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Region IIContinuity of Government / Continuity
of Operations
Part IICatastrophic Events
Disaster Typology
EMERGENCIES DISASTERS CATASTROPHES
Impacts Localized Widespread, severe Extreme, physical and social
Response Mainly local Multiple-jurisdictional, intergovernmental but bottom-up
Federal initiative and proactive mobilization
Procedures Standard operating procedures
Disaster plans into effect, but likely changes
Massive challenges beyond pre-existing plans
Resources Within response resources Extensive damage to emergency services
Emergency response system paralyzed
Recovery No significant challenges Major recovery challenges Cascading long-term effects, massive recovery challenges
Potential Cold War era targets
Post-attack Operating Instructions
Foundation of Cold War Plan
• Over 1 year of food for every person• Economy based on manufacturing• New-constructed interstate system
Fall of the Berlin Wall
Globalization takes off
• Computers: personal and business• Automation• Internet• Just-in-Time inventory management
Present realities – Complex Systems
• In our daily lives– Finance– Healthcare– Fuel & Transportation– Food– Energy
Present realities – Complex Systems
• Business- Supply chains- Manufacturing processes- Just-in-Time inventory management
Top-level Complex Systems
Ecological-Natural
Technological
Political Financial
Biological
Key features of collapse events
–Failure in any system may impact others
–Huge number of potential outcomes• Impossible to predict event details • Impossible to predict timing
Changes in Cold War Foundation
• Virtually no food in commodity program• Economy mainly service and financial• Infrastructure degraded
Effect on catastrophic planning
• No universal plan• We are on our own
Example Guidance
“Local communities will have to address the medical and non-medical effects of the pandemic with available resources. This means that it is essential for communities, tribes, States, and regions to have plans in place to support the full spectrum of their needs over the course of weeks or months…”
The Federal Perspective
• Continuity of Government/Continuity of Operations mandatory for all federal departments ;
• Recommended for state/local governments
Plan Objective
Assist citizens of this region safely through a major complex system degradation/failure or a catastrophic event of national significance
General Plan characteristics
• Used only for catastrophic events
• Response actions in checklist format for timely response in a high-stress environment
• Writing style and format is concise
General Plan characteristics
• This is a transition plan only, for use between event onset until relative stability is achieved
• Plan is unclassified. Sensitive and privacy-related information are intentionally omitted
• Plan is adaptable for use by other rural jurisdictions
General Planning Assumptions
• Federal directives are expected for implementation
• National Guard availability is unknown• No state or federal assistance/resources expected• Government services will be significantly curtailed• Specific local impact and timing is unknown• Local resources will be rapidly depleted• Prepared individuals will be a needed resource
Policies
• Local governments may form a regional consortium
• Local government will not seize property in people’s homes
• Some private sector resources may come under government control
Command and Control
• Sheriff and Police Chiefs of their respective jurisdictions have command and control over law enforcement and security activities
• Chief Elected Officials of their respective
jurisdictions have command and control over all other activities