• •

rMISSION~ :~~.::HE .::_:)

Brussels~ 27th October 1980

SERL1LS UN1T

REPORl FROM THE COMMISSION TO THE COUNCIL

INVESTMENT IN THE ELECTRICITY SECTOR ~F THE COMMUNITY

COM(80) 628 final

':..I

.•

• •

.. Ill!

i • '

·•

Background Statement

INVESTMENT.·PROJECTS ·m ··THE ELECTRICITY SECTOR OF' THE .COMMUNITY

The attached report, which is the latest in a series/.of a.rinual reports reviewii?-g

the investment· situation in the electricity sector of the .Comm~ity, is based

on inform~tion oo~ioated to the-Commission by virt1,;1.e,of- Council Regulations

. (EEC) No~. 1056/72 and 1?15/76 relating_ to the situation as at .1.1 ~1980.

The report_ is confined to an. analysis of the information communicated to ·the

Commission and ~oes'not .deal with possible implications for Community energy

policy, which will be treated in a document concerning the reduction of oil use_

·for electricity production to be submitted to the Council later this year.

The Counoi.l is requested to NOTE- the report and in particular 'that:· ' _;' E

.... There is a continued increase in the amo·unt of·.·solid fuel burning electricity

production capacity in c'onstru.otionand planned •

There is a significant _amount of nuclear capacity for which fi:rm decisions are

still awaited in order.to achieve the current expectations-of nuclear oa.pa.eity

to be in service by 1990.

,.

'

INVESTMENT PROJECTS IN, '11HE ELECTRICITY. SECTOR OF 'THE COMMUNITY

Report on information oommuri,icated to the Oomm.if:U~ion, under -Council Regulations Nos. 1056/72- and 1215/76,

relating to the situation at ·1.1.1980 , .. (Info,rmation summaries in Anhe:x:es l and 2)

1. -Discussion of·. Commission conclusions

1.1 • ..Qpnv~n,ii,2P!,~_,th,el,11l!,l_,c!:P!:.Oit.'t

'Th~ uplrm.rd. tren,d of the total oa.paoity in oonstru.otion a.nd planned, .first

noted in la_st year's report, has been continued .. There has been a. further

substantial increase in the amount of solid fuel burning capacity j_n cons­

truction and planned and, for the first time, no monovalent oil, or natural

gas 7 o.a.pa.oity .is reported in planning. Nevertheles~, there is- still a.

.significant quantity (15 .. 9 GW) of monovalent oil-burning capacity in.

construction which will add to the considerable amount of suoh oapaoity

brought into service in ~eoent y.ea.rs.

1. 2., !u.s:,l,2a.t ,£a;.E_a,£i;1Y_

Realist io expectations of total nuclear oa.paoi ty in th.e Community by 198 5

now indicate some 79.5 GW gross (74 .. 7 GW net), similar ·to that estimated '

in last year's report.,

According to the oommunioa.tions :reqe.ived, the. total nuclear ca.pa.oity in

service by 1990 would be 123.7 GW .gross {li6.3 aw net), which total oa.n

only be improved upon ff f~rm deoisi9ns .in favour of. ft!-rther proje·ots, not·

so far reported,· a.re taken in the next two. years •. Even this total, however,

is depende.nt :not Qnl:y, On thE~ timely completion of current OO:tl:struo:tion ·

programmes but al:so on the i;aki:ng. of finn d:e·eisions o.once.rning ·start...oof-. ' '

construction dates a.nd/o_r ·sites for over 27 \GW a.nd the resolution of legal'

dif'fioul ties f<;>r some 4 GW of oa.pa.Qity .. .Failure to overcome these yroblems.

could result .in• a very substantial 'reduction· in t'he nuclear capacity in

.serv:i ce .by 1·990 ...

