   to   stick   to   austerity   very   strictly.   Geopolitical   reasons  may   impel   it   to   vote   one   way   or  

another  depending  on  the  arguments  of  the  blocs.  

 

Japan   –   fielding   6.23%   of   the   vote,   Shinzo   Abe’s   Japan   is   also   known   for   cooperating   with   the  

Ukrainians  –  to  the  tune  of  US$300  Million,  with  an  extra  16.3  million  in  grants.16  It  is  likely  to  vote  

with  the  pro-­‐loan  side.  

 

Saudi  Arabia  –  another  perennial  ally  of   the  west,   the  Saudis  are  known  to  engage   in  stimulus  to  

solve  political  crisis  more  than  economic  ones.  Wielding  2.8%  of  the  vote,  it  will  probably  be  a  good  

regional  ally  in  convincing  the  smaller  Gulf  States  to  vote  with  it.  

 

Groups  of  countries  –  the  rest  of  the  vote  –  the  “swing  states”  so  to  speak  –  are  contained  in  the  

various  groupings.  When  thinking  about  what  position  to  take,  make  sure  to  check  which  country  in  

your   group   has   the   largest   share   of   votes,   since   they   will   surely   vote   more   according   to   that  

country’s   preferences.   The   mainly   Caribbean   group   of   the   Bahamas,   St   Kitts,   etc   also   contains  

   

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Canada,   which   has   more   votes   than   the   rest   of   the   group   put   together.   That   delegate   should  

obviously   follow   Canada’s   foreign   policy   priorities,   not   least   because   Belize   doesn’t   have   any  

foreign  policy  priorities.  

 

                                                                                                                 

Reference  List  1  The  articles  of  agreement  are  akin  to  a  charter  –  you  can  find  the  articles  at  

https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/aa/    2  https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/aa/#a5s3    3  http://www.economicshelp.org/blog/7387/economics/washington-­‐consensus-­‐definition-­‐and-­‐criticism/  4  http://www.economicshelp.org/blog/7387/economics/washington-­‐consensus-­‐definition-­‐and-­‐criticism/  5  http://www.bu.edu/pardeeschool/files/2015/01/Austerity-­‐vs.-­‐Stimulus-­‐Working-­‐Paper.pdf  6  http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2015/02/06/ukraines-­‐currency-­‐has-­‐fallen-­‐50-­‐percent-­‐in-­‐two-­‐days/  7  http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2015/02/06/ukraines-­‐currency-­‐has-­‐fallen-­‐50-­‐percent-­‐in-­‐two-­‐days/  8  http://www.economist.com/news/europe/21639565-­‐without-­‐lot-­‐more-­‐western-­‐help-­‐ukraine-­‐faces-­‐default-­‐edge  9  http://www.economist.com/news/europe/21639565-­‐without-­‐lot-­‐more-­‐western-­‐help-­‐ukraine-­‐faces-­‐default-­‐edge  10  http://www.economist.com/news/europe/21639565-­‐without-­‐lot-­‐more-­‐western-­‐help-­‐ukraine-­‐faces-­‐default-­‐edge  11  http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-­‐12-­‐10/ukraine-­‐bonds-­‐slump-­‐as-­‐imf-­‐said-­‐to-­‐see-­‐15-­‐billion-­‐financing-­‐gap.html    12  The  full  table  of  voting  power  we  will  use  for  substantive  motions  can  be  found  at  the  following  link.  Please  familiarize  yourself  with  the  countries  you  will  represent,  their  stance  towards  the  IMF,  Ukraine  and  how  many  votes  your  group  carries.  https://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/memdir/eds.aspx    13  http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/57a8fa5e-­‐9b25-­‐11e4-­‐882d-­‐00144feabdc0.html?siteedition=uk    14  http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/3b5582fe-­‐9739-­‐11e4-­‐845a-­‐00144feabdc0.html    15  http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/544e25d0-­‐9fe6-­‐11e4-­‐9a74-­‐00144feab7de.html?siteedition=uk    16  http://www.kyivpost.com/content/ukraine/ambassador-­‐to-­‐ukraine-­‐japan-­‐to-­‐issue-­‐300-­‐million-­‐loan-­‐166-­‐million-­‐grant-­‐to-­‐ukraine-­‐in-­‐2015-­‐377901.html    

 

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Topic  B:  Income  inequality  through  fiscal  policy  reforms

Measuring  inequality  Income   inequality   has   recently   been   under   close   watch   from   economists   and   policy   makers  

worldwide,  who  indicate  it  as  one  of  the  most  relevant  and  pressing  issues  of  the  century.  But  what  

is  it  exactly  that  is  referred  to  as  "inequality"?  

Several  measures   have   been   developed   to   gauge   the   evenness   of   income   distribution,   the  most  

popular  of  which  being  by  far  the  Gini  coefficient.  

It   gauges   inequality  with   respect   to   an   ideal  of   equal   income  distribution   in  which  all   individuals  

earn   the   same.   The   Gini   coefficient   ranges   from   0,   representing   perfect   equality,   to   1.  While   a  

perfectly  equal  society   is  possible,  Gini  coefficient  of  1  can  exist  only  as  a  theoretical  proposition.  

