Upload
dharmendra-singh
View
222
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
8/7/2019 STOCK REACTION TO THE MARKET CHANGES ON THE [Autosaved]
1/24
Presented by: Reg. no
Sameer Kumar Srivastava 2941470
FROM Co.: Under the guidelines of
MADRAS STOCK EXCHANGE Mr. John Paul
8/7/2019 STOCK REACTION TO THE MARKET CHANGES ON THE [Autosaved]
2/24
` A method of evaluating a security that entails attempting tomeasure its intrinsic value by examining related economic,financial and other qualitative and quantitativefactors. Fundamental analysis attempt to study everything
that can affect the security's value, includingmacroeconomic factors (like the overall economy andindustry conditions) and company-specific factors (likefinancial condition and management).
The end goal of performing fundamental analysis is to
produce a value that an investor can compare with thesecurity's current price, with the aim of figuring out whatsort of position to take with that security
8/7/2019 STOCK REACTION TO THE MARKET CHANGES ON THE [Autosaved]
3/24
` The fundamental school of thought appraised the
intrinsic value of shares through
Economic Analysis
Industry Analysis
Company Analysis
8/7/2019 STOCK REACTION TO THE MARKET CHANGES ON THE [Autosaved]
4/24
ECONOMY
ANALYSIS
INDUSTRY
ANALYSIS
COMPANY
ANALYSIS
Inflation Product line Balance sheet
Tax structure Sector wise Income statement
GDP Business cycle Financial statement
Budget Past performance Market share
Interest Rate Performance of Product Growth of sales
Monsoon & Agriculture Role of government inindustry
Operating efficiency
Foreign exchange rate Labour conditions Earnings of the company
Money supply & Liquidity Competitive condition Preference share
Saving & investment Industry life cycle Ratio analysis
Business cycle SWOT analysis Management
8/7/2019 STOCK REACTION TO THE MARKET CHANGES ON THE [Autosaved]
5/24
` A stock market or equity market is a public (a loosenetwork of economic transactions, not a physicalfacility or discrete) entity for the trading ofcompany stock (shares) and derivatives at an agreedprice; these are securities listed on a stockexchange as well as those only traded privately
` The size of the world stock market was estimated atabout $36.6 trillion at the start of October2010.[1] The total world derivatives market has beenestimated at about $791 trillion face or nominal
value,[2] 11 times the size of the entire world economy
8/7/2019 STOCK REACTION TO THE MARKET CHANGES ON THE [Autosaved]
6/24
` The stock market is one of the most importantsources for companies to raise money. This allowsbusinesses to be publicly traded, or raiseadditional capital for expansion by selling sharesof ownership of the company in a public market.The liquidity that an exchange provides affords
investors the ability to quickly and easily sellsecurities. This is an attractive feature of investingin stocks, compared to other less liquidinvestments such as real estate
8/7/2019 STOCK REACTION TO THE MARKET CHANGES ON THE [Autosaved]
7/24
` A stock exchange is an entity that provides "trading" facilitiesfor stock brokers and traders to trade stocks, bonds, andother securities. Stock exchanges also provide facilities for issueand redemption of securities and other financial instruments, andcapital events including the payment of income and dividends.Securities traded on a stock exchange include shares issued bycompanies, unit trusts, derivatives, pooled investment productsand bonds.
` The initial offering of stocks and bonds to investors is by definitiondone in the primary market and subsequent trading is done inthe secondary market. A stock exchange is often the most
important component of a stock market. Supply and demand instock markets is driven by various factors that, as in all freemarkets, affect the price of stocks.
