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Possible developments in tax arena
Hrvoje Šimović
Summer School“Trends in international taxation”
University of Dubrovnik September 13, 2018
This work has been supported by the Croatian Science Foundation under project Public Finance Sustainability on the path to the Monetary Union (IP-2016-06-4609)
Content
1. Tax structure and tax burden (EU vs. CEE vs. Croatia)
2. Developments in VAT
3. Developments in labor (PIT and Social contributions)
4. Developments in CIT
5. Developments in capital taxation
6. Conclusion
Workshop assignment: discussion questions and proposal of possible changes in tax system
Tax structure and tax burden EU vs. CEE vs. Croatia
CEE: Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Croatia, Hungary, Poland, Romania, Slovenia, Slovakia
Overall tax revenues in EU levelled off…
Source: European Commission (2018).
30
32
34
36
38
40
42
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Total taxes (including social contributions) as % of GDP
EU-28 EA-19 CEE Croatia
Tax to GDP increases in 19 MS (6 CEE)
-2,50
-2,00
-1,50
-1,00
-0,50
0,00
0,50
1,00
1,50
2,00
2,50
Change in tax revenue to GDP, 2015-16 (pp)
Source: European Commission (2018).
CEE region below EU average, Croatia above CEE average
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Romania Bulgaria Slovakia Poland Czech Republic Slovenia Croatia Hungary CEE EU
Total taxes (including social contributions) as % of GDP (2016)
Source: European Commission (2018).
Tax burden vs. Economic development
Romania
Bulgaria
SlovakiaPoland
Czech R.Slovenia
CroatiaHungary
20
25
30
35
40
45
40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90
Tax
bu
rden
, % G
DP
BDP per capita in PPS (EU 28=100)
Source: author.
Tax structure by economic functions variate a lot… consumption taxes dominate in Croatia
Source: European Commission (2018).
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
IE RO
BG LT LV SK MT ES PL
CY
CEE U
K PT EE CZ SI HR
LU
EU-2
8 EL NL
DE
HU
EA-1
9 AT IT SE FI BE
FR DK
Structure of total taxation, % GDP (2016)
Consumption Labour Capital
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Tax structure in Croatia 2004-16, % GDP
Consumption Labour Capital
0
5
10
15
20
25
Consumption Labour Capital
EU vs. Croatia vs. CEE (2016)
EU-28 HR CEE
Croatia is champion in taxing consumption, while taxing capital at low-level…
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
IE ES LU SK DE
BE
RO
EA-1
9 UK
EU-2
8 FR IT LT NL
AT PL
CZ
MT SE PT
CY
LV
CEE SI DK FI EE EL BG
HU
HR
Consumption (% GDP, 2016)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
BG IE RO
MT
CY
UK PL
LV LT HR PT
CEE EL ES EE SK LU C
Z
HU SI
EU-2
8
NL
EA-1
9 IT DE FI BE
DK
AT
FR SE
Labour (% GDP, 2016)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
EE LV LT SI BG
HR SK RO
CEE C
Z
HU IE SE DE
NL
AT FI PT ES
EU-2
8
EA-1
9 DK
CY PL EL MT
UK IT BE
FR LU
Capital (% GDP, 2016
Source: European Commission (2018).
Croatia and CCE countries have same trend although…
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Consumption
EU HR CEE
0
5
10
15
20
25
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Labour
EU HR CEE
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Capital
EU HR CEESource: European Commission (2018).
…there are differences in level of taxation and developments between CEE countries
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Consumption
7
9
11
13
15
17
19
21
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Labour
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Capital
CEE
Croatia
Bulgaria
Czech Republic
Hungary
Poland
Romania
Slovenia
SlovakiaSource: European
Commission (2018).