The  maximum  inequality  possible  for  a  sustainable  society  from  a  purely  nutritional  point  of  view  

must  permit   the  population   to  have  at   least   a   subsistence   income.   Throughout  history,   very   few  

societies  ever  exceeded  a  Gini  coefficient  of  0.6.  [1]    

The  Gini  coefficient  is  usually  expressed  on  a  scale  out  of  100,  as  in  the  following  map.    

Considering  this  drawback,  a  more  significant  measure  of  inequality  is  provided  by  the  percentage  

of  maximum  inequality  possible  given  the  level  of  total  wealth  of  a  country.  Since  the  beginning  of  

the  20th  century,  inequality  as  expressed  by  this  metrics  has  steadily  declined.  This  holds  even  for  

pre-­‐tax  income,  showing  that  fiscal  policy  played  no  defining  role  in  the  trend.    

   

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However,  this  egalitarian  trend  must  not  be  taken  as  a  constant  for  the  future.  A  number  of  studies  

suggest  that  income  inequality  has  plateaued  at  a  historically  low  level,  in  spite  of  a  slight  reversal  

experienced   in   the   last   25   years   in   some   of   the   most   egalitarian   nations,   such   as   Sweden   and  

Denmark.  However,  in  a  wider  perspective  modern  European  nations  are  less  unequal  than  in  the  

past.  [2]  

Trends  of  global  inequality  Until  1800  mean  income,  that  is  GDP  per  capita,  did  not  exceed  1–5  subsistence,  defined  as  400  $  

Purchasing  Power  Parity.  While  mean   income   is  still  at  or   just  above  subsistence   level   in  some  of  

the  poorest  African  nations,   it  has   increased  since  1800  in  Europe,  North  America  and  elsewhere,  

particularly   since   the   half   of   the   20th   century.   However,   the   jury   is   still   out   on   whether   global  

inequality  has  been  decreasing,  due  to  the  different  measures  being  used  yielding  widely  different  

results.   An   accurate   study   of   world   inequality   should   mirror   the   analysis   of   inequality   within   a  

nation:   it  should   include  all  citizens  of  all  nations   in  the  world,  hence  allowing  us  to  gauge  global  

inequality.      

There   is   no   clear   consensus   as   to  whether   global   inequality   has   decreased,   but   there   is   at   least  

agreement  that  it  has  not  increased.  

The   proposition   that  world   income   inequality   has   not   increased   since   the   1970s  may   come   as   a  

surprise,  since  it  is  often  argued  that  it  has  continued  to  increase.  However,  that  statement  refers  

to  an  inequality  concept  that  is  not  very  meaningful.  If  we  take  the  income  per  head  in  each  nation  

and  estimate  Gini  coefficients,   then   ‘un-­‐weighted’   inequality,  as   it   is  usually  called,  has   increased  

since  1950,  from  about  0.45  to  0.55.  This  approach  gives  the  per  capita  income  of  each  nation  the  

same  weight;  Iceland,  with  a  quarter  of  a  million  inhabitants,  has  the  same  weight  as  China  or  India.  

Yet,   it   is   beyond   doubt   that   the   size   of   the  

economies   matters   when   it   comes   to  

obtaining   a   correct   measure   of   global  

inequality.  By   taking   this   in  consideration,  we  

arrive  at   ‘weighted   inequality’.  By  this  metric,  

we  arrive  at  a  decline  in  inequality:  the  global  

weighted  Gini  coefficient  falls  from  0.55  to  0.5  

   

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since  1950.  Therefore,  we  came  to  conclude  that  while  the  population-­‐weighted  measure  indicates  

a  fall   in  world  income  inequality,  the  un-­‐weighted  one  shows  an  increase.    This  is  not  unexpected  

give   the   explosive   rise   in   GDP   per   capita   in   populous   nations   such   as   India,   China,   Vietnam   and  

Indonesia.  [3]  

However,  if  we  consider  data  over  the  last  decade,  income  inequality  appears  to  be  on  the  rise  in  

advanced  and  developing  economies  alike.  This  phenomenon  can  be  attributed  to  a  vast  array  of  

factors,   such   as   globalisation   and   liberalisation   of   factor   and   product   markets;   skill-­‐biased  

technological   change;   increases   in   labor   force   participation   by   low-­‐skilled  workers;   declining   top  

marginal   income  tax  rates;   increasing  bargaining  power  of  high  earners;  and  the  growing  share  of  

high-­‐income  couples  and  single-­‐parent  households.  [4]  

Economic  effects  of  inequality    However,   it  was  and  still   is  highly  debated  whether   inequality   is   indeed  detrimental   to  economic  

development  and,   if   so,  whether   there   is  a  necessary   trade-­‐between  growth  and   inequality,  with  

developed  countries  being  destined  on  a  path  of  income  disparity.    

Empirical  evidence  seems  to   indicate  that  rising   inequality  can  harm  macroeconomic  stability  and  

growth.   Recent   work   points   out   the   detrimental   effects   of   high   inequality   on   the   pace   and  

sustainability   of   growth.  Moreover,   some   researchers   go   as   far   as   attributing   to   rising   inequality  

part  of  the  causes  of  the  global  financial  crisis.  

Moreover,   opinion   polls   suggest   that   wide   income   gaps   are   correlated   with   increasing   public  

expectations  for  redistributive  action  by  governments,  and  more  so   in  crisis-­‐stricken  countries.  At  

this   time   when   public   debt   ratios   in   advanced   economies   are   worryingly   high   and   budgets   in  

developing  economies  appear  more  vulnerable,   fiscal   restraint   came   to  be  an   important  priority.  

