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    Intergovernmental Panel on Climate

    Change (IPCC) :

    Governments concluded that there was a need

    for an impartial and independent body to

    address this issue, leading to the creation of the

    Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

    (IPCC) in 1988.

    2

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    The Intergovernmental Panel on ClimateChange (IPCC)

    Leading body for the

    assessment of climate

    change

    Established in 1988 by

    UNEP and WMO

    Assesses relevant

    scientific, technical and

    socio-economicinformation

    Does not conduct any

    research itself

    Thousands of scientists

    from all over the worldcontribute to its work

    3Section 5: Sources of Scientific Data

    http://www.ipcc.ch/http://www.ipcc.ch/
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    The IPCCs Fifth Assessment Report

    (AR5)

    4

    The IPCCs Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) contains

    contributions from three Working Groups.

    Working Group I assesses the physical science basis of climate change.

    Working Group II assesses impacts, adaptation and vulnerability.

    Working Group III assesses options for the mitigation of climate

    change (Summary for Policymakers, a Technical Summary, 16 chapters, andthree Annexes;options for mitigating climate change and their underlying

    technological, economic and institutional requirements)

    The Synthesis Report draws on the assessments made by all

    three Working Groups.

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    5

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    6

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    United Nations Framework Convention on

    Climate Change

    (UNFCCC) International environmental treaty negotiated at

    the United Nations Conference on Environmentand Development (UNCED)

    to stabilize greenhouse gas concentrations in theatmosphere at a level that would preventdangerous anthropogenic interference with theclimate system

    Signed in 1992 in Rio and entered into force in1994

    Currently has 195 Parties, including 194 statesand 1regional organization

    7

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    8

    The Physical Science Basis

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    Observed Changes in the Climate System

    Warming of the climate system is unequivocal,

    and since the 1950s, many of the observed

    changes are unprecedented over decades to

    millennia.

    The atmosphere and ocean have warmed, the

    amounts of snow and ice have diminished, sea

    level has risen, and the concentrations ofgreenhouse gases have increased.

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    Drivers of Climate Change

    Total radiative forcing is positive, and has led

    to an uptake of energy by the climate system.

    The largest contribution to total radiative

    forcing is caused by the increase in the

    atmospheric concentration of CO2 since 1750.

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    Understanding the Climate System and its

    Recent Changes

    Human influence on the climate system is

    clear. This is evident from the increasing

    greenhouse gas concentrations in the

    atmosphere, positive radiative forcing,

    observed warming, and understanding of the

    climate system.

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    Future Global and Regional Climate Change

    Continued emissions of greenhouse gases will

    cause further warming and changes in all

    components of the climate system. Limiting

    climate change will require substantial and

    sustained reductions of greenhouse gas

    emissions.

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    Overview

    OVERVIEWSection 1

    Introduction toClimate Change

    Science

    Section 2

    AnthropogenicDrivers of Climate

    Change

    Section 3

    Observed Trendsand Impacts ofClimate Change

    Section 4

    Projected Trendsand Impacts ofClimate Change

    Section 5

    Sources ofScientific Data

    13Module 1: Introduction to Climate Change Science

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    Introduction to Climate Change

    Science

    Section 1

    14Module 1: Introduction to Climate Change Science

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    What Is Climate?

    Weather

    What is happening

    in the atmosphereat any given time

    Climate

    Average weather

    over longer timeframes

    15Section 1: Introduction to Climate Change Science

    Source: World Meteorological Organization

    http://www.wmo.int/pages/themes/climate/understanding_climate.phphttp://www.wmo.int/pages/themes/climate/understanding_climate.php
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    Complexity of the GlobalClimate System

    16Section 1: Introduction to Climate Change Science

    Source: IPCC 2007, p96. Further information: WMO Website

    http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg1/en/faq-1-2-figure-1.htmlhttp://www.wmo.int/pages/themes/climate/understanding_climate.phphttp://www.wmo.int/pages/themes/climate/understanding_climate.phphttp://www.wmo.int/pages/themes/climate/understanding_climate.phphttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg1/en/faq-1-2-figure-1.html
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    What Is the Greenhouse Effect?

