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Singapore Exchange
10 August 2005
FIA Asia Derivatives Conference
Asian Financial Markets Become More
Mainstream
Linus KohExecutive Vice PresidentHead of Products &ServicesSin a ore Exchan e
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Since 1999, the global market for exchange tradedderivatives has more than tripled from 2.4b to 8.9bcontracts Growth has been driven primarily by financial derivatives
Equity Indices
Interest RateIndividual Equities
Ag. Commodities: Soyabean futures (Dalian, Tokyo Grain Ex), Cornfutures (CBOT)
Energy Products: Crude oil & unleaded gas futures (NYMEX)Non-Precious Metals: Copper futures (Shanghai Futures Exchange)Foreign Currency / Index: EuroFX (CME)Precious Metal
s: Gold & silver futures (NYMEX)
Source:
FIA
Equity Indices (ex-KOSPI)0
1
2
3
4
5
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Contracts(Billions)
and has kept pace with OTC markets
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In 2004, the top 10 derivatives exchangesaccounted for 74% of the total volume forexchange traded derivatives
2004Rank
Top Contract Millioncontracts
1 Korea Futures Exchange (KRX) Kospi 200* 2,586.8
2 Eurex Euro-Bund Futures 1,065.6
3 Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Eurodollar Futures 805.3
4 Euronext.liffe Euribor Futures 790.4
5 Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) T-Note Futures 600.0
6 Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) Equity Options 361.1
7 International Securities Exchange (ISE) Equity Options 360.9
8 Bolsa de Valores de Sao Paulo (Bovespa) Equity Options 235.3
9 Mercado Mexicano de Derivados (MexDer) TIIE 28 Futures 210.4
10 American Stock Exchange (AMEX) Equity Options 202.7
Total 7,218.5
Source: FIA
* The KOSPI 200 contracts, transferred from KSE to KOFEX in 1/04, are of a low notional value and retail dominated
Since 1999, Eurex, Euronext.liffe, CME, CBOT and CBOE have been among
the top 10 derivatives exchanges with growth greatly due to their financialderivatives contracts. Korea is the only Asian Exchange in the top 10.
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In 2004 (as in 2003), Asia / Pacific captured the largest share of theglobal market for exchange traded derivatives, driven primarily byKRXs Kospi 200 options & futures.
Asian exchanges continue growing, but are notquite mainstream yet
Source: FIA
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Strong economic growth
Average Asia Pacific GDP growth of 6-7% forecast to outpace that of the OECD
All factors point to this being the decade forderivatives growth in Asia
disproportionately increasing endogenous interest in commodities, and inboundparticipation in equities
Increasingly sophisticated investors
Rising education levels & increasing standards of living
High degree of speculation among retail investors
Developing infrastructure for technology and telecommunications
Korea: World-class telecommunications infrastructure with highest broadbandpenetration
Rank Country
17 China25 Singapore
26 Hong Kong
Rank
101 Unit120
Sw121 Aus
Source: Central Intelligence AgencyDate of Information: 2004 est.
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Electronic trading has shifted the competitive landscape for exchanges
Migration to electronic trading has allowed for
greater geographic reach via remote direct trading access (e.g. CME, NYMEX), new business opportunities as systems solution providers (e.g. OMX, Euronext),
&
extension of services into order routing and back office operations
This has provided exchanges with an opportunity to increase profit margins,
However, it has also lowered barriers to entry for competition & intensified price
competition based on greater cost efficiencies
The emerging global competitive landscape
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Electronic trading has shifted the competitive landscape for exchanges
Many exchanges are now also motivated by shareholder requirements
new exchanges have established themselves as corporate entities whilstexisting exchanges have demutualized and/or listed
The emerging global competitive landscape
Demutualisation
2004 Osaka Securities Exchange, Bursa Malaysia
2002 Chicago Mercantile Exchange
2001 Tokyo Stock Exchange, Paris Bourse, Deutsche Bourse, Oslo
Exchanges2000 Toronto Stock Exchange, Sydney Futures Exchange, London
Stock Exchange, Hong Kong Stock Exchange, New YorkMercantile Exchange & Pacific Exchange
1999 Iceland Stock Exchange, Athens Stock Exchange, StockExchange of Singapore, Singapore International MonetaryExchange, London International Financial Futures and OptionsExchange
1998 Australian Stock Exchange1997 Amsterdam Exchanges, Borsa Italiana
1996 Copenhagen Stock Exchange
1995 Helsinki Stock Exchange
1993 Stockholm Stock Exchange
Incorporation / Listing
2004 Bursa Malaysia, InternationalSecurities Exchange
2003 OMHex/OMX
2002 Chicago Mercantile Exchange,Toronto Stock Exchange,Sydney Futures Exchange
2001 Euronext, London StockExchange
2000 Hong Kong Exchanges &Clearing, Singapore Exchange
1998 Australian Stock Exchange
1995 Tradepoint/virt-x
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Electronic trading has shifted the competitive landscape for exchanges
Many exchanges are now also motivated by shareholder requirements
Customers have also begun looking for integrated offerings across markets
commoditization of execution services
growing demand for bundled clearing services, asset class and marketintegration, new trading and market data tools
The emerging global competitive landscape
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Electronic trading has shifted the competitive landscape for exchanges
Many exchanges are now also motivated by shareholder requirements
Customers have also begun looking for integrated offerings across markets
As a result, competition among exchanges has intensified. Many exchanges are:
aggressively expanding into other markets, and
concurrently using price as a competitive lever.
