22
SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR PROPOSED SECOND BEACH INFRASTRUCTURE IN PORT ST JOHNS SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR PROPOSED SECOND BEACH INFRASTRUCTURE IN PORT ST JOHNS 11 October 2016

SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR … › pubdocs › PORT ST JOHNS SECOND BEACH...SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR PROPOSED SECOND BEACH INFRASTRUCTURE IN PORT ST JOHNS 5 | P a g

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    5

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR … › pubdocs › PORT ST JOHNS SECOND BEACH...SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR PROPOSED SECOND BEACH INFRASTRUCTURE IN PORT ST JOHNS 5 | P a g

SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR PROPOSED SECOND BEACH

INFRASTRUCTURE IN PORT ST JOHNS

SOCIO-ECONOMIC

CONSIDERATIONS FOR

PROPOSED SECOND

BEACH INFRASTRUCTURE

IN PORT ST JOHNS

11 October 2016

Page 2: SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR … › pubdocs › PORT ST JOHNS SECOND BEACH...SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR PROPOSED SECOND BEACH INFRASTRUCTURE IN PORT ST JOHNS 5 | P a g

Urban-Econ ii 12-Oct-16

Page 3: SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR … › pubdocs › PORT ST JOHNS SECOND BEACH...SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR PROPOSED SECOND BEACH INFRASTRUCTURE IN PORT ST JOHNS 5 | P a g

Document Information

Document title: SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS

FOR PROPOSED SECOND BEACH

INFRASTRUCTURE IN PORT ST JOHNS

Prepared by: Urban-Econ Development Economists

Contact details: 37 Hunt Road

Glenwood

Durban

4062

South Africa

Tel: +27 (0)31 202 9673

e-mail: [email protected]

Contact Person: Mrs Talia Feigenbaum

Prepared for: PRDW Consulting Port and Coastal Engineers

Contact Person: Mr Duncan Stuart

Contact details: Tel: +27 (21) 418 3830

Email: [email protected]

Page 4: SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR … › pubdocs › PORT ST JOHNS SECOND BEACH...SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR PROPOSED SECOND BEACH INFRASTRUCTURE IN PORT ST JOHNS 5 | P a g

SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR PROPOSED SECOND BEACH

INFRASTRUCTURE IN PORT ST JOHNS

4 | P a g e

Table of Contents 1. Introduction .................................................................................................................................... 5

1.1. Contents ...................................................................................................................................... 5

2. Socio-economic context ............................................................................................................. 5

2.1. Suitability of concept ................................................................................................................ 6

2.1.1. Needs ........................................................................................................................................... 7

2.1.2. Desirability ................................................................................................................................... 7

3. Economic Impact Modelling ....................................................................................................... 8

3.1. Capital and Operational Costs .............................................................................................. 8

3.2. Economic Impacts .................................................................................................................... 8

3.3. Input Output Model .................................................................................................................. 9

3.4. Impact on General Business Sales ........................................................................................ 10

3.5. Impact on Gross Value Added ............................................................................................. 10

3.6. Impact on Income .................................................................................................................. 11

3.7. Impact on Employment and Job Creation ........................................................................ 11

4. IMPACT ASSESSMENT ................................................................................................................... 12

4.1. SOCIAL IMPACTS ...................................................................................................................... 14

4.2. ECONOMIC IMPACT................................................................................................................ 17

5. Funding Options ........................................................................................................................... 20

5.1. Potential funding sources....................................................................................................... 20

6. Concluding comments............................................................................................................... 22

Page 5: SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR … › pubdocs › PORT ST JOHNS SECOND BEACH...SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR PROPOSED SECOND BEACH INFRASTRUCTURE IN PORT ST JOHNS 5 | P a g

SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR PROPOSED SECOND BEACH

INFRASTRUCTURE IN PORT ST JOHNS

5 | P a g e

1. Introduction

This report has been developed to consider the related and anticipated socio-economic

consequences of the proposed beach infrastructure (tidal pools and related super and sub

structures) at Second Beach, in Port St Johns.

1.1. Contents

The report provides the following:

· A socio-economic context for the local study area setting out needs and desirability

associated with the proposed development

· Economic impact assessment of the proposed capex and opex spend

· A socio-economic impact assessment rating table to consider potential externalities

and mitigations.

· Potential funding sources for the capital

2. Socio-economic context

Port St Johns Local Municipality has a population of 162 200, the municipality falls within the

O.R. Tambo District which has one of the largest rural populations in the country with 1,4 million

people. In interviews with Municipal officials and tourism operators in the area it became

evident that second beach is a popular beach for not only Port St Johns residents but for the

regional centre of Mthatha. It is the closest and most easily accessible beach for the King

Sabata Dalindyebo, Nyandeni, Port St Johns and Ingquza Hill Municipalities, connected via the

R61. Thus second beach serves not only the 162 200 people in the local municipality but an

additional 1 065 970 persons in the secondary area1.

Income levels in the area are exceptionally low. The average monthly household income for

PSJLM is R2,769 per month which is lower than that of the secondary study area at R3,948 per

month. Although income levels are low they are growing. Mthatha has a growing middle

income population and a growing population. The city has an annual population growth rate

of 1.6% which is aligned to national average. Improving household incomes are supporting a

growing working and middle class, who have disposable income to spend on transport and

recreation. Due to an increase in access to transport there is an easier access to the Port St

Johns and second beach.

1 Secondary area include King Sabata Dalindyebo, Nyandeni and Ingquza Hill local Municipalities.

Mthatha falls within King Sabata Dalindyebo.

Page 6: SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR … › pubdocs › PORT ST JOHNS SECOND BEACH...SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR PROPOSED SECOND BEACH INFRASTRUCTURE IN PORT ST JOHNS 5 | P a g

SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR PROPOSED SECOND BEACH

INFRASTRUCTURE IN PORT ST JOHNS

6 | P a g e

The population of PSJ is predominantly young with 40 % of the population below the age of 15

and 35% of age group between 15-34 years old. The high proportion of youth in the population

is in stark contrast to the lack sporting and recreational facilities. Education levels are low in

the region, the 1162 schools in the O.R. Tambo District Municipality are predominantly difficult

to access and without sporting facilities such as swimming pools. The District also has a lack of

swimming and water safety programmes in place. Literacy levels in the district are low 50%,

well below the national and provincial average. Low literacy levels will need to be considered

when designing water safety education programmes and signage.

Access to health care facilities is limited in the O.R. Tambo District Municipality, there is only

one hospital in Port St Johns Municipality servicing a population of 162 200 people. It is not

certain if this hospital is equipped to handle the influx of holiday makers in summer. The closest

private hospital is 100 kms away in Mthatha. Safety and security has been highlighted as a

major concern on Wild Coast beaches and especially second beach. Safety concerns include

issues around peak periods, such as crowd control, drinking in public, lost persons etc. More

law enforcement officers would need to be deployed to second beach over the weekend

and festive season. A mobile police unit stationed on the beach during these periods could

be considered. Then general safety of visitors and beachgoers throughout the year needs to

be prioritised as there have been a number of high profile violent incidents in the town. Police

enforcement would need to monitor the beach and town to respond and prevent violent

crime, theft and robberies on the beach and in the town. Police should be trained to assist

tourists in the event of an incident. There is only one police station in the Local Municipality and

thus it is assumed that it is over stretched already.

