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Table of Contents Table of Contents ......................................................................................................................................... 1
Welcome Letter ............................................................................................................................................ 1
Introduction to IMF ..................................................................................................................................... 2 History ........................................................................................................................................................................ 2 Mandate ..................................................................................................................................................................... 4 Functions ................................................................................................................................................................... 5
Poverty reduction in low-‐income countries ....................................................................................... 7
Dissemination of Information & Research .......................................................................................... 7
Collaboration with the WB & WTO ........................................................................................................ 7 Governance & Decision-‐making ............................................................................................................. 8
Topic A: IMF response to the urgent needs of member states under armed conflicts with a special focus on Ukraine, particularly within the context of policy debate regarding austerity versus stimulus ......................................................................................................................... 9 Washington Consensus: ..................................................................................................................................... 11 Ukraine and austerity ........................................................................................................................................ 12 The Economy of Ukraine ................................................................................................................................... 12
Topic B: Income inequality through fiscal policy reforms ......................................................... 19
Measuring inequality .............................................................................................................................. 19 Trends of global inequality ................................................................................................................... 20
Economic effects of inequality ............................................................................................................. 21 How fiscal policy affects income inequality ..................................................................................... 24
Past IMF measures and policy analysis ............................................................................................. 27
Main issues to be addressed by delegates ........................................................................................ 32 Notes ............................................................................................................................................................. 33
Bibliography ............................................................................................................................................... 34
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Welcome Letter Dear Delegates, Congratulations on being selected by your teams for the most demanding and intensive of
committees at this prestigious conference! We expect nothing short of excellence from you. Having
been promised the cream of the crop from all teams present at this committee, we have decided to
challenge you with the most relevant and urgent topics in the international agenda at present. This
study guide should be your starting point for your research – Needless to say, there is much, much
more information available, which you can field in committee to your advantage. All committees
are judged by the quality of the resolutions they produce, and so it falls on you to be adequately
prepared.
We are pleased to be your chairs for the IMF this year. As one of the most powerful and
controversial organs of the international system, I hope you’ll take the chance to understand why in
today’s world money is power and how the international financial superstructure is at times more
relevant to geopolitics than aircraft carriers and tank columns.
Wishing you all the best, Felipe Cuello Marco Graziano
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Introduction to IMF
History Before the international system was set up in the postwar era, countries attempted to implement
isolationist policies – barriers to trade, currency war and seizures of foreign currency from their
citizens. As public policy to relieve the Great Depression, they were fantastically counterproductive.
The decline in world trade exacerbated the crisis and destroyed the primitive globalization that had
been occurring until 1927. Employment and living standards tanked. Entire industries, newly bereft
of export markets, saw their business models collapse under the new conditions.
After the war the system of exchange rates and international payments was rebuilt under the aegis
of the World Bank group, including the IMF, enabling the resurgence of international trade. The
Bretton Woods accords established the rules of international trade to reduce volatility in currency
markets and providing stability for the businesses that chose to operate internationally.
Representatives of 45 countries came together in Bretton Woods, NH in the northeastern United
States and agreed on a framework for international economic cooperation. The IMF formally came
into being in December 1945, with 29 member states signing its Articles of Agreement.1 In 1947,
France, where much of the war had been fought – and hence where destruction was most grievous
– was the first country to borrow from the IMF, leading to the creation of the Marshall plan in
recognition of the precarious economic conditions in postwar Europe.
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Figure 1: IMF governance structure. Taken from www.imf.org/external/about/govconstruct
Membership of the Fund expanded in the late 1950s and during the 1960s as the decolonization
movement (to which your colleagues in SPECPOL bear inheritance) many African countries, India
and newly independent nations in the Caribbean and Oceania applied for membership, mainly
former French and British colonies. However the new conflict between the Capitalist west and the
Communist east kept out Eastern European and communist south and East Asian countries from
the fund. Between 1945 and 1971, member states kept their currencies pegged to the dollar at a
fixed value, while the dollar was in turn pegged to gold.
In 1971, the Nixon administration suspended the convertibility of the dollar into gold, giving rise to
the current system of floating exchange rates. This change largely reflected the increasingly
dynamic nature of international trade and developments in economic theory, and is widely
considered one of the main economic events of world history.
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Mandate The IMF is an independent international organization. Wholly owned by its member states, the
IMF’s objective is to promote world economic stability and growth. Member states are
shareholders in the fund, providing the IMF’s working capital through quota subscriptions. In
return, the IMF provides its members with macroeconomic policy analysis, financing in times of
balance of payments crisis, and technical assistance and training to improve national economic
management. The United Nations (UN) considers the IMF as a Specialized Agency
With which the UN has an established working relationship. As such, The IMF has permanent
observer at the UN. Article I sets out the mandate of the IMF as follows:
“To promote international monetary cooperation through a permanent institution which provides
the machinery for consultation and collaboration on international monetary problems;
To facilitate the expansion and balanced growth of international trade, and to contribute thereby
to the promotion and maintenance of high levels of employment and real income and to the
development of the productive resources of all members as primary objectives of economic policy;
To promote exchange stability, to maintain orderly exchange arrangements among members, and
to avoid competitive exchange depreciation;
To assist in the establishment of a multilateral system of payments in respect of current
transactions between members and in the elimination of foreign exchange restrictions that hamper
the growth of world trade;
To give confidence to members by making the general resources of the IMF temporarily available to
them under adequate safeguards, thus providing them with opportunity to correct maladjustments
in their balance of payments without resorting to measures destructive of national or
international prosperity; and
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To shorten the duration and lessen the degree of disequilibrium in the international balances of
payments of members.”
Functions The IMF is multifaceted in its approach to achieving the goals set out in the mandate. For example:
Surveillance over Members’ Economic Policies
When a state becomes a member of the IMF, they agree to enact economic policy recipes in line
with the philosophy and aims of the IMF. They also give the IMF legal authority to enforce these
obligations. It is effectively the only organization in the world whose mandate includes the regular
examination of economic policy and circumstance of almost every nation on the planet.
Financing Temporary Balance of Payments Needs
The International Monetary Fund is, in a deep sense, just that: a fund. A pot of money with a
secretariat to manage it and a deliberative assembly of its investors to determine what to do with
the funds. Its purpose is to correct monetary imbalances -‐The Articles of Agreement empower the
IMF to assist member states that have a balance of payments crises (when they have to pay for
something today and won’t have the money until next year). By providing this temporary respite,
countries can more effectively plan their expenditures and refine their policy to avoid future
mistakes of this nature. If this sounds like the “Lender of last resort” role a central bank plays in the
national sphere, its because that’s exactly what the IMF is meant to do. Whereas in the national
sphere the Central bank has unlimited power to emit currency and avoid balance of payment crises
(bank runs and so on).
