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  • 8/11/2019 PVD-12082013-MBKE(TA)

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    SEE APPENDIX I FOR IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AND ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS

    Results Update 12 August 2013

    Vietnam

    PV Drill ingNew Share Issuance

    1H13 results. PVDs 1H13 revenue increased 30.7% YoY toUSD316.4m thanks to its new deepwater TAD rig, which startedoperating in Feb 2012, and its four sub-leased rigs vs only one in thesame period last year. 1H13 net profit rose 41.3% YoY to USD41.5m,due to a 0.8-ppt decrease in gross margins to 24.5% and 1.1-pptdecrease in its SG&A/sales ratio to 6%. Gross margins shrank mostlikely because of higher contribution from the sub-leased rigs whichcarry a GM of 18-20% (vs the 25-40% GMs of PVDs own rigs).

    Stable business pipeline. PVD owns five rigs, all of which arecontracted through to 2014. In addition to leasing its own rigs, thecompany sub-leases oil rigs, partly because of the ancillary servicesbusiness that this generates (staffing, tubing, mud-logging and minorspill clean-up, etc). PVD recently secured one additional sub-leased rig(bringing its total sub-leased rigs to four), which was contracted toPetrovietnam Exploration Production Corporation. We expect PVD tohave six sub-leased rigs by the end of this year.

    Expecting margin improvement. Rig day rates have generally beenon an uptrend, along with utilisation rates. This benefits PVD becausethe day rates on most of PVDs rig contracts are renewed annually.PVD rigs were renewed at day rates 15-20% higher YoY in FY13; thenew rates have been valid since 3Q13. We estimate that PVDs grossprofit margins will climb from 22.5% in FY12 to 24-26% over FY13-15.

    New share issuance. PVD completed a private placement of 38m newshares in 2Q13 with three-year lock-up: 20.15m shares for strategicinvestor PVN at VND31,758/share, and a one-year lock-up of 18.75mshares for three financial investors (PYN, PENM and VOF) at anaverage price of VND45,605/share. The total proceeds of USD68.6mare set to be used for future expansion. Another 2m new shares will beissued to the companys employees in the form of an ESOP.

    Attractive valuation. We raise our FY13 profit forecasts by 41% YoYto USD89.9m due to the improvement in gross margins. However, its

    EPS growth is only 29.4% YoY because of 20% dilution from new shareissuance. PVD is trading at an FY13 PER of 6.9x, a 48% discount to itspeers and 1SD below its average historical PER. We maintain our BUYcall and TP of VND66,000.

    PV Drill ing Summary Earnings TableFYE Dec (USD m) 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013FRevenue 240.1 406.6 449.6 572.8 675.2EBITDA 71.6 102.9 106.3 140.0 171.4Recurring Net Profit 47.7 47.4 52.1 63.5 89.9Recurring Basic EPS (US cts) 25.1 22.6 24.9 30.2 39.1EPS Growth (%) (15.2) (10.2) 10.5 21.0 29.4DPS (US cts) 9.6 7.2 9.1 10.8

    PER (x) 10.8 12.0 10.9 9.0 6.9EV/EBITDA (x) 12.2 8.5 8.6 6.0 5.4

    Div Yield (%) 3.5 2.7 3.3 4.0P/BV (x) 2.4 2.1 1.9 1.7 1.5

    Net gearing (%) 128.0 111.7 116.6 82.1 56.1ROE (%) 25.9 18.5 18.2 20.0 23.2ROA (%) 8.4 8.8 7.8 8.6 11.0Source: Company, Maybank KE estimates

    Buy(unchanged)

    Share price: VND56,500Target price: VND66,000 (unchanged)

    Tuyen [email protected](84) 8 44 555 888 - 8081

    Stock Information

    Description: PetroVietnam Drilling is a subsidiary ofPetroVietnam (PVN). It owns five oil rigs and derives about80% of its business from PVN.

    Ticker: PVD VNShares Issued (m): 247.5Market Cap (USD m): 565.43-mth Avg Daily Turnover (USD m): 0.91VNIndex: 499.5Free float (%): 40,0

    Major Shareholders:PetroVietnam 50.4Deutsche Bank 4.2Templeton 4.2PYN 4.0

    Key Indicators

    ROE annualised (%) 23.2Net cash (USD m): n/aNTA/shr (UScts): 157Interest cover (x): 6.3

    Historical Chart

    Performance:

    52-week High/Low VND57,000 / VND32,000

    1-mth 3-mth 6-mth 1-yr YTD

    Absolute (%) 11.9 37.5 30.2 67.2 50.7

    Relative (%) 10.7 33.8 28.8 42.4 24.8

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    PV Drilli ng

    Robust oil and gas activit ies in Vietnam

    Potential industry growth.According to the 2012 BP Energy Outlook,global primary energy consumption is forecast to grow at a CAGR of2% over the next 17 years, from approximately 12b toe (tonnes of oilequivalent) in 2012 to 17b toe in 2030. PVN (which owns 50.4% ofPVD) is looking to aggressively expand its Vietnamese E&P activitiesand has a substantial annual investment budget of around USD1.5-1.7b.