2.1. Suitability of concept

The backlogs in development in the region creates a significant number of challenges to

locating development in the local area. The region has a complete shortage of recreational

activities and facilities including public swimming pools and safe public beaches. This creates

pressure on the existing accessible beaches, which could be further exacerbated when

facilities and access are improved. Thus there is a need to consider a network of recreational

interventions especially in the secondary area to take pressure off second beach. This could

include a network of public swimming pools in the main towns in the secondary areas.

Access to water borne sewage in PSJ Municipality is extremely low at 3%. Environmental reports

indicate that there is a danger posed by effluent content in the rivers at second beach. Thus

Page 7: SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR … › pubdocs › PORT ST JOHNS SECOND BEACH...SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR PROPOSED SECOND BEACH INFRASTRUCTURE IN PORT ST JOHNS 5 | P a g

SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR PROPOSED SECOND BEACH

INFRASTRUCTURE IN PORT ST JOHNS

7 | P a g e

any attempt to improve bathing conditions would need to include interventions to formalise

sanitation upstream.

At present the lack of safe bathing area is a major inhibitor for growing the regional Wild Coast

tourism industry. Shark attack reports and statistics of drowning or injuries are carried in media

reports and create a negative image of the area. The tourism sector in Port St Johns is small

and still underdeveloped considering the natural beauty on offer. Marketing of the area is

difficult until facilities and institutional structures are in place to safe guard residents and tourists

alike.

2.1.1. Needs

Second beach has been identified as the most accessible swimming beach for Port St Johns

town and for the wider secondary area. Other beaches in the study area have poor

accessibility, are in nature reserves or have been eroded as in the case of first beach. A tidal

pool within the river course would need to take consideration of river water emptying into the

tidal pool especially if there is a potential of effluent in the water. Some degree of

maintenance would need to be undertaken of the tidal pools, to prevent siltation, litter and

algae developing.

2.1.2. Desirability

The construction of a tidal pool offers economic benefits to the area, through the construction

and maintenance expenditure. Direct impacts during the construction phase would include

income to construction firm and construction employees, indirect impacts might include

purchases of local equipment and supplies. In the operational phase it would be

recommended that full time life guards are employed for the beach and tidal pool and that

the pool employ maintenance staff. Indirect economic opportunities might include better

tourism promotion of the area based on its safer swimming environment and this might improve

occupancy rates at local establishments and the number of products on offer. It could also

offer the opportunity for the development of social capital in the form of swimming clubs. More

intangible benefits afforded by the tidal pool could include swimming lessons for children and

adults and greater recreational opportunities for the residents of Port St Johns and further afield.

The types of facilities that would be necessary include life guard hut and offices, life guarding

equipment such as a jet skis and boats, mobile police trailer for peak periods, ablutions facilities,

outdoor showers and parking with designated bus and taxi parking areas. For year round law

enforcement on the beaches, a day light camera surveillance system could be installed at

Page 8: SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR … › pubdocs › PORT ST JOHNS SECOND BEACH...SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR PROPOSED SECOND BEACH INFRASTRUCTURE IN PORT ST JOHNS 5 | P a g

SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR PROPOSED SECOND BEACH

INFRASTRUCTURE IN PORT ST JOHNS

8 | P a g e

the car park and key positions to monitor the beach from a control room. The beach would

need formalised sites for the sale of food and beverages and space for operators of water-

based activities. Other requirements include signage, rubbish bins and steps or a path to direct

access to the beach. Recreational facilities might include picnic and braai areas and benches.

A longer term project might involve a signposted scenic walkway connecting town with

second beach and further down the coast.

As indicated access to recreational and especially swimming pool facilities is next to none in

the primary and secondary study area. Thus the majority of beach patrons will have had

limited swimming experience. A programme to educate school children on beach safety in all

schools in the study area would be beneficial. The PSJ, KSD and Nyandeni Local Municipalities

should also investigate the investment in municipal swimming pools. The 2011 Sport and

Recreation Plan for South Africa identified as part of its Vision 2020: ‘Sufficient and accessible

sports facilities that are well maintained by Municipalities and fully utilized by communities.” A

key concept of this document was the ‘Active Nation’ with the indicator of percentage of the

population participating in sport and recreation. Another objective of the strategy was school

sport: ‘To maximise access to sport, recreation and physical education in every school in South

Africa.”

3. Economic Impact Modelling

3.1. Capital and Operational Costs

PRDW has provided a capital cost of R47m for the tidal pool development, with landside

capital of a further R30m. The proposed tidal pool would require an annual operational budget

of R2.5m. These figures exclude any escalations, contingencies or costs associated with

funding mechanism.

3.2. Economic Impacts

Economic impacts of the proposed development have been derived through the application

of the Input-Output (IO) table for the Eastern Cape.

Through the application of the IO Model, the following impacts have been determined:

- Impact on Business Sales;

- Impact on Gross Value Added;

- Impact on Income; and

- Impact on Employment and Job Creation.

Page 9: SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR … › pubdocs › PORT ST JOHNS SECOND BEACH...SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR PROPOSED SECOND BEACH INFRASTRUCTURE IN PORT ST JOHNS 5 | P a g

SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR PROPOSED SECOND BEACH

INFRASTRUCTURE IN PORT ST JOHNS

9 | P a g e

An estimation of the capital costs involved is given below:

Table 1: Estimation of capital costs

NAME OF COMPONENT TOTAL COST

CAPEX R 77 000 000

Source: PRDW (2016)

3.3. Input Output Model

Economic impacts refer to the effects on the level of economic activity in a given area as a

result of some form of external intervention in the economy, in this instance the development

of a tidal pool development and related landside access upgrades. Recent advances in

economic forecasting and modelling techniques consider not only the direct benefits of a

proposed project on its users, but also the projects wider impact on the general economy. The

economic impact in this regard is defined as the effect of the project on the level of economic

activity in the area surrounding the proposed development and the benefit to the local and

regional economy such as the generation of additional jobs, business sales, and/or disposable

income. In order to quantify the effects of the most likely economic impact of a new business

two types of economic impacts can be measured namely direct and multiplicative impacts.

Direct impacts are created when a new business creates new jobs and purchases goods and

facilities to operate the new facility. The multiplicative effects can be grouped into two distinct

categories, indirect and induced:

- The indirect economic effects occur when the suppliers of new goods and services to

the new business experience larger markets and potential to expand. For the purposes

of this study, indirect suppliers include those industries who deliver goods and services

to first around suppliers of the businesses in the surrounding area. Both the direct and

indirect effects result in an increase in job creation and household income and this

increase allows households to increase their spending.

- Induced economic spending; The induced impacts are the impacts on goods and

services demanded due to increased expenditure by households from income earned

due to the project. Examples include the income of employees, as well as the income

arising through the backward linkages of this spending in the economy.

This subsection illustrates economic impacts felt during the construction of the potential

development. These impacts are short-term impacts, which occur while the development is

being built.

The economic effects may be viewed in terms of a change in:

Page 10: SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR … › pubdocs › PORT ST JOHNS SECOND BEACH...SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR PROPOSED SECOND BEACH INFRASTRUCTURE IN PORT ST JOHNS 5 | P a g

SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR PROPOSED SECOND BEACH

INFRASTRUCTURE IN PORT ST JOHNS

10 | P a g e

- Job creation;

- Value added (Gross Geographical Product)2;

- Personal income (including wages)3; and

- Business output (or sales volume).

3.4. Impact on General Business Sales

As a result of the increased economic activity that will result from the proposed development,

there will be an increase in business sales in the region. The result for business sales from the

input-output model are presented in Table 2.

