St. Louis Streetcar Feasibility Study - Final (2013)

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  • 7/28/2019 St. Louis Streetcar Feasibility Study - Final (2013)

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    St. Louis Streetcar Feasibility Study

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    Final Report | March 2013

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    FINANCE COMMITTEEBILL BAYER, US BANK CDC

    MAGGIE CAMPBELL, THE PARTNERSHIP FOR

    DOWNTOWN ST. LOUIS

    KIM CELLA, CITIZENS FOR MODERN TRANSIT

    CRAIG HELLER, LOFTWORKS

    PAUL HUBBMAN, EAST-WEST GATEWAY

    TISHAURA JONES, TREASURER, CITY OF ST. LOUIS

    BOB LEWIS, DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES

    LAURA RADCLIFF, STIFEL NICOLAUS

    DAVID RICHARDSON, HUSCH BLACKWELL, LLP

    STEVE SMITH, THE LAWRENCE GROUP

    MATT SCHINDLER, THE PARTNERSHIP FOR

    DOWNTOWN ST. LOUIS

    VINCE SCHOEMEHL, GRAND CENTER

    STEERING COMMITTEEBILL BAYER, US BANK CDC

    JERRY BLAIR, EAST-WEST GATEWAY

    ZACK BOYERS, US BANK CDC

    MAGGIE CAMPBELL, THE PARTNERSHIP FOR

    DOWNTOWN ST. LOUIS

    KIM CELLA, CITIZENS FOR MODERN TRANSIT

    CLARK DAVIS, THE PARTNERSHIP FOR

    DOWNTOWN ST. LOUIS, BOARD MEMBER

    STEPHEN GREGALI, CITY OF ST. LOUIS,

    MAYORS OFFICE

    CRAIG HELLER, LOFTWORKS

    TISHAURA JONES, TREASURER, CITY OF ST. LOUIS

    JOHN LANGA, METRO

    JESSICA MEFFORD-MILLER, METRO

    BRIAN PHILLIPS, WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY

    SCHOOL OF MEDICINE

    DAVID RICHARDSON, HUSCH BLACKWELL, LLP

    DON ROE, CITY OF ST. LOUIS, PLANNING AND

    URBAN DESIGN AGENCY

    MATT SCHINDLER, THE PARTNERSHIP FOR

    DOWNTOWN ST. LOUIS

    VINCE SCHOEMEHL, GRAND CENTER

    STEVE SMITH, THE LAWRENCE GROUP

    MARK VOGL, HOK

    OTIS WILLIAMS, ST. LOUIS DEVELOPMENT

    CORPORATION

    ROSE WINDMILLER, WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY

    STUDY TEAMTHE PARTNERSHIP FOR

    DOWNTOWN ST. LOUIS

    MAGGIE CAMPBELL, PRESIDENT AND CEO

    MATT SCHINDLER, PROJECT MANAGER

    URS TEAM

    URS CORPORATION

    KENNETH KINNEY

    RENEE DUCKER

    RICK NANNENGA, PE

    CH2MHILL

    JIM GRAEBNER

    CRAWFORD BUNTE BRAMMEIER

    CARRIE FALKENRATH, PE, PTOE, PTP

    THE LAWRENCE GROUP

    MONICA CARNEY HOLMES, AICP, CNU-A

    CRAIG LEWIS, AICP, LEED AP, CNU-A

    PATRICE GILLESPIE SMITH

    RESOURCE SYSTEMS GROUP, INC.

    WILLIAM WOODFORD

    VECTOR COMMUNICATIONS

    LAURNA GODWIN

    St. Louis Streetcar Feasibility Study| | | | |

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    TABLE OF CONTENTSEXECUTIVE SUMMARY..................................................................................................................................................................................................2

    INTRODUCTION.............................................................................................................................................................................................................6

    PUBLIC ENGAGEMENT .................................................................................................................................................................................................8

    MARKET ANALYSIS ......................................................................................................................................................................................................11

    ALIGNMENT.................................................................................................................................................................................................................16

    TRAFFIC IMPACTS ........................................................................................................................................................................................................21

    ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS .......................................................................................................................................................................................25

    RIDERSHIP FORECAST .................................................................................................................................................................................................27

    OPERATIONS PLAN ......................................................................................................................................................................................................29

    COSTS............................................................................................................................................................................................................................31

    DEVELOPMENT OPPORTUNITIES ...............................................................................................................................................................................35

    STREETSCAPING ..........................................................................................................................................................................................................53

    GUIDEWAY ...................................................................................................................................................................................................................62

    STATIONS ......................................................................................................................................................................................................................64

    VEHICLES ......................................................................................................................................................................................................................65

    OPERATIONS AND MAINTENANCE FACILITY ............................................................................................................................................................67

    FINANCIAL PLAN..........................................................................................................................................................................................................69

    NEXT STEPS ..................................................................................................................................................................................................................74

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    FIGURES, TABLES AND APPENDICESFIGURES

    1: ST. LOUIS STREETCAR STUDY CORRIDOR .............................................13

    2: EXISTING POPULATION DENSITY, 2010.................................................14

    3: EXISTING EMPLOYMENT DENSITY, 2010...............................................15

    4: PROPOSED ALIGNMENT OPTIONS .......................................................18

    5: CENTRAL WEST END ALIGNMENT OPTION 1 .......................................19

    6: CENTRAL WEST END ALIGNMENT OPTION 2 .......................................19

    7: DOWNTOWN ALIGNMENT ....................................................................20

    8: PROPOSED CORRIDOR LANES AND EXISTING TRAFFIC ......................22

    9: MEDIAN HOUSEHOLD INCOME ............................................................26

    10: STREETCAR DEVELOPMENT CORRIDOR ...............................................37

    11: EXISTING HOT SPOTS .............................................................................38

    12: POTENTIAL HOT SPOTS..........................................................................42

    13: DEVELOPMENT TYPES............................................................................43

    14: RENDERING, BIRDS EYE, SECTION LOCATIONS ..................................55

    15: OLIVESTREETAT8THSTREETSECTION.............................................56

    16: OLIVESTREETAT18THSTREETSECTION ...........................................57

    17: BIRDS EYE LOOKING NORTH ON 14TH STREET: CURRENT VIEW.......58

    18: BIRDS EYE LOOKING NORTH ON 14TH STREET: WITH STREETCAR ... 58

    19: CHESTNUT STREET AT 7TH STREET: CURRENT VIEW...........................59

    20: CHESTNUT STREET AT 7TH STREET: WITH STREETCAR........................59

    21: OLIVE STREET AT 9TH STREET: CURRENT VIEW ...................................60

    22: OLIVE STREET AT 9TH STREET: WITH STREETCAR ................................60

    23: OLIVE STREET AT COMPTON STREET: CURRENT VIEW........................61

    24: OLIVE STREET AT COMPTON STREET: WITH STREETCAR ....................61

    TABLES

    1: EXISTING POPULATION..........................................................................11

    2: EXISTING EMPLOYMENT........................................................................11

    3: DAILY RIDERSHIP ....................................................................................27

    4: ALLOCATED CONTINGENCY PERCENTAGES FOR PLANNING ESTIMATE.. 31

    5: UNALLOCATED CONTINGENCY PERCENTAGES FOR ESTIMATES ........32

    6: PROJECT COSTS WITH STREETSCAPING ...............................................32

    7: PROJECT COSTS WITHOUT STREETSCAPING........................................33

    8: CENTRAL WEST END DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL ...............................48

    9: GRAND CENTER DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL.......................................48

    10: GRAND CENTER TO 18TH STREET DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL ..........49

    11: NORTHSIDE DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL .............................................50

    12: DOWNTOWN DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL........................................... 5113: STREETCAR ROUTE DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL .................................51

    14: STREETCAR FINANCIAL OVERVIEW ......................................................73

    APPENDICES

    APPENDIX A

    COMMENTS ..................................................................................................... A-1

    APPENDIX B

    COST ESTIMATE CATEGORY DESCRIPTIONS ............................................ B-1

    STREETCAR COST ESTIMATE WITH STREETSCAPING ............................ B-4

    STREETCAR COST ESTIMATE WITHOUT STREETSCAPING ................... B-9

    APPENDIX C

    PREVIOUS PLAN DESCRIPTIONS ................................................................ C-1

    DEVELOPMENT CALCULATIONS................................................................. C-4

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    he Partnership for Downtown St. Louis sponsored the St. Louis Streetcar

    Feasibility Study, a six-month study to determine the feasibility of modern

    streetcars linking Downtown St. Louis, the near Northside, Midtown, and the

    Central West End. The purpose of the study was to:

    support the goals established in TheDowntownNext2020Visionto

    improve Downtowns accessibility;

    create a catalyst for connued economic development;

    provide addional opportunies for alternave transportaon;

    support the regions and Citys sustainability iniaves; and

    promote an environment that will retain and aract new jobs and

    residents to the City.

