Part 3 - The World - Lessons From My 20s by Ryan Allis

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    Lessons from my20s

    THE WOPart III:

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    ABOUT THIS PRESENTATION

    THIS presentation can be founOnline at

    www.hive.org/20s

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    HUMAN RIGHTSHuman progressSYSTEMs thinking WORLD 2050

    PART 3 THE WORLD INCLUDES SECTIONS ON

    PART 3 TOPICS

    MILLENNIALSCLIMATE CHANThe innovation a

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    Lessons from my20s

    HUMANRIGHTS

    PART III, Section 1

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    A THOUGHT EXERCISE

    Lets begin this section onHuman rights with a

    Famous thought exerci

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    A THOUGHT EXERCISE

    IMAGINE YOU WERE a soulHanging out around a campfireIN A CAVE with

    five other souls

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    A THOUGHT EXERCISE

    NOW IMAGINE that godgave you and the five other soulsThe task of determing the

    Principles for the worl

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    A THOUGHT EXERCISE

    God said that the principlesfor the world should be fair andThat you all must agree on them

    Before you could be bo

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    A THOUGHT EXERCISE

    Or how much money Your parents will

    None of the six of you know yetwhere youll be bornThe color of your skin

    Your sexual orientationYour gender

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    A THOUGHT EXERCISE

    And your task is to come upwith the principles for the world

    That you can all agree onBefore you can be born into your bo

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    A THOUGHT EXERCISE

    What principles would you come up

    with for the world?

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    A THOUGHT EXERCISE

    Take a moment to write downat least 2 principles for the world

    That would create a fair society

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    A THOUGHT EXERCISE

    John Rawls

    This famous thought exerciseIs called The original positionAnd was created by 20th centuryHarvard professor & philosopher

    A THOUGHT EXERCISE

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    A THOUGHT EXERCISE

    A theory of justice

    John rawls writes aboutThe original position

    In his 1971 classic

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    The most reasonable principles of justice are those everyone would

    accept and agree to from a fairposition.

    - John Rawls, 20 th Century Philosopher

    A THOUGHT EXERCISE

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    A THOUGHT EXERCISE

    Here are the two principles

    We have come up with at HivThat would create a just world

    Th Fi t i i l

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    The First principle

    All people would have the same basi

    Rights regardless of birthplace, gend

    Sexual orientation, or skin color

    1

    Th d i i l

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    The second principle

    All people would have accessTo the basic human needs of food, w

    Shelter, medicine, education, andelectricity

    2

    What would be the implication of these principles?

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    What would be the implication of these principles?

    IN THIS WORLDWOULD YOU prevent some PEOFROM TRAVELING to other plac

    While others could

    Travel FreelySIMPLY BASED ON WHERE THEY W

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    What would be the implication of these principles?

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    What would be the implication of these principles?

    IN THIS WORLDWOULD YOU ENSURE EVERYOTO basic education and medicine o

    SOME PEOP

    What would be the implication of these principles?

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    What would be the implication of these principles?

    IN THIS WORLD WOULD YOUTHAT ALL INFANTS HAD LIFEIMMUNIZATIONS OR JUST RE

    FOR SOME IN

    What would be the implication of these principles?

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    What would be the implication of these principles?

    IN THIS WORLD WOULD YOUSOME BABIES TO DEATHBECAUSe CANCER TREATMEN

    WERENt availab

    What would be the implication of these principles?

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    What would be the implication of these principles?

    WHAT TYPE OF WORLD WOUCREATEIF YOU DIDNt know where you

    WOULD BE BO

    The world we can create

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    THIS IS THE WOWE CAN ACTUA

    CREATEIN OUR LIFETI

    The world we can create

    The world we can create

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    A WORLD IN WHICHFREE SPIRIT AND EN

    IS ENCOUR

    The world we can create

    The world we can create

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    The world we can create

    A WORLD IN WHICHEveryone has access toTheir basic needs

    The world we can create

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    The world we can create

    A WORLD that is run

    On clean energy

    The world we can create

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    The world we can create

    A WORLD IN WHICHPROPERTY RIGHTS

    ARE RESPE

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    The world we can create

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    The world we can create

    A WORLD IN WHICHEVERY CHILD

    IS GIVEN THE ABILTO LEARN TO CREATETO INNOVATE TO CONTR

    The world we can create

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    A WORLD IN WHICHEVERY CHILD IS ASSUREDACCESS TO THEIR BASIC NE

    FOOD WATER SHELTER

    EDUCATION MEDICINE

    ELECTRICITY

    % of people without basic human needs

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    Basic human need % Without # Without Source

    1. Clean Water 10.8% 780M UNICEF

    2. Sufficient Food 12.8% 925M UNFAO

    3. Basic Shelter 13.8% 1.0B UNHCR

    4. Literacy 12.7% 920M UNESCO

    5. Basic Medicine 23.6% 1.7B WHO

    6. Electricity 18.0% 1.3B IEA

    p p

    The world we can create

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    IMAGINE THE JOB CREAND THE HUMAN INN

    To 9 BILLION PEOPLE WBASIC NEEDS ARE MET

    As we GO FROM 3

    Ending Poverty in Singapore in 50 years

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    g y g p y

    SINGAPORE IS AN INTERESTING In 1960 its per capita income was $4

    How did SingaporeEND POVERTY in one LIFE

    By 2011 per capita income grew to $50,

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    A GOOD QUESTION FROM Bucky

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    Q y

    How do we make the world work for100% of humanity in the shortestpossible time through spontaneous

    cooperation without ecologicaldamage or disadvantage to anyone?- Buckminster full

    Human Rights?

