5
Nifty Close Trend R1 R2 S1 S2 11844.1 Consolidation 11981 12114 11708 11593 SENSEX NIFTY INDIAVIX BANKNIFTY 10YR G-SEC USDINR 40051.87 0.55% 11844.1 0.49% 16.66 1.45% 29987.5 0.38% 6.5 -0.34% 70.91 -0.10% www.inventuregrowth.com Fed cuts rate by 25 bps to 1.75% from 2% and indicates that it may pause rate cuts from here on. The FOMC lowered its benchmark funds rate by 25 bps to a range of 1.5% to 1.75%. Positive for markets Fitch Ratings assigned a “rating watch negative” to Bharti Airtel amid uncertainty over the amount and timing of unpaid regulatory dues arising from a recent Supreme Court ruling. Negative for Bharti Airtel Mortgage firm HDFC Ltd has acquired 9.89% stake in Bandhan Bank as part of scheme of merger. Positive for Bandhan Bank KKR sold shares worth Rs. 533.7 crore (around $75 million) that it held in SBI Life Insurance Co. Ltd through a block deal on the market. Negative for SBI Life Insurance UK's Standard Life on Wednesday divested 4.95 per cent stake in HDFC Life Insurance Company for a little over Rs 5,750 crore through open market transactions. Negative for HDFC Life. TVS Motor plans to strengthen Central America ties as it announced partnership with Cadisa, one of the largest business groups across Guatemala and El Salvador, for the opening of 15 flagship outlets for TVS Motor in a phased manner. Positive for TVS Motors Tata Global Beverages Ltd (TGBL) on Wednesday reported a 17.12 per cent decline in consolidated net profit at Rs 152.47 crore in the September ended quarter. The consolidated revenue from operations during the quarter under review stood at Rs 1,834.06 crore as against Rs 1,760.87 crore in the year-ago period, a growth of 4.12 per cent. Negative for Tata Global. India is planning to start 100 additional airports by 2024, as part of a plan to revive economic growth in Asia’s third- largest economy, according to people with knowledge of the matter. Positive for Airline Stocks & Airport Construction Companies. Results for 25 th October 2019: Blue Dart Express Ltd., Indian Oil Corporation, Laurus Labs and Jindal Saw Ltd. Market Insight 31 st Oct 2019 Nifty Short Term View News Buzz Indian markets continued their bull run on Wednesday, with BSE Sensex closing above its important psychological level of 40,000 for the first time since June 4, amid speculation the government may rationalize the tax structure for equities by November-end. Nifty index climbed 57.25 points, to settle at 11,844.10. Nifty formed hammer pattern on a daily chart which can consider as reversal pattern. For the confirmation nifty has to break yesterday’s low of 11784. However, if Nifty close above 11884 then we may see continuation of bull run.

SENSEX NIFTY INDIAVIX BANKNIFTY 10YR G-SEC USDINRintimation.inventuregrowth.com/Files/Research/894.pdf · 42.8% 48.8% 25.5% 58.3% 57.2% DII Pro Future Index Long % Future Index Short

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Page 1: SENSEX NIFTY INDIAVIX BANKNIFTY 10YR G-SEC USDINRintimation.inventuregrowth.com/Files/Research/894.pdf · 42.8% 48.8% 25.5% 58.3% 57.2% DII Pro Future Index Long % Future Index Short

Nifty Close Trend R1 R2 S1 S2

11844.1 Consolidation 11981 12114 11708 11593

SENSEX NIFTY INDIAVIX BANKNIFTY 10YR G-SEC USDINR

40051.87 0.55%

11844.1 0.49%

16.66 1.45%

29987.5 0.38%

6.5 -0.34%

70.91 -0.10%

www.inventuregrowth.com

• Fed cuts rate by 25 bps to 1.75% from 2% and indicates that it may pause rate cuts from here on. The FOMC lowered its benchmark funds rate by 25 bps to a range of 1.5% to 1.75%. Positive for markets