    When St. Louis University announced plans to move their law school from

    midtown St. Louis to downtown, the Partnership for Downtown St. Louis once

    again began the discussion of a streetcar for downtown. This move presented

    an opportunity to link the two campuses with a streetcar and fulll the goals

    of the DowntownNext Plan. The Partnership for Downtown St. Louis raised

    the private funds for the study and through a compeve selecon process,

    selected URS Corporaon to conduct the feasibility study because of the rms

    naonal modern streetcar and local transit experience.

    OBJECTIVES. The streetcar is intended to provide convenient connecons

    to large numbers of jobs, residences and major desnaons. It is designed to

    be an important part of the regions overall transit system. And, reecng the

    impact of other modern streetcars in the United States, it is designed to have

    a major impact on economic development throughout the corridors.

    MARKETS. Employment and residenal concentraons are the keys to

    transit success. The St. Louis Streetcar serves two of the greatest employment

    concentraons in the St. Louis region, Downtown St. Louis and the Central

    West End, and areas that are increasing in residenal density. It also serves

    numerous major desnaons as noted on the alignment map.

    ALIGNMENT. As depicted on the map on the following page, the streetcar

    has an east-west alignment and a north-south alignment. The east-west

    alignment runs from a western terminus at the Central West End MetroLink

    staon, with double track in the center of the Lindell-Olive corridor. In

    downtown, east of 14th Street, it is single track on Olive, 6th, Chestnut, 7th

    and Locust Streets. The north-south alignments northern terminus is on

    North Florissant Avenue at St. Louis Avenue. The double-track route runs

    south on North Florissant Avenue and 14th Streets, uses the single-track loop

    through downtown, terminang on 14th Street at Metros Civic Center staon,

    which connects to the St. Louis Gateway Mulmodal Transportaon Center,

    including Amtrak train and Greyhound bus terminals.

    EXECUTIVE SUMMARYT

    PROPOSED ST. LOUIS STREETCAR - DOWNTOWN

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    VEHICLES. The streetcars will be modern vehicles intended to aract high

    daily ridership and to provide the comfortable ride expected by regular transit

    users. The vehicles are similar to light-rail vehicles, as they have both overhead

    wires and same track gauge, and a comparable look and feel. Modern streetcars

    are available in a range of sizes. The vehicles selected for St. Louis would reect

    required passenger capacity for the inial line and potenal system expansion.

    SERVICE LEVELS. Reecng the objecve of having the streetcar be a

    key part of the overall transit system, service hours will be similar to Metros,

    with weekday hours being 5:00 AM unl midnight. Trains would run every 10

    minutes at peak periods and every 15 minutes o-peak.

    CAPITAL COST. The total capital cost is esmated between $218 million

    and $271 million, depending on such elements as streetscaping. Given the

    alignment length, the operang plan, and intenon to serve serious transit

    markets, the overall is cost is comparable with other streetcar projects around

    the United States.

    OPERATING COST. Assuming the aggressive operang plan noted above

    and exisng Metro compensaon pracces, the annual operang cost is

    esmated at $9.7 million.

    RIDERSHIP. Average weekday ridership for the streetcar is esmated

    at 7,700. This is high by United States streetcar standards. This is similar tothe esmated streetcar ridership for the rst line in Portland, which is now

    operang their fourth expansion of the system. It is reecve of the strong

    markets served and its aggressive operang plan. It is important to note that

    the streetcar is forecast to bring an addional 2,700 riders to the overall transit

    system and to increase exisng MetroLink ridership. The streetcar will provide

    a complementary service to the exisng transit system and help to serve the

    short-distance trips in the corridors.

    ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT. The streetcar, along with favorable

    market condions and a supporve policy environment, is expected to

    help spur development throughout the corridors. This is consistent with

    experience elsewhere in North America. Overall development impact is

    esmated at $540 million in the rst ve years and $2.1 billion over 20 years.

    Given the development in certain areas along the corridors, the esmate is

    considered to be conservave. For example, in the last 10 years, downtown

    has experienced $5 billion in investment.

    TRAFFIC IMPACT. Although the streetcar will be operang in city streets,

    and in most cases in mixed trac (except for a separate right-of-way on Olive

    Street between 14th Street and Grand Boulevard), analysis completed for the

    streetcar study found that the impact on vehicular ow will be minimal.

    ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT. There are no environment fatal aws thatcould prevent implementaon of the streetcar project.

    FUNDING. It is assumed that the project will require signicant federal

    nancial support for capital costs, potenally up to 50 percent of the total.

    Based on current federal evaluaon criteria, the St. Louis Streetcar would be

    likely to score well in the compeve funding process, especially given its strong

    ridership and development performance. Given that the State of Missouri

    has historically not provided funding for transit, this plan assumes no funding

    at the state level. For the local match, a transportaon development district(TDD) is recommended for the corridors, with a ered special assessment

    based on land use. Based on preliminary analysis, the TDD is expected to

    generate $10 million annually. This TDD combined with the farebox revenues,

    and potenal saving from duplicave bus route operaons could support the

    annual operaons and debt service for the project.

    COMMUNITY ENGAGEMENT. The Partnership established a Steering

    Commiee made up of experts and community leaders to review the Feasibility

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    Study process and ndings. The Steering Commiee consisted of agency part-

    ners, technical experts and representaves of organizaons who had expressed

    early interest in the project. In addion to the Steering Commiee, the Part-

    nership and Study Team held over 70 stakeholder meengs that included over

    100 stakeholders. These stakeholders included policians and their sta at the

    naonal, state, and local levels. Governmental oces whose departments may

    oversee parts of a streetcar project were consulted regularly. Regional, civic,

    community, and private organizaons with projects or services in the impact-

    ed area of a streetcar were also consulted. These meengs were held both to

    inform those about the Feasibility Study and to receive feedback and advice.

    In these informal discussions, the stakeholders overwhelmingly expressed

    support for the concept and could idenfy how the streetcar would speci -

    cally benet their community. At the stakeholder Breakfast and public Open

    House, over 270 people aended and provided 141comments on the project.

    CONCLUSION

    THE STUDY CONCLUDED THAT THE STREETCAR WOULD:

    Serve strong transit corridors with residenal density and employment

    concentraon,

    Serve approximately 7,700 riders per weekday, a strong performance for

    a new streetcar line,

    Complement, not compete with, exisng Metro service,

    Spur an esmated $540 million in development in its rst ve years of

    operaon, and $2.1 billion over 20 years,

    Have lile impact on exisng vehicular trac and no serious

    environmental impacts,

    Have a strong likelihood of receiving federal capital funding, and

    Have strong support from stakeholders and local ocials.

    THE BENEFITS OF THE STREETCAR INCLUDE:

    Aracng new residents who want alternaves to the automobile in the

    corridors,

    Aracng new employers who value access to transit,

    Connecng and building neighborhoods,

    Creang new jobs in the city,

    Providing access to jobs, instuons, schools, grocery stores and

    medical services, and

    Creang pedestrian-friendly urban environments.

    NEXT STEPS

    The next steps for the project are outlined in the meline below. To be eligible

    to secure federal funding, the streetcar project needs to be adopted into

    East-West Gateway Council of Governments long-range transportaon plan.

    An enty will also need to be idened that can help facilitate the campaignto establish the proposed transportaon development district and detailed

    nancing plan. This enty can be managed by an exisng organizaon or a new

    one can be created specically for this project. Aer that, the next technical

    phase of project development would be a federally-required environmental

    analysis led by East-West Gateway. In parallel with that analysis, project

    sponsors would need to nalize a nancial plan and a project management

    plan, both required to advance the project into engineering.

    In addion to compleng the rst modern streetcar line in St. Louis, it is

    intended that this inial line can serve as the spine for a larger streetcar

    network that links addional desnaon and jobs throughout the region.