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    g

    WHAT IF THERE WERE A DOESTABLISHING THE RIGHTS

    THAT THE USA AND 48 otherCOUNTRIES Had already ADO

    A universal declaration of human rights?

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    g

    There actually isIts called the

    Universal declaration of human righAnd it was adopted in 1948

    A universal declaration of human rights?

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    A universal declaration of human rights?

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    A universal declaration of human rights?

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    What if we actually createdA human societyBased upon these principles?

    The world we can create

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    We will be the first generation

    To be connected globally

    The world we can create

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    And we will have the opportunTo reshape THE WORLD

    Into a joyous, sustainable, and abundant WORLD

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    Human rights exercise

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    You can do the following 5 minute

    Human rights exercise now

    Or put a time on your calenTo return to

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    Human rightsEXERCISE

    Exercise: human rights

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    Write down two principles you would

    Create for the world if you were a

    Pre-birth soul and didnt know whereyoud be born, your skin color, your ge

    or your Parents income

    Exercise: human rights

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    Now, write down:

    Are you committed to working toward

    Creating a world based on those principles?

    Why or why no

    Lessons from my20s

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    HUMANprogress

    PART III, Section 2

    A few important questions

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    SOMETIMES WITH ALNEGATIVE HEADLINEITs HARD TO zoom outAnd look at THE ANSWA very IMPORTANT QU

    How are we doing?

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    HOW ISOUR SPECIESDOING?

    How are we doing?

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    Is humanity DOINGbetter or worse than

    40 years ago?

    Progress

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    Is humanity making

    Progress?

    Measuring Progress

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    And canprogress

    Be measured

    SOME EXISTING MEASURES OF HUMAN PROG

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    1. United Nations Human Development I

    2. Legatum Prosperity Index

    3. Social Progress Index (SPI)4. Gross National Happiness (GNH)

    SOME EXISTING MEASURES OF HUMAN PROG

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    The challenge with these four measures

    Is that they provide data at a country level

    Not at a human lev

    Measuring human progress

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    WE NEED A MORE COMP

    Measure OF HUMAN PROG

    How humans are doing

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    WHAT IF WE COULDAGREE On METRIC

    THAT TOLD USHOW OUR SPECIES

    IS DOING? How humans are doing

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    Wed probably look for data in AREAS LIKE

    HealtheducationPEACEEconomicsenvironment

    How humans are doing

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    Here are the exact measureswe use at hive

    To track human progressat a species level

    How humans are doing

    H lth 1 Life Expectancy

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    Health 1. Life Expectancy 2. Infant Mortality 3. Literacy 4. Internet Access

    7. Average Income8. Global Poverty Rate

    9. CO2 PPM

    10. Temperature Increase

    Education

    Economics

    Environment

    5. Active Conicts

    6. Deaths From WarPeace

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    Health

    The global report card

    1. Life Expectancy

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    12% Higher

    2012

    71

    1980

    63 Source: Wo

    2. Infant Mortality

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    2012

    4.8% 1980

    11.6%

    59% Decline

    Source: Wo

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    EDUCATIO

    The global report card

    3. Literacy Rate

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    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    100%

    1980 1990 1995 2000

    2012

    84% 1980

    70% 20% Higher

    4. Internet Access

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    2012

    36% 1980

    0%

    Innitely High

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    PEACE

    The global report card

    5. Active Major Conicts

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    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    1214

    16

    18

    1 9 8

    0

    1 9 8

    1

    1 9 8

    2

    1 9 8

    3

    1 9 8

    4

    1 9 8

    5

    1 9 8

    6

    1 9 8

    7

    1 9 8

    8

    1 9 8

    9

    1 9 9

    0

    1 9 9

    1

    1 9 9

    2

    1 9 9

    3

    1 9 9

    4

    1 9 9

    5

    1 9 9

    6

    1 9 9

    7

    1 9 9

    8

    1 9 9

    9

    2 0 0

    0

    2 0 0

    1

    2 0 0

    2

    2 0 0

    3

    2 0 0

    4

    2 0 0

    5

    2 0 0

    6

    2 0 0

    7

    2 0 0

    8

    2 0 0

    9

    2008-2013 Avg.

    6 1980-1985 Avg .

