Upload
lykhue
View
222
Download
4
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Q3 FINANCIAL RESULTS FOR PERIOD ENDED 30 SEPT 2014
KEY HIGHLIGHTS
KCB Bank Group Largest bank
in East & Central Africa
by assets
No. Of Employees
7,500 FTETotal Equity
Kshs. 3.025bn
Listing
NSE, DSE, USE, RSE
Rating
Subsidiaries
Channels
Awards
Partnerships
Tanzania, S.Sudan, Uganda, Rwanda & Burundi KCB Insurance & KCB Capital
Ordinary shares in issue of Kshs. 1 each
242 branches 962 ATMs 9,238 agents 1M customers on
mobile
Ownership Profile: Foreign Investors 29% Local Institutional 27.5% Local Individuals 26% Government of Kenya 17.5%
GCR Affirms KCB’s rating of AA (Ke) Outlook stable
KCB Bank Group
Largest bank in East & Central Africa
by assets
3
MACRO-ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT
CommentThe Kenyan Economy:
Kenya’s GDP growth was mainly supportedby robust growth in; construction (18.9%) manufacturing (9.1%) financial & insurance (8.3%) information and communication (6.4%) wholesale and retail trade (6.8%)
this outweighed a decrease in tourism
Revision of the travel advisories by theFrench and UK governments
Consumer-price index will likely hoverbetween 5% to 7% over the next threemonths
Renewed confidence and cooperationbetween Kenya, the United Nations and theWorld Bank
Factors supporting the shilling include FDIflows that are diversifying away fromnatural resources and an increase inDiaspora remittances
Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 June-14 Sep-14
Central Bank Rate
Kenya GDP
Kenya Inflation
FX Rate Interbank (KSHs./$)
Crude Oil Price USD/Barrel
Interbank Rate
8.5 8.5 8.5 8.5 8.5
4.4 4.7 4.15.8 5.8
114.7 113.1 110.2 115.193.0
86.6 86.3 86.4
87.6
89.3
8.612.2
7.310.0
6.8
OPERATING ENVIRONMENT - KENYA
5
7.5
-4.6
5.94.7 4.2
7.4
13.1
4.7
7.4
4.8
Tanzania South Sudan Uganda Rwanda Burundi
East Africa GDP Expansion
Sep-13 Latest-2014
6.35.6
6.1 6.4 6.7
-7.2-8.8
0.4 0.62.6
8.1
6.9
7.15
1.4
6.95
5.08
6.39
4.48
-0.4
12.1
9
3.8
3.3
5.9
East Africa Inflation Trend
Tanzania South Sudan Uganda
Rwanda Burundi
Comment
In Uganda, the prevailing low inflation is likely to push the Central Bank to ease its stance to lower borrowing costs, potentially weakening the local currency
Rwanda expects to enact new investment rules at the start of 2015 that could offer incentives such as seven-year tax holidays for bigger investors and sharply lower corporate taxes –a strategy to wean Rwanda's economy off foreign aid and
bolster receding growth.
The BIF continues a downward trend on the fall in donor
funds due to the on-going political situation and reduced inflows of hard-currency from a drop in coffee prices
In South Sudan, USD scarcity and expensive black market rate (USD being sold at 4.95 while central bank sells at 3.17) makes
it difficult for traders to import goods. Inflation increased to 2.6% in July on higher prices in food & non alcoholic beverages
The TZS weakened and settled at an average of TZS1680 as the rising demand for the dollar continues to pressurize the local currency despite some inflows from agriculture and institutions. Tanzania Central Bank intervened by selling dollars into the economy but impact has been low due to the availability of only 3 month forex cover
OPERATING ENVIRONMENT - REGIONAL
Source: Trading Economics, National Bureau of Statistics, South Sudan
6
MOMENTUM FROM OF REBASING AND KBRR
Bull Case:• Key findings by the government after rebasing:
o The revised GDP is higher by 25.3%; GDP per capita is USD 1,246
o Emerging sectors gaining more significance in the economy (e.g. Real estate and ICT); Agriculture is still the backbone of the economy (5 year average share grew from 24.1% to 25.4% in 2013)
Bear Case:• The instability in the Middle East and North African region as well
as in Ukraine remains a risk to the stability of international oil prices and the overall price stability objective
Impact of KBRR:• Initial data from 22 commercial banks and 6 microfinance banks
indicate that new and existing loans amounting to Ksh. 43 billion
and covering 182,731 loan accounts had benefited from the KBRR framework by end of August 2014
• The average premium that commercial banks charged above the KBRR on commercial mortgages was 3.05 percent while that on corporate loans (1–5years) was 4.09%