    Adoption in East-WestGateway Long RangeTransportation Plan

    Spring 2013

    EnvironmentalAssessment

    Fall 2013 - 2014

    Financial andManagement

    Plans

    Fall 2013-2014

    Engineering andDesign

    2015

    Construction

    2016 - 2017

    Opening

    2017-2018

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    TheDowntownNext2020Vision established ambious goals for Downtown

    St. Louis to accomplish from 2010 through 2020. One of the goals in the

    Downtown Next plan is Making Downtown Accessible and Easy to Get

    Around. The Partnership for Downtown St. Louis and other stakeholders saw

    how a downtown streetcar improves accessibility. Discussions of a downtown

    streetcar became more serious when St. Louis University announced their

    plans to move their law school from midtown St. Louis to downtown. This

    move presented an opportunity to l ink the two campuses with a streetcar.

    The Partnership for Downtown St. Louis led the discussions, and raised the

    private funds for a study. An RFQ was issued and a consultant was hired to

    perform the feasibility study. The purpose of the study was to determine the

    feasibility of implemenng a modern streetcar linking downtown, the nearNorthside, Midtown, and the Central West End. The study area is shown in

    Figure 1.

    Through a compeve selecon process, the Partnership for Downtown St.

    Louis selected URS to conduct the feasibility study. URS was selected for their

    naonal modern streetcar and local transit experience. URS has been involved

    in the planning and design of the all the modern streetcar lines in operaon

    in the United States to date including, Portland, Seale, Tacoma and Tucson.

    Streetcars are gaining in popularity across the country. Modern streetcars are

    in operaon in the cies menoned above and in the nal planning stages

    or under construcon in Cincinna, Kansas City, Milwaukee, and Atlanta.

    Streetcars oer the speed, modern technology, service, reliability and

    amenies of light rail systems at a lower cost.

    The URS Team presented the study ndings to the Steering Commiee on a

    monthly basis. With guidance from the Steering Commiee, the following

    goals and objecves were established for the study of a modern streetcar:

    INTRODUCTION Increase populaon and employment in the corridors Aract new residents and employers

    Create new jobs

    Support neighborhoods and connect jobs

    Catalyze and support future development

    Increase economic vitality of downtown and the corridors

    Increase mixed-use, transit supporve development

    Improve the built environment

    Create walkable, sustainable neighborhoods

    Integrate and complement the exisng transit system

    Provide seamless connecvity

    Connect with exisng transit, bicycle and pedestrian facilies

    Increase ridership within the corridors and system-wide

    Aract choice riders to the system

    Provide passenger amenies, technologies Increase visibility of the transit system

    Reduce auto trac and improve air quality

    WHY A STREETCAR?

    An oen asked queson, is how are streetcars dierent from buses? Buses

    generally operate in exisng city streets in mixed trac. This allows routes to

    change due to modicaons in demand or schedule. It is important to have

    this exibili ty in elements of the transit system. However, bus systems do not

    provide the catalyst for development that rail systems have been documented

    to do. This is partly due to the fact that routes can and do change. There is not

    a sense of permanence.

    With xed rail, such as streetcars or light rail, the alignment and staons do not

    change. Exisng and new riders feel comfortable knowing where the route is

    and that the train will arrive as expected. This permanence gives developers,

    planners and city ocials the certainty that the alignment will not move. As a

    result, rail transit can be a catalyst for development.

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    Building a transit does not necessarily mean the development will happen.

    Transit is a part of a larger picture. If combined with connecng concentraons

    of employment and residenal areas, proper zoning, policy and incenves,

    streetcars can help to spur development. This has been documented in

    Portland and Seale. Cies where streetcars have not seen the expected

    ridership or development, typically have not provided serious transit with

    frequent headways and connecons to employment concentraons.

    The key to a successful transit system including streetcars is careful planning.

    This includes idenfying if there is a market, will there be ridership, will

    development be aracted to the corridor, will there be impacts and can the

    region aord the investment. These are some of the issues that this study will

    examine.

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    Starng in August 2012, the Partnership for Downtown St. Louis began a

    comprehensive public engagement program to garner feedback on the S t. Louis

    Streetcar concept. The mul-pronged strategy targeted the neighborhoods

    surrounding the proposed alignment and involved individual stakeholder

    meengs, monthly Steering Commiee meengs and a nal public meeng.

    The Partnership established a Steering Commiee made up of experts and

    community leaders to review the Feasibility Study process and ndings.

    The Steering Commiee consisted of agency partners, technical experts

    and representaves of organizaons who had expressed early interest in

    the project. This group of individuals reviewed the Study Teams ndings as

    informaon was collected. A sub-commiee, the Finance Commiee, was

    created to specically address the nancing piece of the Study and gain abeer understanding of the local nancing environment. These commiees

    ulmately helped shape the Feasibility Study outcomes. (List of commiee

    members can be found on the inside f ront cover.)

    In addion to the Steering Commiee, the Partnership and Study Team held

    over 100 dierent meengs that included over 130 stakeholders. These

    stakeholders included elected ocials and their sta at the naonal, state, and

    local levels; governmental oces whose departments may oversee parts of

    a streetcar project; and regional, civic, community, and private organizaons

    with projects or services in the impacted area of the streetcar. These

    meengs were held both to inform those about the Feasibility Study and to

    receive feedback and advice. In these informal discussions, the stakeholders

    overwhelmingly expressed support for the concept and could idenfy how

    the streetcar would specically benet their community. Some quesons

    focused on the logiscs of geng the project built, while other quesons

    focused on how the project would impact or connect with exisng MetroLink

    and MetroBus service, the Loop Trolley project, and who would operate the

    PUBLIC ENGAGEMENT

    system. In response, the Study Team developed a Factsheet for stakeholders

    and a list of Talking Points used by the Study Team and Steering Commiee.

    The public engagement process culminated on March 7, 2013 with a

    stakeholder breakfast and public open house at the Moto Museum.

    Forty-three stakeholders aended the breakfast which included business

    owners, community development leaders, developers, transit ocials, elected

    ocials and residents. The study team presented a brief presentaon and

    answered quesons from aendees. Comments forms were also available and

    13 were completed.

    For the public open house at the Moto Museum, a total of 228 cizens

    aended. Residents, employees and visitors were encouraged to oer

    feedback, ask quesons and voice concerns. Graphic boards depicng the

    study results were displayed, and members of the Study Team and Steering

    Commiee were available to answer quesons.

    PUBLIC OPEN HOUSE | MARCH 7, 2013

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    Comment forms were available and 128 were completed. Parcipants were

    asked to select the three most important benets they thought the streetcar

    would bring to St. Louis. The top four responses were:

    Spur new development

    Create a pedestrian friendly urban environment

    Provide alternaves to driving

    Aract new residents

    Parcipants were also asked if they would support a Transportaon

    Development District (TDD) to help fund the St. Louis Streetcar Project.

    Overwhelming aendees responded in favor of the TDD with 98 respondents

    (73 percent) selecng yes. Ten respondents selected no to indicate, they

    would not support the establishment of a TDD (7 percent) and 27 needed

    more informaon to make a decision (20 percent).

    Parcipants were also given the opportunity to provide addional comments.

    Comments covered a variety of topics including:

    In support of the streetcar project 27

    Funding/Cost/TDD 18

    Connecvity 12 Adding a south connecon 11

    Development 9

    Open House and public parcipaon - 5

    Ridership 5

    Security and safety 4

    Lane usage 4

    WOULD YOU SUPPORT A TDD TO HELP FUNDA ST. LOUIS STREETCAR SYSTEM?

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    At least 27 people commented in favor of the proposed St. Louis streetcar

    project. Many comments referenced what a great opportunity this is for St.

    Louis and how excited people are to ulize the streetcar.

    Respondents (18) also discussed concern over the cost, the benets and

    disadvantages of a TDD, and potenal funding opons for the streetcar

    including partnerships with local corporaons. Since the TDD analysis did not

    include parcipaon from the non-prot instuons (hospitals, schools, and

    other instuons) along the routes, aendees and stakeholders expressed a

    concern over these instuons receiving the benet of a streetcar without

    providing nancial support.

