12
ed: TH/ sa: JC, PY, CS BUY Upgrade from HOLD Last Traded Price ( 27 Jun 2019): S$0.675 (STI : 3,328.40) Price Target 12-mth: S$0.85 (26% upside) (Prev S$0.80) Analyst Alfie YEO +65 6682 3717 [email protected] Andy SIM, CFA +65 6682 3718 [email protected] What’s New Expect operational turnaround to drive earnings growth Supertea, R&B Tea kiosks and lower depreciation to contribute more positively to earnings Raise FY19-20F earnings by 7% each Upgrade to BUY with a higher TP of S$0.85 Price Relative Forecasts and Valuation FY Dec (S$m) 2017A 2018A 2019F 2020F Revenue 217 224 246 268 EBITDA 40.1 42.8 110 114 Pre-tax Profit 32.1 29.5 33.5 34.4 Net Profit 26.9 24.4 27.8 28.6 Net Pft (Pre Ex.) 26.9 25.7 28.0 28.6 Net Pft Gth (Pre-ex) (%) 3.8 (4.2) 8.8 2.0 EPS (S cts) 4.84 4.40 5.01 5.14 EPS Pre Ex. (S cts) 4.84 4.64 5.04 5.14 EPS Gth Pre Ex (%) 4 (4) 9 2 Diluted EPS (S cts) 4.84 4.40 5.01 5.14 Net DPS (S cts) 15.3 2.20 2.50 2.57 BV Per Share (S cts) 7.74 16.5 19.0 21.5 PE (X) 13.9 15.3 13.5 13.1 PE Pre Ex. (X) 13.9 14.6 13.4 13.1 P/Cash Flow (X) 7.4 9.6 9.1 8.3 EV/EBITDA (X) 8.1 6.6 2.7 2.6 Net Div Yield (%) 22.6 3.3 3.7 3.8 P/Book Value (X) 8.7 4.1 3.6 3.1 Net Debt/Equity (X) CASH CASH CASH CASH ROAE (%) 36.8 36.4 28.3 25.4 Earnings Rev (%): 7 7 Consensus EPS (S cts): 5.00 5.30 Other Broker Recs: B: 1 S: 0 H: 1 Source of all data on this page: Company, DBS Bank, Bloomberg Finance L.P Time to whet your appetite Upgrade to BUY, TP raised to S$0.85. We turn positive on Koufu and upgrade our recommendation to BUY with a TP of S$0.85, as we expect the group to post higher net earnings growth of 8.8% in FY19F. Post our downgrade, the stock has declined by close to 12%. Earnings growth will be driven by the turnaround of its foodcourt and kiosk businesses. We raise our FY19-20F earnings forecasts by 7% each as we impute 1) positive contribution of the Supertea and R&B kiosk business; 2) better foodcourt sales efficiency; and 3) lower depreciation. Valuation is now more palatable at 13.1x FY20F PE with visible growth drivers. Where we differ. We are more positive than previously, as stock valuations have declined from 16x to 13.1x FY20F PE, post the recent price correction. Fundamentals continue to be sound, with strong cashflow-generation, defensive earnings, net cash position, and strong return on average equity (ROAE). Potential catalyst. This will stem from reaping the benefits of economies of scale over the long term and special dividends from sale of its existing central kitchen property before moving into the new integrated facility. Longer-term drivers include the setting up of an integrated facility aimed at delivering economies of scale, and overseas growth from Macau. Valuation: The stock currently trades at 13.4/13.1x FY19F/FY20F PE. Our TP of S$0.85 is based on 17x FY19F PE, pegged to peers’ average (ex-BreadTalk) multiple. Key Risks to Our View: Key earnings risks include failure to renew leases, inability to secure new outlets, departure of key tenants and food stalls, customers downtrading to hawker centres and coffee shops, competition from foodcourts that offer more attractive propositions (environment, pricing, food quality, etc.) to customers. At A Glance Issued Capital (m shrs) 555 Mkt. Cap (S$m/US$m) 375 / 276 Major Shareholders (%) Jun Yuan Holdings 77.2 Free Float (%) 22.8 3m Avg. Daily Val (US$m) 0.62 ICB Industry : Consumer Services / General Retailers DBS Group Research . Equity 27 Jun 2019 Singapore Company Guide Koufu Group Ltd Version 4 | Bloomberg: KOUFU SP | Reuters: KOUF.SI Refer to important disclosures at the end of this report

