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National Bank of Greece | Covered Bond Programme
Disclaimer
This presentation contains forward‐looking statements. Such statements include, but are not limited to, discussionsregarding targets under average economic and market conditions, our objectives and strategies, and future results ofregarding targets under average economic and market conditions, our objectives and strategies, and future results ofour operations, together with the assumptions regarding the business environment and risk conditions in relianceupon which such statements are made. Such statements can be generally identified by the use of terms such as“believes,” “expects,” “may,” “will,” “should,” “would,” “could,” “plans,” “anticipates” and comparable terms, and thenegatives of such terms.
However, by their nature, these forward‐looking statements involve numerous assumptions and uncertainties, bothgeneral and specific. Actual results could differ materially from those expressed or implied in any such statements, inparticular as a result of factors such as fluctuations in interest rates, exchange rates and stock indices, the effects ofcompetition in the areas in which we operate, and changes in economic, political, regulatory and technological
di i i h h f i li i h iconditions. We caution that the foregoing list is not exhaustive.
When relying on forward‐looking statements to make decisions, investors should carefully consider theaforementioned factors as well as other uncertainties and circumstances.
We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward‐looking statements, whether as a result of newinformation, future events or otherwise. Any statements regarding past trends or activities should not be taken as arepresentation that such trends or activities will continue in the future.
page 2
N ti l B k f GNational Bank of Greece
Overview and Financial PerformanceOverview and Financial PerformanceSeptember, 2009
Covered Bond Programme
National Bank of Greece | Covered Bond Programme
NBG today: At a glance
• Largest and oldest financial institution in Greece
• Average 22% market share in Greek market with approximately 7.0 mn clients
• Largest listed company in Greece by market capitalization; 11th largest EU bank
• Diversification of income sources; top positions in strategic emerging markets, SEE and Turkey
• Superiorly positioned for current environment
Sound balance sheet and a conservative risk management strategy Sound balance sheet and a conservative risk management strategy
Robust capital base
Superior liquidity position
Resilient top‐line, despite challenging operating conditions, complemented by strict cost containment
Regional leadership in attractive growth markets; strong future growth platform Regional leadership in attractive growth markets; strong future growth platform
• Rating: Moody’s: Aa3, Fitch: A‐, S&P: BBB+
page 4
National Bank of Greece | Covered Bond Programme
History: almost 170 years of successful operation
1841 ‐ National Bank of Greece S.A. (NBG) was founded
1891 ‐ NBG founded Ethiniki Hellenic General Insurance Company
1880 ‐ NBG listed on the Athens Stock Exchange
1927 ‐ NBG founded National Mortgage Bank
1928 ‐ The establishment of the Central Bank of Greece, ends NBG’s responsibility to issue currency in Greece in addition to its commercial banking services
1953 ‐ NBG merged with Bank of Athens S.A.
1998 ‐ NBG merged through absorption with its subsidiary "National Mortgage Bank of Greece S.A.", in order to provide integrated mortgage lending services to its customers
1999 ‐ NBG listed on the New York Stock Exchange
2002 ‐ NBG acquired United Bulgarian Bank in Bulgaria and Stopanska Banka in FYROM
2002 ‐ NBG merged with its subsidiary “National Bank for Industrial Development SA”
2003 ‐ NBG acquired Banca Romaneasca in Romania
page 5
2006 ‐ NBG acquired Finansbank in Turkey and Vojvodjanska Banka in Serbia
National Bank of Greece | Covered Bond Programme
An established leader, with over 15 years of experience in the broader region
Total presence Diversified footprint in adjacent markets
Branches 283
Loans/GDP% 72.5
GDP per capita ($) 12,341
Bulgaria
Branches 151
Loans/GDP% 38.5
GDP per capita ($) 12,580
Romania
Branches 65
Loans/GDP% 43.6
GDP per capita ($) 9,157
FYROMGreece 85.4 575 16.2
Assets (€bn)
Branches Employees(000s)
o a aFYROM
Branches 204
Loans/GDP% 39.6
GDP i ($) 10 792
Greece 85.4 575 16.2
Turkey 14.2 461 11.0
GDP per capita ($) 10,792
Serbia
Albania
SEE 10.9 772 9.8
Group 110.5 1 808 37.0Branches 30
Loans/GDP% 35.6
GDP per capita ($) 6,859• NBG is a regional leader in attractive
growth markets and is committed to market leadership in its core markets of
TurkeyGreece Cyprus
market leadership in its core markets of Greece, Turkey and SEE
• Growth rates in NBG’s target markets expected to outperform relative to Euro area
page 6
Branches 459
Loans/GDP% 36.1
GDP per capita ($) 13,138
Branches 579
Loans/GDP% 102.7
GDP per capita ($) 30,535
Branches 16
Loans/GDP% 278
GDP per capita ($) 29,830
area
– Low loan penetration
– Low GDP per Capita
Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Database, April 2009 ‐ GDP per capital data are on PPP basis
National Bank of Greece | Covered Bond Programme
1st Half 2009: Strong Group results across all four areas of focus
Conservative Risk ManagementSustainable Earnings Power
NPLs up 65bps qoq to 4.4% with cash coverage at 67%
Q2.09 charge‐offs peak at €260mn or 157bps (+13bps qoq), in‐line with guidance
Attributable PAT for H1.09 at €708mn, with Q2.09 at €391mn, up +23% qoq
Solid Q2.09 pre‐provision earnings at €814mn (484bps), up +23%
Attributable PAT for H1.09 at €708mn, with Q2.09 at €391mn, up +23% qoq
Solid Q2.09 pre‐provision earnings at €814mn (484bps), up +23% qoq
NPLs up 65bps qoq to 4.4% with cash coverage at 67%
Q2.09 charge‐offs peak at €260mn or 157bps (+13bps qoq), in‐line with guidance
Conservative portfolio, focused on secured credit (85%)
Bond portfolio dominated by GGBs: +€300mm AFS reserve gain in Q2
+23% qoq
NII up 11% yoy and +2% qoq keeping NIM above 400bps
Cost : Income at an all time record low of 43%
+23% qoq
NII up 11% yoy and +2% qoq keeping NIM above 400bps
Cost : Income at an all time record low of 43%
Conservative portfolio, focused on secured credit (85%)
Bond portfolio dominated by GGBs: +€300mm AFS reserve gain in Q2
St Li idit C it l M t
Loan/Deposits ratio improves at 94% in Q2.09
Balanced loan growth of €2 4bn ytd fully matched by
€1.25bn July 09’ rights issue 2.2x covered
52bps internal capital generation in Q2 09 alone
Strong Liquidity Capital Management
€1.25bn July 09’ rights issue, 2.2x covered
52bps internal capital generation in Q2.09 alone
Loan/Deposits ratio improves to 94% in Q2.09
Balanced loan growth of €2.4bn ytd fully matched by deposits Balanced loan growth of €2.4bn ytd fully matched by deposits gathering of €3.0bn ytd .
Shift to core deposits adds €1.8bn of core in Q2
Market share in savings accounts firm at 33%
52bps internal capital generation in Q2.09 alone
€1bn Hybrid buyback added 25 bps in core equity
Pro forma Tier I at 12.2% with Core Tier I at an industry high of 10.8%
p p g Q
€450mn Hybrid buyback added 25bps in core equity
Pro forma Tier I at 12.2% with Core Tier I at an industry high of 10.8%
h f l
g f y f y y pgathering of €3.0bn ytd .