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Figure 2: Value of an SDR. Taken from https://www.imf.org/external/np/tre/sdr/sdrbasket.htm
The IMF has a virtually limitless amount of “Special Drawing rights” which compose the fund itself.
Although the amount of SDR isn’t endless, like the power of a central bank to print its own
currency, there are enough SDR in the fund to bail out any member state of any currency crisis they
might be faced with. As per the table above, one SDR is roughly US¢66 (sixty-‐six cents), 11 pence,
12 yen and 42 eurocents. This basket adds up to about a US $1.50. However an SDR is not currency
in itself – its nature is a topic of much discussion among economists (is it credit? Is it money? It’s an
SDR!). Hence, when a country is experiencing a currency crisis or a balance of payments crisis (and
hence needs dollars/euros/yen/Pounds to shore up their own currency, or to pay whatever bill
sparked the balance of payments crisis). However there are controversial aspects to these bailouts,
namely the conditionalities, which we will discuss later.
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Poverty reduction in low-‐income countries Contrary to structural adjustment plans or dealing with currency crises, which can sometimes
be rather harsh on the countries receiving them, The IMF also provides concessional loans to
low-‐income member countries (usually newer states like Kosovo or South Sudan) for these
countries’ governments to get going and in most other cases for fighting poverty. This is
usually coupled with efforts to engage the global investment community to participate in the
purchase of the member state’s bonds, humanitarian donations and the like. Under this aegis
we could also mention two debt relief initiatives the Fund spearheads: The HIPC (heavily
indebted poor countries) and MDRI (multilateral debt relief, whereby debt forgiveness and
cancellation are performed.
Dissemination of Information & Research Every employee of the IMF is either a Ph.D. in Economics or is well on their way to obtaining one.
As such, analysis of member states’ policies and statistical data isn’t limited to the forum of the IMF
itself. Country briefs are widely read, not just by other macroeconomists and central bankers but
also by the global financial community and investment class. “Public goods” databases are
maintained and regularly updated, providing a resource for other researchers around the world to
use in their work. The Board of Governors and Executive Board routinely commission studies from
this world-‐class secretariat of economic gurus.
Collaboration with the WB & WTO Two other bodies were created at Bretton Woods: The World Bank and the General Agreement on
Tariffs and Trade (GATT). While the GATT would have to wait 5 decades to come into full force as
an international deliberative institution (the WTO), it was instrumental in setting up the framework
of globalization and the re-‐establishment of multilateral trade deals as an instrument of economic
policy. If the IMF is the world’s Central bank, the World Bank is its finance ministry and the WTO its
trade department. Without going into great depth, as delegates you should consider appealing in
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your resolution to actions by these other bodies to complement whatever strategy you decide to
implement.
Governance & Decision-‐making
The Fund’s managing director and secretariat are tasked with implementing the wishes of the
Board of Governors and the Executive Board (that’s you, delegate!). There are two committees
tasked with advising the governors and executives: the International Monetary and Financial
Committee (IMFC) and the Development Committee. This is where the economists of the fund work
and carry out the tasks which the deliberative bodies ask of them. While the Board of Governors is
technically the highest decision making body, it is rare for them to contradict the wishes of the
executives, much less the managing director and the rest of the secretariat. There is one Governor
and one Alternate governor for every one of the Fund’s 185 member states – they are tasked with
explaining to the secretariat any moves in the country’s monetary or fiscal policies.
Diplomatic skill is sometimes required – being the Governor for Argentina must be a challenge, for
example, having to sit in front of superior economists and keep a straight face while defending
whichever policy is being implemented after having been bailed out by the IMF so many times. In
sum, you must keep this structure in mind as you debate the issues at hand – harnessing the power
of the other parts of the fund will be key to solving the issues promptly and effectively.
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Topic A: IMF response to the urgent needs of member states under armed conflicts with a special focus on Ukraine, particularly within the context of policy debate regarding austerity versus stimulus
I. Introduction
The relationship between Ukraine and the IMF begins with the fall of the Soviet Empire and the
nation’s accession to the Articles of Agreement in 1992. Relations were never very good, however,
as with many of the post-‐soviet states, highly illiberal policies were part of the deep economic
structure of the country. Despite receiving almost US$3 Billion by 1999, funds were frozen various
times for noncompliance with their monetary targets and commitments to reform the structure of
the economy. Though the IMF is notorious for slashing the share of GDP controlled by the state,
Ukraine proved to be impervious to its best efforts until the fall of Yanukovych’s government in
2014.
From then, the IMF has disbursed amounts to Ukraine second only to the Greek bailout during the
euro crisis. While the rule of thumb is to never disburse more than twice the amount of a country’s
quota to the IMF (annually), the US$18 Billion handed to Ukraine in 2014 was 8 times the amount
of its quota.
This situation is made even more egregious by the articles of agreement. As clause b of article 3 in
section V states:
“(b) A member shall be entitled to purchase the currencies of other members from the Fund
in exchange for an equivalent amount of its own currency subject to the following conditions:
• (i) the member’s use of the general resources of the Fund would be in accordance with the
provisions of this Agreement and the policies adopted under them;
• (ii) the member represents that it has a need to make the purchase because of its balance
of payments or its reserve position or developments in its reserves;
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• (iii) the proposed purchase would be a reserve tranche purchase, or would not cause the
Fund’s holdings of the purchasing member’s currency to exceed two hundred percent of its
quota;
• (iv) the Fund has not previously declared under Section 5 of this Article, Article VI, Section
1, or Article XXVI, Section 2 (a) that the member desiring to purchase is ineligible to use the
general resources of the Fund.”2
The offenders here are points iii and iv – not only has Ukraine already been given an amount
exceeding 200% of its quota, but it is doubtful that a country in the grip of war against itself and a
power greater than itself will be able to pay down the debt any time soon, if ever.
To make matters worse, the IMF is still reeling in the scandal of having been too harsh on Greece:
an internal document was leaked to the press revealing that it was expected that Greece’s
unemployment rate wouldn’t surpass 15%. It is 25%. Hence the usual argument that the IMF is
fixing the country’s economy brings in another dimension to this problem. Since the foundation of
the IMF the expectation that loans would be repaid quickly was always part of the deal. It always
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included a list of 10 policy requirements, known as the “Washington consensus” (cf. definition
below): fiscal discipline, reordering public expenditure, tax reform, interest rate liberalisation,
floating the exchange rate, liberalising trade rules, liberalising foreign investment rules, privatising
state owned assets, deregulating the markets and upholding property rights.
