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Canada Research Published by Raymond James Ltd.
Please read domestic and foreign disclosure/risk information beginning on page 12 and Analyst Certification on page 11. Raymond James Ltd. | 2100 – 925 West Georgia Street | Vancouver BC Canada V6C 3L2
Mining September 19, 2016 Industry Comment
RJL Mining Weekly: Comps, Commodities, Leaders/Laggards, Research
This Week’s Research: Barrick Gold Corp. ABX-NYSE | ABX-TSX, Sep-15-16, price US$17.19 ABX Announces Temporary Suspension of Veladero Mine Link to the Full Research Document Asanko Gold Inc. AKG-TSX | AKG-NYSE, Sep-15-16, price C$5.60 Asanko Provide Production Update, Ups Guidance Link to the Full Research Document OceanaGold Corp. OGC-TSX, Sep-15-16, price C$4.38 Drills Turning on Multiple Fronts; Haile Continues to Impress Link to the Full Research Document Integra Gold Corp. ICG-TSX, Sep-15-16, price C$0.77 Assessing Lamaque’s Bigger Picture Link to the Full Research Document Newmarket Gold Inc. NMI-TSX, Sep-14-16, price C$3.90 Fosterville Drilling – Harrier Continues to Show Promise Link to the Full Research Document SEMAFO Inc. SMF-TSX, Sep-14-16, price C$5.88 Mana Update, 3 year Targets: Mixed Compared with Expectations Link to the Full Research Document Endeavour Mining Corp. EDV-TSX, Sep-14-16, price C$23.21 Ity Update: Not an Itty-Bitty Mine Link to the Full Research Document Altius Minerals Corp. ALS-TSX, Sep-14-16, price C$9.72 Portfolio Opportunities Knock and Increasing Cash flow Expected Link to the Full Research Document Newmarket Gold Inc. NMI-TSX, Sep-14-16, price C$3.90 NMI – Fosterville Resource Drilling Returns High Grades and Visible Gold Link to the Full Research Document Alacer Gold Corp. ASR-TSX, Sep-13-16, price C$3.42 PFS for Gediktepe (Dursunbey) Adds Asset to Project Pipeline Link to the Full Research Document Alamos Gold Inc. AGI-NYSE, Sep-12-16, price US$7.88 AGI Increases Resources at La Yaqui Link to the Full Research Document Roxgold Inc. ROG-TSXV, Sep-12-16, price C$1.47 ROG – Operational Update from Yaramoko Link to the Full Research Document
Phil Russo
416.777.7084 [email protected]
Chris Thompson M.Sc. (Eng), P.Geo
604.659.8439 [email protected]
Alex Terentiew MBA
416.777.4912 [email protected]
Brandon Throop (Associate)
416.777.7165 [email protected]
Justin Stevens (Associate)
604.659.8470 [email protected]
Kyle Franklin (Associate)
416.777.7144 [email protected]
Canada Research | Page 2 of 14 Mining
Raymond James Ltd. | 2100 – 925 West Georgia Street | Vancouver BC Canada V6C 3L2
Recent Industry Research & Initiations: Integra Gold Corp. ICG-TSX, Sep-15-16, price C$0.77 Assessing Lamaque’s Bigger Picture Link to the Full Research Document Orezone Gold. ORE-TSXV, Aug-19-16, price C$1.18 and Roxgold. ROG-TSXV, Aug-19-16, price C$1.60 ORE + ROG – Opposites (are) Attract(ive) Link to the Full Research Document Precious Metals: Moving Price Decks Higher As Economic Backdrop Supports Momentum, Jun-27-16 Link to the Full Research Document
Mining Canada Research | Page 3 of 14
Raymond James Ltd. | 2100 – 925 West Georgia Street | Vancouver BC Canada V6C 3L2
CANADIAN METALS DAILY COMPS - PRECIOUS METALS Sep-19-16
Covered Senior Gold Producers Price Target Stock Target Mkt Cap Cash Total Debt EV Dividend NAVPS P/NAV
($) Price Rating Return ($mln) (mln) ($mln) ($mln) Yield 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E ($) (x)
Agnico Eagle AEM-NYSE | AEM-TSX US$51.44 $53.00 H/INC MP3 3% $11,496 $163 $1,080 $12,413 0.6% $809 $1,027 15.3x 12.1x $297 $559 2% 5% $3.63 $4.60 14.2x 11.2x 1,549 1,556 $594 $613 $24.56 1.90x PR
Barrick Gold ABX-NYSE | ABX-TSX US$17.34 $20.00 H/INC MP3 15% $20,166 $2,323 $9,126 $26,969 0.5% $3,892 $4,261 6.9x 6.3x $1,467 $2,102 5% 8% $2.45 $3.13 7.1x 5.5x 5,213 5,003 $577 $588 $8.06 1.64x PR
Goldcorp GG-NYSE | G-TSX US$15.57 $24.00 H/INC OP2 54% $13,258 $401 $3,201 $16,058 0.8% $1,541 $2,144 10.4x 7.5x $338 $835 2% 5% $1.66 $2.08 9.4x 7.5x 2,959 2,987 $634 $606 $11.65 1.26x PR