From   this   trends   derive   the   pivotal   role   of   sensitivity   to   distributional   concerns   in   designing  

consolidation  packages.    

Seen  from  this  angle,  income  inequality  is  elevated  to  the  status  of  crucial  macroeconomic  concern  

for   country   authorities,   and   it   is   the   Fund's   responsibility   to   accordingly   seek   to   understand   the  

macroeconomic  effects  of  inequality.  In  addition,  in  its  policy  advice,  the  Fund  should  bear  in  mind  

the   effects   of   fiscal   policy   on   redistribution   and   their   consistency   with   the   goals   of   country  

authorities  [5]  

   

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Moving  on  to  specify  the  state  of  research  on  the  links  between  inequality  and  the  economy,  it  has  

been  found  that  higher  rates  of  health  and  social  problems,  lower  rates  of  social  goods,  lower  level  

of  economic  utility  in  society  from  resources  devoted  on  high-­‐end  consumption,  and  even  a  lower  

level   of   economic   growth   when   human   capital   is   neglected   for   high-­‐end   consumption   are   all  

phenomena   correlated   to   income   gaps.   In   addition,   in   the   20  most   industrialised   countries,   life  

expectancy  is  lower  in  States  where  weighted  inequality  is  higher.  

 

British   researchers   Richard   G.  Wilkinson   and   Kate   Pickett   argue   that     rates   of   health   and   social  

problems  (obesity,  mental  illness,  homicides,  teenage  births,  incarceration,  child  conflict,  drug  use),  

and  lower  rates  of  social  goods  (life  expectancy  by  country,  educational  performance,  trust  among  

strangers,  women's  status,  social  mobility,  even  numbers  of  patents  issued)  are  found  in  countries  

and  states  with  higher  inequality.    

In   their   research,   they   also   point   out   the   links   between   inequality,   social   stratification   and  

worryingly   high   levels   of   psychosocial   stress   and   status   anxiety,   in   turn   tightly   correlated   with  

depression,   chemical   dependency,   less   community   life,   parenting   problems   and   stress-­‐related  

diseases.  [6]  

 

Current   and   past   academic   work   shows   that   income   inequality   and   social   cohesion   inversely  

correlate.  In  more  equal  societies,  metrics  of  trust  are  significantly  higher,  as  are  measures  of  social  

capital   (the   benefits   of   goodwill,   fellowship,   mutual   sympathy   and   social   connectedness   among  

groups  making  up  social  units).  This  link  suggest  that  greater  community  involvement  is  likely  in  less  

unequal  countries,  whereas  homicide  rates  are  consistently  lower.  [7]  

Higher  income  inequality  leads  to  a  diminished  of  all  social,  cultural,  and  civic  participation  among  

the   less   wealthy,   with   no   evidence   of   substitution   with   less   expensive   forms   of   active   social  

participation.    

Not  only  homicide,  but  crime  in  general  tends  to  be  less  likely  in  countries  characterised  by  a  more  

even  income  distribution  also.  Most  researchers  looking  into  the  relationship  have  concentrated  on  

violent  crimes,  and  more  than  fifty  studies  suggest  tendencies  for  violence  to  be  more  common  in  

societies  where  income  differences  are  larger.    

   

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From   a   more   strictly   macroeconomic   viewpoint,   income   inequality   lowers   aggregate   demand,  

leading  to  more  and  more  consumers,  formerly  classified  as  part  of  the  middle  class,  being  forced  

to  substantially  cut  back  on  luxury  and  essential  goods  and  services.  This  has  detrimental  effects  on  

GDP  and  unemployment  through  reduced  production  and  consumption,  possibly  exacerbating  pre-­‐

existing  economic  downturns.    

 

Economists   employed   with   the   IMF   have   long   argued   that   the   effects   of   economic   polarisation  

stretch   far   beyond   the   short   term.   In   fact,   income   and  wealth   inequality   are   inversely   linked   to  

future   mid-­‐term   and   long-­‐term   GDP   growth.   Moreover,   the   consequent,   strong   demand   for  

redistribution   is   likely   to   put   the   country's   finances   under   strain,   while   a   larger   share   of   the  

population   fails   to  have  access   to  productive   resources.  Therefore,  high   inequality   is  a  hindrance  

not   only   to   economic   prosperity,   but   also   to   the   stability   of   political   institutions   and   to   human  

capital  development.  [8]  

 

These  findings,  attributable  to  the  work  of  David  Castells-­‐Quintana,  substantiate  the  view  according  

to   which   unemployment,   in   itself   an   engine   of   inequality,   is   harmful   to   economic   growth.  

Unemployment   must   be   dealt   with   as   an   integral   part   of   income   inequality,   due   to   the   strong  

interconnection  between  the  two.    

Unemployment  can  hinder  prosperity  not  only  because   leads  to  waste  of  human  capital,  but  also  

because   it  exacerbates   redistributive  pressures  and  subsequent  distortions,   is   capable  of  pushing  

people  to  poverty,  constrains  liquidity,  limits  labour  mobility  and  erodes  self-­‐esteem,  hence  causing  

social  dislocation,  unrest  and  conflict.  [9]  

 Policies  aiming  at  controlling  unemployment  and  in  particular  at  reducing  its  inequality-­‐associated  

effects   support   economic   growth   mainly   through   their   combined   action   on   these   interlacing  

phenomena  and  should  therefore  be  carefully  analysed  by  the  Board.    