Washington Consensus:
Supported by prominent economists and international organisations (e.g., IMF, the World Bank, the
EU and the US), the Washington Consensus refers to a set of broadly free market economic ideas.
In essence, it “advocates, free trade, floating exchange rates, free markets and macroeconomic
stability”3. In order to determine policy towards economic development in South East Asia, Latin
America and other countries, the Washington Consensus was utilised.
Implications:
• IMF bailouts tended to involve free market reforms as a condition of receiving money.
• Belief in free trade suggests countries, should specialise in goods / services where they have a
comparative advantage. This may suggest that developing economies need to continue
producing primary products.
• Support of free trade through WTO and NAFTA (North Atlantic Free Trade Association) reduces
tariff barriers.
Overview:
In 1989, John Williamson’s ten principles, including the aforementioned ten sets of relatively
specific policy recommendations, have diverged from the original intention. Nevertheless,
regardless of the failings of the free market, there is still merit in considering each of the ten
principles. On the other hand, there needs to be greater discrimination and less blanket
implementation, for example, the privatisation of a state-‐owned car industry may be good, but
water supplies may not. Perhaps the most interesting development is the rise of the Indian and
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Chinese economies, especially how the Chinese investment is playing a considerable role in
enabling economic development within developing economies.
The Washington Consensus is in part tied to the strength of the US economy, though the US
economy is likely to decline in relative terms4.
Ukraine and austerity
In the case of Ukraine, however, austerity cannot be imposed5. A war-‐torn country that is losing 3
provinces’ worth of tax receipts would surely collapse. Indeed many industries have instead been
nationalised rather than liberalised after the loans. Ukraine’s currency has already lost most of its
value and its doubtful that economic output will increase anytime soon, even if the war ended
tomorrow. The pretence of repayment is rather clearly fantastical.
However, it is also the first time the Fund has taken a side in a conflict such as this. Never before
has the IMF made loans to countries at war, or picked a side in civil wars. Economic considerations
must sometimes take second place to geopolitical ones – or rather, economics must act as an arm
of geopolitics. Indeed, the precedent of the Greek bailout is already set: the geopolitical aim of
keeping Greece in the Eurozone took precedence over the rulebook. The rulebook on austerity and
the Washington consensus policies could also be seen in this new way – it is more important to
ensure the survival of Ukraine than to ensure it raises its taxes by the right amount.
The exceptional nature of this situation is what led us to choose this topic for discussion.
The Economy of Ukraine
Since the 4th February 2015, the Ukrainian Hryvnia had collapsed by the 6th February by 50%6.
Evidently, as seen in the graph below, it has been falling for some time.
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Ukraine has been mismanaged on a world-‐historical scale by oligarchs who, for decades, have
thieved and skimmed billions off the country's non-‐existent growth. As impossible as it seems,
Ukraine's economy has actually shrunk since the end of communism in 1991. Today, its war with
Russia is destroying the little that is left of the economy. It’ is not just that the rebel strongholds in
the factory-‐heavy industrialised east have deprived Ukraine of a quarter of its industrial capacity. It
is that it cannot afford to fight against what is still it's biggest trading partner—Russia. One does not
usually trade a lot with the country they are going to battle against, but Ukraine's economy is so
dependent on Russia's that it still trades more with it than any other country7. That means anything
that hurts Russia, such as lower oil prices or sanctions, just reflects on the Ukrainian economy, thus
burying it deeper in the financial hole.
In other words, Ukraine does not have a lot of foreign currency, and does not possess many ways to
earn more of it. Now Ukraine is fighting its biggest trading partner, whilst separatists have taken
refuge and confiscated its industrial heartland (Luhansk and Donetsk Oblasts).
Let us not forget that,the Ukrainian economy has been going down hill for a while-‐ with things
escalating when the Crimean conflict broke out early 2014 and the Maidan protests over
Yanukovych’s rule. In 2014 the hryvnia had already lost its value by half, and in the past week it has
collapsed by a further 50%. GDP is still shrinking.
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Foreign-‐currency reserves fell by a
quarter in December 2014, leaving
just $7.5 billion-‐ the equivalent to
only five weeks’ worth of import
cover. The central-‐bank head talks
of a “full-‐blown financial crisis” 8 .
2015 promise $11 billion of debt
repayments, including a $3 million
Russian bond which falls due in
December 2015, but contains an
early-‐repayment provision if
Ukraine’s debt-‐to-‐GDP ratio
exceeds 60%. Bond yields are
soaring: Moody’s, a rating agency,
calls the chances of a Ukrainian default “exceedingly high”9.
Though official statistics are not out yet, the 60% limit has almost certainly been breached. Russia
states it can demand repayment, though it insists it does not want Ukraine to default. If Russia calls
the bond, other creditors could also demand immediate repayment. This debt is a useful
negotiating tool for the Kremlin. Ukraine needs more help: the EU is offering €1.8 billion ($2.1
billion); America is pledging $2 billion. Nevertheless, Ukraine’s financing gap for 2015 is estimated
at $15 billion. The war with the separatists wastes $10 million per day, according to Poroshenko-‐
the current president of Ukraine. And with the war escalating instead of abating, who knows how
much more Ukraine shall need to spend on its military.
The West’s hesitance to offer up more money is understandable, if one considers Ukraine’s
haphazard reform efforts. Politicians took a month to form a coalition government after the
October elections, which resulted in the IMF putting its programme on hold. Nevertheless, some
progress has been made, like simplifying the tax code. Nevertheless, energy remains unreformed.
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The budget for 2015 was passed only at 4:30am on December 29th. Currently, the IMF is back in
the capital, Kiev, trying to revive its programme.
Domestic confidence in Ukraine’s leadership would be sapped if Ukraine defaults, roiling the
currency market again. George Soros, a financier, is arguing for aid before reforms and promoting a
$50 billion package. It is doubtful that this large sum shall be found, however Soros raises a
significant question regarding Ukraine’s importance, for the Ukrainian collapse would prove Putin’s
contention that Western promises mean very little and that “change in the post-‐Soviet world leads
only to pain”10.