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ed: TH/ sa: JC, PY, CS

BUY Upgrade from HOLD

Last Traded Price ( 27 Jun 2019): S$0.675 (STI : 3,328.40)

Price Target 12-mth: S$0.85 (26% upside) (Prev S$0.80)

Analyst Alfie YEO +65 6682 3717 [email protected] Andy SIM, CFA +65 6682 3718 [email protected]

What’s New • Expect operational turnaround to drive earnings growth

• Supertea, R&B Tea kiosks and lower depreciation to

contribute more positively to earnings

• Raise FY19-20F earnings by 7% each

• Upgrade to BUY with a higher TP of S$0.85

Price Relative

Forecasts and Valuation FY Dec (S$m) 2017A 2018A 2019F 2020F

Revenue 217 224 246 268 EBITDA 40.1 42.8 110 114 Pre-tax Profit 32.1 29.5 33.5 34.4 Net Profit 26.9 24.4 27.8 28.6 Net Pft (Pre Ex.) 26.9 25.7 28.0 28.6 Net Pft Gth (Pre-ex) (%) 3.8 (4.2) 8.8 2.0 EPS (S cts) 4.84 4.40 5.01 5.14 EPS Pre Ex. (S cts) 4.84 4.64 5.04 5.14 EPS Gth Pre Ex (%) 4 (4) 9 2 Diluted EPS (S cts) 4.84 4.40 5.01 5.14 Net DPS (S cts) 15.3 2.20 2.50 2.57 BV Per Share (S cts) 7.74 16.5 19.0 21.5 PE (X) 13.9 15.3 13.5 13.1 PE Pre Ex. (X) 13.9 14.6 13.4 13.1 P/Cash Flow (X) 7.4 9.6 9.1 8.3 EV/EBITDA (X) 8.1 6.6 2.7 2.6 Net Div Yield (%) 22.6 3.3 3.7 3.8 P/Book Value (X) 8.7 4.1 3.6 3.1 Net Debt/Equity (X) CASH CASH CASH CASH ROAE (%) 36.8 36.4 28.3 25.4 Earnings Rev (%): 7 7 Consensus EPS (S cts): 5.00 5.30 Other Broker Recs: B: 1 S: 0 H: 1

Source of all data on this page: Company, DBS Bank, Bloomberg Finance L.P

Time to whet your appetite

Upgrade to BUY, TP raised to S$0.85. We turn positive on

Koufu and upgrade our recommendation to BUY with a TP of

S$0.85, as we expect the group to post higher net earnings

growth of 8.8% in FY19F. Post our downgrade, the stock has

declined by close to 12%. Earnings growth will be driven by the

turnaround of its foodcourt and kiosk businesses. We raise our

FY19-20F earnings forecasts by 7% each as we impute 1)

positive contribution of the Supertea and R&B kiosk business; 2)

better foodcourt sales efficiency; and 3) lower depreciation.

Valuation is now more palatable at 13.1x FY20F PE with visible

growth drivers.

Where we differ. We are more positive than previously, as stock

valuations have declined from 16x to 13.1x FY20F PE, post the

recent price correction. Fundamentals continue to be sound,

with strong cashflow-generation, defensive earnings, net cash

position, and strong return on average equity (ROAE).

Potential catalyst. This will stem from reaping the benefits of

economies of scale over the long term and special dividends

from sale of its existing central kitchen property before moving

into the new integrated facility. Longer-term drivers include the

setting up of an integrated facility aimed at delivering

economies of scale, and overseas growth from Macau.

Valuation:

The stock currently trades at 13.4/13.1x FY19F/FY20F PE. Our

TP of S$0.85 is based on 17x FY19F PE, pegged to peers’

average (ex-BreadTalk) multiple.

