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UNCLASSIFIED
STEM Talent: The Key to Successful T&E
May 14, 2015
Mr. Derrick Hinton
Principal Deputy Director
Test Resource Management Center
2
TRMC Organization
Effective April 1, 2011, the DASD(DT&E) serves concurrently as Director, TRMC
Dr. C. David Brown
Director, National
Cyber Range
Pete Christensen
Deputy Director,
Corporate
Operations &
MRTFB Policy
Sheila Wright
Deputy Director,
T&E Range
Oversight
Bruce Bailey
PD, TRMC
Mr. Derrick Hinton
DASD(DT&E) Dir, TRMC
Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition, Technology & Logistics
Hon Frank Kendall
Staff Director
Col Bohenek, USAF
Chief Financial Officer
Bruce Buchner
Deputy Director,
Tech. Development
George Rumford
T&E/S&T
Program PM
George Rumford
Deputy Director,
Interoperability
Chip Ferguson
JMETC
Program PM
Chip Ferguson
Deputy Director,
Test Capabilities
Development
Gerry Christeson
EWIIP PM
Gerry Christeson
CTEIP PM
Chris Paust
ASD(R&E)
Mr. Al Shaffer, Acting
PD, DT&E
Dr. Brian Hall
Starting July 2015
3
New Development in Military Aircraft
• Complex, multi-sensor information
fusion architecture
– Multiple aircraft sensors
– Multiple onboard computer
models
– Multiple aircraft data processors
– Multiple, simultaneous target
sets
• Network enabled—receive data from
multiple external sources
– Ground networks
– RF datalinks—air-to-air, air-to-
ground
– Satellite communications
• Innovative designs
– Active flight controls
– Advanced composite materials
– Modern flow controls: laminar,
vortex, synthetic jet
– Low observable characteristics
Multi-mission
Survivable
Complex
Networked
Fused sensor
The Intel 22 nm 3-D Transistor
More than 6 Million can fit inside this period .
They can switch on and off over 100 billion times a second.
It would take you around 2,000 years to flick a light switch on and off that many times.
100 million can fit on the head of a pin
1 quad core processer contains more transistors than there are people in China
That’s 1.48 billion transistors
4
50 Years of Exponential Progress
We’ve hit the 50th anniversary of Moore’s Law
Produced in 2013Produced in 1971
2,300 transistors
Built by hand
Used in F-14 Tomcat
4,000X Faster
5,000X Less Energy
50,000X < cost/transistor
What does 50 years of exponential progress look like?
1.4 Billion transistors
5 Billion transistors built per second
Annual production = 20 Million for every person on earth 5
Living in an Exponential Age
Linear Progress Exponential Progress
26 Steps
= 26 meters
26 Steps
= A walk around Earth
30 steps = Circle Earth 26XA walk across the room
6
It’s Not Limited to Processing Capacity
Computing costs declined 33% annually in last decade
Bandwidth Bandwidth costs declined 27% annually in last decade
Global bandwidth available grew by 700% in last decade
Storage costs declined 38% annually in last decade
Virtually free through virtualization in the cloud
5 Exabytes – all content created from birth of world to 2003
5 Exabytes – content created every 24 hours by 2013
Every year we produce more info that the previous 3,000 years
- combined 7
What Did Exponential Increases Provide?
The first video was uploaded to YouTube
Facebook was a year old, and acquired URL “facebook.com” for $200K
An early prototype autonomous car completed DARPA Grand Challenge
for the first time
The term “Drone” meant a military weapon system
Android was a small startup that Google had just acquired
Let’s look at the last
2005
8
Billion users, 300 hours of video uploaded an hour
1.4 billion users from every country on earth share 2.5 million
pieces of content every minute
• Google’s autonomous cars have logged > 1M miles
• Every auto manufacturer working on a version
Drones from $50 - $1,500 used by everyone from kids to Amazon
Over a billion Android users
Let’s look at
What Did Exponential Increases Provide?
9
Thinking Linearly
While Living Exponentially
Time
Com
puting P
ow
er
& C
onnectivity
Pace of technology advancement
last 10 years
Pace of technology advancement
next 10 years
≈50X Improvement
Today
We are conditioned to
think linearly
However, our tech is
advancing exponentiallyWe haven't seen anything yet
10
We’ve hit the knee of the
curve!
11
Technologies & Trends
Leaning into the Future
100 billion connected devices = trillion sensor ecosystemBy 2025 we will have 100 billion connected devices
The more connected we are, the more we depend on the net, the greater our vulnerability
Today 2.8B of 7B+ people on earth connectedBy 2020 entire earth population will be connected
Massive increase in connected devices
12
Every year we produce more computing power than the sum of all previous years – soon to become
unlimited and nearly free
By 2025 a computer costing $1K will have the equivalent processing speed of the human brain. By 2029 it will have
human level intelligence.
Fully intelligent machines operating with zero human control
Billions of dollars are being invested in full immersion AR and VR
Technologies & Trends
Leaning into the Future
13
Rethinking the Philosophy of T&E
for the Future
Today Tomorrow Test to Verify…Spec Compliance
Spec the Entire System –
Test when the System is Fully Built
Test to Discover, Learn & Optimize Value
Architect the Entire System –
Build & Test Incrementally
Our ProductActionable Knowledge That
Optimizes System Value
14
• Attributes of Future T&E Infrastructure
– Architected to Scale
– Designed for Plug-and-Test Interoperability
– Connected Distributed Massive Bandwidth
– Extreme Spectrum Efficiency
– Big Data Behemoths
– Autonomous Decision Aids
Rethinking T&E Infrastructure
for the Future
15
Our Competition for the Best Minds
We cannot apply yesterday’s recruitment and hiring
practices – which are entrenched in linear thinking –
In an Exponential Future
Rethinking the T&E Workforce
of the Future
16
• Attributes of Future T&E Recruitment
– Capture interest of young minds early
– Spread awareness of T&E career paths
– Invest in diverse university research
– Offer innovative incentives with flexible jobs
• Attributes of Future T&E Professional
– Innovative
– Collaborative
– Lifetime Learner
– Passionate
– Entrepreneurial
– Problem Solver
Rethinking the T&E Workforce
of the Future
17
Seek “Diversity of
Thought”
Food for Thought
When today’s middle school students
enter our workforce – their computers
will have the equivalent computational
power of all human minds – combined
Rethinking the T&E Workforce
of the Future
18
TRMC STEM Initiative
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Investments in minority-serving universities for concept exploration and development of
new test technologies (to expand our offeror base)
Summer internship program to immerse students in T&E centers
Regional outreach and partnerships to promote STEM and the T&E profession
across the country
Persistent infusion of a diverse supply of technology and talent
into the T&E enterprise
Partnerships are Key
20
Industry
Government
Academia
Trade Associations
Across the T&E Community
GEN Dennis L. Via
Commanding General, Army Materiel Command
Goal of 1,000 interns a year across AMC
Exemplified by:
My GoalThrough our resources and partnerships place
5,000 interns across the T&E enterprise in 5 years
Our ImplementationWe will nurture, cultivate, track and prepare these young
minds to enter and transform the T&E Community
My Request & Challenge to You
Join us in preparing T&E for the future
21