Investment opportunities in Peru

WHY INVEST IN PERU?

October 4, 2012

1. Internationally acknowledged macroeconomic soundness

WHY INVEST IN PERU?

2. Friendly investment environment

3. Open trade and market access policy

4. Attractive sectors to Invest

INTERNATIONALLY ACKNOWLEDGED

MACROECONOMIC SOUNDNESS

1. MACROECONOMIC SOUNDNESS

Peruvian economy rise rapidly in the last decade …

Real GDP 1952-2011 (aver annual var. %)

Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru, Ministry of Economy and Finances and IMF

5.15.5

3.6

-0.6

3.9

6.4

1952-1961 1962-1971 1972-1981 1982-1991 1992-2001 2002-2011

Real GDP, 2000-2011(Variation %)

3.0

0.2

5.04.0

5.0

6.87.7

8.9 9.8

0.9

8.8

6.9

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

GDP , 2000-2011(thousands of million of US$)

53.3 53.9 56.8 61.4 69.8 79.492.4

107.4127.1 127.4

154.0176.8

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011


….. and will continue leading regional growth overpassing the worlds’

average GPD per capita towards 2020.

Source: IMF and World Bank

3.0

3.4

3.7

4.3

4.7

4.8

6.0

Venezuela

Mexico

Argentina

Brazil

Chile

Colombia

Peru

Forecast - LATAM: Real GDP 2012-2014(Average annual % variation)

GDP per capita, PPA ( $ to International constant cost of 2005)

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 2020

Latin America and Caribbean

World

Peru

ESTABILIDAD MACROECONÓMICA

Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru and Ministry of Economy and Finance * Preliminary figure

1. MACROECONOMIC STABILITY1. MACROECONOMIC SOUNDNESS

Economic growth has been driven by rising private investment….

Private Investment 2000-2012 (Annual average variation %)

Private Investment 2000-2012 (US$ Billion)

8.7 8.4 8.4 9.210.5

12.3

15.1

19.5

27.3

22.4

29.5

34.6

39.3

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012*

-1.7-4.7

0.2

6.38.1

12.0

20.123.3

25.9

-15.1

22.1

11.710.0

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012*


…… today represents 24% of GDP ….

Total investment 2000-2011 (% of GDP)

Total investment – LATAM 2011(% of GDP)

Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru

25.6 24.9 24.7 24.6

20.6

Perú México Colombia Chile BrasilPeru Mexico Colombia Chile Brazil

16.3 15.5 14.8 15.0 15.1 15.5 16.4 18.2

21.5

17.7 19.2 19.6

4.0 3.1

2.8 2.8 2.8 2.9 3.1

3.4

4.3

5.2

5.9 4.5

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

Inversión Privada

Inversión Pública

20.3

18.617.6 17.8 17.9 18.4

19.5

21.5

25.8

22.9

25.124.1

Private investment

Public investment

Source: International Monetary Fund


… Peru is an attractive market for foreign investment, which represents 4.7% of GDP

Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru and CEPAL

Foreign direct investment flow 2000 - 2011(US$ Billion)

Foreign direct investment – LATAM 2011(% GDP)

0.8 1.1

2.2

1.31.6

2.6

3.5

5.5

6.96.4

8.2 8.1

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

7.0%

4.7%4.0%

2.7%

1.7% 1.6%

Chile Perú Colombia Brasil México ArgentinaChile Peru Colombia Brazil Mexico Argentina


…Furthermore, the domestic demand is strengthening ….

Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru and SUNAT

Real domestic demand(real annual Var. % )

Imports of vehicles for private use(US$ million)

Imports of microwaves (million of units)

Imports of televisions(million of units)

Domestic travelers by air (million of persons)

180

1,349

2000 2011

7.5 times

3 veces368

1,005

2000 2011

2 veces3.6

6.1

2000 2011

3 times 2 times

83

352

2000 2011

4 times

4.1 3.7 3.8

5.8

10.3

11.812.3

-2.8

13.1

7.2

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011


… generating a massive growth of consumption markets.