    17Section 1: Introduction to Climate Change Science

    Source: IPCC 2007. Further info: WMO Website

    http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg1/en/faq-1-3.htmlhttp://www.wmo.int/pages/themes/climate/understanding_climate.phphttp://www.wmo.int/pages/themes/climate/understanding_climate.phphttp://www.wmo.int/pages/themes/climate/understanding_climate.phphttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg1/en/faq-1-3.html
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    NASA Video on theGreenhouse Effect

    URL: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZzCA60WnoMk

    Section 1: Introduction to Climate Change Science18

    Video: Understand how water vapor, carbon

    dioxide, and other gases cause the Earths

    greenhouse effect

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZzCA60WnoMkhttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZzCA60WnoMk
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    Factors Shaping the ClimateClimate Forcings

    19Section 1: Introduction to Climate Change Science

    Source: NOAAA National Climatic Data Center

    http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo/globalwarming/gw-forcing.htmlhttp://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/paleo/globalwarming/gw-forcing.html
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    Natural Climate FluctuationsExample of El Nio and La Nia

    20Section 1: Introduction to Climate Change Science

    Source: NOAA. Further information: WMO Website

    http://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/can-we-blame-el-ni%C3%B1ohttp://www.wmo.int/pages/themes/climate/significant_natural_climate_fluctuations.phphttp://www.wmo.int/pages/themes/climate/significant_natural_climate_fluctuations.phphttp://www.wmo.int/pages/themes/climate/significant_natural_climate_fluctuations.phphttp://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/can-we-blame-el-ni%C3%B1o
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    Climate Change and Global Warming

    Global Warming

    Refers to the overallwarming of the planet,

    based on averagetemperature over the entire

    surface of the Earth

    Climate Change

    Refers to changes in climatecharacteristics, including

    temperature, humidity,rainfall, wind, and severeweather events over long

    term periods

    21Section 1: Introduction to Climate Change Science

    Further information: WMO Website

    http://www.wmo.int/pages/themes/climate/causes_of_climate_change.phphttp://www.wmo.int/pages/themes/climate/causes_of_climate_change.phphttp://www.wmo.int/pages/themes/climate/causes_of_climate_change.php
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    Observed Change in SurfaceTemperature (19012012)

    22

    Source:

    Source: IPCC 2013, p4

    Section 1: Introduction to Climate Change Science

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    Tools to Predict and Project Changes in theClimate

    A climate prediction or climate forecast is an attempt to produce an estimate of theactual evolution of the climate in the future.

    Climate Prediction

    Emissions scenarios describe future releases to the atmosphere of greenhouse gases,aerosols, and other pollutants and, along with information on land use and land cover,provide inputs to climate models.

    Emissions Scenario

    A numerical representation of the climate system based on the physical, chemical andbiological properties of its components, their interactions and feedback processes, andaccounting for some of its known properties.

    Climate Model

    A climate projection is the simulated response of the climate system to a scenario of futureemission or concentration of greenhouse gases and aerosols, generally derived usingclimate models.

    Climate Projection

    23Section 1: Introduction to Climate Change Science

    Source: IPCC 2013and IPCC Website. Further info: WMO Website

    http://www.climatechange2013.org/images/uploads/WGIAR5_WGI-12Doc2b_FinalDraft_AnnexIII.pdfhttp://sedac.ipcc-data.org/ddc/ar5_scenario_process/scenario_background.htmlhttp://www.wmo.int/pages/themes/climate/climate_models.phphttp://www.wmo.int/pages/themes/climate/climate_models.phphttp://www.wmo.int/pages/themes/climate/climate_models.phphttp://sedac.ipcc-data.org/ddc/ar5_scenario_process/scenario_background.htmlhttp://www.climatechange2013.org/images/uploads/WGIAR5_WGI-12Doc2b_FinalDraft_AnnexIII.pdf
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    Projected Change in Average SurfaceTemperature

