Strategic Management Case Study 3

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    BOSTON CONSULTING GROUPMATRIX ( BCG )

    This technique is particularly useful for multi-divisional or multi-product companies. The divisions or products compromise theorganisations business portfolio. The composition of the portfoliocan be critical to the growth and success of the company.

    The BCG matrix considers two variables, namely..

    N MARKET GROWTH RATE

    N RELATIVE MARKET SHARE

    The market growth rate is shown on the vertical (y) axis and isexpressed as a %. The range is set somewhat arbitrarily. Theoverhead shows a range of 0 to 20% with division between lowand high growth at 10% (the original work by B Headley Strategyand the business portfolio, Long Range Planning, Feb 1977 usedthese criteria). Inflation and/or Gross National Product have some

    impact on the range and thus the vertical axis can be modified torepresent an index where the dividing line between low and highgrowth is at 1.0. Industries expanding faster than inflation or GNPwould show above the line and those growing at less than inflationor GNP would be classed as low growth and show below the line.

    The horizontal (x) axis shows relative market share. The share iscalculated by reference to the largest competitor in the market.Again the range and division between high and low shares is

    arbitrary. The original work used a scale of 0.1, i.e. marketleadership occurs when the relative market share exceeds 1.0.

    The BCG growth/share matrix is divided into four cells orquadrants, each of which represent a particular type of business.Divisions or products are represented by circles. The size of thecircle reflects the relative significance of the division/product togroup sales. A development of the matrix is to reflect the relativeprofit contribution of each division and this is shown as a pie-segment within the circle.

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    The Boston Consulting Groups Growth Share Matrix

    Dogs

    Question MarksStars

    Cash Cow

    20%

    18%

    16%

    14%

    12%

    10%

    8%

    6%

    4%

    2%

    0

    10

    x

    4

    x

    2

    x

    1.5

    x

    1

    x

    0.5

    x

    0.4

    x

    0.3

    x

    0.2

    x

    0.1

    x

    Relative Market Share

    M

    arketGrowthRate

    Largenegative

    cash flow

    Largepositive

    cash flow

    Cash consumer

    Modest cash flow

    Optimum

    Cash Flow

    SOURCE: Adapted from Hedley (1977), p12

    Cash consumerCash neutral

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    Success and Disaster Sequences in the Product Portfolio

    Cash Cow Dogs

    Question MarksStars

    MarketG

    rowthRate

    Relative Market Share

    High

    High

    Low

    Low

    Disaster sequencesSuccess sequences

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    N QUESTION MARKS

    These are products or businesses, that compete in high growthmarkets but where the market share is relatively low. A new

    product launched into a high growth market and with an existingmarket leader would normally be considered as a question mark.Because of the high growth environment, they can be a cashsink.

    Strategic options for question marks include..

    Market penetration

    Market development

    Product development

    Which are all intensive strategies or divestment.

    N STARS

    Successful question marks become stars. i.e. market leaders inhigh growth industries. However, investment is normally stillrequired to maintain growth and to defend the leadership position.Stars are frequently only marginally profitable but as they reach amore mature status in their life cycle and growth slows, returnsbecome more attractive. The stars provide the basis for long termgrowth and profitability.

    Strategic options for stars include..

    Integration forward, backward and horizontal

    Market penetration

    Market development

    Product development

    Joint ventures

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    N CASH COWS

    These are characterised by high relative market share in lowgrowth industries. As the market matures the need for investment

    reduces. Cash Cows are the most profitable products in theportfolio. The situation is frequently boosted by economies of scalethat may be present with market leaders. Cash Cows may be usedto fund the businesses in the other three quadrants.

    It is desirable to maintain the strong position as long as possibleand strategic options include..

    Product development

    Concentric diversification

    If the position weakens as a result of loss of market share ormarket contraction then options would include..

    Retrenchment (or even divestment)

    N DOGS

    These describe businesses that have low market shares in slowgrowth markets. They may well have been Cash Cows. Often theyenjoy misguided loyalty from management although some Dogscan be revitalised. Profitability is, at best, marginal.

    Strategic options would include..

    Retrenchment (if it is believed that it could be revitalised)

    Liquidation

    Divestment (if you can find someone to buy!)

