Reduced risk of water Reduced risk of water –– related ...311Broad-leaved forestPaduri de foioase 0 0 1 312Coniferous forest Paduri de conifere 0 0 1 313Mixed forest Paduri mixte

Reduced risk of water Reduced risk of water –– related disasters related disasters

to to protect vulnerable groups and minimize economic lossesprotect vulnerable groups and minimize economic losses

International Insurance-Reinsurance Forum 2014

` Workshop - NAT CAT Risks

to to protect vulnerable groups and minimize economic lossesprotect vulnerable groups and minimize economic losses

Sorin Rindasu

Director Emergency Situation Department“Apele Romane” National Administration

[email protected]

CONTENT:CONTENT:

1.1. SShort list of recent extreme flood events in Romaniahort list of recent extreme flood events in Romania--facts;facts;

2. ”Actors” in flood risk management;2. ”Actors” in flood risk management;




3. Flood risk and flood risk reduction in climate change context;3. Flood risk and flood risk reduction in climate change context;--flood hazard &risk evaluation in Ro;flood hazard &risk evaluation in Ro;--ongoing projects, further needs and follow upongoing projects, further needs and follow up

4. Water field needs4. Water field needs--ConclusionConclusion

5. Relevant statistics & Questions5. Relevant statistics & Questions

6000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

Damage (10^6 RON)

SATU-

MARE MARAMURES

SUCEAVA

BIHOR

IASI

BISTRITA-

NASAUDSALAJ

CLUJ

NEAMT

HARGHITA

MURES

VASLUIBACAU

ARAD

BOTOSANI

Vulnerability degree at the counties level Vulnerability degree at the counties level

in the periodin the period 19921992--2004 and flooding events 2005,2006,2008, 20102004 and flooding events 2005,2006,2008, 2010

1.1. Short list of recent extreme flood events in Romania; facts;Short list of recent extreme flood events in Romania; facts;



41.1 16.5 52

586

37.4221.8

425.3292.7235.2258.8333.2

95.8362.3

1446

636

1219

156

900

0

1000

2000

3000

BUCHAREST

BACAU

ALBA

HUNEDOARA

COVASNA

SIBIUTIMIS

VRANCEA GALATIBRASOV

BUZAUCARAS

-SEVERIN

ARGES

VALCEA TULCEAPRAHOVA

BRAILADAMBOVITA

GORJ

MEHEDINTI

OLT

IALOMITA

CONSTANTA

ILFOV

DOLJ

CALARASI

GIURGIUTELEORMAN

Very high vulnerability

Average vulnerability

High vulnerability

Less vulnerability

DmDm –– Average Damages (Average Damages (BilBil. ROL). ROL)

DtotDtot-- Total Damages Total Damages ((BilBil. ROL). ROL)Strong affected areas in 2005Strong affected areas in 2005

