6
╙┨ ầ⸥㍳ࠆࠃߦᲖਅᄌേߩផቯ ⥰㒋ߩầᄌൻࠄ߆ផቯ᧲ࠆࠇߐࠅ➅ߩࡊ࠶ߒ⊒↢ ߓߪ ߦᣣᧄߪߢㄭᐕߩ⒮ኒ ߥGPS ߩዷ㐿ࠅࠃߦߥޘቯᢙࠅߴߔߟ߇ߡࠇߐߜ߁ߩߎޕࠆ߆ ߆ᢙᐕ⛯⛮ߩߟ㐳ᦼ⊛ࡊ࠶߇࠻ࡦࡌ㧘᧲ᶏߩᵿฬḓઃㄭ ߢ2001 2005 ߦOzawa et al. 2002࿖ℂ㒮㧘 2006 㧕㧘⼾ᓟ᳓ઃㄭ ߢ1996 1997 ᐕ㧔Hirose et al. 1999 ࠃ߅ 2003 ᐕ㧔Ozawa et al. 2004 ࠇߙࠇߘߦߡߒ↢߇ߣߎࠆႎ๔ߡࠇߐ⼾ޕࠆᓟ᳓ߪߢ㐳ᦼ⊛ ߇ࡊ࠶2 ߡࠇߐ߇ࠆ㧘᧲ᶏ ߛ߹ߪߢ1 ߒ߆ߡࠇߐߥ᧲ޕࠆߥߦߣߎߢߦߥ㐳ᦼ⊛߇ࡊ࠶⊒↢ߡߒ⏕ࠍ߆߁ߤ߆ߚߪߣߎࠆߔධᶏߢࡈ⊒↢ࠆߔᏂᄢ㔡ߩ⊒↢ߦࡊࠆࠊࡊ࠶⁁ߩᘒᛠߦ㊀ⷐߥᖱႎឭଏߪߢߎߎޕࠆߔ㧘ᵿฬ ḓḧญㄭ⥰ߩߊ㒋ᬌầᚲߩߦ࠲߽ 2001 ᐕ㗃ࠄ߆㐳ᦼ⊛ߦࡊ࠶ኻᔕࠆߔߩਅ㒠㧔ߜࠊߥߔߩߦ⋧ᒰ㧕߇ߣߎࠆࠇࠄߡߒߘ㧘หߥᄌൻ ߇1980 ᐕઍߩᆎ߿ᧃߦ߽ࠍߣߎࠆࠇࠄႎ๔߅ߥޕࠆߔߩߎႎ๔ ߪዊᨋศ↰(2004) ߩ߽ߦߣᦼ㑆ᑧ㐳ߡߒ⸃ᨆߚߒ߽ߢߩ ޕࠆߪߦ࠲Ზਅᄌേߩߦᶏᴫߩᓇ㗀߇ߤߥ߹ࠅ߅ߡࠇ1 ߩࠍࠄࠇߘࠄ߆࠲ߡߌ ߎߔߪߣ࿎㔍ߢ ޕࠆᲖᄌേࠆߔ⺰⼏ࠍ႐วߪߦ㧘ᶏᴫࠆࠃߦᄌേߩ߆ࠄᣇᴺߢផቯߒࠍࠇߘࠆߔᔅⷐ߇ ߎޕࠆߩ⋡⊛ߚߩߦ㧘ᶏᴫࠆࠃߦầᄌൻ߇ߚߒߦߩࠍ࠲ߡߞߩࠄࠇߘㅢᏅ߈ ߣࠆ߁ᵤ㧔1963 ߩᣇᴺ߇ᓥ᧪↪ߊࠃࠄ߆ߡࠇࠄߩߎޕࠆᣇᴺߪ㧘ὐߩᄙદḧ߿㛁ᴡḧߩߩߟߦ ߡߪ㧘ḧߩầᄌൻߊࠃ߇ߡߚࠆ㕖Ᏹߦߢ ޕࠆ㆙Ꮊἥᴪߦ㓞ធߡߒߩߥ߇⥰㒋ߦߪߡߒ㧘દ ḧ߿㛁ᴡḧߩὐ߶ߤᱜലᨐ߇ߥߊ߈߇㧘ᵤ㧔1963 ࠇࠃߦᾢ㊁ἥࠄ߆㛁ᴡḧ߹ߩߢ߇ห৻ಽߦ ߞߡߢߩࠆ⥰ߪߢߎߎ᧲ߩߦࠆߔᓮ೨ፒߣ㠽⠀࠺ߩ↪ࠍ࠲㧘ㅢᏅߡߩ⸃ᨆ ޕߚߒߣߣߎࠆߔࠍ ࠄࠇߎ3 ߩᬌầᚲߩFig. 3.1.1 ޕߔ␜ߦFig. 3.1.1. Location of tide gauge stations whose data are investigated in this paper (dots). - 162 - 気象研究所技術報告 第 63 号 2011

)p4 é §Ï { Æ o Ð ò , ` o , ] 6 J é' 10 Ò !¢‡/N# $å ² Û- T %Y63 2011 - 163 - )p4 ² ê1933 9Ø8=( ² ê1925 9Ø Ø Ò á î è R ² ê1958 æ Ø Ù -ð ù 4? Ò á ¿

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63 2011

- 162 -

GPS

2001 2005 Ozawa et al. 2002

2006 1996 1997 Hirose et al. 1999 2003 Ozawa et al. 2004

2 1

2001

1980

(2004)

1

1963

1963

3 Fig. 3.1.1

Fig. 3.1.1. Location of tide gauge stations whose data are investigated in this paper (dots).