Table 2: Input Output Results on New Business Sales4

TOTAL DIRECT INDIRECT

Construction R 187 323 668 R 77 000 000 R 110 323 668 Source: Urban-Econ estimates (2016)

The capital expenditure of the proposed development will lead to the direct expansion of

business sales (production) by R77 million. It is expected that the increase in direct business

sales will have positive spin-off effects on supporting businesses, for example, sub-contractors

and suppliers of construction equipment and materials. A total of R187.3 million in new business

sales will be generated as a result of the direct and indirect impact of the developments

capital expenditure.

3.5. Impact on Gross Value Added

The capital expenditure for the proposed development will impact on the gross geographic

product of the region. The results for gross value-added or Gross Geographic Product (GGP)

from the input-output model are presented in the table below.

2 Value Added (which is normally equivalent to Gross Domestic Product or Gross Regional

Product) is an ideal measure of the real net impact of a project. This measure essentially reflects

the sum of wage income and corporate profit generated in the study area and in today’s

increasingly global economy is widely used in analysis of this nature.

3 Aggregate personal income rises as pay levels rise and/or additional workers are hired. Either

or both of these conditions can occur as a result of business revenue growth. As long as nearly

all of the affected workers live in the Study Area and sub-region, this is a reasonable measure

of the personal income benefit of a project or program.

4 For the purposes of reporting, the indirect and induced impacts have been summed and

included as Indirect Impacts within tables 2-5.

Page 11: SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR … › pubdocs › PORT ST JOHNS SECOND BEACH...SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR PROPOSED SECOND BEACH INFRASTRUCTURE IN PORT ST JOHNS 5 | P a g

SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR PROPOSED SECOND BEACH

INFRASTRUCTURE IN PORT ST JOHNS

11 | P a g e

Table 3: Input/output Results – Gross Value Added

TOTAL DIRECT INDIRECT

Gross Value Add R 62 256 927 R 22 971 747 R 39 285 181 Source: Urban-Econ estimates (2016)

In total, an estimated additional R62.2 million will be generated in gross value added or GGP

into the region as a result of the capital expenditure of the proposed development. Of this,

R22.9 million will be directly added and R39.2 million will be indirect.

3.6. Impact on Income

The capital expenditure of the proposed development will impact positively on worker

incomes; this is shown in Table 4.

Table 4: Input-Output Results on Worker Income

TOTAL DIRECT INDIRECT

Income R 24 874 547 R 9 760 705 R 15 113 842 Source: Urban-Econ estimates (2016)

Additional worker income generated as a result of the construction phase of the development

is totalled at R24.8 million. Direct wages (derived from on-site jobs) is estimated at R9.7 million.

This will significantly increase disposable incomes. The indirect wage increase from secondary

inputs is estimated at R15.1 million.

3.7. Impact on Employment and Job Creation

Any proposed development is expected to result in job creation. There are two types of jobs

created in such a project; firstly, those short-term jobs associated with the initial construction

phase, and secondly, long-term jobs created as a result of ongoing operations. The impact on

employment from the input-output model is presented in Table 5 for the capital expenditure.

Table 5: Input-Output Results – Employment Opportunities

TOTAL DIRECT INDIRECT

Employment 290 99 191 Source: Urban-Econ estimates (2016)

The input-output model suggests that a total of 290 employment opportunities will be created

as a result of the capital expenditure of the proposed development. When calculating

employment figures in the input-output model, the model converts total man hours into jobs

or employment opportunities. Therefore, the development generates 290 employment

Page 12: SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR … › pubdocs › PORT ST JOHNS SECOND BEACH...SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR PROPOSED SECOND BEACH INFRASTRUCTURE IN PORT ST JOHNS 5 | P a g

SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR PROPOSED SECOND BEACH

INFRASTRUCTURE IN PORT ST JOHNS

12 | P a g e

opportunities over the construction period. However, it must be noted that the construction

period of the development will require a number of contractors to complete the development.

It is estimated that a number of contractors may be required, each with a complement of staff

and sub-contractors/suppliers required to do the work.

4. IMPACT ASSESSMENT

In order to quantify the impacts, an impact rating model is undertaken which provides an

assessment of each impact in terms of its direction (positive or negative), extent, intensity,

duration, and probability of occurrence. The first step involves arriving at a consequence score

by totalling the score for the extent, intensity and duration. The table below displays the rating

system.

TABLE 6 CONSEQUENCE SCORE RATING � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � � ! � � � � � � � � � � � "# � � $% � � & � � ' � � � " � � � � � ( � ) " * � � � � + , � � � � ( � " ( � � � - ./ � � 0 � � � � � � � � � � + , � � � 1 � 2 � � � ( 3 ) � � � � � � � � * - 4� � � � � 5 � 6 � � � � ! � 7 8 9 : ; 8 < : = > ? 8 < 8 @ A B 8 : C DE F G ? : H ? 9 8 : C I : J H K A L ? 8 : > M H N O : J H 8 K @ A < : 8 ? ; H B A : 8 N ? : N : J H 9 H ? 9 8 : 8 P 8 : C N O : J H ; H < H 8 P 8 ? L H ? P 8 ; N ? K H ? :Q R S T UV R W X A : > ; A B A ? M Y N ; 9 N < 8 A B O > ? < : 8 N ? 9 A ? M @ ; N < H 9 9 H 9 A ; H ? H L B 8 L 8 Z B C A B : H ; H M [\ T ] ^ _ ` X A : > ; A B A ? M Y N ; 9 N < 8 A B O > ? < : 8 N ? 9 A ? M @ ; N < H 9 9 H 9 < N ? : 8 ? > H A B Z H 8 : 8 ? A K N M 8 O 8 H Ma A C bc ^ d e X A : > ; A B A ? M Y N ; 9 N < 8 A B O > ? < : 8 N ? 9 A ? M @ ; N < H 9 9 H 9 A ; H 9 H P H ; H B C A B : H ; H M Df F 7 > ; A : 8 N ? I : J H : 8 K H O ; A K H O N ; a J 8 < J : J H 8 K @ A < : a 8 B B Z H H g @ H ; 8 H ? < H MQ R S T Uh e R i j k j T i ` l @ : N b C H A ; 9 [\ T ] ^ _ ` kj T i ` b : N [ m C H A ; 9 bV R S d k j T i ` = N ; H : J A ? [ m C H A ; 9 D

Each consequence score relates to a consequence rating, which is displayed in the following

table.

Page 13: SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR … › pubdocs › PORT ST JOHNS SECOND BEACH...SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR PROPOSED SECOND BEACH INFRASTRUCTURE IN PORT ST JOHNS 5 | P a g

SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR PROPOSED SECOND BEACH

INFRASTRUCTURE IN PORT ST JOHNS

13 | P a g e

TABLE 7 CONSEQUENCE RATING n R ` o ^ S T ]p q R i T r s t u t n v w k x y k z { | } ~ k �f N ? 9 H � > H ? < H; A : 8 ? L X N :9 8 L ? 8 O 8 < A ? : � H ; C B N a � N a = H M 8 > K � 8 L J � H ; C � 8 L J

Once a consequence rating has been assigned to each impact, a probability rating needs to

be applied to each impact. This represent the expected probability of each impact occurring.

The table below displays the breakdown for each probability rating.