2000 2011

Source: Ministry of Economy and Finance

ESTABILIDAD MACROECONÓMICA

Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru and Ministry of Economy and Finance

1. MACROECONOMIC STABILITY1. MACROECONOMIC SOUNDNESS

Complemented with a dynamic international trade…

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Exports 6,955 7,026 7,714 9,091 12,809 17,368 23,830 28,094 31,019 26,962 35,565 46,268

Imports 7,358 7,204 7,393 8,205 9,805 12,082 14,844 19,591 28,449 21,011 28,815 36,967

Balance of Trade -403 -179 321 886 3,004 5,286 8,986 8,503 2,569 5,951 6,749 9,301

-1,000

4,000

9,000

14,000

19,000

24,000

29,000

34,000

39,000

44,000

Balance of Trade 2000-2011 (US$ million)


... a great diversification in products as well as markets

Fuente: Banco Central de Reserva del Perú

Traditional exports (commodities)(US$ million)

-

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

2001 2006 2011

OtrosPlomoPetróleoOroCobre

7.5 veces

Non traditional exports(US$ million)

5 veces

-

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

2001 2006 2011

OtrosQuímicosTextiles

Main business partners

2001

2011


In 2050, Peru will be one of the fastest growing economies ranking

among the 30 main economies in the world..

Fastest growing economies

2050

Ranking Country

1 China

2 India

3 Philippines

4 Egyp

5 Malysia

6 Peru

Economy size – World ranking

2010

Ranking country

1 EE.UU.

2 Japan

3 China

4 Germany

5 United kingdom

6 France

7 Italy

8 India

9 Brazil

10 Canada

44 Chile

46 Peru

2050

Ranking country

1 China

2 EE.UU.

3 India

4 Japan

5 Germany

6 United kingdom

7 Brazil

8 Mexico

9 France

10 Canada

26 Peru

32 Chile


… all under a stability macroeconomic framework, registering the

lowest inflation rate in the region ….

CPI in LATAM: 2001-2011 (Annual Var. %)

CPI – LATAM 2002-2011 ( Average annual variation %)

CPI – LATAM projections 2012-2014 ( Average annual variation %)

23.7

10.7

6.65.1 4.3 3.2 2.5

Venezuela Argentina Brasil Colombia México Chile PerúMexico Chile Peru

2.0 3.0 3.4 3.5 5.3

11.8

33.5

Perú Chile Colombia México Brasil Argentina VenezuelaPeru Chile Colombia Mexico Brazil

Peru

Argentina

Brazil

Chile

Colombia

Mexico


… has kept a stable exchange rate and a country risk below the regional average …

Exchange rates in LATAM 2001-2011(Index, year base 2005 = 100)

Index JP Morgan EMBI+(Basic points)

Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru, Ministry of Economy and Finances and CEPAL

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

E-01

S-01

M-02

E-03

S-03

M-04

E-05

S-05

M-06

E-07

S-07

M-08

E-09

S-09

M-10

E-11

S-11

M-12

Perú

Brasil

Chile

Colombia

MéxicoMexico

Peru

Brazil

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

S-12

M-12

J-12

S-11

M-11

J-11

S-10

A-10

D-09

A-09

A-09

N-08

J-08

M-08

O-07

M-07

J-07

EMBI+ Perú

LatinoaméricaLatin AmericaLatin America

EMBI + Peru


…and it keeps a healthy debt level in relation with its international reserves…

Source: Central Reserve Bank of Peru

Public Debt - Peru 2003-2011(% of GDP)

Public Debt – Latin America 2011(% of GDP)

9.9

21.2

34.7

43.8 44.2

66.2

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

Chile Perú Colombia México Argentina BrasilChile Peru Colombia Mexico Argentina Brazil

Source: IMF figure for Peru , Central Reserve Bank of Peru


…and keeps a healthy debt level in relation with its international reserves.

