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1 Disclaimer: http://www.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/
Religare Morning Digest
September 6, 2016
Nifty Outlook
Nifty upheld its consolidation bias on Friday as well and ended marginally higher, tracking renewed buying interest in select index majors in second half. In absence of any major trigger, participants were remained busy finding trades on stock specific front and counters from auto pack topped their list, due to announcement of monthly sales figure. Also, stocks from banking, pharma, infra space remained on traders’ radar.
We have long weekend ahead and our markets will react to the global cues in early trades on Tuesday. By and large, indications are bullish as markets have digested recently released macro-economic data, which were not so encouraging and holding at its 52 weeks high. So, maintain buy on dips approach, but with required caution in stock selection.
VWAP (Expiry till date) Max OI (Call) Max OI (Put)
NIFTY 8760 9000 8600
Sectors to watch
Sector Name Outlook
FMCG STABLE
BANKS STABLE
PHARMA STABLE
News
Religare Super Ideas**
FII & DII Cash Segment (Rs. in Cr.) Trade Stats
Category Amt. MTD YTD
FII -302 -302 37365
DII 308 308 -7512
NO OF CON-
TRACTS
TURNOVER IN CR
IDXFUTS 156970 11173
IDXOPT 1979607 142659
STKFUTS 524038 35770
Derivative Ideas **
Tata Motors’ Passenger and Commercial Vehicle sales in August stood at 43,061 vehicles, a growth of 6 percent, over 40,679 vehicles sales in August 2015. Domestic sales grew by 3% whereas exports were up by 27%. JLR's US sales grew by 46% to 9,329 vehicles, driven largely by recently launched F-PACE and XE.
Cadila Healthcare’s oral solid dosage drug facility, located at SEZ, Ahmedabad, received an establishment inspection report (EIR) from the USFDA. This is the third EIR for the company’s establishment in the current quarter. Shares went up by 2.3%.
Bajaj Auto reported a 5% fall in total sales at 3,25,347 units in August 2016, as against 3,41,965 unit sales in August 2015. Motorcycle sales decreased by 4% to 2,79,977 units from 2,90,436 units sold previously. Commercial Vehicle reported a 12% decline. Also, exports went down by 31%.
Instrument B/S Lot INITIATION
RANGE SL TARGET
BANKNIFTY
8th SEP 20200 CE
SELL 40 42-43 61 05
*FII & DII data as on 1st September 2016
Scrip Buy/Sell CMP Initiation
Range SL* Target
KOTAKBANK BUY 813.60 805-820 780 900
M&M BUY 1473.60 1460-1480 1400 1650
**Please note that the given technical and derivative recommendations are
"valid for taking position" only on recommended date and in the given range.
*Please note - Stoploss is on closing basis for delivery recommendation and
intraday basis for futures recommendation.
2 Disclaimer: http://www.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/
Religare Morning Digest
September 6, 2016
Religare Super Ideas
Investment Pick - Force Motors
The company has presence across automobiles, components and aggregates segments. Force's Traveller is one of the most popular inter and intra city mobility
vehicles in the country. In traveller segment, it is the market leader with market share of 67%. It has also forayed into defense, fire and rescue segment with the launch of paramilitary ambulances and emergency rescue vehicles.
Force Motors is engaged in the assembling of engines, axles and gear boxes for both Mercedes and BMW in India. It is the only company in the world to supply
engines to two of the world's biggest luxury car makers. It has set up two plants in Chennai and Pune to cater to BMW and Mercedes respectively with an aggregate investment of Rs. 300Cr.
Scrip CMP Target Duration Recommendation Price
FORCEMOT 3,060.10 3,940 9-12 Months 3,088
We are expecting Banknifty to be in 19900-20100
range. Call writing was seen at 20200 strike.
Strategy—SELL BANKNIFTY 8th SEPTEMBER 20200
CE BETWEEN 42-43, SL 61, TARGET 5.
Derivative Ideas
Kotak Mahindra Bank Limited
(KOTAKBANK)
After long wait, KOTAKBANK managed to cross
790 resistance barrier on daily chart. Post this,
from past two trading sessions, it is trading
sideways in narrow range, this can be termed
consolidation at higher levels. These are healthy
developments indicating bullish bias to continue.
