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Only You Can Prevent PX Wildfires:Systems Thinking and the Patient Experience
Presenters:Tiffany Fortin, Sheila Moroney, Mark VanderKlipp
AgendaHandout
Wildfires
Systems Thinking
System Stories
PX 9-1-1
201766,131 Wildfires in continental U.S.
9,781,062 acres burned
147.9 average acres per fire
$2.5 Billion+ in fire suppression efforts
Source: National Interagency Fire Center
Source:
2017
Source: EcoWest https://vis.ecowest.org/interactive/wildfires.php
Source:
2017
Source: EcoWest https://vis.ecowest.org/interactive/wildfires.php
Source:
2017
Source: EcoWest https://vis.ecowest.org/interactive/wildfires.php
2017“Forest Service spending on fire suppression in recent years has gone from 15 percent ofthe budget to 55 percent … which means we have to keep borrowing from funds that are intended for forest management”
Sonny PerdueU.S. Secretary of Agriculture
Source: USDA Press Office, September 14 2017
VisualizationSystem mapping is used to model management practices:
• Physical/political dynamics affect suppression and prevention policies
• Too much suppression reinforces further suppression and crowds out prevention
• A balanced approach minimizes the feedback cycle and long-term damages
Source: Journal of Environmental Management
Element CategoriesStructural: can be measured or quantified
Attitudinal: mindsets that influence
Transactional: catalysts that cause transition
Source: Journal of Environmental Management
Systems ThinkingSeek sustainable health, not only “mission accomplished.”
See patterns, not just problems.
Unlock change, don’t impose it.
Plan to adapt. Don’t stay the course.
Source: The Omidyar Group https://vimeo.com/212281432
“Peace Lantern”Tiffany Fortin
Escape Fire“It’s just tragic to think of the answer beingthere, but in the moment not being able to see it. That’s how embedded people get in the status quo: they can’t recognize an invention when it’s among them and they can’t give up their old habits. ”
Dr. Don BerwickHead of Medicare and Medicaid
2010-2011
“I wasn’t present”Sheila Moroney
Escape Fire“People think it has to be a new drug or a new laser or something really high tech to be powerful. They have a hard time believing that these simple choices that we make in our lives every day can make a powerful difference.”
Dr. Dean OrnishFounder and President of the
Preventive Medicine Research Institute
“Bioopsie”Tiffany Fortin
Photo by Ousa Chea on Unsplash
Escape Fire“Everyone is trying to do what makes sense to them. Everybody’s doing their jobs, it’s just that we design the jobs wrong.”
Dr. Don BerwickHead of Medicare and Medicaid
2010-2011
“We are more the samethan different”
Sheila Moroney
Photo by Gades Photography on Unsplash
Experience Based Design“Design used to be the seasoning you’d sprinkle on for taste; now it’s the flour you need at the start of the recipe.”
John MaedaDesigner and Technologist
Your Stories
Systems ThinkingSeek sustainable health, not only “mission accomplished.”
See patterns, not just problems.
Unlock change, don’t impose it.
Plan to adapt. Don’t stay the course.
Source: The Omidyar Group https://vimeo.com/212281432