Theoretical framework
Taxes and economic growth
Efficiency Equity
• Market distortions• Deadweight loss• Incentives
• Economic inequality• Redistribution
Relation between tax burden and economic growth is clear
R² = 0,3927
-0,5%
0,0%
0,5%
1,0%
1,5%
2,0%
2,5%
3,0%
3,5%
4,0%
4,5%
25,0 30,0 35,0 40,0 45,0 50,0
CA
GR
rea
lBD
P
Total tax burden
Source: author.
Different aspect of efficiency (empirical literature)
Taxation
DistortionaryNon-
distortionary
• Taxation on income and profit • Social security contributions • Taxation on payroll and manpower • Taxation on property
• Taxation on goods and services
Source: Kneller, Bleaney & Gemmell (1999).
„Light” empirical testing (EU)
R² = 0,0183
R² = 0,2595
-0,5%
0,0%
0,5%
1,0%
1,5%
2,0%
2,5%
3,0%
3,5%
4,0%
4,5%
7,0 9,0 11,0 13,0 15,0 17,0 19,0 21,0 23,0 25,0 27,0
CA
GR
rea
lBD
P
Taxes in GDP
Taxes on consumptionPIT and Social security contributions
Source: author.
Developments in VATEU trends in consumption taxation and Croatian perspective
Domination of VAT among consumption taxes…Croatia among highest?
Decomposition of the ITR on consumption 2016
Source: European Commission (2018).
IPSC=𝑡𝑎𝑥𝑒𝑠 𝑜𝑛 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑠𝑢𝑚𝑝𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛
𝐹𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑙 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑠𝑢𝑚𝑝𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑜𝑓 ℎ𝑜𝑢𝑠𝑒ℎ𝑜𝑙𝑑𝑠
In Croatia higher pressure in VAT burden than other consumption taxes (ITR)
Source: MFIN & author.
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Decomposition of the ITR on consumption (Croatia)
VAT component Tobacco and alcohol component Energy component Residual
Standard VAT rate in Croatia above EU average… stability of average VAT standard rate in EU after crisis
15
17
19
21
23
25
27
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Standard VAT rate
HR EU-28 EA-19
Source: European Commission (2018).
Frequent changes and rise of VAT standardrates during crisis period
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
BE
BG
DK
DE
FR LU MT
AT SI SE PL
SK CZ
EE IE IT NL FI UK
HR CY
LV LT PT EL ES RO
HU
VAT standard rates change (% points 2008-13)
Source: European Commission (2018).
1
4
1 1
2
0
1
0
5
9
5 5
6
3
1
0
1
0
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
y-o-y changes in standard VAT rates
Number of rate rise Number of rate fall
VAT rates in EU (January 1, 2018.)Member State Super Reduced Reduced Standard rate Parking rate Zero rate
Belgium 6 / 12 21 12 Yes
Denmark 25 Yes
Germany 7 19
Finland 10 / 14 24 Yes
France 2,1 5,5 /10 20
Greece 6 / 13 24
Ireland 4,8 9 / 13,5 23 13,5 Yes
Italy 4 5 /10 22
Luxembourg 3 8 17 14
Netherlands 6 21
Austria 10 / 13 20 13
Portugal 6 / 13 23 13
Sweden 6 / 12 25 Yes
Spain 4 10 21
UK 5 20 Yes
Czech R. 10 / 15 21
Estonia 9 20
Cyprus 5 / 9 19
Latvia 12 21
Lithuania 5 / 9 21
Hungary 5 / 18 27
Malta 5 / 7 18 Yes
Poland 5 / 8 23
Slovenia 9,5 22
Slovakia 10 20
Bulgaria 9 20
Romania 5 / 9 19
Croatia 5 / 13 25Source: European Commission (2018).
Reduced rates development in Croatia like in EU
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
VAT rates in Croatia
Standard Reduced Zero-Reduced 2
Source: MFIN.