    Respondents also supported the connecvity a streetcar would oer and

    suggested it connect to MetroLink, MetroBus and specic streets and

    desnaons (12). Eleven respondents supported a connecon south toSouth City and Soulard neighborhood. A number of stakeholders viewed

    the streetcar in compeon with parallel MetroLink service. Throughout the

    Study, the service level of a streetcar compared to MetroLink/light-rail had to

    be dened.

    Other comments referenced potenal development along the corridor, the

    need for public parcipaon, feedback on the open house, possibilies and

    concerns about ridership, the importance of safety and security, and land

    usage for buses, cars and bicycles. A complete record of the comments and

    comment form are included inAppendix A.

    The majority of parcipants indicated they were residents (83 people) and/or

    commuters (46 people), in relaon to the study area. Addionally, 21 people

    indicated they were business owners and 24 people idened themselves as

    other category.

    A project webpage hp://www.downtownstl.org/stlstreetcar contains

    the nal report along with other project materials. During the nal stages

    of the Study, the project received signicant media aenon. The media

    included television, radio, print, and online. The comments above from the

    public engagement largely reect the comments in the media, which were

    mainly posive. Links to the media coverage can also be found on the project

    webpage.

    ONGOING OUTREACH

    In this preliminary phase, the Study Team took a targeted approach to introduce

    the concept of a streetcar. As this project moves to the environmental analysis,

    the team will conduct far more robust outreach to all of the neighborhoods

    along and near the proposed alignments.

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    MARKET ANALYSISTransit systems are most successful when they connect major desnaons and

    employment centers with residenal neighborhoods. Density drives transit

    ridership. The market analysis idened residenal and employment centers

    and desnaons to determine if the corridors had the density concentraons

    to support addional transit.

    The study area consists of two corridors, an east-west segment along Olive-

    Lindell and north-south segment on 14th Street-North Florissant Avenue. The

    north-south corridor is approximately bounded by Civic Center Metro Staon

    to the south, St. Louis Avenue to the north, 18th Street to the west and 10th

    Street to the east. The east-west corridor is bounded by the Memorial Drive

    to the east, Kingshighway to the west, Forest Park Avenue to the south and

    Delmar Boulevard to the north, as shown in Figure 1.

    Populaon in the corridor is some of

    the regions most dense, as indicated in

    Table 1 and depicted in Figure 2.

    Downtown is one of the Citys fastest

    growing and most dense neighborhoods.

    Since 2000, downtown residenal

    populaon has increased by 6,000 to

    13,500 and in 2011 populaon grew

    by 4 percent, according to the 2012

    Downtown St. Louis Progress Report.

    Midtown is an emerging residenal neighborhood, bounded by Washington

    Avenue to the north, Forest Park Avenue to the south, Spring Street to the west,

    and Jeerson Avenue to the east. Populaon in Midtown is approximately

    5,600. St. Louis University is located in this area along with Grand Center, a

    TABLE 1: EXISTING POPULATION

    LocaonExisng

    Populaon

    Downtown 13,500

    Midtown 5,600

    Central West End 14,400

    Near North St. Louis 8,500Study Area 38,000

    Source:2010Census

    major entertainment and arts center. Housing is largely mulfamily with a few

    single family residences.

    The Central West End is an established residenal neighborhood at the western

    terminus of the corridor with approximately 14,400 residents. Central West

    End has a mix of single family residents, condos and mul-family apartments.

    The Near Northside from Washington Avenue to St. Louis Avenue has a mix

    of single, aached and mul-family residenal units. The corridor includes

    Carr Square, Old North St. Louis, an emerging mixed use neighborhood with a

    small commercial center along 13th Street. This area has approximately 8,500

    residents.

    The corridors connect some of the regions most dense employment centers,

    downtown and the Central West End,as shown in as indicated in Table 2 and

    depicted in Figure 3.

    Downtown has approximately 88,000

    employees while the Central West End

    has more than 30,000 employees with

    BJC/Washington University Medical

    School located on the southern end

    of the neighborhood. Midtown is

    also an employment center with over

    9,700 employees. Midtowns largest

    employer is St. Louis University, with

    other employment associated with the entertainment district including the

    Fox Theater, Powell Hall and Grand Center.

    The Near Northside contains a few employers, especially closer to downtown,

    TABLE 2: EXISTING EMPLOYMENT

    LocaonExisng

    Employment

    Downtown 13,500

    Midtown 5,600

    Central West End 14,400

    Near North St. Louis 8,500

    Study Area 38,000

    Source:2010Census

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    where there is a small employment concentraon along Delmar and

    Washington Avenues.

    Also idened were corridor trip generators and desnaons. In downtown,

    special generators in the corridor include: Crown Candy, the planned Great

    Rivers Greenway Trestle project, the Gateway Arch, the Convenon Center, the

    Old Courthouse, City Garden, City Museum, Edward Jones Dome, Scorade

    Center, Peabody Opera House and Busch Stadium. These are local, regional

    and naonal desnaons. In Midtown, special trip generators include:

    Grand Center, Powell Hall , the Fox Theatre, St. Louis University, Harris-Stowe

    University, and Chaifetz Arena. The Central West End major trip generators

    include the CWE business district, BJC/Washington University Medical School,

    the Cathedral Basilica of St. Louis and Forest Park.

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    FIGURE 1 - ST. LOUIS STREETCAR STUDY CORRIDOR

    LEGEND

    EXISTING METROLINK

    EXISTING METROLINK STATION

    PROPOSED STREETCAR CORRIDOR

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    FIGURE 2 - EXISTING POPULATION DENSITY, 2010Source:East-WestGatewayCouncilofGovernments

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    FIGURE 3 - EXISTING EMPLOYMENT DENSITY, 2010Source:East-WestGatewayCouncilofGovernments

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    As shown on Figures 4 through 7, the streetcar alignment will include an

    east-west segment connecng Downtown St. Louis and the Central West End,

    the regions two largest employment centers, and a north-south segment

    linking downtown with developing areas on the near Northside and the Saint

    Louis Gateway Mulmodal Transportaon Center including Amtrak train and

    Greyhound bus terminals at Metros Civic Center. The two segments total

    seven miles. The east-west segment is 5.0 miles and the north-south segment

    is 1.9 miles.

    The core of the east-west alignment is a double-track line running on Olive

    Street and Lindell Boulevard between 14th Street and Taylor Avenue. Both

    streets are wide enough to allow for fast operaon (by streetcar standards) and

    relavely short travel mes, with minimal impact on trac and parking. East ofGrand Boulevard there is sucient right-of-way width to allow the streetcars

    to operate in a separate guideway, avoiding operaon in mixed trac. West

    of Grand Boulevard streetcars would share street lanes with vehicular trac.

    East of 14th Street objecves that drove decisions regarding downtown

    alignments included:

    Get as close as possible to the center of the employment concentraon.

    Minimize distance, physical and psychological, to major aracons,

    including the Arch Grounds.

    Reduce capital and operang costs.

    Minimize the number of curves to reduce noise and increase speed.

    Minimize the distance between tracks on one-way pairs. (The

    narrowness of the downtown streets precludes double-track operaon.)

    Eliminate impacts to MetroLink from streetcar construcon.

    Lessen trac impacts.

    ALIGNMENT Applicaon of those principles resulted, rst, in the eliminaon of severalopons. Impacts to MetroLink during construcon eliminated 8th Street and

    Washington Avenue. Trac impacts, as cited by the City of St. Louis and the

    Missouri Department of Transportaon, caused Broadway and 4th Street to

    be dropped, and the cost of extending the alignment from the downtown

    employment core to Memorial Drive eliminated that opon.

    This screening process resulted in a set of east-west streets that generally

    sased the evaluaon criteria listed above. These included Chestnut, Pine,

    Olive and Locust Streets. North-south opons were more limited and included

    6th-7th Street and 9th-10th Street pairs. The former set was selected because

    it is closer to the heart of the downtown employment concentraon and

    provides beer proximity to major desnaons. Olive Street is the logical

    eastbound half of an east-west one-way pair as it is a no-turn connuaon

    of the alignment west of 14th Street. This results in a decision betweenLocust and Pine for the westbound segment. Locust was selected because

    of its centrality to the employment core, and because of its more pedestrian

    friendly rst-oor uses, i.e., retail. Finally, the alignment south to Kiener Plaza

    addressed the strong desire from many stakeholders to provide direct and

    very visible pedestrian access to the Arch Grounds. (The plaza also provides a

    non-street layover point for streetcars.) In the next phase future coordinaon

    with the CityArchRiver 2015 project Gateway Mall Master Plan, and the Central

    Business District Downtown Streetscape Design Manual Update.