II. Conditionalities
The latest review on conditionality produced by the IMF came out in 2011. While it stood firm in its
commitment to macro-‐economically vital issues (interest rates, exchange rates, etc) and to the
principles of fiscal conservatism, it also recognised that for the case of a country in need of deeper
reforms to labour markets (as a post-‐soviet economy would), the “Washington consensus” list of
conditionalities was no longer as critical as legal and structural reforms. The Fund realised that
taking a longer-‐term view, as opposed to a stopgap lender to smooth over yearly spikes in volatility,
was a better strategy. This approach to the Eurozone crisis provides the fund with more flexibility
with regards to Ukraine: supporting the Ukrainian state for a few years would guarantee repayment
of the loan much more effectively than any other measure, least of all denying them further credit
and letting them lose a war. In this conception the Fund will act more as an advisor on financial and
risk matters, provide macroeconomic policy advice and continue to support efforts to increase
investment and other needed measures to help stabilise Ukraine’s financial position. This may
include the provision of analysis on alternative policies, including some the IMF may not have
considered recommending. Indeed many countries are left with a high amount of debt after going
through IMF rescues – Greece being the prime example.
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Indeed, the expression “throwing good money after bad” comes to mind: if the IMF can’t impose
conditionalities like the ones used during the East Asian and Latin American crises of the 1980s and
1990s, it is likely to be mainly because of the austerity vs stimulus debate. The Budget of Ukraine
was identified in an IMF policy paper as having a 15 Billion dollar shortfall11, which must be plugged
by international communities.
III. Bloc Positions and voting power
There are 24 Director groups in the Executive board. You, delegate, will represent the totality of
this group. For example, the director for the Nordic countries will represent the interests and
opinions of Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Finland, Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia, and Iceland, for a totality
of 3.4%12 of the voting power, which reflects their shares of the IMF’s funds. Other delegates will
hold single countries. The delegates from the USA, France, Japan, Russia, Saudi Arabia, the United
Kingdom, Germany and China will represent only one country. Bear in mind the interventions in the
IMF your countries have made, their domestic political situations and how they stand on the issue
of austerity vs stimulus and their geopolitical stances towards the situation in Ukraine.
USA – with 16.75% of the voting power it is the single largest shareholder of the Fund. It has been
instrumental in pushing through the extraordinary measures to aid the Ukraine and has been
disbursing loans and aid directly to Ukraine, Most recently in a financial assistance package worth
US$2Billion dollars13. For obvious reasons, it is likely to push for a greater loan package to the
Ukrainian government. They have reduced the budget shortfall from US$15 Billion to a mere US$13
Billion. They will be expected to lead a bloc pushing for increased budgetary assistance and lenient
conditions.
EU countries – although there is currently no single representative for the European Union their
stances can be taken as moving together, particularly given the European nature of the Ukraine
problem – the neighborhood policy and the Common Foreign and Defense Policy have come down
to Juncker pledging another US$2Billion to Ukraine14 this year from the EU, reducing the shortfall to
US$11 Billion. That should be the real target for the groups pushing for the loan. Put together,
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France, Germany and the UK have 14.39% of the voting power (without counting the other 25 EU
members). Naturally, these delegates will have to act in concert to secure the granting of the loan
on friendly terms.
Russia – with a relatively paltry 2.39% of the vote, Russia will face an uphill battle in securing the
votes. It has the advantage of having all the rules on its side, and will possibly have more success in
arguing for reductions of quantity and harsher terms, although its opening position will naturally be
that too much money has already been handed to Ukraine and no more should be given. With the
Russian economy set to shrink by 5% this year15, Russia needs to ensure a favourable outcome for
themselves in these negotiations.
China – With a fairly respectable 3.81% of the vote, China has enough independence to vote
whichever way it likes. Given that its not part of any specific group, it will be one of the easier
pickups for either side of the debate. China is very much a believer in stimulus economics – their
stimulus package to counter the financial crisis amounted to 20% of Chinese GDP – and so is
unlikely to stick to austerity very strictly. Geopolitical reasons may impel it to vote one way or
another depending on the arguments of the blocs.
Japan – fielding 6.23% of the vote, Shinzo Abe’s Japan is also known for cooperating with the
Ukrainians – to the tune of US$300 Million, with an extra 16.3 million in grants.16 It is likely to vote
with the pro-‐loan side.
Saudi Arabia – another perennial ally of the west, the Saudis are known to engage in stimulus to
solve political crisis more than economic ones. Wielding 2.8% of the vote, it will probably be a good
regional ally in convincing the smaller Gulf States to vote with it.
Groups of countries – the rest of the vote – the “swing states” so to speak – are contained in the
various groupings. When thinking about what position to take, make sure to check which country in
your group has the largest share of votes, since they will surely vote more according to that
country’s preferences. The mainly Caribbean group of the Bahamas, St Kitts, etc also contains
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Canada, which has more votes than the rest of the group put together. That delegate should
obviously follow Canada’s foreign policy priorities, not least because Belize doesn’t have any
foreign policy priorities.
Reference List 1 The articles of agreement are akin to a charter – you can find the articles at
https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/aa/ 2 https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/aa/#a5s3 3 http://www.economicshelp.org/blog/7387/economics/washington-‐consensus-‐definition-‐and-‐criticism/ 4 http://www.economicshelp.org/blog/7387/economics/washington-‐consensus-‐definition-‐and-‐criticism/ 5 http://www.bu.edu/pardeeschool/files/2015/01/Austerity-‐vs.-‐Stimulus-‐Working-‐Paper.pdf 6 http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2015/02/06/ukraines-‐currency-‐has-‐fallen-‐50-‐percent-‐in-‐two-‐days/ 7 http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2015/02/06/ukraines-‐currency-‐has-‐fallen-‐50-‐percent-‐in-‐two-‐days/ 8 http://www.economist.com/news/europe/21639565-‐without-‐lot-‐more-‐western-‐help-‐ukraine-‐faces-‐default-‐edge 9 http://www.economist.com/news/europe/21639565-‐without-‐lot-‐more-‐western-‐help-‐ukraine-‐faces-‐default-‐edge 10 http://www.economist.com/news/europe/21639565-‐without-‐lot-‐more-‐western-‐help-‐ukraine-‐faces-‐default-‐edge 11 http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-‐12-‐10/ukraine-‐bonds-‐slump-‐as-‐imf-‐said-‐to-‐see-‐15-‐billion-‐financing-‐gap.html 12 The full table of voting power we will use for substantive motions can be found at the following link. Please familiarize yourself with the countries you will represent, their stance towards the IMF, Ukraine and how many votes your group carries. https://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/memdir/eds.aspx 13 http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/57a8fa5e-‐9b25-‐11e4-‐882d-‐00144feabdc0.html?siteedition=uk 14 http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/3b5582fe-‐9739-‐11e4-‐845a-‐00144feabdc0.html 15 http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/544e25d0-‐9fe6-‐11e4-‐9a74-‐00144feab7de.html?siteedition=uk 16 http://www.kyivpost.com/content/ukraine/ambassador-‐to-‐ukraine-‐japan-‐to-‐issue-‐300-‐million-‐loan-‐166-‐million-‐grant-‐to-‐ukraine-‐in-‐2015-‐377901.html
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Topic B: Income inequality through fiscal policy reforms
Measuring inequality Income inequality has recently been under close watch from economists and policy makers
worldwide, who indicate it as one of the most relevant and pressing issues of the century. But what
is it exactly that is referred to as "inequality"?
