View
2.052
Download
1
Embed Size (px)
DESCRIPTION
Expositor: Jorge Merino Tafur (Ministro de Energía y Minas del Perú) / China Mining / China, 6 Noviembre 2012
Citation preview
1
Mining and Energy Investment Opportunities
Eng. Jorge Merino Tafur Minister of Energy and Mines of Peru
PERU:
Perú 73,2
Argentina59,9
Colombia 46,8
Ecuador45,9
Brasil40,3
Chile 39,5
México 18,9
0
15
30
45
60
75
90
105
120
135
150
Ch
ina
Ind
iaT
ajikis
tán
Kaza
jistá
nV
ietn
am
Pan
am
áS
ing
apur
Perú
Sri
Lan
ka
Em
. Ara
b. U
ni.
Ban
gla
desh
Kuw
ait
Gh
an
aM
ala
wi
Zam
bia
Rep
. Do
m.
Ind
onesi
aA
rgen
tina
Alb
an
iaE
gip
toM
ala
sia
Filip
inas
Mo
ldova
Pakis
tán
Nig
eri
aT
urk
íaLib
iaM
ali
Rusia
Marr
ueco
sC
osta
Ric
aT
ailan
dia
Tun
isia
Bo
tsw
an
aH
on
g K
ong S
AR
Co
lom
bia
Ecuad
or
Para
guay
Ho
ndura
sP
olo
nia
Co
rea
Uru
guay
Lituan
iaB
olivia
Bulg
ari
aM
auri
tan
iaS
erb
iaK
en
iaR
om
an
iaA
lgeri
aB
rasil
Nep
al
Bo
sn
iaC
hile
Ucra
nia
Mo
nte
neg
roB
elice
Ara
bia
S.
Sud
áfr
ica
Isra
el
Esto
nia
Guate
mala
Rep
. Ch
eca
Buru
nd
iLatv
iaY
RM
Austr
alia
Lexem
burg
oV
en
ezu
ela
Nic
ara
gua
Eslo
venia
Cro
acia
Nueva Z
ela
nda
Gre
cia
Irla
nd
aS
uecia
Isla
ndia
El S
alv
ad
or
Méxic
oE
sp
añ
aE
sp
añ
aF
inla
ndia
EE
.UU
.S
uiz
aH
un
grí
aA
ustr
iaN
oru
eg
aD
om
inic
aR
ein
o U
nid
oP
aís
es B
ajo
sF
ran
cia
Bah
am
as
Ale
man
iaJap
ón
Jam
aic
aD
inam
arc
aP
ort
ug
al
Haiti
Italia
3.0
3.4
3.7
4.3
4.7
4.8
6.0
Venezuela
Mexico
Argentina
Brazil
Chile
Colombia
Peru
Peru among the fastest growing economies in the world and it will
continue leading regional growth
World’s GDP 2002-2010
(Var. Accrued.%)
Forecast - LATAM: Real GDP 2012-2014 Average annual % variation)
Source: IMF Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru, Ministry of Economy and Finance, IMF.
MACROECONOMIC SOUNDNESS
Peru
Non discriminatory treatment: Foreign investors receive the same treatment as local investors.
Unrestrictive access to most economic sectors *.
Free transfer of capital.
Free competition.
Guarantee for Private Property.
Freedom to purchase stocks from locals.
Freedom to access internal and external credit.
Freedom to pay royalties.
Network of investments agreements and member of ICSID and MIGA.
Peru participates in the Investment Committee of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) – It promotes the implementation of the Guidelines for Multinational Enterprises.
*Investments that require authorization: Located within 50 km in the frontier line and those destined to arms, ammunitions and explosive. Likewise, a principal local partner
for investments in radio and television as well as in air transport is required.
Peru offers a favorable legal framework for foreign investment …
FRIENDLY INVESTMENT ENVIRONMENT
Peru will grow
from 6 to 6.5% in
the next years
Real GDP growth (Averages, Variation % Annual )
Source: BCRP, INEI, MEF forecast
5.6
2.5
4.2
7.26.9
6.0 6.06.5 6.5
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
91-95 96-00 01-05 06-10 2011 2012F 2013F 2014F 2015F
Average Growth 2000-2011
5.8%
Why to invest in Peru?