    Alignment recommendaons in the Central West End, west of Taylor Avenue

    were driven by the goals of geng as close as possible to the core of the

    medical complex and directly accessing MetroLinks Central West End staon.

    This addresses a project objecve of providing an important addion to

    the regions transit network, and supporng the thriving commercial and

    entertainment area centered on Euclid Avenue. Opons included a single-

    track one-way loop west on Lindell, south on Euclid Avenue, east on Forest Park

    Avenue and north on Taylor Avenue. Alternavely, the double track on Lindell

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    Boulevard could connue south on Taylor Avenue and west on Childrens Plaza,

    terminang at the Central West End MetroLink staon, where streetcars would

    reverse direcon. Further analysis in the next phase of project development

    will include consideraons of trac impacts, safety concerns, and extensive

    stakeholder and instuonal input. Addional coordinaon will be required

    with the Cortex Redevelopment Area project.

    The north-south alignment, which could be a starter segment of a longer line

    extending further north and south, would use the same downtown alignment

    as the east-west route, thus doubling service in the downtown. It would leave

    downtown heading north on 14th Street, then northwest on North Florissant

    Avenue, terminang at St. Louis Avenue. The 14th Street-North Florissant

    Avenue alignment would have double tracks running in the center of those

    streets. The southern leg would be double-track on 14th Street between

    Olive Street and the Mul-Modal Center south of Clark Street. Severalconsideraons will be looked at in more detail in the environmental analysis

    along 14th Street including the Great Rivers Greenway proposed bike path

    along 14th Street, the operaons of the Peabody/Scorade Center south of

    Market Street along 14th Street and the proposed North Side Redevelopment

    Area project.

    The Northside-Southside Alternaves Analysis used a downtown alignment on

    Convenon Plaza, a 9th Street-10th Street one-way pair, and Clark Street to

    14th Street. However, since north-south trains can access the downtown core

    on the east-west alignment, the north-south alignment has been modied to

    use a more direct 14th Street route, thus reducing capital cost.

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    FIGURE 4 - PROPOSED ALIGNMENT OPTIONS

    LEGEND

    EXISTING METROLINK

    EXISTING METROLINK STATION

    PROPOSED NORTHSIDE/SOUTHSIDE STREETCAR ALIGNMENT

    PROPOSED DOWNTOWN STREETCAR ALIGNMENTS

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    FIGURE 5 - CENTRAL WEST END ALIGNMENT OPTION 1 FIGURE 6 - CENTRAL WEST END ALIGNMENT OPTION 2LEGEND

    EXISTING METROLINK

    PROPOSED STREETCAR ALIGNMENT

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    FIGURE 7 - DOWNTOWN ALIGNMENTLEGEND

    EXISTING METROLINK

    PROPOSED STREETCAR ALIGNMENT

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    A preliminary review of trac and environmental impacts was conducted.

    The purpose of the review was to determine any fatal environmental or trac

    impacts that would prevent the project from moving forward. The results of

    the analysis indicate that impacts to trac and environmental consideraonsare not fatal. A fatal aw was considered anything that may trigger ligaon.

    TRAFFIC

    A high level trac impact analysis evaluated capacity, signalizaon and

    circulaon paerns. Figure 8 indicates the number of travel lanes and the

    annual average daily trac (AADT) on each on each segment of roadway

    within the proposed corridor.

    The AADT volumes are between 3,000 and 16,500 vehicles per day on the

    study segments. These volumes fall within the capacity ranges for the

    roadways, which have between two and seven lanes. Based on these volumes,

    the exisng street segments within the study corridors have excess capacity.

    The area nearest capacity is Lindell Boulevard at the west end of the study

    corridor.

    The street network throughout the corridor is generally a grid network, and

    the area is served by bus and light-rail transit. The east-west poron of the

    corridor roughly parallels I-64 to its south. The north-south poron roughly

    parallels I-70 to its east.

    The general character of the major streets within the corridors is discussed

    below:

    LINDELL BOULEVARD/OLIVE STREET is a two-way, ve-lane major

    arterial east of Tucker Boulevard. (Olive Street becomes Lindell Boulevard

    east of Grand Boulevard.) Parking is permied on both sides of the road and

    TRAFFIC IMPACTS there are sidewalks (typically wide) on both sides. Although it is a major east-west arterial in downtown, trac volumes are lower than might be expected

    because of its proximity to I-64 and Forest Park Parkway, another major

    arterial that accommodates slightly higher speeds and extends further west

    into St. Louis County.

    The ve-lane cross-secon allows for turning lanes at all intersecons, and

    most of the major intersecons are signalized and managed by the City of

    St. Louis. Dedicated bike lanes are planned for Lindell/Olive east of Grand

    Boulevard. This poron of Lindell/Olive is ulized by three MetroBus routes:

    #10 connects the Central West End MetroLink Staon and the Civic Center

    MetroBus Center (at the Gateway Transportaon Center), #13 travels between

    the Central West End MetroLink Staon and North St. Louis County, and #4

    links the Civic Center MetroBus Center with the North Hanley MetroLink

    Staon.

    The Bike St. Louis/Gateway Bike Plan incorporates dedicated bike lanes on

    Lindell/Olive from Grand Boulevard east to 20th Street. Development along

    this arterial is relavely dense mixed uses, including the Saint Louis University

    Campus, Grand Center, and the western poron of the St. Louis Central

    Business District (CBD).

    TAYLOR AVENUE is a two lane, two-way road with parking lanes on both

    sides throughout most of the proposed alignment. There are sidewalks on

    both sides of the road. MetroBus route #18 ulizes Taylor between the Central

    West End MetroLink Staon and OFallon Park in North St Louis City. Taylor

    serves dense residenal and some rst-oor commercial development. Most

    intersecons on Taylor are all-way stop-controlled with no turning lanes with

    the excepon of its intersecon with Forest Park Parkway. The intersecon is

    signalized with turning lanes and Taylor transions to a four-lane cross-secon.

    The Gateway Bike Plan incorporates shared bike lanes on Taylor throughout

    this segment.

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    st. Louis streetcar

    FeasibiLity study

    LeGeNd

    ProPosed st. Louisstreetcar aLiGNmeNts- FrequeNt statioNs

    streetcar termiNustobe determiNed

    existiNGmetroLiNk LiNe WitH statioNs

    ProPosed metroLiNk statioN

    ProPosed GraNd busraPid traNsit

    ProPosed NortHside/soutHside Lrt aLiGNmeNt

    General Annual Average Daily Trafc (aadt)Capacity for Urban Arterial Segments

    Number ofLanes ApproximateCapacity

    (vehicles/day)

    7................................ 47,000

    5 ............................... 30,000

    4 ............................... 25,000

    3 ............................... 17,000

    2 ............................... 15,000

    LeGeNd

    Number ofdriving lanes

    AverageDaily Trafc (AADT), vehicles/dayxx,xxx

    x

    10,000

    5

    7 6,000

    23,000

    2

    8,500

    2

    8,500

    5

    11,5005

    4,0002

    7,500

    5

    10,000

    7

    11,5007

    7,000

    5

    11,000

    5

    11,500

    5

    14,000

    5

    14,000

    5

    16,000

    5

    16,500

    5

    6,000

    2

    8,500

    4

    FIGURE 8 - PROPOSED CORRIDOR LANES AND EXISTING TRAFFIC

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    CHILDRENS PLACE is a local two-lane, two-way, street serving the BJC/

    Washington University Medical Campus. The street only extends one block

    west of Taylor Avenue. There are sidewalks on both sides of the street leading

    to the cul-de-sac at the west terminus with paths leading into the campus

    and to the adjacent Central West End MetroLink Staon. This cul-de-sac also

    serves at the terminus for the BJC/Washington University Medical School

    shule buses.

    East of Tucker Boulevard, OLIVE STREET becomes a one-way eastbound, two

    lane road with parking permied on at least one side. There are wide sidewalks

    fronng urban mul-story buildings on either side. All of the cross streets

    east of Tucker are one-way facilies as well; all intersecons are signalized and

    there are no turn lanes. No MetroBus routes ulize Olive, although mulple

    routes cross the street at 9th Street and 6th Street.