    13

    54% Low

    Source: Uppsala Conict Data Program

    90000

    6. Deaths from War

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    0

    10000

    20000

    30000

    40000

    50000

    60000

    70000

    80000

    90000

    1 9 8 0

    1 9 8 1

    1 9 8 2

    1 9 8 3

    1 9 8 4

    1 9 8 5

    1 9 8 6

    1 9 8 7

    1 9 8 8

    1 9 8 9

    1 9 9 0

    1 9 9 1

    1 9 9 2

    1 9 9 3

    1 9 9 4

    1 9 9 5

    1 9 9 6

    1 9 9 7

    1 9 9 8

    1 9 9 9

    2 0 0 0

    2 0 0 1

    2 0 0 2

    2 0 0 3

    2 0 0 4

    2 0 0 5

    2 0 0 6

    2 0 0 7

    2 0 0 8

    2 0 0 9

    2008-2013 Avg.

    33,159

    1980-1985 Avg.

    40,370

    18% LowEven as global populat

    has expanded 45%

    Syria conict has causedrecent spike

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    ECONOMI

    The global report card

    7. Annual Income Per Person

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    2012

    $103951980

    $5960

    74% Higher

    8

    Population & Income Over 2000 Years

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    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    Bi

    o

    o

    Pe

    eo

    Pla

    0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 1700 1800 1900 20

    $467 $450$453

    $666

    "#$ %&'()*+,-. /0$

    "#$ 1&.,0#*$&2$&*

    "#$ %&34+2-

    $605$566

    "#$ 6$&-,))-&7$

    The time to get to now

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    IT took humans13.78 Billion yearTO EVOLVE

    Time to 1B People

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    IT took humans200,000 years toreach1B people

    POPULATION AND INCOME GROWTH

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    BUT just200 years to gofrom 1b to 7B POPULATION AND INCOME GROWTH

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    NEVER BEFOHAVE WE HASO MANY PE POPULATION AND INCOME GROWTH

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    NEVER BEFOREour species hadSO much wealth

    100.0%

    8. % Living in Extreme Poverty

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    0.0%

    10.0%

    20.0%

    30.0% 40.0%

    50.0%

    60.0%

    70.0% 80.0%

    90.0%

    100.0%

    1 9 8 0

    1 9 8 1

    1 9 8 2

    1 9 8 3

    1 9 8 4

    1 9 8 5

    1 9 8 6

    1 9 8 7

    1 9 8 8

    1 9 8 9

    1 9 9 0

    1 9 9 1

    1 9 9 2

    1 9 9 3

    1 9 9 4

    1 9 9 5

    1 9 9 6

    1 9 9 7

    1 9 9 8

    1 9 9 9

    2 0 0 0

    2 0 0 1

    2 0 0 2

    2 0 0 3

    2 0 0 4

    2 0 0 5

    2 0 0 6

    2 0 0 7

    2 0 0 8

    2012

    16.9%1980

    43.6%

    61% Lower

    LOOKING GOOD SO FAR

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    So things areLooking up, right

    LOOKING GOOD SO FAR

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    Mostly, except forThe environment

    LOOKING GOOD SO FAR

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    Which sort ofUnderpins

    Everything else

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    ENVIRONMThe global report card

    9. CO2 in Atmosphere (Parts Per Millio

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    250

    270

    290

    310

    330

    350

    370

    390

    1 9 8 0

    1 9 8 1

    1 9 8 2

    1 9 8 3

    1 9 8 4

    1 9 8 5

    1 9 8 6

    1 9 8 7

    1 9 8 8

    1 9 8 9

    1 9 9 0

    1 9 9 1

    1 9 9 2

    1 9 9 3

    1 9 9 4

    1 9 9 5

    1 9 9 6

    1 9 9 7

    1 9 9 8

    1 9 9 9

    2 0 0 0

    2 0 0 1

    2 0 0 2

    2 0 0 3

    2 0 0 4

    2 0 0 5

    2 0 0 6

    2 0 0 7

    2 0 0 8

    2012

    395 1980

    334 19% Higher

    1.8

    10. Surface Temperature Increase (F)

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    0.0

    0.2

    0.4

    0.6

    0.8

    1.0

    1.2

    1.4

    1.6

    1 9 8 0

    1 9 8 1

    1 9 8 2

    1 9 8 3

    1 9 8 4

    1 9 8 5

    1 9 8 6

    1 9 8 7

    1 9 8 8

    1 9 8 9

    1 9 9 0

    1 9 9 1

    1 9 9 2

    1 9 9 3

    1 9 9 4

    1 9 9 5

    1 9 9 6

    1 9 9 7

    1 9 9 8

    1 9 9 9

    2 0 0 0

    2 0 0 1

    2 0 0 2

    2 0 0 3

    2 0 0 4

    2 0 0 5

    2 0 0 6

    2 0 0 7

    2 0 0 8

    2 0 0 9

    201

    1.31980

    0.61

    125% Higher

    H l h

    The Global Report Card1980 2013 Change Grad

    1. Life Expectancy 63 71 ! 12%

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    Health

    Education

    Peace

    Environment

    1. Life Expectancy 63 71 12%

    2. Infant Mortality 11.6% 4.8% 59%

    3. Literacy 70% 84% ! 20%

    4. Internet Access 0% 36% ! Innite

    5. Active Conicts 13 6 54%

    6. Deaths from War 40,370 33,159 18%

    7. Average Income $5.9k $10.4k ! 74%

    8. Poverty Rate 43.6% 16.9% 61%

    9. CO2 PPM 334 395 ! 19%

    10. Temp. Increase +0.61 +1.37 ! 125%

    Economics

    !