Kinross KGC-NYSE | K-TSX US$4.09 $7.00 H/GRW OP2 71% $5,056 $750 $1,982 $6,288 0.0% $1,328 $1,671 4.7x 3.8x $388 $627 6% 10% $0.90 $1.15 4.5x 3.6x 2,663 2,573 $728 $703 $4.67 0.90x PR
Yamana Gold AUY-NYSE | YRI-TSX US$4.39 $7.00 H/INC OP2 60% $4,135 $125 $1,733 $5,743 0.5% $851 $1,018 6.7x 5.6x $279 $291 5% 5% $0.75 $0.84 5.8x 5.2x 1,442 1,523 $649 $649 $4.01 1.06x PRAverage 41% 0.5% 8.8x 7.1x 4% 7% 8.2x 6.6x 1.35x
Covered Intermediate Gold Producers Price Target Stock Target Mkt Cap Cash Total Debt EV Dividend NAVPS P/NAV
($) Price Rating Return ($mln) (mln) ($mln) ($mln) Yield 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E ($) (x)
Alamos Gold AGI-NYSE | AGI-TSX US$7.87 $10.00 H/INC OP2 27% $2,095 $274 $314 $2,135 0.3% $175 $227 12.2x 9.4x ($21) $43 -1% 2% $0.52 $0.73 15.2x 10.8x 390 407 $778 $760 $7.60 1.03x PR
B2Gold BTO-TSX C$3.59 $5.00 H/GRW OP2 39% $2,525 $100 $462 $2,887 0.0% $271 $332 10.7x 8.7x ($137) ($2) -5% 0% $0.28 $0.28 9.8x 9.6x 546 540 $555 $610 $3.07 1.14x CT
Detour Gold DGC-TSX C$27.84 $38.50 H/SPEC OP2 38% $3,683 $154 $401 $3,930 0.0% $233 $401 16.9x 9.8x $189 $282 5% 7% $1.57 $2.22 13.4x 9.5x 524 623 $727 $690 $22.76 0.93x PR
Eldorado Gold EGO-NYSE | ELD-TSX US$3.99 $7.00 H/GRW OP2 75% $2,840 $717 $590 $2,714 0.5% $227 $300 12.0x 9.1x ($261) ($141) -10% -5% $0.25 $0.34 16.0x 11.9x 512 417 $642 $554 $5.79 0.67x PR
Endeavour Mining EDV-TSX C$23.96 $27.00 H/GRW OP2 13% $1,680 $117 $239 $1,802 0.0% $284 $416 6.4x 4.3x $54 ($25) 3% -1% $2.20 $3.06 8.2x 5.9x 471 556 $729 $748 $19.89 1.21x CT
IAMGOLD IAG-NYSE | IMG-TSX US$3.99 $5.50 H/GRW MP3 38% $1,817 $554 $629 $1,891 0.0% $303 $405 6.2x 4.7x ($20) ($15) -1% -1% $0.60 $0.75 6.7x 5.3x 781 816 $798 $843 $3.92 1.02x PR
New Gold NGD-AMEX | NGD-TSX US$4.44 $4.75 H/GRW MP3 7% $2,265 $295 $789 $2,759 0.0% $342 $383 8.1x 7.2x ($348) ($173) -13% -6% $0.59 $0.61 7.5x 7.2x 392 395 $657 $702 $3.69 1.17x PR
OceanaGold OGC-TSX C$4.25 $6.00 H/GRW OP2 42% $1,961 $104 $228 $2,085 0.6% $296 $438 7.1x 4.8x ($57) $322 -3% 15% $0.48 $0.72 6.8x 4.5x 516 594 $584 $533 $4.07 1.04x CT
Tahoe Resources THO-TSX | TAHO-NYSE C$17.66 $22.25 H/INC OP2 28% $4,150 $91 $35 $4,094 1.8% $411 $536 10.0x 7.6x $157 $219 4% 5% $1.13 $1.51 11.8x 8.9x 706 798 $610 $637 $15.52 1.15x CTAverage 34% 0.3% 9.9x 7.3x -2% 2% 10.6x 8.2x 1.04x
Covered Junior Gold Producers Price Target Stock Target Mkt Cap Cash Total Debt EV Current NAVPS P/NAV
($) Price Rating Return ($mln) (mln) ($mln) ($mln) Yield 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E ($) (x)
Asanko Gold AKG-TSX C$5.34 $6.75 H/GRW OP2 26% $813 $159 $119 $772 0.0% $38 $119 20.5x 6.5x ($32) $15 -4% 2% $0.14 $0.47 28.6x 8.7x 145 193 $966 $754 $5.31 1.00x CT
Guyana Goldfields GUY-TSX C$8.74 $10.50 H/SPEC MP3 20% $1,118 $19 $139 $1,239 0.0% $124 $141 10.0x 8.8x $60 $96 5% 8% $0.60 $0.64 11.0x 10.4x 157 204 $535 $683 $6.90 0.96x PR
Mandalay Resources MND-TSX C$1.07 $1.40 H/INC OP2 35% $365 $41 $58 $382 3.7% $85 $124 4.5x 3.1x $44 $73 11% 19% $0.21 $0.27 3.9x 3.0x 175 190 $700 $674 $1.17 0.91x CT
Newmarket Gold NMI-TSX C$4.25 $5.00 H/GRW OP2 18% $571 $52 $0 $519 0.0% $119 $142 4.4x 3.7x $69 $84 13% 16% $0.64 $0.75 5.0x 4.3x 231 221 $696 $713 $4.15 1.03x CT
Roxgold ROG-TSXV C$1.58 $2.25 H/GRW OP2 42% $441 $44 $77 $526 0.0% $26 $83 20.4x 6.4x ($28) $76 -5% 14% $0.11 $0.24 14.9x 6.6x 64 98 $502 $457 $1.74 0.91x CT
SEMAFO SMF-TSX C$5.47 $7.25 H/GRW OP2 33% $1,342 $167 $59 $1,234 0.0% $171 $184 7.2x 6.7x $75 $60 6% 5% $0.45 $0.47 9.3x 8.9x 242 236 $532 $535 $5.82 0.93x CTAverage 26% 0.6% 9.3x 5.7x 6% 10% 11.6x 7.0x 0.97x
Covered Royalty & Streaming MinersPrice Target Stock Target Mkt Cap Cash Total Debt EV Current NAVPS P/NAV
($) Price Rating Return ($mln) (mln) ($mln) ($mln) Yield 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E ($) (x)
