“Presentation Office of Rural Health Programs and Department of Family and Community Medicine by Dr. Daryl J. Hobbs December 10,2003

“PresentationOffice of Rural Health Programs and

Department of Family and Community Medicine by

Dr. Daryl J. Hobbs

December 10,2003

http://www.oseda.missouri.edu

Population1990 - 2000

Change in Population 1980-2000

•Missouri’s population increased from 4,917,000 in 1980 to 5,117,000 in 1990 – an increase of 4.1 percent.

•Population increased from 5,117,000 in 1990 to 5,595,000 in 2000 – an increase of 9.3 percent – more than double the increase during the 1980s.

•However, national population which increased by 9.8 percent during the 1980s increased by 13.1 percent in 2000. There were 29 states whose population increased by a larger percentage than Missouri during the 1990s.

•Therefore, even though Missouri population increased by more than twice the rate in the 1990s than during the 1980s, it dropped from being the 15th most populated state in 1990 to 17th in 2000.

Missouri’s Metro and Non-Metro PopulationMissouri’s Metro and Non-Metro Population

SOURCE: USDC, Bureau of the Census, Census of Population and Housing [2000 SF1; 1990 STF1]Table produced by: University Outreach and Extension, Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis (Feb. 2002)

Number Percent Births DeathsNatural

IncreaseNet Migration

478,138 9.3 753,673 534,120 219,553 258,585

303,930 8.7 533,051 335,423 197,628 106,302

92,061 9.4 151,194 92,855 58,339 33,722100,232 5.3 289,492 181,937 107,555 -7,323111,637 18.3 92,365 60,631 31,734 79,903174,208 10.7 220,637 198,711 21,926 152,282

Change, 1990-2000 Components of Change, 1990-2000

The Missouri Census Data Center has created a report that shows the just released definitions of Core Based Statistical Areas for Missouri. The CBSA's are a replacement for the metropolitan areas. We still have entities called MSA's (Metropolitan Statistical Areas) but the criteria for defining them has changed. It changed just enough to allow Jefferson City to now be classified as an MSA even though it does not have a central city of 50,000. Instead it has a "core area" with 50,000 people and it doesn't matter whether this population cluster happens to all fall within an incorporated place. Entirely new micropolitan areas have also been created based on the same concept as MSAs except the core area does not have to be as large. Missouri has lots of these.

Population Change2000 - 2002

5,62

9,70

7

5,59

5,21

1

5,56

1,94

8

5,52

1,76

5

5,48

1,19

3

5,43

1,55

3

5,37

8,24

7

5,32

4,49

7

5,27

1,17

5

5,21

7,10

1

5,17

0,80

0

5,12

8,88

0

5,11

6,90

1

4,800,000

4,900,000

5,000,000

5,100,000

5,200,000

5,300,000

5,400,000

5,500,000

5,600,000

5,700,000

1-Ju

l-90

1-Ju

l-91

1-Ju

l-92

1-Ju

l-93

1-Ju

l-94

1-Ju

l-95

1-Ju

l-96

1-Ju

l-97

1-Ju

l-98

1-Ju

l-99

April

1 20

00

1-Ju

l-01

1-Ju

l-02

Total Population Estimates by Year, 1990-2002Missouri

SOURCE: Federal-State Cooperative Program for Population EstimatesProduced by: University Outreach and Extension – Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis (6/12/03)