    Rigs in demand.Vietnam requires an estimated 10-15 additional jack-up rigs every year (with about 65-75 standard wells and 100 smallerwells drilled p.a.). However, 41 new rigs are expected to comeonstream in the next two years. We do not think that this will result in aglut of rigs because about 40% of the existing drilling rig fleet inVietnam is more than 20 years old and may need to be graduallyreplaced. Moreover, PVD said that potential customers such as LamSon JOC, Con Son JOC, JVPC, Premier and KNOC have all expressedinterest in jackups.

    Rising rig utili sation rates to trigger an increase in day rates. Rigday rates, along with rig utilisation rates, have generally been on anuptrend in SEA. The rig utilisation rate in SEA is currently 77%, and autilisation rate of 80% is normally the threshold at which we can expectto see a significant jump in day rates. It would not take long for a jumpin day rates to improve PVDs bottom line because the day rates onmost of PVDs rig contracts are renewed annually.

    We think that day rates will increase 13-15% per year for the period2013-16, supported by intensive drilling campaigns in the region.

    Expanding capabilit ies

    Investment in premium jack-up rig JV with FEG.At the end of 2012,

    PVD established a 50:50 JV with Singapore-based Falcon EnergyGroup (FEG) to buy a newly built USD215m jack-up rig (deliveryexpected in 3Q13). The JV has a 70:30 debt-to-equity structure, withthe debt financed by banks. PVD expects the rig to be contracted to anexisting FEG client in the Gulf of Mexico, and to start operations in4Q13. We forecast that the JV will contribute around USD6m to PVDsprofit annually.

    In 2014-15, PVD plans to invest in another USD230m premium jack-uprig through a JV in which PVD will contribute to 70% of the investment.

    In addition, PVD will provide a tender barge for Chevron, but theUSD150m project has been suspended until 2014, as Chevron has

    delayed its E&P plans to 2016.

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    PV Drilli ng

    Figure 1: PVD 2013 capital needs (VND b)

    Financial sourcesInvestment items

    Totalinvestment

    capitalEquity Debt

    Investment projects transferred fr. 2012 160 160Investment in equipments and warehouse 362 362 155

    - Drilling string components 43 43

    - Purchase blow-out preventor (BOP)and other equipments for drilling rigs 179 74 105

    - Equipment and devices for IT 52 52- Purchase land and constructing officesand restplace for workers 80 30 50

    - Others 8 8

    Investment in joint ventures 965 965- Invest a jack-up rig 735 735- Invest in JV and contribute capital tosubsidiaries 230 230

    Investment of subsidiaries 206 117Total 1,693 1,449 244

    Source: Company

    Equity fundraising. To finance its increasing capital needs, PVDundertook a private offering of up to 38m shares in 2Q13, with a three-year lock-up of 20.15m shares for strategic investor PVN at VND31,758per share and one-year lock-up of 18.75m shares for three financialinvestors (PYN, PENM and VOF) at an average price at VND45,605per share. The total proceeds of USD68.6m are set to be used forfuture expansion. PVD believes that raising capital through a privateoffering is a better option than issuing debt, as the companys currentnet gearing is high at 0.82x. In addition, banks are not willing to lend toPVD without significantly increasing interest rates. Whilst the fund-raising will reduce the companys gearing ratio, we estimate that it willresult in a 20% dilution to existing shareholders.

    We believe that the issuance proceeds will be insufficient to finance allof PVDs capital spending plans, so the company is likely to need toraise more funds in future.

    Figure 3: Peer comparison

    Company CountryMarket

    cap2012PER

    2013PER

    2014PER P/BV P/S ROA ROE

    EV/Mktcap EV/EBITDA

    (USD m) (x) (x) (x) (x) (x) (%) (%) (x) (x)SCHLUMBERGER LTD US 106,503.0 18.5 16.9 14.0 2.9 2.5 10.2 17.6 1.1 9.9

    TRANSOCEAN LTD SZ 17,123.1 11.1 11.3 8.2 1.1 1.8 2.1 4.5 1.5 7.0

    DIAMOND OFFSHORE US 9,482.2 12.9 13.9 10.1 2.0 3.2 9.7 15.2 1.0 7.2

    NOBLE CORP SZ 10,114.5 17.8 14.1 8.6 1.3 2.6 3.9 7.4 1.6 9.4

    SEADRILL LTD BD 20,439.9 17.9 15.4 11.7 3.5 4.6 5.7 19.0 1.7 12.9CHINA OILFIELD-H CH 11,301.4 13.7 11.7 10.6 1.9 2.8 6.5 15.0 1.3 n/a