Franco-Nevada FNV-NYSE | FNV-TSX US$70.18 $75.00 H/INC OP2 7% $12,468 $637 $460 $12,291 1.2% $466 $536 26.4x 22.9x $416 $463 3% 4% $2.41 $2.60 29.1x 27.0x 452 475 $246 $304 $34.73 2.07x PR
Royal Gold RGLD-NASDAQ | RGL-TSX US$75.56 $85.00 H/INC OP2 12% $4,932 $118 $677 $5,492 1.2% $275 $368 20.0x 14.9x $193 $316 4% 6% $3.04 $4.84 24.9x 15.6x 323 346 $237 $230 $40.78 1.71x PR
Sandstorm Gold SSL-TSX | SAND-NYSE C$7.15 $7.25 H/GRW OP2 1% $813 $5 $77 $885 0.0% $50 $47 17.8x 19.0x $38 $48 5% 6% $0.24 $0.30 22.3x 17.9x 47 51 $283 $298 $4.61 1.22x PR
Silver Wheaton SLW-NYSE | SLW-TSX US$26.60 $33.50 H/INC OP2 26% $11,706 $216 $1,371 $12,861 1.0% $652 $757 19.7x 17.0x $621 $729 5% 6% $1.46 $1.66 18.2x 16.0x 765 767 $329 $357 $18.61 1.43x PRAverage 12% 0.9% 21.0x 18.4x 4% 6% 23.6x 19.1x 1.61x
Covered Gold Developers/ExplorersPrice Target Stock Target Mkt Cap Cash Total Debt EV Dividend NAVPS P/NAV
($) Price Rating Return ($mln) (mln) ($mln) ($mln) Yield 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E Start 2016E Stage 2016E ($) (x)#######
Alacer Gold ASR-TSX C$3.37 $4.50 H/GRW OP2 33% $744 $311 $0 $433 0.0% $71 $72 6.1x 6.0x ($180) ($315) -42% -73% $0.28 $0.25 9.2x 10.1x na 125 Prod. $647 $4.13 0.52x PR
ATAC Resources ATC-TSXV C$0.52 UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR -
Integra Gold ICG-TSXV C$0.76 $1.10 H/SPEC OP2 44% $257 $57 $0 $200 0.0% ($1) ($5) nm nm ($4) ($56) -2% -28% ($0.01) ($0.01) nm nm 2018E na Devel. na $1.15 0.56x PR
Orezone ORE-TSXV C$0.63 $1.10 H/SPEC OP2 75% $73 $7 $0 $67 0.0% ($5) ($4) nm nm ($4) ($4) -7% -6% ($0.03) ($0.03) nm nm 2019E na Devel. na $1.87 0.27x CTAverage 51% 0.0% 6.1x 6.0x -17% -36% 9.2x 10.1x 0.45x
Covered Silver ProducersPrice Target Stock Target Mkt Cap Cash Total Debt EV Current NAVPS P/NAV
($) Price Rating Return ($mln) (mln) ($mln) ($mln) Yield 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E ($) (x)########
Coeur Mining CDE-NYSE US$12.43 $16.50 H/GRW OP2 33% $2,018 $258 $511 $2,272 0.0% $239 $338 9.5x 6.7x $55 $152 2% 7% $1.20 $1.68 10.4x 7.4x 41.9 44.1 $11.16 $11.17 $10.38 1.19x CT
Endeavour Silver EDR-TSX | EXK-NYSE C$6.43 $5.50 H/GRW MP3 -14% $611 $20 $19 $610 0.0% $50 $65 12.2x 9.3x $10 ($40) 2% -7% $0.30 $0.38 16.0x 12.9x 9.4 8.1 $11.45 $11.32 $4.20 1.64x CT
First Majestic Silver FR-TSX | AG-NYSE C$15.05 $11.25 H/GRW UP4 -25% $1,862 $71 $67 $1,858 0.0% $144 $166 12.9x 11.2x $57 $82 3% 4% $0.73 $0.83 15.6x 13.7x 19.0 17.7 $9.05 $9.96 $7.08 2.24x CT
Fortuna Silver FVI-TSX | FSM-NYSE C$9.74 $12.00 H/GRW OP2 23% $1,071 $96 $41 $1,016 0.0% $97 $130 10.5x 7.8x $22 ($17) 2% -2% $0.53 $0.71 13.8x 10.4x 14.1 14.9 $8.35 $8.61 $7.79 1.26x CT
Pan American Silver PAAS-NASDAQ | PAA-TSX US$16.92 $18.50 H/INC OP2 10% $2,575 $178 $60 $2,457 0.3% $209 $275 11.7x 8.9x ($25) $102 -1% 4% $1.23 $1.46 13.8x 11.6x 48.1 43.5 $7.98 $7.51 $12.29 1.46x CT
Silvercorp Metals SVM-TSX C$4.26 $3.00 H/GRW MP3 -30% $538 $62 $9 $485 0.0% $54 $61 9.0x 7.9x $9 $28 2% 6% $0.24 $0.27 13.2x 11.7x 8.7 8.6 $10.58 $10.90 $2.16 2.00x CTAverage -1% 0.0% 11.0x 8.7x 2% 2% 13.8x 11.3x 1.63x
Covered Silver Developers/ExplorersPrice Target Stock Target Mkt Cap Cash Total Debt EV Current NAVPS P/NAV
($) Price Rating Return ($mln) (mln) ($mln) ($mln) Yield 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E Start 2016E Stage 2016E ($) (x)
Bear Creek BCM-TSXV C$3.13 $4.00 H/SPEC OP2 28% $244 $18 $0 $226 0.0% ($4) ($6) nm nm ($4) ($6) -2% -3% ($0.04) ($0.05) nm nm 2020E na Feas. na $7.46 0.37x CT
MAG Silver MAG-TSX | MAG-NYSE C$20.40 $22.50 H/SPEC OP2 10% $1,240 $142 $0 $1,098 0.0% ($4) ($5) nm nm ($16) ($58) -1% -5% ($0.06) ($0.06) nm nm 2019E na Devel. na $17.58 1.18x CTAverage 19.0% 0.0% nm nm -2% -4% nm nm 0.78xCT = Chris Thompson; PR = Phil RussoNote: M/INC - Medium Risk/Income, M/GRW - Medium Risk/Growth, H/INC - High Risk/Income, H/GRW - High Risk/Growth, H/SPEC - High Risk/Speculation, UR - Under Review, R - Restricted.Source: Bloomberg, Capital IQ, Raymond James Ltd.
