Performance of Agriculture CALABARZON

Performance of Agriculture CALABARZON

BENIGNO F. PERIDO

OIC-SOCD, PSA RSSO IV-A

4th CALABARZON Research and Statistics Forum Cavite State University, Indang, Cavite

20 October 2016

Outline of Presentation

• Concepts and Definitions

• Process Flow in Measuring the Performance of Philippine Agriculture

• Performance of Philippine Agriculture

• 2015 CALABARZON’s Performance of Agriculture

• Regional Livestock and Poultry Information and Early Warning System (RLPI-EWS)

• January-June 2016 Broiler and Swine Situation Report

The Report on the Performance of Agriculture

provides information on the accomplishments of agriculture during an accounting period.

performance is measured in terms of the gross output produced by the sector.

Gross Output in Agriculture

is the aggregate value of production from all subsectors i.e., crops, livestock, poultry and fisheries;

serves as primary input in the estimation of Gross Value Added (GVA) in agriculture.

Gross Value Added (GVA)

is the unduplicated contribution of the sector to the total production of the economy;

it is the difference between gross value of output and intermediate inputs used in the production process;

in accounting for the GVA in agriculture, the value of agricultural activities and services are incorporated.

PSA WEBSITE

ANS (MAS)/

DNS (SSO)/NS

Preparation of the REPORT ON

THE PERFORMANCE OF

PHILIPPINE AGRICULTURE &

PRESS RELEASE

PRICE STATISTICS

DIVISION (PSD)

GNI

Estimation of GDP

GVA-AGRI.,

FISHERY &

FORESTRY GVA-

INDUSTRY GVA-

SERVICES

Estimation of gross output at

current/constant prices

PRODUCTION

• CROPS (CSD)

• LIVESTOCK AND

POULTRY (LPSD)

• FISHERY (FSD)

Estimation of

gross value added

Agriculture

Net Factor Income from

the Rest of the World

Final CO review & release of estimates

– production & prices

National Data Review

Provincial Data Review

Regional Data Review

DATA COLLECTION

• Production

• Farmgate Prices

DATA USERS

Process Flow in Measuring the Performance of Philippine Agriculture

Regional Agricultural Production Accounts

highlights the agricultural performance of 16 regions of the country classified by subsector and by major island group;

valuation is prepared annually;

valuation is done at constant and current prices.

Performance of Philippine Agriculture in 2015

In 2015, the country’s agricultural sector recorded a 0.19 percent increase in production.

Growth Rates of Value of Production in Agriculture by Subsector, Philippines: 2014-2015

(at Constant 2000 Prices, in Percent)

-2.00

-1.00

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

Agriculture Crops Livestock Poultry Fisheries

0.19

-1.98

3.83

5.74

-1.38

(per

cen

t)

Performance of Philippine Agriculture in 2015

CALABARZON ranked 3rd at 2.39 percent.

Growth Rates of Value of Production in Agriculture by Region: 2014-2015


Across regions, Northern Mindanao posted the biggest increment in agricultural production at 3.86 percent followed by MIMAROPA at 2.59 percent.

2015 CALABARZON’s Performance of Agriculture

The total value of production in agriculture of CALABARZON rebounded from negative 1.66 percent in 2014 to 2.39 percent in 2015.

The sector’s growth was contributed by the improved performance of crops, livestock and poultry subsectors.

Growth Rates of Value of Production in Agriculture, CALABARZON: 2013-14 to 2014-15


-2.00

-1.50

-1.00

-0.50

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

2013-14 2014-15

-1.66

2.39

(per

cen

t)


Poultry subsector contributed the biggest share in the total agricultural production of CALABARZON with 30.60 percent followed by Livestock subsector with 27.03 percent.

Percentage Share in Total Value of Production by Subsector, CALABARZON: 2015 (at Constant 2000 Prices)

Poultry 30.60%

Livestock 27.03%

Fisheries 22.76%

Crops 19.61%


The crops subsector improved but still negative at 0.79 percent in 2015 from negative 4.47 percent in 2014.

