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1 Saudi Arabia National Renewable Energy Program

Saudi Arabia National Renewable · Saudi Arabia significantly increased its renewable energy targets and long term visibility Planned Capacity (GW) 5-Year Target 12-Year Target 58.7

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Page 1: Saudi Arabia National Renewable · Saudi Arabia significantly increased its renewable energy targets and long term visibility Planned Capacity (GW) 5-Year Target 12-Year Target 58.7

1

Saudi Arabia National Renewable Energy Program

Page 2: Saudi Arabia National Renewable · Saudi Arabia significantly increased its renewable energy targets and long term visibility Planned Capacity (GW) 5-Year Target 12-Year Target 58.7

16.0

Saudi Arabia significantly increased its renewable energy targets and long term visibility

Planned Capacity (GW)

5-Year Target 12-Year Target

58.7 2.7 CSP

Wind

27.3

Solar PV

Increased 5-Year Target

Extended visibility 2 to 2030

Optimized the energy mix

Manufacturing capacity of 200GW by

Initial Revised 2030 Target 2030

40.0

9.5

2.4 5.9

7.0

20.0

Page 3: Saudi Arabia National Renewable · Saudi Arabia significantly increased its renewable energy targets and long term visibility Planned Capacity (GW) 5-Year Target 12-Year Target 58.7

12 pre-developed projects will be tendered in 2019 with a total capacity of ~3.1 GW

3

TOTAL

2,225

850

Qurrayat

200

Madinah

50

Rafha

45

Alfaisalia

600

Rabigh

300

Jeddah

300

Mahad Dahab

20

Saad

600

Alras

300

Wadi Adwawser

70

Qurrayat

40

Yanbu

850

Page 4: Saudi Arabia National Renewable · Saudi Arabia significantly increased its renewable energy targets and long term visibility Planned Capacity (GW) 5-Year Target 12-Year Target 58.7

Projects will be deployed in 35+ parks spread across the Kingdom

Waad Al Shammal

Qurayyat

North Tabuk

Tabarjal

Sakaka Al Kahafah

Rafha 35+ parks to be developed by 2030

Midyan

Sourah

Tabuk

Al Masa'a

Unaizah

Qaisumah

Al Ghat Sudair

Spread across

Al-Ula Ar Rass Henakiyah

Shaqra Dhurma

Malham Ghilanah

4 the Kingdom to promote

Yanbu South Yanbu

Khushaybi Madinah

Tuwaiq Riyadh Al Haeer AlQuwaiiyah regional development Mastoorah Mahd Aldhab Duwadimi

Rabigh

South Jeddah Al Faisaliah

Al Laith

Dhahban

Haden

Bisha

Starah

Wadi Ad

Dawasir

Al-Kharj

Layla

Gradual deployment

to mitigate technology risk

Solar PV

Wind

CSP

Farasan

Jazan Sharorah

Page 5: Saudi Arabia National Renewable · Saudi Arabia significantly increased its renewable energy targets and long term visibility Planned Capacity (GW) 5-Year Target 12-Year Target 58.7

What is Pre-Development?

Pre-development activities provide certainty and deliver lower project costs

Energy Yield Assessment

Site Selection

Grid Impact

Studies

Input to tender

Reduced risk

Preliminary

Design PPrree--

DDeevveellooppmmenetn t AAccttivivitiiteises

Secure Land 5

Successful IPP

Lower LCoE

Hydrological Assessment

Measure Resource

Geotech. Assessment

Environmental Assessment

Page 6: Saudi Arabia National Renewable · Saudi Arabia significantly increased its renewable energy targets and long term visibility Planned Capacity (GW) 5-Year Target 12-Year Target 58.7

Framework for Developing Tendering Policies

Qualification • Technical and

financial criteria

RFP • Local Content

requirements

• Prescriptive technical

parameters of the

plants (location, size,

technology)

