18
Cite as: Kissler et al., Science 10.1126/science.abb5793 (2020). First release: 14 April 2020 www.sciencemag.org (Page numbers not final at time of first release) 1 on May 8, 2020 http://science.sciencemag.org/ Downloaded from

Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the … · Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period Stephen M. Kissler, Christine

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    2

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the … · Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period Stephen M. Kissler, Christine

Cite as: Kissler et al., Science

10.1126/science.abb5793 (2020).

First release: 14 April 2020 www.sciencemag.org (Page numbers not final at time of first release) 1

on May 8, 2020

http://science.sciencem

ag.org/D

ownloaded from

Page 2: Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the … · Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period Stephen M. Kissler, Christine

First release: 14 April 2020 www.sciencemag.org (Page numbers not final at time of first release) 2

on May 8, 2020

http://science.sciencem

ag.org/D

ownloaded from

Page 3: Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the … · Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period Stephen M. Kissler, Christine

First release: 14 April 2020 www.sciencemag.org (Page numbers not final at time of first release) 3

on May 8, 2020

http://science.sciencem

ag.org/D

ownloaded from

Page 4: Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the … · Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period Stephen M. Kissler, Christine

First release: 14 April 2020 www.sciencemag.org (Page numbers not final at time of first release) 4

on May 8, 2020

http://science.sciencem

ag.org/D

ownloaded from

Page 5: Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the … · Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period Stephen M. Kissler, Christine

First release: 14 April 2020 www.sciencemag.org (Page numbers not final at time of first release) 5

on May 8, 2020

http://science.sciencem

ag.org/D

ownloaded from

Page 6: Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the … · Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period Stephen M. Kissler, Christine

First release: 14 April 2020 www.sciencemag.org (Page numbers not final at time of first release) 6

on May 8, 2020

http://science.sciencem

ag.org/D

ownloaded from

Page 8: Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the … · Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period Stephen M. Kissler, Christine

First release: 14 April 2020 www.sciencemag.org (Page numbers not final at time of first release) 8

on May 8, 2020

http://science.sciencem

ag.org/D

ownloaded from

Page 9: Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the … · Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period Stephen M. Kissler, Christine

First release: 14 April 2020 www.sciencemag.org (Page numbers not final at time of first release) 9

on May 8, 2020

http://science.sciencem

ag.org/D

ownloaded from

Page 10: Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the … · Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period Stephen M. Kissler, Christine

First release: 14 April 2020 www.sciencemag.org (Page numbers not final at time of first release) 10

on May 8, 2020

http://science.sciencem

ag.org/D

ownloaded from

Page 11: Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the … · Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period Stephen M. Kissler, Christine

First release: 14 April 2020 www.sciencemag.org (Page numbers not final at time of first release) 11

on May 8, 2020

http://science.sciencem

ag.org/D

ownloaded from

Page 12: Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the … · Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period Stephen M. Kissler, Christine

First release: 14 April 2020 www.sciencemag.org (Page numbers not final at time of first release) 12

χ

χ σ

σ

σ

σ

σ

χ χ

χ σ χ χ σ χ χ σ

χ χ σ χ χ σ

on May 8, 2020

http://science.sciencem

ag.org/D

ownloaded from

Page 13: Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the … · Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period Stephen M. Kissler, Christine

First release: 14 April 2020 www.sciencemag.org (Page numbers not final at time of first release) 13

on May 8, 2020

http://science.sciencem

ag.org/D

ownloaded from

Page 14: Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the … · Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period Stephen M. Kissler, Christine

First release: 14 April 2020 www.sciencemag.org (Page numbers not final at time of first release) 14

on May 8, 2020

http://science.sciencem

ag.org/D

ownloaded from

Page 15: Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the … · Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period Stephen M. Kissler, Christine

First release: 14 April 2020 www.sciencemag.org (Page numbers not final at time of first release) 15

on May 8, 2020

http://science.sciencem

ag.org/D

ownloaded from

Page 16: Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the … · Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period Stephen M. Kissler, Christine

First release: 14 April 2020 www.sciencemag.org (Page numbers not final at time of first release) 16

on May 8, 2020

http://science.sciencem

ag.org/D

ownloaded from

Page 17: Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the … · Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period Stephen M. Kissler, Christine

First release: 14 April 2020 www.sciencemag.org (Page numbers not final at time of first release) 17

on May 8, 2020

http://science.sciencem

ag.org/D

ownloaded from

Page 18: Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the … · Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period Stephen M. Kissler, Christine

Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic periodStephen M. Kissler, Christine Tedijanto, Edward Goldstein, Yonatan H. Grad and Marc Lipsitch

originally published online April 14, 2020published online April 14, 2020

ARTICLE TOOLS http://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2020/04/14/science.abb5793

MATERIALSSUPPLEMENTARY http://science.sciencemag.org/content/suppl/2020/04/13/science.abb5793.DC1

REFERENCES

http://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2020/04/14/science.abb5793#BIBLThis article cites 46 articles, 15 of which you can access for free

PERMISSIONS http://www.sciencemag.org/help/reprints-and-permissions

Terms of ServiceUse of this article is subject to the

is a registered trademark of AAAS.ScienceScience, 1200 New York Avenue NW, Washington, DC 20005. The title (print ISSN 0036-8075; online ISSN 1095-9203) is published by the American Association for the Advancement ofScience

Copyright © 2020, American Association for the Advancement of Science

on May 8, 2020

http://science.sciencem

ag.org/D

ownloaded from