Key Risks to Our View:

Key earnings risks include failure to renew leases, inability to

secure new outlets, departure of key tenants and food stalls,

customers downtrading to hawker centres and coffee shops,

competition from foodcourts that offer more attractive

propositions (environment, pricing, food quality, etc.) to

customers. At A Glance Issued Capital (m shrs) 555

Mkt. Cap (S$m/US$m) 375 / 276

Major Shareholders (%)

Jun Yuan Holdings 77.2

Free Float (%) 22.8

3m Avg. Daily Val (US$m) 0.62

ICB Industry : Consumer Services / General Retailers

DBS Group Research . Equity

27 Jun 2019

Singapore Company Guide

Koufu Group Ltd Version 4 | Bloomberg: KOUFU SP | Reuters: KOUF.SI Refer to important disclosures at the end of this report

Page 2

Company Guide

Koufu Group Ltd

WHAT’S NEW

Expect growth to come through

The stock has corrected by close to 12% since our

downgrade; its valuation at c.13x forward PE is now more

attractive: Since our downgrade post 1Q19 earnings, Koufu’s

share price has corrected by close to 12%. The stock currently

trades at c.13x forward earnings which we believe is now

priced more attractively than during our point of downgrade

at c.16x forward earnings.

Earnings expectations to improve: We expect FY19F earnings

to improve from our prior expectations, led by contribution of

new R&B and Supertea kiosk outlets, higher sales efficiency in

foodcourts, and relatively lower operating expense in the

form of lower depreciation. We also see earnings in FY20F led

by a higher store base for R&B and Supertea kiosks with our

breakeven expectations for these new stores now faster than

anticipated.

Key drivers to more positive earnings

Earnings driver Note

Depreciation More fully depreciated outlets

Kiosk

turnaround

From slight loss to profit

Higher revenue Uplift in revenue per store and higher store

count

Source: Company, DBS Bank estimates

Lower depreciation from stores: We believe depreciation will

be lower than previously anticipated. There is currently a mix

of about 10 foodcourt and restaurant outlets which were

opened in 2015 and 2016. Based on Koufu’s depreciation

policy over three-year lease periods, these outlets would be

fully depreciated by 2019. We estimate that the net impact of

these outlets along with newly opened outlets within the last

three years would contribute to lower-than-expected expense

of close to S$1m this year.

Kiosk business to contribute to FY20F growth. Based on

Koufu’s current pipeline and planned store opening of R&B

and Supertea outlets, we believe the aggressive rollout will

add to our revenue projections. Koufu had 10 kiosk outlets

(including one in Macau) in FY18 which incurred a marginal

loss in FY18. We previously held the view that the ramp-up of

outlets to 22 by FY19F would lead to higher depreciation and

start-up losses. However, we now believe that newer stores

would break even faster within a few months after

undergoing the start-up and calibration phase for its initial 10

stores in FY18. We believe a shorter breakeven period for the

kiosk business would contribute more positively to our

earnings forecasts.

Kiosks to contribute more positively to earnings

FY18 FY19F

New outlets 10 10

Full 12 months

operations

0 10

Total outlets 10 20

Estimated kiosk revenue c.S$800,000 c.S$5.4m

Estimated kiosk earnings Breakeven c.S$1m

Source: Company, DBS Bank estimates

Raising sales-per-outlet assumption to factor higher same-

store sales: We increase our annual sales per outlet

assumption for Outlet and Mall Management segment from

S$1.7m to S$1.74m to factor in better sales efficiency at its

foodcourts. We anticipate the run rate for same-store sales to

be healthy at 3-5% going forward. Hence, we are now more

optimistic on our revenue forecast for the Outlet and Mall

Management segment by 2-3% at S$115m/S$120m for

FY19F/FY20F.