Several measures have been developed to gauge the evenness of income distribution, the most
popular of which being by far the Gini coefficient.
It gauges inequality with respect to an ideal of equal income distribution in which all individuals
earn the same. The Gini coefficient ranges from 0, representing perfect equality, to 1. While a
perfectly equal society is possible, Gini coefficient of 1 can exist only as a theoretical proposition.
The maximum inequality possible for a sustainable society from a purely nutritional point of view
must permit the population to have at least a subsistence income. Throughout history, very few
societies ever exceeded a Gini coefficient of 0.6. [1]
The Gini coefficient is usually expressed on a scale out of 100, as in the following map.
Considering this drawback, a more significant measure of inequality is provided by the percentage
of maximum inequality possible given the level of total wealth of a country. Since the beginning of
the 20th century, inequality as expressed by this metrics has steadily declined. This holds even for
pre-‐tax income, showing that fiscal policy played no defining role in the trend.
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However, this egalitarian trend must not be taken as a constant for the future. A number of studies
suggest that income inequality has plateaued at a historically low level, in spite of a slight reversal
experienced in the last 25 years in some of the most egalitarian nations, such as Sweden and
Denmark. However, in a wider perspective modern European nations are less unequal than in the
past. [2]
Trends of global inequality Until 1800 mean income, that is GDP per capita, did not exceed 1–5 subsistence, defined as 400 $
Purchasing Power Parity. While mean income is still at or just above subsistence level in some of
the poorest African nations, it has increased since 1800 in Europe, North America and elsewhere,
particularly since the half of the 20th century. However, the jury is still out on whether global
inequality has been decreasing, due to the different measures being used yielding widely different
results. An accurate study of world inequality should mirror the analysis of inequality within a
nation: it should include all citizens of all nations in the world, hence allowing us to gauge global
inequality.
There is no clear consensus as to whether global inequality has decreased, but there is at least
agreement that it has not increased.
The proposition that world income inequality has not increased since the 1970s may come as a
surprise, since it is often argued that it has continued to increase. However, that statement refers
to an inequality concept that is not very meaningful. If we take the income per head in each nation
and estimate Gini coefficients, then ‘un-‐weighted’ inequality, as it is usually called, has increased
since 1950, from about 0.45 to 0.55. This approach gives the per capita income of each nation the
same weight; Iceland, with a quarter of a million inhabitants, has the same weight as China or India.
Yet, it is beyond doubt that the size of the
economies matters when it comes to
obtaining a correct measure of global
inequality. By taking this in consideration, we
arrive at ‘weighted inequality’. By this metric,
we arrive at a decline in inequality: the global
weighted Gini coefficient falls from 0.55 to 0.5
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since 1950. Therefore, we came to conclude that while the population-‐weighted measure indicates
a fall in world income inequality, the un-‐weighted one shows an increase. This is not unexpected
give the explosive rise in GDP per capita in populous nations such as India, China, Vietnam and
Indonesia. [3]
However, if we consider data over the last decade, income inequality appears to be on the rise in
advanced and developing economies alike. This phenomenon can be attributed to a vast array of
factors, such as globalisation and liberalisation of factor and product markets; skill-‐biased
technological change; increases in labor force participation by low-‐skilled workers; declining top
marginal income tax rates; increasing bargaining power of high earners; and the growing share of
high-‐income couples and single-‐parent households. [4]
Economic effects of inequality However, it was and still is highly debated whether inequality is indeed detrimental to economic
development and, if so, whether there is a necessary trade-‐between growth and inequality, with
developed countries being destined on a path of income disparity.
Empirical evidence seems to indicate that rising inequality can harm macroeconomic stability and
growth. Recent work points out the detrimental effects of high inequality on the pace and
sustainability of growth. Moreover, some researchers go as far as attributing to rising inequality
part of the causes of the global financial crisis.
Moreover, opinion polls suggest that wide income gaps are correlated with increasing public
expectations for redistributive action by governments, and more so in crisis-‐stricken countries. At
this time when public debt ratios in advanced economies are worryingly high and budgets in
developing economies appear more vulnerable, fiscal restraint came to be an important priority.
From this trends derive the pivotal role of sensitivity to distributional concerns in designing
consolidation packages.
Seen from this angle, income inequality is elevated to the status of crucial macroeconomic concern
for country authorities, and it is the Fund's responsibility to accordingly seek to understand the
macroeconomic effects of inequality. In addition, in its policy advice, the Fund should bear in mind
the effects of fiscal policy on redistribution and their consistency with the goals of country
authorities [5]
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Moving on to specify the state of research on the links between inequality and the economy, it has
been found that higher rates of health and social problems, lower rates of social goods, lower level
of economic utility in society from resources devoted on high-‐end consumption, and even a lower
level of economic growth when human capital is neglected for high-‐end consumption are all
phenomena correlated to income gaps. In addition, in the 20 most industrialised countries, life
expectancy is lower in States where weighted inequality is higher.
British researchers Richard G. Wilkinson and Kate Pickett argue that rates of health and social
problems (obesity, mental illness, homicides, teenage births, incarceration, child conflict, drug use),
and lower rates of social goods (life expectancy by country, educational performance, trust among
strangers, women's status, social mobility, even numbers of patents issued) are found in countries
and states with higher inequality.
In their research, they also point out the links between inequality, social stratification and
worryingly high levels of psychosocial stress and status anxiety, in turn tightly correlated with
depression, chemical dependency, less community life, parenting problems and stress-‐related
diseases. [6]
Current and past academic work shows that income inequality and social cohesion inversely
correlate. In more equal societies, metrics of trust are significantly higher, as are measures of social
capital (the benefits of goodwill, fellowship, mutual sympathy and social connectedness among
groups making up social units). This link suggest that greater community involvement is likely in less
unequal countries, whereas homicide rates are consistently lower. [7]
Higher income inequality leads to a diminished of all social, cultural, and civic participation among
the less wealthy, with no evidence of substitution with less expensive forms of active social
participation.