    ENSCO PLC-CL A GB 13,743.3 10.2 9.1 7.8 1.1 2.9 6.7 10.5 1.3 8.2

    ROWAN COMPANIE-A US 4,481.6 15.7 16.2 10.1 1.0 2.9 3.1 5.1 1.3 9.3

    ATWOOD OCEANICS US 3,782.2 11.4 11.3 9.3 1.8 3.8 11.0 17.5 1.3 9.3

    Average 21,885.7 14.4 13.3 10.1 1.8 3.0 6.5 12.4 1.3 9.1

    PETROVIETNAM DRI VN 565.4 8.7 6.9 8.3 1.6 0.9 7.6 20.2 1.7 5.8

    Source: Bloomberg

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    PROFIT AND LOSS (USD m) BAL ANCE SHEET (USD m)

    FYE Dec 2009 2010 2011 2012E 2013F FYE Dec 2009 2010 2011 2012E 2013F

    Sales 240.1 406.6 449.6 572.8 675.2 Total assets 689.4 773.3 889.9 916.2 997.6

    COGS exclude Dep. (152.3) (279.5) (314.5) (394.9) (463.6) Current assets 143.0 169.6 188.0 243.8 297.3

    Depreciation (15.0) (32.8) (34.7) (49.1) (46.7) Cash 48.7 45.1 32.1 51.3 115.3Gross prof it 72.7 94.4 100.4 128.8 165.0 ST investment 3.7 1.4 - -

    Operating exp. (16.1) (24.3) (28.7) (37.9) (40.3) Inventories 17.9 18.1 48.2 37.8 44.2

    EBIT 56.6 70.1 71.7 90.9 124.7 Trade receivable 63.9 98.5 96.4 146.6 129.3

    Net financial incomes (loss) (7.0) (16.4) (14.4) (17.6) (18.4) Others 8.7 6.5 11.3 8.2 8.6

    Net Income (loss) fr. jv 3.2 2.7 3.5 2.9 2.4 Other assets 546.4 603.7 702.0 672.4 700.3

    Net extraodinaries 1.5 (1.7) (0.8) 5.3 1.4 LT Investment 7.4 7.9 14.9 22.0 22.0

    PBT 54.3 54.7 60.0 81.5 110.2 Net fix assets 525.1 580.1 677.2 639.4 667.7

    Income tax (6.3) (7.1) (7.7) (12.0) (13.8) Others 14.0 15.7 9.9 11.0 10.5

    Minority interest (0.2) (0.2) (0.3) (6.0) (6.5) Total liabil ities 453.1 496.3 591.2 579.3 575.7

    Net prof it 47.7 47.4 52.1 63.5 89.9 Current liabilities 142.2 210.9 244.2 273.2 257.6

    EBITDA 71.6 102.9 106.3 140.0 171.4 Trade payable 56.5 85.1 101.5 107.7 80.2

    EPS (US cts) 25.1 22.6 24.9 30.2 39.1 ST borrowings 45.0 75.4 98.4 93.2 99.9

    Others 40.7 50.4 44.4 72.3 77.5

    Long-term liabilities 311.0 285.5 347.0 306.1 318.1

    Long-term debts 308.9 279.5 280.9 233.7 262.6

    Others 2.1 6.0 66.0 72.4 55.6

    Sharehold ers' equity 236.3 276.9 298.7 336.9 441.9

    Paid in capital 194.4 192.4 192.0 193.6 214.4

    Reserve 41.1 83.7 105.8 142.1 225.9

    Other provisions - - - -

    Minority interests 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.6

    CASH FLOW (USD m) KEY RATIOS

    FYE Dec 2009 2010 2011 2012E 2013F FYE Dec 2009 2010 2011 2012E 2013F

    Operatin g cash flow 71.8 66.2 114.3 98.1 137.6 Growth (% YoY)

    Net profit 47.7 47.4 52.1 63.5 89.9 Sales 9.9 69.4 10.6 27.4 17.9

    Depreciation 15.0 32.8 34.7 49.1 46.7 Operating profit (0.6) 23.9 2.3 26.8 37.3

    Change in working capital 4.0 5.7 (22.5) (2.5) (11.8) EBITDA 5.7 43.6 3.4 31.6 22.5

    Others 5.1 (19.6) 50.0 (12.0) 12.9 Net profit (8.7) (0.8) 10.0 21.9 41.6

    Investmen t cash flo w (205.0) (67.3) (131.4) (19.5) (74.5) EPS (15.2) (10.2) 10.5 21.0 29.4

    Net capex (189.8) (87.8) (131.8) (11.3) (75.0) Profitability (%)

    Change in investment 9.3 1.8 (5.6) (7.1) 0.0 Gross margin 30.3 23.2 22.3 22.5 24.4

    Change in other assets (24.5) 18.7 5.9 (1.1) 0.5 Operating margin 23.6 17.2 15.9 15.9 18.5