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Precious Metals - Gold & Silver
Canada Research | Page 4 of 14 Mining
Raymond James Ltd. | 2100 – 925 West Georgia Street | Vancouver BC Canada V6C 3L2
Covered Base Metals ProducersRep. Price Target Stock Target Mkt Cap EV Current NAVPS P/NAV
Currency ($) Price Rating Return ($mln) ($mln) Yield 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E ($) (x)
Capstone Mining Corp. CS-TSX USD C$0.75 $1.30 H/GRW OP2 73% $286 $446 0.0% ($0.07) $0.03 nm 17.0x $0.29 $0.30 2.0x 1.9x $126 $141 3.6x 3.2x $1.25 0.45x AT
Copper Mountain Mining Corp. CUM-TSX CAD C$0.46 $0.70 H/GRW MP3 54% $54 $489 0.0% ($0.08) $0.16 nm 2.9x $0.30 $0.42 1.5x 1.1x $55 $89 8.8x 5.5x $1.38 0.33x AT
First Quantum Minerals Ltd. FM-TSX | FQM-LSE USD C$10.57 $14.00 H/GRW OP2 32% $7,286 $10,715 0.2% $0.25 $0.47 30.0x 17.0x $1.39 $1.62 5.8x 4.9x $1,122 $1,391 9.5x 7.7x $15.19 0.53x AT
HudBay Minerals, Inc. HBM-TSX | HBM-NYSE USD C$4.95 $8.25 H/GRW OP2 67% $1,144 $2,027 0.5% $0.09 $0.48 30.0x 7.8x $1.13 $1.17 3.3x 3.2x $340 $448 6.0x 4.5x $7.09 0.53x AT
Imperial Metals Corp. III-TSX CAD C$6.46 UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR -
Lundin Mining Corporation LUN-TSX USD C$4.95 $6.25 H/GRW MP3 26% $3,562 $3,397 0.0% $0.04 $0.35 30.0x 10.7x $0.68 $0.72 5.5x 5.2x $530 $643 6.4x 5.3x $4.02 0.93x AT
Nevsun Resources Ltd. NSU-TSX | NSU-NYSE MKT USD C$4.14 $5.00 H/INC MP3 21% $1,240 $831 3.9% $0.13 $0.07 24.2x 30.0x $0.48 $0.29 6.6x 10.7x $167 $111 5.0x 7.5x $4.98 0.63x AT
Taseko Mines Ltd. TKO-TSX | TGB-NYSE MKT CAD C$0.60 $0.95 H/GRW MP3 58% $134 $419 0.0% ($0.28) ($0.05) nm nm $0.08 $0.40 8.0x 1.5x $6 $90 71.0x 4.7x $1.40 0.43x AT
Teck Resources Limited TCK.B-TSX | TCK-NYSE CAD C$24.11 $21.00 H/INC MP3 -13% $13,890 $21,839 0.4% $0.88 $1.64 27.4x 14.7x $3.81 $4.56 6.3x 5.3x $2,492 $3,120 8.8x 7.0x $13.91 1.73x AT
Trevali Mining Corp. TV-TSX CAD C$0.92 $1.30 H/SPEC OP2 41% $346 $438 0.0% $0.08 $0.20 10.9x 4.6x $0.17 $0.27 5.4x 3.4x $65 $118 6.7x 3.7x $0.88 1.04x ATAverage 40% 0.5% 25.4x 13.1x 4.9x 4.1x 14.0x 5.4x 0.73x
Covered Base Metals DevelopersRep. Price Target Stock Target Mkt Cap EV Current NAVPS P/NAV
Currency ($) Price Rating Return ($mln) ($mln) Yield 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E ($) (x)
Ivanhoe Mines Limited IVN-TSX USD C$1.86 $2.25 H/SPEC OP2 21% $1,445 $702 0.0% ($0.04) ($0.07) nm nm $0.05 $0.17 27.5x 8.5x ($52) ($57) nm nm $2.44 0.58x ATAverage 21% 0.0% nm nm 27.5x 8.5x nm nm 0.58x
Covered Iron Ore and Base Metal Royalty CompaniesRep. Price Target Stock Target Mkt Cap EV Current NAVPS P/NAV
Currency ($) Price Rating Return ($mln) ($mln) Yield 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E ($) (x)
Altius Minerals Corp. ALS-TSX CAD C$9.93 $14.50 H/GRW OP2 46% $431 $478 1.2% ($0.14) $0.07 nm 30.0x $0.31 $0.57 30.0x 17.6x $19 $44 25.4x 10.9x $10.44 0.95x AT
Labrador Iron Ore Royalty Corp. LIF-TSX CAD C$13.14 $17.00 H/INC MP3 29% $841 $820 7.6% $0.86 $1.46 15.3x 9.0x $0.94 $1.27 13.9x 10.3x $82 $102 10.0x 8.0x $18.46 0.71x ATAverage 4.4% 15.3x 19.5x 22.0x 13.9x 17.7x 9.5x 0.83x
Covered Uranium Producers/FundRep. Price Target Stock Target Mkt Cap EV Current NAVPS P/NAV
Currency ($) Price Rating Return ($mln) ($mln) Yield 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E ($) (x)
Cameco Corporation CCO-TSX | CCJ-NYSE CAD C$11.59 UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR -
Paladin Energy PDN-TSX | PDN-ASX USD C$0.16 UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR -
Uranium Participation (Fund) U-TSX CAD C$4.05 UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR -
UR Energy URE-TSX | URG-NYSE MKT USD C$0.68 UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR -Average nm nm nm nm nm nm nm nm nm
Covered Uranium Explorers/DevelopersRep. Price Target Stock Target Mkt Cap EV Current NAVPS P/NAV
Currency ($) Price Rating Return ($mln) ($mln) Yield 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E ($) (x)
Denison Mines DML-TSX | DNN-NYSE MKT USD C$0.62 UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR -
Fission Uranium FCU-TSX CAD C$0.64 UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR -
Kivalliq Energy KIV-TSXV CAD C$0.09 UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR -
NexGen Energy NXE-TSX CAD C$1.91 UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR -
UEX Corporation UEX-TSX CAD C$0.21 UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR UR -Average nm nm nm nm nm nm nm nm nmAT = Alex TerentiewNote: M/INC - Medium Risk/Income, M/GRW - Medium Risk/Growth, H/INC - High Risk/Income, H/GRW - High Risk/Growth, H/SPEC - High Risk/Speculation, UR - Under Review, R - Restricted.
Source: Bloomberg, Capital IQ, Raymond James Ltd.