Production increments were recorded in Sugarcane, Pineapple, Eggplant, Calamansi, Tomato, Peanut and Mongo.

Growth Rates of Value of Production in Crops Subsector, CALABARZON: 2013-14 to 2014-15


-4.50

-4.00

-3.50

-3.00

-2.50

-2.00

-1.50

-1.00

-0.50

0.002013-14 2014-15

-4.47

-0.79

(per

cen

t)


Performance of Crops Subsector by Commodities

Gainers: Sugarcane – 10.37 percent Pineapple – 3.76 percent Eggplant – 3.96 percent Calamansi – 4.99 percent Tomato – 1.92 percent Peanut – 6.12 percent Mongo – 11.11 percent Abaca – 100.00 percent

Losers: Palay – 3.12 percent Coffee – 51.60 percent Corn – 12.79 percent Banana – 7.66 percent Mango – 0.72 percent Coconut – 0.09 percent Sweet Potato – 0.69 percent Onion – 18.92 percent Garlic – 10.00 percent Cabbage – 8.43 percent Rubber – 50.00 percent Cassava – 0.16 percent Others – 0.28 percent


The livestock subsector accelerated from 2.31 percent in 2014 to 6.59 percent in 2015.

All livestock commodities registered gains in output in 2015.

Of the 6.59 percent growth, hog contributed 5.98 percentage points.

Growth Rates of Value of Production in Livestock Subsector, CALABARZON: 2013-14 to 2014-15



Performance of Livestock Subsector by Commodities

Gainers: Hog – 6.57 percent Cattle – 7.27 percent Carabao – 6.70 percent Goat – 2.80 percent


The poultry subsector rebounded from negative 2.66 percent in 2014 to 8.54 percent in 2015.

Increased production of Chicken and Chicken Eggs by 7.75 percent and 11.04 percent, respectively contributed to the turned around performance of poultry subsector.

Growth Rates of Value of Production in Poultry Subsector, CALABARZON: 2013-14 to 2014-15


-4.00

-2.00

0.00

2.00

4.00

6.00

8.00

10.00

2013-14 2014-15

-2.66

8.54

(per

cen

t)


Performance of Poultry Subsector by Commodities

Gainers: Chicken – 7.75 percent Chicken eggs – 11.04 percent

Loser: Duck – 10.45 percent

No change: Duck eggs – 0.00 percent


The fisheries subsector further declined from negative 2.09 percent in 2014 to negative 6.53 percent in 2015.

Production losses were noted in Roundscad, Yellowfin Tuna, Seaweed and Milkfish.

Growth Rates of Value of Production in Fisheries Subsector, CALABARZON: 2013-14 to 2014-15



Performance of Fisheries Subsector by Commodities

Gainers: Tilapia – 1.36 percent Tiger Prawn – 16.67 percent Skipjack – 0.54 percent Others – 1.44 percent

Losers: Roundscad – 27.17 percent Yellowfin Tuna – 23.23 percent Seaweed – 27.99 percent Milkfish – 1.25 percent


In 2015, the total agriculture sector of CALABARZON grossed 135.92 billion pesos at current prices or a decrease of 0.62 percent as compared to the gross receipts in 2014.

This was contributed by the negative performances of the crops and fisheries subsectors with 6.86 percent and 2.81 percent, respectively.

Growth Rates of Value of Production in Agriculture by Subsector, CALABARZON: 2014-2015 (at Current Prices, in Percent)

-8.00

-6.00

-4.00

-2.00

0.00

2.00

4.00

6.00

Agriculture Crops Livestock Poultry Fisheries

-0.62

-6.86

0.96

4.93

-2.81

(per

cen

t)


On the average, farmgate prices contracted from 9.44 percent in 2014 to negative 2.94 percent in 2015.