TABLE 8 PROBABILITY RATING � i R o � o ^ � ^ j � R � j e T ^ ` � � q j r � ^ � T � ^ e R R ] R � j e T ^ ` � � q j R q q _ i i ^ S d v� ` � i R o � o � T � � U � < J A ? < H N O N < < > ; ; 8 ? L� i R o � o � T � U � I � U � < J A ? < H N O N < < > ; ; 8 ? Lc ^ d e � � � i R o � o � T � � U � I � U � < J A ? < H N O N < < > ; ; 8 ? L� T � ^ S ^ j T � � U � < J A ? < H N O N < < > ; ; 8 ? LGiven that each impact now has been assigned a consequence rating and a probability

rating, the significance of each impact can be calculated. The table below displays the

significance rating system used to arrive at the significance of each impact.

TABLE 9 SIGNIFICANCE RATING h ^ d S ^ � ^ q � S q T � � j ^ S d n R S p T � _ T S q T h q R i T � � i R o � o ^ � ^ j � R � ^ ` � � q j R q q _ i i ^ S d� S p ^ d S ^ � ^ q � S j � H ; C � N a � G K @ ; N Z A Z B H� H ; C � N a � � ; N Z A Z B H� T i � V R W � H ; C � N a � � 8 L J B C � ; N Z A Z B H� H ; C � N a � 7 H O 8 ? 8 : H� N a � G K @ ; N Z A Z B H� N a � � ; N Z A Z B HV R W � N a � � 8 L J B C � ; N Z A Z B H� N a � 7 H O 8 ? 8 : H= H M 8 > K � G K @ ; N Z A Z B H= H M 8 > K � � ; N Z A Z B H\ T ] ^ _ ` = H M 8 > K � � 8 L J B C � ; N Z A Z B H= H M 8 > K � 7 H O 8 ? 8 : H� 8 L J � G K @ ; N Z A Z B H� 8 L J � � ; N Z A Z B Hc ^ d e � 8 L J � � 8 L J B C � ; N Z A Z B H� 8 L J � 7 H O 8 ? 8 : H� H ; C � 8 L J � G K @ ; N Z A Z B H� H ; C � 8 L J � � ; N Z A Z B H� T i � c ^ d e � H ; C � 8 L J � � 8 L J B C � ; N Z A Z B H� H ; C � 8 L J � 7 H O 8 ? 8 : H

The following tables display the results of the impact assessment model.

Page 14: SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR … › pubdocs › PORT ST JOHNS SECOND BEACH...SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR PROPOSED SECOND BEACH INFRASTRUCTURE IN PORT ST JOHNS 5 | P a g

SO

CIO

-EC

ON

OM

IC C

ON

SID

ER

ATI

ON

S F

OR

PR

OP

OSED

SEC

ON

D B

EA

CH

IN

FR

ASTR

UC

TUR

E IN

PO

RT

ST

JOH

NS

14

| P

ag

e

4.1

.SO

CIA

L IM

PA

CTS

TAB

LE 1

0 S

OC

IAL

IMP

AC

TS

� ��� �� � � ��¡ ¢£� ¤¥�¡� �¦§ ¨¡ ¥¦¡© ¦¡ ¥¦¢�¡ ª£ «¤�¡� �¦¬ �¦¢¥­«¥¦�¥ � ��¤¥¬ �¦¢¥­«¥¦�¥ ® �¡� ¦° ¤�± �± �� �¡ ª�� ¦�² � ��¦�¥£ ¥¢�¤�  ¡� �¦³ ® ¥�¢�¦

´ µ¶·µ¹º »¼ ½¾¶µ¿À ·µÁ µÃ º ÄÅÆÇ »¼ÈÉÊ

 µÃ º ÄÅ˺ ÈÌÍ ÎÏ ·»Ð ¸ÐÍ µÂ µÃ º ÄÅÑÌ µÃà º¹º »¼»Ò ¹ºÃ ¸Í ¾»»Í ½ ÓºÍͶ·µ¹ µ·µ¶·µ¹º »¼Í ½¾¶µÒ »·Í »¶Í

¶»ÅŠļº¹ ν ÓµÍÍ ½Ã »Åµ½¹º ¶¼ÃÒ »·µº ȼ¹ » Ä·º ½¹ ½ Ô

Õ ¸¹Ì µ·½Ò µ¹ Î ¼Ã ½µ¶ Ä·º¹ οÀ ·µÁ˺ ÈÌ ÉÇ »¼ÈÉÖ˺ ÈÌ Ëº ÈÌÍ ÎÏ ·»Ð ¸ÐÍ µËº ÈÌÕ ¸¹Ì µ·½Ò µ¹ μà ½µ¶ Ä·º¹ ÎÓºÍÍÐ µ

µ¼Ì ¼¶µÃ ¹Ì ·» ÄÈÌ ¾·» ׺ ½º »¼»Ò ¸½Ò µÅ·º ¼µ ØÐ ½µÃ ·µ¶·µ¹º »¼

½¾¶µ¹Ì ¸¹º ½Ã µÙ ĸ¹ µÍ ξ·»¹ µ¶¹ µÃÒ ·»Å½Ì ·Ú ½ Ô

À ¶¶µ½½¹ » »¶µ¼ÛÐ µ¶Ì µÃ Ķ¹º »¼¼Ã ¸ Ó·µ¼µ½½¿Ç »¶Í Æ µÃ º ÄÅÆÇ »¼ÈÉÖ

˺ ÈÌ Ï ·»Ð ¸ÐÍ µÂ µÃ º ÄÅÀ ½Å»·µÐ µ¶Ì È»µ·½·µ¹¹ ·¶¹ µÃ¹ »¹Ì µÐ µ¶Ì ܼ»¾¾»·¹ ļº¹ ÎÒ »·

·º ½º ¼È Ó·µ¼µ½½Ð » Ĺ¹Ì µÐ µ¶ÌÝÐ µ¶Ì ½Ò µ¹ Î ÜÅ·º ¼µµ¶»½ ν¹ µÅ

µ¹ ¶ ÔÞ ¾·µ½µ¼¹ ½º¹ ½µÍÒ ¹ »¹Ì µÍ »¶ÍŠļº ¶º ¾Í º¹ λ·µ ×µ¼¹Ì µ¼¹º »¼Í

ßàÀ Ôá Ķ¶µ½½Ò ÄÍ ¾·»È·Åŵ½½ Ä¶Ì½Ç µ·¼ ع » Øá Óº Ŷ» ÄÍÃÐ µ

·µ¾Í º ¶¹ µÃ ¹ »µ¼¶» ķȵ½ Ľ¹ ¸º ¼µÃĽµ»Ò ¹Ì µÐ µ¶Ì Ô

Page 15: SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR … › pubdocs › PORT ST JOHNS SECOND BEACH...SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR PROPOSED SECOND BEACH INFRASTRUCTURE IN PORT ST JOHNS 5 | P a g

SO

CIO

-EC

ON

OM

IC C

ON

SID

ER

ATI

ON

S F

OR

PR

OP

OSED

SEC

ON

D B

EA

CH

IN

FR

ASTR

UC

TUR

E IN

PO

RT

ST

JOH

NS

15

| P

ag

e

� ��� �� � � ��¡ ¢£� ¤¥�¡� �¦§ ¨¡ ¥¦¡© ¦¡ ¥¦¢�¡ ª£ «¤�¡� �¦¬ �¦¢¥­«¥¦�¥ � ��¤¥¬ �¦¢¥­«¥¦�¥ ® �¡� ¦° ¤�± �± �� �¡ ª�� ¦�² � ��¦�¥£ ¥¢�¤�  ¡� �¦³ ® ¥�¢�¦

⠻Ŋļº¹ Î ¶»Ì µ½º »¼¿Ç »¶Í Æ˺ ÈÌ ÉÇ »¼ÈÉãä µ· Î˺ ÈÌ Ëº ÈÌÍ ÎÏ ·»Ð ¸ÐÍ µä µ· Î˺ ÈÌÀ ¼¹¹ ·¶¹º ׵Рµ¶Ì º ½Í ºÚ µÍ ι »Ã · Ó

