Siemens Power Technologies International Next … Generation Integrated Resource Planning Siemens Power Technologies International 2-5-2016 Restricted © Siemens Industry, Inc. 2015

Restricted © Siemens Industry, Inc. 2015 All rights reserved. usa.siemens.com/smartgrid

Next Generation IntegratedResource Planning

Siemens Power Technologies International

2-5-2016

Restricted © Siemens Industry, Inc. 2015 All rights reserved.Page 2 Siemens Power Technologies International

Agenda

1. Who is Siemens PTI?

2. An overview of the Industry Challenges

3. Regulatory and Legislative Impacts

4. Integrated Resource Planning

5. Siemens PTI Experience

2-5-2016


Power System Consulting … full range of consulting competencesT&D System PlanningSystem Dynamics and Disturbance AnalysisGenerator and Load InterconnectionsInsulation Coordination and Transients

Energy Markets, Regulation, and Rate ImpactNERC ComplianceMarket AnalyticsSmart Grids and Reliability Evaluations

PACE Global… an Energy Management Consulting FirmEnergy Planning & Risk ManagementEnergy Market and Commercial AdvisoryEnergy Supply Management

Strategic Resource PlanningMarket, Commercial, & Regulatory AdvisoryEnergy Procurement & Risk Management

Software Solutions … complete power system analysis toolsPSS®EPSS®SINCALPSS®ODMSPSS®MUSTMOD®

Transmission system planningUtility & industry system planningEnterprise data integration and managementPower transfer capability analysisCentralized planning projects coordination

Siemens Power Academy TD … meeting your training needsStandard training coursesCustomized training courses

NERC and University AccreditationEnergy Professional programs

Who is Siemens PTI?Overview

2-5-2016


An Overview of Industry Challenges2015 Industry Survey

2-5-2016


An Overview of Industry ChallengesSolar Installation in MWdc – US Market

Source: SEIA web, http://www.seia.org/research-resources/solar-industry-data

2-5-2016


An Overview of Industry ChallengesSolar Projections– US Market

Source: UBS Global Research: Solar Primer, The Burgeoning Opportunity, October 2015.

2-5-2016


An Overview of Industry ChallengesSolar PV System Impacts

Distribution System Impacts:• High voltages• Voltage regulation• Power quality• Protection coordination• Reverse power flow• Safety concerns

Transmission System Impacts:• System stability (50.2 Hz)• Back feeding substation• Ramp rates (duck curve)• Frequency control

(MW)

2-5-2016


An Overview of Industry ChallengesKey Challenges

Cause EffectIncreasingRenewablePenetration

• DER Integration issues• New T lines to import large gen• Variability of Renewable generation• Renewable peak to load peak notcoincident• Potential impacts to system stability

Focus onEnvironment

• Retiring Coal Plants and effect ongeneration capacity

CustomerEngagement

• DR & customer owned DER• Impact on revenue• New markets i.e. DSP/DSO

Aging GridAssets

• Need investment• Need to consider NTA’s

Integration andevaluation of newmarkets

New technologies i.e.energy storage

Improvements insystem Operations

Integratedresource planning

New business models

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Regulatory and Legislative ImpactsOverview

• Clean Power Plan

• FERC Order 745: Demand Response

• State RPS

• Net metering (California)

• NERC requirements

• State level DER proceedings

2-5-2016


Regulatory and Legislative ImpactsKey States Leading DER Policies

2-5-2016


Regulatory and Legislative ImpactsBreakdown of Leading DER Policies

State / Program ObjectivesNew YorkREV Program

• Transition to a DSP Service Model• Reliance on Cost-Benefit Streams, Transparency• System-wide Efficiency• System Reliability & Resiliency• Fuel and Resource Diversity

CaliforniaSection 769 DistributionResources Plan

• Integration of DER into DRP, Operations, Investments• Location Value Methodology• Tariff Structures to Reflect Location Value• Reliability & Safety Impacts, Challenges

MinnesotaE21 (21st Century EnergySystem) Initiative

• Consumer options and local source focus• Reliance on distributed, flexible, intelligent technologies• Diverse resources, supply reliability, resilience and security• Self-Regulating, Performance-based Rate Structures

Massachusetts DPU (12-76-A)Grid Modernization Program

• Utilities required to develop Grid Modernization Plans(GMP) plans under established cost-benefit guidelines,DPU approval standards

2-5-2016


Regulatory and Legislative ImpactsNYREV DSP Functions

• Fuel and resource diversity• System reliability• Reduced carbon emissions

Grid

Ope

ratio

nsM

arke

tOpe

ratio

ns

NY ISO DSP Customers

“Wholesale” Energyand Capacity

“Wholesale” MarketAdministration

Basic and Value AddedServices

Wide Area View

Bulk Operations

“Wholesale” AncillaryServices

“Retail to Wholesale”Aggregation

Regional/Local View

T/D/Microgrid Ops

“Retail” MarketAdministration

Central GenerationManagement DER Management

Direct Access(Individuals)