Two and half year long consolidation phase came
to an end in July this year when M&M surpassed
1415 levels. Since then, it is consolidating at the
higher levels. We firmly believe, 1400 is strong
support and bullish bias will persist till it is trading
above this level on closing basis.
Mahindra & Mahindra Limited (M&M)
3 Disclaimer: http://www.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/
Religare Morning Digest
September 6, 2016
Result Calendar— September 2016
Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
04 05
INTERLINK PETROLEUM LTD.
MALWA COTTON SPINNING MILLS LTD.
PETRONET LNG LTD.
SIMPLEX INFRASTRUCTURES LTD.
06
ELECTROSTEEL STEELS LTD.
HMT LTD.
JINDAL POLY FILMS LTD.
KOLTE-PATIL DEVELOPERS LTD.
NITIN FIRE PROTECTION INDUSTRIES LTD.
OIL INDIA LTD.
Siti Networks Ltd
07
ASIAN HOTELS (EAST) LTD.
BHARAT HEAVY ELECTRI-CALS LTD.
CHENNAI PETROLEUM COR-PORATION LTD.
DCW LTD.
IP RINGS LTD.-$
OIL AND NATURAL GAS CORPORATION LTD.
Precision Camshafts Ltd
Swelect Energy Systems Limited-$
08
APIS INDIA LTD.
ESSAR SHIPPING LTD.
HINDUSTAN COMPOSITES LTD.
Nagarjuna Fertilizers and Chemicals Ltd
PURAVANKARA PROJECTS LTD.
STEEL AUTHORITY OF INDIA LTD.
TV TODAY NETWORK LTD.
VENKY'S (INDIA) LTD.
ZUARI AGRO CHEMICALS LTD.
ZUARI GLOBAL LTD.
09
COAL INDIA LTD.
GUJARAT STATE PETRONET LTD.
NATIONAL ALUMINIUM CO.LTD.
RESPONSIVE INDUSTRIES LTD.
SJVN Ltd
Sobha Limited
TIMKEN INDIA LTD.
ZUARI AGRO CHEMICALS LTD.
ZUARI GLOBAL LTD.
10
4 Disclaimer: http://www.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/
Religare Morning Digest
September 6, 2016
Corporate Action Calendar — September 2016 (Cash Dividend)
Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
04 05
06
JK Paper Ltd
Orient Bell Ltd
Bliss Gvs Pharma Ltd
Indsil Hydro Power and Manga-nese Ltd
Datamatics Global Services Ltd
Hindalco Industries Ltd
Sandur Manganese & Iron Ores Ltd/The
Sumedha Fiscal Services Ltd
Kauntam Papers Ltd
07
Nirlon Ltd
Grasim Industries Ltd
Grasim Industries Ltd
TT Ltd
Relaxo Footwears Ltd
Kanpur Plastipack Ltd
Tata Power Co Ltd
MOIL Ltd
Engineers India Ltd
Lakshmi Mills Co Ltd
NLC India Ltd
Lambodhara Textiles Ltd
BEML Ltd
Savera Industries Ltd
Magna Electro Castings Ltd
Orbit Exports Ltd
Sanco Trans Ltd
Pilani Investment & Industries Corp Ltd
08
Gujarat Hotels Ltd
Mangalam Cement Ltd
NBCC India Ltd
PNB Gilts Ltd
Emmbi Industries Ltd
Ugar Sugar Works Ltd
Nagarjuna Agrichem Ltd
Himatsingka Seide Ltd
Manali Petrochemicals Ltd
Indus Finance Ltd
Sicagen India Ltd
Escorts Ltd
GAIL India Ltd
Tips Industries Ltd
Pondy Oxides & Chemicals Ltd
Power Grid Corp of India Ltd
NHPC Ltd
Kolte-Patil Developers Ltd
Nahar Capital and Financial Ser-vices Ltd
Mazda Ltd
NTPC Ltd
Atul Auto Ltd
Nahar Spinning Mills Ltd
APL Apollo Tubes Ltd
