Saurabh Rustagi 10P049 Vedanta Present a Ion

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    TOANALYZE EXISTING, LOSTANDPOTENTIAL CUSTOMERSOF SIILAND

    DEVELOPASTRATEGYTOINCREASEITS

    COPPERSALE

    By

    Saurabh Rustagi

    10P049

    Sterlite Industries (I) Ltd.

    Vedanta Resources

    VEDANTAGROUP

    o Sterlite Industries

    STERLITE INDUSTRIES (I) LTD.

    'Sterlite' Copper cathodes are

    produced using state-of-the-art

    "ISA electro-refining"technology.

    Applications

    Continuous Cast Copper Rods

    Copper Wire Bars, Bus bars,

    Billets, Ingots, Moulds and

    Other semis

    Copper based alloys and

    downstream products

    Copper tubes, strips and foils

    SIIL continuous cast Copper rods

    are produced using the Propezi

    technology.

    Applications

    Jelly Filled Telephone Cables

    Magnetic wires & Winding wires

    Power Cables

    Automobile Wire Harness

    Communication Cables

    House wiring

    Conductors (Rounds and Flats)

    Transformer

    Copper CathodesContinuous Cast Copper

    Rods

    o Sterlite Plants and Capacity

    STERLITE INDUSTRIES PLANTS

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    COPPER INDUSTRY

    0100200300400500600700800

    2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

    In000MT

    Copper in India

    Product ion Consumption

    InstalledCapacity

    InstalledCapacity

    InstalledCapacity

    Copper produced

    Copper produced Copper produced

    0

    100000

    200000

    300000

    400000500000

    600000

    HCL SIIL Birla Copper

    InMetricTonnes

    India Copper Refineries

    Production always morethan consumption

    Few players in themarket

    High barriers to entryor exit

    Oligopolistic Market RATIONALEFOR RESEARCH

    Every company envisions to be the biggest in theworld

    To do so, it plans to increase its sales using differentmethods and approaches

    In this research we have considered 4 methods that

    can be used to increase copper sales

    METHODSTO INCREASE SALES

    IncreaseSales

    AvoidCustomerLoss

    Captureimport

    Market

    Searchpotential

    buyers

    Grow withcustomers

    LOST CUSTOMER ANALYSISEven small customers affect our bottom line

    Loss of a single small customer might not affect much, but manysuch customers create an impact

    It is important to continuously sell to each and every customer,be it small or large

    Let us look at the customers lost, and the factors responsible

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    RATIONALEFOR RESEARCH

    As the number of buyers in the market is notgrowing, loss of these small buyers affects the net

    sales of the company

    One of the possible ways to increase our sales is toget back these lost buyers

    o Research Questions

    RESEARCH QUESTIONS

    Q1: Is price the only reason for buyers not

    procuring copper from us?

    Q2: What are the other factors which are

    responsible for customer loss?

    Q3: Should Sterlite focus on CRM?

    RESEARCH HYPOTHESES

    Null Hypothesis(H

    0)

    Price is the mainfactor forcustomer lossand CRM has noeffect.

    AlternativeHypothesis (H

    A)

    Price is not themain factor andCRM is equallyresponsible forcustomer loss

    KEYPOINTSIN SALES POLICIES

    Total price to be paid in advance

    Total price to be paid in advance

    Payment options limited

    Payment options limited

    Material pricing options are fixed

    Material pricing options are fixed

    Refined copper available in only fixed standard dimensions, and no otherform

    Refined copper available in only fixed standard dimensions, and no otherform

    Delivery charges are fixed for a region

    Delivery charges are fixed for a region

    The premium is fixed for all customers, discount depending on DOA, that iscases to case basis

    The premium is fixed for all customers, discount depending on DOA, that iscases to case basis

    For exemption on import duty, in EOU case, the license and other formshave to be provided in advance, before making the booking

    For exemption on import duty, in EOU case, the license and other formshave to be provided in advance, before making the booking

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    POSSIBLE FACTORS

    Cost of procurement of copper from Sterlite ishigh compared to other supplier1.

    Delivery issues2.

    Communication problems3.

    Conflicts with company policies4.

    Terminated that product5.

    Switched to copper scrap due to high coppercost6.

    CUSTOMER PROFILE

    VeryHigh

    (>1000MT)

    9%

    High

    (between

    1000MTand

    500MT)

    19%

    Moderate

    (Between

    500MTand

    250MT)

    5%

    Low(

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    HYPOTHESIS CONCLUSION

    Fail to reject the Null Hypothesis

    Price is the primary reason of customer loss.

    Communication (CRM), though important, is not theprimary reason of grievance according to any customer

    it is only a supporting factor which aggravates customer grievance.

    o Answers to Research Questions

    ANSWERTORESEARCHQUESTIONS

    Q1: Is price the only reason for buyers not procuring copperfrom us?