Net International Reserves(US$ Billion)

As of July 20, 2012Source: Central Banks

Net International Reserves – Latin America 2011(% GDP)

28

17

1412

10 10

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Perú Chile Brasil México Argentina ColombiaPeru Chile Brazil Mexico Argentina Colombia

Source: Standard & Poor`s, Fitch Ratings and Moody´s. Updated to Augusta 17, 2012


The responsible economic policy granted Peru the investment grade and investors’ confidence.

Investment gradeLatin America benchmarking

Countries as priority destinations for FDI 2011-2013(World Ranking among 21 countries)

Dropped 1 position

Improved 5 positions

Without changes18

21

3

18

16

4

Chile

Peru

Brazil

2011 2010

Country S&P Fitch Moody´s

Chile A+ A+ Aa3Mexico BBB BBB Baa1Peru BBB BBB Baa2

Brazil BBB BBB Baa2Colombia BBB- BBB- Baa3Bolivia BB- B+ Ba3Venezuela B+ B+ B2Argentina B B B3Ecuador B B- Caa2

FRIENDLY INVESTMENT ENVIRONMENT

� Non discriminatory treatment: Foreign investors receive the same treatment as local investors.

� Unrestrictive access to most economic sectors *.

� Free transfer of capital.

� Free competition.

� Guarantee for Private Property.

� Freedom to purchase stocks from locals.

� Freedom to access internal and external credit.

� Freedom to pay royalties.

� Network of investments agreements and member of ICSID and MIGA.

� Peru participates in the Investment Committee of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) – It promotes the implementation of the Guidelines for Multinational Enterprises.

*Investments that require authorization: Located within 50 km in the frontier line and those destined to arms, ammunitions and explosive. Likewise, a principal local partnerfor investments in maritime cabotage as well as in air transport is required.

2. FRIENDLY INVESTMENT ENVIRONMENT

Peru offers a favorable legal framework for foreign investment:

INVESTORS

� Stability of the regulations regarding nondiscriminatory treatment.

� Stability of the income tax regimeapplicable to dividends.

� Stability to use freely the most favorableexchange rate available in the market.

� Stability of the free availability andremittance of foreign currency, dividendsand royalties regime.

Requirement: Minimum investment of US$ 5 million in any economic sectors. US$ 10 million for hydrocarbon and mining sectors.Validity: 10 years. Concessions: Term according to the contracts life (Max. 60 years).

RECEIVING COMPANY

� Stability of the recruitment regimes.

� Stability of the regimes for the promotionof exports.

� Stability of the Income Tax Regime


Special Regimes: Legal Stability Agreements

Regime whereby the Peruvian Government guarantees:

� Granting the return of the Value Added Tax during the pre-productive stage of the

project (minimum 2-year term).

� Applicable to all economic sectors

� For agricultural activity it is not necessary to meet a minimum investment amount. For

other activities the minimum investment amount is US$ 5 million.

� The project can be divided into stages, phases or similar.

� Granting the return of the Value Added Tax during the pre-productive stage of the

project (minimum 2-year term).

� Applicable to all economic sectors

� For agricultural activity it is not necessary to meet a minimum investment amount. For

other activities the minimum investment amount is US$ 5 million.

� The project can be divided into stages, phases or similar.

Special Regime: VAT Anticipated Recovery.

Regime whereby the Peruvian Government grants the following benefits:


A steady tax regime:

Tax Applicable Rate

INCOME

Corporate profits

30.0%

Agriculture, agribusiness and

aquaculture 15%

Dividends 4.1%

Royalties 30.0%

Interest rate on loans from

abroad4.9%

Value Added Tax (VAT) 18%

Financial Transactions Tax 0.005%

Temporary to net assets, applicable to the excess of S/. 1 000 000

0.4%


Peru ranks second in the region in the improvement of business regulations.

.