¸Ã º ×µ·½µ·¼Èµ»Ò Ľµ·½¹ »½Ì ·µº ¼¶»ÅÅ»¼·µ½» Ä·¶µ Ü¹Ì Ä½

µ¼¶» ķȺ ¼È½»¶º ¸Í ¶»Ì µ½º »¼» ×µ·¹Ì µÍ »¼È ع µ·Å

á µ¼½µ»Ò ¾Í ¶µÛ ¾·ºÃ µ¿Ç »¶Í Æ µÃ º ÄÅÆÇ »¼ÈÉÖ˺ ÈÌ Ëº ÈÌÍ ÎÏ ·»Ð ¸ÐÍ µËº ÈÌÀ ½¼¹¹ ·¶¹º »¼¹ »Ð »¹Ìà »Åµ½¹º ¶

¼ÃÒ »·µº ȼ¹ » Ä·º ½¹ ½ Ü¹Ì µÐ µ¶ÌÌ ½¹Ì µ¾»¹ µ¼¹º ¸Í ¹ »Ð µ¶»Åµ½» Ä·¶µ»Ò

¾·ºÃ µÒ »·¹Ì µÍ »¶Í ¶»ÅŠļº¹ Î Ô

à ¼ ׺ ·»¼Åµ¼¹ ¸Í ¾·»¹ µ¶¹º »¼Û ¶Í µ¼Í º ¼µ½½ ÝÍ º¹¹ µ· ÜÐ ·»Ú µ¼ Ð »¹¹Í µ½µ¹ ¶ ÔÞ¿Ç »¶Í Æ µÃ º ÄÅÆÇ »¼ÈÉÖ˺ ÈÌ Ï ·»Ð ¸ÐÍ µÂ µÃ º ÄÅÀ ½¾º ¼ Ø»ÒÒÒ ·»Å¹Ì µ½µ¼½µ»Ò ¾Í ¶µÛ

½» Ä·¶µ»Ò ¾·ºÃ µº ½¹Ì ¸¹ ¶»ÅŠļº¹ ÎŵÅÐ µ·½·µÍ ºÚ µÍ ι »Ð µÈº ¼¹ »¹ ¸Ú µ

Å»·µ¶¹º ×µ·»Í µº ¼µ¼½ Ä·º ¼È¹Ì µ¶Í µ¼Í º ¼µ½½»Ò ¹Ì µÐ µ¶Ì ¼Ã º¹ ½

Ò ¶ºÍ º¹º µ½ Ô

å ž·» ׵à ¾ ÄÐÍ º ¶ ŵ¼º¹º µ½ Ý ¸ÐÍ Ä¹º »¼½ Í ºÒ µÈ Ä·Ã ½ Ü ¾·Ú º ¼Èµ¹ ¶ ÔÞ¿À ·µÁ µÃ º ÄÅÆÇ »¼ÈÉÊ µÃ º ÄÅ˺ ÈÌÍ ÎÏ ·»Ð ¸ÐÍ µÂ µÃ º ÄÅå ž·» ׺ ¼È¹Ì µ¾ ÄÐÍ º ¶Åµ¼º¹º µ½

¸ ׸ºÍ ¸ÐÍ µ¹¹Ì µÐ µ¶Ì ÓºÍÍÌ ¸ ×µ¾»½º¹º ×µ½»¶º ¸Í º ž¶¹ »¼Ð µ¶Ì

È»µ·½¼Ã ¾»¹ µ¼¹º ¸ÍÍ Îµ¼¶» ķȵŻ·µÒ ·µÙ ĵ¼¹ Ľµ»Ò ¹Ì µÐ µ¶Ì

¼Ã ½½»¶º ¸¹ µÃÒ ¶ºÍ º¹º µ½ Ô

Page 16: SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR … › pubdocs › PORT ST JOHNS SECOND BEACH...SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR PROPOSED SECOND BEACH INFRASTRUCTURE IN PORT ST JOHNS 5 | P a g

SO

CIO

-EC

ON

OM

IC C

ON

SID

ER

ATI

ON

S F

OR

PR

OP

OSED

SEC

ON

D B

EA

CH

IN

FR

ASTR

UC

TUR

E IN

PO

RT

ST

JOH

NS

16

| P

ag

e

� ��� �� � � ��¡ ¢£� ¤¥�¡� �¦§ ¨¡ ¥¦¡© ¦¡ ¥¦¢�¡ ª£ «¤�¡� �¦¬ �¦¢¥­«¥¦�¥ � ��¤¥¬ �¦¢¥­«¥¦�¥ ® �¡� ¦° ¤�± �± �� �¡ ª�� ¦�² � ��¦�¥£ ¥¢�¤�  ¡� �¦³ ® ¥�¢�¦

Ñ ·ÒÒ º ¶¼Ã ¾·Ú º ¼È ¶»¼Èµ½¹º »¼ØÀ ·µÁ µÃ º ÄÅÆÇ »¼ÈÉÊ µÃ º ÄÅÏ ·»Ð ¸ÐÍ µÇ » Óß Ä·º ¼È¾µ·º »Ã ½»Ò ½ Ľ¹ ¸º ¼µÃÌ º ÈÌ

Ľµ¹Ì µ·µº ½¹Ì µÍ ºÚ µÍ ºÌ »»Ã »Ò ¸¶»¼Èµ½¹ µÃ ¾·Ú º ¼ÈÍ »¹ ¼Ã ¸Í ½»»Ò

¹ ·ÒÒ º ¶»¼¹Ì µ·»ÃÍ µÃ º ¼È¹ »¹Ì µÐ µ¶Ì Ô

â ·º ÅµÝ ¾µ¹¹ Î ¹Ì µÒ ¹Û ¾º ¶Ú ¾»¶Ú µ¹º ¼ÈÞØÀ ·µÁ µÃ º ÄÅÆÇ »¼ÈÉÊ µÃ º ÄÅÏ ·»Ð ¸ÐÍ µÇ » Óß Ä·º ¼È¾µ·º »Ã ½»ÒÌ º ÈÌ Ä½µ Ü

º ¼¶ºÃ µ¼¹ ½»Ò ¶·º ŵ½ Ä¶Ì ½¾µ¹¹ Î¹Ì µÒ ¹ ¼Ã ¾º ¶Ú ¾»¶Ú µ¹º ¼Èź ÈÌ ¹

»¶¶ Ä·½·µ½ ÄÍ ¹ »Ò ¹Ì µ¾·µ½µ¼¶µ»Ò»¾¾»·¹ ļº ½¹ ½ ܵ½¾µ¶º ¸ÍÍ ÎÓÌ µ¼

¹Ì µ·µ·µÌ º ÈÌ ¼ ÄÅÐ µ·½»Ò ׺ ½º¹ »·½»¼¹Ì µÐ µ¶Ì Ô

Õ µ¶Ì ¶Í µ¼Í º ¼µ½½ ÝÐ ·»Ú µ¼ÈÍ ½½Û »¾µ¼Ò º ·µ½æ Ð ·º ½ÞØÀ ·µÁ µÃ º ÄÅÆÇ »¼ÈÉÊ µÃ º ÄÅÏ ·»Ð ¸ÐÍ µÇ » Óå ¼¾µ·º »Ã ½»ÒÌ º ÈÌ Ä½µ ܺ¹º ½Í ºÚ µÍ Î