• Fitch Ratings assigned a “rating watch negative” to Bharti Airtel amid uncertainty over the amount and timing of unpaid regulatory dues arising from a recent Supreme Court ruling. Negative for Bharti Airtel

• Mortgage firm HDFC Ltd has acquired 9.89% stake in Bandhan Bank as part of scheme of merger. Positive for Bandhan Bank

• KKR sold shares worth Rs. 533.7 crore (around $75 million) that it held in SBI Life Insurance Co. Ltd through a block deal on the market. Negative for SBI Life Insurance

• UK's Standard Life on Wednesday divested 4.95 per cent stake in HDFC Life Insurance Company for a little over Rs 5,750 crore through open market transactions. Negative for HDFC Life.

• TVS Motor plans to strengthen Central America ties as it announced partnership with Cadisa, one of the largest business groups across Guatemala and El Salvador, for the opening of 15 flagship outlets for TVS Motor in a phased manner. Positive for TVS Motors

• Tata Global Beverages Ltd (TGBL) on Wednesday reported a 17.12 per cent decline in consolidated net profit at Rs 152.47 crore in the September ended quarter. The consolidated revenue from operations during the quarter under review stood at Rs 1,834.06 crore as against Rs 1,760.87 crore in the year-ago period, a growth of 4.12 per cent. Negative for Tata Global.

• India is planning to start 100 additional airports by 2024, as part of a plan to revive economic growth in Asia’s third-largest economy, according to people with knowledge of the matter. Positive for Airline Stocks & Airport Construction Companies.

• Results for 25th October 2019: Blue Dart Express Ltd., Indian Oil Corporation, Laurus Labs and Jindal Saw Ltd.

Market Insight 31st Oct 2019

Nifty Short Term View

News Buzz

Indian markets continued their bull run on Wednesday, with BSE Sensex closing above its important psychological level of 40,000 for the first time since June 4, amid speculation the government may rationalize the tax structure for equities by November-end. Nifty index climbed 57.25 points, to settle at 11,844.10.

Nifty formed hammer pattern on a daily chart which can consider as reversal pattern. For the confirmation nifty has to break yesterday’s low of 11784. However, if Nifty close above 11884 then we may see continuation of bull run.

Page 2: SENSEX NIFTY INDIAVIX BANKNIFTY 10YR G-SEC USDINRintimation.inventuregrowth.com/Files/Research/894.pdf · 42.8% 48.8% 25.5% 58.3% 57.2% DII Pro Future Index Long % Future Index Short

11.3

3.9

16.7

4.8

28.0

20.1

24.9

12.7

43.7

5.1

13.4

35.0

15.6

37.4

15.5

38.8

13.1

7.7

0.4

4.7

0.0

0.4

-

10.00

20.00

30.00

40.00

50.00

Tho

usa

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trac

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CE

PE

-4.9

-1.1

-5.2

-2.6

-5.7

9.8

2.2

7.4

3.6

1.7

0.1

0.2

1.3

-3.9

1.6

18.7

10.8

4.9

0.3

-0.3

0.0

0.0

(10.00) (5.00)

- 5.00

10.00 15.00 20.00

Tho

usa

nd

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trac

ts

CE

PE

OI

OI Change

Client 43.1%

DII 12.5%

FII 34.2%

Pro 10.2%

Index Fut OI %

51.2%

74.5%

41.7%

42.8%

48.8%

25.5%

58.3%

57.2%

Client

DII

FII

Pro

Future Index Long % Future Index Short %

Participant wise OI Activity ( Fig in ‘000 Contracts) Index Future OI %

Participant Type

Index Fut Activity

Call Activity

Put Activity

Retail 6.9 -1.1 12.6

DII -1.2 0.00 0.0

FII -12.0 18.59 2.3

Pro 6.3 -17.53 -14.9

Index NIFTY Change

Fut Closing 11840.2 0.4%

Prem /Disc -3.90 -12.50

OI Qty 1.65 cr. 1.0%

Nifty PCR 1.23

Highest OI 12000 CE 11800 PE

• FII added short Index future by 12k contracts and Client covered the short Index future by 6.9k contracts

• FII added Long calls by 18.6k contracts and added long puts by 2.3 k contracts

• Client added Short calls by 1.1k contracts and added long puts by 12.6 k contracts

• Yesterday NIFTY future was up 0.38% with increase in O I by 1.03%.