 

Other  pieces  of  work  published  by  IMF  economists  A.J.Berg  and  D.  Ostry  show  a  strong  connection  

between   inequality   reduction   and   subsequent   economic   growth.   Their   findings     suggest   that,  

among   the   factors   driving   the   duration   of   growth   spells   in   developed   and   developing   countries,  

   

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income   equality   is   not   only   beneficial,   but   more   so     than   trade   openness,   sound   political  

institutions,   or   foreign   investment   considered   as   isolated   variables.   [10]   Therefore   a   connection  

between  income  equality  and  long-­‐term  growth  does  exist  and  must  play  a  significant  role   in  any  

report  on  the  phenomenon  by  the  Fund.    

 

Another  view  comes   from  the   institutional   school  of  Economics,  particularly  embodied  by  papers  

from   Alesina   and   Rodrik   (1994)   and   Persson   and   Tabellini   (1994).   They   developed   a   Political  

Economics   approach,   arguing   that   inequality   hurts   development   also   through   the   institutional  

channel.   [11],[12]   This   is   achieved   by   generating   pressure   to   adopt   redistributive   policies   that   are  

often   ill-­‐advised   and   geared   towards   a   populist   approach,   hence  producing   an   adverse   effect   on  

investment  (foreign  and  national)  as  well  as  GDP  growth.    

 

How  fiscal  policy  affects  income  inequality    Redistributive  fiscal  policies  can  affect  private  decisions  in  various  ways,  including  decisions  to  seek  

employment,   to   increase   labor   effort,   and   to   save   and   invest.   These,   as   previously   stated,   can  

potentially   influence  both  growth  of  economic  activity,  either  positively  and  negatively.  Given  the  

Fund’s  mandate   to   promote   growth   and   stability,   it   is   important   that   the   potential   tradeoffs   or  

complementarities   between   fiscal   redistribution   and   growth   are  well   understood   and   taken   into  

account   in   the   practice   of   the   Board.   In   particular,   there   is   a   need   to   identify   fiscal   instruments  

capable   of   reaching   distributional   objectives   at   a  minimum   cost,   having   in  mind   the   concept   of  

economic  efficiency.    

 In  doing  so,  country  experience,  as  discussed  in  the  literature  as  well  as   in  IMF  technical  reports,  

should  be  widely  referred  to.  [13]  

 

Reducing   inequality  and  poverty,  and  promoting  equality  are  widely  recognised  as  pivotal  macro-­‐

economic  objectives.  The  recent  trends  that  may  point  to  a  widening  income  gap  between  the  rich  

and   poor   have   highlighted   the   need   to   tailor   fiscal   policy   to   accommodate   for   greater   focus   on  

income  inequality.  

 

   

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A  crucial  goal   in   the  pursuit  of  effective  policy   is   the  achievement  of  both  horizontal  and  vertical  

equity.   Horizontal   equity   is   understood   as   a   guideline   for   tax   and   benefits   policy,   whereby  

individuals   in   the   same   financial   brackets   have   the   same   fundamental   ability   to   pay   taxes,   and,  

therefore,  should  be  taxed  at  the  same  rate.  

On   the   other   hand,   the   principle   of   vertical   equity   states   that,  when   individuals   are   in   different  

circumstances  and  have  different  abilities  to  pay,  they  should  not  be  taxed  at  the  same  rate,  hence  

causing  a  direct  redistributive  effect  through  increasing  tax  rates  as  income  increases.    

The  vast  majority  of  tax  systems  in  developed  countries  tries  to  achieve  both  horizontal  and  vertical  

equity.   Income  tax   is   calculated  as  a  percentage  of  earnings,  whereby   the   tax   rate   rises   together  

with  income.  Therefore  individuals  earning  comparable  incomes  will  be  taxed  at  the  same  rate,  and  

those   earning   more   or   less   will   pay   more   or   less   tax   not   only   in   absolute   value,   but   also   as   a  

percentage   of   income.   The   system   often   implements   tax   brackets,  with   a   tax-­‐free   allowance,   so  

that  at  very  low  income  no  tax  is  paid,  and  at  very  high  income  the  upper  tax  band  will  apply.  This  

implies  that  a  high-­‐earning  individual  will  both  take  advantage  of  the  same  tax-­‐free  allowance  as  a  

lower-­‐earning  taxpayer,  and  pay  progressively  higher  tax  rates  on  increasing  shares  of  her  income  

as   it   is  allocated  among   tax  brackets.   In  addition,  governments  can   intervene   to  promote  equity,  

and   reduce   inequality   and   poverty,   through   the   tax   benefits   system.   This   means   employing   a  

benefits  system  which  takes  proportionately  more  tax  from  those  on  higher  levels  of  income,  and  

redistributes  welfare  benefits  to  those  on  lower  incomes.  

The  basis  for  redistribution  is  original  pre-­‐tax  income,  which  will  be  adjusted  in  a  number  of  ways  

through  the  tax  system  in  order  to  either  increase  or  decrease  post-­‐tax  earnings.  

