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DATANALISIS
Chavez 43,8%
Capriles 29.1%
(September)
CONSULTORES 30.11
Chavez 56.5%
Capriles 34.4 %
(September)
16 Septem ber
Consultores 21
Chavez 46.2%
Capriles 48.2
(September)
6th Poder Datos
Chavez 47.17%
Capriles 43.25%
(September)
THE “HORSERACE” CONFLICTING VIEWS
Acaraigua, Portuguesa
(24 September)
Health – uncertainCampaigning
more reliance on media than in past
significant number of public appearancesAppeal
charismatic manichaen
HUGO CHÁVEZ FRÍAS
Unified opposition last chance to
prevent transition to communalism Remnants of Punto Fijo fight for survivalRejection of class warfareYouth-vigor
HENRIQUE CAPRILES RADONSKI
Diosdado Cabello R. (First Vice President)
Elías Jaua (capital region)
Nicolás Maduro (Center-West Region)
Francisco Arias Cárdenas (West Region)
Tareck El Aissami (Andean Region) ]
Yelitze Santaella (East Region)
Adán Chávez (South Llanos Region)
Ramón Rodríguez Chacín (North Llanos Region)
Rafael Gil Barrios (South East Region)
PARTIDO SOCIALISTA UNIDA DE VENEZUELA
(BEYOND CHAVEZ)
Operational Strategic Commands
ARMED FORCES
Henry de Jesús Rangel Silva (born in 1961) Venezuelan general and current minister of Defence (since January 2012).[1]
National Guard - Juan Francisco Romero
Figueroa
---------------------------------------
Operational Command Gen. Wilmer Barrientos
(Plan Republica)
Bolivarian Militias Rule over Ranchos (Slums) • manage drugs
• potential for violence if Chavez loses the election
OTHER COMPONENTS OF THE MILITARY ESTABLISHMENT
Political Parties of Punto Fijo (Low Profile)
•Accion Democratica•COPEI•MAS
Fifth Republic Opposition
Primero Justicia
Un Nuevo Tiempo
Proyecto Venezuela
Patria Para Todos
Alianza Bravo Pueblo
Podemos
MESA DE UNIDAD DEMOCRATICA
Interest Groups
FEDECAMARAS
UNIONS
CATHOLIC CHURCH •Cardinal Jorge Urosa & President Chavez
Government Institutions
Ministerio para Comunas y Proteccion Social
(Isis Ochoa Cañizales)
PLAYERS: LESSER BUT IMPORTANT
100,000 barrels of oil to Cuba Cuban doctors to Venezuelan ranchosCuban political officers in Venezuelan militaryCuban planners in Venezuelan national bureaucracy
VENECUBA??