• Put O I addition was seen at 11800 followed by 11850 which can act as short term support

• Call O I addition was seen at 11850 followed by 11950. which can act as short term resistance

Index BANKNIFTY Change

Fut Closing 29986.45 0.3%

Prem/Disc -1.05 -28.45

OI Qty 0.14 cr. 3.4%

Highest OI 30500 CE 29000 PE

• Yesterday BANKNIFTY future was up 0.29% with increase in O I by 3.38%.

• Put O I addition was seen at 30100 followed by 29800 which can act as short term support.

• Call O I addition was seen at 30500 followed by 30100 which can act as short term resistance.

5.6

1.2

1.1

1.7

2.4

16

.0

6.4

8.1

6.8

6.0

18

.6

19

.9

6.5

6.9

7.1

5.7

10

.8

5.9

1.0

0.3

0.1

1.8

-

10

20

30

Tho

usa

nd

s C

on

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ts

CE

PE

-1.4

-0.6

-5.1

-0.6

0.0

2.8

3.8

3.6

3.0

3.2

5.4

1.8

2.4

2.0

3.7

2.3

0.7

5.2

0.6

0.1

0.0

-0.6

(10)

(5)

-

5

10

Tho

usa

nd

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on

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ts

CE

PE

OI

OI Change

Derivative Activity

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Page 3: SENSEX NIFTY INDIAVIX BANKNIFTY 10YR G-SEC USDINRintimation.inventuregrowth.com/Files/Research/894.pdf · 42.8% 48.8% 25.5% 58.3% 57.2% DII Pro Future Index Long % Future Index Short

Stock Future & Option Activity

Open Interest Gainers

Symbol Trend Future Price

Price Chng %

Fut OI Chng %

UBL Bearish 1266.7 -2.0% 23.6%

APOLLOHOSP Bullish 1463.65 2.1% 19.2%

JUSTDIAL Bearish 598.9 -0.6% 15.3%

EXIDEIND Bearish 181.8 -0.7% 14.8%

SRF Bullish 2781.9 -1.1% 14.2%

Open interest Losers

Symbol Trend Future Price

Price Chng %

Fut OI Chng %

PEL Bullish 1699.2 1.9% -18.7%

TVSMOTOR Bullish 495.1 3.5% -17.0%

SBIN Bearish 289.45 2.9% -16.7%

JUBLFOOD Bullish 1567.1 -1.1% -15.4%

YESBANK Bullish 56.65 -2.9% -15.3%

Volume Gainers

Symbol Trend Future Price

Price Chng %

3 Day Vol Chng %

PETRONET Bullish 285.3 3.7% 161.5%

DABUR Bullish 460.85 -1.3% 160.0%

TCS Bullish 2247.1 2.5% 142.6%

BAJAJ-AUTO Bullish 3220.2 1.1% 139.9%

NTPC Bearish 120.8 0.9% 138.6%

Highest Position Carry forward %

Symbol Trend Future Price

Price Chng %

O I Chng / Volume

UBL Bearish 1266.7 -2.0% 17.8%

TATAPOWER Bearish 58.65 0.1% 16.1%

EXIDEIND Bearish 181.8 -0.7% 14.5%

GMRINFRA Bullish 20.7 -1.2% 13.0%

APOLLOHOSP Bullish 1463.7 2.1% 10.9%

Stocks Near Highest Call Open Interest

Symbol Trend Future Price

Highest Call OI

No of Contracts

BHEL Bullish 59.15 60 810

DLF Bullish 181.9 180 610

AXISBANK Bullish 746.25 750 451

Stocks Near Highest Put Open Interest

Symbol Trend Future Price

Highest Put OI

No of Contracts

DABUR Bullish 460.85 460 60

APOLLOHOSP Bullish 1463.7 1460 52

HEXAWARE Bearish 329.7 330 16

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Page 4: SENSEX NIFTY INDIAVIX BANKNIFTY 10YR G-SEC USDINRintimation.inventuregrowth.com/Files/Research/894.pdf · 42.8% 48.8% 25.5% 58.3% 57.2% DII Pro Future Index Long % Future Index Short