¹Ì ¸¹¹Ì µ·µ ÓºÍÍÐ µÌ º ÈÌ µ·Í µ ×µÍ ½»ÒÍ º¹¹ µ·½ Ä¶Ì ½¹Ì ¸¹ ½½»¶º ¸¹ µÃ Óº¹Ì

¸Í ¶»Ì »Í ¶»¼½ Äž¹º »¼¼Ã »¾µ¼Ò º ·µ½ÛÐ ·º ½º ¼¾ ÄÐÍ º ¶½¾¶µ½ Ô

Page 17: SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR … › pubdocs › PORT ST JOHNS SECOND BEACH...SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR PROPOSED SECOND BEACH INFRASTRUCTURE IN PORT ST JOHNS 5 | P a g

SO

CIO

-EC

ON

OM

IC C

ON

SID

ER

ATI

ON

S F

OR

PR

OP

OSED

SEC

ON

D B

EA

CH

IN

FR

ASTR

UC

TUR

E IN

PO

RT

ST

JOH

NS

17

| P

ag

e

4.2

.EC

ON

OM

IC IM

PA

CT

TAB

LE 1

1 E

CO

NO

MIC

IM

PA

CTS

ç èéêéëì èì ëíîèï ðñì òóèïì éêç ôï óêïõ êï óêðìï öñ ÷òîïì éêø éêðóù÷óêèó ú èéòóø éêðóù÷óêèó û îïì êüý òéþ îþ ìÿ ìï öúì üêì� ì èîêèóñ óðèòì íïì éê� û óîðéê

�� ����� ������ � � ������ �� �������� ��� �� �� � ���� ��!"

� #� �$ � ��� �� #� �� ��� �� � �� � ����� �� ������ �� �%� &�

�� ����� ������ � ���������� '������ ��� �� �� � ���� �()*

+� ( +� ( � �� � �� �+� ( �� ���� ���� ������ %� �, �� �� ������ ��$ ��

��� ����(������ ���� ��� �%� &�$ % ����� �� ��� ��� % - � �$ �( ���� % -���, � �( ��� ��� ��� % -��� �� ��� �%����(��% .

/ �� � ����� ������ � � ���%%� �%0 %� ��% ���� ����� �%

�� ���!+� ( )� �()*+� ( +� ( � �� � �� �+� ( � %�� � 1$$$ ��� �

(������� � &�� ����� $� � ��� � %� � ���� ���� ����%��� ��

$ �����%%� �%� �� #��� �� �� ���2�� .

3 �%�� ��� � ���� � %��� % ������ �$ ����

%��� �� ��� ��%�� % #��%�%����$ � �(� %

# � � ������ ����� &�� ��� (��% -� ��� �� � �(

� ��� %� % .

4 ��� �� � ����$ ��� �4 �(� �)� �� � ���� �()56 �� �+� ( +� ( � �� � �� �6 �� �+� ( 7 ����� �($ ����%%� �%

� %� �, �� �� � &��%�� � 1$$ � ����� $ (������� �(

� ����� %� ������ �� -� ��� � �(� � ���%�$ ��%�� � .�

$ �� ���2�� # � �

Page 18: SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR … › pubdocs › PORT ST JOHNS SECOND BEACH...SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR PROPOSED SECOND BEACH INFRASTRUCTURE IN PORT ST JOHNS 5 | P a g

SO

CIO

-EC

ON

OM

IC C

ON

SID

ER

ATI

ON

S F

OR

PR

OP

OSED

SEC

ON

D B

EA

CH

IN

FR

ASTR

UC

TUR

E IN

PO

RT

ST

JOH

NS

18

| P

ag

e

ç èéêéëì èì ëíîèï ðñì òóèïì éêç ôï óêïõ êï óêðìï öñ ÷òîïì éêø éêðóù÷óêèó ú èéòóø éêðóù÷óêèó û îïì êüý òéþ îþ ìÿ ìï öúì üêì� ì èîêèóñ óðèòì íïì éê� û óîðéê ���$$ %�� %��$ � ������� ��� �%� % �%%�� �� �� #�� ��� �� ������$ � �

��� ��� �%%�� �� ��$ ���� ��� �% .

� ��� � � 8� %�� &� ��%�4 �(� �)+� ( )� �()96 �� �+� ( � � �� �+� ( � %� � ��� ����%� ����� �� �� ���� 1

� ���� �%�� ���� � -��� %� �, �� �� ��� ��� � � 8�

����� �% #��� ��� ���� # -������������

� �� �% #�� � �� ���2�� .

4 �� � &�� ����� $� �$ ����� ��� %� ������ ��� �

�4 �(� �)� �� � ���� �()56 �� �+� ( +� ( � �� � �� �6 �� �+� ( � ��� &��� �$ %����

��� � %���� �� ��� �� � � �� &�� �� �(�� 1� ���

�� &�� �� � %��� ������� � &�� ����� $ � �

��, 1$ 1 ��� � �$ ��%� � ��� ������$ ���� ��� �% -�%���� ��� �

� %���� ��� �(� � ��� %� %�� ��%�� ����$ ��� (�� ./ �� � ���� � ����� %$ (������

��� � &�� ����� $ � ��������� �, �� �� �$ �� �

� �� ������ �$ �� �� ��� ��� ���� � -���

��� �%��� ���� �� � ����� � ���2�� .3 �%� #���

� �� ��� � &��� �� ��$ �%��� &�� � ���� ���

Page 19: SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR … › pubdocs › PORT ST JOHNS SECOND BEACH...SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR PROPOSED SECOND BEACH INFRASTRUCTURE IN PORT ST JOHNS 5 | P a g

SO

CIO

-EC

ON

OM

IC C

ON

SID

ER

ATI

ON

S F

OR

PR

OP

OSED

SEC

ON

D B

EA

CH

IN

FR

ASTR

UC

TUR

E IN

PO

RT

ST

JOH

NS

19

| P

ag

e

ç èéêéëì èì ëíîèï ðñì òóèïì éêç ôï óêïõ êï óêðìï öñ ÷òîïì éêø éêðóù÷óêèó ú èéòóø éêðóù÷óêèó û îïì êüý òéþ îþ ìÿ ìï öúì üêì� ì èîêèóñ óðèòì íïì éê� û óîðéê � �� � ���� %�� �� �������� �� ����� %�

� �� ��� ��� ���� � .

� %� $ ����� ��� %� �(�0 14 �(� �)� �� � ���� ��!:� �� � ��+� ( � �� � �� �� �� � ��� � �� �$ ��%� � ��� ����

%� ��� � - ��� �%$ � -#��� ��; �� ���� ���� ��� �

%� (��$ � ����� ���� ��� 8���� �� ��� .

� �� �� �������%� % 14 �(� �)� #!� �()*+� ( +� ( � �� � �� �+� ( �� � �( �$$ �� #��� �

��� �� �� &�� ��� � �$ ��%� � ��� ���� %� ��� �#�� � #��� �� ������ ��; �� ������ % -�� #��� �

� ��%%�� �� ��� &�� �$ � ����� �� ��� ��$

��� �� ������ # � � #���$ ��� �� ���2�� .�

�� (�� #��� ���� � �� �� �%�� �$ �� � %

������ ��� ��� �� ������ .