    Ans: Price is not the factor responsible for customer. Lack ofcommunication is a supporting problem which has been ratedas 2nd most responsible issue for customer loss.

    Q2: What are the other factors which are responsible forcustomer loss?

    Ans: After high cost of procurement, the 2nd most prominentissue is conflict with company policy. CRM is a hidden factorequally responsible.

    Q3: Should Sterlite focus on CRM?

    Ans: CRM is the supporting reason in almost all the primaryreasons responsible for customer grievance. Communicationissue has 2nd most importance in customer grievance. Thus,Sterlite should focus on improving their CRM and handlingcustomer complaints more efficiently.

    RECOMMENDATIONS

    Do not offer more discount to small customers to regain them from thetraders

    If Sterlite starts offering more discount to small buyers, this news will spread like fire andlarger buyers will demand more discount, affecting Sterlites bottom line.

    If possible, reduce discount offered to traders

    Traders are able to mint money due to the difference in discount offered to them by Sterliteand the discount they offer to the buyers. If we reduce the discount offered, they will reducethe discount they offer, reducing the difference between Sterlites offered price and tradersprice to the buyer.

    Increase customer relationship management in the company

    CRM has turned out to be the 2nd most important factor responsible for customer loss. It ishighly likely that if the problems of these customers were handled properly, they wouldhave not searched for alternative source for procuring copper and would still be ourcustomer.

    IMPORT COPPER MARKET

    After globalization, every domestic industry has a

    threat via imports

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    CC Rod, 34,710

    Cathod, 5,474

    Bus Bar, 31,609

    Cu wire, 48,286

    tubes, 21,547Strip, 13,995

    copper scrap,

    80,675

    OHFC, 21,823Import of Copper

    RATIONALEFOR RESEARCH

    Domestically supply is more than demand, still copper is imported.

    Sterlite Industries produces Cathode and CC Rod. Thus, import of these forms of copperpose a competition for Sterlite.

    Total amount of CC Rods imported is 34,710MT and of cathode is 5,474MT.

    If Sterlite wants to increase it CC Rod sales, it is required to find the factors which incustomers importing copper instead of purchasing from domestic market.

    RESEARCH HYPOTHESES

    NullHypothesis (H0)

    Price is themain factor forprocurementthrough import

    AlternativeHypothesis (HA)

    Price is not themain factor andcompaniesimport to reducedependency on

    domesticmarket

    o Research Questions

    RESEARCH QUESTIONS

    Q1. Is procuring copper through imports cheaper

    than domestic market?

    Q2. Is there some customer need which is notfulfilled by domestic market, but by imports?

    Drawbacks

    Book copper in advance (up to90days), cannot get deliverywithin a day

    The money is blocked forthose days, larger workingcapital

    C&F charges has higher asimport duty also becomes afactor

    Additional license and tradeformalities needed to importcommodity

    Advantages

    Many foreign companies havea very less premiumcompared to domestic

    market, resulting in cheapercopper.

    Copper with certain requiredimpurities can be obtainedfrom foreign market

    If the customer can procurecredit from foreign banksthen importing copperprovide natural hedging.

    Advantageous for ExportOriented Units, avoids importduty and other trade taxes

    IMPORTING COPPER

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    POSSIBLE FACTORS

    Total cost of procuring copper is less

    Copper is procured at a lower premium

    Copper is purchased in dollars, providing natural hedging

    Credit from foreign banks is used, lower interest rate

    Unsatisfied requirements

    Required quality of copper is not obtained from domesticmarket

    The daily requirement is not fulfilled by domestic market

    Do not want to be dependent on domestic market

    Collaboration with a foreign refinery

    CUSTOMER PROFILE

    Almost all sizes of companies import copper

    Most of them import small quantities

    This shows that import of copper is attractive in some way but is not soattractive to completely depend on imports for annual requirements

    VeryHigh

    (>1000MT)

    31%

    High(500

    to

    1000MT)

    33%

    Moderate

    (250to

    500MT)

    22%

    Low

    (1000MT)

    5%

    High (500

    to 1000MT)

    24%

    Moderate

    (250 to

    500MT)

    38%

    Low

    (1000MT)

    14%High (500

    to 1000MT)17%

    Moderate

    (250 to500MT)

    11%

    Low

    (90days

    0%90days>and

    >60days

    12%60days>and

    >30days

    29%

    30days>and

    >7days

    38%

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    HYPOTHESIS CONCLUSION

    Fail to reject the null hypothesis. As per the responses to thequestions by the companies, price plays an important role whendeciding on import.

    But the quantity imported will always be less as it involves verylarge working capital. If companies can afford a large workingcapital, they can afford to import large amounts of copper.