Shift to core deposits adds €1.8bn of core deposits in Q2
Market share in savings accounts firm at 33%
page 7
Customer deposits at 73% of total funding pool TCE to TA at 5.4% with 16% of Total Assets in GGBsTCE to TA at 5.4% with 16% of Total Assets in GGBsCustomer deposits at 73% of total funding pool
National Bank of Greece | Covered Bond Programme
Strong top‐line confirms earnings power sustainability
Pre‐Provision EarningsPre‐provision Earnings Profit After Tax Return on Equity
25%
30%
1 216
… generate pre‐crisis returnsStrong pre‐provision earnings (even before trading )
Trading gains
… support bottom line
814
RoE 24%
€1 477mn+21% yoy €708mn
13% yoy
22%20%
25%
662€814mn+23% qoq
g
317€391mn+23% qoq
RoE 24%RoTE at 37%
‐13% yoy
15%Q2.08 Q3.08 Q4.08 Q1.09 Q2.09H1.08 H1.09 Q1.09 Q2.09 H1.08 H1.09 Q1.09 Q2.09
Net Interest Income & Margin Income vs. OpEx Cost : Income
Resilience in the top line combined with …
9459681000 460
… cost control across the Group
NII (€mn) NIM (bps)
… results in record low C/I
47%
44%
46%
1200
1500 €1 396mn+14% qoqIncome
850
900
950
410403
400
420
44043%
600
900
1200
€581mn+3% qoq
Opex
page 8
800
Q2.08
Q3.08
Q4.08
Q1.09
Q2.09
380
Q2.08
Q3.08
Q4.08
Q1.09
Q2.09 H1.08 H1.09 Q1.09 Q2.09
300
Q2.08
Q3.08
Q4.08
Q1.09
Q2.09
q q
National Bank of Greece | Covered Bond Programme
Solid pre‐provision earnings in all regions
Pre‐provision Earnings: Greece Pre‐provision Earnings: Turkey Pre‐provision Earnings: SEE
€933mn
Pre‐provision earnings up yoy and qoq … … substantially so in Turkey …and flat in SEE
+25% yoy €146mn+0% yoy
146
€537
610
TRY 853mn+40% yoy748
73
€537mn+35% qoq
417 TRY 436mn+5% qoq €73mn
+0% qoq
396
H1.08 H1.09 Q1.09 Q2.09H1.08 H1.09 Q1.09 Q2.09
NII & NIM: Greece NII & NIM: Turkey NII & NIM: SEE
H1.08 H1.09 Q1.09 Q2.09
617650
NII (€mn) NIM (bps)360
499550
736
800 135 520
… NIM trending up in Turkey with record NIILoan spread expansion offsets deposit margin pressure … reversal of NIM compression trend in Q2.09
NII (TRYmn) NIM (bps) NII (€mn) NIM (bps)
605
550
600336
327
320
340482
499
400
450
500704
736
620
680
740 117 118
105
120
428 433 440
480
page 9
500
Q2.08
Q3.08
Q4.08
Q1.09
Q2.09
300
Q2.08
Q3.08
Q4.08
Q1.09
Q2.09
350
Q2.08
Q3.08
Q4.08
Q1.09
Q2.09
560
Q2.08
Q3.08
Q4.08
Q1.09
Q2.09
90
Q2.08
Q3.08
Q4.08
Q1.09
Q2.09
400
Q2.08
Q3.08
Q4.08
Q1.09
Q2.09
National Bank of Greece | Covered Bond Programme
Ambitious cost cutting program underway
Cost Review Initiatives: SummaryCost/Income by Region
€378mn
>110 specific opportunities being addressed through targeted projects
Personnel
• Compensation review (incentives)
• Headcount managementBenefits re ie
€54mn
Cost/Income & Opex: Greece
48%
41%
qoq evolution points to improving trend
368+3% qoq
Seasonal businesses account for bulk of
increase
Demand Management
• Benefits review• Prioritisation of training needs• Reduction of overtime
• Travel demand management and policy revision
• Reduction of discretionary demand€10mnQ1.09 Q2.09
41% 368
Q1.09 Q2.09
TRY 283mn+6% qoq
One‐off salaryInfrastructure
• Reduction of discretionary demand of consumables and services
• Restructuring of telecoms network and contracts• Review and outsourcing of office printing and
supportf / /
€9mn
Cost/Income & Opex: Turkey
39% 39% 268
One‐off salary adjustment
Real Estate
• Aggressive review and sourcing of IT H/W and S/W purchases
• Consolidation of statement printing and posting
• Renegotiation of rents• Reduction of repair and maintenance unit
€4mnQ1.09 Q2.09 Q1.09 Q2.09
‐5% qoqPersonnel expenses
costs
Business Related
• Review of marketing spend• Renegotiation and management of intermediary
commissions• Reduction of professional services expenses
€29mn
Cost/Income & Opex: SEE
50% 49% 74€70mn
page 10
Personnel expenses down ‐9% qoq
• Reduction of professional services expenses• Restructuring of promotional expenses
Q1.09 Q2.09 Q1.09 Q2.09
National Bank of Greece | Covered Bond Programme
Loan growth predominantly in Greece in view of declining activity in EMs
Loan Book: Greece Loan Book: Turkey Loan Book: SEE & Cyprus
42 2
46.1
Another quarter of loan expansion in Greece …
€48.6 bn
+15% yoy+5% ytd
… flat in Turkey
22.8TRY 22.8bn
+10% yoy+0% ytd
… and moderate contraction in SEE
7.4
8.3 SEE: €8.2 bn+10% yoy‐2% ytd
42.2 +5% ytd
20.8
y
1.1 1.1Cyprus: €1.1bn
Η1.08 FY.08 Η1.09 Η1.08 FY.08 Η1.09 Η1.08 FY.08 Η1.09
Deposits: Greece Deposits: Turkey Deposits: SEE & Cyprus
… term liquidity allows for funding cost optimization
14.1
15.9 TRY 15.1bn
+7% yoy
Deposit gathering exceeds loan growth in Greece …
€58.6 bn
+13% yoy
… increased market share in a tough environment
SEE: €4.4bn+6% yoy1% d+7% yoy
‐5% ytd+1.5bn TRY of
deposits recouped since end of Q2
51.7
55.3 +6% ytd
0.8 0.7
4.1 4.3
+1% ytd
Cyprus: €0.8bn
page 11
Η1.08 FY.08 1Η.09Η1.08 FY.08 Η1.09
0.7
Η1.08 FY.08 1Η.09
National Bank of Greece | Covered Bond Programme
Asset quality deteriorated in Q2 but trend has decelerated
NPLs & Cash Coverage Cost of Risk Pre‐Provision Margins (Q2.09)
779215
144157
228 235260 bps€mn
4%
5% 75%70%
NPLs at 4.4% of loan book and coverage at 67% Cost of risk up 13bps in line with guidance
3.7%
67%
… with comfortable pre‐provision margins
Pre‐provision earnings % loans (bps) Cost of risk % loans (bps)
Turkey4.4%
+65bps56%
484
456
351
157
135
25464
92111
2%
3%
3.7% SEE
Greece
Group
+45bps
Q2.08
Q3.08
Q4.08
Q1.09
Q2.09
Q2.08
Q3.08
Q4.08
Q1.09
Q2.09
Q1.07
Q2.07
Q3.07
Q4.07
Q1.08
Q2.08
Q3.08
Q4.08
Q1.09
Q2.09
Q4.08
Q1.09
Q2.09
IFRS7
NPLs Formation Domestic Retail +90dpd Formation
+120
+150 Q209
… but signs of easing off in late Q2NPLs generation peaks in Q2 …
NPL formation (€mn) Q2.09 Q1.09 ‐/+ qoq
Domestic operations:
p
being particularly high in consumer lending …
4.5%
3.7%NPLs Q1.09
+90dpd (IFRS7) Q1.09
+30
+60
+90
+120
Average 2008
Mortgages +86 +80 +6
Consumer lending +164 +161 +3
Small Business +33 +9 +24
Corporate +34 +16 +18
Total Domestic +318 +266 +52
+12bps
+23
+4
+3
+15
Mortgages
Consumer
SBLs
Corporate
Turkey
+65bps
page 12
+0
30
Jul‐0
8
Aug
‐08
Sep‐08
Oct‐08
Nov
‐08
Dec‐08
Jan‐09
Feb‐09
Mar‐09
Apr‐09
May‐09
Jun‐09
e age 008Total Domestic 318 266 52
Turkey +95 +76 +19
SEE +58 +77 ‐19
Group +471 +419 +52
4.4%
5.1%
+7bps
y
SEE
NPLs Q2.09
+90dpd (IFRS7) Q2.09
National Bank of Greece | Covered Bond Programme
A low risk, well positioned securities portfolio
Fixed Income Portfolio Fixed Income Portfolio: Breakdown
0.6 13.0 7.1 3.8
AFS
53%
(€bn)LaR TradingHTM
29% 15%3%
(€bn)
13
15
23
25
Group Bond Portfolio AFS Bond Portfolio
(€bn)24.5
13.0
19.7 2.1 2.2 0.4
GGBs & EU BondsTurkish & Other Govies
81% 9% 9% 2%
CorporatesFinancials
8
1008 09 09
18
20
08 09 09
Greek Government Bonds: Credit Spreads
S d d G 5Y CDS
AFS Reserve Movement
(€mn)
Q4.0
Q1.0
Q2.0
Q4.0
Q1.0
Q2.0
Spread over Bund Greece 5Yr CDS
200
250
300
109
0
200 Waning of risk aversion in Q2 and appropriate
positioning and sizing of portfolio led to gains in
the AFS reserve
+€299mn
200
250
300
3503yr Spread
10yr Spread
0
50
100
150
‐538
‐109
‐600
‐400
‐200
8 9 9 0
50
100
150
200
page 13
31/1/08
31/3/08
31/5/08
31/7/08
1/10/08
1/12/08
1/2/09
1/4/09
1/6/09
1/8/09
Q4.08
Q1.09
Q2.09
18/3/08
18/5/08
18/7/08
18/9/08
18/11/08
18/1/09
18/3/09
18/5/09
18/7/09
National Bank of Greece | Covered Bond Programme
Ample funding dominated by high quality customer deposits