3rd PartyService Providers

“Premise” View

DER Operations

“Premise” or MicrogridOperations

2-5-2016


Regulatory and Legislative ImpactsNYREV DSP Functions

NYISO

Customer or ESP

Bulk Generation

Transmission

Substation

Distribution Primary

Distribution Secondary

Customer Meter

Cust

omer

Appl

ianc

e

Cust

omer

Mic

rogr

id

DGan

dSt

orag

eNYISO

DSP

Customeror ESP

DSP Integrated Planning Analytics

DER ProductionData Load Data

Bulk GenerationForecasts

T&D Upgrades T&DMaintenance

Ancillary ServicesNeeds

New Connections

Bulk SystemUpgrades

Supply/DemandPlanning

Electric Network Levels Integrated System Planning

2-5-2016


Integrated Resource PlanningPlanning Evolution

Historical

§ Evolve Utility Role and System to:- Greener and more distributed supply- Smarter more efficient energy use- Increased behind-the-meter

generation- Distributed and grid-based storage

§ Utility “System” viewed as a “platform”with to enable two-way flow of servicesacross the meter (services fromcustomers and to customers)

§ Accommodate new vision in most cost-effective way

Emerging

Well-Established Tools Emerging Framework and Tools

§ Safe, Reliable Power Delivery, subjectto:

- Least cost Planning- Generation & Transmission

Constraints- Contractual constraints (e.g., must-

takes)- Environmental constraints

§ Additional considerations:- Assess tradeoffs of attributes and

risks of options

2-5-2016


Integrated Resource PlanningThe Siemens PTI Approach

G

T

D

DER

Production Cost + Power Flow Modeling

2-5-2016


Integrated Resource PlanningModeling and Simulation Options

Modeling andSimulationOption

Description Advantages Disadvantages

Fully IntegratedLarge SystemModel (8760hrs)

Fully integratedGTD&DER productioncost modeling andpower flow

• Accounts for systemwide impacts andtotal systemoptimization

• Only suitable for smallsystems• Simulation tools notcapable yet

Fully IntegratedSubsystemModel (8760hrs)

Fully integrated andoptimized GTD&DERat sub system, roll upsub systems to largesimplified system foroptimization fine tuning

• Accounts for DER –Bulk gen optimization• Accounts for DERimpacts ondistribution system

• Does not account forDER optimization insubsystem interface flows• Requires modeling of alldistribution feeders

NodalOptimizationand roll up towider system(8760 hrs)

Optimized net load ateach node and systemwide bulk dispatchoptimization to meetoptimized net load

• Does not requiremodeling ofdistribution networks

• Does not account fordistribution systemimpacts• Does not account forDER-Bulk genoptimization

2-5-2016


Siemens PTI ExperienceSmall T&D System Study

Wind 1

Wind 2

Wind 3• 22 MW Peak demand• 2 HV/MV Substations• 10 Distribution Feeders

Solar PV along distribution feeders

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Siemens PTI ExperienceLoad Forecast Studied

0

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

0.35

0.4

0.45

0.5

0.55

0.6

0.65

0.7

0.75

0.8

0.85

30.Dec 06.Jan2014

13.Jan 20.Jan 27.Jan 03.Feb2014

10.Feb 17.Feb 24.Feb 03.Mar2014

10.Mar 17.Mar 24.MarDate

System Load

2013 PK& LL WK

2014 PK& LL WK

2016 PK& LL WK

2018 PK& LL WK

2020 PK& LL WK

2022 PK& LL WK

MW

2-5-2016


Identifying The Limits To Solar PV and WindIntegration Provided The Primary Input For Scenarios

Aggressive scenarios

Scenario Wind(%)

Solar PV(%)

Total Penetration(% of peak load)

Baseline 0% 10% 10%

Scenario 1 1% 16% 17%

Scenario 2 9% 22% 31%

Scenario 3 21% 28% 49%

Scenario 4 31% 35% 66%

Scenario 5 41% 39% 80%

2-5-2016


Solar PV Generation Forecast

2013 PK &LL WK

2014 PK &LL WK

2016 PK &LL WK

2018 PK &LL WK

2020 PK &LL WK

2022 PK &LL WK

Wind Generation Profile

2-5-2016


0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

30.Dec 06.Jan2014

13.Jan 20.Jan 27.Jan 03.Feb2014

10.Feb 17.Feb 24.Feb 03.Mar2014


0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

30.Dec 06.Jan2014

13.Jan 20.Jan 27.Jan 03.Feb2014

10.Feb 17.Feb 24.Feb 03.Mar2014


0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

30.Dec 06.Jan2014

13.Jan 20.Jan 27.Jan 03.Feb2014

10.Feb 17.Feb 24.Feb 03.Mar2014


Wind Generation Forecast

Wind 1

Wind 2

Wind 3

2013 PK &LL WK

2014 PK &LL WK

2016 PK &LL WK

2018 PK &LL WK

2020 PK &LL WK

2022 PK &LL WK

Wind Generation Profile

2-5-2016


Advanced Planning Analysis

2-5-2016


Thank you for your attention!

David LoveladyPower Academy ManagerSiemens PTI

400 State Street, Schenectady, NY 12305 USA

Phone: +1(518) 395-5130Cell: +1 (518) 344 8875

E-mail:[email protected]

Documents

Siemens Power Technologies International Next … Generation Integrated Resource Planning Siemens Power Technologies International 2-5-2016 Restricted © Siemens Industry, Inc. 2015