Page 20: SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR … › pubdocs › PORT ST JOHNS SECOND BEACH...SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR PROPOSED SECOND BEACH INFRASTRUCTURE IN PORT ST JOHNS 5 | P a g

SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR PROPOSED SECOND BEACH INFRASTRUCTURE

IN PORT ST JOHNS

20 | P a g e

5. Funding Options

Funding of capital projects is more readily available than the funding of supporting programmes

and operational budgets, and it is really all three that are required in order to make this proposed

development a success. Funding options to subside the running costs typically include admission

charges, sponsorship and advertising, naming rights, the operating of concessions, club fees,

event hire etc. are unlikely to succeed in this locality given high levels of poverty and the low

immediate market density.

Income streams to the municipality from operation of onsite concessions are a good possibility.

5.1. Potential funding sources

The following table provides some options and criteria for funding: < = > ? @ A B = C A D E C F G H I J K L M N K O J P Q R S T C F U A U T C VW X Y S < S Z [ K P \ ] \ ^ _ ` J a b K ^ \ ]c P K ^ K d b Pe J f J ] K I d J ^ Q g [ ` c eh i ^ _

j K R I J P b L b P b ^ _ i R Q N H k d i R Q O i R Ql m n o p q r m s o t u v o w m p x r x y z x { | y m } v z t x ~ r p z u u m s z x z � z � ~ � q � o n� � � � � � � � � � � u m v u v o w m p x n o v u v o w m p x} m t m v z x ~ o t u y z r m �� ~ � u v o � o x m w o l p v m z x ~ o t x ov m s q p m u o � m v x � � m � m � r | y m } v z t x ~ r p z u u m s z x z � z � ~ � q � o n � � �� � � � � � � � � � u m v z t t q � u m v~ � u � m � m t x z x ~ o t u v o w m p x �� ~ ~ � } m t m v z x m z s s ~ x ~ o t z � r o q v p m ro n ~ t p o � m n o v x y m u o o v � o v r x v z x m } ~ p ~ t x m v � m t x ~ o t r z r ~ t n o v � m s l �x y m m p o t o � ~ p u o x m t x ~ z � o n x y m z v m z � x y m} v z t x ~ r p z u u m s z x � � � � � � � � � � � � � n o v x y ms m � m � o u � m t x o n � o p z � m p o t o � ~ m r� ~ ~ ~ � } ~ � m z t ~ � u v o � m s � q z � ~ x � o n� ~ n m ~ t p o � � q t ~ x ~ m r | y ~ r } v z t x � ~ � � l m o � m v z u m v ~ o s o n t o x� o v m x y z t x y ~ v x � � r ~ � � o t x y r � � � m z v r � �� ~ � � ~ � u v o � m m t x v m u v m t m q v ~ z �p q � x q v m � m p o t o � ~ p z t s r o p ~ z �~ t p � q r ~ o t � ~ t p v m z r m s � m � m � r o np o t n ~ s m t p m � r m � n � l m � ~ m n z t s~ t ~ x ~ z x ~ � m � z t s p z u z l ~ � ~ x ~ m r n o vr q r x z ~ t ~ t } o � t m t x m v u v ~ r m rz � o t } ~ t s ~ � ~ s q z � r z t s } v o q u rn v o � � z v } ~ t z � ~ r m sp o � � q t ~ x ~ m r � � o t x z p x { � m � ~ � m � q r z � � m { � � � � � � � � � �� � � � � � �   ¡ ¢ � £ �¤ � � ¥ ¦ ¡ � §� ¨ £ ¦ © �   ¨ � ¡ �ª « ¡ ¬ ­ ¤ � ª ® � q v z � z t s� o � � q t ~ x �¯ m � m � o u � m t x � q t s ° m p x o v r n q t s m s {± } v o ² v o p m r r ~ t } z t s³ z t q n z p x q v ~ t }´ p o � | o q v ~ r �� o v m r x v � z t s � ~ r y m v ~ m r� o � � m v p ~ z � ² v o u m v x �± � q z z t s ³ z v ~ t m � q � x q v mµ o t � � z v � ± p x ~ � ~ x ~ m r � v q v z �l z r m s � ³ z � � ¶ � � � � u m v w o l p v m z x m s � � ~ t ~ � q �¶ � w o l r � z u u � ~ p z x ~ o t x z � m r � � � � o t x y r· � ¸ ¹ º » t p q l z x ~ o t ° q u u o v x² v o } v z � � m � » ° ² � � q v z � ¯ m � m � o u � m t x² v o } v z � � m r | y m n q t s ~ t } x y v m r y o � s v z t } ~ t } n v o � z� ~ t ~ � q � o n � ¶ � ~ � � ~ o t x o � � � � ~ � � ~ o t � | y mµ ´ � � ~ � � ~ t � m r x q r ~ t } s m l x � m � q ~ x � z t s� q z r ~ � m � q ~ x � ~ t r x v q � m t x r

Page 21: SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR … › pubdocs › PORT ST JOHNS SECOND BEACH...SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR PROPOSED SECOND BEACH INFRASTRUCTURE IN PORT ST JOHNS 5 | P a g

SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR PROPOSED SECOND BEACH INFRASTRUCTURE

IN PORT ST JOHNS

21 | P a g e

¸ � £ �   � ¨ � ¡ � ª « ¡ ¬ | � u m o n ² v o w m p x r ¢ ¦ ¡ ¬ ¥ � ¥ ¦ ¡ �¼ � � ¢ ¸ ¢ » � � z l zp o o u m v z x ~ � m r n q t s ± } v o � l m t m n ~ p ~ z x ~ o t � ½ v m m t´ p o t o � � � ¹ ¦ «   ¥ � ¨ �³ z t q n z p x q v ~ t } � ² m x v o p y m � ~ p z � r �� z u ~ x z � ½ o o s r � » � | � q t s ~ t } o t � � n o v p o o u m v z x ~ � m r z t s v q v z �m t x m v u v ~ r m r t o x n o v � q t ~ p ~ u z � ~ x ~ m r �¾ � ¤ � � ¥ ¦ ¡ � §¿ ¦ � � �   ¥ � �¢ ¦ ¨ ¨ ¥ � � ¥ ¦ ¡ µ z x ~ o t z � À o x x m v �¯ ~ r x v ~ l q x ~ o t | v q r x� q t s ± v x r ± u u � ~ p z x ~ o t � l z r m s n q t s ~ t }Á m v ~ x z } m � � q � x q v z � z t s µ z x q v z � � ² v o z p x ~ � m n q t s ~ t } � ~ t � ~ t m � ~ x yÂ Ã Ä Å Æ Ç È Å Ç É Ê Ë Ì Í Î Ç Ë Ï´ t � ~ v o t � m t x ° � z � � } v z t x r � ¶ � � � � � � � � �³ ~ r p m � � z t m o q r ³ m s ~ q � } v z t x r � � � � � � ¶ � � � � � � � � �À z v } m } v z t x r » t m � p m r r o n � � � � � � � �Ð � ¤ � � ¥ ¦ ¡ � §¸ � £ �   � ¨ � ¡ � ¦ ѹ ¦ «   ¥ � ¨

° o p ~ z � � m r u o t r ~ l ~ � ~ x �» � u � m � m t x z x ~ o t� ° � » � ² v o w m p x

