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Psychological Principles 5 OF

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Page 1: Psychological Principles - Amazon S3 · All material © THE WEB PSYCHOLOGIST LTD. 2015. No unauthorised reproduction or distribution. THE WEB PSYCHOLOGIST LTD. @NATHALIENAHAI NATHALIE

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Psychological Principles

5 OF

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NATHALIE NAHAI

@NathalieNahai

TheWebPsychologist.com

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ENDOWED PROGRESS

1

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THE RESEARCH

Nunes, J. C., & Drèze, X. (2006). The endowed progress effect: How artificial advancement increases effort. Journal of Consumer Research, 32(4), 504-512.

Randomly distributed 300 loyalty cards to customers at a car wash

1

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HALF GOT THIS

Nunes, J. C., & Drèze, X. (2006). The endowed progress effect: How artificial advancement increases effort. Journal of Consumer Research, 32(4), 504-512.

1

Collect 8 stamps, get 1 FREE car wash

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THE OTHER HALF GOT THIS

Nunes, J. C., & Drèze, X. (2006). The endowed progress effect: How artificial advancement increases effort. Journal of Consumer Research, 32(4), 504-512.

1

Collect 10 stamps, get 1 FREE car wash

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1

Which had the highest redemption rate?

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8 STAMPS?

Nunes, J. C., & Drèze, X. (2006). The endowed progress effect: How artificial advancement increases effort. Journal of Consumer Research, 32(4), 504-512.

1

Collect 8 stamps, get 1 FREE car wash

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10 STAMPS?

Nunes, J. C., & Drèze, X. (2006). The endowed progress effect: How artificial advancement increases effort. Journal of Consumer Research, 32(4), 504-512.

1

Collect 10 stamps, get 1 FREE car wash

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RESULTS

19%

34%

8 stamps 10 stamps

Redemptio

n ra

te

1

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RESULTS

19%

34%

8 stamps 10 stamps

Redemptio

n ra

te

1

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WHAT HAPPENED?

Nunes, J. C., & Drèze, X. (2006). The endowed progress effect: How artificial advancement increases effort. Journal of Consumer Research, 32(4), 504-512.

Task requiring 8 steps

1

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WHAT HAPPENED?

Task requiring 8 steps

Nunes, J. C., & Drèze, X. (2006). The endowed progress effect: How artificial advancement increases effort. Journal of Consumer Research, 32(4), 504-512.

Task requiring 10 steps

(2 completed)

1

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WHAT HAPPENED?

Reframed the task so one was perceived as undertaken & incomplete

(rather than not yet begun)

Nunes, J. C., & Drèze, X. (2006). The endowed progress effect: How artificial advancement increases effort. Journal of Consumer Research, 32(4), 504-512.

1

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http://www.londonreal.tv/

1

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How does it work?

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ENDOWED PROGRESS

1

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1

People provided with artificial advancement toward a goal exhibit greater persistence

toward reaching that goal “ ” Nunes, J. C., & Drèze, X. (2006). The endowed progress effect: How artificial advancement increases effort. Journal of Consumer Research, 32(4), 504-512.

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CONSISTENCY

We’re naturally motivated to complete tasks we’ve started & want to remain consistent with previous intentions

Fox, S. & Hoffman, M. (2002). Escalation Behavior as a Specific Case of Goal-Directed Activity: A Persistence Paradigm. Basic and Applied Social Psychology, 24 (4), 273-285.

1

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PROXIMITY

The closer we are to completing a goal the more likely we are to increase our efforts

to close the last little gap

Hull, C. L. (1932). The goal-gradient hypothesis and maze learning. Psychological Review, 39(1), 25.

1

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TRIGGERS

Giving people a couple of free holes on a punch card is enough to trigger both of these effects

1

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WHY IT’S USEFUL

•  Increases the likelihood of task completion

Nunes, J. C., & Drèze, X. (2006). The endowed progress effect: How artificial advancement increases effort. Journal of Consumer Research, 32(4), 504-512.

1

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WHY IT’S USEFUL

•  Increases the likelihood of task completion

•  Decreases completion time

Nunes, J. C., & Drèze, X. (2006). The endowed progress effect: How artificial advancement increases effort. Journal of Consumer Research, 32(4), 504-512.

1

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WHY IT’S USEFUL

•  Increases the likelihood of task completion

•  Decreases completion time

•  Effect depends on perception of task completion rather than a desire to avoid wasting the endowed progress

Nunes, J. C., & Drèze, X. (2006). The endowed progress effect: How artificial advancement increases effort. Journal of Consumer Research, 32(4), 504-512.

1

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&

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IN REALITY

Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1984). Choices, values, and frames. American Psychologist, 39(4), 341.