    Cash flow after Investment (133.2) (1.0) (17.1) 78.6 63.1 EBITDA margin 29.8 25.3 23.7 24.4 25.4

    Financin g cash flow 141.6 (2.6) 4.1 (59.4) 20.9 Net margin 19.9 11.6 11.6 11.1 13.3

    Change in share capital 109.5 (2.0) (0.4) 1.5 20.8 ROA 8.4 8.8 7.8 8.6 11.0

    Net change in debt 138.6 1.0 24.5 (52.5) 35.5 ROE 25.9 18.5 18.2 20.0 23.2

    Others (106.4) (1.6) 0.3 6.6 (16.4) Stability

    Div paid (20.3) (15.1) (19.0)Gross debt/equity (%)

    150.3 128.5 127.4 97.4 82.3

    Net cash flo w 8.4 (3.6) (13.1) 19.2 64.0 Net debt/equity (%) 128.0 111.7 116.6 82.1 56.1

    Int. coverage (X) 13.5 4.2 5.5 6.3 7.9

    Int. & ST debt coverage (X) 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.8 1.1

    Cash flow int. coverage (X) 17.1 3.9 8.8 6.8 8.7

    Cash flow int. & ST debt (X) 0.9 1.1 0.9 1.2

    Current ratio (X) 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.2

    Quick ratio (X) 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.9

    Net cash/(debt) (USD m) (301.4) (308.4) (347.3) (275.6) (247.2)

    Per share data (US cts)

    EPS 25.1 22.6 24.9 30.2 39.1

    CFPS 37.8 31.6 54.8 46.7 59.8

    BVPS 111.9 131.6 142.1 159.7 176.0

    SPS 126.4 193.9 215.4 272.5 293.6

    EBITDA/share 37.7 49.0 50.9 66.6 74.5

    DPS 9.6 7.2 9.1 10.8

    Source: Company, Maybank KE estimates

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    PV Drilli ng

    RESEARCH OFFICESREGIONAL

    WONGChew Hann, CARegional Head, Institutional Research

    (603) 2297 8686 [email protected]

    Alexander GARTHOFFInstitutional Product Manager

    (852) 2268 0638 [email protected] YeowRegional Head, Retail Research

    (65) 6432 1453 [email protected]

    ECONOMICSSuhaimi ILIASChief Economist

    Singapore | Malaysia(603) 2297 8682 [email protected]

    Luz LORENZO

    Philippines(63) 2 849 8836 [email protected]

    Tim LEELAHAPHAN

    Thailand(662) 658 1420 [email protected]

    JUNIMANChief Economist, BII

    Indonesia(62) 21 29228888 ext 29682 [email protected]

    Josua PARDEDE

    Economist / Industry Analyst, BII Indonesia(62) 21 29228888 ext 29695 [email protected]

    MALAYSIAWONGChew Hann, CA Head of Research(603) 2297 8686 [email protected] Strategy Construction & InfrastructureDesmond CHNG, ACA(603) 2297 8680 [email protected] Banking - RegionalLIAWThong Jung(603) 2297 8688 [email protected] Oil & Gas Automotive ShippingONGChee Ting, CA(603) 2297 8678 [email protected] Plantations- Regional

    Mohshin AZIZ(603) 2297 8692 [email protected] Aviation Regional

    PetrochemYINShao Yang, CPA(603) 2297 8916 [email protected] Gaming Regional MediaTAN CHI WEI, CFA(603) 2297 8690 [email protected] Power TelcosWONGWei Sum, CFA(603) 2297 8679 [email protected] Property & REITsLEEYen Ling(603) 2297 8691 [email protected] Building Materials Manufacturing Technology

    LEECheng Hooi Head of [email protected] Technicals

    HONG KONG / CHINAAl exander GARTHOFFActing Head of Research

    (852) 2268 0638 [email protected] exander LATZER(852) 2268 0647 [email protected] Metals & Mining - Regional

    Al ex YEUNG(852) 2268 0636 [email protected] Industrial

    An dy POON(852) 2268 0645 [email protected] Telecom & equipmentIvan CHEUNG,CFA(852) 2268 0634 [email protected] IndustrialJacqueline KO,CFA(852) 2268 0633 [email protected] ConsumerJeremy TAN(852) 2268 0635 [email protected] GamingKaren KWAN(852) 2268 0640 [email protected]

    HK & China PropertyPhilip TSE(852) 2268 0643 [email protected] HK & China PropertyWarren LAU(852) 2268 0644 [email protected] Technology Regional

    INDIAJigar SHAHHead of Research(91) 22 6623 2601 [email protected] Oil & Gas Automobile Cement

    Anu bhav GUPTA(91) 22 6623 2605 [email protected] Metal & Mining Capital goods PropertyUrmil SHAH(91) 22 6623 2606 [email protected] Technology MediaVarun VARMA

