NJ CC Poll Topline Results October 29

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Princeton Survey Research Associates International

October 2012 Omnibus Week 4


Princeton Survey Research Associates International for

National Journal

Final Topline ResultsOctober 29, 2012

Total: 1,010 adults age 18 and older

Margin of error: Plus or minus 3.7 percentage pointsLV: 713 adults age 18 and older

Margin of error: Plus or minus 4.4 percentage pointsRV: 869 adults age 18 and older

Margin of error: Plus or minus 4.0 percentage points

Interviewing dates: October 25-28, 2012

LANDLINE INTRO:

Hello, my name is ________ and I'm calling for Princeton Survey Research. Were conducting astudy about some important issues today, and would like to include your household.

RANDOMIZE RESPONDENT SELECTION - DO NOT RANDOMIZE BY FORM: May I please speakwith the YOUNGEST ADULT MALE, age 18 or older, who is now at home? AND May I please

speak with the YOUNGEST ADULT FEMALE, age 18 or older, who is now at home? IF NO

MALE/FEMALE ASK: May I please speak with the YOUNGEST ADULT FEMALE/MALE, age 18 orolder, who is now at home?

CELL PHONE INTRO:

Hello, I am ___ calling for Princeton Survey Research. We are conducting a national study ofcell phone users. I know I am calling you on a cell phone. This is not a sales call. (IF R SAYS

DRIVING/UNABLE TO TAKE CALL: Thank you. We will try you another time...)

CELL PHONE SCREENING INTERVIEW:

S1. Are you under 18 years old, OR are you 18 or older?

1 Under 182 18 or older

9 Dont know/Refused

IF S1=2, CONTINUE WITH MAIN INTERVIEW

IF S1=1,9, THANK AND TERMINATE: This study is limited to adults age 18 and over. I wont

take any more of your time...

READ TO ALL CELL PHONE - INTRODUCTION TO MAIN INTERVIEW: Were interested inlearning more about people with cell phones. If you are now driving a car or doing any activity

requiring your full attention, I need to call you back later. The first question is...

Notes: Due to rounding, percentages may not add to 100. An asterisk (*) indicates values lessthan 0.5%.


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ASK ALLVote03 Now, suppose the 2012 presidential election were being held TODAY. If you had

to choose between [READ AND RANDOMIZE] who would you vote for?

ASK IF OTHER OR DK (Vote03=3,8,9):

Vote03b As of TODAY, do you LEAN more to [READ IN SAME ORDER AS Vote03]?

Likely Voters

Oct25-282012

Sep27-302012

Obama and Biden/ Lean Obama and Biden 50 47

Romney and Ryan/ Lean Romney and Ryan 45 47Other/ Refused to lean 1 1

Don't know / Refused to lean 4 5

n=713 n=789

Registered VotersOct

25-282012

Sep27-302012

Obama and Biden/ Lean Obama and Biden 51 49

Romney and Ryan/ Lean Romney and Ryan 42 44Other/ Refused to lean 1 1

Don't know / Refused to lean 5 6

n=869 n=828

ASK ALL:CC1. As you may know, Republicans currently control a majority in the U.S. House of

Representatives and Democrats control a majority in the U.S. Senate. After the 2012elections, which of the following outcomes would you prefer? First/Next, [READ ITEMS

IN ORDER].

a. Would you rather see the Republicans keep control of the U.S. House of

Representatives, OR the Democrats win enough seats to take over control of the House?

Likely Voters

Oct

25-282012

Sep

27-302012

Republicans keep control of the U.S. House 47 43

Democrats win enough seats to take over controlof the House

44 45

Neither/Other [VOL. DO NOT READ] 2 4Dont know/Refused [VOL. DO NOT READ] 7 8

n=713 n=789


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25-28

2012

Sep27-30

2012

Apr19-22

2012

Oct27-30

20111Republicans keep control of the U.S. House 43 41 43 41

Democrats win enough seats to take over

control of the House

44 45 46 43

Neither/Other [VOL. DO NOT READ] 4 5 6 6Dont know/Refused [VOL. DO NOT READ] 8 9 6 9

n=869 n=828 n=799 n=770

b. Would you rather see the Democrats keep control of the U.S. Senate, OR the

Republicans win enough seats to take over control of the Senate?