8/7/2019 STOCK REACTION TO THE MARKET CHANGES ON THE [Autosaved]
8/24
` Raising capital for businesses
` Mobilizing savings for investment
` Facilitating company growth
`
Profit sharing` Corporate governance
` Creating investment opportunities for smallinvestors
`
Government capital-raising for developmentprojects
` Barometer of the economy
8/7/2019 STOCK REACTION TO THE MARKET CHANGES ON THE [Autosaved]
9/24
1. Sensex. INDIA2. New York Stock Exchange, New York City3. London Stock Exchange, the City of London4. Tokyo Stock Exchange,Tokyo5. Toronto Stock Exchange,Toronto6. Sao Paulo Stock Exchange,Sao Paulo7. Australian Securities Exchange's Sydney Exchange
Centre, Sydney
8. Borsa Italiana, Milan Stock Exchange9. Paris Stock Exchange, Paris10. SWX Swiss Exchange, Zurich
8/7/2019 STOCK REACTION TO THE MARKET CHANGES ON THE [Autosaved]
10/24
INDIAN STOCK EXCHANGE
NATIONAL STOCKEXCHANGE
BOMBAY STOCKEXCHANGE
8/7/2019 STOCK REACTION TO THE MARKET CHANGES ON THE [Autosaved]
11/24
There are 23 stockexchanges in
India. Among themtwo are national
level stockexchanges namely
Bombay StockExchange (BSE)
and National Stock
Exchange of India(NSE). The rest 21are Regional StockExchanges (RSE).
Ludhiana
Madhya Pradesh
Madras
Magadh
Mangalore Meerut
OTC Exchange Of
India
Pune
Saurashtra Kutch
Uttar Pradesh Vadodara
Ahmadabad
Bangalore
Bhubaneswar
Calcutta
Cochin Coimbatore
Delhi
Guwahati
Hyderabad
Jaipur
8/7/2019 STOCK REACTION TO THE MARKET CHANGES ON THE [Autosaved]
12/24
` Madras Stock Exchange Ltd (MSE) is a self regulatory organization
having permanent recognition under the Securities Contracts(Regulations) Act, 1956, and the fist Stock Exchange in the southernpart of the country. Established in the year 1937, the Exchange hasa long history of service to the nation and pioneered thedevelopment of the capital market in this part of the country bycatering to the needs of the industrial entrepreneurs to raise capitalfor industrial promotion and providing investment opportunities tothe public.
` The Exchange is a demutualised corporate entity pursuant to theMSE (Corporatization and Demutualization) Scheme, 2005approved by the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI).
The stakeholders of the Exchange include Financial Institution of theTamil Nadu State Government, leading corporate houses, high networth individuals and Trading Members of the Exchange.
8/7/2019 STOCK REACTION TO THE MARKET CHANGES ON THE [Autosaved]
13/24
` MSE has a strategic arrangement with the National StockExchange (NSE) which provides for the facility of trading by themembers of MSE on NSE platform and also for trading of MSElisted companies on the NSE.
` Board of Directors:The following is the list of Board of Directors of theExchange 2010-2011
Mr.V.C.Davey Public Interest Director Mr. Kalpathi S. Suresh Shareholder Director Mr. N. Sandeep Reddy Shareholder Director Mr. Hiren B. Shah Shareholder Director
Mr. V. Nagappan Trading Member Director Mr. S. Veeraraghavan Trading Member Director
8/7/2019 STOCK REACTION TO THE MARKET CHANGES ON THE [Autosaved]
14/24
1. Empowerment of the investors through educationhas been the focus of the Exchange. The Exchangehas established an exclusive investment educationcentre named as the MSE Institute of Capital
Markets to cater to the educational needs of themarket participants.2. The Exchange also provides Depository Services as
Depository Participant of CDSL and NSDL.3. MSE has set up subsidiary, trading facilities are
provided to the investors.4. Account Modification.5. Initial Public Offer.
8/7/2019 STOCK REACTION TO THE MARKET CHANGES ON THE [Autosaved]
15/24
Chen, Roll and Ross (1986) who considered somesignificant economic variables to have systematic influenceon asset returns implemented one of the most famous APTtests on this subject
Roll and Ross (1980) found that three or four systematicrisk factors are statistically adequate to explain the assetreturns in the period of 1962-1972
Chen (1983) found five factors in the NYSE and AMEXduring 1963-1978
Dhrymesetal (1985) found a changing number offactors depending on the period length and the size of thestock groups under analysis.