    (91) 226623 2611 [email protected] Banking

    SINGAPOREGregory YAP Head of Research

    (65) 6432 1450 [email protected] Technology & Manufacturing TelcosWilson LIEW(65) 6432 1454 [email protected] Property & REITsJames KOH(65) 6432 1431 [email protected] Logistics Resources Consumer - Regional Small & Mid CapsYEAK Chee Keong, CFA(65) 6432 1460 [email protected]

    Offshore & MarineAli son FOK(65) 6432 1447 [email protected] Services S-chipsONGKian Lin(65) 6432 1470 [email protected] REITs / PropertyWei Bin(65) 6432 1455 [email protected] S-chips Small & Mid CapsDerrick HENG(65) 6432 1446 [email protected] Transport (Land, Shipping & Aviation)John CHEONG(65) 6432 1461 [email protected] Small & Mid Caps

    INDONESIALucky ARIESANDI,CFA(62) 21 2557 1127 [email protected] Base metals Mining

    Oil & Gas WholesalePandu ANUGRAH(62) 21 2557 1137 [email protected] Automotive Heavy equipment Plantation Toll roadRahmi MARINA(62) 21 2557 1128 [email protected] Banking Multifinance

    Adi N. WICAKSONO(62) 21 2557 1128 [email protected] Generalist

    Anth ony YUNUS(62) 21 2557 1139 [email protected] Cement Infrastructure Property

    PHILIPPINESLuz LORENZOHead of Research(63) 2 849 8836 [email protected] StrategyLaura DY-LIACCO(63) 2 849 8840 [email protected] Utilities Conglomerates TelcosLovell SARREAL(63) 2 849 8841 [email protected] Consumer Media CementLuz LORENZO/ Mark RACE(63) 2 849 8844 [email protected] Conglomerates Property Ports/ Logistics GamingKatherine TAN(63) 2 849 8843 [email protected] Banks ConstructionRamon ADVIENTO(63) 2 849 8845 [email protected]

    Mining

    THAILANDSukit UDOMSIRIKUL Head of Research(66) 2658 6300 ext [email protected]

    Maria LAPIZ Head of Institutional ResearchDir (66) 2257 0250 | (66) 2658 6300 ext [email protected] Consumer/ Big Caps

    An drew STOTZ Strategist(66) 2658 6300 ext 5091

    [email protected]

    Mayuree CHOWVIKRAN(66) 2658 6300 ext 1440 [email protected] StrategyPadon Vannarat(66) 2658 6300 ext 1450 [email protected] StrategySurachai PRAMUALCHAROENKIT(66) 2658 6300 ext 1470 [email protected] Auto Conmat Contractor SteelSuttatip PEERASUB(66) 2658 6300 ext 1430 [email protected] Media CommerceSutthichai KUMWORACHAI(66) 2658 6300 ext 1400 [email protected] Energy PetrochemTermporn TANTIVIVAT(66) 2658 6300 ext 1520 [email protected] PropertyWoraphon WIROONSRI(66) 2658 6300 ext 1560 [email protected] Banking & FinanceJaroonpan WATTANAWONG

    (66) 2658 6300 ext 1404 [email protected]

    Small cap.Chatchai JINDARAT(66) 2658 6300 ext 1401 [email protected]

    ElectronicsPongrat RATANATAVA NANANDA(66) 2658 6300 ext 1398 [email protected] Services/ Small Caps

    VIETNAMMichael KOKALARI, CFAHead of Research(84) 838 38 66 47 [email protected] Thi Ngan Tuyen(84) 844 55 58 88 x 8081 [email protected] and BeverageOil and GasHang Vu(84) 844 55 58 88 x 8087 [email protected] Thi Ngoc Diep(84) 844 55 58 88 x 8242 [email protected]

    TechnologyUtilitiesConstructionDang Thi Kim Thoa(84) 844 55 58 88 x 8083 [email protected] Trung Hoa+84 844 55 58 88 x 8088 [email protected]

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    APPENDIX I: TERMS FOR PROVISION OF REPORT, DISCLAIMERS AND DISCLOSURES

    DISCLAIMERS

    This research report is prepared for general circulation and for information purposes only and under no circumstances should it be considered or intended as anoffer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy the securities referred to herein. Investors should note that values of such securities, if any, may fluctuate and thateach securitys price or value may rise or fall. Opinions or recommendations contained herein are in form of technical ratings and fundamental ratings.Technical ratings may differ from fundamental ratings as technical valuations apply different methodologies and are purely based on price and volume-related

    information extracted from the relevant jurisdictions stock exchange in the equity analysis. Accordingly, investors returns may be less than the original suminvested. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. This report is not intended to provide personal investment advice and does nottake into account the specific investment objectives, the financial situation and the particular needs of persons who may receive or read this report. Investorsshould therefore seek financial, legal and other advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any securities or the investment strategies discussed orrecommended in this report.