    24

    Source: IPCC 2013, p20

    Scenario RCP 8.5Scenario RCP 2.6

    Section 1: Introduction to Climate Change Science

    Time Period: 1986-2005 to 2081-2100

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    Climate Change Has an Impact on:

    Biodiversity, carbon storage, habitats, Ecosystems

    Agriculture, fresh water, health, Human systems

    Transport, buildings, lifestyle, Urban systems

    Energy, manufacturing, natural capitalindustries, Economic systems

    Equity, migration, peace and conflict, Social systems

    25Section 1: Introduction to Climate Change Science

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    Climate Change Science Allows Us to:

    Understand how andwhy the climate ischanging

    Assess how humans

    are influencing theclimate

    Project how theclimate may change in

    the future Support

    policy/decision-makingand changes inbehaviors

    26Section 1: Introduction to Climate Change Science

    Source: National Science Foundation

    Photo Credit: Niwot Ridge lter site/John W. Marr

    http://www.nsf.gov/news/news_images.jsp?cntn_id=118574&org=NSFhttp://www.nsf.gov/news/news_images.jsp?cntn_id=118574&org=NSFhttp://www.nsf.gov/news/news_images.jsp?cntn_id=118574&org=NSFhttp://www.nsf.gov/news/news_images.jsp?cntn_id=118574&org=NSFhttp://www.nsf.gov/news/news_images.jsp?cntn_id=118574&org=NSF
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    Why is Climate Change Science Important?

    Sound weather data and forecasts

    important for:

    Short-term planning

    Emergency response Climate models help to forecast long

    term climate scenarios

    Important input for vulnerability assessments and adaptation

    planning

    Fosters climate resilient development and avoids mal-adaption

    27Section 1: Introduction to Climate Change Science

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    History of Climate Change Science

    Argument raised that the temperature of the Earth can beaugmented by the interposition of the atmosphere

    1824

    Indication that CO2and H2O can cause changes in the climate1861

    First proposal of the idea of a man-made greenhouse effect1895

    Proof that doubling of atmospheric CO2concentration resulted

    in an increase in the mean global temperature of 2C1938

    Start of interdisciplinary field of carbon cycle science1950s

    The high-accuracy measurements of atmospheric CO2concentration

    1958

    Other greenhouse gases widely recognised1970s

    The first World Climate Conference in Geneva1979

    Establishment of Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change(IPCC)

    1988

    The first IPCC report1990

    28Section 1: Introduction to Climate Change Science

    Further information: BBC Website

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/mobile/science-environment-15874560http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/mobile/science-environment-15874560http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/mobile/science-environment-15874560
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    Anthropogenic Drivers of

    Climate Change

    Section 2

    29Module 1: Introduction to Climate Change Science

    d h

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    IPCC Video on the HumanInfluence on the Climate System

    URL: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6yiTZm0y1YA&feature=youtu.be

    Video: The video summarizes the main findings of the

    2013 IPCC Report on the physical science basis of

    climate change.

    30

    Section 2: Anthropogenic Drivers of Climate Change

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6yiTZm0y1YA&feature=youtu.behttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6yiTZm0y1YA&feature=youtu.behttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6yiTZm0y1YA&feature=youtu.behttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6yiTZm0y1YA&feature=youtu.behttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6yiTZm0y1YA&feature=youtu.be
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    Overview of Greenhouse Gases Regulatedunder the Kyoto Protocol

    31

    Greenhouse Gas Global Warming Potential

    (GWP) (over 100 years)

    % of Total Anthropogenic

    GHG Emissions (2010)

    Carbon dioxide (CO2) 1 76%

    Methane (CH4) 25 16%Nitrous oxide (N2O) 298 6%

    Hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) 124-14,800 < 2%

    Perfluorocarbons (PFCs) 7,390-12,200 < 2%

    Sulphur hexafluoride (SF6) 22,800 < 2%

    Nitrogen trifluoride (NF3) 17,200 < 2%

    Source: Reproduced from IPCC 2007 and UNEP 2012

    Section 2: Anthropogenic Drivers of Climate Change

    I G h G

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    Important Greenhouse Gases:Carbon Dioxide (CO2)

    Most important greenhouse gas

    (contributes ~64% to total radiative forcing

    by long-lived GHGs)

    Half of CO2emitted by human activities is

    being absorbed in the biosphere and in the

    oceans

    Rest remains in the atmosphere forhundreds to thousands of years

    32

    Source: WMO 2013

    Section 2: Anthropogenic Drivers of Climate Change

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    CO2Concentration in the Atmosphereand Annual Growth Rates

    33

    Source: WMO 2013

    Section 2: Anthropogenic Drivers of Climate Change

    Since 1750CO2 concentration in the

    atmosphere hasincreased by 40%.