    Successful products may well move from question mark thoughstar to Cash Cow and finally to Dog. Less successful products thatnever gain market position will move straight from question mark toDog.

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    The BCG is simple and useful technique for strategic analysis. It isconvenient for multi-product or multi-divisional companies. Itfocuses on cash flow and is useful for investment and marketing

    decisions.

    One should not however, ignore the limitations of the technique.

    Definition (qualitative and quantitative) of the market issometimes difficult.

    It assumes that market share and profitability are directlyrelated.

    The use of high and low to form four categories is toosimplistic.

    Growth rate is only one aspect of industry attractiveness andhigh growth markets are not always the most profitable.

    It considers the product or business in relation to the largestplayer only. It ignores the impact of small competitors whosemarket share is rising fast.

    Market share is only one aspect of overall competitiveposition.

    It ignores interdependence and synergy.

    Companies will frequently search for a balanced portfolio, since..

    Too many stars may lead to a cash crisis

    Too many Cash Cows puts future profitability at risk

    And too many question marks may affect current profitability.

    Group exercise..Using the data provided construct a BCG and answer the followingquestions,Has the company a balanced portfolio?

    From the BCG what do you see as strengths and why?Propose generic strategies for each division or product.

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    GE

    BUSINESS

    SCREEN(GEBS)

    BCG Exercise

    Consider a multi-divisional / product organisationUsing the following data construct a BCG matrix

    321Division / Product

    Sales million

    No. of Competitors

    Sales of Market leaders million

    Market Growth (%)

    Total Market million

    Industry/Product Profitability

    % sales

    0.4

    6

    0.8, 0.7, 0.4

    16

    2.3

    8

    1.8

    20

    1.8,1.8,1.2

    18

    12.2

    6

    1.7

    16

    1.7,1.3,0.9

    8

    8.4

    9

    3.

    Is the company balanced?Identify strengths and weaknesses of company

    Propose strategies for each division/product

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    The nine-cell matrix was developed by General Electric with theassistance of McKinsey. As with the BCG it comprises a matrix of 2dimensions.

    (a) Industry attractiveness(b) Business strength / competitive postion

    In contrast to the BCG, the GEBS includes much more input than simplyindustry growth rate and relative market share to assess theattractiveness of the industry and the competitive position of thebusiness unit.

    Industry attractiveness will include such factors as

    Market growth rateIndustry profitabilityIndustry sizePricing practices

    Business strength may include such factors as

    ProfitabilityTechnological positionSize

    Individual products or business units (SBU) are plotted as circles. Thearea of the circles is proportional to the industry size (in term of sales),The shaded pie represents the market share for each product or SBU.

    The procedure for assessing industry attractiveness and businessstrength / competitive position is similar to that of IFE/EFE/CPMcomputations. In both cases it involves four steps.

    1. Industry attractiveness

    (a) Select key attractiveness criteria

    (b) Weigh each criterion in terms of relative importance in achievingcorporate objectives.(0 1.0 and total with equal 1.0)

    (c) Rate the industry on these criteria1 = very unattractive5 = very attractive

    (d) Calculate weighted score (see table 1)

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    2. Business strength / competitive position

    (a) Identify key factors for success in the industry

    (b) Weigh each success factor in terms of its relativeimportance to profitability (or some other measure ofsuccess such as achieving corporate objectives)

    (c) Rate the product / SBU on each factor

    1 = very weak competitive position5 = very strong competitive position

    (d) Calculate weighted score (see table 2)

    3. Plot current or SBU portfolio

    4. Plot the firms future portfolio

    Future attractiveness and competitive position should beassessed (of forecasting, scenario projections) and the newportfolio examined to determine whether it is improving or

    deteriorating. Is there a performance gap between the projectedand desired portfolios

    .. the strategic gap.

    Shell Directional Policy Matrix

    Very similar to the GE Business screen and was developedindependently by Shell and is used extensively by Europeanfirms.

    Hofer Product / Market Evolution Matrix

    One of the shortcomings of the GE Screen is that it does noteffectively display the impact of new products or SBUs indeveloping industries.