Developments
• 1998 – introduction• Focused on EU and general tax
reform form 1994• Single rate 22%• Threshold 85.000 HRK
• 1999 (September)• Zero rate (milk, bread,
books…)• 2000 – scientific journals
• 2006• 10% Reduced rate for several
tourist services • Newspapers in 2007
• 2009 • Standard rate 23%
• 2012• Standard rate 25%
• 2013• Zero rate to 5% reduced rate
(EU) and some changes in 10% rate
• Threshold 230.000 HRK
• 2014• Form 10% to 13%
• 2017• Changes in reduces rates• Threshold 300.000HRK from
2018
VAT is the most important revenue in Croatia...and cyclicly dependant (Tax base vs. Tax revenue)
Source: DZS & MFIN (2018).
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
GDP (expenditure approach, nominal)
Households Government Investments
Exports Imports Total
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
GDP (expenditure approach, 2008=100)
Households Government Investments
Exports Imports Total
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
Consumption vs. VAT
VAT C
0
20
40
60
80
100
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
VAT vs. trend
VAT VAT trend
Beside tax base (consumption), tax rates are also relevant…and other determinants
-15,0%
-10,0%
-5,0%
0,0%
5,0%
10,0%
15,0%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
GDP, VAT & private consumption (y/y, %)
VAT C GDP
VAT rate 23%
VAT rate 25%
Reduced rate form 10% to
13%
EU Accession (Imports lag effect) (-)&
Cash payment fiscalisation Act (+)
Source: DZS, MFIN & author.
Efficiency of VAT is also key determinant…
• Changes in VAT revenue can be attributed to: a) changes in the share of consumption in GDP,
b) changes in the VAT rates,
c) changes in the C-efficiency ratio (CER)
• R - total amount of VAT revenues,
• FC - final household consumption
• r - standard VAT rate
C-efficiency ratio
𝐶𝐸𝑅 =𝑅
𝐹𝐶 ∗ 𝑟∗ 100
Croatia have high level of VAT efficiency… efficiency is decreasing during crisis
74
76
78
80
82
84
86
88
90
92
94
C-efficency
-8%
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
-10%
-8%
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
Decomposition of VAT revenue changes (in %)
C-efficency Consumption Rate VAT
• efficiency increase increase in 2014 (revenues are increasing faster than consumption)
• High VAT rate and „Fiscalisation” (positive effects)• But reduced rates and exemptions (negative effects)• Consumption trends (mostly neutral)
Source: DZS, MFIN & author.
Fiscal effects of VAT… reducing standard rate or/and aborting reduced rates?
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
15
17
19
21
23
25
27
Potential VAT rate
Standard rate Potential rate Residual (right)
0
1
1
2
2
3
3
Lost VAT revenues (billion HRK)
Reduced rate 10% or 13% (from 2014)
Zero rate (till 2012) or reduced rate 5% (from 2012)
Source: author.
VAT threshold & Exemptions
• Small Entrepreneurs (VAT threshold)• Threshold HRK 300.000 HRK (40.000 EUR)
• Before 2018 it was 230.000 HRK (over 30.000 EUR)• Before 2013 it was 85,000 HRK (over 11.000 EUR)
• desires to increase tax revenue vs. reduce administration and compliance costs, and minimize the distortions
• Standard VAT issues following supplies of public interest: • postal services,• medical diagnostics, medical care etc.,• supply of services and goods related to social welfare, • supply of services and goods related to the protection of children and
youth, • education services, • engagement of staff by religious or spiritual institutions• Etc.
Reduced VAT rates (simplified)Reduced rate of 5% Reduced rate of 13%
a) all kinds of baked bread,
b) all kinds of milk,
c) books,
d) medicines (determined by the Croatian Institute
for Health Insurance),
e) Surgical implants (pacemakers, artificial joints,
stents etc.),
f) Cinema tickets,
g) Daily newspapers (on paper),
h) Scientific journals.
a) Tourist services (services of accommodation,
agency commission for these services etc.),
b) Other daily and periodic newspapers and
magazines,
c) edible oil and grease,
d) children seats and baby food,
e) water supply (utilities).
f) Concert tickets,
g) electrical energy,
h) public service of collecting waste
i) Caskets and coffins,
j) Seedling and seeds.