Loans / Deposits Maturity ProfileFunding structure
Net interbank
92%94%
95% 95% 95% 94%2%
13%12.7bn
2.1bn
73% of funding emanates from deposits … L:D improves despite loan growth … insignificant repayments of wholesale funding
only 1/3 of GGBs stock repoed
854
1,077 1,141
818
€mn
ECB repos 92%
3%2.9bn
repoed
21079 100 88 77 90
16460
ECB repos
Senior debt
Q1.08 Q2.08 Q3.08 Q4.08 Q1.09 Q2.0941%
Domestic Market Shares
39.8bn
Sources / Uses of funds (qoq)Inexpensive undated
Oct 09
Dec 09
Feb 10
Jun 10
Jun 10
Mar 11
Jun 11
Dec 12
Dec 13
Dec 14
Dec 15
>201
5
Term deposits
Securities32%
Domestic Market Shares
30.8bn
/ (q q)
+0 9+0.9
Inexpensive, undated deposits with a
blended cost of just 35bps Another quarter of liquidity gathering…
35%
40%
33%SavingsCore deposits
9%9.1bn
Loans+0.9
+0.315%
20%
25%
30% Savings
24%Total deposits
p
Equity, Prefs & hybrid securities
page 14
Deposits ECB repos, senior debt & interbank+1.6
10%
Jan0
8
Mar08
May08
July08
Sep0
8
Nov08
Jan0
9
Mar09
May09
National Bank of Greece | Covered Bond Programme
Recent rights issue positions NBG ahead of European peers
Accounting Equity Movement Pro‐forma financials Terms & conditions
• Capital increase of €1.25 bn; 110.4mn new shares issued; 22% of total shares outstanding
• Subscription price €11.30 per share; 2 new shares for every 9 existing ordinary h
€mn Reported Pro‐forma
Number of shares 497 607 +110
Balance Sheet as of June 30th, 2009
6,154
+391PAT Q2.09
Equity 31.3
€mn
shares
• Approximately 40% discount to TERP; 45% discount to closing share price (15 June 09)
• Completed on the 29th of July; covered 2.2x
Equity 7 226 8 586 +1 364
Book value per share €14.55 €14.14
Equity */ Assets 6.2% 7.5% 123bps
TCE */ TA 4.1% 5.4% 126bps
+299
+78
+51
Treasury stock placement
FX translation (Reserves)
AFS movement
+725
TCE/TA: DJStoxx600 Banks Index
*excludes minorities & State prefs+48
‐101
‐40
FX translation (Goodwill)
Prefs dividends
Other
5.4%
5%
6%
7%
8%
9%
NBG Q2.09
Pro‐forma; after the capital increaseNBG Q2.097,226
+347
+166
Equity 30.6
July 09 Tier 1 buy‐back
State Preference Shares
4.1%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%European average: 3.9%
8,586
+1,194July 09 rights issue
30.6 Pro‐forma
page 15
0%
*latest available data
National Bank of Greece | Covered Bond Programme
Bottom line performance attests to franchise strength
Profitability Benchmarking: RoE & RoRWA (DJ Stoxx 600 Banks)EPS Calculation
€mn 30.6.09NBG Q2.093%
Earnings Per Share Return on Common EquityReturn on Risk Weighted Assets
Net Income 708
‐ Hybrid dividends (1) ‐69
‐ US Pref. dividends (1) ‐42
State Pref dividends 4
15%
25% 24%
2%
NBG Q2.09
2.4%
‐ State Pref. dividends ‐4
Earnings to common shareholders 593
Number of shares of EPS calculation 493
Bonus element of Jul. 09 rights issue (2) x 1.082
5%
0%
1%
European average: 5.5%European average: 0.53%
**excludes minoritiesg
Adjusted number of shares for EPS 533
Earnings per share (1st Half 2009) €1.11
‐15%
‐5%
‐2%
‐1%
(1) Hybrid and US Pref dividend for the full year 2009
‐25%‐3%latest available data latest available data
(2) Adjusting for discount to TERP
page 16
National Bank of Greece | Covered Bond Programme
Capital at record high following internal generation and proactive capital raising
Tier I Ranking: DJStoxx 600 Banks IndexCapital adequacy (Basel II)
Share capital 3 043
Share premium account 3 324
€mn PF* 30.06.09 31.03.09
Upper Tier I 9 128 7 768 7 270
Pro‐forma Capital
11
14NBG
One of the most well–capitalized banks in Europe…Pro‐forma Core Tier I Breakdown %
p
Reserves 3 315
AFS reserve & FX differences (986)
Minorities:
pp
Lower Tier I 1 339 1 789 1 436
Goodwill & Intangibles (2 524) (2 524) (2 426)
Tier I Capital 7 943 7 033 6 280 5
8Median: 8.0%
Trading Joint Venture 716
Other Minorities (FB Leasing, etc.) 78
Treasury shares (11)
Oth 40
Tier II Capital 8 8 70
Total CAD 7 951 7 041 6 350
RWAs 65 072 65 072 64 389
2
Internal Capital GenerationOther 40
Goodwill & intangibles (2 524)
Pro‐forma Core Tier I 6 994Core Tier I ratio 10.8% 8.7% 8.1%
Tier I ratio 12.2% 10.8% 9.8%
Internal Capital Generation
8.1%
+52bpsInternal generation
Core T1 31.3.09
CAD ratio 12.2% 10.8% 9.9%
* pro‐forma for the capital increase and the Tier I buy‐backprogram in July ‘09
+11
+12
‐13
9b
Valuations
Treasury shares
Prefs dividends
page 17
‐9bps
8.7%
ΔRWAs
Core T1 30.6.09
National Bank of Greece | Covered Bond Programme
Stress testing capital ratios for currency exposures
Turkish Lira / EUR Romanian RON / EUR Serbian Dinar / EUR
2 16
2.3
2.5
94100
110
4.21
4.2
4.4
4.6
+1%+1%
TRY strengthened 1% since end of Q2 … … RON flat since end of Q2 … RSD also flat since end of Q2
0%+1%
0%+2%
2.22
2.16
1.9
2.1
95
94
70
80
904.23
3 4
3.6
3.8
4.0
4.2+1%Q3.09 so far
Q3.09 so far Q3.09 so far
Group Tier I ratio: Sensitivity to FX rates (pro‐forma impact; bps)
1.7 703.4
Summary Results
Q4.08 Q1.09 Q2.09 Q3.09 Q4.08 Q1.09 Q2.09 Q3.09 Q4.08 Q1.09 Q2.09 Q3.09
0
+10
+20
(bps)
Turkish Lira Romanian RON Serbian Dinar
0
+10
+20
0
+10
+20
― Abating of risk aversion in Q2.09 has positive effect on Equity Tier 1
― Before hedging, further 25% h f ld
‐50
‐40
‐30
‐20
‐10
Tier I im
pact
‐50
‐40
‐30
‐20
‐10
‐50
‐40
‐30
‐20
‐10
unhedged
strengthening of EUR against TRY, would dent T1 by circa 30bps; likewise, 25% against RON, would trim T1 by less than 10bps
unhedged
unhedged
page 18
2.0
2.2
2.4
2.6
2.8
TRY/€ rate
3.8
4.2
4.6
5.0
5.4
5.8
Rom Leu /€ rate
84 93 102
111
120
128
Serbian Dinar /€ rate
N ti l B k f GNational Bank of Greece
Housing and Residential Mortgage marketHousing and Residential Mortgage marketSeptember, 2009
Covered Bond Programme
National Bank of Greece | Covered Bond Programme
Greek housing and residential mortgage market ‐ Key takeaways
• Greek mortgage market has enjoyed tremendous growth in the recent past driven by:– Positive demographics, renovation of old dwellings and adjusting family dynamics– Significant growth in household disposable income in a low interest rate environment– Declining household size and significant increase of immigrant population
• Despite the strong growth, market has remained quite conservative:Household debt burden remains one of the lowest in Europe– Household debt burden remains one of the lowest in Europe
– Typical LTV’s that Banks lend <70%, amongst the lowest in Europe (Cover pool current LTV is ~60%); shorter than average tenor– Banks finance their mortgage portfolio’s primarily with customer deposits and much less with RMBS or CB– Plain vanilla products; no sub‐prime; no home equity, no endowment, no reverse mortgage, no buy‐to‐let
• Market is experiencing a soft landing in housing prices and much softer than elsewhere in Europe as it did not experience a significant house price boom; this trend is not likely to reverse as estimated house price overvaluation is mild (~10%)
• NBG holds a commanding position in the market, which coupled with its liquidity advantage enables it to achieve superior returns for its investors– Market share in outstanding mortgages is 24%, almost the same as #2 and #3 player combined; in the past 12 months market share in new
production has reached 45% as the competition faces capital and liquidity constraints– New production is coming at almost double spread (~250 bp) and with the application of much stricter underwriting criteria