More positive for ‘other eating places’ F&B retail sales on real

wage increase: Primarily a foodcourt operator, Koufu’s sales

are generally classified under ‘other eating places’ in

Singstats’ Singapore retail sales segmentation. Foodcourts are

neither restaurants, fast food outlets nor caterers and hence

sales would be classified under ‘other eating places’. We have

seen a recovery for ‘other eating places’ retail sales index in

recent months. The consumer sentiment for ‘other eating

places’ sales has picked up in 2019 after a period of y-o-y

decline in 2017 and 2018. This can be attributed to the

decline in GDP growth where consumers are switching from

higher-end F&B foodservice outlets to more economical

coffeeshops, foodcourts and hawker centres.

Singapore F&B sales for ‘other eating places’ is

recovering

Source: ThomsonReuters Datastream, DBS Bank

Page 3

Company Guide

Koufu Group Ltd

Raise FY19-20F earnings by 7% each. We raise our earnings

estimates for FY19-20F to reflect 1) better revenue, and 2)

relatively lower operating costs and better operating margins.

Due to more positive drivers mentioned, we lift FY19-20F

revenue by 5-9% on more kiosk outlets going forward in

addition to slightly better sales per store efficiency from the

closure of weak outlets. Our operating profit margin for

FY19F is now higher at 15.0% from 14.0% on the back of

lower-than-expected depreciation from store closures.

Upgrade to BUY, TP S$0.85. We upgrade our call on Koufu

from HOLD to BUY on the back of more positive earnings

expectations, projecting FY19F and FY20F earnings to grow

9% and 2% y-o-y respectively. Our TP, which is based on 17x

FY19F PE, is now higher at S$0.85.

Page 4

Company Guide

Koufu Group Ltd

CRITICAL DATA POINTS TO WATCH

Critical Factors

Store count growth largely from foodcourts and self-operated

F&B stalls. We have assumed 2-3 new outlets per year for

foodcourts going forward and coffee shops to remain stable at

c.15 outlets as Koufu’s focus is currently on opening more

foodcourts. Likewise, we expect Koufu to continue managing

Punggol Plaza and Jurong West Hawker Centre without further

additions. The increase in number of self-operated F&B stalls is

a function of the number of new foodcourts. We do not

expect an aggressive increase in F&B kiosks, QSR and full-

service restaurants, as we believe some of these formats need

to show consistent profitability before they are scaled up.

More new outlets in Singapore. Growth continues to hinge on

more outlets opening in strategic locations with a focus on

hospitals, commercial malls, educational institutions and new

housing estates. As Singapore’s population increases, the

development of more adequate infrastructure to accommodate

population increase will fuel the demand for more foodcourt

outlets going forward. We believe new hospitals such as

Woodlands Healthcare Campus and housing estates including

Bidadari will carve opportunities for Koufu to penetrate with

more outlets.

Expands presence in Macau. Koufu entered Macau in 2011 to

operate a Koufu foodcourt format at Sands Cotai Central,

Macau. It has also opened its first Supertea F&B kiosk at Sands

Cotai Central in Macau and is negotiating with landlords and

developers for new F&B outlets.

Longer-term growth in other markets outside of Singapore and

Macau. In the longer term, Koufu intends to expand in markets

around Singapore and Macau, namely China, Malaysia and

Indonesia, at an opportune time.

Building traction on full-service restaurants. Koufu has three

Elemen full-service restaurants serving natural meatless cuisine,

with two more another opening at Paya Lebar Quarter and

Great World City. Plans for Elemen include strengthening the

brand name and building a store network in Singapore before

expanding overseas into China, Malaysia, Indonesia, and

Australia.

Building a larger facility to support future growth. There are

plans to establish an integrated facility to expand centralised

procurement, preparation and processing capabilities of the

existing central kitchens. The existing current central kitchens

currently have limited production capacities with some of the

food preparation processes partially done onsite at its F&B

outlets and self-operated F&B stalls. With a larger central

kitchen, Koufu can drive economies of scale.

Outlet count

Revenue per outlet (S$m)

FY18 cost breakdown

Revenue by country FY18

Revenue breakdown by segment

Source: Company, DBS Bank

Page 5

Company Guide

Koufu Group Ltd

Balance Sheet:

Cash-generative business, balance sheet in net cash. Koufu’s

business is generally cash generative with S$30-51m of

operating cashflow generated in the past three years. Capex is

comparatively low at less than S$15m per year over the same

period. The business had net cash of S$94m in 1Q19. Working

capital is generally positive with average trade payable days of

39-41 days and inventory of 11-14 days, outstripping

receivable days at 27-29.