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EPS P/E CFPS
EV/EBITDAAnalyst
Company Name
Company Name
Company Name
Company Name
Company Name
Suitability
Analyst
Symbol
Symbol
Symbol
Symbol
Symbol
Sep-19-16
Base Metals & Minerals
Mining Canada Research | Page 5 of 14
Raymond James Ltd. | 2100 – 925 West Georgia Street | Vancouver BC Canada V6C 3L2
Copper - Spot Prices (US$/lb) & LME Inventories (kt) Gold/Silver - Spot Prices (US$/oz)
2016E 2017E 2016E 2017E
52.99675181 nm(Invalid Identifier)20.00 nm
Nevsun Resources Ltd.*
4153.06704
Zinc - Spot Prices (US$/lb) & LME Inventories (kt) Nickel - Spot Prices (US$/lb) & LME Inventories (kt)
14.5
OP2
2020 1 Week 4 Weeks 1 Year RJL
2013A 2014A 2015A 2016E 2017E 2018E Long-term Last Close Date Last Close Prev. Close % Chg % Chg % Chg % Chg 2016E
RJL Commodity Price Forecast: PricesCopper (US$/lb) $3.33 $3.11 $2.50 $2.22 $2.45 $2.65 $3.00 Copper (US$/lb) Sep-16-16 $2.16 $2.16 0.1% 3.4% -0.3% -9.5% $2.22
Zinc (US$/lb) $0.87 $0.98 $0.88 $0.94 $1.10 $1.15 $1.00 Zinc (US$/lb) Sep-16-16 $1.00 $1.01 -0.7% -3.5% -3.8% 31.5% $0.94
Nickel (US$/lb) $6.82 $7.66 $5.38 $4.47 $5.25 $5.50 $7.00 Nickel (US$/lb) Sep-16-16 $4.39 $4.38 0.1% -6.3% -6.1% 0.3% $4.47
Lead (US$/lb) $0.97 $0.95 $0.81 $0.82 $0.85 $0.85 $0.90 Lead (US$/lb) Sep-16-16 $0.88 $0.88 -0.3% 2.3% 3.5% 15.1% $0.82
Molybdenum (US$/lb) $10.20 $11.38 $6.70 $6.22 $6.50 $6.50 $6.00 Molybdenum (US$/lb) Sep-16-16 $7.26 $7.26 0.0% 0.0% 1.6% 30.6% $6.22
Cobalt (US$/lb) $12.33 $13.99 $13.09 $10.88 $11.50 $12.00 $12.00 Cobalt (US$/lb) Sep-16-16 $12.13 $12.13 0.0% 0.9% 0.9% -3.6% $10.88
Gold (US$/oz) $1,413 $1,266 $1,160 $1,292 $1,400 $1,400 $1,400 Gold (US$/oz) Sep-16-16 $1,310 $1,315 -0.3% -1.3% -2.3% 15.0% $1,292
Silver (US$/oz) $23.90 $19.08 $15.70 $17.53 $20.00 $20.00 $20.00 Silver (US$/oz) Sep-16-16 $18.78 $18.98 -1.1% -1.4% -2.7% 23.7% $17.53
Platinum (US$/oz) $1,487 $1,385 $1,056 $1,005 $1,075 $1,100 $1,250 Platinum (US$/oz) Sep-16-16 $1,018 $1,032 -1.4% -4.2% -8.7% 3.8% $1,005
Palladium (US$/oz) $726 $803 $692 $611 $675 $700 $775 Palladium (US$/oz) Sep-16-16 $673 $657 2.6% -0.4% -5.2% 11.0% $611
Uranium (US$/lb) $39 $33 $37 $38 $50 $60 $70 Uranium (US$/lb) Sep-16-16 $25.25 $25.25 0.0% -0.6% -1.9% -32.2% $38
Iron Ore Fines (US$/t) $136 $97 $56 $55 $55 $55 $58 Iron Ore Fines (US$/t) Sep-16-16 $55.97 $55.97 0.0% -3.1% -8.2% -3.0% $55
Coking Coal (US$/t) $159 $126 $102 $92 $112 $112 $115 Coking Coal (US$/t) Sep-16-16 $187.00 $185.00 1.1% 10.2% 69.2% 133.8% $92Copper Inventories
LME (tonnes) Sep-16-16 349,000 349,225 -0.1% -0.5% 65.7% 4.1%
USD/CAD 0.97 0.90 0.78 0.76 0.76 0.81 0.85 COMEX (tonnes) Sep-16-16 77,466 77,282 0.2% 2.4% 5.9% 77.9%
USD/EUR 1.33 1.33 1.11 1.12 1.11 1.15 1.19 SHANGHAI (tonnes) Sep-15-16 136,329 143,716 -5.1% -5.1% -21.0% -7.8%Total Copper Inv. 562,795 570,223 -1.3% -1.3% 23.3% 6.9%
Source: Bloomberg, Capital IQ, Raymond James Ltd.
CANADIAN METALS DAILY COMPS Sep-19-16
$0
$6
$12
$18
$24
$30
$36
$42
$48
$54
$60
$1,000
$1,100
$1,200
$1,300
$1,400
$1,500
$1,600
$1,700
$1,800
$1,900
$2,000
Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 Jul-15 Jan-16 Jul-16
Silv
er S
po
t P
rice
s ($
/oz)
Go
ld S
po
t P
rice
s ($
/oz)
Gold Silver
-
75
150
225
300
375
450
525
600
675
750
825
$1.90
$2.15
$2.40
$2.65
$2.90
$3.15
$3.40
$3.65
$3.90
$4.15
$4.40
$4.65
Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 Jul-15 Jan-16 Jul-16
Tota
l In
ven
tori
es o
f LM
E st
ock
s (k
t)
Spo
t P
rice
s ($
/lb
)
-
150
300
450
600
750
900
1,050
1,200
1,350
1,500
$0.50
$0.60
$0.70
$0.80
$0.90
$1.00
$1.10
$1.20
$1.30
$1.40
$1.50
Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 Jul-15 Jan-16 Jul-16
Tota
l In
ven
tori
es o
f LM
E st
ock
s (k
t)
Spo
t P
rice
s ($
/lb
)
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
$3.00
$4.00
$5.00
$6.00
$7.00
$8.00
$9.00
$10.00
$11.00
$12.00
$13.00
$14.00
Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 Jul-15 Jan-16 Jul-16
Tota
l In
ven
tori
es o
f LM
E s
tock
s (k
t)
Spo
t P
rice
s ($
/lb
)
Canada Research | Page 6 of 14 Mining
Raymond James Ltd. | 2100 – 925 West Georgia Street | Vancouver BC Canada V6C 3L2
BTO-T | BTG-N
(Invalid Identifier)
Source: Bloomberg, Capital IQ, Raymond James Ltd.
