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1 MICHELIN INVESTOR DAY – Shenyang, China – November 10, 2014 - Philippe Verneuil

Presentation Philippe VERNEUIL - michelin.com

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Page 1: Presentation Philippe VERNEUIL - michelin.com

1 MICHELIN INVESTOR DAY – Shenyang, China – November 10 , 2014 - Philippe Verneuil

Page 2: Presentation Philippe VERNEUIL - michelin.com

2 MICHELIN INVESTOR DAY – Shenyang, China – November 10 , 2014 - Philippe Verneuil

1. China: General Overview

2. Michelin in China: history & footprint

3. Main distinction of the Chinese tire market

4. The Chinese tire industry

5. Key takeaways

Outline

Page 3: Presentation Philippe VERNEUIL - michelin.com

3 MICHELIN INVESTOR DAY – Shenyang, China – November 10 , 2014 - Philippe Verneuil

Page 4: Presentation Philippe VERNEUIL - michelin.com

4 MICHELIN INVESTOR DAY – Shenyang, China – November 10 , 2014 - Philippe Verneuil

► 1.36 billion inhabitants

► Different levels of maturityfrom Hong Kong to Inner Mongoliafrom Taiwan to Tibet

► 60% living in coastal provinces

► 300 cities over 1M (3 cities over 20M)

► A fast growing middle class (x 6 in 10 years)

► A population getting old before getting wealthy?

A large and diverse population

Page 5: Presentation Philippe VERNEUIL - michelin.com

5 MICHELIN INVESTOR DAY – Shenyang, China – November 10 , 2014 - Philippe Verneuil

35 years of incredible and successful transformation

WEBNAUTES 94 to 620 millionFrom 2004 to 2013

1978 2013

Nominal GDP (trillion USD) 0.27 X 35 9.3

Urbanisation rate (%) 18% X 3 54%

Car parc (million) 0.3 X 330 100

TB parc (million) 1 X 16 16

X7

Page 6: Presentation Philippe VERNEUIL - michelin.com

6 MICHELIN INVESTOR DAY – Shenyang, China – November 10 , 2014 - Philippe Verneuil

► Address urbanization issues

► Fight against corruption

► Balance wealth between urban and rural areas

► Tackle worsening demographics

► Strengthen safety net

Some key economic and political challenges

Page 7: Presentation Philippe VERNEUIL - michelin.com

7 MICHELIN INVESTOR DAY – Shenyang, China – November 10 , 2014 - Philippe Verneuil

► From investment to domestic consumption

► From state to private

► From coast to interior

► From heavy industry to services

Embarking on the biggest policy shift: from a GDP-driv en to a balanced growth

Page 8: Presentation Philippe VERNEUIL - michelin.com

8 MICHELIN INVESTOR DAY – Shenyang, China – November 10 , 2014 - Philippe Verneuil

Page 9: Presentation Philippe VERNEUIL - michelin.com

9 MICHELIN INVESTOR DAY – Shenyang, China – November 10 , 2014 - Philippe Verneuil

MICHELIN in ChinaHistory

► 1988 Sales office in Hong Kong

► 1995 Joint venture (MSTC) in Shenyang

► 2001 Joint stock company Shanghai Michelin Warrior Tire Co., Ltd.Start of an R&D company (MTRD)

► 2006 Start of Michelin Holding and Commercial Company in China (MCIC)

► 2009 TYREPLUS distribution network established as a fran chise

► 2010 Shanghai tire plant 100% owned by Michelin Reconstruction & expansion project of Michelin Shen yang plant

► 2012 JV with Huayi & Double Coin to produce Tier 2 Passen ger car tires (Warrior brand)

