One 784Koh

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • 8/14/2019 One 784Koh

    1/13

    1

    Singapore Exchange

    10 August 2005

    FIA Asia Derivatives Conference

    Asian Financial Markets Become More

    Mainstream

    Linus KohExecutive Vice PresidentHead of Products &ServicesSin a ore Exchan e

  • 8/14/2019 One 784Koh

    2/13

    2

    Since 1999, the global market for exchange tradedderivatives has more than tripled from 2.4b to 8.9bcontracts Growth has been driven primarily by financial derivatives

    Equity Indices

    Interest RateIndividual Equities

    Ag. Commodities: Soyabean futures (Dalian, Tokyo Grain Ex), Cornfutures (CBOT)

    Energy Products: Crude oil & unleaded gas futures (NYMEX)Non-Precious Metals: Copper futures (Shanghai Futures Exchange)Foreign Currency / Index: EuroFX (CME)Precious Metal

    s: Gold & silver futures (NYMEX)

    Source:

    FIA

    Equity Indices (ex-KOSPI)0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

    Contracts(Billions)

    and has kept pace with OTC markets

  • 8/14/2019 One 784Koh

    3/13

    3

    In 2004, the top 10 derivatives exchangesaccounted for 74% of the total volume forexchange traded derivatives

    2004Rank

    Top Contract Millioncontracts

    1 Korea Futures Exchange (KRX) Kospi 200* 2,586.8

    2 Eurex Euro-Bund Futures 1,065.6

    3 Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Eurodollar Futures 805.3

    4 Euronext.liffe Euribor Futures 790.4

    5 Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) T-Note Futures 600.0

    6 Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) Equity Options 361.1

    7 International Securities Exchange (ISE) Equity Options 360.9

    8 Bolsa de Valores de Sao Paulo (Bovespa) Equity Options 235.3

    9 Mercado Mexicano de Derivados (MexDer) TIIE 28 Futures 210.4

    10 American Stock Exchange (AMEX) Equity Options 202.7

    Total 7,218.5

    Source: FIA

    * The KOSPI 200 contracts, transferred from KSE to KOFEX in 1/04, are of a low notional value and retail dominated

    Since 1999, Eurex, Euronext.liffe, CME, CBOT and CBOE have been among

    the top 10 derivatives exchanges with growth greatly due to their financialderivatives contracts. Korea is the only Asian Exchange in the top 10.

  • 8/14/2019 One 784Koh

    4/13

    4

    In 2004 (as in 2003), Asia / Pacific captured the largest share of theglobal market for exchange traded derivatives, driven primarily byKRXs Kospi 200 options & futures.

    Asian exchanges continue growing, but are notquite mainstream yet

    Source: FIA

  • 8/14/2019 One 784Koh

    5/13

    5

    Strong economic growth

    Average Asia Pacific GDP growth of 6-7% forecast to outpace that of the OECD

    All factors point to this being the decade forderivatives growth in Asia

    disproportionately increasing endogenous interest in commodities, and inboundparticipation in equities

    Increasingly sophisticated investors

    Rising education levels & increasing standards of living

    High degree of speculation among retail investors

    Developing infrastructure for technology and telecommunications

    Korea: World-class telecommunications infrastructure with highest broadbandpenetration

    Rank Country

    17 China25 Singapore

    26 Hong Kong

    Rank

    101 Unit120

    Sw121 Aus

    Source: Central Intelligence AgencyDate of Information: 2004 est.

  • 8/14/2019 One 784Koh

    6/13

    6

    Electronic trading has shifted the competitive landscape for exchanges

    Migration to electronic trading has allowed for

    greater geographic reach via remote direct trading access (e.g. CME, NYMEX), new business opportunities as systems solution providers (e.g. OMX, Euronext),

    &

    extension of services into order routing and back office operations

    This has provided exchanges with an opportunity to increase profit margins,

    However, it has also lowered barriers to entry for competition & intensified price

    competition based on greater cost efficiencies

    The emerging global competitive landscape

  • 8/14/2019 One 784Koh

    7/13

    7

    Electronic trading has shifted the competitive landscape for exchanges

    Many exchanges are now also motivated by shareholder requirements

    new exchanges have established themselves as corporate entities whilstexisting exchanges have demutualized and/or listed

    The emerging global competitive landscape

    Demutualisation

    2004 Osaka Securities Exchange, Bursa Malaysia

    2002 Chicago Mercantile Exchange

    2001 Tokyo Stock Exchange, Paris Bourse, Deutsche Bourse, Oslo

    Exchanges2000 Toronto Stock Exchange, Sydney Futures Exchange, London

    Stock Exchange, Hong Kong Stock Exchange, New YorkMercantile Exchange & Pacific Exchange

    1999 Iceland Stock Exchange, Athens Stock Exchange, StockExchange of Singapore, Singapore International MonetaryExchange, London International Financial Futures and OptionsExchange

