Proyeccion de Poblacion Para Formulacion de Proyectos

7/23/2019 Proyeccion de Poblacion Para Formulacion de Proyectos

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Resumen

Estadsticas de la regresin

Coefciente de correlacin mltiple 0.9335422936Coefciente de determinacin R^2 0.8750239R^2 a!ustado 0.858653353

"rror t#pico .20085465$%ser&aciones 2

'()*+,+, -" 'R+'(/'Grados de libertad

Reresin Residuos 0

1otal

Coefcientes

+ntercepcin .320397aria%le 0.220278064

'nlisis de los residuales

Observacin Pronstico para Y

4.22576959492 5.9749989976

3 4.64346437354 8.744082495 7.99986454866 9.3335945087 3.23984029528 6.2569959809 2.23680202

0 8.958246722 4.78976355992 0.3766962582


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coerencia de datosue tan %ueno es el modelo

Suma de cuadrados io de los cua F lor crtico de F

85.2288873027 85.2288873 67.827468 9.255"0062.5666064 .2566606

97.795488967

Error tpico Estadstico t Probabilidad Inerior !"# Superior !"#nerior !"$%#

0.8099666902 .37437923 0.9933934 0.695685 2.979965 0.6956850.025745952 8.23539597 9.255"006 0.5466233 0.26939328 0.5466233

&esiduos

0.38076959490.5249989976

0.45553562650.459785

.3886454860.3444805492.302597048

.699995980.052898798.5907532780.344236440

.306962582

5 0 5 20

2

0

2

Variable X 1 Grf

Residuos

5 0 5 200

0

20

Variable X 1

Y


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uperior !"$%#

2.9799650.26939328

25 30 35 40 45 50 55

co de los residuales

Variable X 1

25 30 35 40 45 50 55

Curva de regresin ajustada

ronstico para

Variable X 1


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cantidad po%lacion &entas : 2n ;miles< :

4.68 3.845 56.4446 25.50242 22.93 5.45 24.9685 525.78493 6.65 5.099 84.89835 277.2225

4 35.99 8.890 39.95 295.2805 32.48 6.68 26.99888 054.95046 38.77 9.678 375.2606 503.297 0.03 4.542 45.55626 00.60098 24.26 4.557 0.55282 588.54769 52.46 3.289 697.4094 2752.056

0 36.8 0.506 386.6208 354.24 7.34 5.34 89.02356 300.67562 43.69 9.066 396.09354 908.86

346.08 86.737 2903.4654 876.785

promedio 28.84 7.22808333


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2000 200 2002leoncio prado 3=342.00 4=888.00 6=358.00rupa rupa 54=965.00 55=670.00 56=339.00daniel alomia ro%les 6=97.00 6=309.00 6=48.00>emilio &aldi?an 3=865.00 3=892.00 3=95.00

!ose crespo : castillo 29=966.00 30=556.00 3=29.00lu:ando 8=294.00 8=44.00 8=528.00mariano 0=055.00 0=047.00 =029.00

leoncio prado rupa rupa daniel alomina ro2000 3=342.00 54=965.00 6=97.00200 4=888.00 55=670.00 6=309.002002 6=358.00 56=339.00 6=48.002003 7=779.00 56=982.00 6=524.00

2004 9=76.00 57=60.00 6=63.002005 20=575.00 58=236.00 6=737.002006 2=982.00 58=864.00 6=845.002007 23=380.00 59=482.00 6=952.002008 24=760.00 60=087.00 7=060.002009 26=2.00 60=674.00 7=67.00200 27=426.00 6=242.00 7=27.0020 28=705.00 6=784.00 7=375.00202 29=953.00 62=32.00 7=476.00203 3=70.00 62=86.00 7=577.00204 32=352.00 63=300.00 7=677.00205 33=433.00 63=764.00 7=775.002062072082092020202202220232024

2025


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2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 20087=779.00 9=76.00 20=575.00 2=982.00 23=380.00 24=760.00

56=982.00 57=60.00 58=236.00 58=864.00 59=482.00 60=087.006=524.00 6=63.00 6=737.00 6=845.00 6=952.00 7=060.003=936.00 3=955.00 3=974.00 3=992.00 4=0.00 4=027.00

3=694.00 32=257.00 32=824.00 33=398.00 33=974.00 34=549.008=637.00 8=745.00 8=854.00 8=962.00 9=070.00 9=77.00

0=006.00 9=978.00 9=950.00 9=92.00 9=89.00 9=860.00

>ilio &aldi?a !ose crspo lu:ando mariano6=97.00 6=97.00 6=97.00 57=60.00 58=236.00 58=864.006=309.00 6=309.00 6=309.006=48.00 6=48.00 6=48.006=524.00 6=524.00 6=524.00