44,3

48

34,4

96

33,2

6340

,183

40,5

72

49,6

4053,3

06

53,7

50

53,3

2254

,074

46,3

01

41,9

20

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

Jul '9

0 - J

ul '91

Jul '9

1 - J

ul '92

Jul '9

2 - J

ul '93

Jul '9

3 - J

ul '94

Jul '9

4 - J

ul '95

Jul '9

5 - J

ul '96

Jul '9

6 - J

ul '97

Jul '9

7 - J

ul '98

Jul '9

8 - J

ul '99

Jul '9

9 - A

pr '00

Apr '0

0 - J

ul '0

1

Jul '0

1 - J

ul '02

Change in Total Population Estimates by Year, 1990-2002Missouri


357,8

60

357,3

05

358,1

32

358,3

80

357,9

01

357,3

66

356,5

43

354,3

01

352,3

07

350,6

81

348,0

93

345,9

57

344,2

14

335,000

340,000

345,000

350,000

355,000

360,000

1-Apr-9

0

1-Ju

l-91

1-Ju

l-92

1-Ju

l-93

1-Ju

l-94

1-Ju

l-95

1-Ju

l-96

1-Ju

l-97

1-Ju

l-98

1-Ju

l-99

April

1 20

00

1-Ju

l-01

1-Ju

l-02

Total Population Estimates by Year, 1990-2002Southeast Missouri Extension Region


555

-827-2

48

47953

582

3

2,24

2

1,99

4

1,62

6

2,58

8

2,13

6

1,74

3

-1,000

-500

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Jul '9

0 - J

ul '91

Jul '9

1 - J

ul '92

Jul '9

2 - J

ul '93

Jul '9

3 - J

ul '94

Jul '9

4 - J

ul '95

Jul '9

5 - J

ul '96

Jul '9

6 - J

ul '97

Jul '9

7 - J

ul '98

Jul '9

8 - J

ul '99

Jul '9

9 - A

pr '00

Apr '0

0 - J

ul '0

1

Jul '0

1 - J

ul '02

Change in Total Population Estimates by Year, 1990-2002Southeast Missouri Extension Region


744,6

81

737,2

73

728,0

89

719,6

82

708,5

11

697,4

47

685,0

20

671,9

24

655,3

25

636,6

26

618,9

47

604,8

53

591,2

77

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

1-Apr-9

0

1-Ju

l-91

1-Ju

l-92

1-Ju

l-93

1-Ju

l-94

1-Ju

l-95

1-Ju

l-96

1-Ju

l-97

1-Ju

l-98

1-Ju

l-99

April

1 20

00

1-Ju

l-01

1-Ju

l-02

Total Population Estimates by Year, 1990-2002Southwest Missouri Extension Region


7,40

8

9,18

4

8,40

7

11,1

71

11,0

6412,4

2713,0

96

16,5

9918

,699

17,6

79

14,0

94

13,5

76

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

20,000

Jul '9

0 - J

ul '91

Jul '9

1 - J

ul '92

Jul '9

2 - J

ul '93

Jul '9

3 - J

ul '94

Jul '9

4 - J

ul '95

Jul '9

5 - J

ul '96

Jul '9

6 - J

ul '97

Jul '9

7 - J

ul '98

Jul '9

8 - J

ul '99

Jul '9

9 - A

pr '00

Apr '0

0 - J

ul '0

1

Jul '0

1 - J

ul '02

Change in Total Population Estimates by Year, 1990-2002Southwest Missouri Extension Region


Age of the Population

Percent Change in Missouri Population by Percent Change in Missouri Population by Age Cohorts, 1990-2000Age Cohorts, 1990-2000

0.2

11.9

3.6

-13.3

29.6

10.9

3.2

21.4

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

SOURCE: USDC, Bureau of the Census, Census of Population and Housing, Summary File 1 (2000); Summary Tape File 1 (1990)Produced by: The Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis, UOE [E.J. Cleveland, Nov. 2001]

Missouri Transfer Payments, 1999 ($000)Missouri Transfer Payments, 1999 ($000)

Source: USDC, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Regional Economic Information System

1999Pct. Of

Total

Total Transfer Payments 20,965,085

Retirement & Disability Insurance Benefit Payments 8,773,930 41.9Social Security 8,424,338 40.2Other 349,592 1.7Medical Payments 8,402,601 40.1Medicare Payments 4,615,910 22.0Public Assistance Medical Care 3,752,158 17.9Military Medical Insurance Payments 34,533 0.2Income Maintenance Benefit Payments 1,765,870 8.4Supplemental Security Income (SSI) Payments 489,243 2.3Family Assistance 234,759 1.1Food Stamps 350,967 1.7Other Income Maintenance 690,901 3.3Unemployment Insurance Benefits Payments 298,001 1.4State Unemployment Insurance Compensation 289,968 1.4Other Unemployment Compensation 122 0.0Veterans Benefit Payments 493,154 2.4Fed Ed. & Train. Assist. Payments (excl. vets) 213,183 1.0Other Payments To Individuals 12,948 0.1Payments To Nonprofit Institutions 590,840 2.8Federal Government Payments 145,778 0.7State and Local Government Payments 262,794 1.3Buisness Payments 182,868 0.9Buisness Payments To Individuals 414,558 2.0

Education

To work, a modern economy needs a mass welleducated work force. An educated elite will notsuffice. Illiteracy hurts the literate.