    I t t G h G

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    Important Greenhouse Gases:Methane (CH4)

    Second most significant greenhouse gas

    (contributes ~18% to total radiative

    forcing by long-lived GHGs)

    Approximately 40% of methane isemitted into the atmosphere by natural

    sources

    About 60% comes from human

    activities

    Stays in the atmosphere for

    approximately 12 years

    34Section 2: Anthropogenic Drivers of Climate Change

    Source: IPCC 2007 and WMO 2013

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    CH4Concentration in the Atmosphereand Annual Growth Rates

    35Section 2: Anthropogenic Drivers of Climate Change

    Source: WMO 2013

    Since 1750CH4 concentration in the

    atmosphere hasincreased by 150%.

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    In Focus: The Carbon Cycle

    36

    Source: UNEP

    Section 2: Anthropogenic Drivers of Climate Change

    I t t G h G

    http://www.grida.no/graphicslib/detail/carbon-cycle_9d44http://www.grida.no/graphicslib/detail/carbon-cycle_9d44
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    Important Greenhouse Gases:Nitrous Oxide (N2O)

    The third most significant greenhouse

    gas (contributes ~6% to total radiative

    forcing by long-lived GHGs)

    Stays in the atmosphere for

    approximately 114 years

    Nitrous oxide is emitted into the

    atmosphere from both natural (about

    60%) and anthropogenic sources

    (approximately 40%)

    37Section 2: Anthropogenic Drivers of Climate Change

    Source: IPCC 2007 and WMO 2013

    h h d

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    N2O Concentration in the Atmosphere andAnnual Growth Rates

    38Section 2: Anthropogenic Drivers of Climate Change

    Source: WMO 2013

    Since 1750N2Oconcentration in the

    atmosphere hasincreased by 20%.

    I t t G h G

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    Important Greenhouse Gases:Fluorinated Gases

    Global warming effect up to 23,000

    times greater than carbon dioxide

    Stay in the atmosphere up to 50,000

    years

    Three main groups: hydrofluorocarbons

    (HFCs), perfluorocarbons (PFCs), and

    sulfur hexafluoride (SF6)

    Mainly developed as substitutes for

    ozone-depleting substances

    39Section 2: Anthropogenic Drivers of Climate Change

    Source: IPCC 2007. Further info EPA, EC

    G h G C t ll d b th

    http://epa.gov/climatechange/ghgemissions/gases/fgases.htmlhttp://ec.europa.eu/clima/policies/f-gashttp://ec.europa.eu/clima/policies/f-gashttp://epa.gov/climatechange/ghgemissions/gases/fgases.html
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    Greenhouse Gases Controlled by theMontreal Protocol

    Montreal Protocol aimed to phase

    out substances that deplete the

    ozone layer

    Substances regulated under theMontreal Protocol are also

    powerful greenhouse gases

    For example, chlorofluorocarbons

    (CFCs) contribute ~12% to radiativeforcing by long-lived GHGs

    40Section 2: Anthropogenic Drivers of Climate Change

    Source: IPCC 2007 and WMO 2013. Further info: NOAA Website

    Source: EPA

    http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/hats/publictn/elkins/cfcs.htmlhttp://www.epa.gov/ozone/intpol/http://www.epa.gov/ozone/intpol/http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/hats/publictn/elkins/cfcs.html
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    Concentration of SF6 and Halocarbonsin the Atmosphere

    41Section 2: Anthropogenic Drivers of Climate Change

    Source: WMO 2013

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    It is extremely likelythat more than 50%of the warming since

    1951 is due to theincrease in

    greenhouse gases andother anthropogenic

    forcings together.

