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SPAREBANK1ENERGY CONFERENCESPAREBANK1ENERGY CONFERENCE
Jeremy Thigpen, President and Chief Executive OfficerFebruary 26, 2020
LEGAL DISCLAIMERForward‐Looking Statements
The statements described in this presentation that are not historical facts are forward‐looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. These statements contain words such as "possible," "intend," "will," "if," "expect," or other similar expressions. Forward‐looking statements are based on management’s current expectations and assumptions, and are subject to inherent uncertainties, risks and changes in circumstances that are difficult to predict. As a result, actual results could differ materially from those indicated in these forward‐looking statements. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially include, but are not limited to, estimated duration of customer contracts, contract dayrate amounts, future contract commencement dates and locations, planned shipyard projects and other out‐of‐service time, sales of drilling units, timing of the company’s newbuild deliveries, operating hazards and delays, risks associated with international operations, actions by customers and other third parties, the future prices of oil and gas, the intention to scrap certain drilling rigs, the success of our business following the acquisitions of Songa Offshore SE and Ocean Rig UDW Inc., and other factors, including those and other risks discussed in the company's most recent Annual Report on Form 10‐K for the year ended December 31, 2019, and in the company's other filings with the SEC, which are available free of charge on the SEC's website at: www.sec.gov. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize (or the other consequences of such a development worsen), or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those indicated or expressed or implied by such forward‐looking statements. All subsequent written and oral forward‐looking statements attributable to the company or to persons acting on our behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by reference to these risks and uncertainties. You should not place undue reliance on forward‐looking statements. Each forward‐looking statement speaks only as of the date of the particular statement, and we undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward‐looking statements to reflect events or circumstances that occur, or which we become aware of, after the date hereof, except as otherwise may be required by law. All non‐GAAP financial measure reconciliations to the most comparative GAAP measure are displayed in quantitative schedules on the company’s website at: www.deepwater.com.
This presentation, or referenced documents, do not constitute an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy, any securities, and do not constitute an offering prospectus within the meaning of the Swiss Financial Services Act (“FinSA”). Investors must rely on their own evaluation of Transocean and its securities, including the merits and risks involved. Nothing contained herein is, or shall be relied on as, a promise or representation as to the future performance of Transocean.
2
OUR LEADERSHIP POSITION
Unmatched UDW & HE Experience
$10.2 Billion in Backlog**
47 Floaters* – 94% UDW & HE
Liquidity of $3.1B
3
* Includes 2 newbuilds under construction and the Transocean Norge (33% JV ownership interest)** As of February 14, 2020
FLEET TRANSFORMATION
4
DIVEST
4
ACQUIRE UPGRADE
FLEET RATIONALIZATION
5
15 Ultra‐Deepwater
38 Deepwater /Midwater
15 Jackups
68 Divestitures* Since 2014
* Reflects the retirement of the Discoverer Deep Seas, Discoverer Spirit, and Discoverer Enterprise
VALUE-ADDED ACQUISITIONS
6
Songa Offshore(5 HE Semis*)
Ocean Rig(8 UDW Drillships*, and
1 HE Semis)
Transocean Norge(1 HE Semi)
* Reflects the retirement of the Songa Delta announced on 9/4/18 and the Songa Trym announced on 7/23/18 and Ocean Rig Paros on 2/8/19 and Ocean Rig Eirik Raude on 2/18/19
DP Class 3
Annular BOPAcoustic Backup
Controls
MPD‐Ready
STRATEGIC UPGRADES