Doing Business 2012


Continuous effort to facilitate the establishment and operation of business

126

153

90

113

158

114

42

130

39

41

177

Argentina

Uruguay

Bolivia

Brazil

Surinam

GuyanaVenezuela

Colombia

Peru

Chile

Ecuador

102Paraguay

Position Country

1 Chile

2 Peru

3 Colombia

4 Uruguay

5 Paraguay

Source: Annual ranking of top economies for business 2011, Forbes magazine

Peru ranks second in the list of the best places for

doing business in Latin America

Position Country1 Chile2 Peru

3 Uruguay 4 Colombia 5 Brazil 6 Paraguay 7 Argentina8 Ecuador 9 Bolivia10 Venezuela

73

130

114

24

61

95

86

12342

62 FORBES MAGAZINE


Recognition of a favorable investment environment

� Peru has signed and currently in force Agreements for the Promotion and Reciprocal Protection ofInvestment and Trade Agreements of further scope that includes investment chapters that underpin ourliberalization policy.

� Australia

� China*

� Korea*

� Malaysia

� Singapore*

� Thailand

� Japan� Argentina

� Bolivia

� Chile*

� Colombia

� Ecuador

� Paraguay

� Venezuela

� Cuba

� El Salvador

� Germany

� Belgium and Luxemburg

� Denmark

� Spain

� Finland

� France

� Netherlands

� Iceland*

� Italy

� Liechtenstein*

� Norway

� Portugal

� United Kingdom

� Czech Republic

� Romania

� Sweden

� Switzerland*

� Canada*

� United States*

* Trade agreements

Investment Agreements

� It has also signed agreements to avoid double taxation with Andean Community, Brazil, Chile and Canada.


OPEN TRADE AND MARKET ACCESS POLICY

Reduced tariff structure with low tariff dispersion 1/

TARIFF LEVELS ADVALOREM + SURCHARGES

TARIFF LINES 2/

NUMBER PROPORTION (%)

0 % 4,224 55.9 %

6 % 2,538 33.6 %

11 % 792 10.5 %

Total 7,554 100,0

EFFECTIVE AVERAGE TARIFF 3.2

STANDARD DEVIATION3.8

1/ Elaboration based on duties tariff of 2012, approved by S.D N°238 – 2011 – EF and published on December 24, 2011

2/ Sub-tariff of Chapter 98 Goods with special treatment of duties tariff

Source: SUNAT – MEF

Elaboration: SUNAT

FRIENDLY INVESTMENT ENVIRONMENT

Agreements in force Agreements to become effective

3. OPEN TRADE AND MARKET ACCESS POLICY

Working to become a globalized economy,with preferential access to the world’s largest markets

Agreements under negotiations

These countries stand for enlarged market of over 4

billion people with a joint GDP over

US$ 56 billion

96% of Peruvian exports

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES IN ATTRACTIVE SECTORS

�Natural greenhouse.

�The best agricultural yields in the world2010.

� Sugar cane (2nd)

� Asparagus and olives (3rd)

� Artichokes (4th)

� Grapes (6th)

� Avocado (11th)

� Seasonal windows in the most importantmarkets.

�Projections expect that the 90,000 hacurrently used for agro exports to double asconsequence of large irrigation projects inportfolio.

�Over US$ 4,500 million in exports of freshand processed products to over 156countries.

�Organic and Natural Products with highexport value.

AGRIBUSINESS SECTOR

Source: SUNAT, MINAG, ADEX Data Trade, BCRP and FAO

Agricultural Exports(US$ million FOB)

Agricultural Sector Exports per destination market (2011)

AGRIBUSINESS SECTOR

Source: BCRP, FAO, ADEX DataTrade.

FISHERIES SECTOR

� Extensive fishing coast (3,080 km) and“water mirrors” that offer adequateconditions for the development ofmarine and continental aquaculture.

� First producer of fishmeal and fish oil inthe world.

� Distribution of Peruvian fisheriesproducts to over 100 countries.

� Trend towards product diversification.

Fisheries Exports(US$ million FOB)

FISHERIES SECTOR

Fisheries Sector Exports per destination market (2011)

Source: SUNAT Source: ADEX Data Trade, Customs.

FORESTRY SECTOR

� Presence of great biological diversity andhighly valued timber.

� Development of hard tropical timber in theforest and soft timber in the highlands of thecountry.