For  example,  often  cash  benefits  are  implemented  so  as  to  alleviate  situations  of  extremely  low  or  

zero  original  income.  

Moreover,  contributory  and  non-­‐contributory  benefits  are  in  place  in  various  fiscal  systems.  

Contributory  benefits,  such  as  pensions  and  job-­‐seekers'  allowance,  entail   individual  contributions  

to  some  incarnation  of  a  national  insurance  fund.  

On   the   other   hand   non-­‐contributory   benefits,   such   as   housing   benefit,   income   support,   career  

benefit  and  child  support,  do  not  require  any  previous  contribution.  Generally,  means-­‐testing  is  in  

place  in  order  to  gauge  the  distribution  of  benefits  that  are  hence  handed  out  on  a  need  basis.[14]  

 

   

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 A  powerful  redistributive  fiscal  tool  is  income  tax.  It  can  present  itself  in  a  move  or  less  progressive  

fashion  according  to  national  policy  decisions,  but  it  is  nevertheless  adopted  by  the  vast  majority  of  

developed  countries.      

It  is  usually  built  according  to  rising  ercentage  taxes  ranging  from  tax-­‐free  allowances  for  extremely  

low  incomes  to  rates  exceeding  50%  allocated  to  high  incomes.    

Direct   taxes  are  especially  popular  with  developed  countries  where   redistributive  pressure   is   the  

highest  and  voters  express  a  concern  for  inequality  thus  lobbying  politicians  for  the  introduction  of  

such  measures  that  can  cause  the  income  gap  to  shrink.  Moreover,  direct  taxes  are  generally  more  

effective  in  advanced  economies  due  to  higher  GDP  and  hence  a  higher  tax  base  from  which  they  

can  be  levied.    

 

In   contrast,   indirect   taxes   are   characterised   by   a   flat   rate   and   generally   refer   to   transaction.   A  

typical   example   of   an   indirect   tax   is   the   Value   Added   Tax,   ultimately   weighing   on   transactions  

between   final   customers   and   retailers.   This   class   of   taxes   is   considered   regressive   because   it   is  

applied   regardless   of   income   brackets   and   on   general   consumption   goods   such   as   foodstuffs,  

   

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liquors  and  tobacco.  Therefore,  as  lower  earners  spend  a  larger  share  of  income  on  such  categories  

of  goods,   indirect   taxes  weigh  heavier  on   them,  hence   resulting   in  a   regressive  effect  on   income  

distribution  (i.e.  they  redistribute  wealth  towards  high  earners).  Indirect  taxes  are  the  main  source  

of  funding  for  developing  economies  due  to  their  being  widely  applicable  to  necessary  goods.  This  

allows   government   to   levy   large   amount   of   taxes   out   of   a   population   that   does   not   display   an  

income  high  enough  to  constitute  a  sufficient  tax  base  for  income-­‐tax  prevalent  financing.    

Past  IMF  measures  and  policy  analysis  The  Fund  has  long  acknowledged  the  link  between  income  distribution  and  fiscal  policy.  In  the  late  

1980s   a   growing   recognition   and   discussion   of   the   potential   effects   of   macroeconomic   and  

structural   adjustment   programs   on   poverty   and   inequality   was   initiated   by   the   IMF   and   it   was  

followed  by  the  implementation  of  dedicated  structures.    

These   discussions   highlighted   the   importance   of   social   safety   nets   to   protect   the   poor   and  

safeguard  their  access  to  essential  public  services,  such  as  primary  education  and  healthcare,  hence  

the  call  for  dedicating  substantive  portions  of  government  budgets  to  pro-­‐poor  programmes.    

The   International  Monetary   Fund  published  numerous   reports   on   the   topic   if   addressing   income  

inequality   through   fiscal   policy.   The  most   recent   document,   after   recognising   the   pivotal   role   of  

fiscal   policy   as   the   main   tool   through   which   income   redistribution   can   be   designed,   issues  

recommendations  tailored  to  different  classes  of  economies.  

More  recently,  the  line  of  work  dedicated  to  fiscal  policy  and  equality  was  revived  and  subsequently  

expanded,  coming  include  jobs  and  growth;  the  macroeconomic  gains  from  greater  gender  equity,  

and   fiscal  policies  aimed  at   this  goal,  have  also  been  covered   in   recent  work.  Current  and   future  

analysis  by   the   IMF  should   take   into  account   recent   trends   in   income  distribution  and   the  use  of  

redistributive   fiscal   instruments   in   both   advanced   and   developing   economies,   with   all   the  

differences  that  characterise  them.    

 

Common   practices   with   respect   to   fiscal   policies   aimed   at   tackling   inequality   take   on   different  

forms   depending   on   the   level   of   country   development.   Specifically,   options   for   redistributive  

policies  that  help  maximise  efficiency,  in  terms  of  their  effects  on  incentives  to  work  and  save,  are  

listed  below.    

   

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In  advanced  economies:  gradual  phasing  out  of  benefits  as  incomes  rise  to  avoid  adverse  effects  on  

employment;   raising   age   limits   for   access   to   retirement   in   pension   systems,   with   adequate  

provisions   for   the   poor   whose   life   expectancy   could   be   shorter;   improving   the   access   of   lower-­‐

income   groups   to   higher   education   and   safeguarding   universal   access   to   health   services;  

implementing   progressive   personal   income   tax   (PIT)   rate   structures;   and   reducing   regressive   tax  

exemptions.    