Delinquencies are significantly below market average; gap is increasing in the past 12 months– Delinquencies are significantly below market average; gap is increasing in the past 12 months– After a spike in 2007, because of intensified competition, early prepayments are edging down to practically nil
• NBG’s has organized its mortgage business around a defensive, conservative and fully centralized operating model– Branches source ~70% of new business; all customers (even if solicited form intermediaries) apply via Branches
page 20
f ; ( f f ) pp y– Underwriting is fully centralized; Branches having no credit authorization limit; on the field technical appraisal for 100% of applications– Collections are fully centralized, start from the 1st day of delinquency in a structured manner
National Bank of Greece | Covered Bond Programme
Healthy macroeconomic environment has boosted residential mortgage market
Household size Immigrant population (% total)Mortgage market growth g p p ( )
Mortgage penetration is lower than Europe Declining household size… coupled with immigrants bolstered demand
g g g
2.810 25 50 75 100
2.65
2.292.20 1.5
5.4
Short‐term interest rates (real)
2003 2007 1998 2007
Household Disposable IncomeIndex (1999=100)
Strong growth in disposable income Declining interest rates
11
14
175
200
‐1
2
5
8
100
125
150
175
2003 2008
page 21
‐4
Jan‐98 Jan‐01 Jan‐04 Jan‐07
75
1999 2001 2003 2005 2007
National Bank of Greece | Covered Bond Programme
House price slowdown has been and is expected to be mild compared to other markets
House price evolution House price over‐valuation**
Annual growth, 2008‐09*, percent November 2008, percent of actual price level
2009
2008
3229
23
17
13 13
2 2
‐20 ‐10 0 10
page 22
* 1st quarter 2009** Expected house prices in each cuntry were modeled using a macroeconomic housing demand model and compared to actual price level
Source: OECD, IMF and Bank of Greece estimates for Q1 2009
National Bank of Greece | Covered Bond Programme
Greek Mortgage market is more traditional compared to other EU markets
Typical Loan‐to‐Value Household debt servicing cost
25
Percent of disposable income, 2007
9085 80 80 75 75
70 65
Percent of loan value, 2007
2518 18
12 12 9 9 7
65
Typical mortgage tenor SummaryTypical mortgage tenor
Years, 2007
30 20‐30
Summary
― Household debt burden at ~9% of disposable income, remains one of the lowest in Europe
― Typical LTV’s that Banks lend <70%, amongst the lowest in Europe (Cover pool current LTV is ~60%); 20 30
20‐25 20‐25 15‐20 15‐20 15‐20 15‐20 ― New mortgage tenor at 15‐20 years; shorter than European average
― Outstanding CB and RMBS at a mere ~17%; Banks finance their mortgage portfolio’s primarily with
t d it
page 23Source: ECB, European Covered Bond council, BBVA (2007)
customer deposits
― Plain vanilla products; no sub‐prime; no home equity, no endowment, no reverse mortgage, no buy‐to‐let
National Bank of Greece | Covered Bond Programme
NBG has a commanding position in the local market
NBG share of new mortgage loans NBG application StatsMarket share mortgage loans
Percent of new mortgage originations # of apps; approvals as % of total apps
50%
90%7,500Applications Approved ratio
Percent of total mortgage outstanding, Jun‐2009
30%
40%
75%
2,500
5,000
14 2
24.5
NBG early pre‐paymentsDelinquencies vs. market
20%
Jun‐08 Sep‐08 Dec‐08 Mar‐09 Jun‐09
60%0
Jun‐08 Oct‐08 Feb‐09 Jun‐09
13.1
14.2
NBG early pre paymentsq
Mortgages +90dpd (%)
4.0%
5
6 3‐month moving averages
Percent of total mortgage outstanding9.1
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
1
2
3
4
5
7.5
0.7
1.0
page 24
0.0%Jan‐08 Apr‐09
0
Mar‐08 Jun‐08 Sep‐08 Dec‐08 Mar‐09
NBG GR (excl. NBG)Source: NBG, respective peer quarterly results
National Bank of Greece | Covered Bond Programme
Origination channels
NBG tl h 500 000 t t d i f th 60 000 tNBG currently has ~500,000 mortgage accounts and receives a further 60,000 new mortgage applications per year
• 579 Branches, largest Branch Network in the country
• Account for ~70% of new productionRetail Branches
• ~3,000 intermediaries, real estate agents and mortgage brokers
• Account for ~25% of new productionIntermediaries
• Provide leads to Branches, direct client contact at the Branch to make application
• ~1,300 insurance brokers of Ethniki Insurance, a wholly owned NBG subsidiaryNBG Linked
• Account for ~5% of new production
• Provide leads to Branches, direct client contact at the Branch to make application
NBG Linked Intermediaries
page 25Source: NBG
National Bank of Greece | Covered Bond Programme
Servicing: Underwriting and arrears management
ApplicationFinancial Financial Evaluation &
Contract SignatureCollateral EvaluationApplicationAssessment Approval
Contract Signature
Branch Mortgage Credit Division Mortgage Credit Division Branch
Collateral Evaluation
Collateral Eval. Division
• Solicit customer application
• Checks whether borrower meets lending criteria
• Application assigned automatically to an underwriter according to credit approval limits
• Search of adverse credit
• Arranges physical collateral evaluation to be performed by independent lawyer and surveyor
• Collects due diligence reports
• Initial underwriterrecommends approval or rejection and passes to secondary underwriter
• “Four ‐eye principle”:
• Mortgage loan agreement signed at Branch
• Pre‐notation signed in relevant land registry office / courtlending criteria
• Obtains supporting documents
• Transmits electronic application to Mortgage
Search of adverse credit history in internal databases / external credit bureau
• Segregation of duties as application processing at
Collects due diligence reports and records result in Bank collateral system
• Prepares loan contract and legal documents
• Checks that credit policy
Four eye principle : application passed to secondary underwriter
• Secondary underwriter always higher ranked than initial evaluator and
registry office / court
• Property and life insurance issued
• Mortgage is disbursed
Mortgage Credit Division
application processing at different steps managed by different employees
• All applications scored by credit scoring model developed by Fair Isaac,
• Checks that credit policy requirements are fulfilled
initial evaluator and subject to credit approval limits makes final decision
Arrears management (0‐150 days past due)p y ,inline with Basel II requirements; PTIcut‐off set at 40%
Retail Collections Division• Centralized process, recovery collection calls
• Process starts at 31st dpd customers; for high‐risk customers (large tickets and high LTV’s) from 1st day of delinquency
page 26
(large tickets and high LTV s) from 1 day of delinquency
• Delinquency reminder letters sent out automatically for every missed payment
National Bank of Greece | Covered Bond Programme
Structured credit recovery timeline
Foreclosure Initiation Termination of Loan Court Order
Filing an Annulment
Auction• Collection Dept prepares
customer file for external law firm
• Customer served Notice of Termination approximately 15 days after the 180th date
• The public auction is executed by the appointed notary public
• Th t i ld t
• Official Termination of Loan
• Bank requests that the Court issues a payment order using the signed loan agreement and the loan account
