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UNCLASSIFIED STEM Talent: The Key to Successful T&E May 14, 2015 Mr. Derrick Hinton Principal Deputy Director Test Resource Management Center

STEM Talent: The Key to Successful T&E - ITEAitea.org/images/pdf/conferences/2015_TIW/Proceedings/Hinton.pdf · Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology & Logistics

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Page 1: STEM Talent: The Key to Successful T&E - ITEAitea.org/images/pdf/conferences/2015_TIW/Proceedings/Hinton.pdf · Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology & Logistics

UNCLASSIFIED

STEM Talent: The Key to Successful T&E

May 14, 2015

Mr. Derrick Hinton

Principal Deputy Director

Test Resource Management Center

Page 2: STEM Talent: The Key to Successful T&E - ITEAitea.org/images/pdf/conferences/2015_TIW/Proceedings/Hinton.pdf · Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology & Logistics

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TRMC Organization

Effective April 1, 2011, the DASD(DT&E) serves concurrently as Director, TRMC

Dr. C. David Brown

Director, National

Cyber Range

Pete Christensen

Deputy Director,

Corporate

Operations &

MRTFB Policy

Sheila Wright

Deputy Director,

T&E Range

Oversight

Bruce Bailey

PD, TRMC

Mr. Derrick Hinton

DASD(DT&E) Dir, TRMC

Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology & Logistics

Hon Frank Kendall

Staff Director

Col Bohenek, USAF

Chief Financial Officer

Bruce Buchner

Deputy Director,

Tech. Development

George Rumford

T&E/S&T

Program PM

George Rumford

Deputy Director,

Interoperability

Chip Ferguson

JMETC

Program PM

Chip Ferguson

Deputy Director,

Test Capabilities

Development

Gerry Christeson

EWIIP PM

Gerry Christeson

CTEIP PM

Chris Paust

ASD(R&E)

Mr. Al Shaffer, Acting

PD, DT&E

Dr. Brian Hall

Starting July 2015

Page 3: STEM Talent: The Key to Successful T&E - ITEAitea.org/images/pdf/conferences/2015_TIW/Proceedings/Hinton.pdf · Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology & Logistics

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New Development in Military Aircraft

• Complex, multi-sensor information

fusion architecture

– Multiple aircraft sensors

– Multiple onboard computer

models

– Multiple aircraft data processors

– Multiple, simultaneous target

sets

• Network enabled—receive data from

multiple external sources

– Ground networks

– RF datalinks—air-to-air, air-to-

ground

– Satellite communications

• Innovative designs

– Active flight controls

– Advanced composite materials

– Modern flow controls: laminar,

vortex, synthetic jet

– Low observable characteristics

Multi-mission

Survivable

Complex

Networked

Fused sensor

Page 4: STEM Talent: The Key to Successful T&E - ITEAitea.org/images/pdf/conferences/2015_TIW/Proceedings/Hinton.pdf · Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology & Logistics

The Intel 22 nm 3-D Transistor

More than 6 Million can fit inside this period .

They can switch on and off over 100 billion times a second.

It would take you around 2,000 years to flick a light switch on and off that many times.

100 million can fit on the head of a pin

1 quad core processer contains more transistors than there are people in China

That’s 1.48 billion transistors

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Page 5: STEM Talent: The Key to Successful T&E - ITEAitea.org/images/pdf/conferences/2015_TIW/Proceedings/Hinton.pdf · Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology & Logistics

50 Years of Exponential Progress

We’ve hit the 50th anniversary of Moore’s Law

Produced in 2013Produced in 1971

2,300 transistors

Built by hand

Used in F-14 Tomcat

4,000X Faster

5,000X Less Energy

50,000X < cost/transistor

What does 50 years of exponential progress look like?

1.4 Billion transistors

5 Billion transistors built per second

Annual production = 20 Million for every person on earth 5

Page 6: STEM Talent: The Key to Successful T&E - ITEAitea.org/images/pdf/conferences/2015_TIW/Proceedings/Hinton.pdf · Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology & Logistics

Living in an Exponential Age

Linear Progress Exponential Progress

26 Steps

= 26 meters

26 Steps

= A walk around Earth

30 steps = Circle Earth 26XA walk across the room

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Page 7: STEM Talent: The Key to Successful T&E - ITEAitea.org/images/pdf/conferences/2015_TIW/Proceedings/Hinton.pdf · Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology & Logistics

It’s Not Limited to Processing Capacity

Computing costs declined 33% annually in last decade

Bandwidth Bandwidth costs declined 27% annually in last decade

Global bandwidth available grew by 700% in last decade

Storage costs declined 38% annually in last decade

Virtually free through virtualization in the cloud

5 Exabytes – all content created from birth of world to 2003

5 Exabytes – content created every 24 hours by 2013

Every year we produce more info that the previous 3,000 years

- combined 7

Page 8: STEM Talent: The Key to Successful T&E - ITEAitea.org/images/pdf/conferences/2015_TIW/Proceedings/Hinton.pdf · Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology & Logistics

What Did Exponential Increases Provide?

The first video was uploaded to YouTube

Facebook was a year old, and acquired URL “facebook.com” for $200K

An early prototype autonomous car completed DARPA Grand Challenge

for the first time

The term “Drone” meant a military weapon system

Android was a small startup that Google had just acquired

Let’s look at the last

2005

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Page 9: STEM Talent: The Key to Successful T&E - ITEAitea.org/images/pdf/conferences/2015_TIW/Proceedings/Hinton.pdf · Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology & Logistics

Billion users, 300 hours of video uploaded an hour

1.4 billion users from every country on earth share 2.5 million

pieces of content every minute

• Google’s autonomous cars have logged > 1M miles

• Every auto manufacturer working on a version

Drones from $50 - $1,500 used by everyone from kids to Amazon

Over a billion Android users

Let’s look at

What Did Exponential Increases Provide?