8/7/2019 STOCK REACTION TO THE MARKET CHANGES ON THE [Autosaved]
16/24
Cheng (1995)implemented factor analysis on bothasset returns and macroeconomic variables in order to
derive priced security factors and macroeconomicfactors, and then compared these two categories offactors with a canonical correlation analysis in order toreach a statistically significant relation
A research by zcam (1997)
zcam (1997) can be considered anexample of APT testing in Istanbul Stock Exchange. Inthis research, seven macroeconomic variables ofTurkish economy are separated into expected andunexpected series by a regression process, and then
two-step testing methodology is implemented on theseseries
8/7/2019 STOCK REACTION TO THE MARKET CHANGES ON THE [Autosaved]
17/24
Altay (2001) is another example of two different APT testsin Istanbul Stock Exchange. In the first test, factor analysismethod is employed in daily returns of 121 to 265 stocks in
the1993-2000 periods for each year and one dominantsignificant factor is found among several minor significantfactors for each year
In Indian context, Naka, Atsuyuki, Mukherjee, Tarun K.Tufte,
Naka, Atsuyuki, Mukherjee, Tarun K. Tufte, David R. (1998) David R. (1998) analyzed relationships among selected macroeconomic variables and the Indian stock market.
They found that three long-term equilibrium relationshipsexist among these variables. Their results suggested that
domestic inflation is the most severe deterrent to Indianstock market performance, and domestic output growth isits predominant driving force
8/7/2019 STOCK REACTION TO THE MARKET CHANGES ON THE [Autosaved]
18/24
` IndustrialProduction;Inflation;Interestrates;Treasury billrates;Long andshort-termsGovt. bond
` rates` Corporate
bond ratesEquityreturnsPer capita
consumptionRiskPremiumTermstructureForeign
exchangerateMarketindices;Oil priceOverallproduction;GrossDomesticProductionGrossnationalproduct;WeeklywagesMoney
supply,WholesalesalesLabour forceBuildingconstruction
` Exports andImports
` Population` Inventories` Book-to
market equityvalue;
` Dividendyields;
` Spread oflong andshort-runsbond
` Yield` High and low-
grades bondyield;
` Currentliabilities;
` Consumer
creditoutstanding
` Commercialbank assetvalue;
` Moneystock;
` Consumerprice index;` Price-
earningsratio;
` Farm size;` Corporate
profit;` International
or globalindex
` Federal debt` Federal
budgetfinancing;
` Housingconstruction
8/7/2019 STOCK REACTION TO THE MARKET CHANGES ON THE [Autosaved]
19/24
` PRIMARY:
To Analyze the stock market reaction to thechanges in market on the basis of E.I.C analysis
` SECONDARY:a) To analyze the Volatility of stock market
b) To analyze the affect of FII on stock
market
8/7/2019 STOCK REACTION TO THE MARKET CHANGES ON THE [Autosaved]
20/24
` To make the proper decision of buy & sell.
` To value the share properly.
` To know the investment perspective.
` To know the factors which influence the market.` To know how the FII influence the stock exchange
& to what extent market depends on them.
` To understand the volatile behavior of market.
8/7/2019 STOCK REACTION TO THE MARKET CHANGES ON THE [Autosaved]
21/24
` Time constraints.
` Unavailability of Historical data.
` Less awareness about Financial complexity.
` The reliance on secondary sources of informationlimits the degree of detail sought about a specificsector or a company in some cases.
` The complexity of the stock market & economy.
8/7/2019 STOCK REACTION TO THE MARKET CHANGES ON THE [Autosaved]
22/24
` Use multiple regression analysis and investigate
the relationship of macroeconomic variable withstock prices
` Use historical Data and there comparison
8/7/2019 STOCK REACTION TO THE MARKET CHANGES ON THE [Autosaved]
23/24
` Primary Data:
SEBI Bulletin is the main source of data
collection
` Secondary Data:
Wikipedia
Investopidia
FICCI WebsiteEconomy watch
8/7/2019 STOCK REACTION TO THE MARKET CHANGES ON THE [Autosaved]
24/24