    !

    !

    !

    What would a 5 DeGree farenheight increase mean?

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    As the Arctic continues to warm, melting

    permafrost in the boreal forests and further northin the Arctic tundra is now starting to melt,

    triggering the release of methane, a greenhouse

    gas twenty times more powerful than CO2, from

    thick layers of thawing peat.- Climate Code Red

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    The key challenge for our generation

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    So they key challenge how we can together createAn abundant and sustainable worldFor all people

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    SYSTEMS THINKING

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    SYSTEMS THINKERSINTEGRATE knowledg

    ACROSS DISCI

    SYSTEMS THINKING

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    SYSTEMS THINKERUNDERSTAND

    COMPLEXITY &

    SYSTEMS THINKING

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    SYSTEMS THINKERBUILD

    MENTAL MAPS

    Three Types of SYStems

    1 INTERNAL SYSTEMS

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    1. INTERNAL SYSTEMS2. EXTERNAL SYSTEMS

    3. ECOLOGICAL SYSTE

    INTERNAL SYSTEMS EXAMPLEsRESPIRATION

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    CELL REPLICATIONDIGESTION

    IMMUNE SYSTEMHORMONAL REGULATION

    NEURAL PLASTICITY

    EXTERNAL SYSTEMS EXAMPLEsGLOBAL TRADE

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    ELECTRICAL GRIDS

    COMPANY METRICS REPORTINELECTIONS

    THE INTERNET

    ACADEMIC ADMISSIONS

    EXTERNAL SYSTEMS EXAMPLEs

    CONDENSATION

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    GEOLOGICAL FORMATIONELECTROMAGNETIC ENERGY

    NUCLEAR FUSIONGAMMA WAVES

    EVOLUTION

    AN example of external systems theoryJAMES LOCKLOCKs GAIA HYP

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    EXPLORED THE EARTH as oneself-regulating

    Interconnected systemOf biosphere, atmosphere,

    Oceans, and soil

    The great SYSTEMS THINKERSSome of the most well known

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    Systems thinkers in last century wereDonella meadows

    Albert einsteinThomas EdisonBuckminster fuller

    JAMES LOVELOCK

    Lessons from my20s

    PART III, Section 4

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    WORLD2050

    ,

    The World in 2050Here are some predictions

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    About What will happenIn the next 40 yearsFrom the pardee centerFor international futures

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    CO2 output from fossil fuels

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    FOSSIL FUEL UWILL PEAK TH

    DECLINE Mobile phones per 100 people

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    The average pers

    Will have >1Cloud connectedMobile device

    Global Life Expectancy

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    WE LIVE LONLIFE EXPECTANCY

    7

    Infant Mortality

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    FEWER BABIES DIEAs INFANT MORTALITY

    Goes under 10 per 1000

    GDP Per Capita (In thousands)

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    WE BECOME WEALTHIER

    Global GDP PER CAPITA UP 140 POVERTY DECLINES RAPIDLY

    Extreme POVERTY nearly elim

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    % living on

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    WE ARE BETTER EDUCATSECONDARY SCHOOLING 52

    COLLEGE EDUCATED

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    % oF PEOWITH COLLEGE D

    UP159 WOMEN WITH COLLEGE EDUCATION

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    UP 189

    MORE OF US WILL LIVE IN CITIES

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    PERCENTAGE IN CIT

    UP 32%

    Major innovations are coming

    NANOTECHNOLOGY

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    3D PrintingGENOME SEQUENCIN

    SYNTHETIC LIFEPRIVATE SPACE TRAV

    DESALINATION Governments will have to adaptINCREASED GOVERNMENT TR

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    OPEN GOV DATA APISSTRONGER PROPERTY RIGHTS

    EASIER TO START A BUSINESSBETTER co2 REGULATIONS

    REMAINING REGIMES OVERTH MAJOR GEOPOLITICAL CHANGES

    CHINA WORLDS LARGEST GD

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    INDIA THE MOST POPULOUS NAFRICA 2B People + ECONOMIC

    FOSSIL FUEL PRODUCERS LESINSECURITY UNTIL WE LOWER

    AFRICA BECOMES AN ECONOMIC POWER

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    Lessons from my20s

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    MILLENNPART III, Section 5

    Its our turn to lead

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    MILLENNIALSWILL BE LEADING

    THE NEXT 40 YPeople born between 1980 and 2000

    SO whats different about millennials?

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    SO Whats differentABOUT Millennials?

    SO whats different about millennials?

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    WE AREDEEPLY AWARE

    OF SOCIAL ISSU

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    SO whats different about millennials?

    WE SEE BUSINESS

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    & ENTREPRENEURSHAS TOOLS TO MAKE ASCALABLE POSITIVE

    IN THE WORLD SO whats different about millennials?WE ARE USED TO A

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    Status quo & ARE IMPATIENT wFASTER PACE OF CHA

    SO whats different about millennials?