1

“ ” Losses loom larger than gains

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THIS MEANS

Kahneman, D., Knetsch, J. L., & Thaler, R. H. (1991). Anomalies: The endowment effect, loss aversion, and status quo bias. The Journal Of Economic Perspectives, 193-206.

We feel a greater loss over something we own than something we haven’t yet bought

1

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1

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This also works in gaming

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Sunk-cost fallacy

2

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GAMING

Players are more likely to return to look after items they have been endowed (paid for / earned)

than goods they have simply been given

Kahneman, D., Knetsch, J. L., & Thaler, R. H. (1991). Anomalies: The endowment effect, loss aversion, and status quo bias. The Journal Of Economic Perspectives, 193-206.

2

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SUNK-COST FALLACY

Rational player:

Arkes, H. R., & Blumer, C. (1985). The psychology of sunk cost. Organizational Behavior And Human Decision Processes, 35(1), 124-140. Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 263-291.

2

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SUNK-COST FALLACY

Rational player: would ignore sunk-costs

Arkes, H. R., & Blumer, C. (1985). The psychology of sunk cost. Organizational Behavior And Human Decision Processes, 35(1), 124-140. Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 263-291.

2

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SUNK-COST FALLACY

Rational player: would ignore sunk-costs

Real player:

Arkes, H. R., & Blumer, C. (1985). The psychology of sunk cost. Organizational Behavior And Human Decision Processes, 35(1), 124-140. Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 263-291.

2

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SUNK-COST FALLACY

Rational player: would ignore sunk-costs

Real player: reluctant to discontinue an activity once they’ve already put effort in

Arkes, H. R., & Blumer, C. (1985). The psychology of sunk cost. Organizational Behavior And Human Decision Processes, 35(1), 124-140. Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 263-291.

2

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Which is why this works

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https://www.facebook.com/FarmVille

2

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SUNK-COST FALLACY

Arkes, H. R., & Blumer, C. (1985). The psychology of sunk cost. Organizational Behavior And Human Decision Processes, 35(1), 124-140. Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 263-291.

The sunk-cost of planting the tomatoes increases your desire to continue the game

2

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This gives rise to yet another dynamic…

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Appointment dynamic

3

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APPOINTMENT DYNAMIC

http://badgeville.com/wiki/Game_Mechanics/Appointments

At a predetermined time / place user must login or participate in the game for positive effect

3

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APPOINTMENT DYNAMIC

This keeps the customer coming back for more, creating a habitual pattern of use

3

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How these work together

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Endowed progress Customer is helped to begin

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Endowed progress Customer is helped to begin

Consistency Initial intention fuels desire to

complete

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Endowed progress Customer is helped to begin

Consistency Initial intention fuels desire to

complete

Sunk-cost fallacy Encourages further investment

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Endowed progress Customer is helped to begin

Appointment dynamic Habitual use is reinforced

Consistency Initial intention fuels desire to

complete

Sunk-cost fallacy Encourages further investment

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HOW TO USE IT

•  Research what motivates your users

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HOW TO USE IT

•  Research what motivates your users

•  Give relevant initial progress for free (e.g. points, upgrade, virtual currency / product)

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HOW TO USE IT

•  Research what motivates your users

•  Give relevant initial progress for free (e.g. points, upgrade, virtual currency / product)

•  Use these principles to create a user journey that encourages completion

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Opportunity cost

4

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4

Imagine I give you $100 to spend as you like

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4

Which of the following would you choose?

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1  You buy some clothes

4

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1  You buy some clothes

2  You take your friends out for drinks

4

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1  You buy some clothes

2  You take your friends out for drinks

3  You save it for a rainy day

4

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1  You buy some clothes

2  You take your friends out for drinks

3  You save it for a rainy day

4

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1  You buy some clothes

2  You take your friends out for drinks

3  You save it for a rainy day

4

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HOW DID YOU DECIDE? 4

Resources are limited

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HOW DID YOU DECIDE?

You probably weighed up the value of each alternative and made a decision

4

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So, the principle…

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Opportunity cost

4

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4

Benefits forgone by particular use of resources “ ”

Palmer, S., & Raftery, J. (1999). Economics notes: Opportunity cost. BMJ: British Medical Journal, 318(7197), 1551.

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4

What you’re giving up by making that particular choice

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How does it work?

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THREE MAIN COSTS

1  Attention

4

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THREE MAIN COSTS

1  Attention

2  Time

4

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THREE MAIN COSTS

1  Attention

2  Time

3  Money

4

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1 – COST OF ATTENTION

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ATTENTION 4.1

Attention is limited, increasingly

fragmented & highly valued

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So how do you grab & hold attention?