Likely VotersOct

25-282012

Sep

27-302012

Democrats keep control of the U.S. Senate 50 47

Republicans win enough seats to take over control

of the Senate

40 42

Neither/Other [VOL. DO NOT READ] 4 3

Dont know/Refused [VOL. DO NOT READ] 6 8

N=713 n=789


25-28

2012

Sep

27-30

2012

Apr

19-22

2012Democrats keep control of the U.S. Senate 50 47 50

Republicans win enough seats to take over controlof the Senate

38 40 39

Neither/Other [VOL. DO NOT READ] 5 3 5

Dont know/Refused [VOL. DO NOT READ] 8 9 6

n=869 n=828 n=799

1From PSRAI/CC Omnibus Oct11 Wk4. Question stem was Thinking about the 2012 elections, which of

the following outcomes would you prefer


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CC2. If President Obama wins reelection, which of the following possible outcomes would you

prefer: [READ AND RANDOMIZE]

Likely Voters

Oct25-28

2012

Sep27-30

2012

The Democrats win both the House and Senate sothey can implement his agenda

36 38

The Republicans control at least one chamber of

Congress so they can act as a check on President

Obamas agenda

58 55

[VOL. DO NOT READ] Dont Know/Refused 6 7

n=713 n=789

Registered Voters

Oct25-282012

Sep27-302012

The Democrats win both the House and Senate so

they can implement his agenda

36 38

The Republicans control at least one chamber ofCongress so they can act as a check on President

Obamas agenda

57 54

[VOL. DO NOT READ] Dont Know/Refused 8 8

n=869 n=828

CC3. If Mitt Romney wins the White House, which of the following possible outcomes would

you prefer: [READ AND RANDOMIZE]

Likely Voters

Oct25-282012

Sep27-302012

The Republicans win both the House and Senate

so they can implement his agenda

34 32

The Democrats control at least one chamber of

Congress so they can act as a check on Mitt

Romneys agenda

60 62

Dont Know/Refused [VOL. DO NOT READ] 6 6

n=713 n=789


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Registered Voters

Oct25-282012

Sep27-302012

The Republicans win both the House and Senateso they can implement his agenda

32 30

The Democrats control at least one chamber of

Congress so they can act as a check on MittRomneys agenda

61 63


n=869 n=828

CC2/CC3 Combined Table

Likely Voters

Oct25-282012

Sep27-302012

Check on only President Obamas agenda 32 29

Check on only Mitt Romneys agenda 35 36

Check on both agendas 26 26Check on neither agendas 8 9

n=713 n=789

Registered Voters

Oct25-282012

Sep27-302012

Check on only President Obamas agenda 29 27Check on only Mitt Romneys agenda 34 36

Check on both agenda 27 26

Check on neither agendas 10 10

n=869 n=828


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CC4. After the November election, who do you think is more likely to genuinely seek

compromise with a president from the other party? [READ AND RANDOMIZE]

Based On Total

Oct25-28

2012

Sep27-30

2012

Democratic leaders in Congress 47 45Republican leaders in Congress 33 31Neither [VOL. DO NOT READ] 6 8

Both equally likely [VOL. DO NOT READ] 2 1


CC5. Over the past few years, Washington leaders have tried to address the problem of highunemployment, without much success. Which ONE of the following do you think is the

MAIN reason unemployment remains high? (READ 1-3 IN ORDER)

Based On Total

Oct

25-282012

Sep

27-302012

July

19-222012

Oct

13-162011

Neither Democrats nor Republicans in

Washington have come up with any good ideasto reduce unemployment so far;

13 16 17 16

There have been good ideas, but fightingbetween Democrats and Republicans has blocked

needed government action, OR

52 53 52 54

There is not much Washington leaders can do toreduce unemployment through policy or

legislation?