Not only homicide, but crime in general tends to be less likely in countries characterised by a more
even income distribution also. Most researchers looking into the relationship have concentrated on
violent crimes, and more than fifty studies suggest tendencies for violence to be more common in
societies where income differences are larger.
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From a more strictly macroeconomic viewpoint, income inequality lowers aggregate demand,
leading to more and more consumers, formerly classified as part of the middle class, being forced
to substantially cut back on luxury and essential goods and services. This has detrimental effects on
GDP and unemployment through reduced production and consumption, possibly exacerbating pre-‐
existing economic downturns.
Economists employed with the IMF have long argued that the effects of economic polarisation
stretch far beyond the short term. In fact, income and wealth inequality are inversely linked to
future mid-‐term and long-‐term GDP growth. Moreover, the consequent, strong demand for
redistribution is likely to put the country's finances under strain, while a larger share of the
population fails to have access to productive resources. Therefore, high inequality is a hindrance
not only to economic prosperity, but also to the stability of political institutions and to human
capital development. [8]
These findings, attributable to the work of David Castells-‐Quintana, substantiate the view according
to which unemployment, in itself an engine of inequality, is harmful to economic growth.
Unemployment must be dealt with as an integral part of income inequality, due to the strong
interconnection between the two.
Unemployment can hinder prosperity not only because leads to waste of human capital, but also
because it exacerbates redistributive pressures and subsequent distortions, is capable of pushing
people to poverty, constrains liquidity, limits labour mobility and erodes self-‐esteem, hence causing
social dislocation, unrest and conflict. [9]
Policies aiming at controlling unemployment and in particular at reducing its inequality-‐associated
effects support economic growth mainly through their combined action on these interlacing
phenomena and should therefore be carefully analysed by the Board.
Other pieces of work published by IMF economists A.J.Berg and D. Ostry show a strong connection
between inequality reduction and subsequent economic growth. Their findings suggest that,
among the factors driving the duration of growth spells in developed and developing countries,
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income equality is not only beneficial, but more so than trade openness, sound political
institutions, or foreign investment considered as isolated variables. [10] Therefore a connection
between income equality and long-‐term growth does exist and must play a significant role in any
report on the phenomenon by the Fund.
Another view comes from the institutional school of Economics, particularly embodied by papers
from Alesina and Rodrik (1994) and Persson and Tabellini (1994). They developed a Political
Economics approach, arguing that inequality hurts development also through the institutional
channel. [11],[12] This is achieved by generating pressure to adopt redistributive policies that are
often ill-‐advised and geared towards a populist approach, hence producing an adverse effect on
investment (foreign and national) as well as GDP growth.
How fiscal policy affects income inequality Redistributive fiscal policies can affect private decisions in various ways, including decisions to seek
employment, to increase labor effort, and to save and invest. These, as previously stated, can
potentially influence both growth of economic activity, either positively and negatively. Given the
Fund’s mandate to promote growth and stability, it is important that the potential tradeoffs or
complementarities between fiscal redistribution and growth are well understood and taken into
account in the practice of the Board. In particular, there is a need to identify fiscal instruments
capable of reaching distributional objectives at a minimum cost, having in mind the concept of
economic efficiency.
In doing so, country experience, as discussed in the literature as well as in IMF technical reports,
should be widely referred to. [13]
Reducing inequality and poverty, and promoting equality are widely recognised as pivotal macro-‐
economic objectives. The recent trends that may point to a widening income gap between the rich
and poor have highlighted the need to tailor fiscal policy to accommodate for greater focus on
income inequality.
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A crucial goal in the pursuit of effective policy is the achievement of both horizontal and vertical
equity. Horizontal equity is understood as a guideline for tax and benefits policy, whereby
individuals in the same financial brackets have the same fundamental ability to pay taxes, and,
therefore, should be taxed at the same rate.
On the other hand, the principle of vertical equity states that, when individuals are in different
circumstances and have different abilities to pay, they should not be taxed at the same rate, hence
causing a direct redistributive effect through increasing tax rates as income increases.
The vast majority of tax systems in developed countries tries to achieve both horizontal and vertical
equity. Income tax is calculated as a percentage of earnings, whereby the tax rate rises together
with income. Therefore individuals earning comparable incomes will be taxed at the same rate, and
those earning more or less will pay more or less tax not only in absolute value, but also as a
percentage of income. The system often implements tax brackets, with a tax-‐free allowance, so
that at very low income no tax is paid, and at very high income the upper tax band will apply. This
implies that a high-‐earning individual will both take advantage of the same tax-‐free allowance as a
lower-‐earning taxpayer, and pay progressively higher tax rates on increasing shares of her income
as it is allocated among tax brackets. In addition, governments can intervene to promote equity,
and reduce inequality and poverty, through the tax benefits system. This means employing a
benefits system which takes proportionately more tax from those on higher levels of income, and
redistributes welfare benefits to those on lower incomes.
The basis for redistribution is original pre-‐tax income, which will be adjusted in a number of ways
through the tax system in order to either increase or decrease post-‐tax earnings.
For example, often cash benefits are implemented so as to alleviate situations of extremely low or
zero original income.
Moreover, contributory and non-‐contributory benefits are in place in various fiscal systems.
Contributory benefits, such as pensions and job-‐seekers' allowance, entail individual contributions
to some incarnation of a national insurance fund.
On the other hand non-‐contributory benefits, such as housing benefit, income support, career
benefit and child support, do not require any previous contribution. Generally, means-‐testing is in
place in order to gauge the distribution of benefits that are hence handed out on a need basis.[14]
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A powerful redistributive fiscal tool is income tax. It can present itself in a move or less progressive
fashion according to national policy decisions, but it is nevertheless adopted by the vast majority of
developed countries.
It is usually built according to rising ercentage taxes ranging from tax-‐free allowances for extremely
low incomes to rates exceeding 50% allocated to high incomes.
Direct taxes are especially popular with developed countries where redistributive pressure is the
highest and voters express a concern for inequality thus lobbying politicians for the introduction of
such measures that can cause the income gap to shrink. Moreover, direct taxes are generally more
effective in advanced economies due to higher GDP and hence a higher tax base from which they
can be levied.