CANADIAN METALS DAILY COMPS - PRECIOUS METALS Sep-19-16
Precious Metals - Gold & Silver
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 Jul-15 Jan-16 Jul-16
Go
ld S
po
t ($
/oz)
Go
ld H
old
ings
by
ETFs
(ko
z)
Total Known Gold Holdings by ETFs
Gold - Total known ETFs Gold, Spot
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 Jul-15 Jan-16 Jul-16
Silv
er S
po
t ($
/oz)
Silv
er
Ho
ldin
gs b
y ET
Fs (
koz)
Total Known Silver Holdings by ETFs
Silver - Total known ETFs Silver, Spot
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 Jul-15 Jan-16 Jul-16
Go
ld S
po
t ($
/oz)
Ne
t Lo
ng
Po
siti
on
s (k
oz)
Gold - Non-Commercial Net Long Positions
Non-Commercial Gold Combined Positions (CFTC NYME Futures) Gold, Spot
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 Jul-15 Jan-16 Jul-16
Silv
er S
po
t ($
/oz)
Ne
t Lo
ng
Po
siti
on
s (k
oz)
Silver - Non-Commercial Net Long Positions
Non-Commercial Silver Combined Positions (CFTC NYME Futures) Silver, Spot
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 Jul-15 Jan-16 Jul-16G
old
/ S
ilve
r R
atio
Gold / Silver Ratio
3.0
8.0
13.0
18.0
23.0
28.0
33.0
Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 Jul-15 Jan-16 Jul-16
Go
ld P
rice
/ X
AU
In
de
x
Gold Price / XAU Index
Mining Canada Research | Page 7 of 14
Raymond James Ltd. | 2100 – 925 West Georgia Street | Vancouver BC Canada V6C 3L2
As of:
Source: Bloomberg, Capital IQ, Raymond James Ltd.
Sep-15-16
CANADIAN METALS DAILY COMPS - FORWARD CURVES Sep-19-16
Precious Metals - Gold & Silver
2.15
2.16
2.17
2.18
2.19
2.20
Pri
ce (
$/l
b.)
Forward Curve - Copper
0.96
0.98
1.00
1.02
1.04
1.06
1.08
Pri
ce (
$/l
b.)
Forward Curve - Zinc
4.30
4.40
4.50
4.60
Pri
ce (
$/m
t)
Forward Curve - Nickel
0.84
0.85
0.86
0.87
0.88
0.89
0.90
0.91
0.92
Pri
ce (
$/l
b.)
Forward Curve - Lead
12.00
12.10
12.20
12.30
12.40
Pri
ce (
$/l
b.)
Forward Curve - Cobalt
7.00
7.20
7.40
7.60
Pri
ce (
$/l
b.)
Forward Curve - Molybdenum
1,300
1,320
1,340
1,360
1,380
1,400
Pri
ce (
$/t
oz.
)
Forward Curve - Gold
18.5018.7519.0019.2519.5019.7520.0020.2520.5020.7521.00
Pri
ce (
$/t
oz.
)
Forward Curve - Silver
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
Pri
ce (
$/t
oz.
)
Forward Curve - Platinum
652
654
656
658
660
662
Pri
ce (
$/t
oz.
)
Forward Curve - Palladium
0.70
0.71
0.72
0.73
0.74
0.75
0.76
Pri
ce (
$/l
b.)
Forward Curve - Aluminum
24
26
28
30
Pri
ce (
$/l
b.)
Forward Curve - Uranium
Canada Research | Page 8 of 14 Mining
Raymond James Ltd. | 2100 – 925 West Georgia Street | Vancouver BC Canada V6C 3L2
Source: Capital IQ, Raymond James Ltd.
Sep-19-16RJL Mining Universe Leaders & Laggards
1 Week % Return 3 Month % Return YTD % Return 1 Year % Return
-2%
-2%
-4%
-5%
-5%
6%
4%
-3%
-4%
-4%
-8%
-9%
-10%
-11%
7%
-2%
-5%
-6%
-11%
5%
5%
-1%
-1%
-13%
3%
-4%
-4%
-5%
-14%
-6%
-6%
-7%
-7%
-9%
-10%
-6%
-13%
11%
7%
7%
3%
0%
-2%
-3%
-4%
-4%
-14%
-1%
1%
0%
0%
-2%
13%
-2%
-7%
-7%
-13%
-25%-20%-15%-10%-5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
ABX
AEM
KGC
AUY
GG
EGO
EDV
BTO
THO
DGC
NGD
AGI
IAG
OGC
NMI
MND
GUY
AKG
SMF
ORE
ROG
ICG
ASR
ATC
ALS
FNV
RGLD
SLW
SSL
CDE
FR
SVM
PAA
EDR
FVI
MAG
BCM
TCK.B
TKO
CS
TV
CUM
FM
NSU
LUN
HBM
IVN
LIF
U
URE
PDN
CCO
KIV
FCU
UEX
DML
NXE
2%
-9%
-13%
-14%
-18%
26%
17%
8%
3%
3%
3%
-3%
-4%
-7%
10%
2%
0%
-7%
-8%
13%
9%
7%
-34%
-44%
27%
20%
14%
-1%
-7%
57%
37%
34%
20%
13%
-6%
22%
20%
64%
57%
21%
15%
14%
8%
-3%
-6%
-23%
94%
5%
-3%
-8%
-16%
-19%
13%
-10%
-13%
-16%
-30%
-100% -50% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200%
AEM
AUY
GG
ABX
KGC
BTO
EDV
NGD
IAG
AGI
THO
OGC
EGO
DGC
NMI
AKG
MND
GUY
SMF
ASR
ROG
ICG
ATC
ORE
SLW
SSL
RGLD
FNV
ALS
SVM
EDR
CDE
FVI
PAA
FR
MAG
BCM
TV
TCK.B
FM
CS
LUN
NSU
CUM
TKO
HBM
IVN
LIF
U
URE
PDN
CCO
KIV
FCU
UEX
DML
NXE
157%
151%
121%
110%
15%
299%
123%
123%
90%
86%
78%
70%
59%
26%
217%
163%
97%
74%
41%
171%
163%
133%
9%
9%
115%
86%
60%
58%
-15%
373%
298%
246%
209%
198%
136%
405%
111%
197%
80%
52%
39%
19%
6%
-3%
-23%
-23%
170%
-18%
-9%
-20%
-21%
-34%
198%
37%
29%
11%
-6%
-100% -50% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200%
ABX
AUY
KGC
AEM
GG
EDV
BTO
IAG
DGC
OGC
NGD
AGI
THO
EGO
NMI
AKG
GUY
SMF
MND
ICG
ROG
ORE
ATC
ASR
SLW
SSL
FNV
RGLD
ALS
SVM
CDE
FR
FVI
EDR
PAA
BCM
MAG
TCK.B
TV
FM
CS
LUN
NSU
TKO
CUM
HBM
IVN
LIF
URE
PDN
U
CCO
NXE
UEX
KIV
DML
FCU
Sen
ior
Go
ld
Pro
du
cers
Jun
ior
Go
ld
Pro
du
cers
Go
ld
Dev
elo
per
sR
oya
lty
&
Stre
amin
g M
iner
s
Silv
er
Pro
du
cers
Silver Developers
Bas
e M
etal
Pro
du
cers
Base Metal Developers
Ura
niu
m
Pro
du
cers
Ura
niu
m
Dev
elo
per
sIn
term
edia
te G
old
Iron Ore Companies
136%
135%
125%
96%
35%
214%
181%
156%
129%
93%
91%
61%
48%
34%
215%
184%
163%
67%
56%
129%
126%
124%
76%
36%
114%
107%
99%
53%
-2%
545%
401%
234%
225%
213%
147%
440%
109%
351%
104%
80%
70%
30%
24%
10%
2%
-7%
205%
37%
-21%
-24%
-32%
-36%
165%
37%
-10%
-11%
-22%
-100% -50% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200%
AUY
ABX
KGC
AEM
GG
EDV
IAG
BTO
AGI
DGC
NGD
OGC
THO
EGO
NMI
GUY
AKG
MND
SMF
ORE
ROG
ICG
ATC
ASR
SLW
RGLD
SSL
FNV
ALS
SVM
CDE
FR
EDR
FVI
PAA
BCM
MAG
TCK.B
FM
TV
CS
LUN
TKO
NSU
CUM
HBM
IVN
LIF
U
URE
CCO
PDN
NXE
UEX
KIV
DML
FCU
Mining Canada Research | Page 9 of 14
Raymond James Ltd. | 2100 – 925 West Georgia Street | Vancouver BC Canada V6C 3L2
Source: Capital IQ, Raymond James Ltd.