22 19 24 21

Dont know/Refused (VOL.) 13 11 8 9


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DEMOGRAPHICS

I have one last set of questions to help us better understand the people who took part in oursurvey.

SEX Respondents Sex

Total LV RV

49 47 50 Male

51 53 50 Female

EMPLOY Are you now employed full-time, part-time, or not employed?

Total LV RV45 46 46 Employed full-time

14 14 13 Employed part-time

41 40 41 Not employed1 * * (DO NOT READ) Dont know/ Refused

PAR Are you the parent or guardian of any children under 18 years of age?

Total LV RV

30 29 29 Yes

69 70 69 No

1 1 2 (DO NOT READ) Dont know/Refused

AGE What is your age?

Total LV RV20 13 17 18 to 29

32 29 30 30 to 49

27 31 30 50 to 6417 22 20 65 and older3 4 3 (DO NOT READ) Refused

EDUC What is the highest level of school you have completed or the highest degree you have


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received?

Total LV RV3 1 2 Less than high school (Grade 1-8 or no formal

schooling)

8 5 7 High school incomplete (Grades 9-11 or Grade 12with NO diploma)

31 27 29 High school graduate (Grade 12 with diploma or

GED certificate)17 17 18 Some college, no degree (includes community

college)

12 13 12 Two year associate degree from a college/university

15 19 17 Four year college or university degree/Bachelorsdegree

2 2 1 Some postgraduate or professional schooling, nopostgraduate degree

12 15 13 Postgraduate or professional degree, including

masters, doctorate, medical or law degree1 1 1 (DO NOT READ) Dont know/Refused

HISP Are you of Hispanic or Latino background, such as Mexican, Puerto Rican, Cuban or

other Spanish background?

Total LV RV12 9 11 Yes86 89 87 No


RACE What is your race? Are you white, black, Asian, or some other race?

Total LV RV75 79 77 White11 10 11 Black or African-American

3 2 3 Asian or Pacific Islander3 2 3 Mixed Race

2 2 2 Native American/American Indian3 1 2 Other


RACE/ETHNICITY What is your race? Are you white, black, Asian, or some other race? [IFR SAYS HISPANIC OR LATINO, PROBE: Do you consider yourself a WHITE(Hispanic/Latino) or a BLACK (Hispanic/Latino)?

Total LV RV


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68 73 70 White non-Hispanic29 23 27 Total non-White

10 10 10 Black non-Hispanic12 9 11 Hispanic

3 1 2 Asian/Pacific Islander4 3 3 Other non-Hispanic


INC Last year, that is in 2011, approximately what was your total family income before taxes just tell me when I get to the right category.

INC1 (IF DONT KNOW OR REFUSED) Keeping in mind that this is a completely

confidential survey, can you please tell me if your total household income BEFORE taxes

last year was over or under $75,000?INC2 (IF UNDER $75,000) Was it over or under $50,000?

INC3 (IF UNDER $50,000) Was it over or under $30,000?

Total LV RV28 36 32 $75,000 or more

13 15 15 $50,000 to under $75,000

18 17 18 $30,000 to under $50,000

33 25 29 Under $30,000

7 7 6 Undesignated

REG Which of these statements best describes you?

Total LV RV

80 100 100 Are you ABSOLUTELY CERTAIN that you areregistered to vote at your current address

6 0 0 Are you PROBABLY registered, but there is a chanceyour registration has lapsed [OR]

13 0 0 Are you NOT registered to vote at your current

address?1 0 0 (DO NOT READ) Dont know/Refused

PARTY In politics TODAY, do you consider yourself a Republican, Democrat, or Independent?

Total LV RV

23 28 26 Republican

34 36 35 Democrat

36 31 34 Independent


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3 2 2 No preference (VOL.)

1 1 1 Other party (VOL.)

3 2 2 Don't know/Refused (VOL.)

That completes the interview. Thank you very much for your time and cooperation. Have a niceday/evening.

Documents

NJ CC Poll Topline Results October 29