Symbol Futures

Close O I Activity Trend

Highest Call OI

Highest Put OI

R3 R2 R1 Mid

Point S1 S2 S3

BANKNIFTY 29986.45 Neutral Neutral 30500 29000 30904.3 30423.1 30098.7 29943.5 29788.2 29463.8 28982.6

NIFTY 11840.2 Neutral Neutral 12000 11800 12047.4 11932.4 11854.9 11817.8 11780.7 11703.2 11588.3

ADANIPORTS 398.35 Short Built-up Neutral 400 380 414.5 406.8 401.6 399.1 396.6 391.5 383.8

ASIANPAINT 1818.25 Neutral Neutral 1800 1700 1874.2 1845.2 1825.6 1816.3 1806.9 1787.3 1758.3

AXISBANK 746.25 Short Covering Neutral 750 640 769.5 755.7 746.4 742.0 737.5 728.2 714.4

BAJAJ-AUTO 3220.2 Neutral Up 3300 3000 3292.5 3247.2 3216.7 3202.1 3187.4 3156.9 3111.6

BAJAJFINSV 8079.6 Neutral Neutral 8500 7500 8407.4 8262.6 8164.9 8118.2 8071.4 7973.8 7828.9

BAJFINANCE 3994.75 Long Unwinding Down 4200 3900 4190.6 4107.3 4051.0 4024.2 3997.3 3941.0 3857.7

BHARTIARTL 368.15 Short Covering Up 400 350 381.6 372.9 367.1 364.3 361.5 355.7 347.1

BPCL 525.6 Short Covering Neutral 550 400 553.0 538.7 529.1 524.5 519.9 510.3 496.0

BRITANNIA 3282.4 Long Unwinding Down 3400 3000 3452.6 3386.8 3342.4 3321.2 3299.9 3255.5 3189.7

CIPLA 465.05 Long Unwinding Down 440 430 485.4 477.1 471.6 468.9 466.2 460.7 452.4

COALINDIA 206.3 Long Unwinding Down 210 190 216.3 212.1 209.3 208.0 206.6 203.8 199.7

DRREDDY 2755.4 Neutral Down 2900 2700 2844.1 2810.8 2788.3 2777.5 2766.8 2744.3 2710.9

EICHERMOT 22454.7 Short Covering Up 20000 20000 23482.1 22867.6 22453.3 22255.1 22056.8 21642.5 21028.0

GAIL 133.6 Short Covering Up 140 130 135.4 132.6 130.8 129.9 129.0 127.2 124.4

GRASIM 734.8 Neutral Up 800 700 760.0 742.7 731.0 725.4 719.8 708.1 690.8

HCLTECH 1144.8 Neutral Neutral 1160 1100 1174.1 1158.1 1147.3 1142.1 1137.0 1126.2 1110.1

HDFC 2104.55 Neutral Neutral 2200 2100 2170.0 2140.0 2119.8 2110.2 2100.5 2080.3 2050.3

HDFCBANK 1246.4 Neutral Neutral 1300 1200 1282.8 1264.3 1251.8 1245.8 1239.8 1227.3 1208.8

HEROMOTOCO 2684.8 Neutral Neutral 2800 2500 2801.2 2748.0 2712.2 2695.0 2677.9 2642.0 2588.9

HINDALCO 187.55 Short Covering Up 200 170 192.0 189.1 187.1 186.1 185.2 183.2 180.2

HINDUNILVR 2166 Short Covering Neutral 2200 2000 2219.3 2190.8 2171.5 2162.3 2153.1 2133.9 2105.4