Extended market of more than 4 billion
people with a joint GDP of more than US$
56 billion.
96% of the Peruvian exports to the world.
Acuerdo en proceso de negociación Acuerdo vigente Acuerdo por entrar en vigencia Agreement in force Agreement to come into effect
COMMERCIAL INTEGRATION POLICY
An economy working in the globalization process with
preferential access to the largest markets
Agreement in negotiation process
Why to invest in Peru?
International integration with the rest of the
world fosters trade and investment
I. MINING SECTOR
National Exports
Approximately 75% of the national exports correspond to mining products, petroleum and natural gas
Source: Monthly Mining Bulletin January 2012 – Ministry of Energy and Mines
Central Reserve Bank of Peru
Sector
Minero
Hidrocarburos
75%
75% Mining sector +
hydrocarbons
25% Other sectors
Exporting Sector Participation
Mining Petroleum and natural gas
Fishery (trad. export) Agriculture Agricultural and Livestock Fishery (trad. export) Textiles Wood and papers, and respective manufacture Chemicals Others
Mining Exports (US$ million)
Source: MINEM - Central Reserve Bank of Peru
41 %
Copper Other minerals
35 % 24 %
Gold
Mining Sector Exports per
destination market 2011
Source: Adex Data Trade, Customs.
In the last years, mining exports have increased more than 8 times its value
Is the percentage of national territory where there is exploration and exploitation mining activity.
is the territory used by the mining projects in exploration stage.
1 %
0.77% is the territory used by the mining units in exploitation stage.
0.27%
Minig Activity in Peru
Is the percentage of the territory granted as mining concession requiring investments for mining exploration.
13 %
Mining Competitiveness
FOTO PERU
OMBLIGO DEL
MUNDO
Mineral World Latin America
Silver 2 2
Zinc 3 1
Tin 3 1
Lead 4 1
Gold 6 1
Mercury 4 2
Copper 2 2
Molybdenum 4 2
Selenium 9 2
Cadmium 10 2
Iron 17 5
Source: U.S.Geological Survey-USGS-, The Silver Institute; Gold Fields Minerals Services-GFMS-
International Copper Study Group -ICSG-; International Lead and Zinc Study Group-ILZSG-
International Tin Research Institute - ITRI-; International Molybdenum Association-IMOA-
Latin American Iron and Steel Institute- ILAFA-
Peru: Mining Production Position - 2011
Phosphate Rock 13 2
Source: U.S.Geological Survey-USGS – Report 2012
METAL MINING POTENTIAL
... We are recognized around the world by our metal mineral proven and probable reserves
Peru is one of the countries with
the largest reserves of silver,
copper, zinc, lead, tin and gold in
the world.
COPPER
GOLD
SILVER
LEAD
TIN
World
Rank
% World
reserves
SOURCE: MINEM – ESTIMATED PORTFOLIO OF MINING PROJECTS SEPTEMBER 2012 ELABORATED BY MINING PROMOTION OFFICE - MEM
MINING INVESTMENT COMMITMENTS
Mining Investment in Peru
CHINA
UNITED STATES
CANADA
SWITZERLAND
AUSTRALIA
MEXICO
BRAZIL
PERU UNITED KINGDOM
JAPAN
OTHERS
Millions
CHINA
BRAZIL
MEXICO
AUSTRALIA USA
SWITZERLAND
CANADA
MINING INVESTMENT COMMITMENTS
The estimated investment in mining projects exceeds
US$ 53,000 million dollars for the following years
EIA: Environmental Impact Assessment
8
11
1
27
47 Projects with EIA approved
US$ 19´745,000
Extensions
US$ 8´635,000
Exploration Projects
US$ 24´289,000
Projects with EIA Submitted
US$ 754,000
Source: Bulletin September 2012
US$ 6,186 billion
GOLD PROJECTS
12 % of estimated investment
66% of estimated investment
US$ 35.582 billion
COPPER PROJECTS
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
10000
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025
Peru
Chile
COPPER PRODUCTION PROJECTION
PERU VS CHILE (TMF)
2005 y 2010: Actual Production (MINEM)
2015: Projections estimated in each country according to portfolio (MINEM)
2020: Increase in differences between 2015 and 2010
2025: Increase in differences between 2020 and 2015
17
Cem. Andino
San Cristóbal
Andaychagua
Carahuacra Ticlio
Mining Activities in
Central Region
Toromocho Project
Influence area of operations
TOROMOCHO PROJECT
Production: 275 000 TMF/year Investment: US$ 3 450 millions Power: 165 MW Completion of the works: January 2014 RELOCATION OF THE MOROCOCHA POPULATION: Starting from 2012 Building of 1 450 housing with an investments of US$ 300 millions