Senior Gold Producers
RJL Mining Universe Leaders & Laggards Sep-19-16
Junior Gold Producers
Uranium Producers/Fund Uranium Developers
Current Price Position within 52 Week High/Low Spread
Base Metal
DevelopersBase Metal ProducersSilver Developers
Silver ProducersRoyalty & Streaming Miners Gold Developers
Iron Ore Companies
Intermediate Gold Producers
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
AEM AUY ABX KGC GG
52 Week High
52 Week Low
RGLD SLW SSL FNV ALS
52 Week High
52 Week Low
NMI AKG GUY MND SMF
52 Week High
52 Week Low
SVM EDR PAA CDE FVI FR
52 Week High
52 Week Low
TCK.B TV FM LUN CS NSU HBM TKO CUM
52 Week High
52 Week Low
IVN
52 Week High
52 Week Low
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
LIF
52 Week High
52 Week Low
URE PDN U CCO
52 Week High
52 Week Low
KIV NXE UEX DML FCU
52 Week High
52 Week Low
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
BCM MAG
52 Week High
52 Week Low
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
ROG ASR ICG ORE ATC
52 Week High
52 Week Low
EDV BTO AGI DGC OGC THO EGO NGD IAG
52 Week High
52 Week Low
Canada Research | Page 10 of 14 Mining
Raymond James Ltd. | 2100 – 925 West Georgia Street | Vancouver BC Canada V6C 3L2
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Analyst Compensation: Equity research analysts and associates at Raymond James are compensated on a salary and bonus system. Several factors enter into the compensation determination for an analyst, including i) research quality and overall productivity, including success in rating stocks on an absolute basis and relative to the local exchange composite Index and/or a sector index, ii) recognition from institutional investors, iii) support effectiveness to the institutional and retail sales forces and traders, iv) commissions generated in stocks under coverage that are attributable to the analyst’s efforts, v) net revenues of the overall Equity Capital Markets Group, and vi) compensation levels for analysts at competing investment dealers.
Mining Canada Research | Page 11 of 14
Raymond James Ltd. | 2100 – 925 West Georgia Street | Vancouver BC Canada V6C 3L2
The views expressed in this report accurately reflect the personal views of the analyst(s) covering the subject securities. No part of said person's compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views contained in this research report. In addition, said analyst has not received compensation from any subject company in the last 12 months.
RATINGS AND DEFINITIONS
Raymond James Ltd. (Canada) definitions: Strong Buy (SB1) The stock is expected to appreciate and produce a total return of at least 15% and outperform the S&P/TSX Composite Index over the next six months. Outperform (MO2) The stock is expected to appreciate and outperform the S&P/TSX Composite Index over the next twelve months. Market Perform (MP3) The stock is expected to perform generally in line with the S&P/TSX Composite Index over the next twelve months and is potentially a source of funds for more highly rated securities. Underperform (MU4) The stock is expected to underperform the S&P/TSX Composite Index or its sector over the next six to twelve months and should be sold.
Raymond James & Associates (U.S.) definitions: Strong Buy (SB1) Expected to appreciate, produce a total return of at least 15%, and outperform the S&P 500 over the next six to 12 months. For higher yielding and more conservative equities, such as REITs and certain MLPs, a total return of at least 15% is expected to be realized over the next 12 months. Outperform (MO2) Expected to appreciate and outperform the S&P 500 over the next 12-18 months. For higher yielding and more conservative equities, such as REITs and certain MLPs, an Outperform rating is used for securities where we are comfortable with the relative safety of the dividend and expect a total return modestly exceeding the dividend yield over the next 12-18 months. Market Perform (MP3) Expected to perform generally in line with the S&P 500 over the next 12 months. Underperform (MU4) Expected to underperform the S&P 500 or its sector over the next six to 12 months and should be sold. Suspended (S) The rating and price target have been suspended temporarily. This action may be due to market events that made coverage impracticable, or to comply with applicable regulations or firm policies in certain circumstances, including when Raymond James may be providing investment banking services to the company. The previous rating and price target are no longer in effect for this security and should not be relied upon.
Raymond James Argentina S.A. rating definitions: Strong Buy (SB1) Expected to appreciate and produce a total return of at least 25.0% over the next twelve months. Outperform (MO2) Expected to appreciate and produce a total return of between 15.0% and 25.0% over the next twelve months. Market Perform (MP3) Expected to perform in line with the underlying country index. Underperform (MU4) Expected to underperform the underlying country index. Suspended (S) The rating and price target have been suspended temporarily. This action may be due to market events that made coverage impracticable, or to comply with applicable regulations or firm policies in certain circumstances, including when Raymond James may be providing investment banking services to the company. The previous rating and price target are no longer in effect for this security and should not be relied upon.