    The fifteen-cell matrix developed by Hofer goes someway toaddressing this limitation. The Hofer matrix has axes of

    (a) competitive position(b) stage of product / market evolution

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    Table 1An example of an Industry Attractiveness Assessment Matrix

    ATTRACTIVENESS CRITERIA WEIGHT* RATING ** WEIGHTEDSCORE

    Size 0.15 4 0.60

    Growth 0.12 3 0.36

    Pricing 0.05 3 0.15

    Market diversity 0.05 2 0.10

    Competitive structure 0.05 3 0.15

    Industry profitability 0.20 3 0.60

    Technical role 0.05 4 0.20

    Inflation vulnerability 0.05 2 0.10Cyclicality 0.05 2 0.10

    Customer financials 0.10 5 0.50

    Energy impact 0.08 4 0.32

    Social GO 4 -

    Environmental GO 4 -

    Legal GO 4 -

    Human 0.05 4 0.20

    1.00 3.38

    * Some criteria may be of a GO/NO GO type. For example, many firmsprobably would decide not to invest in industries that are viewednegatively by our society, such as gambling, even if it were both legaland very profitable to do so.

    ** 1 (very unattractive ) through 5 (highly attractive)

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    Table 2An example of a Business Strength / Competitive PositionAssessment Matrix for an SBU

    KEY SUCCESS FACTORS WEIGHT* RATING ** WEIGHTEDSCORE

    Market share 0.10 5 0.50

    SBU growth rate X 3 -

    Breadth of product line 0.05 4 0.20

    Sales distribution effectiveness 0.20 4 0.80

    Propriety and key account advantages X 3 -

    Price competitiveness X 4 -

    Advertising and promotion effectiveness 0.05 4 0.20

    Facilities location and newness 0.05 5 0.25Capacity and productivity X 3 -

    Experience curve effects 0.15 4 0.60

    Raw materials cost 0.05 4 0.20

    Value added X 4 -

    Relative product quality 0.15 4 0.60

    R&D advantages/position 0.05 4 0.20

    Cash throw-off 0.10 5 0.50

    Calibre of personnel X 4 -

    General image 0.05 5 0.25

    1.00 4.30

    * For any particular industry, there will be some factors that, whileimportant in general, will have little or no effect on the relativecompetitive position of firms within that industry. It is usually better todrop such factors from the analysis than to assign them very lowweights.

    ** 1 (very weak competitive position) through 5 (very strong competitiveposition)

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    PORTFOLIO ANALYSIS 2

    The General Electric/McKinsey & Co. Business Screen Matrix(a.k.a. The Internal External Matrix)

    STRONG

    LOSER

    -harvest or

    divest

    AVERAGE WEAK

    QUESTIONMARK

    -hold and

    maintain

    WINNER

    - grow and

    build

    WINNER

    - grow and

    build

    WINNER

    - grow and

    build

    LOSER

    -harvest or

    divest

    LOSER

    -harvest or

    divest

    AVERAGE

    -hold and

    maintain

    PROFITPRODUCER

    -hold and

    maintain

    HIGH

    MEDIUM

    LOW

    INDUSTRY

    ATTRACTIVENESS

    (External factor

    evaluation total

    weighted scores)

    BUSINESS STRENGTH /

    COMPETITIVE POSITION

    (Internal factor evaluation total

    weighted scores)

    4.0

    3.0

    1.02.03.04.0

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    THE INTERNAL EXTERNAL (IE) MATRIX

    The IE matrix positions the companys businesses in a nine cell

    matrix. It is an improvement on the BCG and is similar to the GEBusiness Screen. As with the BCG it uses two criteria to determineposition.

    INTERNAL STRENGTH (as measured by IFE)

    And

    INDUSTRY ATTRACTIVENESS (as measured by EFE)

    The individual products / divisions are represented as circles. Aswith the BCG the size of the circles and the pie slices thereinreflect the relative significance of each business in terms of salesand profit.

    The horizontal axis reflecting internal strength is divided into

    Weak (1.0 1.99)

    Average (2.0 2.99)

    Strong (3.0 3.99)

    The vertical axis reflecting industry attractiveness is dividedsimilarly

    Low (1.0 1.99)

    Medium (2.0 2.99)

    High (3.0 3.99)

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    The IE Matrix requires more information than the BCG and is felt tobe a more rigorous technique although it is much more dependanton value judgements of the strategist(s) in the preparation of theIFE and EFE.