In contrast, indirect taxes are characterised by a flat rate and generally refer to transaction. A
typical example of an indirect tax is the Value Added Tax, ultimately weighing on transactions
between final customers and retailers. This class of taxes is considered regressive because it is
applied regardless of income brackets and on general consumption goods such as foodstuffs,
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liquors and tobacco. Therefore, as lower earners spend a larger share of income on such categories
of goods, indirect taxes weigh heavier on them, hence resulting in a regressive effect on income
distribution (i.e. they redistribute wealth towards high earners). Indirect taxes are the main source
of funding for developing economies due to their being widely applicable to necessary goods. This
allows government to levy large amount of taxes out of a population that does not display an
income high enough to constitute a sufficient tax base for income-‐tax prevalent financing.
Past IMF measures and policy analysis The Fund has long acknowledged the link between income distribution and fiscal policy. In the late
1980s a growing recognition and discussion of the potential effects of macroeconomic and
structural adjustment programs on poverty and inequality was initiated by the IMF and it was
followed by the implementation of dedicated structures.
These discussions highlighted the importance of social safety nets to protect the poor and
safeguard their access to essential public services, such as primary education and healthcare, hence
the call for dedicating substantive portions of government budgets to pro-‐poor programmes.
The International Monetary Fund published numerous reports on the topic if addressing income
inequality through fiscal policy. The most recent document, after recognising the pivotal role of
fiscal policy as the main tool through which income redistribution can be designed, issues
recommendations tailored to different classes of economies.
More recently, the line of work dedicated to fiscal policy and equality was revived and subsequently
expanded, coming include jobs and growth; the macroeconomic gains from greater gender equity,
and fiscal policies aimed at this goal, have also been covered in recent work. Current and future
analysis by the IMF should take into account recent trends in income distribution and the use of
redistributive fiscal instruments in both advanced and developing economies, with all the
differences that characterise them.
Common practices with respect to fiscal policies aimed at tackling inequality take on different
forms depending on the level of country development. Specifically, options for redistributive
policies that help maximise efficiency, in terms of their effects on incentives to work and save, are
listed below.
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In advanced economies: gradual phasing out of benefits as incomes rise to avoid adverse effects on
employment; raising age limits for access to retirement in pension systems, with adequate
provisions for the poor whose life expectancy could be shorter; improving the access of lower-‐
income groups to higher education and safeguarding universal access to health services;
implementing progressive personal income tax (PIT) rate structures; and reducing regressive tax
exemptions.
On the other hand, in developing economies the following policies are currently broadly advised as
best practices: consolidating social assistance programs; introducing and expanding conditional
cash transfer programs to the poor while improving administrative penetration; expanding
noncontributory social pensions; improving access of low-‐income families to education and health
services; and expanding coverage of the progressive PIT. Innovative approaches, such as the
greater use of taxes on property and energy (such as carbon taxes) could also be considered in both
advanced and developing economies.
Furthermore, in 1999 the Fund established the Poverty Reduction and Growth Facility (PRGF), with
the objective of mainstreaming wealth redistribution in its lending operation. This organism used to
act by means of country-‐specific Poverty Reduction Strategy Papers, aimed at reflecting closely
each country's poverty reduction and growth priorities and, provided that macroeconomic stability
was safeguarded, seeking to adapt to changes in country circumstances and poverty reduction
objectives.
However, despite some facilities still remaining operational, since 2009 the PRGF has been replaced
by the Extended Credit Facility (ECF) currently extending credit with a zero interest rate and a
grace period of 5½ years, and a final maturity of 10 years. Conditionality of this lending is geared
towards macroeconomic policy monitoring, assessing metrics such as monetary aggregates,
international reserves, fiscal balances, and external borrowing coherently with the country’s
program objectives. ECF-‐supported programs aim to safeguard social and other priority spending,
recognised as crucial targets to tackle inequality. The programme's main aim is to grant the
maximum flexibility with respect to the countries' own social policy goal and it has been achieved
by allowing the program documents of countries that have a valid poverty reduction strategy paper
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covering a year from the date of the program review to describe how the fiscal budget and the
planned structural reforms advance implementation of a country’s poverty reduction strategy. [15]
Although the IMF does not explicitly endorse any specific redistributive policy, in its latest
documents it does outline a policy framework including technical directives in order to effectively
address income inequality, acknowledged as significantly harming growth.
The Fund recognises that fiscal policy can achieve redistributive goals at minimal efficiency cost and
issues its recommendations accordingly.
Redistributive fiscal policy should be consistent with an appropriate level and composition of
public spending and fiscal sustainability. The optimal level of spending suggested by economic
theory is achieved when the social benefit gained by spending a unit of income equals the social
cost of financing this spending. Since this applies to each category of spending, for a given source of
financing, the social benefit of spending should also be equal across spending categories. This gives
rise to three orders of implications. First, the optimal level of redistributive spending will be
country-‐specific, as it depends on preferences and costs (including the efficiency costs of taxation).
Second, the benefits from additional spending on redistribution should be tested against the
benefits of decreased spending in other areas, such as public infrastructure, potentially causing
significant damage to growth. Third, redistributive fiscal policy should be consistent with the
viability of the national budget, a cardinal element of support for economic growth, and the
capacity to finance higher spending on redistribution over the longer term. Fiscal redistribution can
usually most efficiently be achieved either through direct instruments such as taxation or provision
of benefits gauged on income. In fact fiscal redistribution, by its very nature, consists of resources
from higher-‐income to lower-‐income households through taxes and transfers. [16]
On the tax side, personal direct income taxes, as already mentioned, are often preferable for
redistribution than indirect consumption taxes because they directly take account of the ability of
households or individuals to pay. Considering spending, it has been found that direct cash transfers
to poor households are usually superior to indirect methods such as price subsidies. Better
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targeting of transfers reduces their burden on the national budget and the tax levels required to
finance them, thus achieving distributional objectives at a lower efficiency cost.
Another fundamental recommendation issued by the Fund is that the impact of tax and
expenditure policies on redistribution should be evaluated jointly. While it is true that both taxes
and spending can have redistributive implications, their relative trade-‐offs between efficiency and
redistribution will usually differ. Therefore, where the efficiency cost of redistribution through taxes
is relatively large, the IMF suggests that instead of achieving direct redistributive results, these
taxes should rather focus on raising revenue to finance other tools. For instance, an increase in
regressive taxes can still be the best approach to supporting redistribution if they finance public
expenditure of highly redistributive nature.
In the Fund's past papers, particular attention is devoted to means-‐tested programs, that is
schemes granting benefits conditional on need. The general consensus is to restrict eligibility or
benefit levels according to income in order achieve redistributive objectives at a lower cost by
avoiding the waste of resources implied by providing benefits to the entire population. These
programs should be implemented in a manner that avoids adverse effects on labor markets, so as
to encourage active job-‐seeking by the unemployed. This goal is commonly achieved by gradually
phasing out benefits as incomes rise.
