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Science for Policy in the implementation of Plant Health Regulation Jesus Barreiro-Hurle & Elisabetta Balzi JRC Protecting the EU plant health in a changing world 13 December 2019

Science for Policy in the implementation of Plant …...2019/12/13  · Science for Policy in the implementation of Plant Health Regulation Jesus Barreiro-Hurle & Elisabetta Balzi

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Page 1: Science for Policy in the implementation of Plant …...2019/12/13  · Science for Policy in the implementation of Plant Health Regulation Jesus Barreiro-Hurle & Elisabetta Balzi

Science for Policy in the

implementation of Plant Health

Regulation

Jesus Barreiro-Hurle & Elisabetta Balzi

JRC

Protecting the EU plant health in a changing world

13 December 2019

Page 2: Science for Policy in the implementation of Plant …...2019/12/13  · Science for Policy in the implementation of Plant Health Regulation Jesus Barreiro-Hurle & Elisabetta Balzi

Remote sensing to support the early

detection and management of pests

Page 3: Science for Policy in the implementation of Plant …...2019/12/13  · Science for Policy in the implementation of Plant Health Regulation Jesus Barreiro-Hurle & Elisabetta Balzi

Early detection Damage mapping

Deteriorating plant health

Page 4: Science for Policy in the implementation of Plant …...2019/12/13  · Science for Policy in the implementation of Plant Health Regulation Jesus Barreiro-Hurle & Elisabetta Balzi

Zarco Tejada et al. 2018 Nature Plants

Early detectionWith sensors on aircraft

Page 5: Science for Policy in the implementation of Plant …...2019/12/13  · Science for Policy in the implementation of Plant Health Regulation Jesus Barreiro-Hurle & Elisabetta Balzi

Damage mappingWith satellite sensors

Page 6: Science for Policy in the implementation of Plant …...2019/12/13  · Science for Policy in the implementation of Plant Health Regulation Jesus Barreiro-Hurle & Elisabetta Balzi

Take home messages

Remote sensing will not replace traditional surveys or diagnostic tools, but often can make them more efficient or targeted

There is no one-size-fits-all when using remote sensing. Instead, the technology should be tailored on case by case basis

Some remote sensing applications can be deployed operationally, others are cutting-edge research

The remote sensing field is moving forward quickly, thanks to, among others, the Copernicus programme, drones, and machine learning

Page 7: Science for Policy in the implementation of Plant …...2019/12/13  · Science for Policy in the implementation of Plant Health Regulation Jesus Barreiro-Hurle & Elisabetta Balzi

Remote sensing to support the early

detection and management of pests

Assessment of the economic, social

and environmental impact of pests as

support to better preparedness and

risk management

Page 8: Science for Policy in the implementation of Plant …...2019/12/13  · Science for Policy in the implementation of Plant Health Regulation Jesus Barreiro-Hurle & Elisabetta Balzi

• Not present in the EU,

present in a limited area

or with scarce, irregular,

isolated and infrequent

presences.

• Most severe economic,

environmental or social

impact

Annual surveys (Art. 24) Contingency plan (Art. 25)

Simulation exercises (Art. 26) Action plan for eradication (Art. 27)

Pest categorization

Priority Pests listed under the general Plant Health Law

(Reg. 2016/2031)

Page 9: Science for Policy in the implementation of Plant …...2019/12/13  · Science for Policy in the implementation of Plant Health Regulation Jesus Barreiro-Hurle & Elisabetta Balzi

JRC & EFSA: integrating economics & pathology

A joint methodology on Priority Pests

Page 10: Science for Policy in the implementation of Plant …...2019/12/13  · Science for Policy in the implementation of Plant Health Regulation Jesus Barreiro-Hurle & Elisabetta Balzi

Structure of the I2P2

1. Indicators selection

(Reg. criteria/data availability)

Quantitative / qualitative measures by HOST / PEST

Page 11: Science for Policy in the implementation of Plant …...2019/12/13  · Science for Policy in the implementation of Plant Health Regulation Jesus Barreiro-Hurle & Elisabetta Balzi

3 Domains

Economic

Social

Environmental

25 Indicators

3 indicators

4 indicators

2 indicators

2 indicators

11

1 indicator

4 indicators

3 indicators

8

1 indicator

1 indicator

4 indicators

6

10 Sub-domains

Production

Trade

Price

Other sectors

4

Employment

Food Security and

Food Safety

Recreation and landscape heritage

3

Street trees and parks

Undesired effects of control measures

Biodiversity and ecosystem services

3

Page 12: Science for Policy in the implementation of Plant …...2019/12/13  · Science for Policy in the implementation of Plant Health Regulation Jesus Barreiro-Hurle & Elisabetta Balzi

Structure of the I2P2

1. Indicators selection

(Reg. criteria/data availability)

2. Normalization and

weighting

Aggregate indicators and compare pests

Quantitative / qualitative measures by HOST / PEST

Page 13: Science for Policy in the implementation of Plant …...2019/12/13  · Science for Policy in the implementation of Plant Health Regulation Jesus Barreiro-Hurle & Elisabetta Balzi

RANKING (pest affecting crops example)

Page 14: Science for Policy in the implementation of Plant …...2019/12/13  · Science for Policy in the implementation of Plant Health Regulation Jesus Barreiro-Hurle & Elisabetta Balzi

Xylella fastidiosa5.5 billion EUR of agricultural production at risk

103 protected habitat and species potentially affected

Note - Results for the median scenario

Popillia japonica (Japanese beetle)2.4 billion EUR of agricultural production at risk

158 countries we trade with might restrict imports from EU

Thaumatotibia leucotreta (Citrus codling moth)1.2 billion EUR of agricultural production at risk

0.21% of total protein intake at risk

Some figures for the pests in the podium

Page 15: Science for Policy in the implementation of Plant …...2019/12/13  · Science for Policy in the implementation of Plant Health Regulation Jesus Barreiro-Hurle & Elisabetta Balzi

Structure of the I2P2

1. Indicators selection

(Reg. criteria/data availability)

2. Normalization and

weighting

3. Uncertainty and

sensitivity analysis

Aggregate indicators and compare pests

Quantitative / qualitative measures by HOST / PEST

Stakeholder consultation

MS feedback

Page 16: Science for Policy in the implementation of Plant …...2019/12/13  · Science for Policy in the implementation of Plant Health Regulation Jesus Barreiro-Hurle & Elisabetta Balzi
Page 17: Science for Policy in the implementation of Plant …...2019/12/13  · Science for Policy in the implementation of Plant Health Regulation Jesus Barreiro-Hurle & Elisabetta Balzi

Science for Policy in the

implementation of Plant Health

Regulation

Jesus Barreiro-Hurle & Elisabetta Balzi

JRC

Protecting the EU plant health in a changing world

13 December 2019