    Human Influence on the ClimateSystem

    42

    Source: IPCC 2013. Further info: WMO website

    Section 2: Anthropogenic Drivers of Climate Change

    http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/unfccc/cop19/cop19_pres_plattner.pdfhttp://www.wmo.int/pages/themes/climate/causes_of_climate_change.phphttp://www.wmo.int/pages/themes/climate/causes_of_climate_change.phphttp://www.wmo.int/pages/themes/climate/causes_of_climate_change.phphttp://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/unfccc/cop19/cop19_pres_plattner.pdf
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    Observed Trends and Impacts of

    Climate Change

    Section 3

    43Module 1: Introduction to Climate Change Science

    Observed Surface Temperature

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    Observed Surface TemperatureAnomaly (1850-2012)

    44

    Source: IPCC 2013, p4

    Section 3: Observed Trends and Impacts of Climate Change

    Globally averaged land and oceansurface temperature

    Each of the last threedecades has been

    successively warmerat the Earths surfacethan any precedingdecade since 1850.

    Observed Change in Annual Precipitation

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    Observed Change in Annual PrecipitationOver Land

    45

    Source: IPCC 2013, p6

    Section 3: Observed Trends and Impacts of Climate

    Change

    Observed Ocean Warming

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    Observed Ocean Warming(1950-2010)

    46Section 3: Observed Trends and Impacts of ClimateChange

    Source: IPCC 2013, p8

    More than 60% ofthe net energyincrease in the

    climate system isstored in the upper

    ocean (period1971-2010).

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    Observed Ocean Acidification

    47Section 3: Observed Trends and Impacts of ClimateChange

    Source: IPCC 2013, p10

    Observed Sea Level Rise

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    Observed Sea Level Rise(1900 to 2010)

    48Section 3: Observed Trends and Impacts of ClimateChange

    Source: IPCC 2013, p8

    Over the period

    1901 to 2010,global mean sealevel rose by

    0.19m.

    Observed Decrease in Arctic Sea Ice Extent

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    Observed Decrease in Arctic Sea Ice Extent(1900-2010)

    49Section 3: Observed Trends and Impacts of ClimateChange

    Source: IPCC 2013, p8

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    Observed Changes in Physical and Biological Systems

    50Section 3: Observed Trends and Impacts of ClimateChange

    Source: UNEP 2009, p13

    In Focus: Is Climate Change to Blame for Extreme

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    In Focus: Is Climate Change to Blame for Extreme

    Weather Events?

    51

    Source: UNEP

    2009, p12.

    Further info:

    WMO Website

    Section 3: Observed Trends and Impacts of ClimateChange

    Year

    NumberofEvents

    http://www.wmo.int/pages/publications/bulletin_en/archive/61_2_en/61_2_global_en.htmlhttp://www.wmo.int/pages/publications/bulletin_en/archive/61_2_en/61_2_global_en.html
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    Projected Trends and Impacts of

    Climate Change

    Section 4

    52Module 1: Introduction to Climate Change Science

    In Focus: Representative Concentration

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    In Focus: Representative ConcentrationPathways (RCPs)

    Set of four new scenarios defined by the scientific

    community for the Fifth IPCC Assessment Report.

    Four RCPs include:

    one mitigation scenario leading to a very low forcing level

    (RCP2.6),

    two stabilization scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP6), and

    one scenario with very high greenhouse gas emissions

    (RCP8.5).

    RCPs represent a range of 21st century climate policies.

    53Section 4: Projected Trends and Impacts of ClimateChange

    Projected Change in Average Surface

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    Projected Change in Average SurfaceTemperature

    54

    Global surface temperature change for the end of the21st century is likely to reach 4C if no action is taken.