6=63.00 6=63.00 6=63.006=737.00 6=737.00 6=737.006=845.00 6=845.00 6=845.006=952.00 6=952.00 6=952.007=060.00 7=060.00 7=060.007=67.00 7=67.00 7=67.007=27.00 7=27.00 7=27.007=375.00 7=375.00 7=375.007=476.00 7=476.00 7=476.007=577.00 7=577.00 7=577.007=677.00 7=677.00 7=677.007=775.00 7=775.00 7=775.00


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2009 200 20 202 203 20426=2.00 27=426.00 28=705.00 29=953.00 3=70.00 32=352.0060=674.00 6=242.00 6=784.00 62=32.00 62=86.00 63=300.00

7=67.00 7=27.00 7=375.00 7=476.00 7=577.00 7=677.004=043.00 4=056.00 4=068.00 4=078.00 4=088.00 4=095.00

35=2.00 35=685.00 36=244.00 36=797.00 37=346.00 37=888.009=28.00 9=382.00 9=48.00 9=577.00 9=67.00 9=762.009=826.00 9=790.00 9=753.00 9=73.00 9=672.00 9=630.00

59=482.00 60=087.00 60=674.00 6=242.00 6=784.00 62=32.00


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205 20633=433.0063=764.00

7=775.004=034.00

38=423.009=85.009=586.00

62=86.00 63=300.00 63=764.00


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Resumen

stadsticas de la regresin

Coefciente d 0.99939546Coefciente d 0.9987928R^2 a!ustad 0.9986983

"rror t#pico 0.635057$%ser&acione 5

'()*+,+, -" 'R+'(/'Grados de libert a de cuadra io de los cua F lor crtico de

Reresin 279.66558 279.66558 0742.635 2.3549"020Residuos 3 0.33844209 0.0260340

1otal 4 280

Coefcientes Error tpico Estadstico t Probabilidad Inerior !"#

+ntercepcin 85.60264 0.89980867 94.6424829 7.665"020 87.040448aria%le 0.00074805 7.275"006 03.644409 2.3549"020 0.00073246

'nlisis de los residuales

Observacin onstico para &esiduos

0.78232427 0.27675732 .8896394 0.803606

3 2.94494895 0.05505054 3.98998067 0.0009335 5.03650849 0.036508496 6.08902075 0.089020757 7.348005 0.3480058 8.6753 0.67539 9.7848458 0.7848458

0 0.64278 0.64278 .889 0.88922 2.057608 0.0576076

3 2.962427 0.037857294 3.8463428 0.53657225 4.6549894 0.3450064


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F

Superior !"#nerior !"$%#uperior !"$%#

83.26208 87.040448 83.262080.00076365 0.00073246 0.00076365

0=000.00 5=000.00

0.5

0

0.5

Variable X 1 Gr

Residuos

0=000.00 20=0

24

6

8

0

2

4

6


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20=000.00 25=000.00 30=000.00 35=000.00

co de los residuales

Variable X 1

00.00 30=000.00 40=000.00

ronstico para


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Resumen

stadsticas de la regresin

Coefciente d Coefciente d R^2 a!ustad

"rror t#pico .596"0$%ser&acione 0

'()*+,+, -" 'R+'(/'Grados de libert a de cuadra io de los cua F lor crtico de

Reresin 442469 442469 .072"@030 8.4837"8Residuos 8 .0756"02 .3446"022

1otal 9 442469

Coefcientes Error tpico Estadstico t Probabilidad Inerior !"#

+ntercepcin 2533500.3 2.5794"009 2"@04 .293"7 2533500.3aria%le 32.726 .2766"02 .035"@05 8.4837"8 32.726


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F

Superior !"#nerior !"$%#uperior !"$%#

2533500.3 2533500.3 2533500.332.726 32.726 32.726


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poblacion de leoncio prado historico y pr

aos leoncio prado rupa rupa daniel alo he!ilio valdi"an

#$$$ 3=342.00 54=965.00 6=97.00 3=865.00#$$1 4=888.00 55=670.00 6=309.00 3=892.00#$$# 6=358.00 56=339.00 6=48.00 3=95.00