Growth Rates of Farmgate Prices, CALABARZON: 2013-14 to 2014-15

(in Percent)

-4.00

-2.00

0.00

2.00

4.00

6.00

8.00

10.00

2013-14 2014-15

9.44

-2.94

(per

cen

t)

Consumer Price Index of Food Commodities

Inflation rate of food commodities in 2015 is 2.8.

2014 2015

154.8 159.2


In 2015, average prices in crops, livestock and poultry commodities recorded a contraction at 6.12 percent, 5.28 percent, and 3.32 percent, respectively.

Meanwhile, average farmgate prices of fisheries commodities increased by 3.99 percent.

Growth Rates of Farmgate Prices by Subsector, CALABARZON: 2014-15

(in Percent)

-8.00

-6.00

-4.00

-2.00

0.00

2.00

4.00

Crops Livestock Poultry Fisheries

-6.12 -5.28

-3.32

3.99

(per

cen

t)

Consumer Price Index and Inflation Rate

CPI IR

2014 2015

Meat 133.5 134.8 1.0

Fish 151.3 157.0 3.8

Regional Livestock and Poultry Information and Early Warning System (RLPI-EWS)

• created for the development of an appropriate methodology for efficient early warning system for broiler meat and pork.

Specifically, the project aims to:

a) Develop and enhance the supply and demand forecasting model for broiler meat and pork, its database and data system;

b) Enhance the system of data sharing and feedback mechanism among the core team (PSA, BAI, LDC, NMIS, DA-AMAS, RFUs, LGUs, and the Private Agribusiness Sector)

Regional Livestock and Poultry Information and Early Warning System

c) Come up with publications on “Broiler and Swine Situationer” reports which is the output of RLPI- EWS Project Team; and

• Strengthen linkage with the private agribusiness stakeholders through exchange of information.

Swine Situation Report January to June 2016

Highlights

Figure 1: Swine Inventory by Farm Type,

CALABARZON: As of July 1, 2016

• Total swine inventory in CALABARZON as of July 1, 2016 at 1,585,431 heads decreased by 2.13 percent or about 34,427 heads. •Backyard farm recorded an increase in stocks by 1.02 percent while commercial farm decreased by 3.13 percent.

Highlights

Figure 2: Quarterly Volume of Swine Production, CALABARZON: January – June 2015-2016

• The total volume of swine production in 1st semester 2016 was estimated at 179,927 metric tons higher by 10.08 percent as compared with the previous year. • Increase in production was associated with increase in stocks for slaughter sold due to rise in demand brought by election campaign spending.

Inventory Table 1: Swine Inventory by Farm Type, by Age,

CALABARZON: As of July 1, 2016 • Boar total inventory as of July 1, 2016 was 11,331 heads or 30.45 percent lower than 2015 level of 16,292 heads. • Total inventory of Sow was 236,147 heads. It went up by 1.62 percent from 2015 level. • Gilts total inventory decreased by 39,003 heads or 36.92 percent. • Total inventory of Fatteners reached 452,697 heads. • Total inventory of Growers was 23.15 percent lower against last year’s level. • Others including piglets and weanlings total inventory posted an increase of 54.74 percent than last year.

Level %

TOTAL 1,619,864 1,585,437 (34,427) (2.13)

Backyard 391,288 395,283 3,995 1.02

Commercial 1,228,576 1,190,154 (38,422) (3.13)

BOAR 16,292 11,331 (4,961) (30.45)

Backyard 6,849 4,315 (2,534) (37.00)

Commercial 9,443 7,016 (2,427) (25.70)

SOW 232,371 236,147 3,776 1.62

Backyard 54,316 55,547 1,231 2.27

Commercial 178,055 180,600 2,545 1.43

GILT 105,629 66,626 (39,003) (36.92)

Backyard 34,101 17,507 (16,594) (48.66)

Commercial 71,528 49,119 (22,409) (31.33)

FATTENER1/

503,352 452,697 (50,655) (10.06)

Backyard 138,316 137,499 (817) (0.59)

Commercial 365,036 315,198 (49,838) (13.65)

GROWER2/

463,232 355,988 (107,244) (23.15)

Backyard 83,642 117,970 34,328 41.04

Commercial 379,590 238,018 (141,572) (37.30)

OTHERS3/

298,989 462,648 163,659 54.74

Backyard 74,064 62,445 (11,619) (15.69)

Commercial 224,925 400,203 175,278 77.93

2/ M ore than 2 mos. but less than 4 mos.