    Source:IPCC

    2013,p19

    Section 4: Projected Trends and Impacts of ClimateChange

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    Projected Change in Average Precipitation

    55

    Source: IPCC 2013, p20

    Scenario RCP 8.5Scenario RCP 2.6

    Section 4: Projected Trends and Impacts of ClimateChange

    Time Period: 1986-2005 to 2081-2100

    Temperature and Precipitation

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    Temperature and PrecipitationProjections for the 21stCentury

    URL: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bFqO3_2dYxA

    Video: This NASA video shows how temperatureand precipitation patterns could changethroughout the 21st century.

    Section 4: Projected Trends and Impacts of Climate Change56

    d h f

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bFqO3_2dYxAhttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bFqO3_2dYxA
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    Projected Change in Ocean Surface pH

    57

    Source: IPCC 2013, p20

    Scenario RCP 8.5Scenario RCP 2.6

    Section 4: Projected Trends and Impacts of ClimateChange

    Time Period: 1986-2005 to 2081-2100

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    Projected Sea Level Rise

    58

    Source: IPCC 2013, p24

    Section 4: Projected Trends and Impacts of ClimateChange

    Global mean

    sea level willcontinue to riseduring the 21st

    century.

    Projected Northern Hemisphere

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    Projected Northern HemisphereSeptember Sea Ice Extent

    59

    Source: IPCC 2013, p20

    Scenario RCP 8.5Scenario RCP 2.6

    Section 4: Projected Trends and Impacts of ClimateChange

    Average 2081-2100

    Projected Impacts of Climate Change

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    Projected Impacts of Climate Changein Africa

    60

    Source: UNEP 2009, p32

    Section 4: Projected Trends and Impacts of Climate Change

    Projected Impacts of Climate Change

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    Projected Impacts of Climate Changein Asia

    61Section 4: Projected Trends and Impacts of ClimateChange

    Source: UNEP

    2009, p34

    Projected Impacts of Climate Change in

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    Projected Impacts of Climate Change inLatin America

    62Section 4: Projected Trends and Impacts of Climate Change

    Source: UNEP

    2009, p37

    Projected Impacts of Climate Change on

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    j p gSmall Islands

    Sea level rise exacerbating

    inundation, storm surge,

    erosion and other coastal

    hazards

    63Section 4: Projected Trends and Impacts of Climate Change

    Source: UNEP 2006, p185

    Reduced freshwater

    resources Invasion by non-native

    species

    Effects on food and income

    security

    C b C d

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    Carbon Crossroads

    64

    Source: Cambridge

    University 2013, p 14

    Section 4: Projected Trends and Impacts of ClimateChange

    Global Warming by 2100 and Beyond: A

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    Global Warming by 2100 and Beyond: AFunction of Cumulative CO2Emissions

    65Section 4: Projected Trends and Impacts of ClimateChange

    Limiting

    climate changewill requiresubstantial and

    sustainedreductions of

    greenhouse gas

    emissions.

    Source: IPCC 2013, p26

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    Sources of Scientific Data

    Section 5

    66Module 1: Introduction to Climate Change Science

    The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate

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    gChange (IPCC)

    Leading body for the

    assessment of climate

    change

    Established in 1988 by

    UNEP and WMO

    Assesses relevant

    scientific, technical and

    socio-economic

    information

    Does not conduct any

    research itself

    Thousands of scientists

    from all over the world

    contribute to its work

    67Section 5: Sources of Scientific Data

    http://www.ipcc.ch/http://www.ipcc.ch/
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    Important Reports Published by the IPCC

    AssessmentReports First

    assessmentreport (FAR)

    Secondassessmentreport (SAR)

    Thirdassessmentreport (TAR)

    Fourthassessmentreport (AR4)

    Fifthassessmentreport (AR5)

    SpecialReportson:

