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Soil, Climate Change and Biodiversity – Where do we stand? Brussels, 23-24. September, 2010 1
R. HiedererEuropean Commission Joint Research Centre
Institute for Environment and SustainabilityTP261, I – 21027 Ispra (VA)
e-mail: [email protected]
Preliminary Results of a Europe-wide Survey on
Soil Organic Carbon Levels
Brussels, 23. September, 2010 2
Context
Climate Change
London
Oslo
Helsinki
Paris
Madrid
Rome
Warsaw
Present position Position corresponding to mean annual temperature for scenario period
End-of Century Temperature Equivalent
Based on data provided by the Danish Climate Centre, Danish Meteorological Institute according to the IPCC A2 scenario.
Geographic position of Europe, indicating major cities, at the end of the 21st century.
Based on the changes in mean annual temperature of the period 2071-2100 as compared to the period 1960-1990.
Geographic position of Europe, indicating major cities, at the end of the 21st century.
Based on the changes in mean annual temperature of the period 2071-2100 as compared to the period 1960-1990.
Temperature Effect
Brussels, 23. September, 2010 3
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000Temperature Range (AAAT deg. C)
Managed Grassland Semi-natural Culti vated Average Model
TEMPERATURE CORRECTION FOR OCCoefficient for temperature variation
(by land cover, aggregation over 250 deg. C intervals)
Temperature Function for SOC Content
Context
Temperature Effect on Soil Organic Carbon Assumption
Within belts of uniform moisture conditions and comparable vegetation, the average total organic matter in soils increases by 2 to 3 times for each 10°C fall in mean temperature.
Within belts of uniform moisture conditions and comparable vegetation, the average total organic matter in soils increases by 2 to 3 times for each 10°C fall in mean temperature.
Brussels, 23. September, 2010 4
BioSoil Demonstration Project
Project AimsProvide harmonized soil and biodiversity data and contribute to research and forest related policies.
Biosoil/Soil Survey
Evaluation of Consistency of Biosoil data• Spatial variability at country level.• Temporal variability to previous survey.• Influence of laboratory methods on observed values.
Evaluation of Consistency of Biosoil data• Spatial variability at country level.• Temporal variability to previous survey.• Influence of laboratory methods on observed values.
Forest Focus (Regulation (EC) No. 2152/2003)
Brussels, 23. September, 2010 5
Soil Surveys linked to BioSoil
Background
Historic and Current Soil Surveys
Systematic Monitoring
Intensive Monitoring
Measured Profiles
Council Regulation (EEC) No 3528/86
Forest Focus Level 1
Forest Focus Level 2
SPADE/M
Regulation (EC) No. 2152/2003
BioSoil Level 1
BioSoil Level 2
Reference Laboratory
Reference LaboratoryFIMCI
SGDBE
FSCC
Soil Layer, Level 1Soil Layer, Level 2Soil ProfileFI
MC
I: Fo
rest
Inte
nsiv
e M
onito
ring
Coo
rdin
atin
g In
stitu
teFS
CC
: Fo
rest
Soi
l Coo
rdin
atin
g C
entre
ICP
For
ests
: In
tern
atio
nal C
oope
rativ
e P
rogr
amm
e on
Ass
essm
ent a
nd M
onito
ring
of A
ir P
ollu
tion
Effe
cts
on F
ores
tsS
GD
BE
: S
oil G
eogr
aphi
c D
atab
ase
of E
uras
iaS
PA
DE
/M:
Soi
l Pro
file
Ana
lytic
al D
atab
ase
/ Mea
sure
d P
rofil
es
Brussels, 23. September, 2010 6
ComplianceCompliance
ConformityConformity
UniformityUniformityA
utomation decreasesC
ompl
exity
incr
ease
s
• Verification of Formal AspectsErrors lead to data being rejected, need to be resubmitted.
• Evaluation of Data ValueErrors lead to data being re-assessed by NFC.
• Analysis of Data ComparabilityWarnings on systematic differences lead to message to NFC.
Data Validation Procedure
Quality Assurance
Brussels, 23. September, 2010 7
BioSoil Survey Participants
Scope of BioSoil
Soil Sampling
No. of countries: 22No. of NFCs: 31No. of Plots: 4,034
with reference 4,026 Plots within NFC area:
no buffer area 3,544buffer of 3km 3,551
No. of countries: 22No. of NFCs: 31No. of Plots: 4,034
with reference 4,026 Plots within NFC area:
no buffer area 3,544buffer of 3km 3,551
BioSoil Participating NFCs
Soil Level 1Soil Level 2Soil Level 1&2Biodiversity
Survey Data
Brussels, 23. September, 2010 8
Plot Positioning
• Nominal arrangement in 16 x 16 km grid on forest land.
• Use of ICP Forests Level 1 plots.
• Nominal arrangement in 16 x 16 km grid on forest land.
• Use of ICP Forests Level 1 plots.