". \_

•

- 2 ,. 2. Review of information received

> 2-l• !Oia,l R,C~I.£ Jalf.n,i .Q_a;aa.Qil.i!.l"\ll1tiJ.~"""'O.Q1l!."b.£1l.Q.'tl,1o;.·lll! J1lpn14, Table 1 indicates the total capacities unde_r construction and planned in

each sector at 1.1.1980, together with the evolution as reported during

the last six years:

Table 1 GW gross. . Conventional As at: thermal Nuclear Hydro TOTAL

I

1.1 .. 1974 72,1 * 13,0 * 1 .. 1 .. 1975 60,3 * 12,0 * 1.1.1976 50,5 * ll,O *" 1.1 .. 1977 46,6 - 99,4 10,0 156,0

1.1 .. 1978 44,6 128,2 14,2 186,6

1 .. 1.1979 52,5 100'-6 14,8 167~9 -

1 .. 1 .. 1980 66,2 100,7 _14,0 180,9

* NUclear not reported in these years •

. -· 2 .. 2 .. .2.0E.V~n!,i,2_n~1_th_e,!!Il~l.J>l.B.E.t_ Table 2 gives an analysis of the current· totals by principal fuel capability

categories, the corresponding figures for the situation a.t 1·.1 .. 1979 being_

inc1udedo

- There are substantial increases in the .total capacities of plant , in

construction and planning capable of burning hard coal (+ 16.9 GW) and

brown ooa.l (+ 0 .. 6 GW) as compared with the situation at l .. lel979;

- from 1979 - 1985 inclusive, the total added solid fuel burni~ capability

is expected to be 20 .. 2~aw;

- there .. is p.o ,.;plar:,t,_curr:,e:gj; 1~ in Pla.JF.lJ~g capable of ·burnj.n.K., oJl S:l::J:]::Z or.

natural gas onl~ ;

- of the 36 .. 1 GW of plant in construction and planned with an. oil burnin,g

capability~ it is known that 18.0 GW is in fact polyvalent plant with a

coal burning capability ;

0 •• ; • ., •

;r~~

i

- 3-

- of the ,iiot~~. o·r. }9,.:.,9 .t1W. e~,f ..... ,~l~l. .. ,g~x-:rer{f;ly un~~r const:ructi·on, 11.9 GW

il ~et able ot b\\mi~B i~01i4 :f'U.el WA~1Jt l!!$.9 OW tl o& &blt ot wm

'

oil only (I: 9 .. 1 ffi-1, UK: 6 .. 8 GW).

lfl'

2.,

3~

Capable of burning

Hard coal

c_of :which coal only

:Brown· coal

Oil

..... of which oil only

-·

4-. Natural gas

-of· which natural gas only

5· Fuel unknown or undecided. ~

Table 2

c mm.· .. d Cu. t 1 In planning - .to be. in o :tss:~..one _ . rren · y · s·ervice.

in under after 1.985 1979 construc-

(l978) tion (*) by 1985 a.nd date , /· ·· · unkno~

A B I c

3017 10359 .6337 27489. (-) (9649) (8285) (9280)

qm ~· t!l!Jcl1) alW9 -- - • ~----- .. .. .......................... ............ ---""" 1740 7721 2957 12609 .(-) (5174) (3680) (1900)

- 1550 600 ..... (-) \ (-) (1525) .(-)

3493 1;8877 . 1900 15350 (3076) (23080) . (31"35) (8260)

·------· ........ ___ ... !'>·.-----__ ._ ___

1916 15940 - ..... (1606) (17276) (-) ' (1920)

..... '\ 2897 1480 -(1760) (1919) .(1700) (1500)

-eat8ml!N"~Gilm--ll .. -.~-- .. r------ ------.-- 478' - -(290) (270) (-J (-)

v / - '1300 (320) (1600)'·

·· ..

Figures in braeket.s refer to. t.he situation a.s a.t 1.1.1979! . ( *) All except 1120 aw elq)ected to be in service by 1985. '

, MW gross

1rOTAL (A+B+C)

44185 (21214)

.....C!DIIo-~-

23287 (10754)'

2150. '(1525)

''36127 (34475)

lDiiral- 9lllh..,-

15940 (19196)

4377 (5119)

.. GI!S .........

478 ,, (270)

\

1300 (1920)

'

···;·I· •..

..

·•

• •

,.