    6TH STREET, 7TH STREET, CHESTNUT STREET, and LOCUST STREET

    are generally two-lane roadways with parking lanes and wide sidewalks

    on both sides. 6th Street is one-way southbound, 7th Street is one-way

    northbound, and Chestnut is one-way eastbound. Locust Street is one-way

    westbound. Parking is restricted on one or both sides of 7th and Locust Streets

    for porons of the proposed alignment. These streets are also within the CBD

    and development is similar to Olive Street east of Tucker Boulevard. Of these

    routes, only 6th Street is a corridor for MetroBus Express routes 36X, 174X,

    58X, 410X, and 40X. The Bike St. Louis/Gateway Bike Plan Route proposes

    shared bike lanes for all of these streets.

    14TH STREET is a two-way, four-lane road. There are parking lanes and

    sidewalks on both sides throughout most of the proposed alignment with the

    excepon of the segment south of Clark Avenue where there are no parking

    lanes. The major intersecons are signalized and have dedicated turn lanes,

    the minor intersecons are stop-controlled on the cross-road.

    Because 14th Street provides access to the Civic Center MetroBus Center,

    mulple MetroBus ulize 14th Street, especially in the CBD (south of

    Washington Avenue). MetroBus routes #41 and #74 connue north to Carr

    Street and North Florissant Avenue on their way to North County, and route

    #30 connues north to St. Louis Avenue before turning west toward the Rock

    Road MetroLink Staon. As part of the Bike St. Louis/Gateway Bike Plan, 14thStreet is proposed to have shared bike lanes north of Clark Avenue, dedicated

    bike lanes north of Washington Avenue to Cole Street. In addion, 14th Street

    north of Washington is proposed for a urban greenway corridor.

    NORTH FLORISSANT AVENUE is a six-lane divided road north of 14th

    Street through Madison Street. At Madison, the median narrows and North

    Florissant becomes a seven-lane road. Parking is prohibited on the street.

    There are sidewalks on both sides through the majority of the corridor. This

    area also has a strong grid network of streets. The intersecons at Madison

    Street, North Market Street, and St. Louis Avenue are signalized, but the

    majority of intersecons with cross streets have only stop control on the minor

    (crossing) road. MetroBus route #74 ulizes North Florissant between the

    Civic Center MetroBus Center and North County. The Bike St. Louis/Gateway

    Bike Plan idenes North Florissant as a poron of the Route 66 Mul-State

    On-Street Bike Route. Dedicated bike lanes are proposed between 14th Street

    and Palm Street, with shared bike lanes north of that segment.

    Trac Signal System

    The majority of the trac signals wi thin the study corridors are part of a pre-

    med coordinated system controlled by the City of St. Louis. The excepon

    is 14th Street, although the City is steadily adding signals to its system as

    condions permit. Signals within the coordinated system have upgraded

    equipment and are interconnected. The City ulizes an ACTRA system and

    various porons of the corridors fall within dierent management groups.

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    Ancipated Streetcar Impacts

    The proposed streetcar will ulize dedicated street lanes north of Locust Street

    and west of 14th Street, and shared trac lanes within the core of the CBD.

    The exisng system has excess capacity. As shown in Figure 21, the exisng

    network has excess capacity and can be expected to accommodate both of

    those uses in their proposed segments.

    NEXT STEPS

    To further rene the trac analysis, detailed data collecon is necessary. This

    will be part of the next phase of the project. This data would include current

    trac volumes and turning movement counts at all intersecons and major

    access points within the study corridors. Volume projecons for the operang

    meframe will need to incorporate the network trac shis expected in

    2015 due to the opening of the New Mississippi River Bridge (NMRB) and

    CityArchRiver 2015 (CAR 2015) projects.

    Using streetcar demand forecasts, impacts to the street and signal control

    network directly resulng from the proposed system can be dened. Aer

    impacts are determined, migaon and enhancements to the exisng system

    will be invesgated.

    The addional data will also support a detailed study of potenal circulaon

    impacts at the block, local, and regional levels. Block level circulaon includes

    pedestrian concerns such as street crossings, security, and connuity and

    property concerns such as access, ow, and parking. Local circulaon would

    look further into aspects such as the bicycle network and how to maintain and

    enhance that system. Regional circulaon would focus on the maintaining and

    enhancing transit connecvity within the MetroLink and MetroBus systems

    as well as for commuter systems from Illinois, for example Madison County

    Transit.

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    A review of the environmental consideraons associated with the proposed

    alignment was conducted. The purpose of the review was to determine if

    there were any fatal aws.

    For this type of project in an exisng right-of-way and within an urban area,

    impacts are mostly associated with social/economic consideraons. These

    include environmental jusce, neighborhoods and community facility, cultural

    resources, Title VI compliance, and visual and aesthec resources. Natural

    impacts such as biological resources, endangered species, wetlands and ood

    plains tend to have less impact. While the review indicated no fatal aws,

    parkland, noise, environmental jusces, and visual and aesthec resources will

    need further analysis to determine potenal impacts during the next phase of

    the project.

    Parkland

    The proposed alignment includes a staon in Kiener Plaza park located

    on Chestnut Street between 6th Street and 7th Street downtown. The

    Department of Transportaon (DOT) Acon of 1966 includes a provision,

    Secon 4(f) that requires DOT agencies including the FTA, cannot approve

    the use of land from publicly owned parks, recreaonal areas, wildlife and

    waterfowl refuges, or public and private historical sites unless the following

    condions apply:

    There is no feasible and prudent alternave to use of the land.

    The acon includes all possible planning to minimize harm to the

    property resulng from use.1

    As Kiener Plaza is a public park, a Secon 4(f) analysis would be required in the

    next environmental phase.

    Noise

    Streetcars have lower noise levels than city buses. Streetcar noise is mostly

    generated by curves in the alignment and the sound of the horn. The

    alignment includes several turns in both the eastern and western ends of the

    corridor. The downtown turns include:

    14th Street and Olive Street

    Olive Street and 6th Street

    6th Street and Chestnut Street

    Chestnut Street and 7th Street

    7th Street and Locust Street

    Locust Street and 14th Street

    The Central West End Opon 1 turns include:

    Lindell and Taylor Avenue

    Taylor Avenue and Childrens Place

    The Central West End Opon 2 turns include:

    Lindell and Euclid Avenue

    Euclid Avenue and Forest Park Avenue

    Forest Park Avenue and Taylor Avenue

    Taylor Avenue and Lindell

    During the next environmental phase of the project, these intersecons will be

    reviewed further for noise impacts.

    Streetcars are only required to sound their horns in an emergency, not at

    every grade crossing like MetroLink. This helps reduce the noise level as the

    alignment is street running with limited exclusive right-of-way. During the next

    environment phase, a more detailed analysis of areas sensive to noise levels

    such as areas designated for serenity uses, including parks, historic landmarks

    and concert pavilions, residenal and instuonal areas will be conducted.

    ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS

    1U.S. Department of Transportaon

    Federal Highway Administraon

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    Environmental Jusce

    Environmental jusce

    refers to the fair treatment

    and engagement of the

    people regardless of

    race, income, or naonalorigin in the development

    or implementaon of

    environmental regulaons.

    The alignment traverses

    through neighborhoods with

    disadvantaged populaons

    on the north-south

    alignment and the east-

    west alignment. Figure 9 at

    right provides the median

    household incomes for the

    enre corridor. The light blue

    areas indicate areas with

    disadvantaged populaons. In the next phase of the project, further analysis

    will determine whether or not the direct, indirect, and cumulave eects

    would disproporonately burden these populaons.

    Visual and Aesthecs

    The proposed alignment of the streetcar would be within the exisng right-

    of-way and share exisng trac lanes throughout the corridor. The corridor

    includes established neighborhoods including the CBD, the near Northside,

    Midtown and the Central West End. Each of these neighborhoods has

    disncve characteriscs and aesthec qualies. It will be important in the

    next phase to determine if the overhead wires, staons and construcon

    impact these neighborhoods.

