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  • 8/2/2019 SSRN-id1753626

    1/5Electronic copy available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1753626

    IntroductionThe economical and psychological researches

    during the past decades have granted special

    attention the entrepreneur ship, its emerging

    and maintenance conditions, in the context

    where a direct connection with the

    economical development had been hyphened.

    The preoccupations in the economical

    psychology aimed, preponderantly, the

    finding of those psychological treats/factors

    that are in some way or another implicated in

    the augmentation and predicting of

    entrepreneurial tendency.A remarkable number of researches (Gilad,

    1982; Gartner, 1985; Perry 1990; Bygrave

    1993; Kaufmann & Walsh 1995) evidenced

    the capacity of Internal Locus of Control of

    predicting the propensity of a person for

    employing in a small business type

    entrepreneurial activity. All extensive

    research showed that an internal locus of control has been one of the psychological

    characteristics most often used as predictive

    of entrepreneurship (Perry 1990; and

    Kaufmann &Walsh 1995). Also, a person

    with an internal locus of control is more likely

    to believe that environmental influences, such

    as the economy, can be influenced rather than

    passively accepted (Wheatly, Anthony, &

    Maddox 1991; and Ward 1993). Moreover, a

    correlation is believed to exist between

    Entrepreneurs and the possession of an

    internal locus of control (Sapp and Harrod

    1993). In the actual situation of global

    economical crisis, the economical growth and

    the future prosperity are seriously doubted,

    owing both to the great number of SME who

    bankrupted, and to the dramatic decrease of

    the newly established SMEs.

    PurposeRomania recorded during 2004 -2008 one of

    the highest growth rates in the European

    Union, registering in the last quarter before

    the crisis a net increase of 8.9% and a budget

    deficit of 1.2% of GDP One of the main

    sources of economic growth was consideredto be consumption financed by bank loans.

    The national government has tried to respond

    to the crisis situation with a set of public

    policies designed to reduce social and

    economic impact. The immediate effect was

    rather the opposite: more than 300,000 SMEs

    have been closed and the number of

    unemployed reached almost one millionpeople. For this situation seem to be

    responsible factors of "objective" nature as

    well as factors of psychological nature.

    Among factors of "objective" nature might be

    included low efficiency of public policies

    initiated in response to the economic crisis

    and the changing attitude of banks in terms of

    investment and consumption loans. Amongpsychological factors there is the mass -

    media reaction in Romania regarding the

    global crisis, which has sent in printed and

    audio-visual media messaged mostly of

    "catastrophic" type, with increased negative

    character. Most television stations have rather

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    preferred the approach of "tabloid" manner in

    the presentation of economic and social

    effects of me crisis.

    Therefore we have decided to

    experimentally evaluate the possible

    interaction effect of factors such as

    exposure to negative media messages

    regarding the state of the economy and

    personal perceptions on source/value of

    money regarding young people Tendency

    to invest in a small business.

    Method

    In order to evaluate the possible effect of factors such as exposure to negative media

    messages regarding the state of the economy

    and personal perceptions on source - value of

    money regarding the young people tendency

    to invest in a small business, we used an

    experimental method, 2x2 factorial design

    with independent groups.

    ParticipantsA total of 273students from the Faculty of

    Economics, specializing in Management and

    Finance-Banks were recruited and completed

    Rotter's Locus of Control Scale, student's

    form. After applying, there were eliminated

    the students who had obtained scores over or

    equal to 13 points, respectively those

    considered to have an external LOC,

    maintaining a total of 181 study participants

    with scores below 13. We thus obtained a

    sample of 181 students, made up of 62% girls

    and 38% male, average age 21.4 years (SD =

    3.22).

    From the theoretical point of view they should

    follow a strong tendency to engage in

    entrepreneurial activities and a low tendency

    to passively accept an external situation and

    the precarious state of the economy.

    ProcedureThe 181 pre-selected participants were

    randomly divided into four experimental

    groups (scenarios) within a 2x2 type between

    subject design experiment Out of these 152

    students actually participated in the

    experiment.