7.0%
1.5%
2.7%
5.8%
4.4% 4.6% 4.7%
6.9%
0.2%
3.3%
8.4%
6.1%
4.5%
5.7%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Kenya's Revised GDP Post Rebasing
Previous GDP Revised GDP
KBRR Bull Case:• Expected increase in uptake of loans
across the industry that will enhance development in the country
KBRR Bear Case:• Average lending interest rates have
declined in 2014 relative to 2013 while average deposit rates have increased across all bank categories as a result NIMs have experienced a slight deterioration
Increase on average deposit rates
Decline on average lending rates
*Source: Kenya National Bureau of Statistics
7
KEY STRATEGIC THEMES
DELIGHTFUL CUSTOMER EXPERIENCE
9
0%
75%
Average
45%
Best
Occupancy Rate
Target 90%2013: 8%
LaggingLeading 85%
96%
15
20
Average
45
Best
LaggingLeading
13
Average Speed of AnswerTarget 10 seconds
Average Talk TimeTarget 140 Seconds
2013: 221
315
180
Shortest
LaggingLeading
240
Average
140
145
Driving highly engaged customers
•Fastest growing in the social media community and now the most popular bank on Twitter in Kenya
•85% positive sentiment
•@kcbgroup ranked top 20 most trended topics during #KCB loves you Customer Focus week
53,890 58,191
90,476
151,372
24,522 25,790 33,941
43,188
Jan Mar Jun Sep
Social Media Growth
Facebook Likes Twitter Followers
RETAIL & BUSINESS BANKING
Growing entrepreneurs to drive Extraordinary Change
Account numbers – 1M new accounts in 2014 57% growth in SME and Retail ABF assets in 2014 37% growth in Micro Banking assets in 2014 30% growth in Personal banking assets in 2014
Growth of agency to 9,238 outlets, over 4M transactions and KShs 9.2B deposits collected in 2014
Only bank able to open accounts at agency outlets with nearly 300,000 accounts opened to date
Partnering to enhance financial inclusion: Over 2,000 groups in JOYWO Groups now operating as KCB Agents
10
Disruptive Payment Solutions
Biashara smart and Mobi Loans – KShs 500M loans disbursed in 3 months to over 100,000 customers via mobile recruitment
Enhancing digital payments with over 7.6M transactions on mobile in 2014 (12M by close of the year)
Payment solutions – JCB and Union Pay in 2014
Transit cards – Certification and approval to issue 1M Pepeacards received from the CBK and NTSA
Driving a cash lite environment through card issuance, acquiring and integration of POS terminals
RETAIL & BUSINESS BANKING
11
TRANSFORMING TRANSACTION BANKING
12
Strong card growth through customer acquisition and partnerships such as Nakumatt Global and Abiria
• Accelerated growth in Mbenki accounts with inclusion of mobi loan application
• 80% account activity in 90 days• 92% account activity in 120 days
Increased activity on M-Benki account as well as enhanced user experience and services to all mobile banking service users
1,307,000
2,185,500
2013 Q3 2014
Number of Cards
67%
DELIVERING GREAT AGENCY SOLUTIONS
13
6,948
9,238
2013 Q3 2014
Number of Agents
60,408 45,231
1,434,650
553,681
Deposit Transactions Withdrawal Transactions
Number of Transactions
2013 Q3 2014
7,720
10,920
2013 Q3 2014
Value of Transactions (Mn)
41%
…inspiring extra ordinary possibilities and futures
Increased services from 6 to 11
33%2,275% 1,124%
CORPORATE BANKING
Deals of over KShs 1B in 2014 in Education, Financial Services, Government, Energy, Transport, Communication, Mining, Agriculture, Trade and Construction
KCB is working with various government bodies on infrastructure, rail, road, compensation, banking contractors and sub-contractors both for the businesses and individual staff
Custody Business: Market Share of 20% holding assets valued at over 650B Driving implementation of new products and market
initiatives: REITS, Asset Backed Securities Partnered with RBA and other industry stakeholders to
promote pension savings in the informal sector The leading provider of Trustee Services for collective
investment schemes (market share of approx. 80%)
14
MORTGAGES RACE TO A MILLION HOMES
Mortgage Asset Book growth in 2014 by KShs 4.3B
Improved interest rates: Bundled product offering at 12.9% 105% Mortgage product
Partnerships: Technology reliant low cost housing developers targeting to build 6,400 houses for Government through S&L Investment Company.
Enabling the dignity of owning a home for more people every day.