Share Price Drivers:

Sale of existing Woodlands central kitchen. Koufu is due to

move into its new integrated facility in FY20F and intends to

sell its existing central kitchen at Woodlands. If sold, we

estimate that it could potentially book a gain of S$11m, worth

about 2 Scts per share, which could be paid as special

dividends.

Integrated facility to drive economies of scale. With the new

integrated facility coming up in FY20, Koufu can consolidate,

enhance productivity and operational efficiencies by rolling out

larger quantities at the new facility, while maintaining quality

and consistency. Excess capacity can also be used to derive

additional revenue stream by supplying food input to stall

holders at its foodcourts in the future.

Key Risks:

Food safety and licences. As a foodservice operator, it is

important to maintain food safety. Lapses would lead to

reputational risks and in extreme cases, food operation licences

could be revoked. Other risks include food contamination and

tampering risks, outbreak of diseases or viruses in livestock

inducing food scares, exposure to negative publicity, customer

complaints and potential litigation.

May be affected by disease outbreaks and poor weather.

Business could slow during a health crisis or poor weather such

as haze. During Singapore’s haze in October 2015, businesses

were disrupted as consumers hid indoors. The Singapore

government estimated that the haze had resulted in economic

losses of about S$700m.

Company Background

Koufu is a leading foodcourt and coffee shop operator in

Singapore with a presence in Macau. It also has other

foodservice formats including tea kiosks, full-service and quick-

service restaurants.

Leverage & Asset Turnover (x)

Capital Expenditure

ROE (%)

Forward PE Band (x)

PB Band (x)

Source: Company, DBS Bank

Page 6

Company Guide

Koufu Group Ltd

Key Assumptions

FY Dec 2016A 2017A 2018A 2019F 2020F

Outlet count 157 157 156 183 201

Revenue per outlet (S$m) 0.61 0.61 0.60 0.60 0.60

Segmental Breakdown

FY Dec 2016A 2017A 2018A 2019F 2020F Revenues (S$m)

Outlet and mall management

102 105 112 115 120

F&B retail business 113 111 112 131 148

Total 215 217 224 246 268

Operating profit (S$m) Outlet and mall management

10.9 13.5 15.7 14.7 15.4

F&B retail business 26.3 24.6 22.5 29.0 32.7

Others (7.6) (7.4) (7.8) (6.9) (10.7)

Total 29.6 30.7 30.4 36.9 37.4

Operating profit Margins (%)

Outlet and mall management

10.7 12.8 14.0 12.8 12.8

F&B retail business 23.3 22.1 20.2 22.1 22.1

Total 13.8 14.2 13.6 15.0 14.0

Income Statement (S$m)

FY Dec 2016A 2017A 2018A 2019F 2020F

Revenue 215 217 224 246 268

Cost of Goods Sold (35.9) (35.4) (35.1) (39.3) (42.9)

Gross Profit 179 181 189 207 225

Other Opng (Exp)/Inc (150) (151) (158) (170) (188)

Operating Profit 29.6 30.7 30.4 36.9 37.4

Other Non Opg (Exp)/Inc 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Associates & JV Inc 0.27 0.29 0.30 0.30 0.40

Net Interest (Exp)/Inc 0.72 1.12 0.14 (3.5) (3.4)

Exceptional Gain/(Loss) 0.0 0.0 (1.3) (0.2) 0.0

Pre-tax Profit 30.6 32.1 29.5 33.5 34.4

Tax (4.7) (5.3) (5.0) (5.7) (5.9)

Minority Interest 0.0 0.05 (0.1) 0.0 0.0

Preference Dividend 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Net Profit 25.9 26.9 24.4 27.8 28.6

