(a) Carbon dioxide 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 370 380 390 400 410 420 430 440 450 460 Surface mole fractions (ppm) SH monthly average NH monthly average Global monthly average NASA AQUA SH mean NASA AQUA NH mean NASA AQUA global mean Petrenko-2010 - monthly high NH WDCGG - global monthly average NOAA MBL - SH monthly average NOAA MBL - NH monthly average NOAA MBL - global monthly average NOAA MBL - global annual average NOAA MBL - NH annual average NOAA MBL - SH annual average WDCGG (2015) CMIP5 hist. CMIP5 ctrl. MAGICC concentrations NASA_AQUA_data_annual_GM_mean NASA_AQUA_data_annual_NH_mean NASA_AQUA_data_annual_SH_mean Global annual average NH annual average SH annual average NOAA global mean draft AR6 data Panel a - CO2 Raw station data: NOAA_surface_ﬂask: 000, ABP, ALT, AMS, AMY, ASC, ASK, AVI, AZR, BAL, BHD, BKT, BME, BMW, BRW, BSC, CBA, CGO, CHR, CIB, CMO, CPT, CRZ, DRP, DSI, EIC, GMI, GOZ, HBA,HPB, HUN, ICE, IZO, KEY, KUM, KZD, KZM, LEF, LLB, LLN, LMP, MBC, MEX, MHD, MID, MKN, MLO, N03, N05, N06, N09, N10, N12, N15, N18, N20, N21, N25, N30, NAT, NMB, NWR,OPW, OXK, PAL, PSA, PTA, RPB, S05, S10, S15, S20, S25, S30, S35, SDZ, SEY, SGP, SHM, SMO, SPO, STC, STM, SUM, SYO, TAP, THD, TIK, USH, UTA, UUM, WIS, WLG, ZEP 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 1700 1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 Surface mole fractions (ppb) SH monthly average NH monthly average Global monthly average Petrenko-2010 - monthly high NH WDCGG - global monthly average NOAA MBL - SH monthly average NOAA MBL - NH monthly average NOAA MBL - global monthly average NOAA MBL - global annual average NOAA MBL - NH annual average NOAA MBL - SH annual average WDCGG (2015) CMIP5 hist. CMIP5 ctrl. MAGICC concentration Global annual average NH annual average SH annual average Panel b - CH4 Raw station data: AGAGE_gc-md_monthly: cgo, mhd, rpb, smo, thd NOAA_surface_ﬂask: 000, ABP, ALT, AMS, AMY, ASC, ASK, AVI, AZR, BAL, BHD, BKT, BME, BMW, BRW, BSC, CBA, CGO, CHR, CIB, CMO, CPT, CRZ, DRP, DSI, EIC, GMI, GOZ, HBA, HPB, HUN, ICE, ITN, IZO, KEY, KUM, KZD, KZM, LEF, LLB, LLN, LMP, MBC, MEX, RPB, S05, S10, S15, S20, S25, S30, S35, SDZ, SEY, SGP, SHM, SMO, SPO, STM, SUM, SYO, TAP, THD, TIK, USH, UTA, UUM, WIS, WKT, WLG, ZEP (b ) Methane SSP 2030 range NH NH NH GL GL GL SH SH SH SSP 2030 range SSP 2030 range Legend for data sources of shown station data (grey dots): (c) Nitrous oxide NOAA/AGAGE Global mean draft AR6 data NOAA/AGAGE global mean draft AR6 data This study: This study: This study: Literature: Literature: Literature: MHD, MID, MKN, MLO, N03, N05, N06, N09, N10, N12, N15, N18, N20, N21, N25, N30, NAT, NMB, NWR, OPW, OXK, PAL, PSA, PTA, 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 315 320 325 330 335 340 345 Surface mole fractions (ppb) SH monthly average NH monthly average Global monthly average WDCGG - global monthly average WDCGG (2015) CMIP5 hist. CMIP5 ctrl. MAGICC concentration Global annual average NH annual average SH annual average Panel c - N2O Raw station data: AGAGE_gc-md_monthly: cgo, mhd, rpb, smo, thd HATS_GLOBAL_combined: alt, brw, cgo, kum, mhd, mlo, nwr, psa, smo, spo, sum, tdf, thd <-- Historical Future SSP runs --> <-- Historical Future SSP runs --> <-- Historical Future SSP runs -->

SSP 2030 range NH M e t h a n e GL SH SSP 2030 range SH … · 2020. 8. 13. · RPB, S05, S10, S15, S20, S25, S30, S35, SDZ, SEY, SGP, SHM, SMO, SPO, STM, SUM, SYO, TAP, THD, TIK,