    This is the main reason why large companies import largeamounts of copper. Small companies cannot afford to block theircash for a long time.

    o Answers to Research Questions

    ANSWERTO RESEARCH QUESTIONS

    Q1. Is procuring copper through imports cheaper than domestic market?

    Ans. Yes, as per the primary data gathered and the understanding of an oligopolistic

    market we can confidently say that procuring copper through imports is cheaper

    than buying from domestic market.

    This is mainly due to the high premium charged by domestic suppliers. But this

    lower cost comes at a price of larger working capital. Now, it i s the responsibility

    of the management of the company to decide on whether lower procurement cost

    is enough to offset the larger working capital.

    Q2. Is there some customer need which is not fulfill ed by domestic market, but by

    imports?

    Ans. As per the primary research the unsatisfied requirement is mainly in pricing

    options. Domestic market, Sterlite and Birla Copper, do not allow buying copperon already disclosed LME price, they always book at undisclosed price. Also the

    companies who face such issues are EOUs who need to match the pricing options

    offered in the countrys market where they export. Also, as discussed in Literature

    review, EOUs prefer to import copper as they get rebate on import duty, thus,

    lowering the cost of procurement of copper.

    RECOMMENDATION

    The main area of trouble isthat companies can procurecopper at a lower cost from

    international market with the

    cost of a larger working capital

    Lowering our premium is asolution to reduce imports,but it will reduce profits

    The recommendation forSterlite in this scenario is to

    continue what is going on and

    do nothing at present

    Taking any preemptive actionagainst this threat fromimport will not help inincreasing the profits of thecompany OXYGENFREECOPPERMARKET

    Explore new avenues in copper market

    With development in technology variants of

    refined copper are facing increased demand

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    VARIANTSOF COPPER

    Electrolytic tough pitched Copper (ETP)Electrolytic tough pitched Copper (ETP)

    99.99% Cu

    150 to 400 ppm oxygen content

    High conductivity and ductility

    Oxygen content poses problems in extreme conditions

    Oxygen free Electrolytic Copper (OFE):Oxygen free Electrolytic Copper (OFE):

    99.99% Cu

    5 ppm oxygen content

    Very high conductivity and ductility

    No hydrogen embrittlement and other oxygen based problem

    Oxygen Free Copper (OF)Oxygen Free Copper (OF) 99.95% Cu

    10 ppm Oxygen content

    Very high ductility

    No hydrogen embrittlement and other oxygen based problem

    o Applications of OFE and OF Copper

    APPLICATIONSOF OFEAND OF COPPER

    Industrial Applications

    Power DistributionSystem

    Heavy Gauge PCBs

    Wave Guide tubes

    Heat sinks forSemiconductor bases

    Magnetic windings forparticle accelerator

    Transformer coilwindings

    Consumer applications

    Stereo Systems

    High end Speakers

    Headphones

    A/V Cables

    HDMI Cables

    RATIONALEFOR RESEARCH

    Oxygen free copper market is growing

    Currently no domestic refinery is producing this variant of

    copper and the whole demand is satisfied through imports

    If Sterlite enters this market, it will quickly capture overimports

    Thus, it is important to understand the market, its size andfuture prospects

    o Research Questions

    RESEARCH QUESTIONS

    Q1. What is the size of this market in India, total

    oxygen free copper used?

    Q2. What is the main sector which employees thisvariant of copper?

    Q3. Will it be profitable for Sterlite to enter this

    market?

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    SIZEOF OXYGENFREE COPPER

    9% of import is OFE and OF Copper

    It is around 3 to 4% of total copper consumption in India

    Total OFE and OF copper imported is about 6.5% ofSterlites production, in 2010

    Size is large enough to generate profits

    But market is unsteady

    Refined

    copper

    60%OFHC

    Copper

    9%

    Scrap

    Copper

    31%

    Types of Copper Imported

    334.174

    21.82335

    0

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    400

    Sterlite

    In'000

    MT

    OxygenFreeCopperDemand

    CurrentProduction

    3.011%

    6.522%7.409%

    2.817%3.636%

    3.230%3.859%

    0.000%

    2.000%

    4.000%

    6.000%

    8.000%

    200304 200405 200506 200607 200708 200809 200910

    %ageofOFEcopperintotalCopperConsumption

    GROWTHOFTHIS MARKET

    Forecast wrt GDP and Copper consumption show good growth, attractive market

    But sudden dip of 2006-07 shows vulnerability

    Consumer appliances are the biggest source of vulnerability

    OFE copper is not needed in those products, but are selling on sentimental value

    31804.59

    0

    5000

    10000

    15000

    20000

    25000

    30000

    35000

    GrowthofImportofOxygenFreeCopper

    OFECopperinMT GDPRs.100Million

    43349.80316

    0

    10000

    20000

    30000

    40000

    50000

    GrowthofImportofOxygenFreeCopper

    OFECopperinMT CopperConsumptionin20MTs

    o Answers to Research Questions

    ANSWERTO RESEARCH QUESTIONS

    Q1. What is the size of this market in India, total oxygen freecopper used?