10 %

Dm=50-70

Dtot=455-750

33 %

Dm>70

Dtot>750

29 %

Dm<30

Dtot<250

28 %

Dm=30-50

Dtot=250-450

Strong affected areas in 2006Strong affected areas in 2006




GENERAL INSPECTORATE FOR

EMERGENCY SITUATIONS

National Operation Centre for Emergency

Situations

MECC-Operative Centre with

permanent activity for

emergency situations

NATIONAL COMMITTEE FOR


MINISTERIAL COMMITTEE FOR


NMA

ENVIRONMENTAL

PROTECTION AGENCIES

OTHER MINISTERIAL

COMMITTEESOTHER OPERATIVE CENTRES

RMC

ENVIRONMENTAL

PROTECTION REGIONAL

AGENCIES

ENVIRONMENTAL

PROTECTION NATIONAL

AGENCIES



NHI -WM

THE ROMANIAN

WATERS NATIONAL

ADMINISTRATION

OPERATIVE CENTRE

POTENTIAL POLLUTION UNITSWATER DIRECTORATES

BASIN COMMITTEES

FOR EMERGENCY

SITUATIONS

OPERATIVE CENTRES

NMACOUNTY INSPECTORATES FOR EMERGENCY

SITUATIONS

County Operation Centre for Emergency

Situations

COUNTY WATER MANAGEMENT UNITS

OPERATIVE CENTRES

WATER USERS

OTHER HYDRAULIC WORKS

OWNERS

COUNTY COMMITTEES FOR


Technical Support Groups for

emergency situations management

induced by floods, dangerous

meteorological situations, accidents

at hydraulic structures and

accidental pollutions

LOCAL COMMITTEES

FOR EMERGENCY

SITUATIONS

OPERATIVE CENTRES

RMC

-78,905 KM WATERCOURSES

-122 NATURAL LAKES

-307 WATER STORAGES

-11,135 kilometers irrigation

-irrigation channels 39,738

kmThe total area of national

NA Romanian Water

ANARHidroelectrica

NA of Land Reclamation

ANIFRomsilva

Ministry of Environment Ministry of Environment

and Climate Changeand Climate ChangeMinistry of EconomyMinistry of Economy Ministry of AgricultureMinistry of Agriculture

Ministry of Environment Ministry of Environment

and Climate Changeand Climate Change

MAIN OWNERS OF HYDRAULIC STRUCTURES – FLOOD “ACTORS”




-307 WATER STORAGES

WITH 7.2 BIL. CU.M.

VOLUME

-9365 KM DIKES FOR

CITIES, VILLAGES, LANDS

PROTECTION

-6600 KM RIVER BANK

STABILISATION WORKS

-1100 KM CANALS

-59 PUMPS STATIONS

-275 reservoirs

with hydropower plant

-Pi 6374 MW

km

- Pipelines buried 3835 km

- 1256 Pumping Stations

-Combating soil erosion

57,529 kilometers

-1135 kilometers dykes on

the Danube

-1155 kilometers dikes in the

interior rivers

-103 Dams

The total area of national

forest 6.4 million ha

- Public ownership of the

state 4.2 million ha (65.6%)

Lands covered with forest 6.2

million ha

- Public ownership of the

state 4.1 million ha (66.1%)

County Councils: 41 counties , 2.686 commune including 13.285 villages

HazardHazard (H)(H):: occurrence of a natural danger (event), including the

probability of this event;

ExposureExposure (E)(E):: the assets amount and number of inhabitants in the

affected area;RISK=RISK=HHxxEExxVV

According to the European flood risk mapping document prepared by JRC under the Weather Driven

Natural Hazards Program, flood risk is defined as the product of three components:

3. Flood risk and flood risk reduction in climate change context;3. Flood risk and flood risk reduction in climate change context;



affected area;

VulnerabilityVulnerability (V)(V):: the lack or loss of resistance to destructive forces or

damages.

RISK=RISK=HHxxEExxVV

1. Evaluate the flood hazards in different scenario (probabilities) including climate change impact-Subsequent measures for reducing hazard, mainly structural (dam, polders, dikes, wetlands), need to assure maintenance, rehabilitation of hydraulic infrastructure and operative measures for flood mitigation using reservoirs capacities, dike surveillance etc;2. Evaluate flood exposure-Need to increase data quality, reliability, reporting and methodology for damage assessment;-Need to create detailed geo-database at national level; improvement of statistic data at village level related with population, assets, etc.3. Evaluate vulnerability- Subsequent measures for reducing vulnerability, mainly non-structural: need to improving monitoring and forecast systems, assessment of technological associated risk (dam/dike faillure scenario), increase public awareness, increase reaction capacity in case of emergency situation, land use improvement, etc


Type of measures for achieving objectives




1.National Strategy for Flood Risk Management:

general framework for objectives and measures



River Basin Development Plan

(STRATEGIC PLAN for Water

Management issues including

FLOODS)

Floods Defense Plans at

the locality, county and

river basin district level

-adress to operative

measures, before, durin

g and after floods

National Plan for Floods Protection, Prevention and Mitigation

(PROJECT having as result hazard and risk maps and FLOOD

MEASURES PLANNING)


a) Study areas delineationb) LIDAR scanning and/or FLI-MAP and aero-photogrametryc) Topographical surveyd) Data processing for DTMe) Hydrological analysis;f) Hydraulic modeling 1D or 2Dg) Hazard mapping

National Plan for Floods Protection, Prevention and Mitigation

Objectives (main results):

flood hazard maps, as a component of the flood risk management plans, required in fact, as well, by the FloodDirective.proposal of certain measures / development scenarios (structural and non-structural measures)



f) Hydraulic modeling 1D or 2Dg) Hazard mappingh) Identification of different scenarios of measures to reduce the floods riski) Strategic Environmental Assessment


HAZARD (10,100,1000 YRS)