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気象研究所技術報告 第 63 号 2011

63 2011

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1933 1925 1958

3 1961 1 2006 12

1999

-10.0mm/hPa Fig. 3.1.2

3

Fig. 3.1.3 Fig. 3.1.2

Fig. 3.1.3

1960 1970

1979

1960 1970

1946 1972

1983 1970

1975 Fig. 3.1.4 1975 2006

3 2001

2004

2001 2004 3cm GPS

2005 4cm 1980 1982 1988 1990

2001 2004 2006 GPS

2005 2005

2004 2006

1980

Kimata et al. (2001) 1978 1983 1987

1991 1980

2004 2001

1988 1990 1988 1990

1990

Takayama and Yoshida, 2002 2000

2003 2005 Wiemer et al. (2005)

b

2000 1988 1990 b

2000 1988 1990 2001 2005

1980 2001 2005

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気象研究所技術報告 第 63 号 2011

63 2011

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Fig. 3.1.2. Sea level records at Omaezaki (top), Maisaka (middle) and Toba (bottom) tide gauge stations after correction

for astronomical tide and the effects of the atmospheric pressure. The thick lines represent long-term changes in sea level at each station. The long-term changes are approximated by a line for Omaezaki and Maisaka, and by a cubic curve for Toba.

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気象研究所技術報告 第 63 号 2011

63 2011

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Fig. 3.1.3. Sea level changes after the average of the deviations from the long-term changes represented by the thick

lines in Fig. 3.1.2 is subtracted from each of the corrected records at Omaezaki (top), Maisaka (middle), and Toba (bottom) tide gauge stations.

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気象研究所技術報告 第 63 号 2011

63 2011

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1980

1980 1982 1988 1990

2004) Kimata et al. (2001) 1978

1983

2

Kodaira et al. 2004 1980

2000

1980 1982 1988 1990

2000

2004

71 584-587

Fig. 3.1.4. Change of sea level at Maisaka after 1975. The shaded areas indicate the periods when lowering of the sea

level (upheaval of the land) is observed.

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気象研究所技術報告 第 63 号 2011

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2006

75 438-442

1979 1951 1978 54 559-628

Hirose, H., K. Hirahara, F. Kimata, N. Fujii, and S. Miyazaki, 1999: A slow thrust slip event following the two 1996 Hyuganada

earthquakes beneath the Bungo Channel, southwest Japan, Geophys. Res. Lett., 26, 3237-3240.

Kimata, F., K. Hirahara, N. Fujii and H. Hirose, 2001: Repeated occurrence of slow slip events on the subducting plate interface in the Tokai

region, central Japan, the focal region of the anticipated Tokai earthquake (M=8), Eos Trans. AGU, Fall Meeting Suppl., 82(47), F266.

1999 2 90pp

2004 50 209-212

Kodaira, S., T. Iidaka, A. Kato, J. Park, T. Iwasaki, and Y. Kaneda, 2004: High pore fluid pressure may cause silent slip in the Nankai trough,

Science, 304, 5675, 1295-1298.

2005 73 166-227

2006 76 306-382

2004 20 GPS

1980 2003 72 424-430

2003 78 269-282

1983 1958 1982 30 222-227

Ozawa S., Y. Hatanaka, M. Kaidzu, M. Murakami, T. Imakiire, Y. Ishigaki, 2004: Aseismic slip and low-frequency earthquakes in the

Bungo channel, southwestern Japan, Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L07609, doi:10.1029/2003GL019381.

Ozawa, S., M. Murakami, M. Kaidzu, T. Tada, T. Sagiya, Y. Hatanaka, H. Yarai and T. Nishimura, 2002: Detection and monitoring of

ongoing aseismic slip in the Tokai region, central Japan, Science, 298, 1009-1012.

2005 46 111-117

Takayama, H. and A. Yoshida, 2002: Temporal change of the vertical crustal movement on the western coast of Suruga Bay, central Japan,

Phys. Earth Planet. Int., 132, 21-38.

1963 I 9 49-90

Wiemer S, A. Yoshida, K. Hosono, S. Noguci and H. Takayama, 2005: Correlating seismicity parameters and subsidence in the Tokai

region, Central Japan, J. Geophys. Res., 110, B10303, doi:10.1029/2003JB002732.

2001 110(6) 784-807

1990 2 43 27-42

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気象研究所技術報告 第 63 号 2011