    WE ARE CONNECTED

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    NEVER BEFO TECHNOLOGY LIKEGLOBALLY THROUGH

    SO whats different about millennials?

    WE NOW HAVE THE

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    ACCOUNTAB CORRUPT LEADERSTOOLS TO HOLD

    AND CREATE THE MOMENTUM TO OVE

    OUR GREAT OPPORTUNITY

    OUR GREATEST opportun

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    Is creating a sustainable worIN WHICH EVERY HUMA

    ACCESS TO FOOD, WATEEDUCATION, MEDICINE,

    OUR GREAT OPPORTUNITY

    THE GOOD NEWS IS

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    WE GIVE A DAMNHAVE THE TECH TOOCAN INNOVATE LIKE

    AND ARE HIGHLY CO Lessons from my20s

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    CLIMATE CH

    PART III, Section 6

    Co2 traps heat

    AN INCREASE IN Co2

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    IN AN ATMOSPHERETRAPS HEAT & MAKES TH

    TEMPERATURE

    Carbon emissions

    30

    35

    40

    ANNUAL CO2 OUTPUT

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    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    19

    19 3

    19 6

    19 9

    1912

    1915

    1918

    1921

    1924

    1927

    193

    1933

    1936

    1939

    1942

    1945

    1948

    1951

    1954

    1957

    196

    1963

    1966

    1969

    1972

    1975

    1978

    1981

    1984

    1987

    199

    1993

    1996

    1999

    HAS INCREASED FROM 4GTTo 40GT SINCE 1900

    CO2 in the atmoshphere

    370

    390

    410

    CO2 Parts per millionHAVE INCREASED

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    270

    290

    310

    330

    350

    370

    19

    19 3

    19 6

    19 9

    1912

    1915

    1918

    1921

    1924

    1927

    193

    1933

    1936

    1939

    1942

    1945

    1948

    1951

    1954

    1957

    196

    1963

    1966

    1969

    1972

    1975

    1978

    1981

    1984

    1987

    199

    1993

    1996

    1999

    2

    2

    FROM 293 to 401 SINCE 1900

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    The link between co2 and temperature

    In 1896, Swedish scientist

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    svante arrhenius FIRST Showed the linkbetween the amount Of co2 in the atmosph

    and temperatur

    97% of Scientists Agree that co2" Higher temps

    As of 2010, 97% of American CLIMATE

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    BELIEVEd the INCREASE

    In earths TEMPERATUREs IS CAUSED

    INCREASED CO2 in the ATM

    21st century temperature increases

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    THE IPCC INDICATES GLOSurface TEMPERATURES wI

    INCREASE ANOTHER 3.4

    Sea Levels Rising

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    A 5F increase inSurface TEMPERATURES W

    INCREASE SEA LEVELS by

    Hundreds of millions of refugees

    An 11 foot sea level rise would mean

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    BANGLADESH UNDER W35% of FL Under water20% of NYC Under Water

    Moving to a clean energy economy

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    Move away from fossil fuels

    As quickly as we can

    TO stop this we must

    Moving to a clean energy economy

    We must move away from coal, oil, and natura

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    And to clean energies like solawind, geothermal, and BiofuelAs quickly as we can

    What would a 5 degree (F) increase mean?

    In the pliocene, three million years ago temperatures were5 degrees (F) higher than our pre-industrial levels, so it

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    gives us an insight into the ve-degree world. The northernhemisphere was free of glaciers and icesheets, beech treesgrew in the transantarctic mountains, sea levels were 25

    metres higher

    - Climate Code red

    What would a 5 degree (F) increase mean?

    Between 3 and 5 degrees (F) the Amazon rainforest,whose plants produce 10 percent of the world's

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    photosynthesis and have no evolved resistance tore, may turn to savannah, as drought and mega-resrst destroy the rainforest, turning trees back into

    carbon dioxide as they burn or rot and decompose

    - Climate Code red

    What would a 5 degree (F) increase mean?

    As the Arctic continue to warm, meltingpermafrost in the boreal forests and further

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    north in the Arctic tundra is now starting to melt,triggering the release of methane, a greenhousegas twenty times more powerful than CO2, fromthick layers of thawing peat.

    - Climate Code red

    What would a 5 degree (F) increase mean?

    There are thousands of gigatons of methanebeneath the seas, comparable to the amount

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    , pof carbon contained in the Earths coaldeposits. And, as the Arctic waters warm,

    some of this methane is likely to bubble up intothe atmosphere.