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(a) Carbon dioxide

2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

370

380

390

400

410

420

430

440

450

460Su

rfac

e m

ole

frac

tions

(ppm

)

SH monthly averageNH monthly averageGlobal monthly average

NASA AQUA SH meanNASA AQUA NH meanNASA AQUA global meanPetrenko-2010 - monthly high NHWDCGG - global monthly averageNOAA MBL - SH monthly averageNOAA MBL - NH monthly averageNOAA MBL - global monthly averageNOAA MBL - global annual averageNOAA MBL - NH annual averageNOAA MBL - SH annual averageWDCGG (2015)

CMIP5 hist.CMIP5 ctrl.MAGICC concentrationsNASA_AQUA_data_annual_GM_meanNASA_AQUA_data_annual_NH_meanNASA_AQUA_data_annual_SH_mean

Global annual averageNH annual averageSH annual average

NOAA global mean draft AR6 data

Panel a - CO2 Raw station data:NOAA_surface_�ask: 000, ABP, ALT, AMS, AMY, ASC, ASK, AVI, AZR, BAL, BHD, BKT, BME, BMW, BRW, BSC, CBA, CGO, CHR, CIB, CMO,CPT, CRZ, DRP, DSI, EIC, GMI, GOZ, HBA,HPB, HUN, ICE, IZO, KEY, KUM, KZD, KZM, LEF, LLB, LLN, LMP, MBC, MEX, MHD, MID, MKN, MLO, N03, N05, N06, N09, N10, N12, N15, N18, N20, N21, N25, N30, NAT, NMB, NWR,OPW, OXK, PAL, PSA, PTA, RPB, S05, S10, S15, S20, S25, S30, S35, SDZ, SEY, SGP, SHM, SMO, SPO, STC, STM, SUM, SYO, TAP, THD, TIK, USH, UTA, UUM, WIS, WLG, ZEP

2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 20301700

1800

1900

2000

2100

2200

2300

Surf

ace

mol

e fr

actio

ns (p

pb)

SH monthly averageNH monthly averageGlobal monthly average

Petrenko-2010 - monthly high NHWDCGG - global monthly averageNOAA MBL - SH monthly averageNOAA MBL - NH monthly averageNOAA MBL - global monthly averageNOAA MBL - global annual averageNOAA MBL - NH annual averageNOAA MBL - SH annual averageWDCGG (2015)CMIP5 hist.CMIP5 ctrl.MAGICC concentration

Global annual averageNH annual averageSH annual average

Panel b - CH4 Raw station data:AGAGE_gc-md_monthly: cgo, mhd, rpb, smo, thdNOAA_surface_�ask: 000, ABP, ALT, AMS, AMY, ASC, ASK, AVI, AZR, BAL, BHD, BKT, BME, BMW, BRW, BSC, CBA, CGO, CHR, CIB, CMO, CPT, CRZ, DRP, DSI, EIC, GMI, GOZ, HBA, HPB, HUN, ICE, ITN, IZO, KEY, KUM, KZD, KZM, LEF, LLB, LLN, LMP, MBC, MEX,

RPB, S05, S10, S15, S20, S25, S30, S35, SDZ, SEY, SGP, SHM, SMO, SPO, STM, SUM, SYO, TAP, THD, TIK, USH, UTA, UUM, WIS, WKT, WLG, ZEP

(b ) MethaneSSP 2030 range

NH

NH

NH

GL

GL

GL

SH

SH

SH

SSP 2030 range

SSP 2030 range

Legend for data sources of shown station data (grey dots):(c) Nitrous oxide

NOAA/AGAGE Global mean draft AR6 data

NOAA/AGAGE global mean draft AR6 data

This study:

This study:

This study:

Literature:

Literature:

Literature:

MHD, MID, MKN, MLO, N03, N05, N06, N09, N10, N12, N15, N18, N20, N21, N25, N30, NAT, NMB, NWR, OPW, OXK, PAL, PSA, PTA,

2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030315

320

325

330

335

340

345

Surf

ace

mol

e fr

actio

ns (p

pb)

SH monthly averageNH monthly averageGlobal monthly average

WDCGG - global monthly averageWDCGG (2015)CMIP5 hist.CMIP5 ctrl.MAGICC concentration

Global annual averageNH annual averageSH annual average

Panel c - N2O Raw station data:AGAGE_gc-md_monthly: cgo, mhd, rpb, smo, thdHATS_GLOBAL_combined: alt, brw, cgo, kum, mhd, mlo, nwr, psa, smo, spo, sum, tdf, thd

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