3/ Include piglets and weanlings

Source: Philippine Statistics Authority

ITEM 2015 2016CHANGE

1/ Fattener is market hog 4 months o ld and over

Inventory

Figure 3: Distribution of Inventory by Age, CALABARZON: As of July 1, 2016

• Others including piglets and weanlings accounted 29.18 percent of the total swine inventory. • Fatteners comprised the 28.55 percent of the total swine inventory.

Inventory Table 2: Swine Inventory, by Farm Type, by Province,

CALABARZON: As of July 1, 2015-2016

•Rizal contributed to the decrease in region’s total swine inventory. This was attributed to higher disposition due to election period.

% Change

2015 2016 16/15

Jul 1 Jul 1 Jul 1

1,619,864 1,585,437 (2.13)

BATANGAS 731,546 735,887 0.59

CAVITE 138,000 141,157 2.29

LAGUNA 166,486 167,648 0.70

QUEZON 228,272 229,117 0.37

RIZAL 355,560 311,628 (12.36)

BACKYARD 391,288 395,283 1.02

BATANGAS 169,191 172,667 2.05

CAVITE 13,500 12,320 (8.74)

LAGUNA 39,701 40,274 1.44

QUEZON 148,196 150,122 1.30

RIZAL 20,700 19,900 (3.86)

COMMERCIAL 1,228,576 1,190,154 (3.13)

BATANGAS 562,355 563,220 0.15

CAVITE 124,500 128,837 3.48

LAGUNA 126,785 127,374 0.46

QUEZON 80,076 78,995 (1.35)

RIZAL 334,860 291,728 (12.88)

TOTAL

Inventory (in head)Farm Type / Province

Inventory

Figure 4: Percentage Distribution of Total Swine Inventory by Province, CALABARZON:

As of July 1, 2016

• As of July 1, 2016, around 46 percent of the total swine population of CALABARZON was in the province of Batangas.

Inventory

Figure 5: Percentage Distribution of Total Swine Inventory by Farm Type, by Province,

CALABARZON: As of July 1, 2016

•Majority of the swine population in Batangas, Cavite, Laguna and Rizal were raised in commercial farms with 76 percent to 94 percent of the total swine population.

Slaughtered Swine Table 3. Quarterly Volume of Slaughtered Swine in Slaughterhouses,

CALABARZON: 2014-2016

• Volume of hogs slaughtered in slaughterhouses for January to June 2016 increased by 1.86 percent from 967,622 heads last year. • This was due to the incline of slaughtered hogs during 2nd Quarter by 7.02 percent.

2014 2015 2016 15/14 16/15

Jan-Mar 433,654 463,933 446,566 6.98 (3.74)

Apr-Jun 434,055 503,689 539,042 16.04 7.02

Jan-Jun 867,709 967,622 985,608 11.51 1.86

Jul-Sep 475,733 525,645 10.49

Oct-Dec 581,251 583,491 0.39

Jul-Dec 1,056,984 1,109,136 4.93

Annual 1,924,693 2,076,758 7.90

Period% ChangeSlaughtered (in head)

Farm Price

Figure 6. Monthly Average Farmprice of Swine, CALABARZON: 2014-2016 (in peso per kilogram)

• In January to June 2016, average farm price of swine declined by 9.55 percent compared to last year. Highest monthly average farm price of hogs this semester was recorded in June at Php99.74 per kilogram.