ICICIBANK 471.15 Long Unwinding Neutral 500 450 494.2 484.1 477.4 474.1 470.9 464.1 454.1

INDUSINDBK 1295.85 Long Unwinding Neutral 1400 1150 1381.8 1343.4 1317.5 1305.2 1292.8 1266.9 1228.5

INFRATEL 183.7 Long Unwinding Down 200 240 202.9 195.8 191.0 188.7 186.4 181.6 174.5

INFY 661.25 Neutral Neutral 700 740 705.5 681.0 664.5 656.6 648.7 632.2 607.7

IOC 147.2 Short Covering Up 150 160 151.0 148.4 146.6 145.8 145.0 143.2 140.6

ITC 259.5 Short Covering Up 270 250 263.9 260.1 257.5 256.3 255.1 252.5 248.7

JSWSTEEL 234.4 Neutral Neutral 240 220 245.7 240.1 236.3 234.5 232.7 228.9 223.3

KOTAKBANK 1578.25 Neutral Neutral 1600 1500 1626.0 1602.1 1586.0 1578.3 1570.5 1554.4 1530.5

LT 1474.95 Short Covering Neutral 1500 1400 1518.1 1493.3 1476.6 1468.6 1460.6 1443.9 1419.1

M&M 615.35 Short Covering Neutral 620 550 639.8 626.6 617.7 613.5 609.2 600.3 587.2

MARUTI 7571.35 Neutral Down 7000 7000 7987.1 7813.7 7696.7 7640.8 7584.9 7467.9 7294.5

NESTLEIND 14982.15 Short Covering Up 14700 14000 15291.7 15074.4 14927.9 14857.8 14787.7 14641.2 14423.9

NTPC 120.8 Short Covering Up 125 105 123.1 121.7 120.7 120.3 119.8 118.9 117.4

ONGC 140.7 Long Unwinding Neutral 150 120 147.1 144.3 142.4 141.5 140.6 138.7 135.9

POWERGRID 200.25 Short Built-up Neutral 205 195 205.6 203.2 201.6 200.8 200.0 198.3 195.9

RELIANCE 1477.4 Short Covering Neutral 1500 1200 1518.4 1495.0 1479.2 1471.6 1464.1 1448.3 1424.8

SBIN 289.45 Short Covering Up 300 270 302.3 293.8 288.1 285.4 282.6 276.9 268.4

SUNPHARMA 430.05 Short Covering Up 440 420 437.8 431.9 428.0 426.1 424.2 420.2 414.4

TATAMOTORS 172.1 Neutral Neutral 180 160 192.2 182.1 175.3 172.0 168.7 161.9 151.8

TATASTEEL 386.75 Long Unwinding Neutral 400 300 408.5 398.5 391.8 388.6 385.4 378.7 368.7

TCS 2247.1 Short Covering Up 2100 1980 2286.5 2253.1 2230.6 2219.9 2209.1 2186.6 2153.3

TECHM 756.4 Neutral Neutral 760 700 777.3 766.8 759.7 756.3 752.8 745.7 735.2

TITAN 1316.75 Neutral Down 1400 1100 1374.7 1350.3 1333.8 1325.9 1318.0 1301.5 1277.0

ULTRACEMCO 4128 Long Built-up Neutral 4400 4000 4291.2 4207.8 4151.5 4124.6 4097.7 4041.4 3958.0

UPL 585.1 Long Unwinding Down 610 580 605.9 598.2 593.1 590.6 588.1 582.9 575.2

VEDL 150.25 Long Built-up Neutral 160 135 157.6 153.8 151.3 150.1 148.9 146.3 142.6

WIPRO 255.15 Short Built-up Neutral 260 240 261.0 258.2 256.3 255.4 254.5 252.6 249.8

YESBANK 56.65 Long Unwinding Neutral 60 40 66.3 61.9 58.9 57.5 56.1 53.1 48.7

ZEEL 235.6 Long Unwinding Neutral 300 200 252.8 244.6 239.1 236.4 233.8 228.2 220.0