    Three broad groupings of cells can be made, namely

    1, 2 and 4 where the appropriate strategies might be GROW ANDBUILD. In generic terms such strategies would include

    INTENSIVEMarket penetration

    Market development

    Product development

    INTEGRATIVEBackward integration

    Forward integration

    Horizontal integration

    The prescription for cells 3, 5 and 7 is likely to be HOLD ANDMAINTAIN and might include

    Market penetrationAnd

    Product development

    Finally, cells 6, 8 and 9, which are characterised by a relatively

    weak competitive position in a hostile environment, would suggestthe appropriate strategies are either HARVEST or DIVEST.

    Successful companies will endeavour to build a portfolio ofbusinesses in or around cell 1 in the IE matrix.

    (Individual exercise: Using IFE and EFE scores, construct an IE

    matrix for your organisation and derive some strategic proposalsfor your products / divisions)

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    An Exam le of an IE Mat

    THE IFE TOTAL WEIGHTED SC

    High3.0 to 4.0

    Medium2.0 to 2.99

    Low1.0 to 1.99

    Strong3.0 to 4.0

    Average2.0 to 2.99

    1.0

    2.0

    3.0

    4.03.0 2.0

    THE EFE

    TOTAL

    WEIGHTED

    SCORES

    12

    3

    50%

    20%

    25%

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    T h e I n t e r n a l E x t e r n a l M

    THE EFETOTAL

    WEIGHTEDSCORES

    THE IFE TOTAL WEIGHTED

    High3.0 to 4.0

    Medium2.0 to 2.99

    Low1.0 to 1.99

    Strong3.0 to 4.0

    Average2.0 to 2.99

    1.0

    2

    2.0

    3.0

    3.04.0

    I II

    IV V

    VII VIII

    Grow and build

    Hold and maintain

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    SWOT/TOWS Matrix

    The analysis brings together the key elements of the internal

    auditing. The analysis involves answering two questions.

    N Where are the major opportunities and threats?

    N How can we capitalise on our strengths and reduce ourweaknesses?

    The first question relates to the environment and the second toresources. The matrix construction involves the listing of key

    threats, opportunities, weaknesses and strengths (IFE, EFE) andthen matching the factors to generate four different groups ofstrategic options, namely .

    N SO where internal strength(s) are matched to externalopportunities.

    N WO aimed at improving internal weaknesses by exploitingexternal opportunities.

    N ST where the organisation uses its strengths to avoid orreduce the impact of external threats.

    N WT where defensive strategies are adopted to reduceinternal weaknesses and avoid external threats.

    Unlike the portfolio (e.g. BCG) or directional (e.g. Shell) matrices, itis suggested that specific rather than generic strategies are

    generated from the exercise.

    (individual exercise . Construct a TOWS matrix and generateSO, WO, ST and WO strategies for your organisation)

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    SWOT Evaluation (Current)

    Current

    Aims and

    Objectives

    WEAKNESSESSTRENGTHS

    OPPOR

    TUNITIES

    THR

    EATS

    SO Decisions WO Decisions

    ST Decisions WT Decisions

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    TOWS Analysis

    Developed from ideas ofH Weihrich, 1982

    OPPORTUNITIES THREATSFUTURE

    STRENGTHS

    WEAKNESSES

    STRATEGY

    STRATEGY

    STRATEGY

    STRATEGY

    Aims, objectivesand policies asdeveloped fromTOWS analysis

    As identified byscenarioprojectiontechniques

    As identified byscenarioprojectiontechniques

    To fend off thefuture threat

    To grasp thefutureopportunity

    Calculated asnecessary tofutureperformance

    To be eradicatedor to beprevented

    To ensure thatfutureopportunities arenot lost

    To avoid orpre-empt thefuture threat

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    Grand Strategy Mix (GSM)

    The Grand Strategy Mix (GSM) would appear to be growing inpopularity as a tool for formulating strategic alternatives. The

    matrix considers two parameters, namely

    N COMPETITIVE POSITION

    N MARKET GROWTH

    (cf BCG, GEBS and IE matrices)

    Competitive position could be measured by an IFE. The matrix canbe used for both organisations or SBUs. The matrix showsappropriate strategies for the organisation or business unit inorder of attractiveness.