Changes 2008-17 Changes 2008-17
2013 – increase from 0% to 5% (Croatian accession to
the EU)
2013 – broaden for (g) (before 10%)
2012 – broaden for oil, baby food etc.
2013 – broaden for catering services, and narrowed
for newspapers (only periodicals)
2014 – increase form 10% to 13%
2017 – abortion of reduced rate for catering services,
and broaden for childern seats, caskets, seeds etc.
According to Annex III of VAT Directive 2006/112/EC
Discussion question?
• Should Croatia reduce standard VAT rate? • When?
• How much?
• Should Croatia aboard/introduce (some) reduced rates?• When?
• Which products? (for example: fresh meet)
Developments in labor taxationEU & CEE trends and Croatian perspective (PIT and social contributions)
SSC are dominant in tax wedge in EU…
Source: OECD (2018) & author.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Tax wedge, as % of labour cost (2017)
Income tax SSC Employee SSC Employer
…especially in Croatia…
0,0%
10,0%
20,0%
30,0%
40,0%
50,0%
60,0%
Tax wedge in Croatia
SSC Employee SSC Employer PIT Surtax
Average gross salary in 2017.
Source: author.
Social contributions are above EU average in majority CEE countries
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Bulgaria Romania Croatia EU Poland Hungary Slovakia Slovenia Czech R.
Social contributions in CEE, as % of GDP (2016)
Employer Employee
Source: European Commission (2018).
Top PIT rate in EU are stable after crisis period…Croatia differs from EU trends until last couple years
Source: European Commission (2018).
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Top statutory PIT rates (including surcharges), 1995-2018
EU-28 Croatia CEE
Slovenia and Croatia have highest PIT rates in CEE
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Top statutory PIT rates in CEE, 1995-2018
Bulgaria Czech Republic Croatia Hungary Poland Romania Slovenia Slovakia
Source: European Commission (2018).
Frequent changes in PIT in CroatiaYear Change Personal
alowance
I. Bracket II. Bracket III. Bracket IV. Bracket
Rate Base Rate Base Rate Base Rate Base
1994. 332 25% till 996 35% above 996
PA (February) 400 25% till 1.200 35% above 1.200
PA (July) 500 25% till 1.500 35% above 1.500
1995. PA 700 25% till 2.100 35% above 2.100
1997. PA + rate 800 20% till 2.400 35% above 2.400
1999. PA 1.000 20% till 3.000 35% above 3.000
2000. PA (April) 1.250 20% till 3.750 35% above 3.750
2001. Rate & bracket 1.250 15% till 2.500 25% 2.500-6.250 35% above 6.250
2003. PA, new rate &
bracket
1.500 15% till 3.000 25% 1.500-7.500 35% 7.500-21.000 45% Above
21.000
2005. PA 1.600 15% till 3.200 25% 3.200-8.000 35% 8.000-22.400 45% above
22.400
2008. PA (July) 1.800 15% till 3.600 25% 3.600-9.000 35% 9.000-25.200 45% above
25.200
2010. Rate & bracket
(July)
1.800 12% till 3.600 25% 3.600-
10.800
40% above 10.800
2012. PA & bracket
(March)
2.200 12% till 2.200 25% 2.200-8.800 40% above 8.800
2015. PA & bracket 2.600 12% till 2.200 25% 2.200-
12.200
40% above 12.200
2017. PA, new rate &
bracket
3.800 24% till 17.500 36% above
17.500
Source: author.
0
20.000
40.000
60.000
80.000
100.000
120.000
140.000
Structure of employees (annual net income, 2015)
≈15.000
Annual PA45.600
1. Bracket 24%till 210.000 annually
2. Bracket 36%above 210.000
Narrow tax base in Croatia (SSC, PA, brackets, rates and other sources of income)
≈786.000 ≈740.000
Source: Tax administration.