• The judge issues a court order for payment together with a demand for immediate payment of the full amount of the loan
• The payment order is of delinquency
• The property is sold to the highest bidder who then has 15 days to pay the price to the notary public
transactions statements since the loan was originally disbursed
p yserved by a bailiff to the borrower 15 days after the issuing of the court order
• The debtor is granted 10 working days to contest the procedure
Property is Seized Price Paid
0
Days after 180th date of delinquency
60 – 120 Days
15 Days15
10 Days 15 Days
41 – 60 Days 40 Days
35 – 90 Days
Right to Enforcement
Negotiation PeriodProperty is Seized Price Paid
Lapse of 10 Day Period
• The Bank has the right to seize the property
• Customer offered a limited number of days (usually 10) during which the loan can be paid
• Bank again serves the order for payment
• The customer has 15 working days to contest the validity of the court order by filing an annulment petition
• A Bailiff issues a seizure statement indicating the date and the place of the auction along with the minimum auction price
h d i d
• The notary public prepares a special deed, listing all the creditors, who announced their claims to him/her within 35 – 90 days of the auction, allocating the proceeds of the auction
• Pre‐notation is then converted into a mortgage
completely and thus halt legal proceedings
g p
• After this the payment order can no longer be challenged
• The payment order is served by a bailiff to the borrower
• If the minimum auction price is contested (either by the borrower or lender) with sufficient supportive evidence, the auction is
auction
• After any claims from employment relationships and contracts for legal and educational services arising in the past 2 years have been paid, 1/3 of the remaining proceeds are allocated to public sector claims, d th i i 2/3 i di t ib t d
page 27
postponed until a date not exceeding 6 months from the initial auction date for a new reserve price
and the remaining 2/3 is distributed to other creditors (according to pre‐notation rank – superseded by statutory covered bond pledge)
N ti l B k f GNational Bank of Greece
Covered Bond ProgrammeCovered Bond ProgrammeSeptember, 2009
Covered Bond Programme
National Bank of Greece | Covered Bond Programme
Programme structure
National Bank ofGreece S A
Covered Bonds Coupons and
Principal Covered Bond Greece S.A.Cover Pool Covered Bonds
Proceeds
pSwap Counterparty Covered Bonds Holders
/ Trustee
• Covered Bonds are issued by NBG as direct and unsubordinated obligations
Asset Monitor
• Covered Bonds are issued by NBG as direct and unsubordinated obligations
• Greek law provides a strong legal framework securing issuance of Covered Bonds on a dynamic cover pool segregated on NBG’s balance sheet
• Assets in the cover pool are recorded on a dedicated register. The registration ensures the correct assets segregation on a dynamic pool
• NBG will enter into swap agreements to hedge interest risk mismatches between the cover pool and the issued Covered Bondsp g g p
• Programme provides that for so long as Covered Bonds remain outstanding, the obligations of NBG are suitably over‐collateralised by requiring
satisfaction of various tests (see description of the tests in slide 33)
• If no Issuer Event or Event of Default has occurred, NBG will pay principal and interest on the Covered Bonds using its own funds
• Following a downgrade of NBG below BBB‐/Baa3 (Fitch/Moody’s), the Issuer is no longer entitled to withdraw the amounts credited on the
Transaction Account
• NBG, acting as Servicer, will be replaced in case of insolvency
page 29
National Bank of Greece | Covered Bond Programme
Programme terms
Issuer National Bank of Greece S.A.
Servicer National Bank of Greece S.A.
Size € 10,000,000,000
Listing Luxembourg
Maturity No limitation (subject to legal framework)
Governing Law Greek Covered Bond Legislation / Transaction Documents will be governed by English law
Arrangers Deutsche Bank, NBG Investment Banking, UniCredit Group (HVB)
Asset monitor Ernst & Young
Trustee Citicorp Trustee Company LimitedTrustee Citicorp Trustee Company Limited
Security Fixed and Floating charges over the Cover Pool
page 30
National Bank of Greece | Covered Bond Programme
Issuance terms
Rating AAA / Aaa (Fitch / Moody’s)
Maturity Subject to investor demand
Currency €
Size Benchmark
Interest Fixed rate
Joint Lead Managers Deutsche Bank, Unicredit (HVB), NBG Investment Banking
Clearing Euroclear and / or Clearstream, Luxembourg
OCMinimum legal required OC 5.26%; Current OC 168.87% (based on the segregated portfolio as of Aug 2009)
Portfolio Prime Residential Mortgages originated in Greece
Compliant to EU directive Yes, UCITS and CRD
page 31
National Bank of Greece | Covered Bond Programme
Investor protection – mechanisms: issuer event and event of default
Issuer event Event of default
• Failure to pay principal or interest when due in respect of the Covered Bonds within a period of seven business days
• Issuer defaults in the performance or observance of any of its obligations under Transaction Docs and such default is:• In the opinion of the Trustee, incapable of remedy;
• Failure to pay principal amounts on the Covered Bonds within seven business day from the due date
• Failure to pay interest amounts on the Covered Bonds within fourteen business day from the due date
• Breach of the Amortisation Testp , p y;• In the opinion of the Trustee, capable of remedy and
remains unremedied for 30 days• Any indebtedness in respect of moneys borrowed or raised in
an amount of at least €10 mn of the Issuer becomes due and payable prior to the stated maturity
Breach of the Amortisation Test
payable prior to the stated maturity• A breach of a Statutory Test and such breach is not remedied
within two business days• Issuer Insolvency Event
C CConsequences• No further series of Covered Bond can be issued• Payments on the Covered Bonds will be made from the
Covered Bonds Available Funds in accordance with the Pre Event of Default Priority of Payments
Consequences• Acceleration of the Covered Bonds: each series become
immediately due and payable• Portfolio disposal in order to repay the Covered Bonds• Proceeds from the liquidation of the cover pool disbursed in y y
• Portfolio disposal in order to repay the Covered Bonds (if needed to meet payment of interest and principal according to the original maturities)
• Redirection of all debtor’s payments on the Transaction Accounts
q paccordance with the Post Event of Default Priority of Payments
page 32
Accounts• NBG no longer entitled to withdraw the amounts credited
on the Transaction Account (other than for making payments due under the relevant Priority of Payments)
National Bank of Greece | Covered Bond Programme
Statutory Tests*: to guarantee adequate ongoing asset coverage
• The lower of: a) 95 per cent. (legal overcollateralization), and b) an asset percentage determined from time totime by the Rating Agencies of the Nominal Value of the Cover Pool is higher than the Principal AmountOutstanding of all Series of Covered Bonds including accrued interest
Nominal Value T t Outstanding of all Series of Covered Bonds including accrued interest.