INDEX LEVEL OF MAGNITUDE DEPTH

HAZARD

RISK ASSESSMENT AND MITIGATION

SCHEME- QUALITATIVE APROACH



INDEX LEVEL OF MAGNITUDE DEPTH

H1 LOW <0.5 m

H2 MEDIUM 0.5-1.5m

H2 HIGH >1.5m

HAZARD

ASSESSMENT

RISK

VULNERABILITY

V1 V2 V3

LOW MEDIUM HIGHHAZARD H1 LOW R1 R1 R2

H2 MEDIUM R1 R2 R3

H3 HIGH R2 R3 R3

RISK ASSESSMENT

3. Flood risk and flood risk reduction in climate change context;3. Flood risk and flood risk reduction in climate change context;Low Medium High

<0.5 0,5-1.5 >1.5

CLC

CODE LABEL3 First_DESC

111

Continuous urban

fabric Spatiu urban continuu 2 3 3

112

Discontinuous

urban fabric Spatiu urban discontinuu si spatiu rural 2 3 3

121

Industrial or

commercial units Unitati industriale sau comerciale 3 3 3

122

Road and rail

networks and

associated land

Retea de cai de comunicatie si terenuri

asociate acestora

Autostrazi, EU, National,

Gari 3 3 3

Judetean 2 3 3

Comunal, altele 2 2 3

123Port areas Zone portuare 1 2 3

124Airports Aeroporturi 3 3 3

131

Mineral extraction

sites Zone de extractie a minereurilor 2 3 3

132Dump sites Gropi de gunoi 1 2 3

133Construction sites Zone in constructie 2 3 3

141Green urban areas Zone urbane verzi 0 1 1

142

Sport and leisure

facilities Zone de agrement 0 1 2



142 facilities Zone de agrement 0 1 2

211

Non-irrigated arable

land Terenuri arabile neirigate 0 1 1

213Rice fields Terenuri cultivate cu orez 0 1 2

221Vineyards Vii 1 1 2

222

Fruit trees and berry

plantations Livezi 0 1 2

231Pastures Pasuni secundare 0 0 0

242

Complex cultivation

patterns Zone de culturi complexe 0 1 1

243

Land principally

occupied by

agriculture, with

significant areas of

natural vegetation

Terenuri predominant agricole in amestec cu

vegetatie naturala 0 1 1

311Broad-leaved forest Paduri de foioase 0 0 1

312Coniferous forest Paduri de conifere 0 0 1

313Mixed forest Paduri mixte 0 0 1

321Natural grasslands Pajisti naturale 0 0 0

322

Moors and

heathland Vegetatie subalpina 0 0 0

324

Transitional

woodland-shrub

Zone de tranzitie cu arbusti (in general

defrisate) 0 0 0

331

Beaches, dunes,

sands Plaje, dune, renii 0 0 0

332Bare rocks Stancarii 0 0 0

333

Sparsely vegetated

areas Areale cu vegetatie rara 0 0 0

411 Inland marshes Mlastini 0 0 0

412Peat bogs Turbarii 0 0 0

421Salt marshes Mlastini sarate 0 0 0

511Water courses Cursuri de apa 0 0 0

512Water bodies Acumulari de apa 0 0 0

521Coastal lagoons Lagune 0 0 0

523Sea and ocean Mari 0 0 0

Recovery

Measures related to appropriate objectives and

5 fields of actions:

Catalogue of measuresCatalogue of measures

FLOOD RISK MANAGEMENT PLANS AT RIVER BASIN LEVEL FLOOD RISK MANAGEMENT PLANS AT RIVER BASIN LEVEL –– 20152015

-Flood hazard and risk maps and associated statistics-Based on existing and reliable data-Based on investments plans, River Basin Management Plans and River Basin Arrangement Plans



Protection

measuresAwareness

measures

Prepared-

ness

measures

Recovery

measuresPrevention

measures1. Prevention

2. Protection

3. Awareness

4. Preparedness

5. Recovery

5 fields of actions:

Climate change impact:

-Increasing of Flash flood threat!