Pokarna Ltd
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd
Cyient Ltd
09
Arihant Superstructures Ltd
Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd
Mold-Tek Packaging Ltd
Mold-Tek Technologies Ltd
Byke Hospitality Ltd/The
AK Capital Services Ltd
J Kumar Infraprojects Ltd
AIA Engineering Ltd
Frontline Securities Ltd
HT Media Ltd
KCP Sugar and Industries Corp Ltd
LT Foods Ltd
DHP India Ltd
PC Jeweller Ltd
NCL Industries Ltd
FIEM Industries Ltd
Beekay Steel Industries Ltd
Comfort Intech Ltd
Choice International Ltd
Diana Tea Co Ltd
10
5 Disclaimer: http://www.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/
Religare Morning Digest
September 6, 2016
Corporate Action Calendar— September 2016 (Acquisition)
Date Target Company Acquirer Company
9/6/2016 ADCC Infocad Ltd Private Investor
9/7/2016 Aayush Food & Herbs Ltd Private Investor
9/8/2016 Pervasive Commodities Ltd Enigma Merchants LLP
9/9/2016 Excel Crop Care Ltd Sumitomo Chemical Co Ltd
Economic Calendar — September 2016
Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
04 05
Nikkei India PMI Services
Nikkei India PMI Composite
06 07 08 09
Trade Balance
Local Car Sales
Imports YoY
Exports YoY
10
Corporate Action Calendar— September 2016 (Stock Split)
Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
04 05
06
Chembond Chemicals Ltd
07 08
Bajaj Finance Ltd
Mishtann Foods Ltd
09 10
Corporate Action Calendar— September 2016 ( Stock Dividend )
Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat
04 05
06
Techno Electric & Engineering Co Ltd
07 08
Ultracab India Ltd
WIM Plast Ltd
Bajaj Finance Ltd
09 10
6 Disclaimer: http://www.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/
Religare Morning Digest
September 6, 2016
Market Snapshot
Sectoral Indices Performance
Index Closing % Change % MTD % YTD
NIFTY Auto 10,053 1.14% 1.6% 21.8%
NIFTY Bank 19,883 0.48% 0.5% 17.5%
NIFTY Energy 9,503 -0.33% -1.7% 10.7%
Nifty Financial Services 8,207 0.49% 0.8% 16.3%
NIFTY FMCG 22,789 0.32% 0.8% 12.9%
NIFTY IT 10,528 -0.05% -0.2% -6.1%
NIFTY Media 2,942 0.32% -0.8% 11.7%
NIFTY Metal 2,571 -0.14% 0.2% 40.7%
NIFTY Pharma 11,555 0.80% 0.6% -3.4%
NIFTY PSU Bank 3,129 1.37% 0.6% 9.2%
NIFTY Realty 203 0.77% -1.3% 17.5%
Top Gainers - Nifty
Stock CMP (INR) % Chg % MTD % YTD
ADANIPORTS 268.20 3.67% 2.0% 2.8%
BANKBARODA 166.35 3.16% 2.1% 6.2%
BHARTIARTL 318.90 2.59% -3.8% -6.3%
TATAMTRDVR 351.90 2.21% 2.4% 21.6%
MARUTI 5,160.45 1.97% 2.1% 11.7%
Top Losers - Nifty
Stock CMP (INR) % Chg % MTD % YTD
COALINDIA 332.30 -1.69% -0.4% 0.8%
RELIANCE 1,013.35 -1.54% -4.4% -0.1%
ACC 1,669.55 -1.07% -2.4% 22.7%
INFY 1,031.85 -0.55% -0.4% -6.7%
HINDUNILVR 920.75 -0.55% 0.4% 6.7%
Bulk Deals - NSE
Security Name Client Name Buy/Sell Quantity Price Value (in Cr.)