Nifty 50 Daily Volatility Levels

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Page 5: SENSEX NIFTY INDIAVIX BANKNIFTY 10YR G-SEC USDINRintimation.inventuregrowth.com/Files/Research/894.pdf · 42.8% 48.8% 25.5% 58.3% 57.2% DII Pro Future Index Long % Future Index Short

Created by: IGSL - Research Inventure Growth & Securities Ltd,201,Viraj Tower, Near Landmark Building, Western Express Highway, Andheri (East),Mumbai -400 093 Tele: 91-22-71148500 , Fax: 91-22-40751511. E-mail: [email protected] , website : http://www.inventuregrowth.com

Research Team Tel: 022 – 71148579 E-mail: research@inventuregrowthcom Website: Inventuregrowth.com

Research Team Profile Email ID

Mr. Prashant Barwaliya Head- Research [email protected]

Mr. Virat Jagad Technical Analyst [email protected]

Ms. Jeni Rita Fundamental Analyst [email protected]

This Report is published by Inventure Growth & Securities Limited (hereinafter referred to as “IGSL”) for private circulation. IGSL is a registered Research Analyst under SEBI (Research Analyst) Regulations, 2014 having Registration no. INH000006129. IGSL is also a registered Stock Broker with National Stock Exchange of India Limited, BSE Limited and Metropolitan Stock Exchange of India Limited (MSE) in cash, F&O & currency derivatives segments. It is also registered as a Depository Participant with CDSL and is also registered with AMFI as a Mutual Fund Distributor IGSL have not been debarred / suspended by SEBI for Retail & Institutional business or any other regulatory authority for accessing / dealing in securities Market other than PRO business. IGSL, its associates or analyst or his relatives may or may not hold any financial interest in the subject company. IGSL or its associates or Analyst do not have any conflict or material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report with the subject company. IGSL or its Affiliates may or may not have been beneficial ownership of one percent or more of the securities mentioned in this report. However, one or more of IGSL or its Affiliates may, from time to time, have a long or short position in any of the securities mentioned herein and may buy or sell those securities or options thereon, either on their own account. IGSL or its associates / analyst has not received any compensation / managed or co-managed public offering of securities of the company covered by Analyst during the past twelve months. IGSL or its associates have not received any compensation or other benefits from the company covered by Analyst or third party in connection with the research report. Analyst has not served as an officer, director or employee of Subject Company and IGSL / analyst has not been engaged in market making activity of the subject company. Analyst Certification: I/We, Virat Jagad the research analyst Is the author of this report, hereby certify that the views expressed in this research report accurately reflects my/our personal views about the subject securities, issuers, products, sectors or industries. It is also certified that no part of the compensation of the analyst(s) was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the inclusion of specific recommendations or views in this research. The analyst(s) principally responsible for the preparation of this research report and has taken reasonable care to achieve and maintain independence and objectivity in making any recommendations.

DISCLAIMER Inventure Growth and Securities Limited (hereinafter referred to as “IGSL”) is a registered Member of National Stock Exchange of India Limited, Bombay Stock Exchange Limited and Metropolitan Stock Exchange Limited. It is also registered as a Depository Participant with CDSL. It also has registration with AMFI as a Mutual Fund Distributor. Inventure Growth and Securities Limited is a registered entity with SEBI for Research Analyst in terms of SEBI (Research Analyst) Regulations, 2014 vide registration number INH000006129. IGSL has not been debarred/ suspended by SEBI or any other regulatory authority for accessing /dealing in securities Market. IGSL or its associates/ analyst has not received any compensation / managed or co-managed public offering of securities of the company covered by Analyst during the past twelve months. This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals. Investors are advised to refer the Fundamental and Technical Research Reports available on our website to evaluate the contrary view, if any. The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this document is for general guidance only. Inventure Growth and Securities Limited or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. Inventure Growth and Securities Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While Inventure Growth and Securities Limited endeavors to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly. Neither Inventure Growth and Securities Limited , nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in connection with the use of this information.

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