    Renewableenergysources

    Extremeevents anddisasters

    Emissionscenarios

    Aviation

    Carboncapture andstorage

    MethodologyReports Guidance for

    nationalgreenhouse

    gasinventories

    Guidance forassessingimpacts ofclimatechange

    Land use,land-usechange andforestry

    TechnicalPapers Climate

    change andwater

    Implicationsof proposedCO2emissionslimitations

    Technologies, policies

    andmeasuresformitigatingclimatechange

    68Section 5: Sources of Scientific Data

    World Meteorological Organization

    http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/activities/activities.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/activities/activities.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/activities/activities.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/activities/activities.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/activities/activities.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/activities/activities.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/activities/activities.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/activities/activities.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/activities/activities.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/activities/activities.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/activities/activities.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/activities/activities.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/activities/activities.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/activities/activities.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/activities/activities.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/activities/activities.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/activities/activities.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/activities/activities.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_technical_papers.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_technical_papers.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_technical_papers.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_technical_papers.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_technical_papers.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_technical_papers.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_technical_papers.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_technical_papers.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_technical_papers.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_technical_papers.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_technical_papers.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_technical_papers.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_technical_papers.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_technical_papers.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_technical_papers.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_technical_papers.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/activities/activities.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtmlhttp://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtml
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    g g(WMO)Global Climate Programmes

    World Climate Programme (WCP)

    World Climate Research Programme

    Global Climate Observing System

    World Climate Services Programme

    Programme of Research on Climate Change

    Vulnerability, Impacts and Adaptation

    Atmospheric Research and Environment Programme (AREP)

    Global Framework for Climate Services (GFCS)

    Advisory Body: Commission for Climatology (CCI)

    69Section 5: Sources of Scientific Data

    In Focus: Global Framework for

    http://www.wmo.int/pages/index_en.htmlhttp://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/wcp/http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/arep/overview.htmlhttp://www.gfcs-climate.org/http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/wcp/ccl/index_en.phphttp://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/wcp/ccl/index_en.phphttp://www.gfcs-climate.org/http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/arep/overview.htmlhttp://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/wcp/http://www.wmo.int/pages/index_en.html
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    In Focus: Global Framework forClimate Services (GFCS)

    70

    URL: http://www.gfcs-climate.org/content/about-gfcs

    Section 5: Sources of Scientific Data

    WMO Global Atmosphere Watch:

    http://www.gfcs-climate.org/content/about-gfcshttp://www.gfcs-climate.org/content/about-gfcshttp://www.gfcs-climate.org/content/about-gfcshttp://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/arep/gaw/gaw_home_en.htmlhttp://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/arep/gaw/gaw_home_en.html
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    pMeasurement Stations Worldwide

    71Section 5: Sources of Scientific Data

    WMO Regional Climate Centers and

    http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/arep/gaw/gaw_home_en.htmlhttp://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/arep/gaw/gaw_home_en.html
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    gOutlook Forums

    WMO Regional

    Climate Centres

    (RCCs)

    WMO Regional

    Climate Outlook

    Forums (RCOFs)

    72Section 5: Sources of Scientific Data

    http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/wcp/wcasp/RCCs.htmlhttp://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/wcp/wcasp/clips/outlooks/climate_forecasts.htmlhttp://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/wcp/wcasp/clips/outlooks/climate_forecasts.htmlhttp://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/wcp/wcasp/RCCs.html
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    National Climate Data

    National Meteorological

    and Hydrological

    Services (NMHS)

    Collect and manage

    national climate data to

    help with forecasting

    and predictions

    73

    Norfolk Island Meterological Office,

    Source: Australian Government: Bureau of

    Meteorology

    Section 5: Sources of Scientific Data

    http://www.wmo.int/pages/members/members_en.htmlhttp://www.bom.gov.au/climate/cdo/about/sites.shtmlhttp://www.bom.gov.au/climate/cdo/about/sites.shtmlhttp://www.bom.gov.au/climate/cdo/about/sites.shtmlhttp://www.bom.gov.au/climate/cdo/about/sites.shtmlhttp://www.wmo.int/pages/members/members_en.html
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    Additional Resources

    Annex

    74Module 1: Introduction to Climate Change Science

    Summary

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    Summary

    Weather and climate are the results of complex interactions between

    anthropogenic and natural factors.

    Evidence of global climate change include higher average temperatures,

    changes in precipitation, ocean warming, ocean acidification, sea level

    rise, decreasing sea ice, and changes in physical and biological systems.