Welspun India Limited WASATCH EMERGING MARKETS SMALL CAP FUND BUY 6362881 50.89 32.38
GHCL Limited BHOOMI DISC. FAMILY TRUST SELL 1250000 257.37 32.17
GHCL Limited FRANKLIN TEMPLETON MUTUAL FUND BUY 1174893 257.4 30.24
Hindustan Construc Co. JMP SECURITIES PVT LTD SELL 4141491 32.66 13.53
Hindustan Construc Co. JMP SECURITIES PVT LTD BUY 3914408 32.71 12.80
GKW Limited ACCORD CAPITAL MARKETS PRIVATE BUY 62500 581 3.63
GKW Limited DALMIA SECURITIES PVT. LTD. SELL 62465 581 3.63
Lincoln Pharma Ltd AMBE SECURITIES PRIVATE LIMITED BUY 132620 239.2 3.17
Lincoln Pharma Ltd AMBE SECURITIES PRIVATE LIMITED SELL 132620 238.89 3.17
Ucal Fuel Systems Ltd NEON VINIMAY PRIVATE LIMITED BUY 146063 164.89 2.41
Delivery Spurt stocks
Stock Name Day's del. Vol. Del. Vol. Price
Shrenuj & Co. 1,509,268 16158% -2.33%
Chola- 4,687,329 14188% -5.79%
MBL Infrast 747,282 2930% -9.97%
Godfrey Phillips 184,774 2374% 8.01%
Mandhana Indus 484,263 2330% 4.96%
GTL Infra. 13,360,734 2188% -5.88%
Patel Engg. 1,196,258 956% 19.96%
HSIL 549,747 854% 2.95%
Hind.Construct. 16,711,299 813% 8.38%
ICRA 24,575 797% 0.33%
*Bulk deals data as on September 1, 2016
7 Disclaimer: http://www.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/
Religare Morning Digest
September 6, 2016
Current Portfolio and Performance Summary as on 2nd September’16
Stock Sector Entry Date Weight Reco price (`) CMP (`)
Bajaj Corp Consumer Goods May 13, 2016 9.4% 393 409
Reliance Industries Energy May 27, 2016 9.4% 970 1,013
Vinati Organics Chemicals June 28, 2016 10.1% 544 598
Magma Fincorp Financial Services June 30, 2016 8.4% 109 100
Sun Pharmaceutical
Industries Pharma July 15, 2016 9.6% 771 782
Apollo Hospitals
Enterprises Healthcare Services July 29, 2016 10.0% 1,362 1,374
Emami Consumer Goods August 3, 2016 10.0% 1,151 1,161
Castrol India Energy August 5, 2016 10.7% 425 460
Indiabulls Housing
Finance Financial Services August 8, 2016 10.1% 808 829
Cash 12.4%
Total Total 100%
8 Disclaimer: http://www.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/
Religare Morning Digest
September 6, 2016
Historical Performance as on 2nd September’16
Performance Matrix 1-Month 3-Month 6-Month 1-Year Since Inception
Religare Alpha 1.5% 9.9% 22.4% 11.5% 29.2%
Nifty 2.2% 7.2% 17.7% 12.6% 11.7%
Outperformance -0.6% 2.8% 4.7% -1.1% 17.5%
9 Disclaimer: http://www.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/
Religare Morning Digest
September 6, 2016
Research Product Basket
For cash market trading
Call / Product Call Frequency No. of calls Avg open call duration % funds allocated
Intraday Calls Intraday 2 - 3 < 1 day 25%
Live / RMD Calls Daily 3 - 4 3 - 4 days 30%
Master Pick Weekly 1 1 month 15%
Religare Alpha Opportunity NA 2 - 3 months 20%
Cash NA 10%
For 1L margin*
Total Per Call
25,000 8,000
30,000 4,000
15,000 5,000
20,000 As per weightage
10,000
Intraday Calls These calls are flashed live on Ms Lync and ODIN with the purpose of squaring off positions on the same day. As a policy, we restrict our
intraday cash market calls to less than 4 calls a day. Hence, funds should be allocated accordingly to have provision to trade in all calls.
Live / RMD Calls 2 super ideas are flashed in RMD daily with a view of 3-4 days. Additionally as per market opportunity, we flash live calls during the day
(including BTST calls). 3-4 such calls are made on a daily basis which might be open for 3-4 days. Funds should be allocated keeping in mind that
there will be 7-8 such open calls daily.
Master Pick This is our weekly recommendation shortlisted on the basis of techno-funda analysis. 15% of funds is recommended to be allocated for Master
Pick considering that there will be 3 open calls. The average open duration for this call will be 1 month.