• Bank Guarantees, EPC term sheets, O&M term sheets, financial model

Evaluation • Public bid

announcements

• RFP compliance and

than lowest LCOEE

Award 6

• Short listing and

than award. No

alternative bids

or negotiations

Page 7: Saudi Arabia National Renewable · Saudi Arabia significantly increased its renewable energy targets and long term visibility Planned Capacity (GW) 5-Year Target 12-Year Target 58.7

Saudi Arabia Localization Objectives

Page 8: Saudi Arabia National Renewable · Saudi Arabia significantly increased its renewable energy targets and long term visibility Planned Capacity (GW) 5-Year Target 12-Year Target 58.7

Global Local Content Benchmarks

Bubble size - Installed Renewable Energy Capacity (GW):

<10 GW

10-100 GW

>100 GW

Page 9: Saudi Arabia National Renewable · Saudi Arabia significantly increased its renewable energy targets and long term visibility Planned Capacity (GW) 5-Year Target 12-Year Target 58.7

MEIM and PIF are working on complementary tracks to promote localization of manufacturing

Track Development Approach

Allocated Pipeline (% of RE Capacity)

Objectives

9

Tendered

by REPDO

• Competitive tender

• Increasing local content

requirements

30%

• Enable price discovery

• Attract private investments

• Promote market innovation

Awarded

to PIF

• Negotiated deal with international

partner for project development

• Captive offtake from large scale manufacturing (200 GW)

70%

• Fast-track localization

• Target exports of RE equipment

• Develop Giga-scale projects

Page 10: Saudi Arabia National Renewable · Saudi Arabia significantly increased its renewable energy targets and long term visibility Planned Capacity (GW) 5-Year Target 12-Year Target 58.7

What Do We Want from Local Content

High

Short-term

localization target

Inverter

Assembly

Nacelle

Assembly

Tower

Technology:

Wind

Solar

Long term cost

Medium-term

localization target

Rotor

Blades

Hub Assembly GDP Impact:

10 50 Mn SAR / GW

competitiveness Module

Long-term localization

Low

target

Drivetrain

Others*

Polysilicon

Drivetrain

Gearbox

Wafer

Cells

Nacelle

Electrical**

Nacelle

Housing

Low Ease of Localization High

Notes: *) Rotor Bearings, Break System, and Main Shaft; **) Power Converter, Transformers, and Fiber-optic Cables

Page 11: Saudi Arabia National Renewable · Saudi Arabia significantly increased its renewable energy targets and long term visibility Planned Capacity (GW) 5-Year Target 12-Year Target 58.7

What Do We Want from Local Content Competitive and Sustainable Industry

Value Localization Strategy Approach

• Promote Factory localization

• Expect Development of Supply Chain

$15.000

$120.000

$300.000

$15.000

$1.500.00

Assembling Nacelle in the Country 11

Main System Level (Generator, Gearbox, Transformer…)

Main Subsystem Level Level (Rotor, Stator…)

Subassembly Level

Individual Component Level (Bolts & Nuts)

Captured Value Pyramid

Page 12: Saudi Arabia National Renewable · Saudi Arabia significantly increased its renewable energy targets and long term visibility Planned Capacity (GW) 5-Year Target 12-Year Target 58.7

Local Content Roadmap

Short Term (2017) Medium Term (2018-2019) Long Term (2020 onwards)

LCOE Baseline Local Content Buildup Global Competitiveness

Tendering guidelines &

processes established

Introductory

capacity of 700 MW

Established LCOE

price baseline

Kick-start RE supply

chain development

Localization

30%

Tenders designed to

drive local content

Aggressive capacity

scale-up

Balanced LCOE and

Local Content

Setup of solar and wind

industrial clusters

Localization

40% - 60%

Tenders support set up

of export capabilities

Stable development to 12

install 2030 targets

Balanced LCOE and

Local Content

Sustainable and export

oriented RE supply chain

Localization

60%+

Source: Team Analysis

SAK & DAJ