Potential changes: broader 1. bracket or abandon 36% rate?
30%
32%
34%
36%
38%
40%
42%
44%
46%
48%
50%
3.0
29
,55
3.5
00
4.5
00
5.5
00
6.5
00
7.5
00
8.5
00
9.5
00
10
.50
0
11
.50
0
12
.50
0
13
.50
0
14
.50
0
15
.50
0
16
.50
0
17
.50
0
18
.50
0
19
.50
0
19
.75
0
20
.50
0
21
.50
0
22
.50
0
23
.50
0
24
.50
0
25
.50
0
26
.50
0
27
.50
0
28
.50
0
29
.50
0
30
.50
0
Tax wedge in Croatia
With 36% Without 36%
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
0 -
1.0
00 k
n
1.0
01 -
2.
000
kn
2.0
01 -
5.
000
kn
5.0
01 -
7.
000
kn
7.0
01 -
10.
000
kn
10.
001
- 1
5.00
0 kn
15.
001
- 2
0.00
0 kn
20.
001
- 2
5.00
0 kn
25.
001
- 3
0.00
0 kn
30.
001
- 3
5.00
0 kn
35.
001
- 4
0.00
0 kn
40.
001
- 4
5.00
0 kn
45.
001
- 5
0.00
0 kn
50.
001
- 5
5.00
0 kn
55.
001
- 6
0.00
0 kn
60.
001
- 6
5.00
0 kn
65.
001
- 7
0.00
0 kn
70.
001
- 7
5.00
0 kn
75.
001
- 8
0.00
0 kn
80.
001
- 9
0.00
0 kn
90.
001
- 1
00.0
00
kn
100.
001
- 1
10.0
00
kn
110.
001
- 1
20.0
00
kn
120.
001
- 1
40.0
00
kn
140.
001
- 1
60.0
00
kn
160.
001
- 2
00.0
00
kn
200.
001
- 3
00.0
00
kn
300.
001
- 4
00.0
00
kn
400.
001
- 5
00.0
00
kn
500.
001
- 7
00.0
00
kn
700.
001
- 1
.000
.00
0 kn
abo
ve 1
.000
.00
0 kn
Fiscal effect of potential changes (Billion HRK)
Without rate 36% Bracket 25.000 Current
500 mil.
200 mil.
Source: author.
Discussion questions?
• Should Croatia abandon top PIT rate of 36% or broader 1. bracket to 25.000 HRK?
• Horizontal equity issue: Should all sources of income inside PIT be taxed in the same way (at statutory rates, withoutallowing the lower withholding tax to be the final tax due)?
Developments in CITEU & CEE trends and Croatian perspective
Race to the bottom still present in EU… Croatia after long time in trend
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Top statutory CIT rates (including surcharges), 1995-2018
EU-28 Croatia CEE
Source: European Commission (2018).
Since 2000 almost every MS have significatly lowered CIT rate
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Top statutory CIT rates
2018 2000
Source: European Commission (2018).
Europa precede the rest of the World
15
20
25
30
35
40
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Corporate tax rates
Europe average Asia average Latin America average North America average Africa average Oceania average
Source: KPMG (2017).
Croatia has on of highest rates in region…Slovenia recently increased rate
0
5
10
15
20
25
Montenegro Bosnia andHerzegovina
Macedonia Albania Serbia Croatia Slovenia EU-28
CIT rates, 2017
Source: KPMG (2017).
Although there is trend to broaden tax base, still many types of tax incentives are employed which reduce ETR
Incentive Developing countries(52) Developed countries (51) Total (103)
Reduced CIT rate 43 40 83
Tax holidays 37 30 67
Accelerated depreciation 26 21 47
Investment allowances 18 8 26
Social security reductions 5 7 12
Import duty exemptions 39 24 63
Other 32 13 45
Source: Easson (2004: 132).