    The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but such sources have not been independently verified by MaybankInvestment Bank Berhad, its subsidiary and affiliates (collectively, MKE) and consequently no representation is made as to the accuracy or completeness ofthis report by MKE and it should not be relied upon as such. Accordingly, MKE and its officers, directors, associates, connected parties and/or employees(collectively, Representatives) shall not be liable for any direct, indirect or consequential losses or damages that may arise from the use or reliance of thisreport. Any information, opinions or recommendations contained herein are subject to change at any time, without prior notice.

    This report may contain forward looking statements which are often but not always identified by the use of words such as anticipate, believe, estimate,intend, plan, expect, forecast, predict and project and statements that an event or result may, will, can, should, could or might occur or beachieved and other similar expressions. Such forward looking statements are based on assumptions made and information currently available to us and aresubject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause the actual results to differ materially from those expressed in any forward looking statements.Readers are cautioned not to place undue relevance on these forward-looking statements. MKE expressly disclaims any obligation to update or revise any suchforward looking statements to reflect new information, events or circumstances after the date of this publication or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated

    events.MKE and its officers, directors and employees, including persons involved in the preparation or issuance of this report, may, to the extent permitted by law, fromtime to time participate or invest in financing transactions with the issuer(s) of the securities mentioned in this report, perform services for or solicit businessfrom such issuers, and/or have a position or holding, or other material interest, or effect transactions, in such securities or options thereon, or other investmentsrelated thereto. In addition, it may make markets in the securities mentioned in the material presented in this report. MKE may, to the extent permitted by law,act upon or use the information presented herein, or the research or analysis on which they are based, before the material is published. One or more directors,officers and/or employees of MKE may be a director of the issuers of the securities mentioned in this report.

    This report is prepared for the use of MKEs clients and may not be reproduced, altered in any way, transmitted to, copied or distributed to any other party inwhole or in part in any form or manner without the prior express written consent of MKE and MKE and its Representatives accepts no liability whatsoever for theactions of third parties in this respect.

    This report is not directed to or intended for distribution to or use by any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of or located in any locality, state, country orother jurisdiction where such distribution, publication, availability or use would be contrary to law or regulation. This report is for distribution only under suchcircumstances as may be permitted by applicable law. The securities described herein may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain categories ofinvestors. Without prejudice to the foregoing, the reader is to note that additional disclaimers, warnings or qualifications may apply based on geographicallocation of the person or entity receiving this report.

    MalaysiaOpinions or recommendations contained herein are in the form of technical ratings and fundamental ratings. Technical ratings may differ from fundamentalratings as technical valuations apply different methodologies and are purely based on price and volume-related information extracted from Bursa MalaysiaSecurities Berhad in the equity analysis.

    Singapore

    This report has been produced as of the date hereof and the information herein may be subject to change. Maybank Kim Eng Research Pte. Ltd. (MaybankKERPL) in Singapore has no obligation to update such information for any recipient. For distribution in Singapore, recipients of this report are to contactMaybank KERPL in Singapore in respect of any matters arising from, or in connection with, this report. If the recipient of this report is not an accredited investor,expert investor or institutional investor (as defined under Section 4A of the Singapore Securities and Futures Act), Maybank KERPL shall be legally liable for thecontents of this report, with such liability being limited to the extent (if any) as permitted by law.

    Thailand

    The disclosure of the survey result of the Thai Institute of Directors Association (IOD) regarding corporate governance is made pursuant to the policy of theOffice of the Securities and Exchange Commission. The survey of the IOD is based on the information of a company listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailandand the market for Alternative Investment disclosed to the public and able to be accessed by a general public investor. The result, therefore, is from theperspective of a third party. It is not an evaluation of operation and is not based on inside information.The survey result is as of the date appearing in the

    Corporate Governance Report of Thai Listed Companies. As a result, the survey may be changed after that date. Maybank Kim Eng Securities (Thailand)Public Company Limited (MBKET) does not confirm nor certify the accuracy of such survey result.

    Except as specifically permitted, no part of this presentation may be reproduced or distributed in any manner without the prior written permission of MBKET.MBKET accepts no liability whatsoever for the actions of third parties in this respect.

    US

    This research report prepared by MKE is distributed in the United States (US) to Major US Institutional Investors (as defined in Rule 15a-6 under theSecurities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended) only by Maybank Kim Eng Securities USA Inc (Maybank KESUSA), a broker-dealer registered in the US(registered under Section 15 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended). All responsibility for the distribution of this report by Maybank KESUSA inthe US shall be borne by Maybank KESUSA. All resulting transactions by a US person or entity should be effected through a registered broker-dealer in theUS. This report is not directed at you if MKE is prohibited or restricted by any legislation or regulation in any jurisdiction from making it available to you. Youshould satisfy yourself before reading it that Maybank KESUSA is permitted to provide research material concerning investments to you under relevantlegislation and regulations.