• By law in order to assess the compliance with this test, all of the assets** comprising the Cover Pool shall beevaluated at their nominal value plus accrued interest
• To the extent that the Transaction Account is held by NBG, for the purpose of the Nominal Value Test no creditis given to the amount standing on such account
Test
• The Net Present Value of liabilities under the Covered Bonds is less than or equal to the Net Present Value ofthe Cover Pool including the Interest Rate Swap and Covered Bond Swaps. This test must also be satisfied onthe assumption of a parallel shift of the yield curve by 200 basis points
• In addition to the previous point the Net Present Value of the Interest Rate Swap and the Covered Bond Swaps
NPV Test
are in aggregate less than or equal to 15 per cent of the nominal value of the Covered Bonds• To the extent that the Transaction Account is held by NBG, for the purpose of the Net Present Value Test no
credit is given to the amount standing on such account
• The amount of interest due on the Covered Bonds does not exceed during the following 12 months the amountThe amount of interest due on the Covered Bonds does not exceed during the following 12 months the amountof interest expected to be received in respect of the loans comprised in the portfolio and the substitutionassets
• The Interest Rate Swap and the Covered Bond Swaps in respect of each series must be included for assessingcompliance with this test
Interest Cover Test
• Following an Issuer Event• The Nominal Value of the Covered Pool will be in an amount at least equal to the aggregate Principal Amount
Outstanding of the Covered Bonds• A breach of the Amortisation Test will cause an Event of Default
Amortisation Test
page 33
* The failure to cure a breach of the Statutory Test within two Athens Business Days will cause an Issuer Event.
** To guarantee additional protection in all the Statutory Tests the nominal value of each Loan in the Covered Pool is determined as the lower of: (i) the Outstanding Principal Balance, (ii) zero if the Loan is in arrear and (iii) the updated Loan valuation.
National Bank of Greece | Covered Bond Programme
Individual eligibility criteria
1 Asset is a loan, denominated in €
Borrower agreement governed by Greek law and only provide for Greek law jurisdiction2
Nominal value remains a debt, which has not been paid or discharged3
/Secured by a valid and enforceable first ranking mortgage and/or mortgage pre‐notation over property located in Greece that may be used for residential purposes; if mortgage is of lower ranking, loans that rank higher have been originated by Issuer and are included in the Cover Pool
4
L di it i t ti f l ti f NBG’ dit li d t l di d llLending criteria to granting of loan satisfy NBG’s credit policy and customary lending procedures as well as
the European Code of Conduct on Mortgage Loans5
Purpose of loan is either to buy, construct or renovate a property or refinance a loan originally granted by 6
another bank for the above purposes6
It is either a fixed or floating rate loan or a combination of both7
It is not an interest‐only loan8
It is not a subsidised or state guarantee loan9
page 34
It is not an employee loan10
National Bank of Greece | Covered Bond Programme
Portfolio summary
Metric Current Initial
Reporting Date 31‐08‐2009 28‐11‐2008
Portfolio Cut off Date 31‐08‐2009 31‐10‐2008
Original Principal Balance € million 6,487,231 6,487,231
P i i l B l € million 5 357 444 5 951 630Principal Balance € million 5,357,444 5,951,630
Number of Borrowers Thousand 66.3 70.3
Number of Loan parts Thousand 88.0 94.1
Number of Properties Thousand 68.1 72.3Number of Properties 68.1 72.3
Average Principal Balance (borrower) € thousand 80.8 82.3
Average Principal Balance (parts) € thousand 60.9 63.2
Coupon: Weighted Average Percent 4.4 4.8
Minimum Percent 1.3 3.1
Maximum Percent 7.3 8.1
Weighted Average Loan to Foreclosure Value Percent 66.9 66.6
PWeighted Average Loan to Indexed Foreclosure Value Percent 56.7 58.4
Seasoning: Weighted Average Years 2.9 2.1
Original Maturity: Weighted Average Years 24.9 24.9
Remaining Tenor: Weighted Average Years 22 1 22 9
page 35
Remaining Tenor: Weighted Average Years 22.1 22.9
Remaining Interest Period: Weighted Average Years 1.8 2.3
National Bank of Greece | Covered Bond Programme
Priority of payments
Pre‐event of default Post‐event of default
• Pay any amount due and payable to the Trustee• Pay pari passu and pro rata any fees, costs, expenses to
third parties and taxes• Pay all amounts due and payable to any Secured
• Pay any Indemnity to which the Trustee is entitledpursuant to the Trust Deed and any costs and expensesincurred by or on behalf of the Trustee
• Pay pari passu and pro rata:Creditors, other than the Covered Bondholders andthe Hedging Counterparties
• Pay pari passu and pro rata:– All amounts of interest due and payable on any
– All amounts of interest and principal due andpayable on any Covered Bonds;
– Any additional fees, costs, expenses to thirdparties and taxes
Covered Bonds; and– Any amounts due and payable under any
Hedging Agreement other than SubordinatedTermination Payments to any Hedging
– All amounts due and payable to any SecuredCreditors, other than the Covered Bondholders
– Any amounts due and payable under anyHedging Agreement (other than Subordinated
Counterparties• Pay all amounts of principal due and payable on any
Covered Bonds• For so long as any Covered Bonds remain outstanding,
Termination Payments to any HedgingCounterparties)
• Pay pari passu and pro rata any SubordinatedTermination Payments
provision any remaining Covered Bonds AvailableFunds in the Transaction Account
• Pay pari passu and pro rata any SubordinatedTermination Payments
• Pay any excess amounts to the Issuer
page 36
• Pay any excess amounts to the Issuer
National Bank of Greece | Covered Bond Programme
Pool Characteristics
Seasoning Loan to Indexed Foreclosure Value
Average: 2.925.7 28.0
21 530 4250
Average: 56.7