► 2013 1st Truck & bus & Passenger car tires produced in Sheny ang new plant

► 2014 1000th TYREPLUS store opened in China

► 2015 SHY1 to SHY2 production transfer completed

Page 10: Presentation Philippe VERNEUIL - michelin.com

10 MICHELIN INVESTOR DAY – Shenyang, China – November 10 , 2014 - Philippe Verneuil

4 Plants►Shenyang (TC & PL) ►Shanghai (TC)►Shanghai (steel cord)►Wuhu (TC Warrior)

Chengdu

Hong kong

Guangzhou

Taipei

Wuhu

ShanghaiXi’an

Beijing

Shenyang8 Sales Offices

BeijingShenyang

Xi’anChengduShanghai

GuangzhouHong Kong

Taipei

MICHELIN in ChinaFootprint

Production (K tons/year)*2013 2017140 250

*JV excluded

Page 11: Presentation Philippe VERNEUIL - michelin.com

11 MICHELIN INVESTOR DAY – Shenyang, China – November 10 , 2014 - Philippe Verneuil

Qinghai

Sichuan

Yunnan

Xizang

Xinjiang

Heilongjiang

Jilin

Fujian

Guangxi

Guizhou

Gansu

Hainan

Liaoning

Ningxia

NMG

Chongqing

Shaanxi

Shanxi

HunanJiangxi

Shanghai

Jiangsu

Shandong

TianjinBeijing

Hebei

AnhuiHenan

Hubei

Guangdong

Zhejiang

# Dealers TC PL

Durable 2,000 130

Advocate 3,000 70

Transactional 2,800 1,600

Total 7,800 1,800

Sales >=5%

2%< Sales <5%

Sales <=2%

MICHELIN in ChinaAn extensive distribution network

% = weight of each province in Michelin China net sales

Page 12: Presentation Philippe VERNEUIL - michelin.com

12 MICHELIN INVESTOR DAY – Shenyang, China – November 10 , 2014 - Philippe Verneuil

Page 13: Presentation Philippe VERNEUIL - michelin.com

13 MICHELIN INVESTOR DAY – Shenyang, China – November 10 , 2014 - Philippe Verneuil

► Fast growing to be the largest in the world

► Getting sophisticated

► Crowded tire industry

► Very competitive

► Brand focused consumers

► Going West

Challenging but with huge opportunities

Page 14: Presentation Philippe VERNEUIL - michelin.com

14 MICHELIN INVESTOR DAY – Shenyang, China – November 10 , 2014 - Philippe Verneuil

0100200300400500600700800900

1000

2007 2012 2017

Car park(in millions of vehicles)

China to represent over 50% of worldwide vehicle growt h

� Brazil� India� China� Russia� USA� Europe

Fast growing to be the worldwide largest in Passeng er carand already the largest in Truck & bus

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

2007 2012 2017

Truck & Bus park(in millions of vehicles)

Page 15: Presentation Philippe VERNEUIL - michelin.com

15 MICHELIN INVESTOR DAY – Shenyang, China – November 10 , 2014 - Philippe Verneuil

Getting sophisticated

PC tire seat 2009-2024% Market

12%

73%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

TB Tubeless 2009-2024% Market

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

14 15 16 17+

� 2009� 2013� 2019� 2024

Page 16: Presentation Philippe VERNEUIL - michelin.com

16 MICHELIN INVESTOR DAY – Shenyang, China – November 10 , 2014 - Philippe Verneuil

Crowded tire industry

Qinghai

Sichuan

Yunnan

Xizang

Xinjiang

Heilongjiang

Jilin

Zhejiang

Guangxi

Guizhou

Gansu

Hainan

Liaoning

Ningxia

NMG

Chongqing

Shaanxi

Shanxi

Hunan

Jiangxi

Shanghai

Jiangsu

Shandong

TianjinBeijing

Hebei

AnhuiHenan

Hubei

Guangdong

FuJian

Source: CRIA & Company Self-announced data

20~30 manufacturers

10~20 manufacturers

~10 manufacturers

200~250 manufacturers

40~50 manufacturers

Page 17: Presentation Philippe VERNEUIL - michelin.com

17 MICHELIN INVESTOR DAY – Shenyang, China – November 10 , 2014 - Philippe Verneuil

72

82

100

66

73

100

4965

74

100

4759

71

100

Very competitive

Source : TCCN/PLCN marketing

205/55 R16 225/50 R17

12R 295

T2

T1

T3

BuSanBao

T3

T1

T2

Page 18: Presentation Philippe VERNEUIL - michelin.com

18 MICHELIN INVESTOR DAY – Shenyang, China – November 10 , 2014 - Philippe Verneuil

► Chinese consumers valued “Brand” as most important factor on decision making in mobile, food, clothing, and personal care categories (source McKinsey 2011 study)

“Brand” focused

Trustworthy Brand Price & Promotion Channel Distributio n

63% 20% 15%

54% 22% 21%

50% 29% 16%

44% 28% 23%

Resource: Nielsen release report

Page 19: Presentation Philippe VERNEUIL - michelin.com

19 MICHELIN INVESTOR DAY – Shenyang, China – November 10 , 2014 - Philippe Verneuil

► ~ From 230 M in 2013 to 400 M+

► ~ 2/3 in “small” cities

► ~ 800 cities with disposable income/ capita > Shanghai’s today

Going West

By 2020, the development of a sizeable middle class (disposable income > RMB 5,000 per month)

Page 20: Presentation Philippe VERNEUIL - michelin.com

20 MICHELIN INVESTOR DAY – Shenyang, China – November 10 , 2014 - Philippe Verneuil

Page 21: Presentation Philippe VERNEUIL - michelin.com

21 MICHELIN INVESTOR DAY – Shenyang, China – November 10 , 2014 - Philippe Verneuil

Crowded

Qinghai

Sichuan

Yunnan

Xizang

Xinjiang

Heilongjiang

Jilin

Zhejiang

Guangxi

Guizhou

Gansu

Hainan

Liaoning

Ningxia

NMG

Chongqing

Shaanxi

Shanxi

Hunan

Jiangxi

Shanghai

Jiangsu

Shandong

TianjinBeijing

Hebei

AnhuiHenan

Hubei

Guangdong

FuJian

Source: CRIA & Company Self-announced data

No. Name Capacity (in Mu)