    NEXT STEPS

    The environmental consideraons that will be analyzed in more detail during

    the next phase include:

    Trac

    Transit

    Land Use

    Economic

    Neighborhoods and

    Community Facilies

    Environmental Jusce

    Title VI Compliance

    Visual and Aesthec Resource

    Cultural Resources

    Noise and Vibraon

    Air Quality

    Energy

    Parks and Recreaon

    Secon 4(f)

    Public Safety

    Biological Resources and

    Endangered Species

    Geology and Soils

    Wetlands, Water and Floodplains

    FIGURE 9 - MEDIAN HOUSEHOLD INCOMESource:East-WestGatewayCouncilofGovernments

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    The purpose of ridership projecons is to provide a quick, order-of-magnitude

    esmate of likely ridership for the proposed St. Louis Streetcar. An approach

    was employed that makes extensive use of an exisng tool developed by the

    Federal Transit Administraon (FTA) and its contractors. This tool is known asthe Aggregate Rail Ridership Forecasng Model Version 2 (ARRF-2).

    ARRF-2 was calibrated for exisng light rail and commuter rail lines that typically

    operate at higher speeds over longer distances than streetcar systems. To

    conrm, its applicability to streetcars, the model was tested and adjusted to

    be representave of streetcar ridership observed in Portland, Oregon. It was

    also tested to conrm that it properly represents current MetroLink ridership

    in St. Louis.

    DEFINITION OF ALTERNATIVE

    The streetcar alternave consists of an east-west segment traveling between

    the Central West End MetroLink staon and Downtown St. Louis and a north-

    south segment traveling between North Florissant/St. Louis and 14th/Clark

    Streets. The east-west alignment generally follows Lindell Boulevard and Olive

    Street. In Downtown St. Louis (east of 14th Street), the eastbound track is

    located on Olive Street and the westbound track is located on Locust Street.

    ARRF-2 requires that paired staons (i.e., the staons on Olive and Locust

    Streets that separately serve eastbound and westbound direcons) be coded

    as a single staon. For this analysis, the Olive Street staons were coded and

    assumed to be generally representave of the corresponding staons on

    Locust Street.

    RIDERSHIP FORECAST Service frequencies on both lines are assumed as follows: From 5 AM to 9 AM, 10 minute

    headways

    From 9 AM to 3 PM, 15 minute

    headways

    From 3 PM to 6 PM, 10 minuteheadways

    From 6 PM to 12 Midnight, 15

    minute headways

    ESTIMATES OF

    STREETCAR RIDERSHIP

    The forecasng model was run using the

    same input travel demand data used to

    validate current esmates of MetroLink

    ridership including 2000 Census, Journey

    to Work data. The results reported in

    this secon do not account for potenal

    populaon and employment growth in

    the corridor that may occur in the future.

    As such, the analysis represents an inial

    order-of-magnitude esmate rather

    than the outcome of a full forecasng

    assignment.

    ARRF model results suggest that if the

    streetcar were operaonal today, the east-

    west route would aract 5,900 daily riders

    and the north-south route would aract

    1,800 daily riders-for a total of 7,700

    daily riders. Staon-by-staon ridership is

    shown in Table 3 at right.

    TABLE 3: DAILY RIDERSHIP

    StaonDaily

    Boardings

    CENTRAL WEST END 1,345

    Taylor/Sco 36

    Taylor/Laclede 61

    Taylor/Lindell 416

    Lindell/Newstead 267

    Lindell/Sarah 367

    Lindell/Vandeventer 244

    Lindell/Grand 173

    Olive/Compton 280

    Olive/Jeerson 635

    Olive/20th Street 166

    Olive/16th Street 216

    Olive Transfer 120

    Olive/10th 246

    Olive/6th 24

    8TH AND PINE 1,272

    Sub-Total E to W 5,868

    Florissant/St. Louis 381

    Florissant/Madison 114

    14th/Biddle 121

    14th/Delmar 260

    Olive Transfer 111

    Market/14th 13

    CIVIC CENTER 801

    Sub-Total N to S 1,801

    TOTAL STREETCAR 7,669

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    IMPACTS ON METROLINK

    The impacts of the streetcar system on MetroLink and the Metro system

    are posive although modest. The streetcar is expected to aract over 500

    addional MetroLink riders and 2,700 new transit riders. Of the 7,700 total

    ridership, only 10 percent (750 trips) are traveling enrely within the east-west

    corridor. The remaining trips are either traveling in the north-south Corridor

    or are transferring from MetroLink to the east-west streetcar line and are

    unlikely to have diverted from MetroLink.

    Having an integrated transit system with several types of rail is not unique.

    Various rail types such as light-rail and streetcar have dierent trip purposes.

    Light-rail serves the longer distance trip, while streetcars serve the shorter

    distance trip. The systems complement each other and generally do not

    compete for riders. Portland Oregon has successfully implemented light-

    rail and streetcar. Seale is another example of a city with both light-rail andstreetcar. Atlanta is currently building a streetcar system that will integrate

    with the exisng heavy rail system. Minneapolis is studying streetcars to

    connect downtown to surrounding neighborhoods that would integrate with

    the exisng light rail and commuter rail system.

    The relavely low number of streetcar trips that could have been diverted

    from MetroLink is probably due to the fact that the streetcar is considerably

    slower than the compeng MetroLink line. Central West End to downtown is

    40 minutes by streetcar and 13 minutes by MetroLink resulng in relavely

    few line-haul trips diverng from MetroLink to streetcar.

    The trips that did divert were esmated by assuming that approximately half

    of all streetcar trips in the compeng markets were diverted from MetroLink

    and the remaining half were either diverted from bus or are new trips. This

    results in an esmate of 375 daily trips being diverted from MetroLink. The

    streetcar is expected to aract approximately 2,700 new riders and 500 of

    these riders are expected to transfer to the MetroLink system.

    NEXT STEPS

    It is important to note that this is a sketch-level assessment of potenal

    ridership. To meet the needs of the FTA New Starts process, a more detailed

    assessment of ridership is required.

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    OPERATIONS PLANDeveloping an operaons plan for a streetcar line is a careful balance between

    projected ridership and the service paern to be provided. Not only are

    the factors interrelated, they mutually impact one another; beer service

    increases ridership, and more ridership requires more service. Ridership issensive to such factors as weather, me of day, frequency, speed, economic

    development and the price of gas and parking. Thus, it is important that the

    system be capable of adjusng service levels to demand within a fairly broad

    range, in order to provide good cost control.

    In developing the operaons plan, providing a seamless network to the

    exisng transit system is a priority. For example, it will be important that hours

    of service and fare structure complement the exisng system. While the

    operator of the streetcar will not be determined at this phase of the project,

    the streetcar should be an integrated part of the overall transit system,

    regardless of the operator.

    RIDERSHIP

    The ridership esmate for the inial streetcar is 7,700 daily riders, the number

    used for this operang plan. Likewise, the operang plan described below has

    been used for ridership forecasng.

    DETERMINANTS OF OPERATING PATTERN

    DAYS OF SERVICE

    Almost all rail transit lines provide service seven days per week, which is the

    plan of the St. Louis Streetcar. However, as discussed below, this does not

    mean that the hours of service do not vary somewhat, depending on the day

    of the week.

    HOURS OF SERVICE

    It is important that St. Louis Streetcar be an integrated part of the exisng

    transit system in the St. Louis area. It is recommended the hours of operaon

    be the same or similar to MetroLink and MetroBus. For this study, the hours of

    service were assumed to be 5:00 a.m. to midnight, Monday through Sunday.

    SCHEDULE SPEED

    The average schedule speed includes me at each stop, plus make-up me

    and layover me at the end of each trip. The inial average schedule speed

    has been set to be similar to that of MetroBus lines on roadways similar to

    Olive, Lindell, the downtown area and the streets in the vicinity of the BJC/

    Washington University Medical School.

    INTERCONNECTIONS

    The St. Louis Streetcar connects directly with MetroLink and MetroBus services

    at the CWE Metro Staon, and provides convenient transfer with bus services

    along the route. It serves Civic Center staon as well, and is a short walk to the

    light rail staon at 8th and Pine in downtown and Convenon Center Staon at

    Washington Avenue and 6th Street.

    FREQUENCY

    Frequency of service (headway) is arguably the most important service

    factor in maximizing ridership. The minimum safe headway is determined by

    schedule speed, distance between stops, and number of vehicles. A typical

    headway is 10 minutes. This headway provides service frequently enough that

    a printed schedule is not needed. This service frequency range is common in

    peak hours in systems around the country. A primary objecve for the St. Louis

    Streetcar is to provide serious and frequent service. It is recommended that

    peak period service be every 10 minutes. This would provide a considerable

    increase in service to the exisng bus service in the corridors.

