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Protected Areas in the Brazilian Amazon: Performance, Pressure, and Efficacy Christopher P. Barber Mark A. Cochrane (advisor) Geographic Information Science Center of Excellence, South Dakota State University, Brookings SD USA Instituto do Homem e Meio Ambiente da Amazônia, Belém PA Brazil May 7 th , 2009 NASA Biodiversity and Ecological Forecasting Team Meeting New York, NY

Protected Areas in the Brazilian Amazon: Performance, Pressure, and Efficacy Christopher P. Barber Mark A. Cochrane (advisor) Geographic Information Science

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Are protected areas preserving the natural forest cover? Are Protected Areas in the Amazon Working? Research Questions What levels of risk are protected forests facing? Can we say something about the integrity of remaining forests? Risks? Christopher P. Barber, South Dakota State University, NASA Biodiversity and Ecological Forecasting Team Meeting, May 7 th 2009 Christopher P. Barber, South Dakota State University, NASA Biodiversity and Ecological Forecasting Team Meeting, May 7 th 2009

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Page 1: Protected Areas in the Brazilian Amazon: Performance, Pressure, and Efficacy Christopher P. Barber Mark A. Cochrane (advisor) Geographic Information Science

Protected Areas in the Brazilian Amazon: Performance, Pressure, and Efficacy

Christopher P. BarberMark A. Cochrane (advisor)

Geographic Information Science Center of Excellence, South Dakota State University, Brookings SD USAInstituto do Homem e Meio Ambiente da Amazônia, Belém PA Brazil

May 7th, 2009

NASA Biodiversity and Ecological Forecasting Team MeetingNew York, NY

Page 2: Protected Areas in the Brazilian Amazon: Performance, Pressure, and Efficacy Christopher P. Barber Mark A. Cochrane (advisor) Geographic Information Science

Christopher P. Barber, South Dakota State University,

[email protected] Biodiversity and Ecological Forecasting Team Meeting, May 7th 2009

Protected Areas of the Brazilian Amazon

Full Protection Sustainable Use TotalFederal 254,135 327,826 581,961State 103,585 331,912 435,497Total 357,720 659,738 1,017,458Indigenous Land 961,887

Total: 1,831,775 km2

Page 3: Protected Areas in the Brazilian Amazon: Performance, Pressure, and Efficacy Christopher P. Barber Mark A. Cochrane (advisor) Geographic Information Science

Are protected areas preserving the natural forest cover?

Are Protected Areas in the Amazon Working?

Research Questions

What levels of risk are protected forests facing?

Can we say something about the integrity of remaining forests? Risks?

Christopher P. Barber, South Dakota State University, [email protected]

NASA Biodiversity and Ecological Forecasting Team Meeting, May 7th 2009

Page 4: Protected Areas in the Brazilian Amazon: Performance, Pressure, and Efficacy Christopher P. Barber Mark A. Cochrane (advisor) Geographic Information Science

Advances beyond previous work

Use of fine-scale land cover datasets

Monitoring over many annual observations (2000-2008)

Accounting for all designated limited-development areas

Research Questions

Christopher P. Barber, South Dakota State University, [email protected]

NASA Biodiversity and Ecological Forecasting Team Meeting, May 7th 2009

Page 5: Protected Areas in the Brazilian Amazon: Performance, Pressure, and Efficacy Christopher P. Barber Mark A. Cochrane (advisor) Geographic Information Science

Performance, Pressure, & Efficacy

Efficacy

Factors of risk

Probability of Deforestation

Pressure

Intact Forest

Elements of Biodiversity

Performance

Connectivity

Christopher P. Barber, South Dakota State University, [email protected]

NASA Biodiversity and Ecological Forecasting Team Meeting, May 7th 2009

Page 6: Protected Areas in the Brazilian Amazon: Performance, Pressure, and Efficacy Christopher P. Barber Mark A. Cochrane (advisor) Geographic Information Science

Preserving Forest Cover?

Deforestation as of 2006:

98 % of protected forests intact

Loss of 32,000 km2

Deforestation 2000-2006:

195,000 km2 throughout region

8% in protected areas

Loss of 15,000 km2

477,000 km2 throughout the Amazon (13%)

Christopher P. Barber, South Dakota State University, [email protected]

NASA Biodiversity and Ecological Forecasting Team Meeting, May 7th 2009

Page 7: Protected Areas in the Brazilian Amazon: Performance, Pressure, and Efficacy Christopher P. Barber Mark A. Cochrane (advisor) Geographic Information Science

85% of all deforestation within 50 km

240,000 km of unofficial roads

73,000 km of official roads in region

Distance (km)1.02.03.04.05.0

Deforestation57.1 %79.3 %88.2 %92.3 %94.6 %

Roads, Deforestation, & Protected Areas

Christopher P. Barber, South Dakota State University, [email protected]

NASA Biodiversity and Ecological Forecasting Team Meeting, May 7th 2009

Page 8: Protected Areas in the Brazilian Amazon: Performance, Pressure, and Efficacy Christopher P. Barber Mark A. Cochrane (advisor) Geographic Information Science

12% of protected forest within 5 km of road/river: 221,000 km2

Roads, Deforestation, & Protected Areas

Christopher P. Barber, South Dakota State University, [email protected]

NASA Biodiversity and Ecological Forecasting Team Meeting, May 7th 2009

Page 9: Protected Areas in the Brazilian Amazon: Performance, Pressure, and Efficacy Christopher P. Barber Mark A. Cochrane (advisor) Geographic Information Science

