Upload
kato-fernandez
View
34
Download
0
Tags:
Embed Size (px)
DESCRIPTION
Steve Edburg. Assistant Research Professor Laboratory for Atmospheric Research Washington State University [email protected]. My Background. Large-eddy simulation (LES) PhD work at WSU Earth system modeling ( EaSM ) Postdoctoral work at UI. SUN. OUTFLOW. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Citation preview
Steve Edburg
Assistant Research ProfessorLaboratory for Atmospheric Research
Washington State University
My Background
• Large-eddy simulation (LES)– PhD work at WSU
• Earth system modeling (EaSM)– Postdoctoral work at UI
SOIL
SUN
Gas emission from biological processes in forest and soil
FOREST
air + trace gases
INFLOW
Mixing & ChemicalReactions
Products and reactants from biosphere atmosphere
interaction
OUTFLOW
LES Overview• Gap in knowledge: The role of turbulence on chemical
production or loss within a forest canopy is unknown
• Objective: Our objective was to determine if reaction rates are modified by intermittent turbulent structures
• Hypothesis: Our central hypothesis was that turbulent structures alter reactions rates by un-evenly mixing trace gases above the canopy with gases emitted from trees
• Goal: Use large-eddy simulation to determine the influence of coherent structures on trace gas reaction rates
Side View Animation
Top View Animation
Scalar Segregation
Earth System Modeling
EaSM Overview
• Knowledge gap: Impact of bark beetle outbreak on carbon cycling is unknown
• Objective: Quantify the impact of bark beetles on carbon cycling across the western US
• Aims: – Create a regional insect disturbance product;– modify a Earth system model;– conduct simulations with and without outbreaks
USDA Forest Service, 2004
In 2009,• 4.3 Mha/10.6 Macres affected by bark beetles• 3.6 Mha/8.8 Macres affected by mountain pine beetle
Why is this issue important?1. Infestations are widespread throughout western US
10
11
Photo by C. Schnepf, forestryimages.org
Dead tree, needles on Needles off Snag fall/understory growth
Physical and biogeochemical characteristics compared with undamaged forest
1. Reduced GPP2. Reduced ET
1. Reduced LAI2. Reduced
Interception
1. Increased Rh
2. Initial recovery
Year following attack After 3-5 years After several decades
Photo by Arjan Meddens Photo by Arjan Meddens
Simulated Soil N Dynamics Play a Key Role in C Fluxes and Recovery
5 yr
10 yr 25 yr
Point simulation in Idaho: 95% mortality over 3 years
Future Research
“Daily Forecasts of Wildland Fire Impacts on Air Quality in the Pacific Northwest: Enhancing the AIRPACT Decision Support System ”
Team: S. Edburg, B. Lamb, J. Vaughan, A. Kochanski, M.A. Jenkins, J. Mandel, N. Larkin, T. Strand, and R. Mell
Pending, submitted in December 2011 to NASA ROSES: Wildland
Fires
Project Overview• Our long-term goal is to continue the development of AIRPACT
and evaluation tools to support decision making activities
• The objective of this proposal is to improve the representation of wildland fires within AIRPACT
• Our specific aim is to implement the WRF-Fire model within AIRPACT and evaluate simulations with satellite products
• We expect this will improve the plume rise and emission estimates and our evaluation techniques
• In our opinion, this will improve daily predictions of wildland fire impacts on air quality across the pacific northwest
EOS inputs:
MOPITT (CO)
MODIS / GOES
CMAQ-Influence of fire on the Air Quality forecast (e.g. PM2.5, O3, NO2, CO, NMHC)
SMARTFIRE-Fire location-Fire area
BlueSky Modeling Framework-Speciated emissions-Time rate of emissions-Plume injection height of emissions
S.M.O.K.E -Emissions preprocessor
WRF-Fire
-Time rate of emissions-Plume Injection Heights
-Influence of meteorology on fire spread and intensity
Proposed Additions
EOS Evaluation
-OMI NO2 & O3
-MISR/CALPISO aerosol
AIRPACT
WRF-Meteorological Input-72 hour forecast
Example of WRF-Fire
Example of WRF-Fire