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5/18/2018 Statistici Globale Turism Cultural
1/16
World Tourism
Performance 2011
and Outlook 2012
IPK 19th World Travel
Monitor Forum
Pisa, Italy
3-4 November, 2011
5/18/2018 Statistici Globale Turism Cultural
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Results 2011
www.unwto.org/facts
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International Tourist Arrivals, monthly evolutionWorld (% change)
Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
2008 2009 2010 2011*
V-shape decline of
15 consecutive
months of
negative growth
+2.1% -3.8% +6.6% +4.5%
Consolidation of growth achieved in 2010
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International Tourist Arrivals, monthly evolution
World (million)
Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2008
20092010
2011*
2010: 940 mn
2009: 881 mn => 2010: +59 mn
2008: 916 mn => 2010: +24 mn
2011 expected to mark new all-time record
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International Tourist Arrivals, monthly evolutionAdvanced economies & Emerging economies (% change)
Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
2008 2009 2010 2011*
Advanced economies
Emerging economies
10 months
16 months
Advanced economy destinations gain momentum
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International Tourist Arrivals, monthly evolutionEurope (% change)
Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
2008 2009 2010 2011*
V-shape decline of
19 consecutive
months of
negative growth
+0.5% -4.9% +3.1% +6.4%
Europe: fastest growing region in 2011
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International Tourist Arrivals, monthly evolutionEurope (million)
Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
2011*
2010
2009
2008
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International Tourist Arrivals (% change over same period of the previous year)
Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)
0
3
5
3
1412
6
12
7
34
10
6 7
15
7
3
98
1
12
0
13
34 4
13
-15
3
-9
6.5
4.5
-16
-14
-12
-10
-8
-6-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
World
Northern
Europ
e
WesternEu
rope
Central/E
astern
Europ
e
South
ern/Mediter
.Eu.
North
-EastA
sia
South
-EastA
sia
Oceania
South
Asia
North
America
Caribbea
n
CentralA
merica
South
America
North
Africa
Subsa
haran
Africa
Middle
East
10/09
11*/10 January - August
2010 and 2011 year to date by subregion
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International Tourism Expenditure(% change of same period year before, local currencies current prices)
-10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Germany
United
State
sChina
UnitedKing
domFra
nce
Canada
Japan Ita
ly
Russian
Federation
Australia
SaudiA
rabia
Neth
erlands
Belgiu
m
Korea,R
epublic
of
HongKo
ng(Chin
a)Spain
Singapor
eBra
zil
Norwa
y
Swede
n
2010 2011 ytd
Major outbound markets
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UNWTO Panel of Tourism Experts: World
Better
Equal
Worse
Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
T1 T2
'03
T3 T1 T2
'04
T3 T1 T2
'05
T3 T1 T2
'06
T3 T1 T2
'07
T3 T1 T2
'08
T3 T1 T2
'09
T3 T1 T2
'10
T3 T1 T2
'11
T3
Prospects
Evaluation
Outlook and evaluation 2003-2011: World
V-shape
comparable
to arrivals
Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)
5/18/2018 Statistici Globale Turism Cultural
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UNWTO tourism business-cyc le clock
U swin May 2003 Boom
October 2011
Recession Downswin
Pr
ospects
com
ing
4
m
onth
s
Evaluation past 4 months
50
75
100
125
150
25 50 75 100 125 150 175
UNWTO tourism business-cycle clock
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UNWTO Panel of Tourism Experts: Europe
Better
Equal
Worse
Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
T1 T2
'03
T3 T1 T2
'04
T3 T1 T2
'05
T3 T1 T2
'06
T3 T1 T2
'07
T3 T1 T2
'08
T3 T1 T2
'09
T3 T1 T2
'10
T3 T1 T2
'11
T3
Prospects
Evaluation
Europe: confidence declining
V-shape
comparableto arrivals
Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)
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Outlook
www.unwto.org/facts
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2010 Forecast 2011
World +6.6% +4.0% to +4.5%
Europe +3.2% +5% to +6%
Asia and the Pacific +12.8% +5% to +6%
Americas +6.4% +4% to +5%
Africa +7.8% -2% to +1%
Middle East +14.8% -10% to -5%
International Tourism: Forecast 2011
Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)
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International tourist arrivals
8.0
-0.1
3.0
-1.6
10.3
5.4 5.5
6.6
-3.8
6.6
2.1
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011* 2012*
Forecast
2011: 4.0% to 4.5%
2012: 3% to 4%
Outlook: World
change(%)
Source: World Tourism Organization (UNWTO)
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Where to find information prepared by UNWTO?
www.unwto.org => Facts & Figures
publications www.unwto.org/pub electronic:
=> UNWTO eLibrary hardcopy:
=> UNWTO Infoshop
=> depositary libraries
Affiliate Membership: www.unwto.org/edsco/index.php