15
Enhanced Distribution to more KCB branches
Capacity to handle all insurance classes/products: Property & Liability insurance Motor Insurance Micro Business Livestock Insurance Life Insurance Healthcare Insurance
Premium of over KShs 1.22B from Kshs 500M and PBT of KShs 145.5M from KShs 33M
Providing cover to KCB Customers
Installation of an IT system to improve efficiency and speed of service to customers
Way forward:–Leverage the bank’s wide reach & established infrastructure to ensure availability of insurance products/ services countrywide to ease access and convenience to clients
EXPANDING INSURANCE REACH
16
ProductsAdvisory business in debt and equity rolled out
Roads Annuities Inception of an innovative government program with the Infrastructure Ministry and National Treasury PPP Unit
Securities Trading LicenseTrading will be launched during the 1st Quarter of 2015
Way ForwardLeveraging 2014 achievements for growth into other lines of activity and support asset generation activities
CREATING AN INVESTING CULTURE
17
ROBUST & CONSISTENT INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY
System Changes in 2014:
EMV – New system installation for card operations and enhanced security to global standard.
T24 hardware refresh Mobile – enhanced utility & customer experience Internet Banking – Upgrade for enhancement of
customer applications. Agency banking – significant expansion of
services from phone based to POS. Private cloud roll out Biashara Smart – USSD integration with Safaricom
System Changes in 2015 CBS - Technical Upgrade from R8 to R14 at a cost
of $6M
18
COMMUNITY PARTNERSHIPS
Enterprise development 2,000 women trained on financial literacy and agri-business development
through Joyful Women Organization (Joywo)
Growth of Livestock Value Chain 10,000 Farmers reached with the Mifigo ni Mali program to provide capital
& business skills in three counties - Baringo, Taita Taveta and Narok counties
To grow KShs 1B livestock enterprise development fund in 5 years
19
Q3 FINANCIAL RESULTS
PROGRESS ON STRATEGIC PRIORITIES
36%
16%
17%
25.2%
4%
8%
48.3%
6.7%
40%
21%
13%
27.5%
4%
15%
49.9%
6%
Non Interest IncomeContribution
Customer Deposits
Net Loans & Advances
ROE
ROA
Regional BusinessContribution
CIR
NPL
Actual Budget
21
COST TO INCOME RATIO
● CIR improving across the industry with increased adoption of technology
Regional CIR
CIR Benchmark
CIR of KCB Group
● Introduction of new products and channels has positively impacted the CIR
● Strong growth from Non Interest Income sources of KCB● Improved management of operating expenses
48.3%
57.0%
53.0%
51.0%
42.0%
44.0%
46.0%
48.0%
50.0%
52.0%
54.0%
56.0%
58.0%
KCB South AfricanBanks
Nigerian Banks Kenyan Banks
52.10%51.70%
49.10%49.60%
48.30%
52.50%
56.00%
46.60% 46.50%
44.70%
Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014
Group Kenya
22
Kenya, 82.0%
Tanzania, 3.3%
South Sudan, 8.1%
Uganda, 3.2% Rwanda, 2.9%Burundi, 0.5%
CONSOLIDATION OF REGIONAL BUSINESSES
Kenya, 77.2%
Tanzania, 3.0%
South Sudan, 12.8%
Uganda, 2.6%Rwanda, 3.7% Burundi, 0.6%
Kenya, 77.0%
Tanzania, 3.7%
South Sudan, 12.4%
Uganda, 3.2%Rwanda, 3.2%
Burundi, 0.6%
Kenya, 83.2%
Tanzania, 3.2%
South Sudan, 7.0%
Uganda, 3.2%Rwanda, 2.9%
Burundi, 0.5%
Total Assets Contribution Sep 2014
Total Revenue Contribution Sep 2013Total Revenue Contribution Sep 2014
Total Assets Contribution Sep 2013
23
ASSET GROWTH
Net Loans & Advances (KShs. Bn) NPL Ratio
Coverage Ratio - IFRSLoan segmentation - 2014
4%9%
12%
38%
18%
8%
4%7%
AGRICULTURE
CONSTRUCTION
MANUFACTURING
PERSONAL
REAL ESTATE
TRADE
TRANSPORT
OTHERS
*others – mining, tourism, financial services & Energy
45.7% 46.2%
39.2%44.0%
55.4%
Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014
24
8.40% 8.10%
9.30%8.80%
6.70%
8.50%
7.40%
8.40%
7.30%
5.60%
Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014Group Kenya
138
194209
226
264
Sep- 10 Sep- 11 Sep- 12 Sep- 13 Sep- 14
CUSTOMER DEPOSITS
Customer Deposits (KShs. Bn)
Deposits by sector - September 2014
54%
6%
21% 19%
52%
7%
23%
17%
Current Call Fixed SavingsSep-13 Sep-14
Deposits by Type - September 2014
52%48%
55%
45%
Corporate RetailSep-13 Sep-14
193
252
296 301
350
72%
77%
71%
75% 75%
65%
67%
69%
71%
73%
75%
77%
79%
-
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
Q3 2010 Q3 2011 Q3 2012 Q3 2013 Q3 2014
Deposits L/D Ratio
25
TOTAL LIABILIES AND EQUITY
26
Key drivers for growth in totalliabilities were 17% growth incustomer deposits and an increasein long term debt
Strong deposit growth witnessed in 2014 fromacross sectors
Strong five year CAGR of 13%
385,210
451,566
Q3 2013 Q3 2014
Total Liabilities and Equity (KShs Mn.)