� 2nd country with the largest natural forestarea in Latin America.

� 78,8 million ha of natural forests, 10 millionha for reforestation and other areas forafforestation (plantations).

� Investment opportunities in industrial timbercomplexes.

Timber Exports (million of US$ FOB)

Source: Adex DataTrade , Aduanas.

0

50

100

150

200

250

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

114 108

136

168

213 213 219

155170 167

Timber exports by destination market -2011

FORESTRY SECTOR

TEXTILE SECTOR

� Recognized quality of Peruvian pimacotton, considered as one of the mostdemanded and finest fiber in the world.

� First world producer of the finest SouthAmerican camelids fibers: alpaca andvicuna.

� Long textile tradition favors workforceprofessionalization and training.

� International recognition as “full package”supplier of the best brands in the world.

� Sound trend towards textile and apparelexports growth. Annual average growth of10% in the last 10 years.

� In January 2012 the exports reached US$162 million, 39% more compared to thelast year.

Source: ADEX Data Trade, Customs.

Textile - Apparel Exports(US$ million FOB)

Textile and Apparel Exports -Main Destination Countries

(2011)

TEXTILE SECTOR

Source: ADEX Data Trade, Customs.

MINING SECTOR

� Polymetallic country, second in copper,

third in zinc and first in silver reserves

worldwide.

� 13.61 % of the territory is subject to mining

concessions, and only 1.09 % is used formining exploration and exploitation.

� Worldwide: second producer of copper and

silver, 3rd of tin and zinc. In Latin America:

1st gold, zinc, tin and lead producer; and 2nd

copper, silver and molybdenum producer.

� In 2011, mining exports grew by 23.25%despite having registered a drop in the

volume of production of most minerals.

� Peru is one of the few countries with non-metallic mineral deposits, such asdiatomite, bentonite, limestone andphosphate.

MINING SECTOR

Mining Exports(US$ million FOB)

Source: Adex Data Trade, MINEM, Customs.

MINING SECTOR

Mining Sector Exports per destination market (2011)

Source: Adex Data Trade, Customs.

ENERGY SECTOR

� Great energy potential: Wide availability of water andnatural gas resources have made possible to deal withthe increasing electric demand of the country (2011growth rates: 8.3%)

� Resources to be discovered and exploited: There areother renewable energy sources to explore, such as solar,wind, biomass and geothermal energy sources.

� Energy matrix mostly based on renewable sources(about 57% of the electric demand is generated withhydro-electric sources, 38% with natural gas, 2% withcoal and 3% with other sources)

� In the last five years, the energy production hasincreased in 40.38% due mainly to the thermoelectricgeneration growth with an annual average rate of 16%.

� Main economic groups that comprise 62% of energyproduction in Peru are Endesa, Globeleq, Suez and DukeEnergy.

Participation per sources*

Peru’s energy matrix , 2010

Source: Ministry of Energy and MinesElaboration: PROINVERSIÓN* After being in the Transformation Center and/or with deduction of loses.

Source: Ministry of Energy and MinesElaboration: PROINVERSIÓN

National energy production GWh2000-2011

ENERGY SECTOR

hydarulicThermal

�In 2011, the natural gas production reached401, 169 million cubic feet, boosted by the greaterdemand of power generation plants and the majorconsumption of vehicular, domestic and commercialnatural gas.

�Peru is the only sustainable source of natural gas inthe South American Pacific rim.

�Peru has oil fields which have not been explored yet(26.60 million of ha), becoming therefore, a potentialpetrochemical pole.

�Petrochemical industry merges with natural gasproduction and other hydrocarbons adding an addedvalue using the «Upstream Integration»Development Strategy.

�Fertilizers, plastics and detergents are some of theproducts made by petrochemical industry.

�US$ 17,150 million from private investment will beassigned to the construction of two ammonia plants,two ammonium nitrate plants, one urea plant andone ethylene plant to be placed in the departmentsof Ica and Moquegua.