Percent of total number of properties, Aug‐2009Percent of total mortgage outstanding, Aug‐2009
3.5
21.5
11.48.0
2.0
0
10
20 2623
81
0
10
20
30
40
0
< 1.0 1.0 ‐ 2.0 2.0 ‐ 3.0 3.0 ‐ 4.0 4.0 ‐ 5.0 5.0 ‐ 6.0 > 6.0
0
< 40% 40% ‐ 60% 60% ‐ 80% 80% ‐ 90% 90% ‐ 100%years
Outstanding Notional Amount Delinquencies
80100
Percent of total mortgage outstanding, Aug‐2009Percent of total number of properties, Aug‐2009
39 38
19
3 1 10
20
40
60 80
15 4225
50
75
100
page 37
0
< 50 50 ‐ 100 100 ‐ 200 200 ‐ 300 300 ‐ 500 > 5000
0 <1 1‐2 2‐3# of monthly payments in arrearsThousand €
National Bank of Greece | Covered Bond Programme
CB law vs. other European Covered Bond frameworks
UK
Dedicated Legal
gFramework
Segregation on Issuer Insolvency
Yes Yes No, claim on whole mortgage
portfolio of the issuer
Yes Yes Yes Yes
the issuer
Bankruptcy‐remoteness of Issuer
No No No Yes No Yes No
Preferential Claim for CB Holders
CB Holders
Mandatory OC 5.26% nominal 2% on NPV basis CH 25% / CT 43%
(both nominal)
No, only nominal coverage required
6 – 10% nominal Mortgage ACS: 3% Commercial ACS: 10% (both nominal.), PS
ACS
5.26% nominal
ACS: 3% NPV
Max. LTV Ratio (Residential)
80% 60% 80% 80% 60 – 75% 75% 80%
Max Substitute Collateral 20% 20% N/A 20% (30% in 10% 15% SubstituteMax. Substitute Collateral 20% 20% N/A 20% (30% in exceptional
cases)
10% 15% Substitutecollateral for
overcollateralisationonly
UCITS 22 (4) / CRD
page 38
National Bank of Greece | Covered Bond Programme
NBG Group: Summary Financials
Profit & Loss Account
€ mn H1.09 H1.08 yoy% Q2.09 qoq% € mn H1 09 H1 08 yoy% Q1 09 qoq%
Summary Balance Sheet
€ mn y y% Q q q%
Net interest income 1 913 1 729 +11% 968 +2%
Net fees 341 376 ‐9% 175 +5%
Insurance 55 95 ‐43% 28 +3%
Trading & other income 315 93 >100% 225>100%
€ mn H1.09 H1.08 yoy% Q1.09 qoq%
Cash & Reserves 5 288 3 970 +33% 3 788 +40%
Interbank & Securities Repos 2 333 2 765 ‐16% 2 734 ‐15%
Investment & Trading Securities 18 314 18 009 +2% 15 833 +16%
Trading & other income 315 93 >100% 225>100%
Income 2 623 2 294 +14% 1 396 +14%
Personnel expenses (700) (658) +6% (351) +1%
G&As (351) (344) +2% (179) +5%
Depreciation (95) (76) +25% (51) +13%
LaR Securities 7 082 ‐ ‐ 8 668 ‐18%
Loans (gross) 68 474 61 383 +12% 67 551 +1%
Provisions (1 982) (1 524) +30% (1 754) +13%
Goodwill & Intangibles 2 455 2 670 ‐8% 2 386 +3%Depreciation (95) (76) +25% (51) +13%
Opex (1 147) (1 078) +6% (581) +3%
Pre‐provision earnings 1 477 1 216 +21% 814 +23%
Provisions (494) (180) >100% (260) +11%
I t (224) (169) 33% (136) 53%
Tangible assets 1 999 1 941 +3% 2 117 ‐6%
Other assets 6 517 5 327 +22% 6 025 +8%
Total Assets 110 481 94 541 +17% 107 349 +3%
Income tax (224) (169) +33% (136) +53%
Minority & Non‐cash charges (37) (32) +14% (15) ‐30%
Attrib. PAT (before one‐offs) 721 834 ‐14% 404 +27%
Exceptionals:
Interbank & Securities Repos 20 166 10 668 +89% 18 927 +7%
Due to customers 70 624 63 915 +10% 68 994 +2%
Debt securities 2 930 3 734 ‐22% 3 844 ‐24%
VRS in subsidiaries (13) ‐ ‐ (13) ‐
Tax settlement FB ‐ (21) ‐ ‐
Attributable PAT 708 814 ‐13% 391 +23%
Other liabilities 7 652 7 499 +2% 7 530 +2%
Hybrids & Minorities 1 883 2 025 ‐7% 1 901 ‐1%
Equity 7 226 6 701 +8% 6 154 +18%
Total liabilities & equity 110 481 94 541 +17% 107 349 +3%
page 40
Total liabilities & equity 110 481 94 541 +17% 107 349 +3%
National Bank of Greece | Covered Bond Programme
P&L: Breakdown by Segment
€mn H1.09 H1.08 yoy% Q2.09 qoq% H1.09 H1.08 yoy% Q2.09 qoq% H1.09 H1.08 yoy% Q2.09 qoq%
Greece SEE & Other International Finansbank
NII 1 222 1 079 +13% 617 +2% 235 217 +8% 118 +1% 456 434 +5% 234 +5%
Commissions 169 185 ‐9% 86 +5% 45 52 ‐14% 23 +5% 128 140 ‐8% 66 +5%
Insurance income 49 92 ‐46% 25 +0% ‐ ‐ ‐ 5 4 +43% 3 +28%
Trading & other income 239 61 >100% 187 >100% 11 17 ‐35% 2 ‐74% 64 15 >100% 35 +21%
Income 1 679 1 416 +19% 915 +20% 290 286 +1% 143 ‐3% 654 592 +10% 338 +7%
Personnel expenses (515) (466) +11% (257) ‐0% (68) (66) +3% (32) ‐9% (117) (124) ‐6% (61) +9%
G&As (172) (159) +8% (90) +11% (60) (60) ‐1% (30) ‐3% (119) (125) ‐4% (59) ‐1%
Depreciation (59) (44) +35% (30) +4% (16) (13) +18% (8) +5% (20) (19) +7% (12) +54%
Operating Expenses (746) (668) +12% (378) +3% (144) (140) +3% (70) ‐5% (257) (268) ‐4% (133) +7%
Pre‐provision earnings 933 748 +25% 537 +35% 146 146 +0% 73 ‐0% 398 325 +22% 205 +6%
Provisions (301) (127) >100% (158) +11% (77) (25) >100% (45) +41% (116) (29) >100% (56) ‐6%
Taxes (161) (104) +55% (103) +78% (5) (13) ‐58% (2) ‐60% (58) (52) +12% (31) +15%
Minorities & non‐cash charges (32) (25) +25% (13) ‐32% (1) (2) ‐71% (0) +17% (5) (5) ‐17% (2) ‐20%
Attributable PAT (before one‐offs) 439 492 ‐11% 263 +49% 64 107 ‐40% 26 ‐29% 219 238 ‐8% 115 +11%
Exceptionals:
VRS in subsidiaries (13) ‐ ‐ (13) ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Tax settlement FB ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ (21) ‐ ‐ ‐
Attributable PAT 426 492 ‐13% 249 +41% 64 107 ‐40% 26 ‐29% 219 218 +0% 115 +11%
Investment & Trading Securities 15 946 15 535 +3% 15 946 +20% 397 370 +7% 397 +10% 1 972 2 104 ‐6% 1 972 ‐12%
LaR Securities 7 082 ‐ ‐ 7 082 ‐18% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Net Loans 47 440 41 266 +15% 47 440 +2% 8 839 8 048 +10% 8 839 ‐1% 10 214 10 544 ‐3% 10 214 ‐0%
Deposits 58 511 51 686 +13% 58 511 +4% 5 147 4 923 +5% 5 147 +3% 6 966 7 307 ‐5% 6 966 ‐9%
page 41
National Bank of Greece | Covered Bond Programme
Finansbank: Summary Financials
TRY mn H1 09 H1 08 yoy% Q2 09 qoq% TRY mn H1 09 H1 08 yoy% Q1 09 qoq%
Profit & Loss Account Summary Balance Sheet
TRY mn H1.09 H1.08 yoy% Q2.09 qoq%
Net interest income 980 815 +20% 499 +4%
Net fees 275 262 +5% 140 +4%
Trading & other income 149 36 >100% 81 +20%
TRY mn H1.09 H1.08 yoy% Q1.09 qoq%
Cash & reserves 1 471 1 450 +1% 2 395 ‐39%
Interbank placements 1 112 931 +19% 1 070 +4%
Investment & Trading Securities 4 262 4 065 +5% 4 957 ‐14%
Income 1 405 1 113 +26% 720 +5%
Operating expenses (551) (503) +10% (283) +6%
Pre‐provision earnings 853 610 +40% 436 +5%