 

On  the  other  hand,  in  developing  economies  the  following  policies  are  currently  broadly  advised    as  

best   practices:   consolidating   social   assistance   programs;   introducing   and   expanding   conditional  

cash   transfer   programs   to   the   poor   while   improving   administrative   penetration;   expanding  

noncontributory  social  pensions;  improving  access  of  low-­‐income  families  to  education  and  health  

services;   and   expanding   coverage   of   the   progressive   PIT.     Innovative   approaches,   such   as   the  

greater  use  of  taxes  on  property  and  energy  (such  as  carbon  taxes)  could  also  be  considered  in  both  

advanced  and  developing  economies.  

 

Furthermore,  in  1999  the  Fund  established  the  Poverty  Reduction  and  Growth  Facility  (PRGF),  with  

the  objective  of  mainstreaming  wealth  redistribution  in  its  lending  operation.  This  organism  used  to  

act   by   means   of   country-­‐specific   Poverty   Reduction   Strategy   Papers,   aimed   at   reflecting   closely  

each  country's  poverty  reduction  and  growth  priorities  and,  provided  that  macroeconomic  stability  

was   safeguarded,   seeking   to   adapt   to   changes   in   country   circumstances   and   poverty   reduction  

objectives.    

However,  despite  some  facilities  still  remaining  operational,  since  2009  the  PRGF  has  been  replaced  

by   the   Extended   Credit   Facility   (ECF)   currently     extending   credit   with   a   zero   interest   rate   and   a  

grace  period  of  5½  years,  and  a  final  maturity  of  10  years.  Conditionality  of  this   lending  is  geared  

towards   macroeconomic   policy   monitoring,   assessing   metrics   such   as   monetary   aggregates,  

international   reserves,   fiscal   balances,   and   external   borrowing   coherently   with   the   country’s  

program  objectives.  ECF-­‐supported  programs  aim  to  safeguard  social  and  other  priority  spending,  

recognised   as   crucial   targets   to   tackle   inequality.   The   programme's   main   aim   is   to   grant   the  

maximum  flexibility  with  respect  to  the  countries'  own  social  policy  goal  and  it  has  been  achieved  

by  allowing  the  program  documents  of  countries  that  have  a  valid  poverty  reduction  strategy  paper  

   

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covering   a   year   from   the  date  of   the  program   review   to  describe  how   the   fiscal   budget   and   the  

planned  structural  reforms  advance  implementation  of  a  country’s  poverty  reduction  strategy.  [15]  

 

Although   the   IMF   does   not   explicitly   endorse   any   specific   redistributive   policy,   in   its   latest  

documents  it  does  outline  a  policy  framework  including  technical  directives  in  order  to  effectively  

address  income  inequality,  acknowledged  as  significantly  harming  growth.  

The  Fund  recognises  that  fiscal  policy  can  achieve  redistributive  goals  at  minimal  efficiency  cost  and  

issues  its  recommendations  accordingly.  

 

 Redistributive   fiscal   policy   should   be   consistent   with   an   appropriate   level   and   composition   of  

public   spending   and   fiscal   sustainability.   The   optimal   level   of   spending   suggested   by   economic  

theory   is  achieved  when  the  social  benefit  gained  by  spending  a  unit  of   income  equals   the  social  

cost  of  financing  this  spending.  Since  this  applies  to  each  category  of  spending,  for  a  given  source  of  

financing,  the  social  benefit  of  spending  should  also  be  equal  across  spending  categories.  This  gives  

rise   to   three   orders   of   implications.   First,   the   optimal   level   of   redistributive   spending   will   be  

country-­‐specific,  as  it  depends  on  preferences  and  costs  (including  the  efficiency  costs  of  taxation).  

Second,   the   benefits   from   additional   spending   on   redistribution   should   be   tested   against   the  

benefits   of   decreased   spending   in   other   areas,   such   as   public   infrastructure,   potentially   causing  

significant   damage   to   growth.   Third,   redistributive   fiscal   policy   should   be   consistent   with   the  

viability   of   the   national   budget,   a   cardinal   element   of   support   for   economic   growth,   and   the  

capacity  to  finance  higher  spending  on  redistribution  over  the  longer  term.  Fiscal  redistribution  can  

usually  most  efficiently  be  achieved  either  through  direct  instruments  such  as  taxation  or  provision  

of  benefits  gauged  on  income.  In  fact  fiscal  redistribution,  by  its  very  nature,  consists  of  resources  

from  higher-­‐income  to  lower-­‐income  households  through  taxes  and  transfers.  [16]  

 

 On   the   tax   side,   personal   direct   income   taxes,   as   already   mentioned,   are   often   preferable   for  

redistribution  than  indirect  consumption  taxes  because  they  directly  take  account  of  the  ability  of  

households  or  individuals  to  pay.  Considering  spending,  it  has  been  found  that  direct  cash  transfers  

to   poor   households   are   usually   superior   to   indirect   methods   such   as   price   subsidies.   Better  

   

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targeting  of   transfers   reduces   their  burden  on  the  national  budget  and  the   tax   levels   required   to  

finance  them,  thus  achieving  distributional  objectives  at  a  lower  efficiency  cost.    

