Upload
frye
View
42
Download
1
Embed Size (px)
DESCRIPTION
PUBLIC OPINION, MARKET AND MEDIA RESEARCH COMPANY TNS MEDIUM GALLUP. Prof. Dr Srbobran Branković SERBIAN PUBLIC OPINION ON EURO-ATLANTIC INTEGRATION. ISAC FOUNDATION , JUNE 2007. INTRODUCTION. Presentation based on monthly public opinion survey in April 07 : - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Citation preview
1medium Gallup
PUBLIC OPINION, MARKET AND MEDIA RESEARCH PUBLIC OPINION, MARKET AND MEDIA RESEARCH COMPANY COMPANY
TNS TNS MEDIUM GALLUPMEDIUM GALLUP
Prof. Dr Srbobran BrankovićProf. Dr Srbobran Branković
SERBIAN PUBLIC OPINION SERBIAN PUBLIC OPINION ON ON EURO-ATLANTIC INTEGRATIONEURO-ATLANTIC INTEGRATION
ISAC FOUNDATION, JUNE 2007
2medium Gallup
INTRODUCTIONINTRODUCTION
Presentation based on monthly public opinion survey in April 07:
• Adults (18+), nationwide representative
• 1500 face to face interviews conducted
• multistage random sample;
3medium Gallup
SHOULD OUR COUNTRY JOIN…April
31
57
72
51
26
14
18
17
14
0 20 40 60 80 100
NATO
PfP
EU
YES NO N/A
4medium Gallup
ATTITUTES TOWARD EUROPE
• «Europe is quite close to me and I think we should work on joining the European Union with all our forces, which implies fulfillment of all the conditions it poses» This attitude we have named Euro-enthusiasm.
• «I can’t say Europe is really close to me, but I do think the integration to the European Union is a necessity and therefore we have to work on it». Since the reasons of real politics prevail here, and not emotions, this stance was named the real-political europeism, or Euro-realism.
• «I have doubts on the intentions of Europe and the West in general and I think that the integration into its structures should be very carefully performed and without haste». Euro-skepticism.
• «European integration would mean domination of the European and other men of power over our people; Serbia does not belong to this world and we should therefore cherish our traditional values, and forget about chasing Europe». Euro-phobia.
5medium Gallup
ATTITUTES TOWARD EUROPE
No Answer; 2Euro-phobia; 12
Euro-enthusiasm; 23
Euro-realism; 39
Euro-skepticism; 24
6medium Gallup
ATTITUTES TOWARD EUROPE
22
23
23
35
31
39
29
29
24
13
15
12
0 20 40 60 80 100
August 2004
August 2006
March 2007
Euro-enthusiasm Euro-realismEuro-skepticism Euro-phobia
Stronger Western pressure – less pro-European and v.v.
Variation in “euro-realism” and “euroskepticism”
7medium Gallup
Da li bi ulaskom Srbije u EU na neki način bili ugroženi, poboljšani ili ostali nepromenjeni ...
25
13
20
11
8
8
11
10
10
43
67
52
32
29
29
33
35
37
18
9
14
43
49
51
41
37
35
14
11
14
14
14
12
15
18
18
0 20 40 60 80 100 120
Suverenitet Srbije
Vas maternji jezik
Identitet nacije
Zivotni standard ljudi
Ekon. stabilnost zemlje
Ekon. razvoj Srbije
Polit. stabilnost zemlje
Sigurnost gradj. i imovine
Vas licni mat. polozaj i ziv.stand.
... ugrozeni ... isto ... poboljšanje Bez odg.
Najviše bojazni za nacionalni suverenitet (možda zbog spekulacija da bi se članstvo u EU plaćalo ustupcima za status Kosova)
8medium Gallup
Da li bi ulaskom Srbije u EU na neki način bio ugrožen, poboljšan ili ostao nepromenjen vaš mat. položaj i živ.
standard? / različiti stepeni obrazovanja Da li bi ulaskom Srbije u EU na neki način bili ugroženi, poboljšani ili ostali nepromenjeni ...
12
9
11
42
35
29
26
40
48
20
16
12
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Osnovno
Srednje
Vise
... ugrozeni ... isto ... poboljšanje Bez odg.
9medium Gallup
Da li bi ulaskom Srbije u EU na neki način bio ugrožen, poboljšan ili ostao nepromenjen vaš mat. položaj i živ.
standard? / stavovi različitih starosnih grupa Da li bi ulaskom Srbije u EU na neki način bili ugroženi, poboljšani ili ostali nepromenjeni ...