Retail Price

Figure 7. Monthly Average Retail Price of Pork Lean Meat: CALABARZON, 2014-2016

(in peso per kilogram)

• The average retail price of pork lean meat in CALABARZON for 1st semester 2016 has decreased from previous year by 2.77 percent with an semestral average of Php195.86 per kilogram. Highest monthly average retail price of pork lean meat this semester was recorded in June at Php197.79 per kilogram while the lowest was recorded in April at Php193.72 per kilogram.

Retail Price

Figure 8. Monthly Average Retail Price of Meat with Bones: CALABARZON, 2014-2016


• Monthly average retail price of meat with bones in January to June 2016 was generally lower compared with 2015. Semestral average retail price of meat with bones declined by 4.09 percent or Php7.40.

Retail Price

Figure 9. Monthly Average Retail Price of Pork Pata (front): CALABARZON, 2014-2016


• As of June 2016, retail price of pork pata reached at Php143.01 per kilogram. Highest retail price was recorded in January at Php145.80 per kilogram.

Broiler Situation Report January to June 2016

Inventory

Figure 1. Percentage Distribution of Chicken Inventory by Type, CALABARZON:

As of July 1, 2016

•As of July 1, 2016, Layer farms had the most number of chicken in the region with 48 percent of total chicken inventory, followed by Broiler and Native Farms with 39 percent and 13 percent, respectively.

Inventory

Figure 2. Chicken Inventory by Type, CALABARZON: As of July 1, 2015-2016

•As of July 1, 2016, the region’s total chicken inventory was 24.13 million birds or 10 percent below last year’s level estimate of 26.82 million birds.

Inventory

Table 1. Quarterly Broiler Beginning Inventory, by Province, CALABARZON: 2015-2016

• CALABARZON’s broiler inventory as of July 1, 2016 was estimated at 9.31 million or 21.26 percent lower than 2015 estimate.

Jan 1 Apr 1 Jul 1 Jan 1 Apr 1 Jul 1 Jan 1 Apr 1 Jul 1

CALABARZON 12,984 11,635 11,817 11,405 10,398 9,305 (12.16) (10.63) (21.26)

Batangas 3,319 2,388 3,601 3,756 1,966 2,400 13.18 (17.66) (33.36)

Cavite 849 901 762 777 967 995 (8.41) 7.39 30.58

Laguna 2,372 2,248 1,825 2,198 1,792 1,067 (7.34) (20.27) (41.57)

Quezon 3,244 3,272 2,560 2,604 3,301 2,097 (19.72) 0.86 (18.07)

Rizal 3,200 2,825 3,069 2,069 2,371 2,747 (35.36) (16.08) (10.52)

% Change

16/15Province 2015

Inventory ('000 heads)

2016

Inventory Distribution

Figure 4. Percentage Distribution of Broiler Inventory, by Province, CALABARZON:

As of July 1, 2016

• As of July 1, 2016, Rizal had the highest broiler inventory in CALABARZON with 29.52 percent share followed by Batangas with 25.79 percent share. Quezon ranked 3rd with 22.54 percent share. Laguna and Cavite contributed 11.46 percent and 10.69 percent, respectively.

Inventory (Growth Rates)

Figure 3. Broiler Inventory, by Province, CALABARZON: As of January 1, 2015-2016

•Decrease in broiler inventory was due to the decline in broiler stocks in Batangas, Laguna, Quezon and Rizal by 33.36 percent, 41.57 percent, 18.07 percent and 10.52 percent, respectively. This was due to the increased demand brought by campaign period for election.

Production

Table 2. Quarterly Volume of Broiler Production, by Province, CALABARZON: 2015-2016 (in metric tons, LWT)

• CALABARZON’s total volume of broiler production in 1st semester of 2016 was estimated at 126,543 metric tons. Decrease in region’s production by 3.22 percent was due to decrease in liveweight produced during the quarter. All provinces except Rizal registered positive growth during the 1st semester.

