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OceanCurrent What can it do for you? OCEANS AND ATMOSPHERE Madeleine Cahill David Griffin Roger Scott 15 February 2017

OceanCurrent What can it do for you? · What can it do for you? OCEANS AND ATMOSPHERE. Madeleine Cahill. David Griffin . Roger Scott. 15 February 2017. Acknowledgements ... Thank

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  • OceanCurrentWhat can it do for you?

    OCEANS AND ATMOSPHERE

    Madeleine CahillDavid Griffin Roger Scott15 February 2017

  • Acknowledgements

    Edward King, CSIRO Helen Beggs, Bureau of MeteorologyChris Griffin, Bureau of MeteorologySusan Wijffels, CSIRO

    OceanCurrent | Madeleine Cahill2 |

  • OceanCurrent - define

    • Make IMOS data more accessible scientists but also to the public -the fishing industry, yachties and swimmers

    • Facilitate the uptake of IMOS data

    • Make physical oceanography accessible and relevant … to fisheries, biologists, the publicthe news items

    • Core business started with single pass SST plotted with GSLA and surface velocities• Chlorophyll-a/Colour images• Daily images using composite SST to represent a single day• In-situ observations

    • Current meter• Argo• Glider • And more recently SealCTDs

    • SST Percentiles – a way of identifying extremes in SST and to help interpret the relevance of events

    OceanCurrent | Madeleine Cahill3 |

  • SealCTDs

    OceanCurrent | Madeleine Cahill4 |

  • Great Australian Bight Salinity time series 2015/2016

    OceanCurrent | Madeleine Cahill5 |

  • 2016 – A year of extremes Monthly Mean SST Anomaly, April 2016

    OceanCurrent | Madeleine Cahill6 |

  • SST Percentiles

    Objective – to be able to quantify events on a map of SST-> Percentiles

    The need for a climatologyThe dataThe method The product

    Estimating percentilesThe problems – cloud,Example location time seriesResulting maps

    OceanCurrent | Madeleine Cahill7 |

  • Climatology

    • large spatial and temporal gradients in SST -> need a climatology to reference observations

    • Previously we used CARS surface temperature - in-situ observations - 0.5 degree spatial resolution O(50km)- some regions poorly sampled

    • a more recent climatology by Foster et al (2014) derived using CSIRO 1d SST composites- high resolution but cold bias

    • New international standards in SST - GHRSST (Group for High Resolution SST)• Wijffels et al (in prep) ClimFit3• climatology based on BoM/IMOS SST 1-day night-only composites

    Robust fit using 4 seasonal harmonics and trendable to reflect effects which modify the solar forcing

    OceanCurrent | Madeleine Cahill8 |

  • Foster et al (2014) Drifter-Satellite SSTMean cold bias 0.5 – 1° C

    OceanCurrent | Madeleine Cahill9 |

  • OceanCurrent | Madeleine Cahill

    Satellite SST – Drifter SST (data used in Wijffels et al)

    10 |

    Data provided by Helen Beggs from Bureau of Meteorology

    • NB only 2012-2016• All regions • Much smaller cold bias < 0.1°C• Improvements are due to

    1. better cloud clearing and2. drifting buoys are used to

    calibrate satellite SST to GHRSST standards

  • SW Australia - JanuaryMean Sea Level (OFAM) Mean SST (ClimFit3)

    OceanCurrent | Madeleine Cahill11 |

  • SW Australia - MarchMean Sea Level (OFAM) Mean SST (ClimFit3)

    OceanCurrent | Madeleine Cahill12 |

  • SW Australia - MayMean Sea Level (OFAM) Mean SST (ClimFit3)

    OceanCurrent | Madeleine Cahill13 |

  • SW Australia - JulyMean Sea Level (OFAM) Mean SST (ClimFit3)

    OceanCurrent | Madeleine Cahill14 |

  • SW Australia - SeptemberMean Sea Level (OFAM) Mean SST (ClimFit3)

    OceanCurrent | Madeleine Cahill15 |

  • SW Australia - NovemberMean Sea Level (OFAM) Mean SST (ClimFit3)