    UK

    This document is being distributed by Maybank Kim Eng Securities (London) Ltd (Maybank KESL) which is authorized and regulated, by the FinancialServices Authority and is for Informational Purposes only. This document is not intended for distribution to anyone defined as a Retail Client under the Financial

    Services and Markets Act 2000 within the UK. Any inclusion of a third party link is for the recipients convenience only, and that the firm does not take anyresponsibility for its comments or accuracy, and that access to such links is at the individuals own risk. Nothing in this report should be considered asconstituting legal, accounting or tax advice, and that for accurate guidance recipients should consult with their own independent tax advisers.

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    DISCLOSURES

    Legal Entities Disclosures

    Malaysia:This report is issued and distributed in Malaysia by Maybank Investment Bank Berhad (15938-H) which is a Participating Organization of BursaMalaysia Berhad and a holder of Capital Markets and Services License issued by the Securities Commission in Malaysia. Singapore: This material is issuedand distributed in Singapore by Maybank KERPL (Co. Reg No 197201256N) which is regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore. Indonesia: PT KimEng Securities (PTKES) (Reg. No. KEP-251/PM/1992) is a member of the Indonesia Stock Exchange and is regulated by the BAPEPAM LK. Thailand: MBKET (Reg. No.0107545000314) is a member of the Stock Exchange of Thailand and is regulated by the Ministry of Finance and the Securities and

    Exchange Commission. Philippines:Maybank ATRKES (Reg. No.01-2004-00019) is a member of the Philippines Stock Exchange and is regulated by theSecurities and Exchange Commission. Vietnam: Maybank Kim Eng Securities JSC (License Number: 71/UBCK-GP) is licensed under the State SecuritiesCommission of Vietnam.Hong Kong: KESHK (Central Entity No AAD284) is regulated by the Securities and Futures Commission. India: Kim Eng SecuritiesIndia Private Limited (KESI) is a participant of the National Stock Exchange of India Limited (Reg No: INF/INB 231452435) and the Bombay Stock Exchange(Reg. No. INF/INB 011452431) and is regulated by Securities and Exchange Board of India. KESI is also registered with SEBI as Category 1 Merchant Banker(Reg. No. INM 000011708) US: Maybank KESUSA is a member of/ and is authorized and regulated by the FINRA Broker ID 27861. UK: Maybank KESL(Reg No 2377538) is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority.

    Disclosure of Interest

    Malaysia: MKE and its Representatives may from time to time have positions or be materially interested in the securities referred to herein and may further actas market maker or may have assumed an underwriting commitment or deal with such securities and may also perform or seek to perform investment bankingservices, advisory and other services for or relating to those companies.

    Singapore: As of 12 August 2013, Maybank KERPL and the covering analyst do not have any interest in any companies recommended in this research report.

    Thailand: MBKET may have a business relationship with or may possibly be an issuer of derivative warrants on the securities /companies mentioned in theresearch report. Therefore, Investors should exercise their own judgment before making any investment decisions. MBKET, its associates, directors, connectedparties and/or employees may from time to time have interests and/or underwriting commitments in the securities mentioned in this report.

    Hong Kong:KESHK may have financial interests in relation to an issuer or a new listing applicant referred to as defined by the requirements under Paragraph16.5(a) of the Hong Kong Code of Conduct for Persons Licensed by or Registered with the Securities and Futures Commission.

    As of 12 August 2013, KESHK and the authoring analyst do not have any interest in any companies recommended in this research report.

    MKE may have, within the last three years, served as manager or co-manager of a public offering of securities for, or currently may make a primary market inissues of, any or all of the entities mentioned in this report or may be providing, or have provided within the previous 12 months, significant advice or investmentservices in relation to the investment concerned or a related investment and may receive compensation for the services provided from the companies coveredin this report.

    OTHERS

    Analyst Cert ifi cat ion of Independ ence

    The views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the analysts personal views about any and all of the subject securities or issuers; and no part ofthe research analysts compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in the report.

    Reminder

    Structured securities are complex instruments, typically involve a high degree of risk and are intended for sale only to sophisticated investors who are capableof understanding and assuming the risks involved. The market value of any structured security may be affected by changes in economic, financial and politicalfactors (including, but not limited to, spot and forward interest and exchange rates), time to maturity, market conditions and volatility and the credit quality of anyissuer or reference issuer. Any investor interested in purchasing a structured product should conduct its own analysis of the product and consult with its ownprofessional advisers as to the risks involved in making such a purchase.

    No part of this material may be copied, photocopied or duplic ated in any form b y any means or redistributed without the prior c onsent of MKE.