    Observed climate change can be linked with the increase of greenhouse

    gase concentrations in the atmosphere since the industrial revolution.

    Global surface temperature change for the end of the 21st century is

    likely to reach 4C if no drastic mitigation actions are taken.

    Various sources of climate data exist that can support planning for

    climate change.

    75Additional Resources

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    Useful Links

    IPCC Website WMO Climate Pages

    Global Framework

    For Climate Services

    (GFCs)

    World ClimateProgramme (WCP)

    World Bank Climate

    Change Knowledge

    Portal

    NASA Global ClimateChange

    ESA Climate Change

    Initiative

    NCAR Community

    Data Portal

    Max Planck: TheAtmosphere in the

    Earth System

    The GuardianClimate Change

    Pages

    The NationalGeographic - Global

    WarmingUN CC:Learn

    http://www.ipcc.ch/http://www.wmo.int/pages/themes/climate/index_en.phphttp://www.gfcs-climate.org/http://www.gfcs-climate.org/http://www.gfcs-climate.org/http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/wcp/http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/wcp/http://sdwebx.worldbank.org/climateportal/index.cfmhttp://sdwebx.worldbank.org/climateportal/index.cfmhttp://sdwebx.worldbank.org/climateportal/index.cfmhttp://climate.nasa.gov/http://climate.nasa.gov/http://www.esa.int/Our_Activities/Observing_the_Earth/Space_for_our_climate/ESA_s_Climate_Change_Initiative_CCIhttp://www.esa.int/Our_Activities/Observing_the_Earth/Space_for_our_climate/ESA_s_Climate_Change_Initiative_CCIhttp://cdp.ucar.edu/http://cdp.ucar.edu/http://www.mpimet.mpg.de/en/science/the-atmosphere-in-the-earth-system.htmlhttp://www.mpimet.mpg.de/en/science/the-atmosphere-in-the-earth-system.htmlhttp://www.mpimet.mpg.de/en/science/the-atmosphere-in-the-earth-system.htmlhttp://www.theguardian.com/science/scienceofclimatechangehttp://www.theguardian.com/science/scienceofclimatechangehttp://www.theguardian.com/science/scienceofclimatechangehttp://environment.nationalgeographic.com/environment/global-warming/http://environment.nationalgeographic.com/environment/global-warming/http://environment.nationalgeographic.com/environment/global-warming/http://www.uncclearn.org/http://www.uncclearn.org/http://environment.nationalgeographic.com/environment/global-warming/http://environment.nationalgeographic.com/environment/global-warming/http://environment.nationalgeographic.com/environment/global-warming/http://environment.nationalgeographic.com/environment/global-warming/http://environment.nationalgeographic.com/environment/global-warming/http://environment.nationalgeographic.com/environment/global-warming/http://www.theguardian.com/science/scienceofclimatechangehttp://www.theguardian.com/science/scienceofclimatechangehttp://www.theguardian.com/science/scienceofclimatechangehttp://www.mpimet.mpg.de/en/science/the-atmosphere-in-the-earth-system.htmlhttp://www.mpimet.mpg.de/en/science/the-atmosphere-in-the-earth-system.htmlhttp://www.mpimet.mpg.de/en/science/the-atmosphere-in-the-earth-system.htmlhttp://cdp.ucar.edu/http://cdp.ucar.edu/http://www.esa.int/Our_Activities/Observing_the_Earth/Space_for_our_climate/ESA_s_Climate_Change_Initiative_CCIhttp://www.esa.int/Our_Activities/Observing_the_Earth/Space_for_our_climate/ESA_s_Climate_Change_Initiative_CCIhttp://climate.nasa.gov/http://climate.nasa.gov/http://sdwebx.worldbank.org/climateportal/index.cfmhttp://sdwebx.worldbank.org/climateportal/index.cfmhttp://sdwebx.worldbank.org/climateportal/index.cfmhttp://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/wcp/http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/wcp/http://www.gfcs-climate.org/http://www.gfcs-climate.org/http://www.gfcs-climate.org/http://www.wmo.int/pages/themes/climate/index_en.phphttp://www.ipcc.ch/