• •

2.3~ ~£1~a~ ~1~1

~able :lehQwl tho w~rtnt ~~1\\&tion,

Table 3. Mll'1 gross

Scheduled to be in service

,-by 128~ !1-fte-r 1282 and date unknOWl,l;_

Currently

- in construction 51335 6478·

- in planning 1010 4;1914.

TOTALS ' 52345 48392

2.,8 GW of nuclear capacity was commissioned in 1979 .. The 100.7 GW

reported in construction an~ in planning represents some three and

a half times the existing cap~city ..

.;,.. Taking a.cco1p1t of 1 GW scheduled to be in service by 1985 for which

no firm ~tart-of-construction dates are Y,et available, the proba:ble

total nucle~r ca.paci ty e:A--pected in serv~ce by 1282. · is.J:i .. 2 GW gr.?~ (74 .. 7 GTtJ... n.§1), subjeqt to the achievement of ·current oo:nstruotion

-schedulesql

..... For-Denmark, Ireland, Luxembourg and the Netherlands, all so far un­

commit-ted. te nuclear development,. no projects' are reportedl!l and the.

possibility of nuclear development in .these, countries by 1990 is remoteo

For Belgitun the current nuclear programme, all notrr in ?onstruction,. is

sohedu.led to be completed by 1984 ..

The total reported. nuclear capacity (in construction an4 planned)

scheduled to be in service by 1990 is 95 .. .5 GW, _which woul-d mean,

taking aqoo'Ll.nt of capacity already in ser1rioe 11 · a ]!.¥imuJit. nu.clear · .

capacity in service, by_l22.Q of ).23 .. LQW_m~ (.,1..+6.,3 G~L ... lJ..£1)" There

is still time for f'u:rther· nuclear projecrts to be firmly decided upon

for commissioning by 1990 although, given the pra~crtioal .oo:n.sid?rations ·

of delays in authorisation and oonstru'ction, such decisions :need to be

taken within the -next two years.,

·~··I···

- 5-

·-It should b~ noted that, of. the abt)ve 9.5·5 ow, fir:m deoisions have

not 'been taken oonoeming atart-of-oonStru:etion. d.a:tEHS qfi/o:r $lt~a· '/Of& ' . , ..

no less tha.n 27 ~·2 GW (I: 12.0 GW, F: 5·3 aw, D: 5 .. 2 GW, UK: 4., 1 GW} and

·the construction of 3. 7 GW (D)· is OUrr'ently st.opped due 'to legal. diffi­

culties· o Failure to resolve t~ese problems· in time could result .in the

total nuolea.r capacity in service' by 1990 bei"ng nQ more than 92.l~ GW

gross (87 .. 2 GW net) .,

·2 .. 4. !!YJ!r£ Of' the total of 14·.0 CM ·of projects report·ed (7 .6 GW o£ which are in

c·onstruotion) ·o~ly 0.;8 GW is primary ;oonversion .Plant, the/rem~inde:r being

either pumped storage or ~ixed pumped storage/primary oonversi·on plant.

3; Major transmission lines ;andoa.bles IS -· . I

. ).1 •. Table 4 sh·ows the current situation"

Table 4. (}ommi ssioned.

in 1979 {1978)

.Under ~ oonst·ructi'On ,; .

1937 8564 ( 1808) (7072)

' ,.

Ci.rcuit - km

Planned

-4706 (5383)·

,liM&,.,_,-.---;- r.iftlill_---- .,.. ___ ......... -- : __ , ....... --- ·~ .... ···~ ~·..., Underground oables

Underwat-er oabl:-es

TOTAL ,'

17 (-)

{-)

• I

·1·2·61

(76)'

92 ,(-}

8782 (7148)

142 ' (l8:S)

.

.140 (120)

4988 ( 5:6'91)

\ •: .. . ~ .- i

..

,.

. -

• ,',.

t

•.-' -·

-· t

6~-

3.2. - The total circuit lengths~ under oonstru.otion .and pla.nried are, at

13.770 oi~cuit kilometer~, some 7¢ bighe~ tha.n those in41oa.te4 1~t&at

yef:t-:t'. There was also an increase in the total circuit lengths oqm- .

missioned in 1979 (1954) compared with 1978 (1808) ..