    Ong Seng Yeow | Executive Director, Maybank Kim Eng Research

    Definiti on of Ratings

    Maybank Kim Eng Research uses the following rating system:

    BUY Return is expected to be above 15% in the next 12 months (excluding dividends)

    HOLD Return is expected to be between - 15% to +15% in the next 12 months (excluding dividends)

    SELL Return is expected to be below -15% in the next 12 months (excluding dividends)

    Appl icabili ty of Rat ing s

    The respective analyst maintains a coverage universe of stocks, the list of which may be adjusted according to needs. Investment ratings are onlyapplicable to the stocks which form part of the coverage universe. Reports on companies which are not part of the coverage do not carry investment ratings

    as we do not actively follow developments in these companies.

    Some common terms abbreviated in this report (where they appear):

    Adex = Advertising Expenditure FCF = Free Cashflow PE = Price Earnings

    BV = Book Value FV = Fair Value PEG = PE Ratio To Growth

    CAGR = Compounded Annual Growth Rate FY = Financial Year PER = PE Ratio

    Capex = Capital Expenditure FYE = Financial Year End QoQ = Quarter-On-Quarter

    CY = Calendar Year MoM = Month-On-Month ROA = Return On Asset

    DCF = Discounted Cashflow NAV = Net Asset Value ROE = Return On EquityDPS = Dividend Per Share NTA = Net Tangible Asset ROSF = Return On Shareholders Funds

    EBIT = Earnings Before Interest And Tax P = Price WACC = Weighted Average Cost Of Capital

    EBITDA = EBIT, Depreciation And Amortisation P.A. = Per Annum YoY = Year-On-Year

    EPS = Earnings Per Share PAT = Profit After Tax YTD = Year-To-Date

    EV = Enterprise Value PBT = Profit Before Tax

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    MalaysiaMaybank Investment Bank Berhad(A Participating Organisation ofBursa Malaysia Securities Berhad)33rd Floor, Menara Maybank,

    100 Jalan Tun Perak,50050 Kuala LumpurTel: (603) 2059 1888;Fax: (603) 2078 4194

    SingaporeMaybank Kim Eng Securities Pte Ltd Maybank Kim Eng Research Pte Ltd9 Temasek Boulevard#39-00 Suntec Tower 2

    Singapore 038989

    Tel: (65) 6336 9090Fax: (65) 6339 6003

    LondonMaybank Kim Eng Securities(London) Ltd6/F, 20 St. Dunstans HillLondon EC3R 8HY, UK

    Tel: (44) 20 7621 9298Dealers Tel: (44) 20 7626 2828Fax: (44) 20 7283 6674

    New YorkMaybank Kim Eng SecuritiesUSA Inc777 Third Avenue, 21st FloorNew York, NY 10017, U.S.A.

    Tel: (212) 688 8886Fax: (212) 688 3500

    Stockbroking Business:Level 8, Tower C, Dataran Maybank,No.1, Jalan Maarof59000 Kuala LumpurTel: (603) 2297 8888Fax: (603) 2282 5136

    Hong KongKim Eng Securities (HK) LtdLevel 30,Three Pacific Place,1 Queens Road East,Hong Kong

    Tel: (852) 2268 0800Fax: (852) 2877 0104

    IndonesiaPT Kim Eng SecuritiesPlaza BapindoCitibank Tower 17thFloorJl Jend. Sudirman Kav. 54-55Jakarta 12190, Indonesia

    Tel: (62) 21 2557 1188Fax: (62) 21 2557 1189

    IndiaKim Eng Securities India Pvt Ltd2nd Floor, The International 16,Maharishi Karve Road,Churchgate Station,Mumbai City - 400 020, India

    Tel: (91).22.6623.2600Fax: (91).22.6623.2604

    Philippines

    Maybank ATR Ki m Eng SecuritiesInc.17/F, Tower One & Exchange Plaza

    Ayala Triangle, Ayala AvenueMakati City, Philippines 1200

    Tel: (63) 2 849 8888Fax: (63) 2 848 5738

    Thailand

    Maybank Kim Eng Securities(Thailand) Public CompanyLimited999/9 The Offices at Central World,20th- 21stFloor,Rama 1 Road Pathumwan,Bangkok 10330, Thailand

    Tel: (66) 2 658 6817 (sales)Tel: (66) 2 658 6801 (research)

    Vietnam

    In association withMaybank Kim Eng Securities JSC1st Floor, 255 Tran Hung Dao St.District 1Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam

    Tel : (84) 844 555 888Fax : (84) 838 38 66 39

    Saudi Arabia

    In association withAn faal Capi talVilla 47, Tujjar JeddahPrince Mohammed bin AbdulazizStreet P.O. Box 126575Jeddah 21352

    Tel: (966) 2 6068686Fax: (966) 26068787

    South Asia Sales TradingKevin [email protected]: (65) 6336-5157US Toll Free: 1-866-406-7447

    North Asia Sales TradingEddie [email protected]: (852) 2268 0800US Toll Free: 1 866 598 2267

    www.maybank-ke.com | www.maybank-keresearch.com