    Ans. In 2010, the total consumption of Oxygen free copperwas 21823.35MT, approximately 3.9% of the whole copperindustry and 6.5% of Sterlites production in that year.The market is large enough to generate sufficient profits.

    Q2. What is the main sector which employees this variant ofcopper?

    Ans. The main sector which consumes this variant of copperis entertainment. The audio Video industry appliancesare the ones having maximum demand for oxygen freecopper wires. This is that sector which can do equally wellwith ETP copper wires.

    Q3. Will it be profitable for Sterlite to enter this market?

    Ans. The market is attractive and appears profitable to enter.But we should consider different scenarios beforecommenting on profitability for Sterlite to enter thismarket.

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    RECOMMENDATIONS

    NOT Manufacture own OFE &OF Copper

    Needs different method ofrefining

    New plant for it, costly

    No other domestic supplier

    Capture full market, largesales

    But market is unstable, risky

    Thus, not recommended Initial investment is high

    and risk of return is alsohigh

    If market fails, like 2006-07,heavy losses

    Switch domestic use customersfrom OFE copper to ETP

    Copper

    Advertise properties of ETPcopper comparing it with OFECopper

    It is important for customersto understand that there is noadvantage in using OFE cable

    Customers will themselvesswitch to ETP Copperincreasing copper consumption increasing Sterlites sale

    Thus, recommended

    Better if one of the high endmusic cable manufactureradvertises

    STUDYON EXISTING CUSTOMERS

    OFSTERLITEOne of the best methods for growth is Organic

    growth

    If its customers are growing, Sterlite will also

    grow

    COPPER CONSUMPTIONIN INDIA

    We see that copper consumption has beengrowing a lot in India, specially after 1991

    Copper consumption per capita is also aparameter to measure economic growth ofa country

    RATIONALEFOR RESEARCH

    To be able to forecast its growth accurately we need tounderstand the parameters on which this companydepends to growth, and the factors influencing the

    growth.

    For this we study the growth of Sterlites majorcustomers

    o Research Questions

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    RESEARCH QUESTIONS

    Q1. What is the growth of the copper industry in

    India?

    Q2. What is the growth of the different markets

    involved in copper industry?

    Q3. How much will the growth in copper industry

    and the markets involved affect the growth ofSterlite Industries?

    MARKETSINVOLVEDIN COPPER INDUSTRY

    COMPANIESCONTACTED

    Apart from 2 transformer companies, other have an average growth of around 10% p.a.

    IMP Power has a higher rate as it is a new company and growing fast

    CGL is the market leader with maximum share

    13%

    -100

    10

    20

    30

    AxisTitle

    Growth %

    GROWTHIN MARKET

    From the research we get growth in transformer Industry to be 11% andwire industry to be 15%

    Main factors for growth are 12th 5 year plan and expected increase in GDP

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    FORECASTED COPPER CONSUMPTION

    Consumption of copper in India will increase by around 10% as per secondary resources and byaround 13% by our primary resources.

    Thus, Sterlite industries can grow organically at a good pace if it continues to sell to its existingclients.

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1000

    1200

    2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

    in'000MT

    Forecasted Copper Consumption

    Forecasted with GDP Forecasted @10% growth Forecasted @13% growth

    o Answers to Research Questions

    ANSWERSTO RESEARCH QUESTIONS

    Q1. What is the growth of the copper industry in India?

    Ans. From the secondary research we get the growth rate of copper industry as 10%, but

    from primary research we get the growth rate of industry as 13%. But the

    companies shortlisted by us might not be a good representative of the whole copper

    industry and this might be the reason of getting such high growth rates.

    Q2. What is the growth of the different markets involved in copper industry?

    Ans. There are many markets involved in copper industry. In this research we studied

    the two main markets, transformers and wires. We developed a growth structure for

    these markets and calculated their respective growth rates. Transformer market is

    expected to growth at a rate of 11% per annum, whereas wire industry is expected

    to grow at a rate of 15% per annum.

    Q3. How much will the growth in copper industry and the markets involved affect the

    growth of Sterlite Industries?

    Ans. With the forecast of growth in markets involved and that in copper industry,

    Sterlite Industrys sales are also expected to grow at a similar rate. Considering

    that these companies do not change the share of material procured by us, the

    growth in sales of Sterlite Industries will also be high. Growth in sales of Sterlite

    Industries is expected to be around 13% considering the growth in wire industry

    and transformer market.

    THANK YOU