PETROCHEMICAL SECTOR

Production of Natural Gas, 2001 -2011

Source: Perupetro

Natural Gas exports per destination market -2011

Source: Adex Data TradeElaboration: PROINVERSIÓN

Total exports 2011: US $ 1,288 million

PETROCHEMICAL SECTOR

(Million US$ FOB)

57%

� Important cultural destination to Inca and Pre-Inca cultures archaeological sites.

� Machu Picchu is one of the new 7Wonders Worldwide.

� Diversity of natural landscapes.

� Birds and orchids watchers ‘ paradise.

� Lima is the gastronomic capital of LatinAmerica.

� Significant investment from hotels ofinternational recognition.

� Investment opportunities in the 8 prioritizedtourist destinations: North beaches, AmazonasRiver, Amazonas-Kuelap, Moche Route, Lima, Nazca-Paracas, Valle del Colca and Puno-Titicaca Lake.

TOURIST SECTOR

Source: MINCETUR.

Tourist Entry(thousand of people)

Tourists arrival per Origin Region (2011)

TOURIST SECTOR

Source: MINCETUR.

South America, 55.2%

North America, 19.8%

Europe, 17.7%

Asia, 3.8%

Central America, 1.8%

Oceanía, 1.4%

Africa, 0.2%

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

1,0641,136

1,350

1,5711,721

1,9162,058

2,1402,299

2,598

� Annual average growth of construction GDP forJanuary – July 2012 is 15.7.0%.

� Housing deficit affects 25% of population.

� Lima holds 25% of total deficit, and 48% of

quantitative deficit.

� There are several programs for housingfinancing, based on households socio-economic

conditions and income level: Techo propio,

Fondo Mi Vivienda and commercial banking.

� Mortgage credits grew an average of 18% in thelast 4 years (2008 -2011).

REAL ESTATE SECTOR

REAL ESTATE SECTOR

Source: Census INEI 2007

Quantitative deficit: Difference between number of families and houses. Qualitative deficit: Conditions of houses according to pre-

established minimum standards, such as access to utilities, quality of materials of houses and number of people living in one house.

Source: Ministry of Housing

Mortgage credits granted bythe Financial System 2006 -2011

(million Soles)

Housing deficit nationwide(2010)

Quantitative deficit

389,74521%

Qualitative deficit

1,470,94779%

Source : SBS

TECHNOLOGICAL SERVICES

�The lowest labor cost per operator in Latin America (US$

270) is a major determinant in an industry with 60% of the costs

related to human resources.

�The industry currently represents 15.574 positions, and it

generates 29.665 direct jobs, and exports have tripled in 5

years.

�The software sector has present in the last 6 years an annual

average growth rate of 15%, and it generates 6,000 direct jobs

highly qualified.

�The contact centers services exports, data processing,

application of IT program and similar are exempt from VAT.

�Availability of technological resources and low real estate

costs.

�The implementation of the Data Protection Law (approved in

2011) will strengthen the position of companies, making

possible to establish more trading links.

Source: PROMPERU* Projection according to Perú Service Summit 2011

Software exportsUS$ million

Contact Center Services Exports

US$ thousand

**

Source: PROMPERU*Projection according to Service Summit 2011

*

TECHNOLOGICAL SERVICES:

� Peru has prioritized the development ofinfrastructure to increase competitivenessand set up a logistics hub that links theSouth American region with the Asia -Pacific

� Infrastructure investments have boostedintegration towards new markets, which havebeen unfold across the FTAs

� Concessions in land, port and airportinfrastructure represents investmentcommitments of approximately US$ 7,000million.

� The developed infrastructure will becomplemented by new investments. By 2016new projects for more than US$ 20,000million (Public Works and PPP) will beexecuted, representing significant investmentopportunities for contractors and operators.

TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE

Source : MTC

Investment in transport infrastructure projections to 2016

Infrastructure Million of US$

Road 11,000.00

Railroad 8,300.00

Airports 450.00

Ports 300.00

Waterways 46.40

Total 20, 096.40

TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE

[email protected]

Documents

Investment opportunities in Peru