    - Ezra klein

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    A huge economic threat

    INCREASED

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    TEMPERATURES AREINEVITABLE

    AND ARE ON TRTHREATEn

    Economy + CIVILIZA Passed to 400 PPM Barrier

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    WE ARE At 401CARBON PPMAS OF 2014

    Past the 400 PPM Barrier

    WHERE WE STABILIZE

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    CARBON PPMWILL DRASTICALLY AFFE

    The type of worldOur children live in

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    500 PPM

    WE MUST DO ALL W

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    AS A SOCIETYTO NEVER GO ABOV

    500 PPM

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    The Historical perspective on CO2

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    Steps we can take

    THERE ARE

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    STEPS WE CAN TAKTO REDUCE C02

    MORE QUI

    Steps we can take

    1) STOP FOSSIL FUEL SUBSIDIES

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    2) PRICE IN THE COST OF C02 pollu3) INVEST IN energy & geoengineerin

    4) SubSIDIZE RENEWABLE ENERG

    5) INCREASE ENERGY EFFICIENC

    1. STOP subsidizing fossil fuel production

    Every year the usa

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    Provides $11.5b inSubsidies to the

    Oil industryThis needs to stopImmediately

    2. Price in cost of co2 cleanup

    FOSSIL FUELS ARE CHEAP

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    BECAUSE THE COST OFCLEANING UP CO2 POLLUTION

    IS NOT INCLUDED IN THE PRICLets FIX THIS and CORRE

    INCENTIVES TO USE FOS

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    FUNDING GeoENGINEERING RESEARCH

    GEOENGINEERING TECHNIQULIKE carbon sequestration

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    SOLAR RADIATION MANAGEMCLOUD SEEDING andVERTICAL OCEAN PIPINGAre worthy of careful research

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    SOMETHING IS OFF HERE

    U.S. ANNUAL DEFENSE BUD

    $

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    $640 BILLION

    USA ANNUAL RENEWABLES

    $1 4 Billion

    U.S. ANNUAL FOSSIL FUEL

    $11.5 Billion

    4. Subsidize renewables R&D

    iN ORDER TO INCREASE

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    INVESTMENT IN RENEWIN THE NEXT FEW YEAR

    WHILE THE R&D iS CONWE SHOULD SUBSIDIZE

    COST OF RENEWABLE E 5. INCREASE ENERGY EFFICIENCY

    EFFICIENT BUILDINGS

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    SMART 2-way grids

    SMART APPLIANCES

    CLEAN ENERGY

    INVESTING IN CLEAN EN

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    RENEWABLE SOURCESIS OUR BEST BET TO RED

    THE COMING ECONOMICCLIMATE CHANGE

    GRID PARITY is coming

    SOLAR POWERWILL BE LESS EXPENSIVe

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    THAN GRID POWER BY 2020This moment will be the

    THE TIPPING P

    GRID PARITY is coming

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    COST OF SOLAR COSTRETAIL COST PER KWH IN USA RETAIL CO

    $0.25 $0.0482014

    GRID PARITY is coming

    THIS IS A BIG DEAL

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    COST OF SOLAR COSTRETAIL COST PER KWH IN USA RETAIL CO

    $0.04 $0.0492020

    The apollo mission of our generation

    Its a race to

    G

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    GRID PARITY

    THIS IS MOON LAN

    THE PRESIDENT HAS YOUR BACK

    We're issuing a challenge. We're telling America's scientists and engineers that if

    they assemble teams of the best minds in their elds, and focus on the hardest

    problems in clean energy we'll fund the Apollo projects of our time At the

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    problems in clean energy, we ll fund the Apollo projects of our time. At theCalifornia Institute of Technology, they're developing a way to turn sunlight and

    water into fuel for our cars. At Oak Ridge National Laboratory, they're using

    supercomputers to get a lot more power out of our nuclear facilities. With more

    research and incentives, we can break our dependence on oil

    President Obama, State of the union address, January 26, 2011

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    ENERGY USAGE

    Humans ARE using

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    15 Terawatts of power

    ANNUALLY

    ENERGY USAGE

    Humans are EXPECTED TO

    40 T tt f

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    40 Terawatts of powerPER YEAR by

    2012 SOURCES OF GLOBAL ENERGY PRODUC

    6.5%6.5%

    0.7%

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    86.3%

    F

    N

    H

    S

    The potential oF THE SUN

    THE SUN PROVIDES

    ENOUGH ENERGY

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    ENOUGH ENERGYIN A MINUTE

    TO POWER THE EARTHFOR A YEAR

    What if?

    WHAT IF THERE WERE

    MICROORGANISMS WHOSE FO

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    MICROORGANISMS WHOSE FOWAS CARBON DIOXIDE

    AND THEIR OUTPUT W

    The potential of algae

    ALGAE HAVE THE POTO BE THE WORLD

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    TO BE THE WORLDs

    RENEWABLE FUEL S

    The potential of algae

    BIOFUELS PRODUCED FSYNTHETIC ALGAE

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    SYNTHETIC ALGAESHOW GREAT PROMISEFOR RENEWABLE FUEL

    The potential of algae

    ALGAE

    CONSUME CARBON

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    CONSUME CARBONPRODUCE FUELAnd REQUIRE 1/7th the LAND OF CORN-BASED E

    iN SUMMARY

    CLEAN ENERGY IS

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    Generations Apollo MISSION

    Lessons from my20s

    Th I iPART III, Section 7

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    The InnovationAge

    About this section

    This final section calledthe innovation age Is aboutThe trends I am seeing

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    The trends I am seeingin history and humanityAnd where that may lead us in

    h d h

    A Timeline of history

    TO PUT everythingI ti

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    In perspectiveHere is a timeline of

    Earths history

    A big picture timeline of earth

    Formation ofUniverse

    (13.8B Yrs Ago)