Net Profit before Except. 25.9 26.9 25.7 28.0 28.6

EBITDA 40.2 40.1 42.8 110 114

Growth

Revenue Gth (%) 8.3 0.7 3.3 9.8 9.0

EBITDA Gth (%) 18.9 (0.4) 6.7 156.9 3.8

Opg Profit Gth (%) 28.3 3.6 (1.2) 21.5 1.4

Net Profit Gth (Pre-ex) (%) 25.6 3.8 (4.2) 8.8 2.0

Margins & Ratio

Gross Margins (%) 83.3 83.7 84.3 84.0 84.0

Opg Profit Margin (%) 13.8 14.2 13.6 15.0 14.0

Net Profit Margin (%) 12.0 12.4 10.9 11.3 10.7

ROAE (%) 27.8 36.8 36.4 28.3 25.4

ROA (%) 14.9 18.3 18.3 11.6 8.3

ROCE (%) 21.5 30.5 32.3 13.4 8.9

Div Payout Ratio (%) 20.1 315.7 50.0 50.0 50.0

Net Interest Cover (x) NM NM NM 10.6 11.1

Source: Company, DBS Bank

Page 7

Company Guide

Koufu Group Ltd

Quarterly / Interim Income Statement (S$m)

FY Dec 1Q2018 2Q2018 3Q2018 4Q2018 1Q2019

Revenue 55.1 54.2 57.6 57.1 57.8

Cost of Goods Sold (8.7) (8.8) (9.0) (8.6) (8.8)

Gross Profit 46.4 45.3 48.6 48.5 49.0

Other Oper. (Exp)/Inc (39.0) (38.2) (41.8) (39.5) (39.3)

Operating Profit 7.37 7.17 6.81 9.00 9.67

Other Non Opg (Exp)/Inc 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Associates & JV Inc 0.10 0.05 0.10 0.0 0.09

Net Interest (Exp)/Inc 0.0 0.0 0.03 0.14 (0.8)

Exceptional Gain/(Loss) 0.0 0.0 (1.3) 0.0 (0.5)

Pre-tax Profit 7.44 7.21 5.64 9.14 8.45

Tax (1.3) (1.1) (1.0) (1.6) (1.5)

Minority Interest 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Net Profit 6.15 6.08 4.64 7.51 6.96

Net profit bef Except. 6.15 6.08 5.94 7.51 7.47

EBITDA 10.4 10.3 10.1 11.8 28.1

Growth

Revenue Gth (%) 1.7 (1.7) 6.3 (0.9) 1.3

EBITDA Gth (%) (1.1) (1.0) (1.9) 17.5 137.8

Opg Profit Gth (%) (11.3) (2.8) (5.0) 32.2 7.5

Net Profit Gth (Pre-ex) (%) (15.1) (1.1) (2.3) 26.3 (0.6)

Margins

Gross Margins (%) 84.3 83.7 84.4 85.0 84.8

Opg Profit Margins (%) 13.4 13.2 11.8 15.8 16.7

Net Profit Margins (%) 11.2 11.2 8.1 13.2 12.0

Balance Sheet (S$m)

FY Dec 2016A 2017A 2018A 2019F 2020F Net Fixed Assets 16.8 18.9 21.4 189 233

Invts in Associates & JVs 0.29 0.40 0.26 0.56 0.96

Other LT Assets 28.3 22.9 30.5 32.6 33.9

Cash & ST Invts 62.4 53.0 96.0 83.2 84.0

Inventory 1.46 1.30 1.29 1.29 1.88

Debtors 0.26 10.7 10.2 11.5 12.5

Other Current Assets 77.3 0.0 0.13 0.13 0.13

Total Assets 187 107 160 318 366

ST Debt

9.08 0.18 0.41 0.41 0.41

Creditor 3.72 45.2 46.0 51.2 55.8

Other Current Liab 53.5 8.08 7.34 7.34 7.34

LT Debt 7.67 1.57 4.36 4.36 4.36

Other LT Liabilities 10.0 9.06 10.0 149 179

Shareholder’s Equity 103 43.0 91.4 105 120

Minority Interests 0.0 0.15 0.12 0.12 0.12

Total Cap. & Liab. 187 107 160 318 366

Non-Cash Wkg. Capital 21.8 (41.3) (41.8) (45.6) (48.6)