1 GiTi 38 2 Hankook 35 3 Kumho 344 ChengShin 31 5 LingLong 31 6 Hangzhou Zhongce 277 Sailun 228 Triangle 209 Bridgestone 1510 Cooper 14

of total capacity 55%

2014 PCR Capacity Top 10

2014 TBR Capacity Top 10No. Name Capacity (in Mu)

1 Hangzhou Zhongce 172 Double Coin 103 GITI 84 Triangle 75 LingLong 66 Xing Yuan 67 Cooper 58 Aeolus 59 DoubleStar 410 Guizhou 4

of total capacity 56%

20~30 manufacturers

10~20 manufacturers

~10 manufacturers

200~250 manufacturers

40~50 manufacturers

Page 22: Presentation Philippe VERNEUIL - michelin.com

22 MICHELIN INVESTOR DAY – Shenyang, China – November 10 , 2014 - Philippe Verneuil

Nov. 2014

PCR Capacity(Mu)

TBR Capacity(Mu)

Industrial capacity… not yet on the brake!

0

100000

200000

300000

400000

500000

600000

700000

2009 2011 2013 2015 2017

15%

7%

0

20000

40000

60000

80000

100000

120000

140000

2009 2011 2013 2015 2017

10%

5%

T1

T2

T3

Local Players

Source: CRIA data compiled by Michelin

700

600

500

400

300

200

100

140

120

100

80

60

40

20

Page 23: Presentation Philippe VERNEUIL - michelin.com

23 MICHELIN INVESTOR DAY – Shenyang, China – November 10 , 2014 - Philippe Verneuil

Tier 1 footprint

TB & PC

PC

TB

PC & 2R

PC

TB & PC & 2R

PC

TB & PC

TB

Mu TB Capacity TODAY Tomorrow

Michelin 0.8 1.8

Bridgestone 2.3 2.3

Goodyear 0.5 1.0

Pirelli 1.0 1.0

Continental -- --

Mu PC Capacity TODAY Tomorrow

Michelin 10 18

Bridgestone 15 17

Goodyear 10 12

Pirelli 10 10

Continental 8 12

Source: CRIA & Company Self-announced data

Page 24: Presentation Philippe VERNEUIL - michelin.com

24 MICHELIN INVESTOR DAY – Shenyang, China – November 10 , 2014 - Philippe Verneuil

Other sizeable players

Mu TB Capacity TODAY Tomorrow

Hankook 2.8 3.6

ChengShin 3.5 4.0

Double Coin 8.0 13.0

HZZC 13.0 16.5

Mu PC Capacity TODAY Tomorrow

Hankook 35 40

ChengShin 32 39+

Warrior 5 15

HZZC 28 45

Source: CRIA & Company Self-announced data

PC

TB & PC

TB & PC

TB & PC

TB & PCPC

PC

2R

Page 25: Presentation Philippe VERNEUIL - michelin.com

25 MICHELIN INVESTOR DAY – Shenyang, China – November 10 , 2014 - Philippe Verneuil

Competitive landscape - PC

► T1(20%)MichelinOthers

► T2(33%)HankookKumhoChengShinWarriorOthers

► Other locals (47%)GiTiHangzhou Z.TriangleWanliLingLongOthers

Page 26: Presentation Philippe VERNEUIL - michelin.com

26 MICHELIN INVESTOR DAY – Shenyang, China – November 10 , 2014 - Philippe Verneuil

► T1(8%)MichelinOthers

► T2(6%)HankookKumhoOthers

► Other locals (86%)Hangzhou Z.Double CoinGiTiLingLongChengShinTriangleOthers

Competitive landscape - TB

Page 27: Presentation Philippe VERNEUIL - michelin.com

27 MICHELIN INVESTOR DAY – Shenyang, China – November 10 , 2014 - Philippe Verneuil

Page 28: Presentation Philippe VERNEUIL - michelin.com

28 MICHELIN INVESTOR DAY – Shenyang, China – November 10 , 2014 - Philippe Verneuil

► China is a strategic market: ■ 50% of worldwide growth

► Michelin has a role to play in China:■ Successful development

■ Recognized leadership

► Michelin has a strong potential for growth by leveraging its strengths: ■Michelin Brand – all product lines

■ OE presence

■ Footprint: R&D, Manufacturing, Retail Network

■ JV Warrior (Tier 2 & Tier 3 extension)

■ Committed and talented people

Key takeaways

Ambition: more than double the business over the next 10 years

Page 29: Presentation Philippe VERNEUIL - michelin.com

29 MICHELIN INVESTOR DAY – Shenyang, China – November 10 , 2014 - Philippe Verneuil