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    O-peak-service for rail transit lines is generally in the 15 to 30 minute range.

    For the St. Louis Streetcar, with its many connecons to MetroBus and

    MetroLink, a compable headway to these lines of 15 minutes is suggested.

    For those mes where service must be provided as a system policy, even

    though ridership is minimal, headways may be even longer.

    PRELIMINARY OPERATIONS PLAN

    Given the various factors that dene a service level, and the desire to provide

    a robust service at minimal operang cost, the following operang plan has

    been developed for the east-west and north-south routes of the St. Louis

    Streetcar:

    Both routes operate seven days per week

    Both routes operate the same headways:

    5 AM to 9 AM every 10 minutes

    9 AM to 3 PM - every 15 minutes

    3 PM to 6 PM every 10 minutes

    6 PM to 12 Midnight every 15 minutes

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    COSTSThe methodology for developing the capital and operang costs are detailed

    below. Esmates are based on FTAs capital cost format and used in New Starts

    projects. The cost esmate is designed to evolve throughout project phases

    but be as accurate as possible at each stage.

    CAPITAL COST METHODOLOGY

    The approach used for the capital cost esmate is based on FTAs capital cosng

    format, the Standard Cost Categories (SCC), established in 2005 to provide a

    consistent format for the reporng, esmang, and managing of capital costs

    for New Starts projects. Cost esmates produced under this methodology

    can be tracked and audited as the project denion moves forward from

    conceptual design to nal design and construcon.

    ESTIMATE DEVELOPMENT

    Conceptual alignments and typical secons formed the basis for quanfying

    project improvements into units of work. Appropriate unit pricing was

    developed from historical cost data, applied to the quanes, and summed

    into cost categories to complete the cost esmate.

    Current Year Dollars

    The capital costs were esmated in current year 2012 US dollars (2012$).

    Escalaon

    Escalaon factors are somemes necessary when using costs that are

    older than the current year by one or more years. In this case, historical

    construcon cost index values can be used to calculate an escalaon factor for

    the period in queson. Addionally, it may be necessary to take the current

    year esmate and project it to a future base year or year of expenditure. In this

    case, an escalaon factor will be developed using historical construcon cost

    index values to calculate the most recent moving average for the me period

    between the current year and the projected base year. This factor would be

    used to escalate cost categories to the projected year of expenditure.

    Unit Costs

    Unit costs were developed from selected historical data including, 2011

    contractor bid tabs for the Tucson, Portland, and Seale Streetcar projectscurrently under construcon, engineers esmates, and standard esmang

    pracces. The unit cost prices include contractor overhead and prot.

    Conngencies

    Conngency addresses the potenal for quanty uctuaons and cost

    variability when items of work are not readily apparent or unknown at the

    current level of design. Conngency is assigned in two major categories,

    allocated and unallocated.

    Allocated conngency is used during the planning stages of a project when

    the level of design development is usually below 30 percent complete. Based

    on the level of design development a conngency allowance of between 15

    and 30 percent will be allocated by cost categories. The percentage selected

    is based on professional experience and judgment related to the potenal

    variability of costs within each of these cost categories. Table 4 above lists the

    percentages that are normally used for allocated conngencies.

    TABLE 4: ALLOCATED CONTINGE NCY PERCENTAGESFOR PLANNING ESTIMATE

    SCC Descripon Percentage

    10 Guideway and Track Elements 15

    20 Staons, Stops, Terminals, Intermodals 20

    30 Support Facilies: Yards, Shops, Administraon Bldgs 25

    40 Sitework and Special Condions 25

    50 Systems 20

    60 Right-of-Way, Land, Exisng Improvements 30

    70 Vehicles 15

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    Unallocated conngency is used for the same reasons described for allocated

    conngency. When a project has entered the advanced design phases and

    design development is 30 percent or more complete there is generally more

    detail for unit price and quanty development.

    During the planning stages, allocated and unallocated conngencies are appliedseparately but the total conngency is the result of their combined eect.

    Esmates prepared in the advanced design stages would only include unallocated

    conngencies. Table

    5 at le lists the

    percentages that are

    normally used and

    when they would be

    applied.

    COST CATEGORIES

    Cost categories were used to summarize the unit prices into a comprehensive

    total esmate for each segment. The major cost categories are listed and

    described in greater detail below:

    Guideway and Track Elements

    Stops

    Support Facilies

    Sitework and Special Condions

    Systems

    Right-of-Way, Land, Exisng Improvements

    Vehicles

    Professional Services

    Unallocated Conngency

    Finance Charges

    Capital costs for the rst four categories were calculated using unit costs and

    measured quanes for each sub-category. Systems costs were calculated by

    either the alignment length or when possible a measurable quanty. When a

    route-foot unit cost was used it was developed using historical data that could

    be applied to the route length.

    The professional services categories are calculated as a percentage of

    construcon costs (excluding vehicle procurement). These percentages are

    discussed in the Professional Services Secon (Appendix B). The sum of these

    ten cost categories is the total capital cost esmate. The ten cost categories

    are described in detail inAppendix B.

    CAPITAL COSTS

    The esmate was prepared using a template organized into two levels. The

    rst level is the SCC primary category and the second is the SCC sub-category.

    The esmate spreadsheets are inAppendix B.

    The capital costs are

    esmated to range

    between $218 million and

    $271 million depending on

    the amount of streetscape

    implemented. The $271

    million esmate includes

    the rebuilding of the

    street, building face to

    building face along with

    the construcon of the

    streetcar and a 10 to 15

    minute operaon plan.

    Table 6 at right provides

    the cost breakdown for the opon that includes a full streetscaping plan.

    TABLE 5: UNALLOCATED CONTINGENCY

    PERCENTAGES FOR ESTIMATES

    EsmateType Descripon Percentage

    PlanningSystem Planning 20

    Alternaves Analysis 15

    Design

    Preliminary Engineering 20

    Final Design 15

    Construcon 10

    TABLE 6: PROJECT COSTS WITH

    STREETSCAPING

    Descripon Total Cost

    Guideway and Track $37 million

    Staons $4 million

    Support Facilies $7 million

    Sitework and Special Condions $76 million

    Systems $25 million

    Right-of-Way $0 million

    Vehicles $52 million

    Professional Services $40 million

    Unallocated Conngency $30 million

    Total $271million

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    This esmate was further divided into segments of the corridor:

    Downtown (east of 14th Street): $58 million

    Grand to 14th Street: $76 million

    14th Street, St. Louis Avenue to Civic Center: $67 million

    Lindell Boulevard - Central West End To Grand Boulevard: $70 million

    The $218 million cost esmate does not include streetscaping but does

    assume the same operang plan. Table 7below provides the cost summary

    for an opon with a limited streetscaping plan.

    Downtown (east of 14th Street): $56 million

    Grand to 14th Street: $68 million

    14th Street, St. Louis Avenue to Civic Center: $55 million

    Lindell Boulevard - Central West End To Grand Boulevard: $46 million

    OPERATING COSTS

    METHODOLOGY

    Cost Elements

    In approximang the cost of a streetcar line at the early planning stage, one

    common method is to calculate the annual vehicle-hours by mulplying the

    cost per hour actually experienced by similar operaons, adjusted if necessaryto reect unusual or locaon-specic variaons. Cost per hour is a reasonable

    surrogate for overall costs because the bulk of the costs incurred in a streetcar

    operaon are directly related to this measure. For example, operators

    wages and fringes and power, which make up the majority of system costs,

    are directly related to hours. Similarly, although vehicle maintenance is also a

    funcon of miles, if a fairly constant schedule speed is achieved, then mileage-

    related costs can be related to hours. Fixed facility costs (track and OCS) and

    administrave costs do not relate perfectly to vehicle-hours, yet these form a

    minor percentage of overall costs for streetcars, and can be approximated in

    the cost per vehicle-hour with sucient accuracy for typical feasibility studies.

    Range of Unit Costs

    A streetcar line in mixed trac has operang characteriscs very similar in

    many ways to that of a bus route. Schedule speeds are comparable, operators

    have similar concerns, stop spacing is roughly the same, and the signal systems,

    train operaons and