In response,
some European Exchanges are moving to offering fully integrated services,
while some US Exchanges are bridging the gap between futures & options,
The emerging global competitive landscape
other exchanges are using M&A as a general growth strategy
Euronext.
liffeEurex
Euronext
LCH.Clearnet
Euroclear
Derivatives Trading
CashTrading
Clearing
Settlemen
t
DeutscheBourse
ClearstreamClearing
ClearstreamSettlement
100%
100%
50%
25%
10%
3.6%*
100%
Europe
* Deemed interest may be higher
US
CMECBOT
CBOE FuturesOneChicago
PBOTNYMEX
NYBOT
ISEAMEXCBOEPHLX
BOXPCX
Futures Exchanges OptionsExchanges
PHLX reviving PBOT tolist equity index futures
CMEattempted toacquire ISE
CBOE opened a futuresexchange subsidiary
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presents a number of challenges to AsianExchanges Global competition entering Asia
CME established first Asian telecommunications hub in Singapore
CBOT exploring telecommunications hub in Japan
Difficulty of cross-border integration / co-operation
Regulatory barriers e.g. capital controls, restricted licenses
Incompatible technology & market infrastructure
Lack of investor familiarity with regional markets
Concerns about retail market speculation Slowdown of Kospi futures and options trading following steps to curb retail
speculation by raising initial deposit requirements
Asian Exchanges could respond by:
expanding their suite of derivatives products to meet complementaryonshore/offshore demand,
further lowering regulatory and infrastructure barriers, and developing alliances.
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In December 2003, we commissioned OMX to develop an integrated tradingengine for our securities and derivatives market. SGX launched Quest-DT inAugust 2004.
We are progressively launching existing floor traded products electronically.
We have offered margin efficiency to customers as a means of enhancingtheir capital efficiency through enabling margin offsets in the form of inter-commodity spreads across different equity-based contracts including Nikkei225, MSCI Taiwan & MSCI Singapore.
We are developing & implementing an over-the-counter (OTC) clearingfacility for energy derivatives and forward freight agreements in 1Q 2006.
Update on SGX Developments
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Total electronic trading volume grew 330% in the 1st half of 2005
Achieved an average daily volume (Jan-Jun 05) of 53,400 contracts
Performance Growth in Trading Volume
Nikkei 225 Index Future 19% in 1st half of 2005
Mini JGB Future 18% in 1st 3 mths after launch
Record Volume (Jun 05): 198,806Record OI (Jun 05): 78,268
MSCI Taiwan Index Future 38% yr-on-yr monthly trading volume
Record Volume (Jun 05): 816,250
Record DAV (Jun 05): 158,061
9.2%
67.0%67.6%
78.1%
40.7%
45.1%39.1%
31.3%
28.0%
15.5%12.6%11.8%12.2%
8.6%10.7%7.8%
8.3%8.5%
-
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1,400,000
1,600,000
1,800,000
2,000,000
Jan-0
Feb-0
Mar-0
Apr-0
May
-0
Jun-0
Jul-0
Aug-0
Sep-0
Oct-0
Nov
-0
Dec
-0
Jan-0
Feb-0
Mar-0
Apr-0
May
-0
Jun-0
TradingV
ol
e-NK
e-JGB
e-TW
SGX Quest
Growth of SGX Electronic Market
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Singapore Exchange
FIA Asia Derivatives Conference
Asian Financial Markets Become More
Mainstream