7
Discoverer India Transocean Enabler
Automated Drilling Control
3 Remaining Cat‐D Rigs + Spitsbergen + Norge Scheduled for
ADC Upgrade
Drilling Capabilities Drilling Efficiency
Transocean Spitsbergen
Reduced Emissions
Patented Hybrid Power System
FLEET TRANSFORMATION TO UDW AND HE FLOATERS
8
41
15
34~45%UDW & HE
3
44
~94%UDW & HE
UDW & HE Floaters
Mid / Deep Water
HS Jackups
* Includes rigs under construction and the Transocean Norge (33% JV ownership interest); reflects the retirement of the Discoverer Deep Seas, Discoverer Spirit, and Discoverer Enterprise
January 2014 January 2020*Average Age Floaters – ~21 years Average Age Floaters – ~11 years
(UDW – ~8 years)
LARGEST AND MOST CAPABLE FLOATER FLEET
9
0
10
20
30
40
50
RIG* SDRL** Valaris Diamond Noble Maersk PACD ODL
3 25
1 1
2
12
28
19
23
10
117 7
11
14
8
5
Harsh Environment Floaters
Harsh Environment Under Construction
Ultra‐Deepwater Floaters
Ultra‐Deepwater Under Construction
Deepwater & Midwater Floaters
12
16
28 27
* Includes the Transocean Norge (33% JV ownership interest); also reflects the retirement of the Discoverer Deep Seas, Discoverer Spirit, and Discoverer Enterprise** Includes Seadrill Limited and Seadrill Partners
Source: Company filings
# of Floaters
8
8 7 7
47
AUTOMATED DRILLING SYSTEM: SAFER AND FASTER
10
aShear –WELL CONTROL SYSTEM
11
Retrofittable to any BOP Depth agnostic Ultimate reliability
Shear Anything Instantaneously Above the Drill Bit
aShear* is the Airbag for the Oil and Gas Industry* Is a combination of two technologies, 1) the KBOS shear unit under development by Kinetic Pressure Control, and 2) the Transocean patented ZedSafety subsea pumping unit.
INDUSTRY FIRST – HYBRID POWER
12
Currently Installed on the Transocean Spitsbergen
Provides Ability to Run Rig Thrusters off Battery Power
Reduces Fuel Consumption & Emissions
TRANSOCEAN’S INDUSTRY-LEADING BACKLOG
13
1.61.3
0.9 0.9 0.9
1.7
1.0
0.8
0.70.4 0.0
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025‐28
Harsh Environment
Ultra‐Deepwater***
$2.6
USD
Billions
*As of February 14, 2020**Contracted operating dayrate multiplied by the contract duration for future periods as of latest company filings*** Ultra-Deepwater includes less than $50M of Midwater backlog
Estimated $10.2 Billion* Contract Backlog **Estimated $10.2 Billion* Contract Backlog **
94% with Investment Grade Companies
$2.1
$1.6
$1.3
$0.9
$1.7
BACKLOG ~4x NEAREST COMPETITOR
14
USD
Billions
Source: Latest company filings* Includes Seadrill Limited and Seadrill Partners
$0.0
$2.0
$4.0
$6.0
$8.0
$10.0
$12.0
RIG SDRL* Maersk VAL DO NE ODL PACDQ
BACKLOG CONVERTED TO CASH
15
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2016 2017 2018 2019
REVENUE EFFICIENCYFour‐year Average ‐ 96%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
0
600
1,200
1,800
2,400
3,000
3,600
4,200
4,800
5,400
6,000
6,600
7,200
2016 2017 2018 2019
REVENUE & EBITDAAdjusted
Adj Revenue Adj EBITDA Adj EBITDA Margin
USD
Millions
PRESERVING EBITDA MARGINS THROUGH THE CYCLE
16
44%
46%
44% 38%
30%
50%46%
36%
18%
15%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Transocean Adj. EBITDA Avg. Peers* Adj. EBITDA
Transocean Adj. EBITDA Margin Avg. Peers Adj. EBITDA Margin
USD
Billions
*Peers include DO, VAL, & NESource: Bloomberg
EBITDA Margins
SOLID LIQUIDITY
17
USD
Billions
• Acquired• Ocean Rig• Songa Offshore• 33% JV interest in Transocean Norge
• Placed in service• Transocean Norge• Deepwater Poseidon • Deepwater Pontus
• Sold jackup fleet• Added ~$320M in cash• Removed ~$1B in shipyard
obligations
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
Cash & Short‐term Investmentsat 12/31/19 (1)
Revolving CreditFacility
Operating CashFlows through
2021
CapEx /Investments
through 2021 (2)
Debt Due through2021
ProjectedLiquidity @12/31/21 (3)
~$1.2B ‐$1.4B
Accomplishments since 2017Accomplishments since 2017
(1) Excludes Restricted Cash(2) Includes approximately $30M investment in the Transocean Norge joint venture. (3) Excludes an additional $200M of revolving credit facility permitted as part of the facility’s $500M accordion feature.
