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Solar Energy Technologies B i fiBriefing
Julia HammExecutive Director
S l El t i P A i tiSolar Electric Power Association
December 15, 2008
CONFIDENTIAL
About SEPA
“For businesses exploring solar as part of their portfolio, SEPA provides unmatched networkingprovides unmatched networking opportunities, forums for the exchange of ideas, and case gstudies of lessons learned.”
Jon Bertolino, Superintendent of pRenewable Generation Assets, Sacramento Municipal Utility Di t i t
CONFIDENTIAL
District
Solar Electric Technologies
• Two primary typesPhotovoltaics (PV) Concentrating Solar o o o a cs ( )
Power (CSP)
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Photovoltaics
• Two primary types commercially• Two primary types commercially available
– Crystalline SiliconCrystalline Silicon• Mono• Poly• Ribbon
Thin film– Thin film• Amorphous silicon (a-Si)• Cadmium telluride (CdTe)• Copper indium gallium (CIGS)• Copper indium diselenide (CIS)
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Concentrating Solar Power
• Two primary types commercially available
Concentrating PV (CPV)
Solar Thermal Electric
Compact linearHeliostat Tower Stirling Dish Parabolic Trough
Compact linear fresnel lens
CONFIDENTIAL
2007 PV Demand by Country
CONFIDENTIALSource: Solarbuzz.com
Solar Resource – Germany vs US
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US PV Demand by State
CONFIDENTIALSource: IREC
Historical US PV Installation Capacity
CONFIDENTIALSource: IREC
2016 US Installation ProjectionsPV and CSP
Cumulative New U S Solar Installations from 2009 to 2016 (MW)Cumulative New U.S. Solar Installations from 2009 to 2016 (MW)
CONFIDENTIAL
Notes:1. PV market converted from MWDC to MWAC using an 84% de-rate.2. Solar Water Heating market data converted from area to energy using a conversion factor of 0.7 m2/kWth.3. CSP is represented in MWAC.4. Data does not include solar installations prior to 2009. Source: Navigant
PV Cost Goals by 2015
Source: U.S. DOE Solar America Initiative PV Goals
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PV Levelized Cost of Energy Projections
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Source: Prometheus Institute
Grid Parity Today
• Currently PV is financiallyfinancially competitive where there is some combination of highcombination of high electricity prices, excellent sunshine and/or state/localand/or state/local incentives
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Grid Parity in 2015Moderate Electricity Price Increases
• Attractive in about 250 of 1,000 largest utilities whichutilities, which provide ~37% of U.S. residential electricity sales.
• 85% of sales (in85% of sales (in nearly 870 utilities) are projected to have a price difference of less than 5 ¢/kWh ¢between PV and grid electricity.
• In large areas, PV is cheaper than grid
CONFIDENTIAL
p gelectricity
Grid Parity in 2015Aggressive Electricity Price Increases
• Attractive in about 450 of 1,000 largest utilities,
% fwhich provide ~50% of U.S. residential electricity sales.
• 91% of sales (in nearly• 91% of sales (in nearly 950 utilities) are projected to have a price difference of less than 5 ¢/kWh between PV and grid electricity.
• In most high population areas PV is cheaper than
CONFIDENTIAL
areas, PV is cheaper than grid electricity
Thank you
Julia HammJulia HammExecutive DirectorSolar Electric Power AssociationSolar Electric Power [email protected] 857 0898www.SolarElectricPower.org
CONFIDENTIAL