 

Another   fundamental   recommendation   issued   by   the   Fund   is   that   the   impact   of   tax   and  

expenditure  policies  on  redistribution  should  be  evaluated   jointly.  While   it   is  true  that  both  taxes  

and  spending  can  have  redistributive  implications,  their  relative  trade-­‐offs  between  efficiency  and  

redistribution  will  usually  differ.  Therefore,  where  the  efficiency  cost  of  redistribution  through  taxes  

is   relatively   large,   the   IMF   suggests   that   instead   of   achieving   direct   redistributive   results,   these  

taxes   should   rather   focus   on   raising   revenue   to   finance   other   tools.   For   instance,   an   increase   in  

regressive   taxes   can   still   be   the  best   approach   to   supporting   redistribution   if   they   finance  public  

expenditure  of  highly  redistributive  nature.  

 

In   the   Fund's   past   papers,   particular   attention   is   devoted   to   means-­‐tested   programs,   that   is  

schemes   granting   benefits   conditional   on   need.   The   general   consensus   is   to   restrict   eligibility   or  

benefit   levels   according   to   income   in   order   achieve   redistributive   objectives   at   a   lower   cost   by  

avoiding   the   waste   of   resources   implied   by   providing   benefits   to   the   entire   population.   These  

programs  should  be  implemented  in  a  manner  that  avoids  adverse  effects  on  labor  markets,  so  as  

to  encourage  active   job-­‐seeking  by  the  unemployed.  This  goal   is  commonly  achieved  by  gradually  

phasing  out  benefits  as  incomes  rise.  

   However,  means-­‐testing   can   prove   to   be   far   from   ideals   in   countries  with   a   strong   tradition   of  

universal  benefit  provision  and  the  capacity  to  raise  high  levels  of  revenues  in  an  efficient  manner  

with  broad  popular  support.    

In  this  cases  the  Fund  has  in  the  past  suggested  the  use  of  tagging,  a  technique  linking  transfers  to  

characteristics   that   are   strongly   correlated   with   income.   The   more   strongly   correlated   are   the  

characteristics  with  income  or  other  characteristics  of  need,  the  lower  the  fiscal  cost  of  achieving  a  

given  amount  of  redistribution.  

 However,   this   tool   leads   to   inefficiencies   in   the   form   of   mis-­‐coverage   and   under-­‐coverage   as  

characteristics  used  as  “tags”  are  only  imperfectly  correlated  with  need.    

   

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Therefore,  when  means-­‐testing  and  tagging  fail  to  reach  their  goals,  additional  programmes  may  be  

needed   to   protect   the   excluded   poor.  Moreover,   to   be   effective,   tags   should   not   be   exposed   to  

opportunistic  manipulation  by  households  and  should  be  easily  verifiable.  [17]  

 

Another   central   topic   is   that   of   efficient   revenue   collection   by   means   of   indirect   tax   design.  

Efficiency   and   costs   of   administration   and   compliance   are   typically   adopted   with   the   aim   of  

providing   uniformity   to   broad-­‐based   consumption   taxes   and   avoiding   differential   rates   across  

goods  and  services.  Revenues  collected  via  efficient  indirect  taxation  can  then  finance  progressive  

spending.  

 

The   use   of   Fiscal   policy   is   also   advocated   as   a   means   to   promote   equality   of   opportunity   and  

greater  intergenerational  mobility.  Spending  focused  on  increasing  access  to  education  and  health  

can  greatly  improve  social  mobility  and  help  stop  transmission  of  disadvantage  across  generations,  

while   at   the   same   time   favouring   the   progressiveness   of   public   spending.   Moreover,   improved  

education  and  health  outcomes  among   lower   income  groups  will   lower   future   income   inequality  

thus  allowing  a  progressive  tapering  of  redistributive  measures.      

 

The  appropriate  mix  of  direct  and  indirect  measures  will  ultimately  be  conditional  on  administrative  

capacity.   The   effective   use   of   direct   cash   transfers   and   taxes   imposes   the   prerequisite   of   a  

government  able  to  access  information  on  individual  incomes,  as  well  as  the  administrative  capacity  

to   process   this   information,   collect   taxes,   and   pay   transfer   benefits   to   households.   When   such  

capacity  is  limited,  as  is  the  case  in  many  developing  economies,  the  focus  should  shift  on  indirect  

instruments   (such  as   tagging  and  progressive   indirect   taxes)   in  order   to  achieve   redistribution.   In  

general,  advanced  and  emerging  economies  will  profit  from  a  wider  range  of  options,  in  particular  

concerning  expenditure.    

Therefore,   IMF  policy   recommendations  are   intrinsically   tied   to   structural   reforms  of   institutions,  

especially  for  developing  economies.  

 

 Another  important  implication  of  these  considerations  is  that  the  economic  costs  of  fiscal  policy  to  

should   be   compared  with   other   policy   instruments,   such   as   labor  market   regulations.  Minimum  

   

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wages  and  employment  protection  regulations,  for  example,  impose  economic  costs  on  the  private  

sector.  However,  the  impact  of  minimum  wages  on  inequality  is  ambiguous,  with  effects  that  cancel  

each  other  out  on  the  employment  ratio  and  wage  dispersion.  