58,581
70,978
Q3 2013 Q3 2014
Shareholders' Equity
CENTRAL BANK RULES vs. IFRS
Provisioning Policy Under Central Bank Rules
Financial Statement (KShs. Mn.)
4.2
8.510.1
Evolution of Provisions for Loans (KShs. Bn.)
Provision amount on each individual account iscomputed monthly based on the Central Bankprudential guidelines and the relevant entries passedthrough the P&L in the Bank books of account
Monthly the portfolio is subjected to an impairmentassessment as per IFRS
Impairment as per IFRS is compared to provisionsamount as per Central Bank and if Central Bankprovisions amount is greater than impairment as perIFRS, the difference is accounted for through reserves,otherwise an additional charge is recognized in P&L toincrease provisions to the IFRS assessment
Summary of Central Bank of Kenya Rules
Grade ClassificationClass
Overdue Days Provisioning required
1 Normal 0-30 1%
2 Watch 31-90 3%
3 Substandard 91-180 20%
4 Doubtful 181-365 100%
5 Loss Over 365 100%
Assets Liabilities
Gross Loans
IFRS Provisions
Net Loans
Other Assets
10,126
Difference between CBK and IFRS provisions is recorded in a reserve included in the Shareholders’ Equity
Liabilities
Loan Loss Reserve
Shareholders Equity*
380,588
4,134
66,844
*Excluding Loan Loss Reserve
274,422
264,296
187,270
8.0 8.9 8.9 8.89.6 10.19.9
12.0 13.3 13.2
14.9 14.2
FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014
IFRS CBK
27
24.8%25.8%
CAPITAL ADEQUACY
Minimum ratios in the new prudential guidelines
are; CC/RWA 10.5% and TC/RWA 14.5%
The bank has a buffer of KShs. 27.5Bn over
minimum requirements to fund growth
RWA Evolution (KShs. Bn)
Q3 2014Old Guidelines
Market Risk Operational Risk
Q3 2014New Guidelines
New Prudential Guidelines
254.4 0.8
61.0 316.2
Total Capital/Total Risk Weighted AssetsCore Capital/Total Risk Weighted Assets
10.5%
14.5%
15.3%
18.7% 18.0%15.9% 16.0%
Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014
19.7%
22.5% 21.6% 20.7% 20.0%
Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 Q3 2014
28
GROUP STATEMENT OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOMEKShs Mn. ACTUAL SEP 2014 ACTUAL SEP 2013 Y-o-Y % Change ACTUAL DEC 2013
Net interest income 25,827 24,274 6% 32,984
Foreign exchange income 3,212 2,678 20% 3,710
Gross fees and commissions 9,080 7,566 20% 10,501
Other income 1,120 708 58% 1,005
Total operating income 39,239 35,226 9% 48,200
Total operating expenses -20,616 -19,524 6% (27,080)
Net provisions for bad debts -925 -533 74% (996)
Profit before tax 17,698 15,169 17% 20,124
Tax -5,215 -4,353 20% (5,782)
Profit after tax 12,483 10,816 15% 14,342
29
PROFITABILITY
Strong five year CAGR of 22% due to Growth of customer numbers and volume of
transactions Increasing returns from investment in
alternative channels Kenya revenue boosted by new business,
KCB Capital and KCB Bancassurance
PBT Growth (KShs. Bn.)
Distribution of PBT by Region - Sept 2014
8.5
Kenya 89.3%
Kenya 92.6%
6.5
9.1
13.015.2
17.7
Sep- 10 Sep- 11 Sep- 12 Sep- 13 Sep- 14
Distribution of PBT by Region-Sept 2013
Kenya, 91.9%
South Sudan, 6.3%
Bancassurance, 0.8%
Tanzania, 0.8%Rwanda, 0.6%
Burundi, 0.1%
Uganda, -0.5%
Kenya, 89.40%
South Sudan, 8.71%
Bancassurance, 0.21%
Tanzania, 0.13%Rwanda, 0.22%
Burundi, 0.01%
Uganda, 1.33%
30
SUMMARY: KEY STATISTICS AND PERFORMANCE RATIOS - Q3 2014
Market Capitalisation- KShs. 171.1Bn
Customer loans- KShs. 264Bn
Customer deposits- KShs. 350Bn
Assets- KShs. 452Bn
Customers- 4 Mn
Branch network- 242
ATMS- 962
ROAA- 4.0%
ROAE- 25.2%
Tier 1 ratio- 16.0%
Tier 2 ratio - 20.0%
NIM- 9.5%
Cost to Income Ratio – 48.3%
Strong Liquidity – 32.8%
31
THANK YOU