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Police Demand Modelling and

Predictive Positioning

By Johanna LeighE-mail: J.M.Leigh@lboro.ac.uk

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Aims

• Give automation to predictive policing

• Allocate and position staff

• Make best use of resources

• Minimise incident reaction time

• Maximise visibility to public

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Patrol Routes

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Directed Patrols

• Targeting hot spots

• Reduces crime

• Currently being implemented

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Directed Patrols

• Depending on:

Hot spots

Officer locations

Area coverage

Location of people of interest (POI)

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Hot spot

• ConsiderationsLocationTime

• Methods Clustering Thematic mapping

Picture: National Institute of Justice Report, Mapping crime: understanding hot spots

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Incident Response

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Selecting Officer

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Weightings

• Type of road

• Speed limit

• Known traffic hot spots

• Day / time of day

Picture: Nat Spurling photographs

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Routing Optimisation

• A* Algorithm

• Bidirectional

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Routing to Incident

IncidentOfficer

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Future Plans

• Develop program

• Run simulation

• Develop GUI

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Questions & feedback