Q1 Q2 Jan-Jun Q1 Q2 Jan-Jun Q1 Q2 Jan-Jun

CALABARZON 63,515 67,241 130,756 63,445 63,098 126,543 (0.11) (6.16) (3.22)

Batangas 16,453 18,457 34,911 19,767 17,233 37,000 20.14 (6.64) 5.98

Cavite 4,816 4,157 8,972 5,019 4,727 9,745 4.21 13.72 8.61

Laguna 10,828 8,406 19,234 11,505 9,033 20,538 6.26 7.46 6.78

Quezon 10,203 15,025 25,228 11,421 16,423 27,844 11.93 9.31 10.37

Rizal 21,214 21,197 42,411 15,733 15,683 31,416 (25.84) (26.01) (25.92)

% Change2015 2016Province

Dressed Chicken

Table 3. Quarterly Volume of Dressed Chicken in Dressing Plant, CALABARZON: 2013-2016 (in head)

• In 1st half of 2016, a total of 39,418,825 dressed chickens were reported from various dressing plants in CALABARZON. This was 12.09 percent higher than 35,166,238 dressed chickens in same period last year.

2013 2014 2015 2016 15/14 16/15

Jan - Mar 15,288,861 17,030,041 18,639,332 19,781,971 9.45 6.13

Apr - Jun 19,336,107 17,763,306 16,526,906 19,636,854 (6.96) 18.82

Jan - Jun 34,624,968 34,793,347 35,166,238 39,418,825 1.07 12.09

Jul - Sept 22,050,663 17,067,571 20,899,982 22.45

Oct - Dec 23,519,036 20,799,718 20,454,082 (1.66)

Jul - Dec 45,569,699 37,867,289 41,354,064 9.21

ANNUAL 80,194,667 72,660,636 76,520,302 5.31

YEARPeriod

% Change

Farm Price

• Monthly average farmgate price of broiler in the region for 1st semester of 2016 was higher compared to same period of 2015. Highest price noted was in May 2016 which recorded Php95.60 per kilogram-liveweight.

Figure 5. Monthly Average Farmgate Price of Broiler, CALABARZON: 2014-2016

Retail Price

• Monthly average retail price of dressed chicken has an increasing trend from January to June this year, that is from Php142.40 in January to Php145.86 per kilogram in June. Lowest price recorded for this year was Php141.34 in April.

Figure 6. Monthly Average Retail Price of Dressed Chicken, CALABARZON: 2014-2016

Top 10 Agricultural Commodities of CALABARZON: 2015

Top 10 Commodities Value of Production at

Current Price (in Million Pesos)

Share to Total Agricultural Output of

the Region (%)

HOG 35,528.65 26.14

CHICKEN 26,737.21 19.67

CHICKEN EGGS 11,939.85 8.78

COCONUT 9,241.31 6.80

TILAPIA 6,768.62 4.98

PALAY 6,070.46 4.47

ROUNDSCAD 4,222.37 3.11

MILKFISH 3,910.20 2.88

SUGARCANE 3,222.16 2.37

CATTLE 2,732.91 2.01

Top Commodities and Rank of CALABARZON in the National Agricultural Production: 2015

Top Commodities Share to National Agricultural

Value of Production at Current Price (%)

Rank of the Region in the National Production

ROUNDSCAD 31.38 1st

CHICKEN EGGS 27.54 1st

TILAPIA 30.19 2nd

CHICKEN 18.64 2nd

Hog 16.83 2nd

EGGPLANT 14.20 2nd

CALAMANSI 10.83 2nd

CATTLE 10.77 3rd

Philippine Statistics Authority Regional Statistical Services Office IV-A

www.psa.gov.ph

psacalabarzon.wix.com/psa-iva

Thank you!

http://www.psa.gov.ph/

Documents

Performance of Agriculture CALABARZON