The continued redu(}tion of cirouj.t lengths in planning (4988· at 1 .. ~ ... 1980~

compared with 5691 at 1 .. 1 .. 1979 and 7648 a.t,l~l .. l97~) is disturbing and

calls into question the adequ.a.oy of provisions being made for t~e needs

' of the ?ommunity, both in the transfer of electricity wi'thin Member

.States and the possibility of transferring non-oil based ele6trioi ty

between Member States.

4. Value of the :eport

-·The quality a.nd scope of the communications rece'ived from Member' Stat-e Govern~

ments, on which the value of the report depends, continue to be of a high

stand.a.rCl. However,· in order to _achieve the standard of reporting envisaged

·by the Council in· its approval. of the Council Regulations 1056/7~ and ·

i215/76, it. is neces'sary once-again to draw a:tt~ntion_ to"the fa.ot th~;t increased

. efforts by certain Member State Governments are :required to ensure that all

eligible inve~tment projeo'ts, together with all the information requested,.

are included in the oo~ioa.tions.

•'

·coMMISSION . of the·

.EUROPEA~ COMMUNITIES .

. lN.V.ESTMENT · 'PRO,J E.CTS .lN . THE

:ELECTRICITY . SECTOR 'QF THE COMMUNITY

,, /

A'NNEX I· · -: Electrical p:o;wer pLant situation 'Pos1tion :at 1 '"1.19:80.

ANNEX Il Summa·ry .o,f Noti·ficat1ons re,ceived by :the,>Commission by vfrtu;e of ·Council Regulati·on:s :'N°:s 1056/72 :and 121'517·6. . '

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PROJETS .D '· INVESTISSEMENT DANS LE­

SE~TEUR DE l.'ELECTRICITE DE ~A COMMUNAUTE

~ Sommaj r~e des donnees, ret;ues. par La Commission

ANNEXE II

Feuilles 1 a 13

· en vertu des Regl.ements -du C;onsei l n°s 1056/72 et 121~/76

Contenu :

11/2

1'1/3

- . 11/4

11/5

11/6

11/7

1119

1l/l0

11/11

11/12

11/13

Situation ,au ou evolution pendant

1.1· .1980

- 1980 -

CENTRALES THERMIQUES Cnucleaires incl.)

1.1.1980

1.1.1980

Par pays et annee pr~vue de mise en _service Par pays et type -de systeme de refroidi sse.~ent'

1.1 .1978 - -1. 1.1' 980

1 • 1 • 1' 97 8 J .• 1.:1.1'979 1.1.1980

u tl tf

.1 • 1 ~ 1978 - ' 1 • 1 .1980

Prbjets prog~ammes - Aspects decisionneLs~

CENTRALES THERMIQUES CLASSIQUES (nucleaires exclues) - Bilan sommaire

Par pays et annee prevue de mise en service

Par type de combustible mise ·en service

CENTRALES NUCLEAIRES. Bilan sommaire

et· par an nee prevue

1.1.1978 I 1.1.1979 . Par pays et annee pr~vue de mise en service 1.1.1980

de

1.1.1980 · Par type de reacteur ,, pays 'et tranche de puis­sance unitaire.

1.1.1978 - 1.1.}980 CENTRALES HYDRAULIQUES Bil~n sommaire

1.1.19781 p - . ~' - . . d . . ar pays, categor1.e et annee prevue· . e m1.s.e en 1 •1 • 197'

9 . • service 1.1 ,.1980

1. 1 •. 1980' . __ LIGNES DE. TRANSMI S.SlON ~ ET CABLES

Par pays et annee prevue de mise eorl service .•

..

: ..

COUIITRY

EUR 9

of which:

~1gi~

Ilanmark

1l: R. Deutsch la.nd

Frarioe

Ireland

ltalie.

L~embourg

lieder land

l United lingdom

. :. ...