Distribution of Level 1 Survey PlotsPlotLocation
BioSoil/Soil Level 1 Sample Plots
Brussels, 23. September, 2010 9
Soil Sampling
Sampling Methods
Two methods applied:a) pedological horizonsb) fixed depth
Two methods applied:a) pedological horizonsb) fixed depth
Mineral (cm)0 – 55 – 10
10 – 2020 – 4040 - 80
Organic
Litter
Image from E. Micheli in: Jones, A., V. Stolbovoy, C.Tarnocai, G. Broll, O. Spaargaren and L. Montanarella (2010) Soil Atlas of the Northern Circumpolar Region. Publication Office of the European Union, Luxembourg, 144 pp.
Level 1 Plots with Only Organic or Mineral Layers
only organic layersonly mineral layers
Plot Data
Brussels, 23. September, 2010 10
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Freq
uenc
y (%
)
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60Organic Carbon Content (%)
M05 M51 M12 M24 M48
Organic Carbon Content in Soil StratumFrequency Distribution
Distribution of Organic Carbon Content in Soil Stratum
Variability of OC decreases with depthVariability of OC decreases with depth
BioSoil/Soil
Brussels, 23. September, 2010 11
Organic Carbon Content in Soil StratumLevel 1 Plot Data
BioSoil/Soil
Distribution follows European map of topsoil organic carbon content.
Areas with peat show plots high OC content.
Distribution follows European map of topsoil organic carbon content.
Areas with peat show plots high OC content.
Organic Carbon Content in Soil Layer on Level 1 Plots
OC (g kg )-1
<4040 - 8080 - 120
120 - 160160 - 200
>200
Brussels, 23. September, 2010 12
1996 ICP Forests Survey
Survey Years of 1996 Soil DataTemporal Range
Database contains surveys performed over 13 years.
In some countries surveys were carried out over several years.
Database contains surveys performed over 13 years.
In some countries surveys were carried out over several years.
Soil Survey Year on ICP Forests Level 1 Plots
Year19851986198719881989199019911992199319941995199619971998
Brussels, 23. September, 2010 13
Geographic Positioning
1996 vs. 2006 Soil SurveyGeographic Co-location
Identification of previous plot by geographic position is not apparent:
• new plots installed;• coordinates of existing
plots modified;• systematic shift
introduced.
Identification of previous plot by geographic position is not apparent:
• new plots installed;• coordinates of existing
plots modified;• systematic shift
introduced.Distance of BioSoil Plot to ICP Forests Plot
Distance (km)
<44 - 88 - 12
12 - 1616 - 20
>20
Brussels, 23. September, 2010 14
Significant Difference
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
Freq
uenc
y (%
)
< -100-80
-60-40
-200
2040
6080
100>100
Organic Carbon Content (g / kg)
1996 - 2006 Layers Plot
2006 Soil Survey vs. Central LaboratoryDifference in Organic Carbon Content
Organic Layers (g kg-1) Mineral Layers (g kg-1)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
Freq
uenc
y (%
)
< -15-12.5 -10 -7.5 -5 -2.5 0 2.5 5 7.5 10 12.5 15 >15Organic Carbon Content (g / kg)
1996 - 2006 M05 M51
M12 M24 M24
Mean: -0.07 g kg-1
Conf. Int. (95%) : "1.71 g kg-1
Mean: -0.07 g kg-1
Conf. Int. (95%) : "1.71 g kg-1Mean: -0.17 g kg-1
Conf. Int. (95%): "6.05 g kg-1
Mean: -0.17 g kg-1
Conf. Int. (95%): "6.05 g kg-1
Brussels, 23. September, 2010 15
Organic Carbon
1996 vs. 2006 Soil SurveyChange in Organic Carbon in Organic and Mineral Layer
Organic Layers Mineral Layers
SOC ( )g kg-1 SOC ( )g kg-1
< -100-100 to -50
-50 to 00 to 50
50 to 100>100
< -20-20 to -10-10 to 0
0 to 1010 to 20
>20
Brussels, 23. September, 2010 16
Demonstration Project Findings
Detection of Change in SOC after 10 years (1996 – 2006)
1 Olsen, C. (2009) Soil Inventories for Carbon Assessment. NRCS GHGIS workshop – Sandia Labs. May 21, 20092 Bellamy, P.H., P.J. Loveland, R.I. Bradley, R.M. Lark and J.D. Kirk (2005) Carbon losses form all soils across England and Wales. Nature, Vol. 437/8. Sept. 2008. pp 245-248.
Results
Significant difference from Central Lab. "0.61 / 0.17 % for SOC content.Significant change in SOC was detected for organic & mineral layers.Attributing change to a specific condition is not evident.
Significant difference from Central Lab. "0.61 / 0.17 % for SOC content.Significant change in SOC was detected for organic & mineral layers.Attributing change to a specific condition is not evident.
Methodology & AnalysisCommon Survey Manual compiled (with ICP Forests).Revisit same plots and allow identification of plots.Data QA essential.
Common Survey Manual compiled (with ICP Forests).Revisit same plots and allow identification of plots.Data QA essential.
• Instrument variations: < 0.1%1. • Laboratory measurement error: < 1-2%1. • Average annual rate of change in SOC content (0-15 cm): -0.5%2.