    OceanCurrent | Madeleine Cahill16 |

  • Tasmania January ClimFit3 SST

    OceanCurrent | Madeleine Cahill17 |

  • Tasmania February ClimFit3 SST

    OceanCurrent | Madeleine Cahill18 |

  • Tasmania March ClimFit3 SST

    OceanCurrent | Madeleine Cahill19 |

  • SST and Percentiles

    OceanCurrent | Madeleine Cahill20 |

  • Coral Sea SST, 20 March 2015

    OceanCurrent | Madeleine Cahill21 |

    x

  • SST Anomaly, 20 March 2015

    OceanCurrent | Madeleine Cahill22 |

  • SST Percentiles

    OceanCurrent | Madeleine Cahill23 |

  • Time series of SST (L3S-1d) in Coral Sea

    OceanCurrent | Madeleine Cahill24 |

  • Coral SeaMarch SST Anomalies (10x10km region)

    OceanCurrent | Madeleine Cahill25 |

    Mean SST in pink

  • OceanCurrent | Madeleine Cahill

    Gulf of Carpentaria – L3S-6d SST

    26 |

  • SST Anomaly

    OceanCurrent | Madeleine Cahill27 |

  • Percentiles

    OceanCurrent | Madeleine Cahill28 |

  • Time series of SST in the Gulf of CarpentariaAnomalously high temperatures Jan-Apr 2016

    OceanCurrent | Madeleine Cahill29 |

    ClimFit3 in pinkPercentiles calculated over 1993-2014

  • Gulf of CarpentariaMarch SST Anomalies (10x10km region)

    OceanCurrent | Madeleine Cahill30 |

  • Estimating Percentiles - February SST Anomalies149E 41.5S (off E Tas)

    • Cloud and diurnal heating (afternoon effect) give problems at the extremes of the pdf/histogram

    • Estimate the statistics using all SST anomalies for each month at every 2x2km location

    OceanCurrent | Madeleine Cahill31 |

  • Estimating Percentiles - February SST Anomalies149E 41.5S (off E Tas)

    Same location but using data over 10x10km region around the same location

    OceanCurrent | Madeleine Cahill32 |

  • Eddy off Tasmania July 2016

    OceanCurrent | Madeleine Cahill33 |

    x

  • Time series of SST in Eddy off Eastern Tasmania

    OceanCurrent | Madeleine Cahill34 |

  • Eastern Tasmania (eddy centre)May SST Anomalies (10x10km region)

    OceanCurrent | Madeleine Cahill35 |

  • January 2017 SST

    OceanCurrent | Madeleine Cahill36 |

  • January 2017Percentiles

    OceanCurrent | Madeleine Cahill37 |

    SST and Percentiles are plotted daily on IMOS OceanCurrent

    We will be updating the percentile calculation and bring back the pink dots

  • Ocean and AtmosphereMadeleine Cahillt +61 3 6232 5302E [email protected] www.csiro.au

    OCEAN AND ATMOSPHERE

    Thank you

    OceanCurrent�What can it do for you?AcknowledgementsOceanCurrent - defineSealCTDsGreat Australian Bight Salinity time series 2015/20162016 – A year of extremes �Monthly Mean SST Anomaly, April 2016�SST PercentilesClimatologyFoster et al (2014) Drifter-Satellite SST�Mean cold bias 0.5 – 1° C Satellite SST – Drifter SST (data used in Wijffels et al) SW Australia - January� Mean Sea Level (OFAM) Mean SST (ClimFit3)� SW Australia - March� Mean Sea Level (OFAM) Mean SST (ClimFit3)� SW Australia - May� Mean Sea Level (OFAM) Mean SST (ClimFit3)� SW Australia - July� Mean Sea Level (OFAM) Mean SST (ClimFit3)� SW Australia - September� Mean Sea Level (OFAM) Mean SST (ClimFit3)� SW Australia - November� Mean Sea Level (OFAM) Mean SST (ClimFit3)�Tasmania January ClimFit3 SSTTasmania February ClimFit3 SSTTasmania March ClimFit3 SSTSST and PercentilesCoral Sea SST, 20 March 2015SST Anomaly, 20 March 2015SST PercentilesTime series of SST (L3S-1d) in Coral Sea Coral Sea�March SST Anomalies (10x10km region)Gulf of Carpentaria – L3S-6d SSTSST Anomaly PercentilesTime series of SST in the Gulf of Carpentaria�Anomalously high temperatures Jan-Apr 2016 �Gulf of Carpentaria�March SST Anomalies (10x10km region)Estimating Percentiles - February SST Anomalies� 149E 41.5S (off E Tas)Estimating Percentiles - February SST Anomalies� 149E 41.5S (off E Tas)Eddy off Tasmania July 2016� Time series of SST in Eddy off Eastern TasmaniaEastern Tasmania (eddy centre)�May SST Anomalies (10x10km region)January 2017 �SSTJanuary 2017�Percentiles�Thank you