~Lester Thurow

Income

Minorities

Missouri Hispanic Population, 1990-2000Missouri Hispanic Population, 1990-2000

NOTE:* Newton is a metropolitan county but is included in the Top 8 agriculture producing counties** The eight Missouri counties having the greatest agricultural commodity sales also had the greatest non-metro Hispanic population increases during the 1990sSource: USDC, Bureau of the Census, "Census of Population and Housing"

2000 1990 Number Percent 2000 1990

Missouri 118,592 61,702 56,890 92.2 2.1 1.2

Total Metropolitan Areas* 88,137 49,315 38,822 78.7 2.4 1.5

NonMetropolitan Counties 30,455 12,207 18,248 149.5 1.5 0.7Top 8 Agriculture Producing Counties** 6,638 815 5,823 714.5 4.0 0.6Remainder of Non-Metro Counties 23,817 11,392 12,425 109.1 1.3 0.7

Change Pct. Of Total Population

Hispanic Population

Missouri’s Hispanic School Enrollment by School Year

0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000

Enrollment

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

Yea

r

SOURCE: Missouri Department of Elementary and Secondary Education, Core DataPrepared by: University Outreach and Extension, Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis – (OSEDA)

Chart Generated on 3.5.2002

Missouri's Hispanic Population by Age Cohorts1990-2000

0 5 10 15 20 25

Age Cohorts

Under 5

5 to 17

18 to 24

25 to 34

35 to 54

55 to 64

65 to 84

85 or Older

Per

cen

t

1990 2000

SOURCE: USDC, Bureau of the Census, Census of Population and Housing [2000 SF1; 1990 STF1]Prepared by: University Outreach and Extension, Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis – (OSEDA)


Missouri’s Hispanic School Enrollment by School Year

0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000

Enrollment

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

Yea

r



Hispanic School Enrollment in McDonald County by School Year

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450

Enrollment

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

Ye

ar



Hispanic School Enrollment in Taney County by School Year

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160

Enrollment

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

Ye

ar



Households

Kids Count

KIDS COUNT Key FactsKIDS COUNT Key FactsDEMOGRAPHIC

Child population 1997/2001Children as percent of total population 1997/2001Minority children 1997/2000Children with limited English proficiency 1998/2001

ECONOMICChildren in poverty 1990/2000Children under 6 in poverty 1990/2000Children in single parent families 1990/2000Average annual wage/salary 1997/2000Adult unemployment 1997/2001

FAMILY SUPPORTSParents paying child support in state system 1996/2000Children receiving subsidized child care 1997/2001Licensed child care capacity 1998/2002Accredited child care facilities 1999/2001Children receiving cash assistance 1997/2001Children receiving food stamps 1997/2001

HEALTH/MENTAL HEALTHChildren enrolled in MC+/Medicaid 1997/2001Public clinic immunization 1997/2001Children with elevated blood lead levels 1997/2001Children receiving public SED mental health services 1997/2001Juvenile law violation referrals, ages 10-17 (per 1,000) 1997/2000

Source: Citizens for Missouri’s Children, Children’s Trust Fund, KIDS COUNT Data Book 2002

KIDS COUNT Outcome MeasuresKIDS COUNT Outcome Measures

Students enrolled in free/reduced lunch 1997/2000

Births to mothers without h.s. diploma 1997/2001

Low birthweight infants 1992-96/1997-2001

Infant mortality (per 1,000 live births) 1992-96/1997-2001

Child deaths, ages 1-14 (per 100,000) 1992-96/1997-2001

Child abuse and neglect (per 1,000) 1997/2001

Out-of-home placement entries (per 1,000) 1997/2001

Annual high school dropouts 1997/2001

Births to teens, ages 15-19 (per 1,000) 1997/2001

Violent deaths, ages 15-19 (per 100,000) 1992-96/1997-2001Source: Citizens for Missouri’s Children, Children’s Trust Fund, KIDS COUNT Data Book 2002