#$$% 7=779.00 56=982.00 6=524.00 3=936.00#$$& 9=76.00 57=60.00 6=63.00 3=955.00#$$' 20=575.00 58=236.00 6=737.00 3=974.00#$$( 2=982.00 58=864.00 6=845.00 3=992.00#$$) 23=380.00 59=482.00 6=952.00 4=0.00#$$* 24=760.00 60=087.00 7=060.00 4=027.00#$$+ 26=2.00 60=674.00 7=67.00 4=043.00#$1$ 27=426.00 6=242.00 7=27.00 4=056.00#$11 28=705.00 6=784.00 7=375.00 4=068.00#$1# 29=953.00 62=32.00 7=476.00 4=078.00

#$1% 3=70.00 62=86.00 7=577.00 4=088.00#$1& 32=352.00 63=300.00 7=677.00 4=095.00#$1' 33=433.00 63=764.00 7=775.00 4=034.00#$1( 3=099 64=60 7=894#$1) 32=42 65=83 7=999#$1* 33=743 65=765 8=04#$1+ 35=064 66=347 8=20#$#$ 36=386 66=929 8=35#$#1 37=708 67=52 8=420#$## 39=030 68=094 8=525#$#% 40=35 68=676 8=630#$#& 4=673 69=258 8=735#$#' 42=995 69=840 8=840

0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 605=000.00

0=000.00

5=000.00

20=000.00

25=000.00

30=000.00

35=000.00

A;< B 335.85742857 @ 3855.428574R B 0.998792783

leoncio prado

Column D

*inear ;Column'is 1itle


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0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 60.00

=000.00

2=000.00

3=000.00

4=000.00

5=000.00

6=000.00

7=000.00

8=000.009=000.00

A;< B 05.5 @ 62.7333333333R B 0.9998066695

daniel

Column -

*inear ;Column -

'is 1itle

'is 1itle

0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 60.00

5=000.00

0=000.00

5=000.00

20=000.00

25=000.00

30=000.00

35=000.00

40=000.00

45=000.00

A;< B 564.37428574 @ 3000.6952380952R B 0.99994752

!ose crespo

Column E

*inear ;Column

'is 1itle

'is 1itle

9=800.00

9=900.00

0=000.00

0=00.00

A;< B 33.03574286 @ 008.2952380952R B 0.9906765

mariano


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aGo mercado total merc.potencial merc.disp. merc.eAec.206 3=099 43=55 39=96 9=598207 32=42 43=990 39=59 9=796208 33=743 44=429 39=986 9=993

209 35=064 44=868 40=382 20=92020 36=386 45=308 40=777 20=388202 37=708 45=747 4=72 20=5862022 39=030 46=86 4=567 20=7842023 40=35 46=625 4=962 20=982024 4=673 47=064 42=357 2=792025 42=995 47=503 42=753 2=376

!ercado de clase

270H .05

220H 0.6

20H 0.5

2.5

,eter!inacion del precio ponderado

supermercados 20 45Huestos de mercados 5 25H%odeas 25 8Hcentros ma:oristas 0 2H

-.-/0

/os deter!inacion de las v

n consu!idores 2 unidades cajas3Contenido4

IB lim inAerior @lim superior

a< @2 B.5

%< 2@4 B 3

c< 5@0 B 5

0 2 4 6 8 0 2 4 6

9=300.00

9=400.00

9=500.00

9=600.00

9=700.00

Column F

*inear ;Colum

'is 1itle

'is 1itle


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206 245 25.8 632.00 48207 247 25.8 6384.09 48208 250 25.8 6447.8 48209 252 25.8 65.53 482020 255 25.8 6575.25 48202 257 25.8 6638.97 48

2022 260 25.8 6702.69 482023 262 25.8 6766.4 482024 265 25.8 6830.4 482025 267 25.8 6893.86 48


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yectado

jose crespo y castilloluyando !ariano

29=966.00 8=294.00 0=055.0030=556.00 8=44.00 0=047.003=29.00 8=528.00 0=029.00

3=694.00 8=637.00 0=006.0032=257.00 8=745.00 9=978.0032=824.00 8=854.00 9=950.0033=398.00 8=962.00 9=92.0033=974.00 9=070.00 9=89.0034=549.00 9=77.00 9=860.0035=2.00 9=28.00 9=826.0035=685.00 9=382.00 9=790.0036=244.00 9=48.00 9=753.0036=797.00 9=577.00 9=73.00

37=346.00 9=67.00 9=672.0037=888.00 9=762.00 9=630.0038=423.00 9=85.00 9=586.00

39=04 9=985 9=57839=605 0=088 9=54540=70 0=9 9=5240=734 0=295 9=4794=298 0=398 9=4464=863 0=50 9=4342=427 0=604 9=38042=992 0=707 9=34743=556 0=8 9=3444=20 0=94 9=280

D

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Proyeccion de Poblacion Para Formulacion de Proyectos