Ò Á m v ~ x z } m x o q v ~ r � u v o w m p x rÓ Ô � Õ   � � � ¥ ¦ ¡ � § � ¦ «   ¥ � ¨Ò Á o r u ~ x z � ~ x � z t sz p p o � � o s z x ~ o t n z p ~ � ~ x ~ m r Ö� o s } m r � } q m r x y o q r m � � × � r �� m r o v x r m x pÒ µ ~ p y m x o q v ~ r � u v o w m p x rÒ | o q v ~ r � z x x v z p x ~ o t rÒ | o q v ~ r � x v z ~ t ~ t } z t s p z u z p ~ x �l q ~ � s ~ t } u v o w m p x r x z v } m x ~ t } x y mq t m � u � o � m s � o q x yÒ | o q v ~ r � � o q x m rÒ � z � u z t s p z v z � z t ° ~ x m rÒ ² ~ p t ~ p ° ~ x m rÒ Á ~ � ~ t } | v z ~ � rÒ Ø ~ r ~ x o v Ù | o q v ~ r � » t n o v � z x ~ o t� m t x v m r z t s ~ t x m v u v m x z x ~ o t� m t x v m rÒ µ z x q v m l z r m s x o q v ~ r �

À ~ r x o n � v ~ x m v ~ z ~ t p � q s m r { Ò² v o w m p x r x y z x � m m x x y m ´ ² � ²v m � q ~ v m � m t x r � ± u v o w m p x � q r x } m t m v z x m z� z l o q v p o t x m t x o n z x � m z r x � � Ú o n x y m x o x z �u v o w m p x p o r x �Ò ² v o w m p x r x z v } m x ~ t } v q v z � z v m z r �Ò | y m u v o w m p x r � q r x q t � o p � x y m x o q v ~ r �u o x m t x ~ z � z t s m p o t o � ~ p u o x m t x ~ z � o n z tz v m z z t s � q r x ~ � u v o � m x y mp o � u m x ~ x ~ � m t m r r o n ° o q x y ± n v ~ p z t x o q v ~ r �~ t s q r x v � �Ò ² v m n m v m t p m n o v n q t s ~ t } ~ r } ~ � m t x ou v o w m p x r � y m v m x y m z u u � ~ p z t x Ù � o p z �� q t ~ p ~ u z � ~ x � o v u v o � ~ t p ~ z � s m u z v x � m t x ~ r� ~ � � ~ t } x o p o � n q t s z u v o w m p x z t s u v o � ~ s ml q � � r m v � ~ p m r x o z u v o w m p x �Ò ² v o w m p x r � q r x l m r q u u o v x m s l � x y mv m � m � z t x u v o � ~ t p ~ z � x o q v ~ r � } o � m v t � m t xs m u z v x � m t x z t s � q r x l m ~ t p � q s m s ~ t x y m» ¯ ² o n x y m � o p z � � q t ~ p ~ u z � ~ x � �Ò ± v m u o v x o t x y m � z t z } m � m t x �~ t r x ~ x q x ~ o t z � z t s o u m v z x ~ o t z � r x v q p x q v m rz t s u v o p m r r m r Ö � y o � ~ � � o u m v z x m z t s� z t z } m x y m u v o w m p x u o r x µ ¯ | n q t s ~ t } ÛÒ ± v m u o v x o t x y m o � t m v r y ~ u r x v q p x q v m � z r� m � � z r p z u z p ~ x � z t s m � u m v x ~ r m o n x y mo � t ~ t } z } m t p � x o o u m v z x m x y m u v o w m p x u o r xµ ¯ | n q t s ~ t } Ö � y o � ~ � � o � t x y m u v o w m p xo t p m ~ x ~ r p o � u � m x m s z t s � y z x ~ r x y mp z u z p ~ x � z t s m � u m v x ~ r m o n x y m o � t ~ t }z } m t p � x o � z t z } m x y m u v o w m p x ÛÒ � o � � q t ~ x � l m t m n ~ x Ö Á o � � ~ � � x y mp o � � q t ~ x � l m t m n ~ x n v o � x y ~ r u v o w m p x ÛÒ » t x y m p z r m o n ~ t n v z r x v q p x q v m u v o w m p x r �u v m n m v m t p m n o v n q t s ~ t } ~ r } ~ � m t x o u v o w m p x r� y m v m x y m n o � � o � ~ t }~ t n o v � z x ~ o t Ù s o p q � m t x r z v m r q l � ~ x x m s z ru z v x o n x y m z u u � ~ p z x ~ o t {Ò ± n m z r ~ l ~ � ~ x � r x q s � v m u o v x p o � m v ~ t } x y mp o � � m v p ~ z � z t s n ~ t z t p ~ z � � ~ z l ~ � ~ x � o n x y mu v o u o r m s x o q v ~ r � u v o w m p x � � z v � m x z t z � � r ~ rv m u o v x � p o r x l m t m n ~ x z t z � � r ~ rÒ ± r r m r r � m t x z t s z � z ~ � z l ~ � ~ x � o n l q � �r m v � ~ p m r m � } � z x m v � r m � m v � m � m p x v ~ p ~ x � m x pÒ ´ t � ~ v o t � m t x z � » � u z p x ± r r m r r � m t x r x q s �z t s � m p o v s o n ¯ m p ~ r ~ o tÒ � � z v ~ x � o t � z t s o � t m v r y ~ uÒ ± u u v o � m s l q ~ � s ~ t } u � z t r z t s v m � z x m ss o p q � m t x z x ~ o t �

Page 22: SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR … › pubdocs › PORT ST JOHNS SECOND BEACH...SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR PROPOSED SECOND BEACH INFRASTRUCTURE IN PORT ST JOHNS 5 | P a g

SOCIO-ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR PROPOSED SECOND BEACH INFRASTRUCTURE

IN PORT ST JOHNS

22 | P a g e

¸ � £ �   � ¨ � ¡ � ª « ¡ ¬ | � u m o n ² v o w m p x r ¢ ¦ ¡ ¬ ¥ � ¥ ¦ ¡ �Ò � o r x ~ t } o n x y m u v o w m p x m � } � � ~ � � o nÜ q z t x ~ x ~ m r �Ò ± t z r r q v z t p m x y z x x y m u v m r p v ~ l m s � z l o q vp o t x m t x n o v x y m u v o w m p x p z t l m z p y ~ m � m sÝ � ¢ Þ ¹ ß à � ¹ Þ¯ ~ r p v m x ~ o t z v � z t s³ z t s z x o v � ½ v z t x r

á n n m v r � m z v t m v r y ~ u r �~ t x m v t r y ~ u r � � o v � ~ t x m } v z x m s� m z v t ~ t } u v o } v z � � m rz u u v m t x ~ p m r y ~ u r � l q v r z v ~ m r z t sr � ~ � � r u v o } v z � � m r ~ t { � q t s ~ t } � z v } m � � n o v x y o r m z � v m z s �m � u � o � m s ~ t x y m x o q v ~ r � ~ t s q r x v � �´ � u � o � m v r z u u � � o t l m y z � n o n x y mm � u � o � m m r �·± v x r � � q � x q v m z t sÁ m v ~ x z } m

·� o t r m v � z x ~ o t

·½ z � ~ t } z t s À o x x m v ~ m r

·Á o r u ~ x z � ~ x �

·° u o v x � � m p v m z x ~ o t z t s� ~ x t m r r

·¹   � â � § � ¡ ¬ ¹ ¦ «   ¥ � ¨

6. Concluding comments

As indicated in the socio-economic context, the community surrounding the proposed

development is experiencing a severe shortage in suitable recreational infrastructure, and this has

also impacted on the local areas ability to provide domestic and international tourists with

suitable attractions to retain tourism activity and thus concentrate further tourism rand spend in

this locality.

The development of the tidal pool will provide not only much needed recreational access and

safe bathing options, short term employment and skill transfer during construction but also longer

term economic opportunities in the form of back of site concession opportunities, additional taxi

trade and the potential for a sense of place established for both the local community and the

province as a driver of future tourism spend.