Pct Eligible for Free & Reduced Price Lunch

Pct Births to mothers with less than 12 years education

Low Birth Weight (%) Moving Avg

Births to teenage mothers 15-19 (Per 1,000)

Child deaths per 100,000 kids ages 1-14

Infant deaths per 1,000 birth

Child abuse/family assessment per 1,000

Regionalization

REGIONALIZATION WORK RETAIL TRADE HEALTH CARE IMPLICATIONS

Community Public Finance

To obtain 2000 County to County Work Flow Reports go to:

http://mcdc2.missouri.edu/data/workflow/reports/

SOURCE: USDC, Bureau of the Census, Census 2000Produced by: The Missouri State Census Data Center

Counts of Workers Commuting INTO Pike CountyEach Flow Represents at Least .5% of All Trips Ending in

Pike County

Work Flows Into

Total work tripsending

in CountyWork Flows From

Work Flows

Pike County 6,604 Pike Co. 5,167

Pike Co. IL 502

Lincoln Co. 229

Audrain Co. 174

Ralls Co. 155

Marion Co. 127

St. Charles Co. 85


Counts of Workers Commuting INTO Pike CountyEach Flow Represents at Least .5% of All Trips Ending in

Pike County

Work Flows Into

Total work tripsending

in CountyWork Flows From

Work Flows


Pike Co. IL 502

Lincoln Co. 229

Audrain Co. 174

Ralls Co. 155

Marion Co. 127

St. Charles Co. 85

Counts of Workers Commuting FROM Pike CountyEach Flow Represents at Least .5% of All Trips Originating in

Pike County


Work Flows From

Total work tripsoriginatingin County

Work Flows into County

Work Flows


Lincoln Co. 474

Audrain Co. 416

Marion Co. 359

St. Charles Co. 294

Ralls Co. 147

St. Louis Co. 146

St. Louis City 106

Warren Co. 61

Montgomery Co. 40

Pike Co. IL 38

School Enrollment1991-2003

Percent Change in School EnrollmentMissouri

SOURCE: Missouri Department of Elementary and Secondary EducationProduced by: University Outreach and Extension – Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis (6/26/03)

5.630%

2.540%

0.098%

0%

1%

2%

3%

4%

5%

6%

'91 - '95 96 - '00 '01 - '03

893,

846

890,

199

892,

975

895,

624

896,

149

893,

618

884,

363

873,

469

862,

658

852,

437

841,

168

830,

150

816,

670

760,000

780,000

800,000

820,000

840,000

860,000

880,000

900,000

920,000

'199

1'1

992

'199

3'1

994

'199

5'1

996

'199

7'1

998

'199

9'2

000

'200

1'2

002

'200

3

Total School Enrollment by Year, 1991-2003Missouri


3.6

-2.8-2

.6

-0.5

2.5

9.3

10.9

10.8

10.2

11.3

11.0

13.4

-4.0

-2.0

0.0

2.0

4.0

6.0

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

'91

- '92

'92

- '93

'93

- '94

'94

- '95

'95

- '96

'96

- '97

'97

- '98

'98

- '99

'99

- '00

'00

- '01

'01

- '02

'02

- '03

Annual Numerical Change in Total School Enrollment by Year, 1991-2003 (in thousands)

Missouri


0.54

0.500.

600.70

0.90

1.701.

70

2.20

2.40

2.402.

50

1.70

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

'91

- '92

'92

- '93

'93

- '94

'94

- '95

'95

- '96

'96

- '97

'97

- '98

'98

- '99

'99

- '00

'00

- '01

'01

- '02

'02

- '03


Southwest Missouri Extension Region


0.50

-0.8

0-1

.40-0

.30

2.00

5.10

5.00

4.20

3.20

4.60

3.30

6.30

-2.0

-1.0

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

'91

- '92

'92

- '93

'93

- '94

'94

- '95

'95

- '96

'96

- '97

'97

- '98

'98

- '99

'99

- '00

'00

- '01

'01

- '02

'02

- '03


East Central Missouri Extension Region


Documents

“Presentation Office of Rural Health Programs and Department of Family and Community Medicine by Dr. Daryl J. Hobbs December 10,2003