100 m

300 m

500 m

1000+ m

Wind throw, increased insolation, desiccation, structural collapse

Compositional shift, loss of biomass, moderate drying

Decreased biodiversity (pollinators & understory birds)

Increased risk of fire

Forest / Deforested edge

Forest Cover (‘06) 300 m Edge 600 m Edge

Edge Effects in Protected ForestsCleared in protected areas: ~ 32,000 km2

Forest at 500m: ~ 43,000 km2

Forest at 1000m: ~ 85,000 km2

Christopher P. Barber, South Dakota State University, [email protected]

NASA Biodiversity and Ecological Forecasting Team Meeting, May 7th 2009

Page 10: Protected Areas in the Brazilian Amazon: Performance, Pressure, and Efficacy Christopher P. Barber Mark A. Cochrane (advisor) Geographic Information Science

Christopher P. Barber, South Dakota State University,

[email protected] Biodiversity and Ecological Forecasting Team Meeting, May 7th 2009

Examining the Network

Page 11: Protected Areas in the Brazilian Amazon: Performance, Pressure, and Efficacy Christopher P. Barber Mark A. Cochrane (advisor) Geographic Information Science

Christopher P. Barber, South Dakota State University,

[email protected] Biodiversity and Ecological Forecasting Team Meeting, May 7th 2009

Examining the Network

Page 12: Protected Areas in the Brazilian Amazon: Performance, Pressure, and Efficacy Christopher P. Barber Mark A. Cochrane (advisor) Geographic Information Science

Christopher P. Barber, South Dakota State University,

[email protected] Biodiversity and Ecological Forecasting Team Meeting, May 7th 2009

Other indicators of risk

Proximity to commercial centers

Terrain variables

County-level population

Fire

Page 13: Protected Areas in the Brazilian Amazon: Performance, Pressure, and Efficacy Christopher P. Barber Mark A. Cochrane (advisor) Geographic Information Science

Performance, Pressure, & Efficacy

Factors of risk

Probability of Deforestation

Intact Forest

Core Forest

Efficacy

PerformancePressure

Deforestation Rates

Christopher P. Barber, South Dakota State University, [email protected]

NASA Biodiversity and Ecological Forecasting Team Meeting, May 7th 2009

Page 14: Protected Areas in the Brazilian Amazon: Performance, Pressure, and Efficacy Christopher P. Barber Mark A. Cochrane (advisor) Geographic Information Science

Forest

Water

Natural non-forest

Cleared 2000

Cleared 2001

Cleared 2002

Cleared 2003

Cleared 2004

Cleared 2005

Cleared 2006

APA Triunfo do XinguState managed Environmental Protection Area

Total Area: 16.8 k km2 Cleared Area: 19.3 %Core @ 300m: 81.7 %Core @ 1km: 52.3 %Accessible: 66.9 %

Protected Area Report Card: PARC

existing forest within 5 km of road networkAccessible =

Christopher P. Barber, South Dakota State University, [email protected]

NASA Biodiversity and Ecological Forecasting Team Meeting, May 7th 2009

Page 15: Protected Areas in the Brazilian Amazon: Performance, Pressure, and Efficacy Christopher P. Barber Mark A. Cochrane (advisor) Geographic Information Science

FLONA Bom Futuro

Federal managed National Forest

Total Area: 2,755 km2 Cleared Area: 18.9 %Core @ 300m: 73.2 %Core @ 1km: 34.2 %Accessible: 63.5 %

Forest

Water

Natural non-forest

Cleared 2000

Cleared 2001

Cleared 2002

Cleared 2003

Cleared 2004

Cleared 2005

Cleared 2006

Protected Area Report Card: PARC

existing forest within 5 km of road networkAccessible =

Christopher P. Barber, South Dakota State University, [email protected]

NASA Biodiversity and Ecological Forecasting Team Meeting, May 7th 2009

Page 16: Protected Areas in the Brazilian Amazon: Performance, Pressure, and Efficacy Christopher P. Barber Mark A. Cochrane (advisor) Geographic Information Science

Forest

Water

Natural non-forest

Cleared 2000

Cleared 2001

Cleared 2002

Cleared 2003

Cleared 2004

Cleared 2005

Cleared 2006

FLORSU Rio S. DomingosState managed Sustained Yield ForestTotal Area: 2,919 km2 Cleared Area: 65.2 %Core @ 300m: 39.0 %Core @ 1km: 7.0 %Accessible: 98.6 %

Protected Area Report Card: PARC

existing forest within 5 km of road networkAccessible =

Christopher P. Barber, South Dakota State University, [email protected]

NASA Biodiversity and Ecological Forecasting Team Meeting, May 7th 2009

Page 17: Protected Areas in the Brazilian Amazon: Performance, Pressure, and Efficacy Christopher P. Barber Mark A. Cochrane (advisor) Geographic Information Science

Not all parks are created equal

Network comprised of individual parks, or links

Some links may be weaker than others

Protected Area Report Card: PARC

Christopher P. Barber, South Dakota State University, [email protected]

NASA Biodiversity and Ecological Forecasting Team Meeting, May 7th 2009

Page 18: Protected Areas in the Brazilian Amazon: Performance, Pressure, and Efficacy Christopher P. Barber Mark A. Cochrane (advisor) Geographic Information Science

Conclusion

Assessments of protected area networks need to move towards comprehensive examinations from a landscape perspective, with frequent

monitoring, and occur at scales that match the levels of disturbance

Christopher P. Barber, South Dakota State University, [email protected]

NASA Biodiversity and Ecological Forecasting Team Meeting, May 7th 2009