Q1 Q1

Some months have 30 days, some Some months have 30 days, some months have 31 days. How many months have 31 days. How many months have 28 days? months have 28 days?

A1A1

All twelve have at least 28 days.All twelve have at least 28 days.

Q2Q2

How many animals of each species How many animals of each species did Moses take with him in the Ark? did Moses take with him in the Ark?

A2A2

None. It wasn’t Moses – it was Noah.None. It wasn’t Moses – it was Noah.

What’s Going to Happen?What’s Going to Happen?

3 Predictions – write in your binder 3 Predictions – write in your binder 33

1.1. How many points will the stock How many points will the stock market (DJIA) go up or down today?market (DJIA) go up or down today?

2.2. What will be the high temperature in What will be the high temperature in Denver today?Denver today?

3.3. How many students will be absent How many students will be absent from HHS today?from HHS today?

Share & Factors Share & Factors 33

What factors did you consider when What factors did you consider when making making eacheach forecast? forecast?

Did they vary? Why?Did they vary? Why? What kinds of information would you What kinds of information would you

need to make better predictions for need to make better predictions for eacheach of these situations? of these situations?

Forecasting Forecasting 55

““Forecasting” is estimating how a Forecasting” is estimating how a condition will be in the futurecondition will be in the future

Weather forecasts are predictions or Weather forecasts are predictions or educated guesses, like sales forecasts.educated guesses, like sales forecasts.

Weather forecasts use computer models, Weather forecasts use computer models, probability, past history under similar probability, past history under similar conditions, etc.conditions, etc.

How do you predict future sales forecasts?How do you predict future sales forecasts? Shape SorterShape Sorter

Lessons learned Lessons learned

In business, the sales of an item may In business, the sales of an item may not be the same from day to day, not be the same from day to day, week to week, or month to monthweek to week, or month to month

You should have made a more You should have made a more accurate prediction the second time accurate prediction the second time – as you had a better understanding – as you had a better understanding of conditions affecting the task.of conditions affecting the task.