~$0.8B‐$1.0B
~$1.8B
~$1.3B
~$0.8B‐$1.0B ~$1.9B
~$1.2B
Estimated ~$400M secured financing capacity on the Deepwater Titan
13 23 40 45 16 25 35 33 43 86 65 93 48 70 43 38 17 14 20 8 10 10 8
33%
55%
96%106%
37%56%
78%70%
90%
179%
133%
188%
98%
137%
82%71%
33% 26%35%
14% 18% 16% 13%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
180%
200%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
BBL Discovered Discovery Replacement Ratio %
18
Discov
ered
Barrels (Billions)
Discov
ered
Barrels / P
rodu
ction
Liquids only. Replacement Ratio calculated as oil discovered divided by annual oil productionSource: Rystad Energy, Clarksons Platou Securities, 2020
OFFSHORE EXPLORATION MUST INCREASE
18
OFFSHORE BREAKEVENS ARE DECREASING*
64
5246
43
34
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020E
USD
/bbl
bre
akev
en
19
Source: Rystad Energy, Clarkson Platou Securities AS, Arctic Securities*Average breakevens of discovered but undeveloped offshore resources weighted by project size
Breakevens decreased by ~50%
19
20
Estimated 2020 Break-Even Prices by Segment
ULTRA DEEPWATER WEIGHTED AVERAGE BREAKEVEN BEATS SHALE
Shale
Ultra Deepwater
Source: Arctic Securities.
THE GREAT SHALE FAIL
21
Shale Peer Group Free Cash Flow Shale Production Growth Is Unsustainable
Source: Rystad Energy, Clarksons Platou
Free
Cas
h Fl
ow U
SD M
illion
s
SHALE GROWTH PEAKED IN 2018 – EXPECT RAPID SLOWDOWN
22
Uncon
ventiona
l liquids produ
ction YO
Y grow
th (kb/d)
Year Over Year Growth by Shale Play in kb/d
Source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research.
FOCUS TURNING BACK OFFSHORE
$103
$122$128
$58
$138
$63
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
Offshore Onshore
Estimated Project Sanctioning Next 2 Years
2019 2020 2021
23
Billio
ns U
SD
Source: Rystad Energy.
FLOATER DEMAND BY MAJOR E&P
24
Contract Yea
rs
Source: Rystad Energy, RigCube
24
FLOATER OPPORTUNITIES – START DATE NEXT 18 MO.
# Number of programs
<6 months
6-12 months
>3 years
1-3 years
1
Source: IHS Markit 2020: Open Floater demand incl. pre-tender, tender + Transocean Marketing
3
4
1
1
1
2
3
6 5
1
8
7
1
6
11
2
37
4
59 rig years to be awarded86 programs
UDWOther
Harsh
2
1
2
1 1
1
1 1 21
5
0
25
50
75
100
Rig Years # Programs
Trailing 15 Months
Q4 '18 Q1 '19 Q2 '19 Q3 '19 Q4 '19
25
GLOBAL FLOATER MARKETABLE SUPPLY
26
Industry has retired 132 floaters, including 53 of Transocean’s, since the start of downturn;
An additional ~45 global floaters are likely unmarketable
# of Floaters
Source: Fearnley Securities; Transocean* Includes current and future contracted rigs
(Estimated Reactivation Costs: $5M to $50M)
(Estimated Reactivation Costs: $25M to $100M+)
160 153140 139
159 167 171 178 186 194 204
235253 257
222
163
130 127 134145
161
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
27
ACTIVE FLOATER FORECAST
Source: RigLogix, Clarkson Platou.
