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Regional Patterns:Winners and Losers
Bernard M. MarksteinDirector of Forecasting
October, 2006
History and
Forecast
Starts Growth Q4 05/Q4 04 (%)
10.0 to 0
0 to -10.0
Less Than -10.0
More than 10.0
US: 4.8%
Starts Growth Q4 06/Q4 05 (%)
10.0 to 0
0 to -10.0
Less Than -10.0
More than 10.0
US: -20.1%
Starts Growth Q4 07/Q4 06 (%)
10.0 to 0
0 to -10.0
Less Than -10.0
More than 10.0
US: -0.6%
Total Permit Growth (Y/Y) Aug, 2005
0% to 10%
-5% to 0%
Less than -5%
10% or more
US: 4.17%
Total Permit Growth (Y/Y) Aug, 2006
0% to 10%
-5% to 0%
Less than -5%
10% or more
US: -8.15%
Starts per Capita 2004
6.7 to 10.0
5.0 to 6.7
Less than 5.0
10.0 or more
US: 6.6
Starts per Capita 2005
6.7 to 10.0
5.0 to 6.7
Less than 5.0
10.0 or more
US: 7.0
Starts per Capita 2006
6.7 to 10.0
5.0 to 6.7
Less than 5.0
10.0 or more
US: 6.1
Starts per Capita 2007
6.7 to 10.0
5.0 to 6.7
Less than 5.0
10.0 or more
US: 5.4
Forces driving regional housing
demand
Forces driving regional housing demand
Fallout from hurricanes
Energy prices
Forces driving regional housing demand
Population growth and
household formation