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Page 10: STEM Talent: The Key to Successful T&E - ITEAitea.org/images/pdf/conferences/2015_TIW/Proceedings/Hinton.pdf · Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology & Logistics

Thinking Linearly

While Living Exponentially

Time

Com

puting P

ow

er

& C

onnectivity

Pace of technology advancement

last 10 years

Pace of technology advancement

next 10 years

≈50X Improvement

Today

We are conditioned to

think linearly

However, our tech is

advancing exponentiallyWe haven't seen anything yet

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We’ve hit the knee of the

curve!

Page 11: STEM Talent: The Key to Successful T&E - ITEAitea.org/images/pdf/conferences/2015_TIW/Proceedings/Hinton.pdf · Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology & Logistics

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Page 12: STEM Talent: The Key to Successful T&E - ITEAitea.org/images/pdf/conferences/2015_TIW/Proceedings/Hinton.pdf · Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology & Logistics

Technologies & Trends

Leaning into the Future

100 billion connected devices = trillion sensor ecosystemBy 2025 we will have 100 billion connected devices

The more connected we are, the more we depend on the net, the greater our vulnerability

Today 2.8B of 7B+ people on earth connectedBy 2020 entire earth population will be connected

Massive increase in connected devices

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Page 13: STEM Talent: The Key to Successful T&E - ITEAitea.org/images/pdf/conferences/2015_TIW/Proceedings/Hinton.pdf · Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology & Logistics

Every year we produce more computing power than the sum of all previous years – soon to become

unlimited and nearly free

By 2025 a computer costing $1K will have the equivalent processing speed of the human brain. By 2029 it will have

human level intelligence.

Fully intelligent machines operating with zero human control

Billions of dollars are being invested in full immersion AR and VR

Technologies & Trends

Leaning into the Future

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Page 14: STEM Talent: The Key to Successful T&E - ITEAitea.org/images/pdf/conferences/2015_TIW/Proceedings/Hinton.pdf · Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology & Logistics

Rethinking the Philosophy of T&E

for the Future

Today Tomorrow Test to Verify…Spec Compliance

Spec the Entire System –

Test when the System is Fully Built

Test to Discover, Learn & Optimize Value

Architect the Entire System –

Build & Test Incrementally

Our ProductActionable Knowledge That

Optimizes System Value

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Page 15: STEM Talent: The Key to Successful T&E - ITEAitea.org/images/pdf/conferences/2015_TIW/Proceedings/Hinton.pdf · Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology & Logistics

• Attributes of Future T&E Infrastructure

– Architected to Scale

– Designed for Plug-and-Test Interoperability

– Connected Distributed Massive Bandwidth

– Extreme Spectrum Efficiency

– Big Data Behemoths

– Autonomous Decision Aids

Rethinking T&E Infrastructure

for the Future

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Page 16: STEM Talent: The Key to Successful T&E - ITEAitea.org/images/pdf/conferences/2015_TIW/Proceedings/Hinton.pdf · Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology & Logistics

Our Competition for the Best Minds

We cannot apply yesterday’s recruitment and hiring

practices – which are entrenched in linear thinking –

In an Exponential Future

Rethinking the T&E Workforce

of the Future

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Page 17: STEM Talent: The Key to Successful T&E - ITEAitea.org/images/pdf/conferences/2015_TIW/Proceedings/Hinton.pdf · Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology & Logistics

• Attributes of Future T&E Recruitment

– Capture interest of young minds early

– Spread awareness of T&E career paths

– Invest in diverse university research

– Offer innovative incentives with flexible jobs

• Attributes of Future T&E Professional

– Innovative

– Collaborative

– Lifetime Learner

– Passionate

– Entrepreneurial

– Problem Solver

Rethinking the T&E Workforce

of the Future

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Seek “Diversity of

Thought”

Page 18: STEM Talent: The Key to Successful T&E - ITEAitea.org/images/pdf/conferences/2015_TIW/Proceedings/Hinton.pdf · Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology & Logistics

Food for Thought

When today’s middle school students

enter our workforce – their computers

will have the equivalent computational

power of all human minds – combined

Rethinking the T&E Workforce

of the Future

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Page 19: STEM Talent: The Key to Successful T&E - ITEAitea.org/images/pdf/conferences/2015_TIW/Proceedings/Hinton.pdf · Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology & Logistics

TRMC STEM Initiative

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Investments in minority-serving universities for concept exploration and development of

new test technologies (to expand our offeror base)

Summer internship program to immerse students in T&E centers

Regional outreach and partnerships to promote STEM and the T&E profession

across the country

Persistent infusion of a diverse supply of technology and talent

into the T&E enterprise

Page 20: STEM Talent: The Key to Successful T&E - ITEAitea.org/images/pdf/conferences/2015_TIW/Proceedings/Hinton.pdf · Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology & Logistics

Partnerships are Key

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Industry

Government

Academia

Trade Associations

Across the T&E Community

GEN Dennis L. Via

Commanding General, Army Materiel Command

Goal of 1,000 interns a year across AMC

Exemplified by:

Page 21: STEM Talent: The Key to Successful T&E - ITEAitea.org/images/pdf/conferences/2015_TIW/Proceedings/Hinton.pdf · Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology & Logistics

My GoalThrough our resources and partnerships place

5,000 interns across the T&E enterprise in 5 years

Our ImplementationWe will nurture, cultivate, track and prepare these young

minds to enter and transform the T&E Community

My Request & Challenge to You

Join us in preparing T&E for the future

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