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4.1

ATTENTION

Trigger an emotional / arousal response

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4.1

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4.1

ATTENTION

Serve a fundamental human need

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4.1

ATTENTION

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ATTENTION 4.1

Create a compelling cycle of variable rewards

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4.1

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2 – COST OF TIME

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When do you typically use the following products?

4.2

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4.2

And why?

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4.2

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4.2

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You have to minimize TIME costs

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MINIMIZE TIME COSTS

Do this by understanding:

4.2

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MINIMIZE TIME COSTS

Do this by understanding: •  Your customers’ incentives for using it

4.2

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INTERNET (APP) USE

Nielsen (2014). Tech-or-treat: Consumers are sweet on mobile apps, Q3 2014 Report. http://acnielsen.Co.Uk/us/en/insights/news/2014/tech-or-treat-consumers-are-sweet-on-mobile-apps.Html

4.2

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MINIMIZE TIME COSTS

Do this by understanding: •  Your customers’ incentives for using it

•  Their usage patterns

4.2

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4.2

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4.2

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MINIMIZE TIME COSTS

Do this by understanding: •  Your customers’ incentives for using it

•  Their usage patterns

•  How to target specific ‘time packets’

4.2

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4.2

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4.2

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4.2

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3 – COST OF MONEY

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How do these products reduce the perceived cost of paying?

4.3

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4.3

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4.3

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4.3

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4.3

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FREEMIUM

BetaBlog (2011). Roger Dickey's Tactics for Game Monetization: http://www.gamasutra.com/blogs/BetableBlog/20111129/90708/Roger_Dickeys_Tactics_for_Game_Monetization.php

They create ‘fun pain’ by making us wait in real time (e.g. for our city / fortress to be built)

4.3

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FREEMIUM

In Sim City, to solve this pain we need to buy ‘bliss’… But how do we value ‘bliss’?

4.3

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4 4.3

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FREEMIUM

We can’t

Instead we have to buy gems (intermediate

currency) in exchange for ‘bliss’

4 4.3

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FREEMIUM

Adding just one intermediate currency between consumers and real money reduces our ability

to assess the value of the transaction

Gabaix, X., & Laibson, D. (2004). Shrouded attributes and information suppression in competitive markets. National Bureau of Economic Research.

4 4.3

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FREEMIUM

Allowing people to earn currency (albeit very slowly) and offering bulk discounts

cloaks the true cost of playing

4 4.3

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So, to reduce perceived cost of MONEY…

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HOW TO DO IT

•  There has to be ‘fun pain’ (e.g. waiting)

4 4.3

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HOW TO DO IT

•  There has to be ‘fun pain’ (e.g. waiting)

•  Use an intermediate currency

4.3

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HOW TO DO IT

•  There has to be ‘fun pain’ (e.g. waiting)

•  Use an intermediate currency

•  Allow people to earn currency (albeit very slowly) and offer bulk discounts

4.3

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Hedonic adaptation

5

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THE RESEARCH

Nelson, L. D., & Meyvis, T. (2008). Interrupted consumption: Disrupting adaptation to hedonic experiences. Journal of Marketing Research, 45(6), 654-664.

Group A

180 second massage (total: 3 mins)

5

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THE RESEARCH

Nelson, L. D., & Meyvis, T. (2008). Interrupted consumption: Disrupting adaptation to hedonic experiences. Journal of Marketing Research, 45(6), 654-664.

Group B

80 second massage 20 second break 80 seconds (total: 2 mins 40 secs)

5

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Which group do you think would report higher satisfaction, and

be willing to pay more for it?

5

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THE RESEARCH

Nelson, L. D., & Meyvis, T. (2008). Interrupted consumption: Disrupting adaptation to hedonic experiences. Journal of Marketing Research, 45(6), 654-664.

Group A

180 second massage (total: 3 mins)

5

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THE RESEARCH

Nelson, L. D., & Meyvis, T. (2008). Interrupted consumption: Disrupting adaptation to hedonic experiences. Journal of Marketing Research, 45(6), 654-664.

Group B

80 second massage 20 second break 80 seconds (total: 2 mins 40 secs)

5

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Group B

(the ones who had a shorter massage & took a break)

5

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5

Why?

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Short break stymied their adaptation to the pleasurable event and ‘reset’

their appreciation for it

5

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THE RESEARCH

Same effect for unpleasant experiences

Nelson, L. D., & Meyvis, T. (2008). Interrupted consumption: Disrupting adaptation to hedonic experiences. Journal of Marketing Research, 45(6), 654-664.

5

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THE RESEARCH

Same effect for unpleasant experiences If you take a break, it sucks more

Nelson, L. D., & Meyvis, T. (2008). Interrupted consumption: Disrupting adaptation to hedonic experiences. Journal of Marketing Research, 45(6), 654-664.