Net Cash/(Debt) 45.7 51.3 91.2 78.4 79.2

Debtors Turn (avg days) 0.6 9.2 17.0 16.0 16.3

Creditors Turn (avg days) 39.3 252.1 474.8 450.9 455.3

Inventory Turn (avg days) 13.4 14.2 13.4 12.0 13.5

Asset Turnover (x) 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.0 0.8

Current Ratio (x) 2.1 1.2 2.0 1.6 1.5

Quick Ratio (x) 0.9 1.2 2.0 1.6 1.5

Net Debt/Equity (X) CASH CASH CASH CASH CASH

Net Debt/Equity ex MI (X) CASH CASH CASH CASH CASH

Capex to Debt (%) 51.4 660.9 299.3 837.7 628.3

Z-Score (X) 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6

Source: Company, DBS Bank

Page 8

Company Guide

Koufu Group Ltd

Cash Flow Statement (S$m)

FY Dec 2016A 2017A 2018A 2019F 2020F

Pre-Tax Profit 30.6 32.1 29.5 33.5 34.4

Dep. & Amort. 10.3 9.08 12.1 72.7 76.2

Tax Paid (4.1) (4.0) (5.6) (5.7) (5.9)

Assoc. & JV Inc/(loss) (0.3) (0.3) (0.3) (0.3) (0.4)

Chg in Wkg.Cap. (2.9) 11.6 (0.2) 1.90 1.67

Other Operating CF (0.3) 2.47 3.62 (61.0) (61.0)

Net Operating CF 33.5 51.0 39.1 41.1 45.0

Capital Exp.(net) (8.6) (11.6) (14.3) (40.0) (30.0)

Other Invts.(net) (4.4) 20.1 0.0 0.0 0.0

Invts in Assoc. & JV 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Div from Assoc & JV 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

Other Investing CF 1.10 56.8 (42.0) 0.0 0.0

Net Investing CF (11.9) 65.2 (56.3) (40.0) (30.0)

Div Paid (6.1) (86.5) (18.1) (13.9) (14.3)

Chg in Gross Debt (1.3) (24.9) 3.02 0.0 0.0

Capital Issues 0.0 0.0 45.5 0.0 0.0

Other Financing CF (0.6) (0.2) (5.4) 0.0 0.0

Net Financing CF (8.0) (112) 25.1 (13.9) (14.3)

Currency Adjustments (0.8) (0.6) 0.06 0.0 0.0

Chg in Cash 12.8 4.00 7.94 (12.8) 0.77

Opg CFPS (S cts) 6.54 7.09 7.08 7.06 7.81

Free CFPS (S cts) 4.48 7.09 4.47 0.20 2.71

Source: Company, DBS Bank

Target Price & Ratings History

Source: DBS Bank

Analyst: Alfie YEO

Andy SIM, CFA

Page 9

Company Guide

Koufu Group Ltd

DBS Bank recommendations are based on an Absolute Total Return* Rating system, defined as follows:

STRONG BUY (>20% total return over the next 3 months, with identifiable share price catalysts within this time frame)

BUY (>15% total return over the next 12 months for small caps, >10% for large caps)

HOLD (-10% to +15% total return over the next 12 months for small caps, -10% to +10% for large caps)

FULLY VALUED (negative total return, i.e., > -10% over the next 12 months)

SELL (negative total return of > -20% over the next 3 months, with identifiable share price catalysts within this time frame)

*Share price appreciation + dividends

Completed Date: 27 Jun 2019 17:48:24 (SGT) Dissemination Date: 27 Jun 2019 18:03:38 (SGT)

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Page 10

Company Guide

Koufu Group Ltd

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Compensation for investment banking services:

3. DBS Bank Ltd, DBS HK, DBSVS their subsidiaries and/or other affiliates of DBSVUSA have received compensation, within the past 12 months

for investment banking services from Koufu Group Ltd as of 31 May 2019

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Page 11

Company Guide

Koufu Group Ltd

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Page 12

Company Guide

Koufu Group Ltd

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