Provisions (250) (55) >100% (120) 7%
Loans (net) 22 093 20 366 +8% 22 741 ‐3%
Tangible assets 393 360 +9% 386 +2%
Goodwill & intangibles 64 46 +40% 60 +6%
Other assets 1 393 1 019 37% 1 555 ‐10%Provisions (250) (55) >100% (120) ‐7%
Income tax (125) (98) +28% (67) +14%
Minority (9) (10) ‐9% (4) ‐29%
Attrib. PAT (before one‐offs) 469 447 +5% 246 +10%
Total Assets 30 788 28 237 +9% 33 164 ‐7%
Interbank liabilities 2 910 3 984 ‐27% 3 347 ‐13%
Due to customers 15 075 14 147 +7% 16 992 ‐11%
Tax settlement ‐ (39) ‐100% ‐
Attrib. PAT 469 408 +15% 246 +10%
Borrowed funds 5 266 4 480 +18% 5 948 ‐11%
Other liabilities 2 808 2 430 +16% 2 411 +16%
Minorities 140 122 +14% 135 +3%
E i 4 590 3 073 49% 4 330 6%Equity 4 590 3 073 +49% 4 330 +6%
Total liabilities & equity 30 788 28 237 +9% 33 164 ‐7%
page 42
National Bank of Greece | Covered Bond Programme
SEE and Other International: P&L and key Balance Sheet items
SEE & other International SEE Cyprus Other
€ mn H1.09 H1.08 yoy% Q2.09 qoq% H1.09 H1.08 yoy% Q2.09 qoq% H1.09 H1.08 yoy% Q2.09 qoq%
NII 235 217 +8% 118 +1% 212 195 +9% 106 +1% 19 18 +7% 10 +2%
Commissions 45 52 ‐14% 23 +5% 40 48 ‐16% 21 +5% 3 2 +7% 1 +24%
Trading & other income 11 17 ‐35% 2 ‐74% 8 17 ‐51% 2 ‐66% 1 1 +27% 1 +9%
Income 290 286 +1% 143 ‐3% 260 260 +0% 129 ‐1% 23 22 +8% 12 +4%
H1.09 H1.08 yoy% Q2.09 qoq%
3 4 ‐9% 2 ‐8%
2 1 +9% 1 +4%
1 (1) n/a (0) n/a
6 5 +40% 2 ‐54%
Personnel expenses (68) (66) +3% (32) ‐9% (56) (56) ‐1% (26) ‐12% (9) (8) +14% (5) ‐3%
G&As (60) (60) ‐1% (30) ‐3% (56) (57) ‐2% (27) ‐3% (2) (2) ‐9% (1) ‐6%
Depreciation (16) (13) +18% (8) +5% (15) (13) +16% (8) +4% (0) (0) +10% (0) +2%
Operating Expenses (144) (140) +3% (70) ‐5% (126) (126) +0% (61) ‐6% (12) (11) +9% (6) ‐4%
(3) (2) +48% (1) +21%
(2) (1) +59% (1) +6%
(1) (0) >100% (0) +17%
(5) (3) +57% (3) +14%
Pre‐provision earnings 146 146 +0% 73 +0% 134 134 +0% 68 +3% 11 10 +7% 6 +14%
Provisions (77) (25) >100% (45) +41% (73) (18) >100% (44) +54% (4) (7) ‐48% (0) ‐90%
Taxes (5) (13) ‐58% (2) ‐60% (5) (12) ‐62% (1) ‐74% (1) (0) >100% (1) >100%
Minorities (1) (2) ‐71% (0) +16% (1) (2) ‐71% (0) +16% ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
Attributable PAT 64 107 ‐40% 26 ‐29% 56 103 ‐46% 22 ‐33% 7 3 >100% 5 >100%
|1 1 ‐12% (1) n/a
0 0 ‐ (0) n/a
(0) (0) ‐ 0 ‐
‐ ‐ ‐ ‐ ‐
1 1 +17% (1) n/a
Net Loans 8 838 8 048 +10% 8 838 ‐1% 7 775 7 078 +10% 7 775 ‐1% 933 870 +7% 933 +2% 131 100 +31% 131 +20%
2 9 3 % 2 %Total Assets 10 869 10 304 +5% 10 869 +2% 9 217 8 858 +4% 9 217 +2% 1 411 1 268 +11% 1 411 +2%
Deposits 5 147 4 923 +5% 5 147 +3% 4 336 4 106 +6% 4 336 +2% 687 715 ‐4% 687 +4%
241 179 +35% 241 ‐1%
123 103 +20% 123 +0%
page 43
National Bank of Greece | Covered Bond Programme
NBG credit ratings
Outlook Negative
LT Foreign Issuer Credit BBB+
Outlook NegativeForeign LT Bank Deposits Aa3
Outlook NegativeLT Issuer Default Rating A– LT Foreign Issuer Credit BBB
LT Local Issuer Credit BBB+
ST Foreign Issuer Credit A – 2
Local LT Bank Deposits Aa3
Preferred Stock A2
Bank Financial Strength C+
Foreign Currency ST Debt P – 1
Senior Unsecured Debt A–
Subordinated Debt BBB+
ST Issuer Default Rating F2
Individual Rating B / CST Local Issuer Credit A – 2
Foreign Currency ST Debt P – 1Local Currency ST Debt P – 1
Individual Rating B / CSupport Rating 2
“…NBG's leading position in Greece both in retail deposits and most loan classes, its
“…With assets totaling €107.3 billion in March 2009, NBG is the largest financial institution
“…NBG enjoys a strong franchise and brand name in Greece. It serves a large, loyal, and
diversified revenue base, good liquidity and adequate capitalisation. […] Stress tests performed by Fitch on NBG's foreign assets, notably in Turkey,Romania and Bulgaria, indicate that NBG is relatively resilient to a sharp downturn in thosemarkets. Anticipated
and the leading deposit‐taking bank in Greece.[…] The bank applies good risk management practices that are supported by its significantly improved information systems and risk measurement tools commensurate with its risk profile. […] NBG has a good liquidity
underpenetrated customer base, which offers long‐term attractive growth opportunities and gives NBG an enormous competitive advantage in funding. NBG has experienced a significant transformation in the past few years, which enhanced its ability to generate revenues in itssharp downturn in thosemarkets. Anticipated
increases in credit costs should be absorbed by NBG's adequate earnings capacity without affecting capitalisation significantly”
risk profile. […] NBG has a good liquidity position and a solid funding base, which distinguish it from its peers. The bank has traditionally been the leading deposit‐taking institution in Greece, controlling around a third of the banking system’s savings deposits”
enhanced its ability to generate revenues in its domestic market. We expect this makeover to enable NBG to absorb higher credit costs and continue to report above‐peers, risk‐adjusted profitability despite pressures from a more adverse environment.”
page 44
National Bank of Greece | Covered Bond Programme
NBG shareholder structure
Shareholder structure Summary
Percent of common shares
~49% f h it l d b
1265 ―~49% of share capital owned by
foreign institutional investors
―No physical or legal person owns h f h lSt t t ll d G k
Greek private entities
All other
28
more than 5% of share capital
―Greek state indirectly (through state related entities and state Greek private and
State‐controlled Greek pension funds
pension funds) controls ~12% of the share capital and voting rights
Greek private and institutional investors
49
Foreign institutional investors
page 45* Treasury shares
N ti l B k f GNational Bank of Greece
Contact detailsContact details
Anthimos ThomopoulosCFO / COO
Petros ChristodoulouGeneral Manager, Group Treasury & Capital Markets
Paul MylonasChief Economist – Chief of Strategy
+30210 3343 921
+30210 3328 801
+30210 3341 521
Vasilis KosmasSenior Officer, Structured Finance
+30210 3341 689+30210 3341 689