    Formation of Earth

    (4.5 B Yrs Ago)Dinosaurs

    (250M Yrs Ago)Plants Form

    (500M Yrs Ago)

    D

    (65

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    Land Animals

    (400M Yrs Ago)

    Formation of The Sun(4.6B Yrs Ago)

    Oceans Form (3.8B

    Yrs Ago)

    Pangea Shifts

    (200M Yrs Ago)

    A human Timeline

    TO further PUT THINIn perspecti e

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    In perspectiveHere is a timeline of

    human history

    HUMAN HISTORY TIMELINE

    (10Chimps diverge(5.4M Yrs Ago)

    Homo Erectus (2.3 M Yrs Ago)

    Fire(400,000 Yrs Ago)

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    Homo Sapiens (200,000 Yrs Ago)

    Homo Habilis(2.3 M Yrs Ago)

    Homo Erectus (1.8M Yrs Ago)

    The human story

    And at a very simplifieLevel heres the story

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    Level, heres the storyOf the last 13.8B years

    (as far as we know so far)

    The Great story of humanity

    Once upon a timeAll i

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    All matter was in

    a single point

    The Great story of humanity

    Then a massiveE l i ll

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    Explosion we call

    The big bang occurr

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    The Great story of humanity

    The universe wasA VAST

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    A VAST expanseOf matter andenergy

    The Great story of humanity

    THEN ALONG C

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    THEN ALONG C

    CARBON A

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    The Great story of humanity

    AND MOLECUL

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    AND MOLECUL

    EVOLV

    The Great story of humanity

    A BILLION YEAR

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    A BILLION YEAR

    DNA EVOL

    The Great story of humanity

    AND from CHEMISTRYLIF

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    AND from CHEMISTRYLIF

    The Great story of humanity

    ORGANISMS EVO

    DECISION network

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    DECISION networkcalledNERVOUS SY

    The Great story of humanity

    NEURONS Aggre

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    NEURONS AggreINTOBRAIN

    The Great story of humanity

    Brains formedfrontal

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    frontalcortexes

    The Great story of humanity

    And emotions andreason f d

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    reason formed

    The Great story of humanity

    WE WENT FROM

    to MOLECULES T

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    to MOLECULES TTO BRAINS toawareness

    The Great story of humanity

    Now thats

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    Now that s

    awesome

    The Great story of humanity

    BRAINS PLUSOPPOSABLE THU

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    OPPOSABLE THU

    created TOOL

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    The Great story of humanity

    THEN WE FORME

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    THEN WE FORME

    CITIE

    The Great story of humanity

    THEN WE CREAT

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    THEN WE CREAT

    WRIT

    The Great story of humanity

    THEN WE CREAT

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    THEN WE CREAT

    MATHEMA

    The Great story of humanity

    THEN WE CREATE

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    THEN WE CREATEScientific meth

    The Great story of humanity

    THEN WE DISCOVA WAY OF ORGA

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    A WAY OF ORGA

    OUR EFFORTS(We called it a company which in Latin means to break bread with

    The Great story of humanity

    THEN WE CREATEa system for funneling money to peopworking together effectively to create

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    we called it capitalismit created incentives for creating what humans wantwe had to improve it a few times before it worked for everyonAnd We still have some reforms to go

    value for humans

    The Great story of humanity

    THEN WE CREATEA SYSTEM FOR sharing risk so thacould allocate money to projects tha

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    We CALLED IT THE FINANCIAL SYSTEMAnd it took a while before we made sure the right ruleswere in place so it worked for everyone

    y p jcreate what humans want

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    The Great story of humanity

    THEN WE invented

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    THEN WE invented

    engine

    The Great story of humanity

    Thats when thingsll

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    That s when thingsreally TOOK

    The Great story of humanity

    With energy &engines So much

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    engines So much

    becamepossible

    The Great story of humanity

    THAT BROUGHT INDUSTR

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    INDUSTRREVOLU

    The Great story of humanity

    using machinery

    one human could be moefficient than ever befor

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    one human could be moefficient than ever befor

    LEADING TO MUCLIVING STAN

    The Great story of humanity

    THEN WE CREAT

    FLYI

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    FLYIMACHI

    The Great story of humanity

    THEN WE sentencoded messages

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    encoded messages

    Through the a

    The Great story of humanity

    THEN WE built

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    THEN WE built

    computer

    The Great story of humanity

    THEN WE builtA global network o

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    computersA global network o

    The Great story of humanity

    THEN WE builtPocket-sized

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    supercomputersPocket sized

    And we called them smartphones

    Now, We Are Entering the innovation Age

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    The Industrial Age

    The industrial age began withThe invention of the engineAnd ended with the invention of the

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    computer

    The Information Age

    The INFORMATION age began In 1With The invention of the computerAnd will end when 50% of humanity

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    is connected

    The Information Age

    In mid-2014 40% of humanity has accTo the cloud. By the end of 2015 thisfigure is on track to reach a tipping po

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    Of 50%

    The impact of a connected world

    The impact of more than half oHumanity finally being connec

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    Will further accelerate change