    QUADRANT 1 (SO)

    Strong strategic position. Strong competitive position in a highgrowth market. It would seem logical for such organisations toconcentrate on their current markets and products, e.g.

    MARKET DEVELOPMENT

    MARKET PENETRATION PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT

    There may be reasons why an organisation or business unit wouldwish to change, e.g.

    Utilise excess resources (physical, financial, human) byINTEGRATION

    Limited product portfolio may suggest CONCENTRIC

    DIVERSIFICATION for future security.

    QUADRANT 2 (WO)

    Opportunities exist for growth in Quadrant 2 but the organisationsin this quadrant are ineffective (Resources?, Products?,Management? etc). The first option must surely be an INTENSIVEstrategy bur other options include HORIZONTAL integration. If theorganisation is unable to find the competitive advantage to exploit

    the market growth DIVESTMENT or even LIQUIDATION areoptions.

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    QUADRANT 3 (WT)

    Organisations in this quadrant have a weak competitive position

    and compete in slow growth industries. The options are obviouslyDIVESTMENT or LIQUIDATION but RETRENCHMENT or evenDIVERSIFICATION could be considered if exit costs wereunacceptable.

    QUADRANT 4 (ST)

    Organisations with competitive strength but operate in low growth

    industries. Preferred option is to move into a more attractiveindustry by CONCENTRIC, HORIZONTAL or CONGLOMERATEDIVERSIFICATION.

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    The Grand Strategy matrix

    QUADRANT I

    1. Market developm2. Market penetratio3. Product developm4. Forward integratio5. Backward integra

    6. Horizontal integra Concentric

    Diversification

    QUADRANT II

    1. Market development2. Market penetration3. Product development4. Horizontal integration5. Divestment

    Liquidation

    QUADRANT III

    1. Retrenchment2. Concentric diversification3. Horizontal diversification

    4. Conglomeratediversification

    5. Divestment

    Liquidation

    QUADRANT IV

    1. Concentric divers2. Horizontal diversi3. Conglomerate

    diversification Joint ventures

    RAPID MARKET GROWTH

    SLOW MARKET GROWTH

    WEAKCOMPETITIVE

    POSITION

    - 6 - 3

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    Some Matching Tools in Strategy Formulation

    7.1 SPACE (After Fred David)

    The Strategic Position and Action Matrix was developed by Rowe, Mason andDickel (Strategic Management and Business Policy a methodical approach,Addison Wesley 1982). It is a matching tool that indicates what general typeof strategy and organisation should follow..

    AGGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE DEFENSIVE COMPETITIVE

    The technique involves the production of a vector on a matrix where the axesrepresent

    Financial strength (FS) Competitive advantage (CA)

    that are both internal dimensions and

    Environmental stability (ES) Industry Strength (IS)

    that are external dimensions

    The steps in the construction of the matrix are ..

    a. Select a set of variables that reflect the internal and externaldimensions (see David P 214)

    b. Assign a rating to each variableFS and IS will be between +1 and +6 where +1 is the worst situationand +6 the best.ES and CA will be between 1 and 6 where 1 is the best situation

    and 6 the worst.c. Compute the average score for each dimension (ie FS, CA, IS, ES)d. Plot the average scores for each dimension on the relevant axese. Add the scores on the x axis and plot the result

    Add the scores on the y axis and plot the resultf. Finally, draw a directional vector from the origin through the

    intersection point.

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    The vector will lie in one of the four quadrants

    AGGRESSIVE strategies that might include ..

    Market penetration Market development Product development Integration Diversification

    CONSERVATIVE strategies that might include..

    Market penetration Market development

    Product development Concentric diversification

    DEFENSIVE strategies that might include

    Retrenchment Divestment Concentric diversification

    COMPETITIVE strategies that might include..

    Integration Market penetration Market development Product development Joint venture

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    PORTFOLIO ANALYSIS:

    The Strategic Position and Action Evaluation (SPACE) matrix