Flash Floods is the main cause for fatalities in flood

events



Needs:

-Studies for determination of vulnerable areas in case of Flash Flood; resilience evaluation

-Implementation of dedicated software for flash flood warning(Flash Flood Guidance)

-Assure dedicated human resources for calibration, data interpretation and warning dissemination

CLIMATE CHANGE: CLIMATE CHANGE: NEEDS FOR DAM/DIKE BREAK UPDATED SCENARIONEEDS FOR DAM/DIKE BREAK UPDATED SCENARIO



Thanks to HKV _NL

WATMAN Investment Structure – Investment Object 1

1.1.Automatic stations

with sensors for

increasing the safety

degree of dams

1.2. Automatic sensor

stations for measuring

snow layer and

gauging stations for

inflow discharges,

intakes and diversions

1.3. Software and

hardware systems for

the control and

coordination of hydro

technical construction

exploitation

1.4. Spare parts

equipments

�Automated stations for

monitoring structure

safety parameters for

72 Dams category A &

�149 Sensor stations for

measuring solid and

liquid precipitations

�Software and Hardware

at dams (Level 4)

� Software and Hardware

�Automated stations

spare parts

Investments



72 Dams category A &

B, provided with anti-

theft monitoring system

�Automated stations for

monitoring structure

safety parameters for 23 Dams category C;

� 43 Gauging stations

along tributaries

� 37 Discharge

measuring stations on

diversions

�48 Automated Sensor

stations at important

intakes


at sub-basinal level –SGA Dispatch (Level 3)


at Basin level –ABA

(Level 2)

�Software and Hardware

at National level –ANAR

(Level 1)

�Remotely monitor 24

hours/ day the behavior

of 95 major dams

throughout the country

administrated by ANAR,

for flood prevention and

minimization of flood

associated risks

�Up-to-date automated

infrastructure for

relevant field data

collection for flood

management

�Real time processing

and nationwide

transmission to

decision makers for

flood prevention and

risks mitigation

�Ensure fast replacement

and ongoing operational

equipment

Investments

Results

2.1.1 Coordinating

Centers

2.1.2 Rapid Response

Centers

2.2 Automated sensor

stations for water

quality monitoring

2.3 Spare parts

equipments

�15 Nominated

Coordinating Centers

nationwide in current

institution office location

� 14 of which are

endowed with

�12 Rapid Response

Centers with specialized

intervention equipment/

endowments against

floods

29 Rapid Response

� 55 Automated stations

for measuring quality

parameters, located in

major pollution locations

nationwide

� Spare equipment

WATMAN Investment Structure – Investment Object 2

Investments



endowed with

specialized software and

hardware for the

coordination of the

hydro-technical

constructions

exploitation

�Provided specialized

personnel for operations

� 29 Rapid Response

Centers with specialized

intervention equipment/

endowments against

floods and associated

pollution accidents

�Implement an

adequate

coordinating

infrastructure at

national level for flood

management by

enhancing decentralized

decision and centralized

information

�Implementing an

adequate

infrastructure at

national level for

emergency

intervention for

mitigating flood effects

and pollution associated

with floods nationwide

�Automated

infrastructure for water

quality data collection in

major pollution

locations nationwide,

real time processing

and transmission to

decision makers for

emergency intervention

�Ensure fast replacement

of main parts and

ongoing operational

equipment

Investments

Results

WATMAN-Historic and Current Status

2006 � WATMAN Project Feasibility Study

1990 - 2000� ANAR’s first steps towards the recognized needed modernization of national flood

monitoring system and hydro- meteorological prognosis

2003 � SIMIN (National Integrated Meteorological System) project implemented

2005 � DESWAT Project started, for improving the hydrological prognosis, currently 80%

implemented

2005� National Flood Risk Management Strategy



2006 � WATMAN Project Feasibility Study

Notice 73/16.06.2006 EFM� Approval for WATMAN Project – Informational System

2006 � Pilot Basin – Arges

2007 � Romania adheres to the EU

2010 � National Medium and Long term Strategy for Flood Risk Management

2010-2011� Re-actualization of the WATMAN Project FS and project’s division in 2 Phases

27.04.2011 � Application Form initially submitted under SOP Environment, Axis 5

Notice 163/23.11.2013 ANAR� Approval for WATMAN Project, Phase I

BIG DIFFERENCE BEETWEN NEED IDENTIFICATION AND MEASURE IMPLEMENTATIONBIG DIFFERENCE BEETWEN NEED IDENTIFICATION AND MEASURE IMPLEMENTATION

MultiriskMultirisk analysisanalysis

RoriskRorisk ProjectProject –– implementationimplementation underunder NationalNational EmergencyEmergency SituationSituationInspectorateInspectorate

Task 1 - Analysis of the legal framework, regulatory and institutional frameworkgoverning disaster risk management in Romania and in particular the riskassessment to identify gaps and overlaps, and to develop proposals for improvement



assessment to identify gaps and overlaps, and to develop proposals for improvementbased.