    1998 Australian Stock Exchange1997 Amsterdam Exchanges, Borsa Italiana

    1996 Copenhagen Stock Exchange

    1995 Helsinki Stock Exchange

    1993 Stockholm Stock Exchange

    Incorporation / Listing

    2004 Bursa Malaysia, InternationalSecurities Exchange

    2003 OMHex/OMX

    2002 Chicago Mercantile Exchange,Toronto Stock Exchange,Sydney Futures Exchange

    2001 Euronext, London StockExchange

    2000 Hong Kong Exchanges &Clearing, Singapore Exchange

    1998 Australian Stock Exchange

    1995 Tradepoint/virt-x

  • 8/14/2019 One 784Koh

    8/13

    8

    Electronic trading has shifted the competitive landscape for exchanges

    Many exchanges are now also motivated by shareholder requirements

    Customers have also begun looking for integrated offerings across markets

    commoditization of execution services

    growing demand for bundled clearing services, asset class and marketintegration, new trading and market data tools

    The emerging global competitive landscape

  • 8/14/2019 One 784Koh

    9/13

    9

    Electronic trading has shifted the competitive landscape for exchanges

    Many exchanges are now also motivated by shareholder requirements

    Customers have also begun looking for integrated offerings across markets

    As a result, competition among exchanges has intensified. Many exchanges are:

    aggressively expanding into other markets, and

    concurrently using price as a competitive lever.

    In response,

    some European Exchanges are moving to offering fully integrated services,

    while some US Exchanges are bridging the gap between futures & options,

    The emerging global competitive landscape

    other exchanges are using M&A as a general growth strategy

    Euronext.

    liffeEurex

    Euronext

    LCH.Clearnet

    Euroclear

    Derivatives Trading

    CashTrading

    Clearing

    Settlemen

    t

    DeutscheBourse

    ClearstreamClearing

    ClearstreamSettlement

    100%

    100%

    50%

    25%

    10%

    3.6%*

    100%

    Europe

    * Deemed interest may be higher

    US

    CMECBOT

    CBOE FuturesOneChicago

    PBOTNYMEX

    NYBOT

    ISEAMEXCBOEPHLX

    BOXPCX

    Futures Exchanges OptionsExchanges

    PHLX reviving PBOT tolist equity index futures

    CMEattempted toacquire ISE

    CBOE opened a futuresexchange subsidiary

  • 8/14/2019 One 784Koh

    10/13

    10

    presents a number of challenges to AsianExchanges Global competition entering Asia

    CME established first Asian telecommunications hub in Singapore

    CBOT exploring telecommunications hub in Japan

    Difficulty of cross-border integration / co-operation

    Regulatory barriers e.g. capital controls, restricted licenses

    Incompatible technology & market infrastructure

    Lack of investor familiarity with regional markets

    Concerns about retail market speculation Slowdown of Kospi futures and options trading following steps to curb retail

    speculation by raising initial deposit requirements

    Asian Exchanges could respond by:

    expanding their suite of derivatives products to meet complementaryonshore/offshore demand,

    further lowering regulatory and infrastructure barriers, and developing alliances.

  • 8/14/2019 One 784Koh

    11/13

    11

    In December 2003, we commissioned OMX to develop an integrated tradingengine for our securities and derivatives market. SGX launched Quest-DT inAugust 2004.

    We are progressively launching existing floor traded products electronically.

    We have offered margin efficiency to customers as a means of enhancingtheir capital efficiency through enabling margin offsets in the form of inter-commodity spreads across different equity-based contracts including Nikkei225, MSCI Taiwan & MSCI Singapore.

    We are developing & implementing an over-the-counter (OTC) clearingfacility for energy derivatives and forward freight agreements in 1Q 2006.

    Update on SGX Developments

  • 8/14/2019 One 784Koh

    12/13

    12

    Total electronic trading volume grew 330% in the 1st half of 2005

    Achieved an average daily volume (Jan-Jun 05) of 53,400 contracts

    Performance Growth in Trading Volume

    Nikkei 225 Index Future 19% in 1st half of 2005

    Mini JGB Future 18% in 1st 3 mths after launch

    Record Volume (Jun 05): 198,806Record OI (Jun 05): 78,268

    MSCI Taiwan Index Future 38% yr-on-yr monthly trading volume

    Record Volume (Jun 05): 816,250

    Record DAV (Jun 05): 158,061

    9.2%

    67.0%67.6%

    78.1%

    40.7%

    45.1%39.1%

    31.3%

    28.0%

    15.5%12.6%11.8%12.2%

    8.6%10.7%7.8%

    8.3%8.5%

    -

    200,000

    400,000

    600,000

    800,000

    1,000,000

    1,200,000

    1,400,000

    1,600,000

    1,800,000

    2,000,000

    Jan-0

    Feb-0

    Mar-0

    Apr-0

    May

    -0

    Jun-0

    Jul-0

    Aug-0

    Sep-0

    Oct-0

    Nov

    -0

    Dec

    -0

    Jan-0

    Feb-0

    Mar-0

    Apr-0

    May

    -0

    Jun-0

    TradingV

    ol

    e-NK

    e-JGB

    e-TW

    SGX Quest

    Growth of SGX Electronic Market

  • 8/14/2019 One 784Koh

    13/13

    13

    Singapore Exchange

    FIA Asia Derivatives Conference

    Asian Financial Markets Become More

    Mainstream