    Experimental Variables In the framework of the experiment two

    independent variables were manipulated, with

    2 levels each, respectively:

    VII: Source of money (money won at lottery

    versus money derived from credit) ; VI2:

    media messages (containing strongly negative

    economic information versus neutral

    economic content)

    Experimental scenarios:

    Scenario 1: Subjects watched a video with

    duration of 12 minutes, which contained a set

    of news about the economic situation in

    Romania, with strongly negative news. Later,

    the viewing subjects decided by filling in a

    questionnaire, how much money they should

    invest in a small business under the conditions

    that they would have won at the lottery sum

    of 300,000 lei (about 70,000 Eur).

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    Scenario 2: Subjects watched a video with

    duration of 12 minutes, which contained a set

    of news about the economic situation in

    Romania, with strongly negative news. Later,

    the viewing subjects decided by filling in a

    questionnaire, how much money they should

    invest in a small business under the conditions

    that a bank would have preselected them for a

    very advantageous loan of 300,000 lei

    (approx. 70 000 Eur).

    Scenario, 3: Subjects watched a video with

    duration of 12 minutes, which contained a

    story about the ocean, with neutral content.

    Later, the viewing subjects decided by filling

    in a questionnaire, how much money they

    should invest in a small business under the

    conditions that they would have won at the

    lottery sum of 300,000 lei (about 70,000 Eur).

    Scenario 4: Subjects watched a video with

    duration of 12 minutes, which contained a

    story about the ocean, with neutral content.

    Later, the viewing subjects decided by filling

    in a questionnaire, how much money they

    should invest in a small business, under the

    conditions that a bank would have preselected

    them for a very advantageous loan of 300,000

    lei (approx. 70 000 Eur).

    ResultsThe 152 students were exposed to the four

    experimental scenarios and the Dependent

    Variable DV level was measured on a ratio

    scale (amount of Invested money express in

    thousand Lei

    Table 1: Descriptive Statistics for all

    experimental groups

    A Source of money (2) x Media messages (2)

    analysis of variance was used to test

    differences between means for significance.

    Figure 1 shows the mean DV for the two

    experimental factors and reveals that the

    effect of F2 Media messages was much larger

    for Invested money (DV) than it-was the

    effect of Fl Source of money.

    For the analysis of null hypothesis for the

    main effects of the 2 factors and for the

    interaction effect there has been used Two-

    Way Analysis of Variance (ANOVA), with

    results shown in Table 2.

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    Table 2: Tests of Between -Subjects Effects

    The main effect Fl Source of money was not

    significant, F(l,148)=2.271, p=0.577, so no

    experimental evidence that Invested money

    amount differ in relationship with Fl Source

    of money factor. The main effect F2 Media

    messages was significant, F(l,148)=6.806,pO.GT, proving evidence that Invested money

    amount differ in relationship with tip of media

    message exposure: the level of investment

    temptation is significant superior for Neutral

    messages scenario of F2 (Table 3).

    Table 3: F2 Estimates

    The variability associated with the interaction

    of the two independent variables is not

    significant,F(l,148)=2.271, p=0.134, so no experimental

    evidence that Invested money amount differ

    in relationship with Source of money x Media

    messages interaction

    DiscussionsInitial assumptions based on existing theories

    and previous researches have been infirmed.

    Thus, we

    expect for young people with internal LOC

    the negative message versus neutral messageto produce an insignificant difference,

    individuals having alleged ability to consider

    the external environment as controllable and

    adjustable. Average of potentially invested

    amounts by the exposed subjects to "negative

    media messages" was significantly lower than

    average of amounts invested by the subjects

    exposed to the "media message neutral" of

    factor F2 (p 0.001). Also, we expect that

    young people have a significantly greater

    tendency to invest money without cost and

    without risk taking, like win the lottery,

    against those who would fund a possible

    investment by bank credit. For F1 the primary

    effect is insignificant (p 0.05). Lack of main

    effect Fl most likely causes no interaction

    effect. It is plausible to think that mostly

    negative economic news create a strong

    emotional display, causing negative attitudes

    regarding the entrepreneurship tendency. The

    existence of such an emotional display could

    later or simultaneously make the effect of one

    factor or another to become insignificant. It

    seems reasonable to believe that both

    reduction of consumption, and the dramatic

    decrease in number of small businesses

    opened in Romania in 2009-2010 (both with

    values significantly higher than the EU

    average) is partially influenced by dominant

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    paradigm and negative media messages in

    Romania. This conclusion emphasizes the

    possible need for a realistic/

    positive public communication strategy,

    public-financed and distributed by public and

    independent media channels, to mitigate the

    "psychological crisis" of investment and

    consumption.

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