Task 2 - Developing and implementing integration measures

Task 3 - Setting up the database elements risk and response, WebGIS applicationdevelopment and GIS portal

Activity 4 - Description and assessment of risk scenarios representative of each ofthe following nine risks: floods, droughts, forest fires, earthquakes, mass movements(landslides, collapses and landslides), Seveso accident, hazardous transportationaccidents, nuclear accidents epidemics / zoonoses, based on integrationmethodology

Water field needs - Conclusions :

- Second cycle of FD CE 60/2007, needs studies for climate change impact evaluation, flash flood, underground and marine flood additional studies;

- Climate change impact, increase flash flood, threat : measures for implementation local warning systems, short intervention, evacuation;

- Dam/Dike failure scenario in climate change context; dike reinforcement/replacement tacking into account climate change



reinforcement/replacement tacking into account climate change impact over flows;

- Assure proper maintenance works, human resources, buffer budget for floods intervention and emergency works;

- Improve statistics, geo-database;- Improve monitoring system and flood forecast;- Improve Emergency Inspectorate capacity for intervention;- Reducing timeline between planning and implementation;- Use mass-media for large scale education programe;- Improve land-use, better planning for development at local level tacking into account flood hazard;



Study Study on Economic and Social Benefits of Environmental Protection and Resource Efficiency Related to the European on Economic and Social Benefits of Environmental Protection and Resource Efficiency Related to the European

Semester Semester --DG DG Environment Environment -- February 2014 February 2014

Facts for Romania 2002Facts for Romania 2002--2012:2012:

-183 fatalities – biggest no. in UEbiggest no. in UE-68000 evacuated people – third place in UE-107.95 mil Euro from EU Solidarity Fund – four place in UE-Total cost of flood impact 6300 mil. Euro – seven place UE-43,900 houses damaged – biggest no. in UEbiggest no. in UE

IMPORTANCE OF FLOOD RISK MANAGEMENT !

Extrap. Cost of

Damage (mil EURO) POPULATION GDP/INHAB ($) GDP/INHAB (EURO) Cost/Pop % GDP inhab

1 GERMANY 34000 82210000 44000 30985.9 413.57 1.33

2 POLAND 24000 38116000 13300 9366.2 629.66 6.72

3 UK 23000 61113000 39600 27887.3 376.35 1.35

4 ITALY 11000 59338000 33600 23662.0 185.38 0.78

5 FRANCE 8700 65073000 41700 29366.2 133.70 0.46

6 CZECH 8200 10501000 18400 12957.7 780.88 6.03

7 ROMANIA 6300 22323000 8900 6267.6 282.22 4.50

8 PORTUGAL 6100 10606000 21000 14788.7 575.15 3.89



8 PORTUGAL 6100 10606000 21000 14788.7 575.15 3.89

9 AUSTRIA 5300 8206000 49100 34577.5 645.87 1.87

10 GREECE 4500 11147000 21800 15352.1 403.70 2.63

Romania: Damage cost: 282,2 Euro/Inhab – 11 years; 25.6 euro/yrs&inhab(including houses, road, bridges, flood defense infrastructure, etc)

Insurance cost for houses: 10euro/yrs – rural, 20 euro/yrs – urban (?)No. of houses: cca 8.500.000



Questions:

1. Additional flood insurance for houses in flooded areas? Witch probability?

2. Resilience: insurance for good affected by floods? 500-1000 euro /rural ?

3. Emergency intervention of AN Apele Romane: 2-5 mil/euro&yrs; general 3. Emergency intervention of AN Apele Romane: 2-5 mil/euro&yrs; general insurance for buffer budget?

4. Co-relation with insurance for crops – Flood defense infrastructure insurance for protection of agricultural land use? (dikes, drainage system, etc)

5. Standards of costs for damage evaluation?



Multumesc!Multumesc!

Thank you!

Documents

Reduced risk of water Reduced risk of water –– related ...311Broad-leaved forestPaduri de foioase 0 0 1 312Coniferous forest Paduri de conifere 0 0 1 313Mixed forest Paduri mixte