8
7
9
12
13
24
30
39
40
44
57
47
40
31
21
11
16
12
17
22
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
18-25
26-35
36-45
46-55
56+
... ugrozeni ... isto ... poboljšanje Bez odg. Najmlađi najviše očekuju, najstariji najmanje;
Pad očekvianja s porastom godina starosti
I među najstarijima povoljna očekivanja veća od nepovoljnih
10medium Gallup
Da li bi ulaskom Srbije u EU na neki način bili ugroženi,
poboljšani ili ostali nepromenjeni ... / stavovi ljudi različitih primanja Da li bi ulaskom Srbije u EU na neki način bili ugroženi, poboljšani
ili ostali nepromenjeni ...
12
11
10
9
43
36
31
30
31
34
41
46
14
19
18
15
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Do 6000 din
6001-12000
12001-18000
18000+
... ugrozeni ... isto ... poboljšanje Bez odg.
11medium Gallup
Da li bi ulaskom Srbije u EU na neki način bio ugrožen, poboljšan ili ostao nepromenjen vaš mat. položaj i živ.
standard? / stavovi pripadnika različitih klasa,
5
4
9
13
14
15
30
34
42
42
55
56
37
27
29
25
10
20
18
15
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Visa klasa
Srednja visa
Srednja niza
Niza
Radnicka kl.
... ugrozeni ... isto ... poboljšanje Bez odg. Najveća očekivanja od približavanja EU u srednjim i gornjim delovima društvene lestvice;
Niži socijlani slojevi više strepe, ali i kod njih su pozitivna očekivanja veća od negativnih
12medium Gallup
Da li bi ulaskom Srbije u EU na neki način bio ugrožen, poboljšan ili ostao nepromenjen vaš mat. položaj i živ.
standard? / stavovi ljudi različitih zanimanjima,
6
6
6
6
13
15
14
14
10
21
22
31
37
29
45
54
43
42
62
61
45
44
40
17
14
21
39
11
11
18
13
18
23
18
22
9
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Student
Strucnjak
Rukovodilac
Privatnik
KV radnik
NKV radnik
Poljopr.
Penzioner
Nezaposlen
... ugrozeni ... isto ... poboljšanje Bez odg.Najmanje očekuju (sebe kao gubitnike najviše vide) NKV radnici, penzioneri i poljoprivrednici;
Najiše očekuju studenti, stručnjaci, rukovodioci i privatnici;
Dakle, mobilniji i preduzimljiviji deo populacije više očekuje, onaj drugi više strepi
13medium Gallup
EVROPA NA LISTI PRIORITETA,
4,09
4,14
4,26
4,29
4,31
4,48
4,57
4,64
4,68
-3 -1 1 3 5
Brze priblizavanjeEU
Polit. stabilnost
Stabilnost uregionu
Povoljno resenje zaKosovo
Medj. polozaj
Stabilan dinar, bezinfl. i rasta cena
Privredni oporavak
Borba protivkriminala
Pristojne penzije,soc. i zdr. zast.
Poslednje mesto, ali veoma visoko ocenjena važnost približavanja EU – prosečna ocena 4,09, na skali od 1 do 5.
PITANJE: “Ocenite od 1 do 5 koliko je za vas važno svako od dole navedenih pitanja”
14medium Gallup
ABOUT THE COMPANYABOUT THE COMPANY• Founded in 1997. Associate of TNS since 1998. • Member of Gallup International Association since 2001.• TNS Medium Gallup covers the territory of Serbia and of
Montenegro.Main products & Services of TNS Medium Gallup• Brand image and company image studies • Distribution check surveys • Product usage surveys • Brand positioning • Advertising evaluation Content analysis, including project and instrument design, data
collection and analysis and final reports • Ad hoc media studies • Advertising Monitoring• General Public National Omnibus studies• CATI• Political, sociological and economic analysis
15medium Gallup
ABOUT THE COMPANYABOUT THE COMPANYTNS Business Solutions offered: • Conversion Model™ • AdEval™ • Optima™• NeedScope
CLIENTS:• World Bank • Telenor • CARLSBERG • Colgate • Coca-Cola• Unilever• McCannEricson • Synergy Leo Burnett • National Bank of Serbia• US AID • US Department of State • US Embassy, Belgrade… • … and many others