Several period of different incentive policy in Croatia… inconsistent and dependable of EU accession process
0
0,5
1
1,5
2
2,5
3
3,5
4
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Tax expenditure in Croatia (billion HRK)
VAT CIT PIT % total revenue (right)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Structure of tax expenditure in Croatia
VAT CIT PIT
Source: author.
Discussion questions?
• Should Croatia increase/decrease CIT rate?
• Does Croatia have enough tax incentives? Are they efficient?
Developments in capital taxationEU vs. CEE vs. Croatia (property taxation in focus)
Short recap… Croatia among MS with lowest capital taxation
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Capital taxation in EU (% GDP, 2016
Source: European Commission (2018).
Even less when taxing stocks of capital (wealth), especially immovable property
0
0,5
1
1,5
2
2,5
3
3,5
Income of corporations Income of households &self-employed
Stock of capital (wealth)
Structure of capital taxation (% GDP, 2016)
EU Croatia CEE
0
0,5
1
1,5
2
2,5
3
3,5
MT
HR
LU AT
CZ
EE BG LT HU SK DE
CEE SI IE RO SE FI PT
CY
NL
LV ES PL
BE IT
EU-2
8
DK EL UK FR
Recurrent taxes on immovable property (% GDP, 2016)
Capital tax on Stocks of Wealth Mil. HRK %
Real estate transfer tax 885,5 19,8%
Public land use taxes 70,3 1,6%
Utility charges 2.356,6 52,7%
Contributions for forest 51,6 1,2%
Motor vehicle taxes (legal persons) 64,6 1,4%
Boat taxes (legal persons) 1,2 0,0%
Annual levy on public roads use (at motor vehicles registration) 243,1 5,4%
Levy on public roads use for tractors 1,8 0,0%
Trading name taxes 127,6 2,9%
Deposit insurance premiums 535,7 12,0%
Taxes on holiday houses 122,1 2,7%
Inheritance and gift taxes 14,1 0,3%
Total 4.474,2 100,0%
Source: European
Commission (2018).
Discussion questions?
• Should Croatia introduce new recurrent property tax?
• If yes, should Croatia abandon utility charges?
Conclusion• EU and international context
• Stabilization in tax changes in post-crisis period in general
• Rise in capital and consumption taxes, fall in labour taxes
• Consumption taxation
• Croatia among highest VAT rates in EU (fiscal reasons)
• There is space for reducing standard rate, and changes in reduced rates (political reasons)
• Labour taxation
• SSC dominate in EU and Croatia
• Simplifying trend (less brackets, lower rates, less reliefs)
• Problem of fiscal equalization
• CIT taxation
• Simplifying trend also
• Abandoning incentive for reinvested profit
• Reduce CIT rate?
• Property taxation
• Space for improvement
• Recurrent immovable property tax
Final note… Thank you for your attention!
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
20
04
-01
20
04
-05
20
04
-09
20
05
-01
20
05
-05
20
05
-09
20
06
-01
20
06
-05
20
06
-09
20
07
-01
20
07
-05
20
07
-09
20
08
-01
20
08
-05
20
08
-09
20
09
-01
20
09
-05
20
09
-09
20
10
-01
20
10
-05
20
10
-09
20
11
-01
20
11
-05
20
11
-09
20
12
-01
20
12
-05
20
12
-09
20
13
-01
20
13
-05
20
13
-09
20
14
-01
20
14
-05
20
14
-09
20
15
-01
20
15
-05
20
15
-09
20
16
-01
20
16
-05
20
16
-09
20
17
-01
20
17
-05
20
17
-09
20
18
-01
20
18
-05
20
18
-09
Interest over time (Croatia, 2004-18)
Football Tax Budget Debt
Lists of tax debitors
Note: Numbers present interest for search related to highest point on graph for given region and time. Value 100 present the most popular term. Value 50 means that popularity is half less etc.Source: Google Trends.
Tax return
64%
28%
5% 3%
Average, 2004-18