Religare Alpha This is a portfolio of 8-10 stocks which are held with a view of 2-3 months. It is recommended to allocate 20% of funds for building this portfolio
which will provide stability to the overall trading portfolio.
Cash 10% surplus cash in the portfolio should be kept for the purposes of allocating it to opportunities as and when they arrive.
For derivative market trading
Call / Product Call Frequency No. of calls Avg open call duration % funds allocated
Derivative Ideas Daily 1 - 2 1 - 3 days 40%
Live calls Intraday / Daily 1 - 2 3 - 4 days 50%
Cash NA 10%
For 1L margin*
Total Per Call
40,000 40,000
50,000 50,000
10,000
Derivative Ideas 1 derivative idea is shared in RMD daily. It can be a plain vanilla F&O buy/sell call or an option strategy. Funds should be allocated assuming 2
such calls will be open at any time. These calls are open for 3-4 days on an average.
Live Calls These calls are flashed on MS Lync and ODIN during live market hours. These calls can be intraday or with a view of 2-3 days. Funds should be
allocated considering 2 such calls will be open at any time. 3/4 times, these calls will be on Nifty / Bank Nifty only.
Cash It is recommended to hold 10% cash to capitalize on any opportunity that may arise in markets.
For every client, the advisor must allocate a specific proportion of funds for trading and investing depending on the risk taking ability and willingness of the client
and their investment goals.
The below mentioned product basket tries to address the way to deal with the trading portfolio (cash/derivative) for optimum effectiveness of research calls.
It is recommended to divide your trading funds for various types of calls and not invest the entire amount for 1 or 2 calls only.
10 Disclaimer: http://www.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/
Religare Morning Digest
September 6, 2016
Hitesh Agrawal [email protected]
Ajay Pasari, CFA [email protected]
Ajit Mishra [email protected]
Archana Gude [email protected]
Gaurav Sharma [email protected]
Swati Saxena [email protected]
Manoj M Vayalar [email protected]
Mehernosh Khurshed Panthaki [email protected]
Vipin Kumar [email protected]
Team Members
11 Disclaimer: http://www.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/
Religare Morning Digest
September 6, 2016
Before you use this research report , please ensure to go through the disclosure inter-alia as required under Securities and Exchange Board of India (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014 and Research Disclaimer at the following link : http://old.religareonline.com/research/Disclaimer/Disclaimer_RSL.html
Specific analyst(s) specific disclosure(s) inter-alia as required under Securities and Exchange Board of India (Research Analysts) Regulations, 2014 is/are as under:
Statements on ownership and material conflicts of interest , compensation– Research Analyst (RA)
[Please note that only in case of multiple RAs, if in the event answers differ inter-se between the RAs, then RA specific answer with respect to questions under F (a) to F(j) below , are given separately]
Nature of Interest ( if answer to F (a) above is Yes : ……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
Name(s) with Signature(s) of RA(s).
[Please note that only in case of multiple RAs and if the answers differ inter-se between the RAs, then RA specific answer with respect to questions under F (a) to F(j) above , are given below]
Copyright in this document vests exclusively with RSL. This information should not be reproduced or redistributed or passed on directly or indirectly in any form to any
other person or published, copied, in whole or in part, for any purpose, without prior written permission from RSL. We do not guarantee the integrity of any emails or attached files and are not responsible for any changes made to them by any other person.
S. No. Statement Answer
Yes No
I/we or any of my/our relative has any financial interest in the subject company? [If answer is yes, nature of Interest is given below this table] No
I/we or any of my/our relatives, have actual/beneficial ownership of one per cent. or more securities of the subject company, at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the research report or date of the public appearance?
No
I/we or any of my/our relative, has any other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the research report or at the time of public appearance?
No
I/we have received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months? No
I/we have managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company in the past twelve months? No
I/we have received any compensation for brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months? No
I/we have received any compensation for products or services other than brokerage services from the subject company in the past twelve months? No
I/we have received any compensation or other benefits from the subject company or third party in connection with the research report? No
I/we have served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company? No
I/we have been engaged in market making activity for the subject company? No
SS..No. Name(s) of RA.
Signtures of RA
Serial Question of question which the signing RA needs to make a separate declaration / answer
Yes No.