00.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.80.91
05
101520253035404550
Dec. 2018 Dec. 2019
AvailableContractedMarketed Utilization
89%
28
69%
# O
f Flo
ater
s
High-Spec 6th / 7th Gen Availability UDW Dayrates on Historical Utilization
INCREASING UTILIZATION LEADS TO HIGHER DAYRATES
Source: IHS, Clarkson Platou.
6/7TH GEN. DRILLSHIP FIXTURE PROGRESSION
29
100
125
150
175
200
225
250
275
300
Day
rate
(Tho
usan
ds)
Jan 19 Apr 19Feb 19 Mar 19 May 19 Jun 19 Jul 19 Aug 19 Sep 19 Oct 19 Nov 19 Dec 19 Jan 20
Woodside Myanmar: $250k/dDhirubhai Deepwater KG2
Noble Colombia: $210k/d + $30k/d MPD
Maersk Valiant
Chevron USGOM: $185k/dValaris Relentless (DS-18)
Murphy USGOM: $185k/dValaris Renaissance (DS-15)
Beacon USGOM: $220k/dDeepwater Asgard
Talos USGOM: $210k/dDiscoverer Inspiration
Eni Oman: $190k/dPacific Bora
Fieldwood USGOM: $185k/dValaris DS-16
Eni USGOM: $185k/dValaris Renaissance (DS-15)
2019 Avg Rate: $195K*
Murphy USGOM: $165k/dDeepwater Asgard
Petronas Mexico: $155k/dValaris Renaissance
Exxon Guyana: $150k/dNoble Tom Madden
Chevron Australia: $260k/dDhirubhai Deepwater KG2
Tullow Guyana: $145k/dStena Forth
Burullus Egypt: $150k/dValaris DS-7
Equinor USGOM: $175k/dPacific Khamsin
Noble EG: $168k/dMaersk Voyager
Repsol Mexico: $195k/dMaersk Valiant
Exxon Guyana: $185k/dNoble Don Taylor
Petronas Brunei: $155k/dSeadrill West Carina
Burullus Egypt: $135k/dDiscoverer India
Total Angola: $185k/dSeadrill West Gemini
Petronas Gabon: $183k/dSeadrill West Polaris
Reliance India: $197k/dSeadrill West Polaris
Enven USGOM: $175k/dValaris Relentless (DS-18)
Murphy USGOM: $185k/dDeepwater Asgard
Sonangol Angola: $160k/dDeepwater Orion
Eni Cyprus: $174k/dVantage Tungsten Explorer
Springfield Ghana: $175k/dStena Forth
LLOG USGOM: $202k/dSeadrill West Neptune
Sonangol Angola: $202k/dSonangol Libongos
Posco Myanmar: $214k/d Maersk Viking
Total Angola: $193k/d Maersk Voyager
PTTEP Malaysia: $230k/dSeadrill West Carina
Source: Rystad RigCube, Rystad Offshore Rig Report January 2020, Transocean Marketing
New Mutual Contracts, Excludes BrazilCompetitor Transocean
OUR LEADERSHIP POSITION
Unmatched UDW & HE Experience
$10.2 Billion in Backlog**
47 Floaters* – 94% UDW & HE
Liquidity of $3.1B
30
* Includes 2 newbuilds under construction and the Transocean Norge (33% JV ownership interest)** As of February 14, 2020
SPAREBANK1ENERGY CONFERENCESPAREBANK1ENERGY CONFERENCE
Jeremy Thigpen, President and Chief Executive OfficerFebruary 26, 2020