Raymond James Europe (Raymond James Euro Equities SAS & Raymond James Financial International Limited) rating definitions: Strong Buy (1) Expected to appreciate, produce a total return of at least 15%, and outperform the Stoxx 600 over the next 6 to 12 months. Outperform (2) Expected to appreciate and outperform the Stoxx 600 over the next 12 months. Market Perform (3) Expected to perform generally in line with the Stoxx 600 over the next 12 months. Underperform (4) Expected to underperform the Stoxx 600 or its sector over the next 6 to 12 months. Suspended (S) The rating and target price have been suspended temporarily. This action may be due to market events that made coverage impracticable, or to comply with applicable regulations or firm policies in certain circumstances, including when Raymond James may be providing investment banking services to the company. The previous rating and target price are no longer in effect for this security and should not be relied upon.
In transacting in any security, investors should be aware that other securities in the Raymond James research coverage universe might carry a higher or lower rating. Investors should feel free to contact their Financial Advisor to discuss the merits of other available investments.
Suitability Ratings (SR)
Medium Risk/Income (M/INC) Lower to average risk equities of companies with sound financials, consistent earnings, and dividend yields above that of the S&P 500. Many securities in this category are structured with a focus on providing a consistent dividend or return of capital.
Medium Risk/Growth (M/GRW) Lower to average risk equities of companies with sound financials, consistent earnings growth, the potential for long-term price appreciation, a potential dividend yield, and/or share repurchase program.
High Risk/Income (H/INC) Medium to higher risk equities of companies that are structured with a focus on providing a meaningful dividend but may face less predictable earnings (or losses), more leveraged balance sheets, rapidly changing market dynamics, financial and competitive issues, higher price volatility (beta), and potential risk of principal. Securities of companies in this category may have a less predictable income stream from dividends or distributions of capital.
High Risk/Growth (H/GRW) Medium to higher risk equities of companies in fast growing and competitive industries, with less predictable earnings (or losses), more leveraged balance sheets, rapidly changing market dynamics, financial or legal issues, higher price volatility (beta), and potential risk of principal.
High Risk/Speculation (H/SPEC) High risk equities of companies with a short or unprofitable operating history, limited or less predictable revenues, very high risk associated with success, significant financial or legal issues, or a substantial risk/loss of principal.
Canada Research | Page 12 of 14 Mining
Raymond James Ltd. | 2100 – 925 West Georgia Street | Vancouver BC Canada V6C 3L2
RATING DISTRIBUTIONS
Coverage Universe Rating Distribution* Investment Banking Distribution
RJL RJA RJ Arg RJEE/RJFI RJL RJA RJ Arg RJEE/RJFI
Strong Buy and Outperform (Buy) 70% 54% 53% 52% 41% 17% 11% 0%
Market Perform (Hold) 30% 42% 47% 34% 17% 8% 0% 0%
Underperform (Sell) 1% 4% 0% 14% 0% 5% 0% 0%
* Columns may not add to 100% due to rounding.
RAYMOND JAMES RELATIONSHIP DISCLOSURES
Raymond James Ltd. or its affiliates expects to receive or intends to seek compensation for investment banking services from all companies under research coverage within the next three months.
STOCK CHARTS, TARGET PRICES, AND VALUATION METHODOLOGIES
Valuation Methodology: The Raymond James methodology for assigning ratings and target prices includes a number of qualitative and quantitative factors including an assessment of industry size, structure, business trends and overall attractiveness; management effectiveness; competition; visibility; financial condition, and expected total return, among other factors. These factors are subject to change depending on overall economic conditions or industry- or company-specific occurrences.
RISK FACTORS
General Risk Factors: Following are some general risk factors that pertain to the businesses of the subject companies and the projected target prices and recommendations included on Raymond James research: (1) Industry fundamentals with respect to customer demand or product / service pricing could change and adversely impact expected revenues and earnings; (2) Issues relating to major competitors or market shares or new product expectations could change investor attitudes toward the sector or this stock; (3) Unforeseen developments with respect to the management, financial condition or accounting policies or practices could alter the prospective valuation.
Risks - Mining 1) Political risk - producing mines and exploration and development projects are in various countries/continents, companies are generally exposed to varying levels of political risk, including mine nationalization, higher royalties and taxes, and other regulatory challenges that may impact production levels and profitability. In addition, there is always a risk permits for continuing production or new development may not be attainable due to unforeseen circumstances. Furthermore, mining companies may be the subject of claims and litigation arising in the ordinary course and conduct of business, and thus may be forced to defend itself in court. 2) Development risk - in constructing, commissioning and expanding mining assets (potential for cost overruns) 3) FX risk - due to fluctuations in various currencies which may affect profitability of operations and/or capital costs estimates 4) Operating risk - of maintaining current production and cost profiles 5) Labour risk - Labour markets around the world as they relate to mining activities have been experiencing significant challenges hiring and retaining a sufficiently large workforce. In response to the labour tightness, compounded with high levels of inflation in many countries, there has been substantial upward pressure on wages. An inability to hire an adequate workforce and the rising wage demands continues to elevate the risk of labour disputes, which may result in strikes, and thereby impact future levels of production and sales. 6) Resource Risk - Although generally companies have NI43-101 compliant resources, there exists a risk that further work leads to a deterioration of the grade and/or size of the deposit. 7) Cost Inflation Risk - Our outlook assumes certain future capital and operating costs for operating mines and development projects. Although we apply conservative estimates to these assumptions, there is the risk that our assumptions versus actual incurred costs in the future may differ. 8) Commodity Price Risk - Our outlook assumes certain commodity price forecasts. Although we apply conservative estimates to these assumptions, there is the risk that our assumptions versus actual incurred commodity prices in the future may differ.
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Raymond James Ltd. | 2100 – 925 West Georgia Street | Vancouver BC Canada V6C 3L2
Additional Risk and Disclosure information, as well as more information on the Raymond James rating system and suitability categories, is available for Raymond James at rjcapitalmarkets.com/Disclosures/index and for Raymond James Limited at www.raymondjames.ca/researchdisclosures.
INTERNATIONAL DISCLOSURES
FOR CLIENTS IN THE UNITED STATES:
Any foreign securities discussed in this report are generally not eligible for sale in the U.S. unless they are listed on a U.S. exchange. This report is being provided to you for informational purposes only and does not represent a solicitation for the purchase or sale of a security in any state where such a solicitation would be illegal. Investing in securities of issuers organized outside of the U.S., including ADRs, may entail certain risks. The securities of non-U.S. issuers may not be registered with, nor be subject to the reporting requirements of, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. There may be limited information available on such securities. Investors who have received this report may be prohibited in certain states or other jurisdictions from purchasing the securities mentioned in this report. Please ask your Financial Advisor for additional details and to determine if a particular security is eligible for purchase in your state.
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Canada Research | Page 14 of 14 Mining
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