5

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This is why bad smells fade the longer you’re exposed to them

5

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It’s the same thing with products

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5

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5

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5

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HEDONIC ADAPTATION 5

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HEDONIC ADAPTATION 5

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How does it work?

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Hedonic adaptation

5

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5

“ ” Lyubomirsky, S. (2011). Hedonic adaptation to positive and negative experiences. Oxford handbook of stress, health, and coping, 200-224.

People become accustomed

to a positive or negative stimulus… emotional effects of that stimulus

are attenuated over time

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5

Over time, we become de-sensitized or bored of the same thing (features,

concepts, rewards)

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So how do we use it?

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HOW TO USE IT

•  Update your product frequently

5

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HOW TO USE IT

•  Update your product frequently

•  Change the layout / structure

5

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HOW TO USE IT

•  Update your product frequently

•  Change the layout / structure

•  Alter the user experience

5

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HOW TO USE IT

•  Update your product frequently

•  Change the layout / structure

•  Alter the user experience

•  Make the rewards unpredictable

5

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KEY TAKEAWAYS

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KEY TAKEAWAYS

You have to understand the

psychological triggers, biases & motivations that drive your customers

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KEY TAKEAWAYS

1  Endowed progress

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KEY TAKEAWAYS

1  Endowed progress

2  Sunk-cost fallacy

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KEY TAKEAWAYS

1  Endowed progress

2  Sunk-cost fallacy

3  Appointment dynamic

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KEY TAKEAWAYS

1  Endowed progress

2  Sunk-cost fallacy

3  Appointment dynamic

4  Opportunity Cost

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KEY TAKEAWAYS

1  Endowed progress

2  Sunk-cost fallacy

3  Appointment dynamic

4  Opportunity Cost

5  Hedonic adaptation

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There’s one crucial point we often forget…

BUT

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WE ARE ALL THE USER

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PERSUASION CONTINUUM

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PERSUASION CONTINUUM

Facilitation

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PERSUASION CONTINUUM

Facilitation

Coercion

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PERSUASION CONTINUUM

Facilitation Persuasion

Coercion Manipulation

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INTENTION

The difference between persuasion and manipulation is intent

Robin Dreeke, Head of the Behavioural Analysis Unit, FBI

“ ”

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Facilitation Persuasion

Coercion Manipulation

Intent

WHERE DO YOU SIT?

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THE SILVER RULE

Do not do unto others what you would not have them do unto you

Hillel the Elder in Talmud: Shabbat 31a

“ ”

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As designers…

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You are both the

ARCHITECTS & THE USERS of our future tech

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WHAT KIND OF WORLD do you want to build?

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WEBS OF INFLUENCE THE PSYCHOLOGY OF ONLINE PERSUASION

bit.ly/websofinfluence

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DOWNLOAD THE SLIDES

bit.ly/mtp_persuasion

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Get in touch.

ANY QUESTIONS?

@NathalieNahai

TheWebPsychologist.com

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REFERENCES & FURTHER READING

1  Meyer, R. (2014). Everything We Know About Facebook's Secret Mood Manipulation Experiment. The Atlantic, June 28th: http://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2014/06/everything-we-know-about-facebooks-secret-mood-manipulation-experiment/373648/

2  Horn, L. Study Finds Chemical Reason Behind Facebook 'Addiction'. PC Mag (2012). Available from http://www.pcmag.com/article2/0,2817,2400011,00.asp (retrieved 17th February 2015)

3  Przybylski, A. K., Murayama, K., DeHaan, C. R., & Gladwell, V. (2013). Motivational, emotional, and behavioral correlates of fear of missing out. Computers in Human Behavior, 29(4), 1841-1848.

4  Muise, A., Christofides, E., & Desmarais, S. (2009). More information than you ever wanted: Does Facebook bring out the green-eyed monster of jealousy? CyberPsychology & Behavior, 12(4), 441-444.

5  Przybylski, A. K., & Weinstein, N. (2013). Can you connect with me now? How the presence of mobile communication technology influences face-to-face conversation quality. Journal of Social and Personal Relationships, 30(3), 237-246.

6  Bavelier, D., Green, C. S., & Dye, M. W. (2010). Children, wired: for better and for worse. Neuron, 67(5), 692-701

7  Harris Interactive (2013). Mobile Consumer Habits Study. Available from: http://pages.jumio.com/rs/jumio/images/Jumio%20-%20Mobile%20Consumer%20Habits%20Study-2.pdf (retrieved 13th March 2015)

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Harness persuasive technology for good

humanisetheweb.com