E.l. TREIDIAL PareR STA'I'.IC!IS (including nuclear power .tations)

O!lnerating 11ets with a. eape.city of 200 Jill ormore

. " -~ '':;,."

' -·1

D/lr!J -- Jul;r 198o .

By coun{ry and planned year of cof!lnlissioni.ng • Position at 1.1.1980

ra1rl!. df figures: number of eets and, )IW of total eapaeity

i '"""';"" 1~•1=!_..r..oo=;!!!.•~='" T"motioo.,., ~) . _ , • , . ... ---. --·~·-' · during. . 1 · . . · · · · . . • • . . • · . . •· . ; . . . · . Utl'.iacide~ or I 1979 planned 19~l : 1982 · .. ~ 1983 1984 .·. .· . 1985' ·I.· ... 19!li' I .. 1987 •ll988 I": 1969 .11~/. I· unk:n~-n l)

~ ~ ... :· ~ ~ _ -'~:~'~- : ~~=ll~! _ .. ll,,. 20-,,.. :'~':':' ::,~~- r:-~~: :':'~'~ _~,~~,~ ~,:~ -~~·~,~·t~::;"'f'~·~ ,H,~ ~~~: - 1~37 . ~- -----1---b ---t-o:'---"'--'--'~~ .... I·· 4"-2640 _- 2~~;- ·--- . 1-}_362 · ~633 1 ... 3=3907 -= 6-743.0 _ · .... 7.-5~~t"::: ,. 2-1914 7.c.6660 3-'-4290 . . . • ·..•. e· .. .

- --.· -· 1,..300 l-3oo -woo .· .·.·• ----.--;r.::r;~oo"--_:_2-640- 8-,-3920 4·4620 1,..660 3-1640 6->280 5-2960 - 9-6_10- - .. -.. --=--·-· I I.c.647 t-_2.::957 . -+- .-2370 . ] 1-618 .. ·.i-·· _ __:_: j L-"33~ -t·' . .. .. · i. ,

2-1:?76· .. --~~-=l~~_j, __ l~~C>_:_ __ c7-4100 .. 7-4260 ,5-27jlo ·. 2-960 I 1-660 ~-1. -470: 1 .. · .•. ··• .· . I ·-1302_~~-. -.-·--~----·-· _ 3-191o I 1-66o . 3-176o 2-l~oo 1.;.660 4--2400 i .. .!..,._ __

1> o:ates not yei: decided orlunknown ; pq:>jects in study or proba~te projects ; pro9ramme is tentative.

.,

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UNtiE

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---

COUN

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BA~ANCE SHEET:OF INVESTMENT PROJECTS IN NUCLEA~ POWER STATIONS IN THE COMMUNitY (E.1.l

Generating sets with·a capacity of 200 MW or more

Pairs of figures : <Number of sets) and MW of corresponding total capaciiy

----Under In service construct ton ·Projected

A1 POSITION ~T 1.1 u 1978 I (lt0) 17454 I 1 <s2) 52375] {72) '75824-l

81 EVOLUTION DURING 1978

1. Plant commissioned +(5) + 4762 -(5) .. - 4762 . 2. aeg~nning of construction +(7) + 6770 -(7) •6770 <PLant reported planned 1.1.78)

3. Projects wi thdr,awn -(.) -27120

4. New projects not reported +(3) + 4163 projected at 1.1.1978 +(4) + 2640(1 ).

5. Size·modffications, adjustments - 764 (2) + 40 + 117

.2 POSITION AT 1.1.1979 (45) 21452 1 (54) 54423] [<33> 354!_~_) +(.) 10800

'2 EVOLUTION DURING 1979 +(4 + 2640) (1)

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- 2. Beginning of construction +(5) + 6310 ,-(5) - ~310 (Plant reported planned 1 .1. 79)

3. Projects. withdrawn .;.. (.} - 108DO

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5. Size modifications, adjustments - 106 - 190

A3 POSITION AT 1 .1.1980 I <4a> 2426]] (56) 578131 I <41 > 429241 -'-j

<11 This capacity was to be nuclear or conventional th~rmal ; not in~luded in total

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