CHINALCO-ALUMINIUM CORP.OF CHINA
Toromocho Project
Environmental Responsability
1. Construction of Plant for the
Treatment of Kingsmill Tunel
Water: 1,1 m3/sec – Agreement
with the State
2. Investment: over US$ 45 million.
3. Solution to pollution of Yauli River
– La Oroya , after 70 years
Treatment Plant:
Treated water of Kingsmill Tunel
2012
Polluted water of Kingsmill Tunel
TOROMOCHO: MODERN MINING WITH SOCIAL
AND ENVIRONMENTAL RESPONSIBILITY
MOROCOCHA NEW CITY SCHOOLS – MARKETS – RECREATIONAL PARKS – WATER AND SEWAGE
INVESTOR: Construction of new cities
Social Programs
Environmental Commitment
COMMUNITY Support to investment
Social Agreements
STATE Framework agreement
Social Fund
Protects drinking water
use
MINING
SUSTAINABLE
DEVELOPMENT
PROJECT Sustainable
Development
Participation of
the State
TOROMOCHO NEW MINING WITH SOCIAL INCLUSION
Water first
Plant of Treatment of
Kingsmill Tunel
Urban
Industrial Zone
Commerce
Ecotourism/ Livestock
/ Agriculture
Terminal
INDUSTRIAL MINING CLUSTER
• GENERATE AGGREGATE VALUE ,
GOLD, SILVER PRODUCTION
CHAIN. MAQUILA CENTER FOR
ESPORTATION TERMINAL(USE
OF FTA).
DEVELOPMENT ZONE
TOROMOCHO
Plant of Treatment of Kingsmill Tunel
II. ENERGY SECTOR
Peru 2012 Electricity Market
Growth rates for 18 years
Energy: 8% annually
Growth rates for 7 years
NG demand: 30% annually
Natural Gas Market
Liquid Hydrocarbon Market
Product
Annual Average
Demand Variation
Gasolines and Gasoholes
Residual
Others
LPG
Sectors Performed Potential(*)
(1996-2010) (2011-2020)
Mining 21 360 53 000
Hydrocarbons 8 600 25 000
Electricity 9 500 5 200
Total 39 460 73 200
Source: National Mining and Petroleum Society
(*) SNMPE Estimate
Potential investments to be performed
in the following years in US$ million
Strategic Location: Borders Ecuador, Colombia, Brazil, Bolivia and Chile.
Intensive energy in productive uses Activities: Metallurgy and Mines.
Large Energy Sources: Hydropower 69 445 MW Natural Gas: 77.72 TCF Petroleum: 3,055 MMBls. Non-conventional and renewable energy
Peru, an Energy Hub of the Pacific
Coast in South America
GENERATION PROJECTS
ABOVE 100 MW
NATIONWIDE
The 15 Largest Hydroelectric Projects of
the Atlantic basin.
Power:
19 285 MW, out of a technically exploitable
total of 70 000 MW.
Hydroelectric Potential
PACIFIC OCEAN
BRAZIL
Potential
50 TCF
There is a
grater number
of non-drilled
structures for
future
investments
Potential in natural gas
Fuente: MEM.
Thermal Power Plant of Quillabamba
200 MW
GE
3250 MW
Coast Ethane Pipe
Southern Gas Pipeline and
Ethane Pipe
1500 MW
Reserve Power Plant
ETHANE Petrochemical Plant
Southern Gas Pipeline
Pacific
Ocean
Matarani Port
Ilo Port
ECUADOR COLOMBIA
BOLIVIA
CHILE
BRAZIL
PACIFIC
OCEAN
Development Poles in Peru
Northern Cluster
Central Cluster
Southern Cluster
Mining Units and Projects
www.minem.gob.pe