 Even   when   effective   at   increasing   wages   for   low-­‐wage   workers,   they   proved   to   be   a   rather  

ineffective  weapon  against  inequality,  since  they  will  accrue  equally  to  non-­‐poor  households.    

 Given  the  ambiguous  effects  of  direct  wage  and  employment  restrictions,  fiscal  instruments,  such  

as   carefully-­‐planned   in-­‐work   benefits,   yield   in   most   cases   positively   superior   results   as   far   as  

efficiency  in  redistribution  is  concerned        

 As  a  consequence,  no  effect  of  redistributive  fiscal  policies  can  be  assessed  separately  from  these  

labour-­‐market  regulations.  For  example,  in-­‐work  benefits  will,  in  most  cases,  increase  labour  supply  

and   reduce   low-­‐skilled  wages,   skewing  benefit   incidence   in   favour  of  employers.   This,   in   spite  of  

being  an  important  example  of  possible  drawbacks  deriving  from  seemingly  effective  policies,  has  

been  registered  to  occur  when  minimum  wages  are  relatively  low  and  do  not  impose  an  excessively  

constrictive  floor.  [18]  

Main  issues  to  be  addressed  by  delegates    - Impact  of  inequality  on  economic  growth  and  welfare.  - Use  of  direct  taxation  as  a  redistributive  tool.  - Trade-­‐off  between  fiscal  solidity  and  redistributive  spending.  - Promotion  of  efficient  redistributive  expenditure.  - Funding  schemes  for  redistributive  policies.  - Conditionality  of  loans  for  income  inequality  reduction.  - Assessment  of  results  of  current  IMF  facilities  aimed  at  tackling  inequality.    - Labour  market  regulation  and  fiscal  policy  - Institutional  reforms  and  inequali

   

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Notes    [1]  Karl  Gunnar  Persson,  “Economic  History  of  Europe”,  Chapter  11.  [2]  ibidem  [3]  ibidem  [4]  International  Monetary  Fund  (Approved  by  Sanjeev  Gupta),  “Fiscal  Policy  and  Income  Inequality”,  January  23  2014,  Introduction.    [5]  International  Monetary  Fund  (Approved  by  Sanjeev  Gupta),  “Fiscal  Policy  and  Income  Inequality”,  January  23  2014,  Introduction.  [6] Kate  Pickett  and  Richard  J.  Wilkinson,  “The  Spirit  Level”. [7]  ibidem  [8]  David  Castells-­‐Quintana  and  Vicente  Royuela,  "Unemployment  and  long-­‐run  economic  growth:  The  role  of  income  inequality  and  urbanisation",  2012. [9]  ibidem [10]  Andrew  Berg  and  Jonathan  Ostry,  "Inequality  and  Unsustainable  Growth:  Two  Sides  of  the  Same  Coin"  IMF  Staff  Discussion  Note  No.  SDN/11/08,  2011. [11]  Alberto  Alesina  and  Dani  Rodrick,  "Distributive  Politics  and  Economic  Growth",  “Quarterly  Journal  of  Economics”,  May  1994. [12]  Torsten  Persson  and  Guido  Tabellini,  "Is  Inequality  Harmful  for  Growth?”,  American  Economic  Review,  1994.  [13]  International  Monetary  Fund  (Approved  by  Sanjeev  Gupta),  “Fiscal  Policy  and  Income  Inequality”,  January  23  2014,  Fiscal  Redistribution.  [14]http://www.economicsonline.co.uk/Managing_the_economy/Policies_to_reduce_inequality_and_poverty.html  [15]  https://www.imf.org/external/np/exr/facts/prsp.htm  [16]  International  Monetary  Fund  (Approved  by  Sanjeev  Gupta),  “Fiscal  Policy  and  Income  Inequality”,  January  23  2014,  Design  of  Efficient  Redistributive  Fiscal  Policy.  [18]  ibidem  [19]  ibidem                        

   

© London International Model United Nations 2015  LIMUN | Charity No. 1096197 www.limun.org.uk  

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Bibliography    Karl  Gunnar  Persson,  “Economic  History  of  Europe”.    International  Monetary  Fund  (Approved  by  Sanjeev  Gupta),  “Fiscal  Policy  and  Income  Inequality”,  January  23  2014.    Kate  Pickett  and  Richard  J.  Wilkinson,  “The  Spirit  Level”.    David  Castells-­‐Quintana  and  Vicente  Royuela,  "Unemployment  and  long-­‐run  economic  growth:  The  role  of  income  inequality  and  urbanisation". Andrew  Berg  and  Jonathan  Ostry,  "Inequality  and  Unsustainable  Growth:  Two  Sides  of  the  Same  Coin".    Alberto  Alesina  and  Dani  Rodrick,  "Distributive  Politics  and  Economic  Growth",  “Quarterly  Journal  of  Economics”. Torsten  Persson  and  Guido  Tabellini,  "Is  Inequality  Harmful  for  Growth?”.    International  Monetary  Fund  (Approved  by  Carlo  Cottarelli),  “Income  Inequality  and  Fiscal  Policy”,  June  28  2012.    Almas  Heshmati,  Jungsuk  Kim,  “A  Survey  of  the  Role  of  Fiscal  Policy  in  Addressing  Income  Inequality,  Poverty  Reduction  and  Inclusive  Growth”,  April  2014.