However, means-‐testing can prove to be far from ideals in countries with a strong tradition of
universal benefit provision and the capacity to raise high levels of revenues in an efficient manner
with broad popular support.
In this cases the Fund has in the past suggested the use of tagging, a technique linking transfers to
characteristics that are strongly correlated with income. The more strongly correlated are the
characteristics with income or other characteristics of need, the lower the fiscal cost of achieving a
given amount of redistribution.
However, this tool leads to inefficiencies in the form of mis-‐coverage and under-‐coverage as
characteristics used as “tags” are only imperfectly correlated with need.
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Therefore, when means-‐testing and tagging fail to reach their goals, additional programmes may be
needed to protect the excluded poor. Moreover, to be effective, tags should not be exposed to
opportunistic manipulation by households and should be easily verifiable. [17]
Another central topic is that of efficient revenue collection by means of indirect tax design.
Efficiency and costs of administration and compliance are typically adopted with the aim of
providing uniformity to broad-‐based consumption taxes and avoiding differential rates across
goods and services. Revenues collected via efficient indirect taxation can then finance progressive
spending.
The use of Fiscal policy is also advocated as a means to promote equality of opportunity and
greater intergenerational mobility. Spending focused on increasing access to education and health
can greatly improve social mobility and help stop transmission of disadvantage across generations,
while at the same time favouring the progressiveness of public spending. Moreover, improved
education and health outcomes among lower income groups will lower future income inequality
thus allowing a progressive tapering of redistributive measures.
The appropriate mix of direct and indirect measures will ultimately be conditional on administrative
capacity. The effective use of direct cash transfers and taxes imposes the prerequisite of a
government able to access information on individual incomes, as well as the administrative capacity
to process this information, collect taxes, and pay transfer benefits to households. When such
capacity is limited, as is the case in many developing economies, the focus should shift on indirect
instruments (such as tagging and progressive indirect taxes) in order to achieve redistribution. In
general, advanced and emerging economies will profit from a wider range of options, in particular
concerning expenditure.
Therefore, IMF policy recommendations are intrinsically tied to structural reforms of institutions,
especially for developing economies.
Another important implication of these considerations is that the economic costs of fiscal policy to
should be compared with other policy instruments, such as labor market regulations. Minimum
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wages and employment protection regulations, for example, impose economic costs on the private
sector. However, the impact of minimum wages on inequality is ambiguous, with effects that cancel
each other out on the employment ratio and wage dispersion.
Even when effective at increasing wages for low-‐wage workers, they proved to be a rather
ineffective weapon against inequality, since they will accrue equally to non-‐poor households.
Given the ambiguous effects of direct wage and employment restrictions, fiscal instruments, such
as carefully-‐planned in-‐work benefits, yield in most cases positively superior results as far as
efficiency in redistribution is concerned
As a consequence, no effect of redistributive fiscal policies can be assessed separately from these
labour-‐market regulations. For example, in-‐work benefits will, in most cases, increase labour supply
and reduce low-‐skilled wages, skewing benefit incidence in favour of employers. This, in spite of
being an important example of possible drawbacks deriving from seemingly effective policies, has
been registered to occur when minimum wages are relatively low and do not impose an excessively
constrictive floor. [18]
Main issues to be addressed by delegates - Impact of inequality on economic growth and welfare. - Use of direct taxation as a redistributive tool. - Trade-‐off between fiscal solidity and redistributive spending. - Promotion of efficient redistributive expenditure. - Funding schemes for redistributive policies. - Conditionality of loans for income inequality reduction. - Assessment of results of current IMF facilities aimed at tackling inequality. - Labour market regulation and fiscal policy - Institutional reforms and inequali
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Notes [1] Karl Gunnar Persson, “Economic History of Europe”, Chapter 11. [2] ibidem [3] ibidem [4] International Monetary Fund (Approved by Sanjeev Gupta), “Fiscal Policy and Income Inequality”, January 23 2014, Introduction. [5] International Monetary Fund (Approved by Sanjeev Gupta), “Fiscal Policy and Income Inequality”, January 23 2014, Introduction. [6] Kate Pickett and Richard J. Wilkinson, “The Spirit Level”. [7] ibidem [8] David Castells-‐Quintana and Vicente Royuela, "Unemployment and long-‐run economic growth: The role of income inequality and urbanisation", 2012. [9] ibidem [10] Andrew Berg and Jonathan Ostry, "Inequality and Unsustainable Growth: Two Sides of the Same Coin" IMF Staff Discussion Note No. SDN/11/08, 2011. [11] Alberto Alesina and Dani Rodrick, "Distributive Politics and Economic Growth", “Quarterly Journal of Economics”, May 1994. [12] Torsten Persson and Guido Tabellini, "Is Inequality Harmful for Growth?”, American Economic Review, 1994. [13] International Monetary Fund (Approved by Sanjeev Gupta), “Fiscal Policy and Income Inequality”, January 23 2014, Fiscal Redistribution. [14]http://www.economicsonline.co.uk/Managing_the_economy/Policies_to_reduce_inequality_and_poverty.html [15] https://www.imf.org/external/np/exr/facts/prsp.htm [16] International Monetary Fund (Approved by Sanjeev Gupta), “Fiscal Policy and Income Inequality”, January 23 2014, Design of Efficient Redistributive Fiscal Policy. [18] ibidem [19] ibidem
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Bibliography Karl Gunnar Persson, “Economic History of Europe”. International Monetary Fund (Approved by Sanjeev Gupta), “Fiscal Policy and Income Inequality”, January 23 2014. Kate Pickett and Richard J. Wilkinson, “The Spirit Level”. David Castells-‐Quintana and Vicente Royuela, "Unemployment and long-‐run economic growth: The role of income inequality and urbanisation". Andrew Berg and Jonathan Ostry, "Inequality and Unsustainable Growth: Two Sides of the Same Coin". Alberto Alesina and Dani Rodrick, "Distributive Politics and Economic Growth", “Quarterly Journal of Economics”. Torsten Persson and Guido Tabellini, "Is Inequality Harmful for Growth?”. International Monetary Fund (Approved by Carlo Cottarelli), “Income Inequality and Fiscal Policy”, June 28 2012. Almas Heshmati, Jungsuk Kim, “A Survey of the Role of Fiscal Policy in Addressing Income Inequality, Poverty Reduction and Inclusive Growth”, April 2014.