    A new age is upon us

    i believe the world is going to lookSo different in the decades aheadThat we should consider ourselves

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    Entering a new ag

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    The INNOVATION AGE

    Instead of the lucky few havingAccess to free cloud educationSoon all humans will be able to acce

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    EdX, wikipedia, khanacademyItunesu, udemy, and coursera

    The INNOVATION AGE

    As we enter the innovation age in 20We stand on the shoulders ofGiants who have come

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    Before us

    The INNOVATION AGE

    Synthetic biology is here

    Clean energy is hereGlobal connection is here

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    Global connection is here

    The platforms have been built

    The INNOVATION AGE

    We are entering the most excitingTime in human historyFOR Creators and

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    Innovators

    The INNOVATION AGE

    The greater the cultural interconnectionThe faster memes can replicate,

    Learnings can be shared, and progress ca

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    Be made

    The INNOVATION AGE

    The rate of human progressIs a function of the rate of ideas

    spreading

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    spreading

    The INNOVATION AGE

    And The rate of ideas spreading is a funcof the speed of communication tools

    And the level of species interconnection

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    Human cultural evolution

    Were culturally evolving as a speciesFaster than ever before due to rapid

    Communication tools that are spreadingUnderstanding and connection across

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    Understanding and connection across

    borders faster than any time inHuman History

    Human cultural evolution

    The speed of communication toolsThe level of species-wide literacy

    And the level of species interconnectionAre all rapidly increasing

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    Are all rapidly increasing

    Leading to the rapid evolution ofHuman culture

    Human cultural evolution

    There is a palpable sense that the leadersOf the millennial generation

    See beyond the divisions of national borAnd religious identities that have kept

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    And religious identities that have kept

    Human beings apart forMillennia

    Digital Natives

    The four billion digital natives bornBetween 1980 and 2015 intuitively

    Understand global connection,Species-level identity, and innovation

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    Species level identity, and innovation

    And will be leading the next40 years

    What millennials see

    Millennials see entrepreneurship

    As a tool for

    g d

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    good

    What millennials see

    And we see efficient, effectiveTransparent, and tech-enabledGovernment as

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    Essential

    Socially RESPONSIBLE CAPITALISM

    In the 200 year debate ofSocialism vs. capitalism it issocially responsible capitalism that will wbuilt on a foundation of efficiently run

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    built on a foundation of efficiently-run

    Cloud enabledGovernmen

    The GREAT OPPORTUNITY

    Our next great opportunity is creatingA carbon-neutral world in which

    Every human being has access to whatThey need to

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    y

    Create & ThRive

    The industrial age1712-1950

    The information age1950-2015

    Entering the innovation age

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    The innovation age2015-2050

    Entering the innovation age

    WEre entering THinnovation AG

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    innovation AG

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    Entering the innovation age

    Soon everyone will

    have a cloud-connectesupercomputer in thei

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    supe co pute t e

    pocket

    Entering the innovation age

    Education will b

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    Education will bdemocratized

    Entering the innovation age

    Atrocities will be

    publicized

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    publicized(Better publicized, at least)

    Entering the innovation age

    Bad leaders will be

    exposed

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    exposed

    Entering the innovation age

    Dense Networks world changers will b

    d

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    constructed

    Entering the innovation age

    Imagine theworld we can

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    create

    Entering the innovation age

    Imagine theworld we WILL

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    create

    Entering the innovation age

    Its time to showour parents

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    pwhat we can do

    Lessons from my20s

    Staying inh

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    touch

    Lets work together

    Lets find a way to WORK TOGETHERAS A GENERATION

    TO CREATE A WORLD THAT IS SUSIN WHICH ALL PEOPLE HAVE ACC

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    BASIC HUMAN NEEDS AND EVERY

    ACHIEVE THEIR D

    Exercises

    Now that youre at the endDont forget to put time on your calendaTo go back and

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    Do the exercises

    Join the Hive network

    Hive is building a global networkOf leaders & entrepreneurs under 40

    Dedicated to creating a better worldId love for you to apply to join us

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    www.Hive.org

    Program Influences

    Here are programs I have participated in the last ten years that have shaped myperspectives. Thank you to all of the individuals behind these great organizations.

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    For Further Reading

    The following resources were extremely valuable in the creation of this work:

    Films:

    Connected by Tiffany ShlainMankind by The History ChannelThe Commanding Heights by PBS

    The History of the World in Two Hours by The History Channel oo s :

    Abundance by Peter DiamandisThe Rational Optimist by Matt Ridley A i i i 2025 b Th L d F t i t S i t

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    Anticipating 2025 by The London Futurist Society The 100 Scientic Discoveries That Changed the World by National GeographicThe Power of Habit by Charles DuhiggRich Dad Poor Dad by Robert KiyosakiThink and Grow Rich by Napoleon HillHow to Win Friends & Inuence People by Dale Carnegie

    If you enjoyed this presentation also check out

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    www.startupguide.comwww.hive.org/book

    How to get in touch

    @ryanallis [email protected]

    Send me a note or a Tweet. Id love to hear from you!

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    @ ya a s

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    Lessons from my20s

    THE EN

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